@v587d/capital-generation 2.7.11 → 2.7.12
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- package/CHANGELOG.md +48 -3
- package/README.md +3 -2
- package/chart-ui/package.json +1 -1
- package/config/package.json +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/local-fetch.d.ts +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/local-fetch.js +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/wind-client.d.ts +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/wind-client.js +1 -1
- package/package.json +1 -1
- package/preset/capital-generation/agent.patch.yml +6 -3
- package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-data-profile/SKILL.md +177 -0
- package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-data-protocol/SKILL.md +11 -269
- package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-data-query/SKILL.md +109 -0
- package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-equity-research/SKILL.md +2 -2
- package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-orchestration/SKILL.md +3 -2
- package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-web-evidence/SKILL.md +134 -0
- package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-web-protocol/SKILL.md +10 -130
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/UPSTREAM.md +1 -0
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/bear-case/SKILL.md +11 -152
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/bear-case/references/10-analysis-framework.md +75 -0
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/bear-case/references/11-output-and-signal.md +51 -0
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/bear-case/references/12-thesis-invalidation.md +44 -0
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/stock-screener/SKILL.md +11 -177
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/stock-screener/references/10-scoring-framework.md +85 -0
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/stock-screener/references/11-output-format.md +58 -0
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/stock-screener/references/12-invalidation-and-signal.md +51 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/UPSTREAM.md +1 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-catalyst-calendar/SKILL.md +16 -184
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-catalyst-calendar/references/10-catalyst-types.md +64 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-catalyst-calendar/references/11-workflow-and-calendar.md +131 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-idea-generation/SKILL.md +14 -195
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-idea-generation/references/10-workflow.md +201 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-sector-overview/SKILL.md +15 -156
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-sector-overview/references/10-workflow.md +161 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/UPSTREAM.md +1 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/SKILL.md +31 -122
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{01-decision-posture.md → 01-decision-posture-D01-D04.md} +0 -119
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/01-decision-posture-D05-D09.md +123 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/02-business-economics-B01-B03.md +94 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{02-business-economics.md → 02-business-economics-B04-B07.md} +3 -93
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{03-management-governance.md → 03-management-governance-M01-M04.md} +0 -93
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/03-management-governance-M05-M08.md +97 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/04-financial-reality-F01-F03.md +95 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{04-financial-reality.md → 04-financial-reality-F04-F07.md} +3 -94
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{05-valuation.md → 05-valuation-V01-V03.md} +0 -72
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/05-valuation-V04-V06.md +76 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{06-capital-allocation.md → 06-capital-allocation-C01-C04.md} +0 -115
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/06-capital-allocation-C05-C09.md +119 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{07-risk-monitoring.md → 07-risk-monitoring-R01-R03.md} +0 -94
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/07-risk-monitoring-R04-R07.md +98 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/08-specialized-overlays-S01-S03.md +99 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/08-specialized-overlays-S04-S06.md +72 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/08-specialized-overlays-S07-S09.md +74 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/08-specialized-overlays-S10-S12.md +76 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/09-workflows.md +96 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/10-method.md +12 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/11-deterministic-router.md +11 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/UPSTREAM.md +1 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/SKILL.md +10 -86
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/10-workflow.md +94 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/methodology-1.md +220 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/methodology-2.md +146 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/methodology-3.md +114 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/methodology-4.md +113 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/methodology.md +8 -521
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/web-research-1.md +119 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/web-research-2.md +82 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/web-research-3.md +158 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/web-research-4.md +123 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/web-research.md +8 -454
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/methodology-1.md +155 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/methodology-2.md +43 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/methodology.md +6 -180
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/web-research-1.md +114 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/web-research-2.md +180 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/web-research-3.md +92 -0
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/web-research.md +7 -359
- package/watchlist/package.json +1 -1
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/08-specialized-overlays.md +0 -309
package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/stock-screener/SKILL.md
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@@ -61,184 +61,18 @@ Screen and rank multiple US equity tickers across five analytical dimensions —
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---
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##
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## Read the Parts
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Everything below the surface of this file lives in `references/`. Open a part with `read`,
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resolved against this skill's base directory; each part is sized to arrive complete in one
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`read`. If a receipt shows `[... tool result middle pruned ...]`, re-read it with `offset`
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before concluding anything is missing.
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- `references/10-scoring-framework.md` — Scoring Framework
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- `references/11-output-format.md` — Output Format
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- `references/12-invalidation-and-signal.md` — Thesis Invalidation; Standard Signal Output (Multi-Stock)
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Loading this file is not reading the skill: the steps, templates, and thresholds exist only
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in the parts above. Say which parts you opened, name the ones you did not, and never report a
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step or a template you have not read in this session.
