alphacouncil-agent 0.9.2 → 1.0.0
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- package/.claude/commands/alpha.md +22 -3
- package/.claude-plugin/marketplace.json +3 -3
- package/.claude-plugin/plugin.json +2 -2
- package/.codex-plugin/plugin.json +4 -4
- package/.grok/commands/alpha.md +22 -3
- package/.opencode/command/alpha.md +22 -3
- package/AGENTS.md +42 -4
- package/CHANGELOG.md +164 -0
- package/CLAUDE.md +59 -7
- package/README.ja.md +25 -11
- package/README.md +44 -12
- package/README.zh-CN.md +37 -12
- package/commands/alpha.md +22 -3
- package/data/authored/core-seats.mjs +808 -0
- package/data/authored/growth-seats.mjs +581 -0
- package/data/authored/index.mjs +114 -0
- package/data/authored/quant-seats.mjs +564 -0
- package/data/authored/value-seats.mjs +663 -0
- package/data/build-profile.v1.json +2 -1
- package/data/council-evaluation-protocol.v1.json +7 -4
- package/data/master-selector-method-locales.v1.mjs +296 -0
- package/data/persona-v3-ai-assisted-solo-profile.v1.json +2 -2
- package/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs +60 -3
- package/docs/INSTALL.md +43 -6
- package/docs/personas.md +2 -1
- package/docs/plans/v1.0-roadmap.md +487 -0
- package/docs/releases/v0.9.3.md +86 -0
- package/docs/releases/v0.9.4.md +79 -0
- package/docs/releases/v0.9.5.md +96 -0
- package/docs/releases/v1.0.0.md +164 -0
- package/docs/report-contract.md +75 -2
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/a.json +13 -13
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/b.json +2 -2
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/c.json +2 -2
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/d13.json +126 -126
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/d26.json +274 -254
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/e-d13.json +129 -129
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/e-d26.json +277 -257
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/h_ai_reference.json +278 -258
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/simulation-input.json +7278 -556
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/simulation-manifest.json +22 -22
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_ackman/reviews/{change_value_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_ackman/reviews/{power_map.ai-review.json → owner_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_aschenbrenner/reviews/{compute_power_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_aschenbrenner/reviews/{timeline_reverse_valuation.ai-review.json → price_implied_cash_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_asness/reviews/{crowding_cost_stress.ai-review.json → nominal_earnings_yield_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_asness/reviews/{factor_decomposer.ai-review.json → real_earnings_yield_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_bogle/reviews/expected_return_over_long_bond.ai-review.json +277 -0
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_bogle/reviews/fundamental_expected_return.ai-review.json +277 -0
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_buffett/reviews/{incremental_returns.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_buffett/reviews/{owner_earnings_rebuilder.ai-review.json → owner_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_burry/reviews/{mispricing_carry.ai-review.json → net_current_asset_surplus_per_share.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_burry/reviews/{capital_structure_reader.ai-review.json → net_current_asset_value_per_share.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_cathie_wood/reviews/{cost_adoption_curve.ai-review.json → current_cash_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_cathie_wood/reviews/{capture_valuation_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_dalio/reviews/{debt_driver_stress.ai-review.json → policy_real_rate.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_dalio/reviews/{regime_classifier.ai-review.json → real_curve_slope.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_damodaran/reviews/{reverse_valuation.ai-review.json → implied_equity_risk_premium.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_damodaran/reviews/{story_dcf.ai-review.json → premium_versus_long_run_average.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_druckenmiller/reviews/{liquidity_revision_map.ai-review.json → liquidity_curve_impulse.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_druckenmiller/reviews/{inflection_payoff.ai-review.json → policy_real_rate.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_duan_yongping/reviews/{opportunity_cost.ai-review.json → five_year_opportunity_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_duan_yongping/reviews/{user_value_evidence.ai-review.json → margin_retention.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_fisher/reviews/{research_productivity.ai-review.json → margin_retention.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_fisher/reviews/{scuttlebutt_graph.ai-review.json → reinvestment_spread.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_forensic_short/reviews/{borrow_catalyst.ai-review.json → cash_conversion_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_forensic_short/reviews/{accounting_rebuilder.ai-review.json → cash_cover_of_leverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_graham/reviews/{asset_floor.ai-review.json → defensive_hurdle_base.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_graham/reviews/{normalized_earnings.ai-review.json → half_normalised_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_jhunjhunwala/reviews/{penetration_liquidity.ai-review.json → cash_quality_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_jhunjhunwala/reviews/{promoter_governance.ai-review.json → real_structural_growth.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_klarman/reviews/{recovery_waterfall.ai-review.json → downside_asset_coverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_klarman/reviews/{cash_catalyst_compare.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_li_lu/reviews/{promise_integrity_ledger.ai-review.json → cash_backed_decade_return.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_li_lu/reviews/{ten_year_return_bridge.ai-review.json → decade_return_over_long_bond.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_lynch/reviews/{story_numbers_check.ai-review.json → growth_justified_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_lynch/reviews/{category_classifier.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_marks/reviews/{cycle_temperature.ai-review.json → credit_cycle_position.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_marks/reviews/{implied_expectations.ai-review.json → equity_over_corporate_debt.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_munger/reviews/{failure_path_graph.ai-review.json → debt_service_cushion.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_munger/reviews/{incentive_map.ai-review.json → reported_earnings_cash_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_natenberg/reviews/{surface_builder.ai-review.json → normalised_skew.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_natenberg/reviews/{greeks_payoff.ai-review.json → round_trip_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_pabrai/reviews/{downside_floor.ai-review.json → downside_floor_coverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_pabrai/reviews/{discrete_payoff.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_simons/reviews/{oos_cost_test.ai-review.json → absolute_session_move.ai-review.json} +42 -42
