alphacouncil-agent 0.9.2 → 1.0.0

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (493) hide show
  1. package/.claude/commands/alpha.md +22 -3
  2. package/.claude-plugin/marketplace.json +3 -3
  3. package/.claude-plugin/plugin.json +2 -2
  4. package/.codex-plugin/plugin.json +4 -4
  5. package/.grok/commands/alpha.md +22 -3
  6. package/.opencode/command/alpha.md +22 -3
  7. package/AGENTS.md +42 -4
  8. package/CHANGELOG.md +164 -0
  9. package/CLAUDE.md +59 -7
  10. package/README.ja.md +25 -11
  11. package/README.md +44 -12
  12. package/README.zh-CN.md +37 -12
  13. package/commands/alpha.md +22 -3
  14. package/data/authored/core-seats.mjs +808 -0
  15. package/data/authored/growth-seats.mjs +581 -0
  16. package/data/authored/index.mjs +114 -0
  17. package/data/authored/quant-seats.mjs +564 -0
  18. package/data/authored/value-seats.mjs +663 -0
  19. package/data/build-profile.v1.json +2 -1
  20. package/data/council-evaluation-protocol.v1.json +7 -4
  21. package/data/master-selector-method-locales.v1.mjs +296 -0
  22. package/data/persona-v3-ai-assisted-solo-profile.v1.json +2 -2
  23. package/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs +60 -3
  24. package/docs/INSTALL.md +43 -6
  25. package/docs/personas.md +2 -1
  26. package/docs/plans/v1.0-roadmap.md +487 -0
  27. package/docs/releases/v0.9.3.md +86 -0
  28. package/docs/releases/v0.9.4.md +79 -0
  29. package/docs/releases/v0.9.5.md +96 -0
  30. package/docs/releases/v1.0.0.md +164 -0
  31. package/docs/report-contract.md +75 -2
  32. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/a.json +13 -13
  33. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/b.json +2 -2
  34. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/c.json +2 -2
  35. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/d13.json +126 -126
  36. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/d26.json +274 -254
  37. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/e-d13.json +129 -129
  38. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/e-d26.json +277 -257
  39. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/h_ai_reference.json +278 -258
  40. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/simulation-input.json +7278 -556
  41. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/simulation-manifest.json +22 -22
  42. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_ackman/reviews/{change_value_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  43. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_ackman/reviews/{power_map.ai-review.json → owner_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  44. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_aschenbrenner/reviews/{compute_power_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  45. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_aschenbrenner/reviews/{timeline_reverse_valuation.ai-review.json → price_implied_cash_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  46. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_asness/reviews/{crowding_cost_stress.ai-review.json → nominal_earnings_yield_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  47. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_asness/reviews/{factor_decomposer.ai-review.json → real_earnings_yield_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  48. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_bogle/reviews/expected_return_over_long_bond.ai-review.json +277 -0
  49. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_bogle/reviews/fundamental_expected_return.ai-review.json +277 -0
  50. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_buffett/reviews/{incremental_returns.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  51. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_buffett/reviews/{owner_earnings_rebuilder.ai-review.json → owner_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  52. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_burry/reviews/{mispricing_carry.ai-review.json → net_current_asset_surplus_per_share.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  53. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_burry/reviews/{capital_structure_reader.ai-review.json → net_current_asset_value_per_share.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  54. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_cathie_wood/reviews/{cost_adoption_curve.ai-review.json → current_cash_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  55. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_cathie_wood/reviews/{capture_valuation_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  56. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_dalio/reviews/{debt_driver_stress.ai-review.json → policy_real_rate.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  57. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_dalio/reviews/{regime_classifier.ai-review.json → real_curve_slope.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  58. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_damodaran/reviews/{reverse_valuation.ai-review.json → implied_equity_risk_premium.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  59. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_damodaran/reviews/{story_dcf.ai-review.json → premium_versus_long_run_average.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  60. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_druckenmiller/reviews/{liquidity_revision_map.ai-review.json → liquidity_curve_impulse.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  61. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_druckenmiller/reviews/{inflection_payoff.ai-review.json → policy_real_rate.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  62. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_duan_yongping/reviews/{opportunity_cost.ai-review.json → five_year_opportunity_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  63. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_duan_yongping/reviews/{user_value_evidence.ai-review.json → margin_retention.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  64. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_fisher/reviews/{research_productivity.ai-review.json → margin_retention.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  65. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_fisher/reviews/{scuttlebutt_graph.ai-review.json → reinvestment_spread.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  66. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_forensic_short/reviews/{borrow_catalyst.ai-review.json → cash_conversion_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  67. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_forensic_short/reviews/{accounting_rebuilder.ai-review.json → cash_cover_of_leverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  68. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_graham/reviews/{asset_floor.ai-review.json → defensive_hurdle_base.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  69. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_graham/reviews/{normalized_earnings.ai-review.json → half_normalised_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  70. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_jhunjhunwala/reviews/{penetration_liquidity.ai-review.json → cash_quality_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  71. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_jhunjhunwala/reviews/{promoter_governance.ai-review.json → real_structural_growth.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  72. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_klarman/reviews/{recovery_waterfall.ai-review.json → downside_asset_coverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  73. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_klarman/reviews/{cash_catalyst_compare.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  74. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_li_lu/reviews/{promise_integrity_ledger.ai-review.json → cash_backed_decade_return.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  75. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_li_lu/reviews/{ten_year_return_bridge.ai-review.json → decade_return_over_long_bond.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  76. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_lynch/reviews/{story_numbers_check.ai-review.json → growth_justified_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  77. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_lynch/reviews/{category_classifier.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  78. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_marks/reviews/{cycle_temperature.ai-review.json → credit_cycle_position.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  79. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_marks/reviews/{implied_expectations.ai-review.json → equity_over_corporate_debt.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  80. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_munger/reviews/{failure_path_graph.ai-review.json → debt_service_cushion.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  81. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_munger/reviews/{incentive_map.ai-review.json → reported_earnings_cash_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  82. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_natenberg/reviews/{surface_builder.ai-review.json → normalised_skew.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  83. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_natenberg/reviews/{greeks_payoff.ai-review.json → round_trip_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  84. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_pabrai/reviews/{downside_floor.ai-review.json → downside_floor_coverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  85. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_pabrai/reviews/{discrete_payoff.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  86. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_simons/reviews/{oos_cost_test.ai-review.json → absolute_session_move.ai-review.json} +42 -42
  87. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_simons/reviews/{leakage_audit.ai-review.json → session_move_over_implied.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  88. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_sinclair/reviews/{realized_vol_forecast.ai-review.json → round_trip_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  89. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_sinclair/reviews/{net_edge_sizer.ai-review.json → volatility_per_unit_of_width.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  90. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_soros/reviews/{reversal_monitor.ai-review.json → credit_cycle_position.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  91. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_soros/reviews/{reflexivity_graph.ai-review.json → financing_burden.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  92. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_taleb/reviews/{tail_friction.ai-review.json → debt_service_cushion.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  93. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_taleb/reviews/{payoff_ruin.ai-review.json → normalised_skew.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  94. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_thorp/reviews/{edge_recalculator.ai-review.json → edge_per_unit_of_volatility.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  95. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_thorp/reviews/{fractional_kelly.ai-review.json → net_edge.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  96. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/review-manifest.json +288 -270
  97. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-adjudications/index.json +2 -2
  98. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-extractions/index.json +2 -2
  99. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-skeptic-reviews/index.json +2 -2
  100. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-source-prereviews/index.json +6 -2
  101. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/decision_policy.json +122 -11
  102. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  103. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/manifest.json +27 -10
  104. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  105. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  106. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/tools.json +56 -30
  107. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/decision_policy.json +101 -10
  108. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  109. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/manifest.json +26 -8
  110. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  111. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  112. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/tools.json +56 -30
  113. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/decision_policy.json +89 -10
  114. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  115. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/manifest.json +25 -8