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| Sub-factor | How to score |
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| P/E vs. sector median | Score 10 if P/E < 50 % of sector median, scale linearly to 0 if P/E > 200 % |
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| Price-to-Sales (P/S) | Score 10 if P/S < 1, score 0 if P/S > 20, linear in between |
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| EV/EBITDA | Score 10 if < 8x, score 0 if > 40x, linear in between |
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| PEG Ratio | Score 10 if PEG < 0.75, score 0 if PEG > 3.0, linear in between; use N/A weight if earnings negative |
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Average the available sub-scores → **Valuation Score**.
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### 2. Quality Score (0–10)
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Higher score = stronger business fundamentals.
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| Sub-factor | How to score |
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| Piotroski F-Score | Score = F-Score × (10/9), capped at 10 |
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| ROIC vs. WACC spread | Score 10 if spread ≥ +10 pp, score 5 if at parity, score 0 if spread ≤ −10 pp |
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| Gross margin trend (3-year) | Score 10 if expanding ≥ +3 pp/yr, score 5 if flat, score 0 if contracting ≥ −3 pp/yr |
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| Debt-to-equity | Score 10 if D/E < 0.2, score 0 if D/E > 3.0, linear in between |
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Average the available sub-scores → **Quality Score**.
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### 3. Momentum Score (0–10)
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Higher score = stronger price and relative performance momentum.
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| Price vs. MA50 | Score 10 if price ≥ 10 % above MA50, score 5 at MA50, score 0 if ≥ 10 % below |
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| Price vs. MA200 | Score 10 if price ≥ 20 % above MA200, score 5 at MA200, score 0 if ≥ 20 % below |
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| RSI (14-day) | Score 10 if RSI 55–70 (strong but not overbought), score 5 at RSI 50, score 0 if RSI < 30 or > 80 |
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| 3M relative performance vs. SPY | Score 10 if outperforming by ≥ +10 %, score 5 if in-line, score 0 if underperforming by ≥ −10 % |
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| 6M relative performance vs. SPY | Same scale as 3M |
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| 12M relative performance vs. SPY | Same scale as 12M |
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Average the available sub-scores → **Momentum Score**.
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### 4. Sentiment Score (0–10)
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Higher score = more positive smart-money and market positioning signals.
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| Insider net buying (trailing 6M) | Score 10 if net buy value > $5 M, score 5 if neutral/mixed, score 0 if net sell > $5 M |
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| Institutional accumulation (QoQ) | Score 10 if institutions net added ≥ +2 % of float, score 5 if flat, score 0 if reduced ≥ −2 % |
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| Short interest direction | Score 10 if short interest fell ≥ −20 % MoM (shorts covering), score 5 if flat, score 0 if short interest rose ≥ +20 % |
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| Analyst estimate revisions (90d) | Score 10 if ≥ 3 upgrades and no downgrades, score 0 if ≥ 3 downgrades and no upgrades |
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### 5. Growth Score (0–10)
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Higher score = stronger and more reliable growth trajectory.
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| Revenue growth YoY | Score 10 if ≥ 30 %, score 5 if 10 %, score 0 if ≤ 0 % |
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| EPS growth YoY | Score 10 if ≥ 40 %, score 5 if 15 %, score 0 if ≤ 0 %; use N/A weight if negative base |
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| Forward revenue growth estimate | Same scale as revenue growth YoY |
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| Guidance trend (most recent quarter) | Score 10 if raised, score 5 if maintained, score 0 if lowered or withdrawn |
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Average the available sub-scores → **Growth Score**.
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### TOTAL Score
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```
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TOTAL = (Valuation × 0.20) + (Quality × 0.25) + (Momentum × 0.20) + (Sentiment × 0.15) + (Growth × 0.20)
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```
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Weights reflect: quality as the most durable factor, with equal emphasis on valuation, momentum, and growth, and a slight discount on sentiment which is noisier.