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_simons/reviews/{leakage_audit.ai-review.json → session_move_over_implied.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_sinclair/reviews/{realized_vol_forecast.ai-review.json → round_trip_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_sinclair/reviews/{net_edge_sizer.ai-review.json → volatility_per_unit_of_width.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_soros/reviews/{reversal_monitor.ai-review.json → credit_cycle_position.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_soros/reviews/{reflexivity_graph.ai-review.json → financing_burden.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_taleb/reviews/{tail_friction.ai-review.json → debt_service_cushion.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_taleb/reviews/{payoff_ruin.ai-review.json → normalised_skew.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_thorp/reviews/{edge_recalculator.ai-review.json → edge_per_unit_of_volatility.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_thorp/reviews/{fractional_kelly.ai-review.json → net_edge.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/review-manifest.json +288 -270
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-adjudications/index.json +2 -2
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-extractions/index.json +2 -2
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-skeptic-reviews/index.json +2 -2
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-source-prereviews/index.json +6 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/decision_policy.json +122 -11
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/manifest.json +27 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/decision_policy.json +101 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/manifest.json +26 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/decision_policy.json +89 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/manifest.json +25 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/counterfactuals.jsonl +0 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/decision_cases.jsonl +0 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/decision_policy.json +170 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/doctrine.jsonl +14 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/calibration_cases.jsonl +0 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/experiments.json +5 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/golden_cases.jsonl +0 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/pairwise_cases.jsonl +0 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/failures.jsonl +0 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/manifest.json +141 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/memory_policy.json +5 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/provisional-index.json +41 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/research_policy.json +11 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/sources.jsonl +1 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/tools.json +120 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/voice.en.md +7 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/voice.zh.md +7 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/decision_policy.json +102 -11
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/manifest.json +24 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/tools.json +55 -29
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/decision_policy.json +102 -12
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/manifest.json +26 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/decision_policy.json +74 -12
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/manifest.json +26 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/decision_policy.json +123 -16
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/manifest.json +24 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/decision_policy.json +58 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/manifest.json +23 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/tools.json +54 -28
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/decision_policy.json +89 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/manifest.json +25 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/tools.json +55 -29
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/decision_policy.json +138 -13
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/manifest.json +31 -11
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/tools.json +82 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/decision_policy.json +102 -11
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/manifest.json +27 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/tools.json +58 -32
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/decision_policy.json +93 -14
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/manifest.json +20 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/tools.json +53 -27
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/decision_policy.json +103 -12
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/manifest.json +26 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/tools.json +67 -28
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/decision_policy.json +77 -12
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/manifest.json +25 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/tools.json +54 -28
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/decision_policy.json +105 -14
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/manifest.json +22 -6
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/tools.json +55 -29
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/decision_policy.json +101 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/manifest.json +27 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/tools.json +58 -32
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_lynch/decision_policy.json +127 -16
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_lynch/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_lynch/manifest.json +28 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_lynch/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_lynch/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_lynch/tools.json +67 -28
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_marks/decision_policy.json +71 -9
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_marks/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_marks/manifest.json +25 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_marks/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_marks/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_marks/tools.json +54 -28
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_munger/decision_policy.json +141 -16
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_munger/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_munger/manifest.json +24 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_munger/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_munger/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_munger/tools.json +52 -26
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_natenberg/decision_policy.json +59 -11
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_natenberg/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_natenberg/manifest.json +23 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_natenberg/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_natenberg/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_natenberg/tools.json +50 -24
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_pabrai/decision_policy.json +125 -14
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_pabrai/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_pabrai/manifest.json +22 -6