  116. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  117. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  118. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/tools.json +56 -30
  119. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/counterfactuals.jsonl +0 -0
  120. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/decision_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  121. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/decision_policy.json +170 -0
  122. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/doctrine.jsonl +14 -0
  123. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/calibration_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  124. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/experiments.json +5 -0
  125. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/golden_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  126. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/pairwise_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  127. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/failures.jsonl +0 -0
  128. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/manifest.json +141 -0
  129. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/memory_policy.json +5 -0
  130. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/provisional-index.json +41 -0
  131. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/research_policy.json +11 -0
  132. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/sources.jsonl +1 -0
  133. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/tools.json +120 -0
  134. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/voice.en.md +7 -0
  135. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/voice.zh.md +7 -0
  136. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/decision_policy.json +102 -11
  137. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  138. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/manifest.json +24 -8
  139. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  140. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  141. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/tools.json +55 -29
  142. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/decision_policy.json +102 -12
  143. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  144. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/manifest.json +26 -10
  145. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  146. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  147. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/tools.json +56 -30
  148. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/decision_policy.json +74 -12
  149. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  150. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/manifest.json +26 -10
  151. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  152. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  153. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/tools.json +56 -30
  154. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/decision_policy.json +123 -16
  155. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  156. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/manifest.json +24 -8
  157. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  158. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  159. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/tools.json +56 -30
  160. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/decision_policy.json +58 -10
  161. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  162. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/manifest.json +23 -8
  163. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  164. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  165. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/tools.json +54 -28
  166. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/decision_policy.json +89 -10
  167. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  168. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/manifest.json +25 -8
  169. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  170. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  171. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/tools.json +55 -29
  172. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/decision_policy.json +138 -13
  173. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  174. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/manifest.json +31 -11
  175. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  176. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  177. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/tools.json +82 -30
  178. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/decision_policy.json +102 -11
  179. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  180. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/manifest.json +27 -10
  181. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  182. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  183. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/tools.json +58 -32
  184. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/decision_policy.json +93 -14
  185. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  186. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/manifest.json +20 -8
  187. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  188. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  189. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/tools.json +53 -27
  190. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/decision_policy.json +103 -12
  191. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  192. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/manifest.json +26 -8
  193. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  194. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  195. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/tools.json +67 -28
  196. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/decision_policy.json +77 -12
  197. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
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  ],
@@ -52,7 +140,7 @@
52
140
  },
53
141
  {
54
142
  "decision": {
55
- "common_stance": "cautious",
143
+ "common_stance": "constructive",
56
144
  "native_state": "provisional_reinforcing"
57
145
  },
58
146
  "min_ratio": 1
@@ -69,7 +157,7 @@
69
157
  {
70
158
  "condition": {
71
159
  "left": {
72
- "output_id": "reflexivity.loop_state"
160
+ "fact_id": "market.change_pct"
73
161
  },
74
162
  "op": "gt",
75
163