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---
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## Output Format
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### Section 1 — Data Sources
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### Section 2 — Screener Leaderboard
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Produce a ranked table sorted by TOTAL score descending:
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```
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| Rank | Ticker | Val | Quality | Momentum | Sentiment | Growth | TOTAL | Signal |
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|------|--------|------|---------|----------|-----------|--------|-------|------------|
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| 1 | AAPL | 7.2 | 8.1 | 6.9 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 7.5 | BUY |
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| 2 | MSFT | 6.8 | 8.4 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 7.8 | 7.4 | BUY |
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| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
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```
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Signal legend:
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- TOTAL ≥ 7.5 → 🟢 STRONG BUY
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- TOTAL 6.0–7.4 → 🟢 BUY
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- TOTAL 4.5–5.9 → 🟡 HOLD
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- TOTAL 3.0–4.4 → 🔴 AVOID
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- TOTAL < 3.0 → 🔴 STRONG AVOID
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### Section 3 — Top 3 Deep Dives
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For each of the top 3 ranked stocks, provide:
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**[RANK] [TICKER] — [Company Name]**
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- **Why it scores high**: 3–5 bullet points, one per standout dimension
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- **Key risk**: The single most important risk that could invalidate the bull case
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- **Entry consideration**: Suggested price zone or trigger (e.g., pullback to MA50, post-earnings confirmation)
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- **Investment horizon**: Short / Medium / Long-term suitability
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### Section 4 — Avoid List (Bottom 3)
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For each of the bottom 3 ranked stocks, provide:
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**[RANK] [TICKER] — [Company Name]**
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- **Why it scores low**: 2–3 bullet points identifying the weakest dimensions
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- **Potential catalyst to watch**: One event or data point that could change the thesis (don't ignore — flag for reassessment)
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### Section 5 — Screening Notes
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- Any tickers excluded by filters (and which filter triggered)
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---
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## Thesis Invalidation
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A ranking is a snapshot. After the screening summary, state what would reorder it:
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**The Top Pick loses its rank if:**
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- Its Valuation score was carried by a single depressed multiple that mean-reverts
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- A `bear-case` run on it surfaces a red flag none of the five dimensions weight (accounting quality, governance, customer concentration)
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**The Avoid list is wrong if:**
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- A name was penalized for a one-off (impairment, litigation charge, guidance reset) that the next quarter normalizes
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**The Market Bias flips if:**
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**Re-run this screen when:**
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---
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## Standard Signal Output (Multi-Stock)
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End every screening session with this standardized block reflecting the overall health of the screened universe:
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-
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-
```
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╔══════════════════════════════════════════════╗
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║ INVESTMENT SIGNAL — SCREENING SUMMARY ║
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╠══════════════════════════════════════════════╣
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║ Top Pick: [TICKER] — Score X.X / 10 ║
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║ Avg Score: X.X / 10 (screened universe) ║
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║ Tickers Screened: N ║
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╠══════════════════════════════════════════════╣
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║ Market Bias: BULLISH / NEUTRAL / BEARISH ║
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║ Best Sector: [SECTOR] ║
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-
╚══════════════════════════════════════════════╝
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-
```
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-
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240
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-
Score Guide: 8.0–10.0 Strongly Bullish | 6.0–7.9 Moderately Bullish | 4.0–5.9 Neutral | 2.0–3.9 Moderately Bearish | 0.0–1.9 Strongly Bearish
|
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Market Bias: derived from the average composite score of the screened universe. BULLISH if avg ≥ 6.0, NEUTRAL if 4.0–5.9, BEARISH if < 4.0.
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Best Sector: the GICS sector with the highest average composite score across all screened tickers in that sector.
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-
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244
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-
**Disclaimer:** Educational analysis only. Not financial advice.
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@@ -0,0 +1,85 @@
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1
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# Scoring Framework
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3
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Part 1 of 3 for `stock-screener` — the five scores, their bands, and how TOTAL is composed
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4
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See `SKILL.md` for what to read and when; this part is procedure, not routing.
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5
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+
|
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6
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+
## Scoring Framework
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7
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+
|
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8
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+
Score every stock on five dimensions, each rated 0–10. Scores are composites — compute sub-scores for each factor listed, then average them into the dimension score (round to one decimal).
|
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9
|
+
|
|
10
|
+
### 1. Valuation Score (0–10)
|
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11
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+
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12
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+
Higher score = cheaper relative to fundamentals.
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13
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+
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14
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+
| Sub-factor | How to score |
|
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15
|
+
|---|---|
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16
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+
| P/E vs. sector median | Score 10 if P/E < 50 % of sector median, scale linearly to 0 if P/E > 200 % |
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+
| Price-to-Sales (P/S) | Score 10 if P/S < 1, score 0 if P/S > 20, linear in between |
|
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18
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+
| EV/EBITDA | Score 10 if < 8x, score 0 if > 40x, linear in between |
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19
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+
| PEG Ratio | Score 10 if PEG < 0.75, score 0 if PEG > 3.0, linear in between; use N/A weight if earnings negative |
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20
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+
|
|
21
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+
Average the available sub-scores → **Valuation Score**.
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22
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+
|
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23
|
+
### 2. Quality Score (0–10)
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24
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+
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25
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+
Higher score = stronger business fundamentals.