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_pabrai/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_pabrai/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_pabrai/tools.json +55 -29
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_simons/decision_policy.json +59 -11
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_simons/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_simons/manifest.json +22 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_simons/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_simons/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_simons/tools.json +43 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_sinclair/decision_policy.json +59 -11
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_sinclair/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_sinclair/manifest.json +22 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_sinclair/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_sinclair/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_sinclair/tools.json +54 -28
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_soros/decision_policy.json +98 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_soros/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_soros/manifest.json +24 -11
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_soros/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_soros/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_soros/tools.json +54 -28
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_taleb/decision_policy.json +124 -13
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_taleb/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_taleb/manifest.json +23 -9
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_taleb/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_taleb/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_taleb/tools.json +50 -24
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_thorp/decision_policy.json +61 -13
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_thorp/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_thorp/manifest.json +25 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_thorp/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_thorp/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_thorp/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/compilation-manifest.json +290 -264
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_ackman/components/tools.json +58 -32
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_ackman/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_ackman/provisional-derivations/owner_earnings_yield.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_aschenbrenner/components/tools.json +58 -32
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-derivations/price_implied_cash_yield.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_asness/components/tools.json +58 -32
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_asness/provisional-derivations/nominal_earnings_yield_gap.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_asness/provisional-derivations/real_earnings_yield_gap.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_bogle/components/tools.json +120 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_bogle/provisional-derivations/expected_return_over_long_bond.derived-proxy-evidence.json +77 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_bogle/provisional-derivations/fundamental_expected_return.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_buffett/components/tools.json +57 -31
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_buffett/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_buffett/provisional-derivations/owner_earnings_yield.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_burry/components/tools.json +58 -32
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_burry/provisional-derivations/net_current_asset_surplus_per_share.derived-proxy-evidence.json +77 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_burry/provisional-derivations/net_current_asset_value_per_share.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_cathie_wood/components/tools.json +58 -32
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_cathie_wood/provisional-derivations/current_cash_yield.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_cathie_wood/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_dalio/components/tools.json +58 -32
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_dalio/provisional-derivations/policy_real_rate.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_dalio/provisional-derivations/real_curve_slope.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_damodaran/components/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_damodaran/provisional-derivations/implied_equity_risk_premium.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_damodaran/provisional-derivations/{reverse_valuation.derived-proxy-evidence.json → premium_versus_long_run_average.derived-proxy-evidence.json} +29 -16
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_druckenmiller/components/tools.json +57 -31
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_druckenmiller/provisional-derivations/liquidity_curve_impulse.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_druckenmiller/provisional-derivations/policy_real_rate.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_duan_yongping/components/tools.json +84 -32
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_duan_yongping/provisional-derivations/five_year_opportunity_cost.derived-proxy-evidence.json +102 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_duan_yongping/provisional-derivations/margin_retention.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_fisher/components/tools.json +60 -34
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_fisher/provisional-derivations/margin_retention.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_fisher/provisional-derivations/reinvestment_spread.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_forensic_short/components/tools.json +55 -29
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_forensic_short/provisional-derivations/{accounting_rebuilder.derived-proxy-evidence.json → cash_conversion_gap.derived-proxy-evidence.json} +28 -15
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_forensic_short/provisional-derivations/cash_cover_of_leverage.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_graham/components/tools.json +69 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_graham/provisional-derivations/defensive_hurdle_base.derived-proxy-evidence.json +89 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_graham/provisional-derivations/half_normalised_earnings_yield.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_jhunjhunwala/components/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-derivations/cash_quality_gap.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-derivations/real_structural_growth.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_klarman/components/tools.json +57 -31
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_klarman/provisional-derivations/downside_asset_coverage.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_klarman/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_li_lu/components/tools.json +60 -34