  "right": {
@@ -78,7 +166,7 @@
78
166
  },
79
167
  "coverage_weight": 1,
80
168
  "points": 1,
81
- "rule_id": "proxy_score_1",
169
+ "rule_id": "soros_price_leg_rising",
82
170
  "source_ids": [
83
171
  "proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e"
84
172
  ]
@@ -86,16 +174,16 @@
86
174
  {
87
175
  "condition": {
88
176
  "left": {
89
- "output_id": "reflexivity.break_signals"
177
+ "output_id": "macro.credit_spread_gap.master_soros"
90
178
  },
91
- "op": "gt",
179
+ "op": "lt",
92
180
  "right": {
93
181
  "literal": 0
94
182
  }
95
183
  },
96
184
  "coverage_weight": 1,
97
185
  "points": 1,
98
- "rule_id": "proxy_score_2",
186
+ "rule_id": "soros_financing_leg_permissive",
99
187
  "source_ids": [
100
188
  "proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e"
101
189
  ]
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
1
1
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Map reflexive feedback among price, financing, fundamentals, policy and participant beliefs, then identify the observable break condition.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_1","source_ids":["proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e"]}
2
- {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Build a dated causal graph linking prices, credit, behavior and fundamentals.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_2","source_ids":["proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e"]}
3
- {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Score observable breaks in the reinforcing loop without inventing probabilities.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_3","source_ids":["proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e"]}
2
+ {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"The financing leg, measured against its own long-run average rather than in the abstract. What matters to a reflexive process is not the level of the spread but whether credit is currently easier or harder than usual, because that is what changes what borrowers are able to do.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_2","source_ids":["proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e"]}
3
+ {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"How hard the credit leg can push on this particular borrower: debt per unit of equity multiplied by the risk premium charged on it. An unlevered business is insulated from the financing channel, and reflexivity with no channel is a story about price rather than a loop.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_3","source_ids":["proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e"]}
4
4
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject a reflexivity thesis that cannot show feedback from price to fundamentals.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_4","source_ids":["proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e"]}
5
5
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject a position that cannot survive before the loop is expected to break.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_5","source_ids":["proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e"]}
6
6
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject a trade thesis with no observable condition for admitting the loop changed.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_6","source_ids":["proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e"]}
@@ -16,14 +16,17 @@
16
16
  ],
17
17
  "native_decision_schema": "reflexive_loop_v1",
18
18
  "optional_fact_types": [
19
+ "market.change_pct",
19
20
  "macro.policy_path",
20
21
  "market.price_trend",
21
22
  "credit.financing_conditions",
22
- "fundamental.response_to_price"
23
+ "fundamental.response_to_price",
24
+ "positioning.crowding",
25
+ "reflexivity.loop_state"
23
26
  ],
24
27
  "required_fact_types": [
25
- "reflexivity.loop_state",
26
- "positioning.crowding"
28
+ "macro.credit_spread",
29
+ "financial.leverage"
27
30
  ]
28
31
  },
29
32
  "components": {
@@ -44,8 +47,8 @@
44
47
  "computation": {
45
48
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
46
49
  "pipeline": [
47
- "master_soros.reflexivity_graph",
48
- "master_soros.reversal_monitor"
50
+ "master_soros.credit_cycle_position",
51
+ "master_soros.financing_burden"
49
52
  ]
50
53
  },
51
54
  "decision": {
@@ -53,8 +56,8 @@
53
56
  "common_projection": "common_stance_v1",
54
57
  "confidence_calibrator": null,
55
58
  "eligibility": [
56
- "reflexivity.loop_state",
57
- "positioning.crowding"
59
+ "macro.credit_spread",
60
+ "financial.leverage"
58
61
  ],
59
62
  "hard_vetoes": [
60
63
  "master_soros.no_reflexive_link",
@@ -77,11 +80,15 @@
77
80
  "maturity": "operator_lens",
78
81
  "operator_label": {
79
82
  "en": "Soros Lens Provisional Operator Lens",
83
+ "ja": "Soros Lens 暫定オペレーター・レンズ",
84
+ "ko": "Soros Lens 임시 오퍼레이터 렌즈",
80
85
  "zh": "索罗斯视角临时操作视角"
81
86
  },
82
87
  "persona_id": "master_soros",
83
88
  "public_label": {
84
89
  "en": "Soros Lens Solo Test",
90
+ "ja": "Soros Lens 単独テスト",
91
+ "ko": "Soros Lens 단독 테스트",
85
92
  "zh": "索罗斯视角单人测试"
86
93
  },
87
94
  "source_cutoff": "2026-07-27"
@@ -92,7 +99,7 @@
92
99
  "leak_rule": "public_at <= as_of AND memory_created_at <= as_of",
93
100
  "postmortem_horizon_days": 90
94
101
  },
95
- "pack_version": "0.9.2",
102
+ "pack_version": "0.9.4",
96
103
  "research": {
97
104
  "mandatory_disconfirming_queries": [
98
105
  "Reject a reflexivity thesis that cannot show feedback from price to fundamentals.",
@@ -109,16 +116,22 @@
109
116
  "schema_version": 3,
110
117
  "selection": {
111
118
  "best_for": {
112
- "en": "Testing deterministic behavior in global_macro, reflexivity, boom_bust, crowded_trades",
113
- "zh": "用于测试确定性行为:global_macro、reflexivity、boom_bust、crowded_trades"
119
+ "en": "Global macro, reflexivity, boom-bust dynamics, and crowded trades.",
120
+ "ja": "グローバルマクロ、再帰性、ブームと崩壊の力学、混雑した取引。",
121
+ "ko": "글로벌 매크로, 재귀성, 호황과 붕괴의 역학, 혼잡 거래.",
122
+ "zh": "全球宏观、反身性、繁荣萧条循环与拥挤交易。"
114
123
  },
115
124
  "identity": {
116
125
  "en": "Soros Lens; project-derived and not human reviewed",
126
+ "ja": "Soros Lens。プロジェクト派生で、方法帰属について人による審査を受けていない暫定オペレーター・レンズ。本人の発言や現在の見解ではない。",
127
+ "ko": "Soros Lens. 프로젝트에서 파생되었고 방법 귀속에 대한 인적 심사를 거치지 않은 임시 오퍼레이터 렌즈다. 본인의 발언이나 현재 견해가 아니다.",
117
128
  "zh": "索罗斯视角;项目派生、未经人工审定"
118
129
  },
119
130
  "method": {
120
131
  "en": "Map reflexive feedback among price, financing, fundamentals, policy and participant beliefs, then identify the observable break condition.",
121
- "zh": "Map reflexive feedback among price, financing, fundamentals, policy and participant beliefs, then identify the observable break condition."