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+
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27
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+
| Sub-factor | How to score |
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+
|---|---|
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29
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+
| Piotroski F-Score | Score = F-Score × (10/9), capped at 10 |
|
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30
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+
| ROIC vs. WACC spread | Score 10 if spread ≥ +10 pp, score 5 if at parity, score 0 if spread ≤ −10 pp |
|
|
31
|
+
| Gross margin trend (3-year) | Score 10 if expanding ≥ +3 pp/yr, score 5 if flat, score 0 if contracting ≥ −3 pp/yr |
|
|
32
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+
| Debt-to-equity | Score 10 if D/E < 0.2, score 0 if D/E > 3.0, linear in between |
|
|
33
|
+
|
|
34
|
+
Average the available sub-scores → **Quality Score**.
|
|
35
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+
|
|
36
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+
### 3. Momentum Score (0–10)
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+
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+
Higher score = stronger price and relative performance momentum.
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39
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+
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40
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+
| Sub-factor | How to score |
|
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41
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+
|---|---|
|
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42
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+
| Price vs. MA50 | Score 10 if price ≥ 10 % above MA50, score 5 at MA50, score 0 if ≥ 10 % below |
|
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43
|
+
| Price vs. MA200 | Score 10 if price ≥ 20 % above MA200, score 5 at MA200, score 0 if ≥ 20 % below |
|
|
44
|
+
| RSI (14-day) | Score 10 if RSI 55–70 (strong but not overbought), score 5 at RSI 50, score 0 if RSI < 30 or > 80 |
|
|
45
|
+
| 3M relative performance vs. SPY | Score 10 if outperforming by ≥ +10 %, score 5 if in-line, score 0 if underperforming by ≥ −10 % |
|
|
46
|
+
| 6M relative performance vs. SPY | Same scale as 3M |
|
|
47
|
+
| 12M relative performance vs. SPY | Same scale as 12M |
|
|
48
|
+
|
|
49
|
+
Average the available sub-scores → **Momentum Score**.
|
|
50
|
+
|
|
51
|
+
### 4. Sentiment Score (0–10)
|
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+
|
|
53
|
+
Higher score = more positive smart-money and market positioning signals.
|
|
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+
|
|
55
|
+
| Sub-factor | How to score |
|
|
56
|
+
|---|---|
|
|
57
|
+
| Insider net buying (trailing 6M) | Score 10 if net buy value > $5 M, score 5 if neutral/mixed, score 0 if net sell > $5 M |
|
|
58
|
+
| Institutional accumulation (QoQ) | Score 10 if institutions net added ≥ +2 % of float, score 5 if flat, score 0 if reduced ≥ −2 % |
|
|
59
|
+
| Short interest direction | Score 10 if short interest fell ≥ −20 % MoM (shorts covering), score 5 if flat, score 0 if short interest rose ≥ +20 % |
|
|
60
|
+
| Analyst estimate revisions (90d) | Score 10 if ≥ 3 upgrades and no downgrades, score 0 if ≥ 3 downgrades and no upgrades |
|
|
61
|
+
|
|
62
|
+
Average the available sub-scores → **Sentiment Score**.
|
|
63
|
+
|
|
64
|
+
### 5. Growth Score (0–10)
|
|
65
|
+
|
|
66
|
+
Higher score = stronger and more reliable growth trajectory.
|
|
67
|
+
|
|
68
|
+
| Sub-factor | How to score |
|
|
69
|
+
|---|---|
|
|
70
|
+
| Revenue growth YoY | Score 10 if ≥ 30 %, score 5 if 10 %, score 0 if ≤ 0 % |
|
|
71
|
+
| EPS growth YoY | Score 10 if ≥ 40 %, score 5 if 15 %, score 0 if ≤ 0 %; use N/A weight if negative base |
|
|
72
|
+
| Forward revenue growth estimate | Same scale as revenue growth YoY |
|
|
73
|
+
| Guidance trend (most recent quarter) | Score 10 if raised, score 5 if maintained, score 0 if lowered or withdrawn |
|
|
74
|
+
|
|
75
|
+
Average the available sub-scores → **Growth Score**.
|
|
76
|
+
|
|
77
|
+
### TOTAL Score
|
|
78
|
+
|
|
79
|
+
```
|
|
80
|
+
TOTAL = (Valuation × 0.20) + (Quality × 0.25) + (Momentum × 0.20) + (Sentiment × 0.15) + (Growth × 0.20)
|
|
81
|
+
```
|
|
82
|
+
|
|
83
|
+
Weights reflect: quality as the most durable factor, with equal emphasis on valuation, momentum, and growth, and a slight discount on sentiment which is noisier.
|
|
84
|
+
|
|
85
|
+
---
|
|
@@ -0,0 +1,58 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
# Output Format
|
|
2
|
+
|
|
3
|
+
Part 2 of 3 for `stock-screener` — the five output sections of a screening report
|
|
4
|
+
See `SKILL.md` for what to read and when; this part is procedure, not routing.