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_li_lu/provisional-derivations/cash_backed_decade_return.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_li_lu/provisional-derivations/decade_return_over_long_bond.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_lynch/components/tools.json +69 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_lynch/provisional-derivations/growth_justified_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +89 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_lynch/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_marks/components/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_marks/provisional-derivations/credit_cycle_position.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_marks/provisional-derivations/equity_over_corporate_debt.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_munger/components/tools.json +54 -28
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_munger/provisional-derivations/debt_service_cushion.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_munger/provisional-derivations/reported_earnings_cash_gap.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_natenberg/components/tools.json +52 -26
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_natenberg/provisional-derivations/{surface_builder.derived-proxy-evidence.json → normalised_skew.derived-proxy-evidence.json} +27 -14
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_natenberg/provisional-derivations/round_trip_cost.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_pabrai/components/tools.json +57 -31
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_pabrai/provisional-derivations/downside_floor_coverage.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_pabrai/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_simons/components/tools.json +45 -32
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/{master_natenberg/provisional-derivations/greeks_payoff.derived-proxy-evidence.json → master_simons/provisional-derivations/absolute_session_move.derived-proxy-evidence.json} +17 -17
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_simons/provisional-derivations/session_move_over_implied.derived-proxy-evidence.json +77 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_sinclair/components/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_sinclair/provisional-derivations/round_trip_cost.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_sinclair/provisional-derivations/volatility_per_unit_of_width.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_soros/components/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_soros/provisional-derivations/credit_cycle_position.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_soros/provisional-derivations/financing_burden.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_taleb/components/tools.json +52 -26
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_taleb/provisional-derivations/debt_service_cushion.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_taleb/provisional-derivations/{tail_friction.derived-proxy-evidence.json → normalised_skew.derived-proxy-evidence.json} +27 -14
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_thorp/components/tools.json +58 -32
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_thorp/provisional-derivations/edge_per_unit_of_volatility.derived-proxy-evidence.json +77 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_thorp/provisional-derivations/net_edge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
- package/mcp/lib/breadth.mjs +122 -0
- package/mcp/lib/codex.mjs +3 -3
- package/mcp/lib/constants.mjs +76 -25
- package/mcp/lib/council-options.mjs +95 -40
- package/mcp/lib/council-selection.mjs +95 -9
- package/mcp/lib/damodaran.mjs +119 -0
- package/mcp/lib/fred.mjs +246 -0
- package/mcp/lib/fund-holdings-parsers.mjs +297 -0
- package/mcp/lib/fundamentals.mjs +801 -0
- package/mcp/lib/funds.mjs +750 -0
- package/mcp/lib/gates.mjs +149 -15
- package/mcp/lib/grounding.mjs +188 -36
- package/mcp/lib/index-aggregate.mjs +718 -0
- package/mcp/lib/insider-ownership.mjs +149 -0
- package/mcp/lib/instrument-facts.mjs +557 -0
- package/mcp/lib/instruments.mjs +191 -0
- package/mcp/lib/lang.mjs +109 -2
- package/mcp/lib/markdown.mjs +620 -138
- package/mcp/lib/master-catalog.mjs +32 -3
- package/mcp/lib/orchestrator.mjs +1121 -290
- package/mcp/lib/packets.mjs +227 -21
- package/mcp/lib/personas/engine.mjs +44 -31
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/compiler.mjs +2 -0
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/deterministic-executor.mjs +13 -2
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/ga-external-evidence.mjs +3 -2
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/ga-gate.mjs +2 -1
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/ga-package-evidence.mjs +5 -4
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/grounding-adapter.mjs +309 -2
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/loader.mjs +10 -7
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/production-root.mjs +5 -4
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/release-formula-evidence.mjs +14 -7
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/release-source-evidence.mjs +2 -1
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/releases.mjs +5 -4
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/runtime-release-integrity.mjs +6 -5
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/semantic-source-adjudication.mjs +2 -1
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/semantic-source-extraction.mjs +2 -1
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/semantic-source-skeptic-review.mjs +2 -1
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/source-acquisition.mjs +10 -3
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/source-review-operations.mjs +3 -2
- package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/staging.mjs +22 -3
- package/mcp/lib/prompts.mjs +119 -2
- package/mcp/lib/quotes.mjs +5 -0
- package/mcp/lib/rpc.mjs +101 -42
- package/mcp/lib/run-store.mjs +28 -3
- package/mcp/lib/sec.mjs +32 -0
- package/mcp/lib/tables.mjs +11 -0
- package/mcp/lib/voice.mjs +122 -0
- package/mcp/lib/xbrl-aggregates.mjs +153 -0
- package/mcp/lib/xbrl-series.mjs +339 -0
- package/mcp/lib/xlsx.mjs +155 -0
- package/package.json +5 -5
- package/personas/masters/masters-value/bogle.md +145 -0
- package/schemas/council-evaluation-protocol-v1.schema.json +2 -2
- package/schemas/persona-v3-ai-assisted-solo-profile-v1.schema.json +2 -2
- package/schemas/persona-v3-ai-machine-simulation-v1.schema.json +1 -1
- package/schemas/persona-v3-build-spec-v1.schema.json +3 -3
- package/schemas/persona-v3-release-formula-review-evidence-v1.schema.json +3 -3
- package/schemas/persona-v3-release-manifest-v1.schema.json +6 -6
- package/schemas/persona-v3-release-source-review-evidence-v1.schema.json +3 -3
- package/schemas/persona-v3-tool-graph-v1.schema.json +1 -1
- package/schemas/persona-v3.schema.json +37 -2
- package/schemas/source-review-batch-v1.schema.json +9 -9
- package/scripts/assemble-persona-v3-release.mjs +3 -2
- package/scripts/build-persona-v3-solo-test-packs.mjs +6 -8
- package/scripts/check-persona-v3-ga.mjs +1 -1
- package/scripts/check-persona-v3-production-candidates.mjs +1 -1
- package/scripts/compile-persona-v3-formulas.mjs +19 -18
- package/scripts/doctor.mjs +11 -9
- package/scripts/export-persona-source-review-batch.mjs +1 -1
- package/scripts/generate-persona-v3-drafts.mjs +2 -2
- package/scripts/lib/build-profile.mjs +24 -0
- package/scripts/lib/council-evaluation-protocol.mjs +7 -6
- package/scripts/lib/host-capabilities.mjs +2 -1
- package/scripts/lib/packaged-host-parity.mjs +63 -8
- package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-ai-assisted-solo-status.mjs +6 -4
- package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-ai-formula-review.mjs +6 -5
- package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-ai-machine-simulations.mjs +32 -4
- package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-build-specs.mjs +3 -2
- package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-draft-packs.mjs +2 -2