132
+ "ja": "価格、資金調達、ファンダメンタルズ、政策、参加者の信念の間にある反射的フィードバックを整理し、観測可能な崩壊条件を特定する。",
133
+ "ko": "가격, 자금 조달, 펀더멘털, 정책, 참여자의 믿음 사이의 재귀적 피드백을 구조화한 뒤 관측 가능한 붕괴 조건을 식별한다.",
134
+ "zh": "寻找价格、信贷、政策和参与者行为相互强化后又可能反转的反馈回路。"
122
135
  }
123
136
  },
124
137
  "voice": {
@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@
16
16
  ],
17
17
  "experiment_pass_count": 0,
18
18
  "formula_approval_binding_count": 0,
19
- "formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:7265b10a67bd0437af02572176793ef0b8529e48437edc5a2e0b1b1b9fbe73d0",
19
+ "formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:fc8afd469d9cafccccc4221622ccde5061167c538ab6472eecaaf65efce5461b",
20
20
  "method_model_eligible": false,
21
21
  "native_states": [
22
22
  "provisional_no_loop",
@@ -26,8 +26,8 @@
26
26
  ],
27
27
  "persona_id": "master_soros",
28
28
  "planned_tool_ids": [
29
- "master_soros.reflexivity_graph",
30
- "master_soros.reversal_monitor"
29
+ "master_soros.credit_cycle_position",
30
+ "master_soros.financing_burden"
31
31
  ],
32
32
  "production_eligible": false,
33
33
  "review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
@@ -1 +1 @@
1
- {"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:62fc55c37b3a6273683587d016b56b47118767baf96ecda9bae4fe9dacc59383","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_soros"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_soros","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
1
+ {"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:1f66295c405ee1170cea89ce12b7c54eef0de22f1421bed3f5d7685a33d06d1f","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_soros"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_soros","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
@@ -1,12 +1,22 @@
1
1
  [
2
2
  {
3
3
  "assurance_class": "provisional_derived_proxy",
4
- "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:b76392a7ae4c08885cc465f8c5717a357e5f75cd8d978e720f4345313cad3716",
5
- "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:3536e8779c6955b0d9935822b7d4b54548a3f4235956348443cd884892d649cf",
6
- "derivation_spec_id": "master_soros.reflexivity_graph.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
4
+ "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:d3e2fb5428cabc4d409e6c453112d6bd40982c9cb3ea6abfe7faae7628447df1",
5
+ "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:60372f2f3f55e2547144717181e0df98badfaa1a85ba753244d33980d934366c",
6
+ "derivation_spec_id": "master_soros.credit_cycle_position.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
7
7
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
8
- "id": "master_soros.reflexivity_graph",
8
+ "id": "master_soros.credit_cycle_position",
9
9
  "input_contracts": [
10
+ {
11
+ "on_missing": "fail",
12
+ "period": {
13
+ "alignment": "as_of",
14
+ "basis": "instant",
15
+ "window": null
16
+ },
17
+ "unit": "decimal",
18
+ "value_kind": "ratio"
19
+ },
10
20
  {
11
21
  "on_missing": "fail",
12
22
  "period": {
@@ -18,40 +28,43 @@
18
28
  "value_kind": "scalar"
19
29
  }
20
30
  ],
21
- "input_schema_hash": "sha256:3da573dbc3650b9510ed735b03f3624e46c5befead08cef8ccb238789beda343",
31
+ "input_schema_hash": "sha256:da1afeab109533b3d11a30fb4da0e0edab443cc7e68f85e5343fa80f19b376ad",
22
32
  "inputs": [
23
33
  {
24
- "fact_id": "reflexivity.loop_state"
34
+ "fact_id": "macro.credit_spread"
35
+ },
36
+ {
37
+ "literal": 0.05
25
38
  }
26
39
  ],
27
40
  "intended_use": "local_test_only",
28
- "kind": "transform",
41
+ "kind": "recomputation",
29
42
  "on_missing": "fail",
30
- "operation": "identity",
31
- "output_id": "reflexivity.loop_state",
43
+ "operation": "subtract",
44