|
|
5
|
+
|
|
6
|
+
## Output Format
|
|
7
|
+
|
|
8
|
+
### Section 1 — Data Sources
|
|
9
|
+
|
|
10
|
+
State the date and source(s) used for prices and financials.
|
|
11
|
+
|
|
12
|
+
### Section 2 — Screener Leaderboard
|
|
13
|
+
|
|
14
|
+
Produce a ranked table sorted by TOTAL score descending:
|
|
15
|
+
|
|
16
|
+
```
|
|
17
|
+
| Rank | Ticker | Val | Quality | Momentum | Sentiment | Growth | TOTAL | Signal |
|
|
18
|
+
|------|--------|------|---------|----------|-----------|--------|-------|------------|
|
|
19
|
+
| 1 | AAPL | 7.2 | 8.1 | 6.9 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 7.5 | BUY |
|
|
20
|
+
| 2 | MSFT | 6.8 | 8.4 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 7.8 | 7.4 | BUY |
|
|
21
|
+
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
|
|
22
|
+
```
|
|
23
|
+
|
|
24
|
+
Signal legend:
|
|
25
|
+
- TOTAL ≥ 7.5 → 🟢 STRONG BUY
|
|
26
|
+
- TOTAL 6.0–7.4 → 🟢 BUY
|
|
27
|
+
- TOTAL 4.5–5.9 → 🟡 HOLD
|
|
28
|
+
- TOTAL 3.0–4.4 → 🔴 AVOID
|
|
29
|
+
- TOTAL < 3.0 → 🔴 STRONG AVOID
|
|
30
|
+
|
|
31
|
+
### Section 3 — Top 3 Deep Dives
|
|
32
|
+
|
|
33
|
+
For each of the top 3 ranked stocks, provide:
|
|
34
|
+
|
|
35
|
+
**[RANK] [TICKER] — [Company Name]**
|
|
36
|
+
|
|
37
|
+
- **Why it scores high**: 3–5 bullet points, one per standout dimension
|
|
38
|
+
- **Key risk**: The single most important risk that could invalidate the bull case
|
|
39
|
+
- **Entry consideration**: Suggested price zone or trigger (e.g., pullback to MA50, post-earnings confirmation)
|
|
40
|
+
- **Investment horizon**: Short / Medium / Long-term suitability
|
|
41
|
+
|
|
42
|
+
### Section 4 — Avoid List (Bottom 3)
|
|
43
|
+
|
|
44
|
+
For each of the bottom 3 ranked stocks, provide:
|
|
45
|
+
|
|
46
|
+
**[RANK] [TICKER] — [Company Name]**
|
|
47
|
+
|
|
48
|
+
- **Why it scores low**: 2–3 bullet points identifying the weakest dimensions
|
|
49
|
+
- **Potential catalyst to watch**: One event or data point that could change the thesis (don't ignore — flag for reassessment)
|
|
50
|
+
|
|
51
|
+
### Section 5 — Screening Notes
|
|
52
|
+
|
|
53
|
+
- Any tickers excluded by filters (and which filter triggered)
|
|
54
|
+
- Data gaps or caveats (e.g., "ROIC unavailable for XXXX, sub-score excluded")
|
|
55
|
+
- Sector / macro context relevant to this batch of stocks
|
|
56
|
+
- Correlation warning if top picks are highly correlated (e.g., all mega-cap tech)
|
|
57
|
+
|
|
58
|
+
---
|
|
@@ -0,0 +1,51 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
# Thesis Invalidation and Signal Output
|
|
2
|
+
|
|
3
|
+
Part 3 of 3 for `stock-screener` — the invalidation contract and the multi-stock signal shape
|
|
4
|
+
See `SKILL.md` for what to read and when; this part is procedure, not routing.