- package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-formula-pipeline.mjs +11 -10
- package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-production-candidates.mjs +10 -9
- package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-solo-formula-pipeline.mjs +182 -16
- package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-solo-test-packs.mjs +143 -16
- package/scripts/package-smoke.mjs +32 -12
- package/scripts/report-persona-corpus-gaps.mjs +4 -1
- package/scripts/review-persona-v3-solo-formulas.mjs +12 -8
- package/scripts/run-tests.mjs +23 -2
- package/scripts/scaffold-persona-v3-staging.mjs +1 -1
- package/skills/agent-skills-governance/SKILL.md +8 -2
- package/skills/alphacouncil-agent/SKILL.md +60 -9
- package/skills/public-equity-investing/SKILL.md +17 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_ackman/provisional-derivations/change_value_bridge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_ackman/provisional-derivations/power_map.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-derivations/compute_power_bridge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-derivations/timeline_reverse_valuation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_asness/provisional-derivations/crowding_cost_stress.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_asness/provisional-derivations/factor_decomposer.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_buffett/provisional-derivations/incremental_returns.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_buffett/provisional-derivations/owner_earnings_rebuilder.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_burry/provisional-derivations/capital_structure_reader.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_burry/provisional-derivations/mispricing_carry.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_cathie_wood/provisional-derivations/capture_valuation_bridge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_cathie_wood/provisional-derivations/cost_adoption_curve.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_dalio/provisional-derivations/debt_driver_stress.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_dalio/provisional-derivations/regime_classifier.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_damodaran/provisional-derivations/story_dcf.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_druckenmiller/provisional-derivations/inflection_payoff.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_druckenmiller/provisional-derivations/liquidity_revision_map.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_duan_yongping/provisional-derivations/opportunity_cost.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_duan_yongping/provisional-derivations/user_value_evidence.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_fisher/provisional-derivations/research_productivity.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_fisher/provisional-derivations/scuttlebutt_graph.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_forensic_short/provisional-derivations/borrow_catalyst.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_graham/provisional-derivations/asset_floor.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_graham/provisional-derivations/normalized_earnings.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-derivations/penetration_liquidity.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-derivations/promoter_governance.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_klarman/provisional-derivations/cash_catalyst_compare.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_klarman/provisional-derivations/recovery_waterfall.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_li_lu/provisional-derivations/promise_integrity_ledger.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_li_lu/provisional-derivations/ten_year_return_bridge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_lynch/provisional-derivations/category_classifier.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_lynch/provisional-derivations/story_numbers_check.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_marks/provisional-derivations/cycle_temperature.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_marks/provisional-derivations/implied_expectations.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_munger/provisional-derivations/failure_path_graph.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_munger/provisional-derivations/incentive_map.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_pabrai/provisional-derivations/discrete_payoff.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_pabrai/provisional-derivations/downside_floor.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_simons/provisional-derivations/leakage_audit.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_simons/provisional-derivations/oos_cost_test.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_sinclair/provisional-derivations/net_edge_sizer.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_sinclair/provisional-derivations/realized_vol_forecast.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_soros/provisional-derivations/reflexivity_graph.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_soros/provisional-derivations/reversal_monitor.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_taleb/provisional-derivations/payoff_ruin.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_thorp/provisional-derivations/edge_recalculator.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_thorp/provisional-derivations/fractional_kelly.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
|
@@ -16,14 +16,18 @@
|
|
|
16
16
|
],
|
|
17
17
|
"native_decision_schema": "cycle_risk_posture_v1",
|
|
18
18
|
"optional_fact_types": [
|
|
19
|
+
"index.aggregate_pe_ttm",
|
|
20
|
+
"cycle.valuation_percentile",
|
|
19
21
|
"cycle.credit_conditions",
|
|
20
22
|
"cycle.investor_behavior",
|
|
23
|
+
"expectations.consensus",
|
|
21
24
|
"valuation.implied_expectations",
|
|
22
25
|
"risk.permanent_loss"
|
|
23
26
|
],
|
|
24
27
|
"required_fact_types": [
|
|
25
|
-
"
|
|
26
|
-
"
|
|
28
|
+
"macro.credit_spread",
|
|
29
|
+
"index.aggregate_earnings_yield",
|
|
30
|
+
"macro.aaa_corporate_yield"
|
|
27
31
|
]
|
|
28
32
|
},
|
|
29
33
|
"components": {
|
|
@@ -44,8 +48,8 @@
|
|
|
44
48
|
"computation": {
|
|
45
49
|
"dsl_version": "1.1",
|
|
46
50
|
"pipeline": [
|
|
47
|
-
"master_marks.
|
|
48
|
-
"master_marks.
|
|
51
|
+
"master_marks.credit_cycle_position",
|
|
52
|
+
"master_marks.equity_over_corporate_debt"
|
|
49
53
|
]
|
|
50
54
|
},
|
|
51
55
|
"decision": {
|
|
@@ -53,8 +57,9 @@
|
|
|
53
57
|
"common_projection": "common_stance_v1",
|
|
54
58
|
"confidence_calibrator": null,
|
|
55
59
|
"eligibility": [
|
|
56
|
-
"
|
|
57
|
-
"
|
|
60
|
+
"macro.credit_spread",
|
|
61
|
+
"index.aggregate_earnings_yield",
|
|
62
|
+
"macro.aaa_corporate_yield"
|
|
58
63
|
],
|
|
59
64
|
"hard_vetoes": [
|
|
60
65
|
"master_marks.euphoria",
|
|
@@ -77,11 +82,15 @@
|
|
|
77
82
|
"maturity": "operator_lens",
|
|
78
83
|
"operator_label": {
|
|
79
84
|
"en": "Howard Marks Lens Provisional Operator Lens",
|
|
85
|
+
"ja": "Howard Marks Lens 暫定オペレーター・レンズ",
|
|
86
|
+
"ko": "Howard Marks Lens 임시 오퍼레이터 렌즈",
|
|
80
87
|
"zh": "霍华德·马克斯视角临时操作视角"
|
|
81
88
|
},
|
|
82
89
|
"persona_id": "master_marks",
|
|
83
90
|
"public_label": {
|
|
84
91
|
"en": "Howard Marks Lens Solo Test",
|
|
92
|
+
"ja": "Howard Marks Lens 単独テスト",
|
|
93
|
+
"ko": "Howard Marks Lens 단독 테스트",
|
|
85
94
|
"zh": "霍华德·马克斯视角单人测试"
|
|
86
95
|
},
|
|
87
96
|
"source_cutoff": "2026-07-27"
|
|
@@ -92,7 +101,7 @@
|
|
|
92
101
|
"leak_rule": "public_at <= as_of AND memory_created_at <= as_of",
|
|
93
102
|
"postmortem_horizon_days": 90
|
|
94
103
|
},
|
|
95
|
-
"pack_version": "0.9.