+ "output_id": "macro.credit_spread_gap.master_soros",
32
45
  "output_period": {
33
46
  "alignment": "as_of",
34
47
  "basis": "instant",
35
48
  "window": null
36
49
  },
37
- "output_schema_hash": "sha256:7c8ae56f7b5e8b7e81adb54f7f1c04cb015452f4f9d0eb77c4159d02e7358223",
50
+ "output_schema_hash": "sha256:ea38dfd129a2637c637a5d88c681aa3393d07367a5d1fc452a4e77585467aac4",
38
51
  "production_eligible": false,
39
52
  "review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
40
53
  "schema_version": 1,
41
54
  "source_ids": [
42
55
  "proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e"
43
56
  ],
44
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
45
- "value_kind": "scalar",
46
- "version": "0.1.0"
57
+ "unit": "decimal",
58
+ "value_kind": "ratio",
59
+ "version": "0.2.0"
47
60
  },
48
61
  {
49
62
  "assurance_class": "provisional_derived_proxy",
50
- "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:ecdd895a6e939f6b154f9087f5418ea9bfabde100d00ec2934bcc14389ad1acf",
51
- "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:8ad58c927a80c9973257e5e5c0b35e294cf300cbbaaf5e8f7ed789e53565fac8",
52
- "derivation_spec_id": "master_soros.reversal_monitor.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
63
+ "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:1c10f11689fb3edfe49810928f00d1988f993c8108469df8b0eeabc034ee942f",
64
+ "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:21650083f9e5a5d1960d4f0a89d3186c0a65b8bb6642019f305fc695a71d77ca",
65
+ "derivation_spec_id": "master_soros.financing_burden.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
53
66
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
54
- "id": "master_soros.reversal_monitor",
67
+ "id": "master_soros.financing_burden",
55
68
  "input_contracts": [
56
69
  {
57
70
  "on_missing": "fail",
@@ -60,35 +73,48 @@
60
73
  "basis": "instant",
61
74
  "window": null
62
75
  },
63
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
64
- "value_kind": "scalar"
76
+ "unit": "decimal",
77
+ "value_kind": "ratio"
78
+ },
79
+ {
80
+ "on_missing": "fail",
81
+ "period": {
82
+ "alignment": "as_of",
83
+ "basis": "instant",
84
+ "window": null
85
+ },
86
+ "unit": "decimal",
87
+ "value_kind": "ratio"
65
88
  }
66
89
  ],
67
- "input_schema_hash": "sha256:f99a30105bf69e0265ad701b79694ed68fb7b60934f89ebf85b2a2797552f5cb",
90
+ "input_schema_hash": "sha256:577246a9aca74e285a544bc610ebaf1b17d87ce12f32a48966d7046242798cb5",
68
91
  "inputs": [
69
92
  {
70
- "fact_id": "positioning.crowding"
93
+ "fact_id": "financial.leverage"
94
+ },
95
+ {
96
+ "fact_id": "macro.credit_spread"
71
97
  }
72
98
  ],
73
99
  "intended_use": "local_test_only",
74
- "kind": "transform",
100
+ "kind": "recomputation",
75
101
  "on_missing": "fail",
76
- "operation": "identity",
77
- "output_id": "reflexivity.break_signals",
102
+ "operation": "multiply",
103
+ "output_id": "reflexivity.financing_burden.master_soros",
78
104
  "output_period": {
79
105
  "alignment": "as_of",
80
106
  "basis": "instant",
81
107
  "window": null
82
108
  },
83
- "output_schema_hash": "sha256:7e3a9d132800b1808aab0bed4c173ee57f2893a97a9e2723bc64fe6f659dbc35",
109
+ "output_schema_hash": "sha256:c4e4d01002aaa9221044447dda49d7026de1b5cbc553c0b422c206b188c513d6",
84
110
  "production_eligible": false,
85
111
  "review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
86
112
  "schema_version": 1,
87
113
  "source_ids": [
88
114
  "proxy:efa4c7a15523b575e"
89
115
  ],
90
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
91
- "value_kind": "scalar",
92
- "version": "0.1.0"
116
+ "unit": "decimal",
117
+ "value_kind": "ratio",
118
+ "version": "0.2.0"
93
119
  }
94
120
  ]