|
|
5
|
+
|
|
6
|
+
## Thesis Invalidation
|
|
7
|
+
|
|
8
|
+
A ranking is a snapshot. After the screening summary, state what would reorder it:
|
|
9
|
+
|
|
10
|
+
**The Top Pick loses its rank if:**
|
|
11
|
+
- Its composite falls below the #2 ticker's score on the next re-run — name the dimension most likely to slip (usually Momentum or Sentiment, which move fastest)
|
|
12
|
+
- Its Valuation score was carried by a single depressed multiple that mean-reverts
|
|
13
|
+
- A `bear-case` run on it surfaces a red flag none of the five dimensions weight (accounting quality, governance, customer concentration)
|
|
14
|
+
|
|
15
|
+
**The Avoid list is wrong if:**
|
|
16
|
+
- A name was penalized for a one-off (impairment, litigation charge, guidance reset) that the next quarter normalizes
|
|
17
|
+
- Momentum was measured across a market-wide drawdown rather than a stock-specific one
|
|
18
|
+
|
|
19
|
+
**The Market Bias flips if:**
|
|
20
|
+
- The average composite crosses 6.0 or 4.0 — check whether one outlier dragged it, not the universe
|
|
21
|
+
|
|
22
|
+
**Re-run this screen when:**
|
|
23
|
+
- [ ] Any screened ticker reports earnings
|
|
24
|
+
- [ ] The universe changes (add/remove a ticker — the ranking is relative)
|
|
25
|
+
- [ ] 30 days have elapsed (momentum and sentiment decay fastest)
|
|
26
|
+
- [ ] The sector or factor regime shifts (`economics-analysis` / `sector-analysis`)
|
|
27
|
+
|
|
28
|
+
---
|
|
29
|
+
|
|
30
|
+
## Standard Signal Output (Multi-Stock)
|
|
31
|
+
|
|
32
|
+
End every screening session with this standardized block reflecting the overall health of the screened universe:
|
|
33
|
+
|
|
34
|
+
```
|
|
35
|
+
╔══════════════════════════════════════════════╗
|
|
36
|
+
║ INVESTMENT SIGNAL — SCREENING SUMMARY ║
|
|
37
|
+
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════╣
|
|
38
|
+
║ Top Pick: [TICKER] — Score X.X / 10 ║
|
|
39
|
+
║ Avg Score: X.X / 10 (screened universe) ║
|
|
40
|
+
║ Tickers Screened: N ║
|
|
41
|
+
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════╣
|
|
42
|
+
║ Market Bias: BULLISH / NEUTRAL / BEARISH ║
|
|
43
|
+
║ Best Sector: [SECTOR] ║
|
|
44
|
+
╚══════════════════════════════════════════════╝
|
|
45
|
+
```
|
|
46
|
+
|
|
47
|
+
Score Guide: 8.0–10.0 Strongly Bullish | 6.0–7.9 Moderately Bullish | 4.0–5.9 Neutral | 2.0–3.9 Moderately Bearish | 0.0–1.9 Strongly Bearish
|
|
48
|
+
Market Bias: derived from the average composite score of the screened universe. BULLISH if avg ≥ 6.0, NEUTRAL if 4.0–5.9, BEARISH if < 4.0.
|
|
49
|
+
Best Sector: the GICS sector with the highest average composite score across all screened tickers in that sector.
|
|
50
|
+
|
|
51
|
+
**Disclaimer:** Educational analysis only. Not financial advice.
|
|
@@ -166,6 +166,7 @@
|
|
|
166
166
|
而 catalog 反查只会说"包里找不到 SKILL.md")。
|
|
167
167
|
`package.json` 的 `files` 已登记 `selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn`;随包的是 63 份
|
|
168
168
|
`SKILL.md`(规范根 31 + 另五条线 32)+ `LICENSE` + 本文件,净增 65 个文件,整包未压缩 3.49 → 3.98 MiB。
|
|
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+
- Visibility layering(2026-10-14,§8.6 第三个改写理由):`china-idea-generation`、`china-sector-overview`、`china-catalyst-calendar` 三颗的 `SKILL.md` 超过宿主一次加载的可见上限(剪枝阈值 8,192 码点,回执里中段换成 `[... tool result middle pruned ...]`),改成「入口册 + 分册」:流程与模板搬进 `references/10-*.md`、`11-*.md`,入口只留 Purpose、Data Sources、China-Specific 与 Quality Checks。三颗分别 8,475→9,385、8,600→9,523、9,121→10,512 字符(只增不减),逐行核对原正文**没有一行丢失**,只有入口里那几行分派指针是我改写的。**Apache-2.0 §4(b) 那行声明跟着搬**:每份新分册的第一行都带同一句可见声明(口径已定:凡被改写的正文各带一行,不留给入口册独占),`test/selected-skills-content.test.mjs` 现在逐份 `.md` 问这一行,不只问 `SKILL.md`。分层的体积判据是 `read` **渲染后**的长度(每行前缀 `N: ` + `<path>`/`<content>` 包装),不是文件字符数,建模只在那条闸门的 `readEnvelopeChars` 有一份。
|
|
169
170
|
- Maintenance snapshot (checked 2026-10-11): 15 次提交里 10 次落在 2026-06-08 与 06-09 两天,
|
|
170
171
|
此后三个月无动作,直到 2026-09-14 那一次修 AkShare 服务端返回空数组的 bug(也就是本 commit)。
|
|
171
172
|
831 stars、3 open issue,无 release / tag。因此标 `watchlist`:内容成体系、维护靠一次性的集中搬运,
|
|
@@ -11,64 +11,6 @@ description: Track upcoming catalysts for A-share coverage universe — earnings
|
|
|
11
11
|
|
|
12
12
|
Build and maintain a **A股催化剂日历** tracking upcoming events that could materially impact stock prices within a coverage universe.