|
|
104
|
+
"pack_version": "0.9.4",
|
|
96
105
|
"research": {
|
|
97
106
|
"mandatory_disconfirming_queries": [
|
|
98
107
|
"Block aggressive posture when reviewed credit and behavior evidence indicate euphoria.",
|
|
@@ -109,16 +118,22 @@
|
|
|
109
118
|
"schema_version": 3,
|
|
110
119
|
"selection": {
|
|
111
120
|
"best_for": {
|
|
112
|
-
"en": "
|
|
113
|
-
"
|
|
121
|
+
"en": "Credit cycles, distressed value, market psychology, and risk posture.",
|
|
122
|
+
"ja": "信用サイクル、ディストレスト・バリュー、市場心理、リスク姿勢。",
|
|
123
|
+
"ko": "신용 사이클, 부실 자산 가치, 시장 심리, 위험 태도.",
|
|
124
|
+
"zh": "信用周期、困境价值、市场心理与风险姿态。"
|
|
114
125
|
},
|
|
115
126
|
"identity": {
|
|
116
127
|
"en": "Howard Marks Lens; project-derived and not human reviewed",
|
|
128
|
+
"ja": "Howard Marks Lens。プロジェクト派生で、方法帰属について人による審査を受けていない暫定オペレーター・レンズ。本人の発言や現在の見解ではない。",
|
|
129
|
+
"ko": "Howard Marks Lens. 프로젝트에서 파생되었고 방법 귀속에 대한 인적 심사를 거치지 않은 임시 오퍼레이터 렌즈다. 본인의 발언이나 현재 견해가 아니다.",
|
|
117
130
|
"zh": "霍华德·马克斯视角;项目派生、未经人工审定"
|
|
118
131
|
},
|
|
119
132
|
"method": {
|
|
120
133
|
"en": "Calibrate aggressiveness to cycle temperature, consensus, price-implied expectations, credit conditions and permanent-loss risk rather than point forecasting.",
|
|
121
|
-
"
|
|
134
|
+
"ja": "一点予測ではなく、サイクルの過熱度、市場コンセンサス、価格に織り込まれた期待、信用環境、永久損失リスクに合わせて投資姿勢の積極度を調整する。",
|
|
135
|
+
"ko": "단일 시점 예측 대신 사이클의 과열 정도, 시장 합의, 가격에 내재된 기대, 신용 여건, 영구 손실 위험에 맞춰 투자 자세의 공격성을 조절한다.",
|
|
136
|
+
"zh": "判断周期温度、市场共识、价格隐含预期和永久损失风险。"
|
|
122
137
|
}
|
|
123
138
|
},
|
|
124
139
|
"voice": {
|
|
@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@
|
|
|
16
16
|
],
|
|
17
17
|
"experiment_pass_count": 0,
|
|
18
18
|
"formula_approval_binding_count": 0,
|
|
19
|
-
"formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:
|
|
19
|
+
"formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:fc8afd469d9cafccccc4221622ccde5061167c538ab6472eecaaf65efce5461b",
|
|
20
20
|
"method_model_eligible": false,
|
|
21
21
|
"native_states": [
|
|
22
22
|
"provisional_cycle_unknown",
|
|
@@ -26,8 +26,8 @@
|
|
|
26
26
|
],
|
|
27
27
|
"persona_id": "master_marks",
|
|
28
28
|
"planned_tool_ids": [
|
|
29
|
-
"master_marks.
|
|
30
|
-
"master_marks.
|
|
29
|
+
"master_marks.credit_cycle_position",
|
|
30
|
+
"master_marks.equity_over_corporate_debt"
|
|
31
31
|
],
|
|
32
32
|
"production_eligible": false,
|
|
33
33
|
"review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
|
|
@@ -1 +1 @@
|
|
|
1
|
-
{"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:
|
|
1
|
+
{"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:26c59510de5656ea491bb72f59604cb46bb916c29bae0be15d7845f576213adc","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_marks"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:08cfa8347347faed7","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_marks","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
|
|
@@ -1,12 +1,22 @@
|
|
|
1
1
|
[
|
|
2
2
|
{
|
|
3
3
|
"assurance_class": "provisional_derived_proxy",
|
|
4
|
-
"derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:
|
|
5
|
-
"derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:
|
|
6
|
-
"derivation_spec_id": "master_marks.
|
|
4
|
+
"derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:7fa3102a8ff54e44ea3cf29dd9e34d4ae08d830f050b71b732a76ced5f8daf29",
|
|
5
|
+
"derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:6a651ebcd2f6cd204cef99cab0e2ab363b5bcb1ea9b19447b4d562050856aa3f",
|
|
6
|
+
"derivation_spec_id": "master_marks.credit_cycle_position.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
|
|
7
7
|
"dsl_version": "1.1",
|
|
8
|
-
"id": "master_marks.
|
|
8
|
+
"id": "master_marks.credit_cycle_position",
|
|
9
9
|
"input_contracts": [
|
|
10
|
+
{
|
|
11
|
+
"on_missing": "fail",
|
|
12
|
+
"period": {
|
|
13
|
+
"alignment": "as_of",
|
|
14
|
+
"basis": "instant",
|
|
15
|
+
"window": null
|
|
16
|
+
},
|
|
17
|
+
"unit": "decimal",
|
|
18
|
+
"value_kind": "ratio"
|
|
19
|
+
},
|
|
10
20
|
{
|
|
11
21
|
"on_missing": "fail",
|
|
12
22
|
"period": {
|
|
@@ -18,40 +28,43 @@
|
|
|
18
28
|
"value_kind": "scalar"
|
|
19
29
|
}
|
|
20
30
|
],
|
|
21
|
-
"input_schema_hash": "sha256:
|
|
31
|
+
"input_schema_hash": "sha256:a83a44211f3b8a86162f1061156588545de04a6ca5ec9d8cf3fb81f84725ec60",
|
|
22
32
|
"inputs": [
|
|
23
33
|
{
|
|
24
|
-
"fact_id": "
|
|
34
|
+
"fact_id": "macro.credit_spread"
|
|
35
|
+
},
|
|
36
|
+
{
|
|
37
|
+
"literal": 0.05
|
|
25
38
|
}
|
|
26
39
|
],
|
|
27
40
|
"intended_use": "local_test_only",
|
|
28
|
-
"kind": "
|
|
41
|
+
"kind": "recomputation",
|
|
29
42
|
"on_missing": "fail",
|
|
30
|
-
"operation": "
|
|
31
|
-
"output_id": "
|
|
43
|
+
"operation": "subtract",
|
|
44
|
+
"output_id": "macro.credit_spread_gap.master_marks",
|
|
32
45
|
"output_period": {
|
|
33
46
|
"alignment": "as_of",
|
|
34
47
|
"basis": "instant",
|
|
35
48
|
"window": null
|
|
36
49
|
},
|
|
37
|
-
"output_schema_hash": "sha256:
|
|
50
|
+
"output_schema_hash": "sha256:9ee3b94d5a29436bd49d3ca773e533eec15c60b21899cc71a3be49ba5d931555",
|
|
38
51
|
"production_eligible": false,
|
|
39
52
|
"review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
|
|
40
53
|
"schema_version": 1,
|
|
41
54
|
"source_ids": [
|
|
42
55
|
"proxy:08cfa8347347faed7"
|
|
43
56
|
],
|
|
44
|
-
"unit": "
|
|
45
|
-
"value_kind": "
|
|
46
|
-
"version": "0.
|
|
57
|
+
"unit": "decimal",
|
|
58
|
+
"value_kind": "ratio",
|
|
59
|
+
"version": "0.2.0"
|
|
47
60
|
},
|
|
48
61
|
{
|
|
49
62
|
"assurance_class": "provisional_derived_proxy",
|
|
50
|
-
"derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:
|
|
51
|
-
"derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:
|
|
52
|
-
"derivation_spec_id": "master_marks.
|
|
63
|
+
"derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:284ce394de5332330d2c8e70b7e600b08496e027208c47ba7fcd3093442be7da",
|
|
64
|
+
"derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:d2b8904110e22abd95fd6221802e62b82b411d310acc5e167cbb17d8ac9ddb7b",
|
|
65
|
+
"derivation_spec_id": "master_marks.equity_over_corporate_debt.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
|
|
53
66
|
"dsl_version": "1.1",
|
|
54
|
-
"id": "master_marks.
|
|
67
|
+
"id": "master_marks.equity_over_corporate_debt",
|
|
55
68
|
"input_contracts": [
|
|
56
69
|
{
|
|
57
70
|
"on_missing": "fail",
|
|
@@ -60,35 +73,48 @@
|
|
|
60
73
|
"basis": "instant",
|
|
61
74
|
"window": null
|
|
62
75
|
},
|
|
63
|
-
"unit": "
|
|
64
|
-
"value_kind": "
|
|
76
|
+
"unit": "decimal",
|
|
77
|
+
"value_kind": "ratio"
|
|
78
|
+
},
|
|
79
|
+
{
|
|
80
|
+
"on_missing": "fail",
|
|
81
|
+
"period": {
|
|
82
|
+
"alignment": "as_of",
|
|
83
|
+
"basis": "instant",
|
|
84
|
+
"window": null
|
|
85
|
+
},
|
|
86
|
+
"unit": "decimal",
|
|
87
|
+
"value_kind": "ratio"
|
|
65
88
|
}
|
|
66
89
|
],
|
|
67
|
-
"input_schema_hash": "sha256:
|
|
90
|
+
"input_schema_hash": "sha256:a6ef5f524282508a56f6dced355eac7e4d9267a236346d555f005383b544e519",
|
|
68
91
|
"inputs": [
|
|
69
92
|
{
|
|
70
|
-
"fact_id": "
|
|
93
|
+
"fact_id": "index.aggregate_earnings_yield"
|
|
94
|
+
},
|
|
95
|
+
{
|
|
96
|
+
"fact_id": "macro.aaa_corporate_yield"
|
|
71
97
|
}
|
|
72
98
|
],
|
|
73
99
|
"intended_use": "local_test_only",
|
|
74
|
-
"kind": "
|
|
100
|
+
"kind": "recomputation",
|
|
75
101
|
"on_missing": "fail",
|
|
76
|
-
"operation": "
|
|
77
|
-
"output_id": "
|
|
102
|
+
"operation": "subtract",
|
|
103
|
+
"output_id": "index.equity_over_corporate_debt_premium.master_marks",
|
|
78
104
|
"output_period": {
|
|
79
105
|
"alignment": "as_of",
|
|
80
106
|
"basis": "instant",
|
|
81
107
|
"window": null
|
|
82
108
|
},
|
|
83
|
-
"output_schema_hash": "sha256:
|
|
109
|
+
"output_schema_hash": "sha256:825e5c775afeddaf6dbb225429d5e587ba84558050f98e1d6f1328e076588467",
|
|
84
110
|
"production_eligible": false,
|
|
85
111
|
"review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
|
|
86
112
|
"schema_version": 1,
|
|
87
113
|
"source_ids": [
|
|
88
114
|
"proxy:08cfa8347347faed7"
|
|
89
115
|
],
|
|
90
|
-
"unit": "
|
|
91
|
-
"value_kind": "
|
|
92
|
-
"version": "0.