|
|
13
13
|
|
|
14
|
-
## Catalyst Types (A-share Specific)
|
|
15
|
-
|
|
16
|
-
### 1. Earnings & Financial Reports
|
|
17
|
-
|
|
18
|
-
| Event | Typical Timing | Notes |
|
|
19
|
-
|-------|---------------|-------|
|
|
20
|
-
| 业绩预告 (earnings preview) | 1-4 weeks before | Mandatory if variance >50% from prior |
|
|
21
|
-
| 季报 (quarterly report) | 1 month after quarter-end | 10-day grace period possible |
|
|
22
|
-
| 中报 (semi-annual report) | 2 months after H1 | 15-day grace period |
|
|
23
|
-
| 年报 (annual report) | 4 months after year-end | Most important event of the year |
|
|
24
|
-
| 业绩说明会 (earnings call) | Same day or next trading day | 上证e互动 / 深交所互动易 |
|
|
25
|
-
|
|
26
|
-
### 2. Regulatory & Policy Events
|
|
27
|
-
|
|
28
|
-
| Event | Impact | Typical Timing |
|
|
29
|
-
|-------|--------|---------------|
|
|
30
|
-
| 央行MLF/LPR操作 | High (liquidity, rates) | 15th of each month (MLF) |
|
|
31
|
-
| 央行降准/降息 | Very high | Ad-hoc, 国新办发布会 |
|
|
32
|
-
| 国务院政策发布 | Sector-specific | Ad-hoc |
|
|
33
|
-
| 部委监管政策 (NMPA, MIIT, etc.) | Industry-specific | Ad-hoc |
|
|
34
|
-
| 集采结果 (volume-based procurement) | Pharma/medtech | Quarterly cycles |
|
|
35
|
-
| 行业准入政策变化 | Sector-specific | Ad-hoc |
|
|
36
|
-
| 反垄断调查 | Specific companies | Ad-hoc |
|
|
37
|
-
|
|
38
|
-
### 3. Corporate Events
|
|
39
|
-
|
|
40
|
-
| Event | Impact | Notes |
|
|
41
|
-
|-------|--------|-------|
|
|
42
|
-
| 股东大会 (AGM) | Low-medium | Voting on key items |
|
|
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| 限售股解禁 (lock-up expiry) | Medium-high | Watch large blocks |
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| 增减持公告 (shareholder transactions) | Low-medium | 5% threshold triggers disclosure |
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| 并购重组 (M&A announcements) | High | 停牌 until announcement |
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| 增发/配股 (seasoned equity) | High | Dilution impact |
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### 4. Sector / Industry Events
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### 5. Macro Data Releases
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| PMI (制造业/非制造业) | Monthly (1st) | Market-wide |
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| CPI / PPI | Monthly (9-10th) | Rates, commodities |
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| 社会融资规模 / M2 | Monthly (10-15th) | Liquidity |
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| 外汇储备 | Monthly | FX sentiment |
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| 工业增加值 | Monthly | Growth indicator |
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| 零售数据 | Monthly | Consumption |
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| 就业数据 | Quarterly | Labor market |
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## Data Sources
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A calendar is a list of dates and documents, and this plugin obtains none of them from inside this step: retrieval has exactly one entry — the main agent delegating it to the role that owns market data or web and disclosure material — and a calendar holds no data-service key and issues no query of its own.
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- 公司底色:profile, 股本结构, and the historical earnings pattern that tells you which quarter is material
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- 交易状态:current quote and trading context for each name on the calendar
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- 全市场:指数行情 as macro backdrop, and market-wide news flow
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- 宏观发布:the indicator calendar
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- 宏观发布:the indicator calendar in `references/10-catalyst-types.md` (CPI / PMI / 工业增加值 / 零售 / 就业) with its release dates
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The disclosure venues these briefs eventually resolve to — 巨潮公告、上交所公告、深交所公告 — are the host retrieval role's business, not a browsing task for this step: name the document type you need and let the retrieval path decide where it lives. In a role-split host, delegate rather than searching from here, then keep calendar entries that came back and mark the rest as unconfirmed dates.
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## Workflow
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### Step 1: Define Coverage Universe
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Identify the stocks and sectors to track. Typical A-share coverage universe:
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### Step 2: Build Calendar Entries
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**For each catalyst, record:**
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```json
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{
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"date": "2024-04-25",
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"type": "earnings",
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"subtype": "季报",
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"ticker": "{{TICKER}}",
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"company": "{{COMPANY_NAME}}",
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"importance": "high",
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"notes": "Q1 2024 results; watch 批价 and inventory",
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"status": "confirmed"
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}
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```
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**Catalyst types in JSON:**
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- `earnings` — quarterly/semi/annual reports
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- `earnings_call` — 业绩说明会
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- `regulatory` — 监管政策发布
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- `policy` — 宏观政策 (央行, 国务院)
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- `corporate` — 公司事件 (分红, 解禁, M&A)
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- `macro_data` — 经济数据发布
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- `sector_event` — 行业展会/论坛
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- `lockup_expiry` — 限售股解禁
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### Step 3: Prioritize Catalysts
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**Importance levels:**
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- **Critical**: Likely to move stock >10% (earnings, M&A, major policy)
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- **High**: Likely to move stock 5-10% (regulatory decisions, industry data)
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- **Medium**: Watch item, context-setting (dividend, conference participation)
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- **Low**: Background noise (routine filings, minor announcements)
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### Step 4: Pre-Catalyst Preparation
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**1 week before critical catalysts:**
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- Pull latest data and consensus
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- Prepare scenario analysis
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- Draft preliminary positioning note
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- Alert stakeholders if high-impact
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**1 day before critical catalysts:**
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- Final data check
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- Confirm release timing (morning vs afternoon)
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- Prepare pre-market positioning note
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- Set monitoring alerts
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### Step 5: Post-Catalyst Update
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After catalyst passes:
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- Record actual outcome
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- Compare vs scenario framework
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- Update price target / thesis if material
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- Move to "completed" section
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- Flag next catalyst in queue
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## Calendar Format
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### Weekly View
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```
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【本周催化剂日历】[YYYY-MM-DD 至 YYYY-MM-DD]
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周一 [Date]
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- [Time] [Ticker] [Company] — [Event type] — [Importance]
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- [Time] [Macro event] — [Impact assessment]
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周二 [Date]
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...
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本周重点:
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- [Top 2-3 catalysts to watch]
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- [Market-wide risk events]
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```
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### Monthly View
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```
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【X月重要事件日历】
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财报窗口:
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- [Week 1]: [Sector] Q[X] results: [List of companies]
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- [Week 2]: [Sector] Q[X] results: [List of companies]
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政策窗口:
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- [Date]: [Policy event] — [Expected impact]
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解禁窗口:
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- [Date]: [Ticker] — [Amount] shares unlocking — [Risk assessment]
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宏观数据:
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- [Date]: [Indicator] — [Consensus] — [Previous]
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```
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### Upcoming Catalysts Table
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| Date | Company | Event | Importance | Watch Item |
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|------|---------|-------|------------|------------|
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| {{DATE}} | {{COMPANY_NAME}} ({{TICKER}}) | {{EVENT_TYPE}} | {{IMPORTANCE}} | {{WATCH_ITEMS}} |
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| Example | 贵州茅台 (600519) | Q1 年报 | Critical | 批价, 动销 |
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| 04-30 | 工信部 | 新能源车月度数据 | Medium | 销量, 渗透率 |
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28
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## China-Specific Considerations
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30
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### Earnings Calendar Patterns
|
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@@ -235,18 +64,6 @@ After catalyst passes:
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64
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- 分红实施公告: typically 2-4 weeks after AGM approval
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- 高送转 (high bonus issue): historically market-positive event
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## Integration with Other Skills
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|
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| Related Skill | Integration Point |
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|---------------|-------------------|
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| china-earnings-analysis | Post-earnings catalyst review |
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| china-earnings-preview | Pre-earnings scenario setup |
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| china-thesis-tracker | Catalyst milestone tracking |
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| china-morning-note | Daily catalyst briefing |
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| china-market-researcher | Sector catalyst themes |
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A skill named above is an option for the user, not a step this role can take: only the skills the user switched on exist in this session, and what this plugin deliberately does not offer — placing or amending an order on the user's behalf — is not reachable at all. Say what you would check next and let the user decide.
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## Quality Checks
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Before delivering:
|
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@@ -256,3 +73,18 @@ Before delivering:
|
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73
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- [ ] Importance levels assigned consistently
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- [ ] Watch items specific and actionable
|
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- [ ] Pre-catalyst preparation tasks defined
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## Read the Parts
|
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Everything below the surface of this file lives in `references/`. Open a part with `read`,
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resolved against this skill's base directory; each part is sized to arrive complete in one
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`read`. If a receipt shows `[... tool result middle pruned ...]`, re-read it with `offset`
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before concluding anything is missing.
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- `references/10-catalyst-types.md` — Catalyst Types (A-share Specific)
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- `references/11-workflow-and-calendar.md` — Workflow; Calendar Format; Integration with Other Skills
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Loading this file is not reading the skill: the steps, templates, and thresholds exist only
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in the parts above. Say which parts you opened, name the ones you did not, and never report a
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step or a template you have not read in this session.
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