|
|
116
|
+
"unit": "decimal",
|
|
117
|
+
"value_kind": "ratio",
|
|
118
|
+
"version": "0.2.0"
|
|
93
119
|
}
|
|
94
120
|
]
|
|
@@ -2,7 +2,48 @@
|
|
|
2
2
|
"abstention_policy": "fail_closed",
|
|
3
3
|
"dsl_version": "1.1",
|
|
4
4
|
"eligibility": {
|
|
5
|
-
"all": [
|
|
5
|
+
"all": [
|
|
6
|
+
{
|
|
7
|
+
"condition": {
|
|
8
|
+
"op": "exists",
|
|
9
|
+
"value": {
|
|
10
|
+
"fact_id": "financial.incremental_return_on_capital"
|
|
11
|
+
}
|
|
12
|
+
},
|
|
13
|
+
"condition_id": "master_munger.economics_can_be_stated",
|
|
14
|
+
"on_false": {
|
|
15
|
+
"common_stance": "out_of_scope",
|
|
16
|
+
"native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
|
|
17
|
+
},
|
|
18
|
+
"on_uncomputable": {
|
|
19
|
+
"common_stance": "out_of_scope",
|
|
20
|
+
"native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
|
|
21
|
+
},
|
|
22
|
+
"source_ids": [
|
|
23
|
+
"proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"
|
|
24
|
+
]
|
|
25
|
+
},
|
|
26
|
+
{
|
|
27
|
+
"condition": {
|
|
28
|
+
"op": "exists",
|
|
29
|
+
"value": {
|
|
30
|
+
"fact_id": "financial.leverage"
|
|
31
|
+
}
|
|
32
|
+
},
|
|
33
|
+
"condition_id": "master_munger.capital_structure_readable",
|
|
34
|
+
"on_false": {
|
|
35
|
+
"common_stance": "out_of_scope",
|
|
36
|
+
"native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
|
|
37
|
+
},
|
|
38
|
+
"on_uncomputable": {
|
|
39
|
+
"common_stance": "out_of_scope",
|
|
40
|
+
"native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
|
|
41
|
+
},
|
|
42
|
+
"source_ids": [
|
|
43
|
+
"proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"
|
|
44
|
+
]
|
|
45
|
+
}
|
|
46
|
+
]
|
|
6
47
|
},
|
|
7
48
|
"fact_gate": {
|
|
8
49
|
"on_missing_critical": {
|
|
@@ -10,21 +51,88 @@
|
|
|
10
51
|
"native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
|
|
11
52
|
}
|
|
12
53
|
},
|
|
13
|
-
"hard_vetoes": [
|
|
54
|
+
"hard_vetoes": [
|
|
55
|
+
{
|
|
56
|
+
"condition": {
|
|
57
|
+
"conditions": [
|
|
58
|
+
{
|
|
59
|
+
"left": {
|
|
60
|
+
"fact_id": "financial.leverage"
|
|
61
|
+
},
|
|
62
|
+
"op": "gt",
|
|
63
|
+
"right": {
|
|
64
|
+
"literal": 1
|
|
65
|
+
}
|
|
66
|
+
},
|
|
67
|
+
{
|
|
68
|
+
"left": {
|
|
69
|
+
"output_id": "risk.debt_service_cushion.master_munger"
|
|
70
|
+
},
|
|
71
|
+
"op": "lt",
|
|
72
|
+
"right": {
|
|
73
|
+
"literal": 2
|
|
74
|
+
}
|
|
75
|
+
}
|
|
76
|
+
],
|
|
77
|
+
"op": "all"
|
|
78
|
+
},
|
|
79
|
+
"on_trigger": {
|
|
80
|
+
"common_stance": "opposed",
|
|
81
|
+
"native_state": "provisional_fatal_path"
|
|
82
|
+
},
|
|
83
|
+
"on_uncomputable": {
|
|
84
|
+
"action": "abstain",
|
|
85
|
+
"decision": {
|
|
86
|
+
"common_stance": "out_of_scope",
|
|
87
|
+
"native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
|
|
88
|
+
}
|
|
89
|
+
},
|
|
90
|
+
"source_ids": [
|
|
91
|
+
"proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"
|
|
92
|
+
],
|
|
93
|
+
"veto_id": "master_munger.coupled_debt_failure"
|
|
94
|
+
},
|
|
95
|
+
{
|
|
96
|
+
"condition": {
|
|
97
|
+
"left": {
|
|
98
|
+
"output_id": "accounting.reported_earnings_cash_gap.master_munger"
|
|
99
|
+
},
|
|
100
|
+
"op": "lt",
|
|
101
|
+
"right": {
|
|
102
|
+
"literal": -0.5
|
|
103
|
+
}
|
|
104
|
+
},
|
|
105
|
+
"on_trigger": {
|
|
106
|
+
"common_stance": "opposed",
|
|
107
|
+
"native_state": "provisional_fatal_path"
|
|
108
|
+
},
|
|
109
|
+
"on_uncomputable": {
|
|
110
|
+
"action": "abstain",
|
|
111
|
+
"decision": {
|
|
112
|
+
"common_stance": "out_of_scope",
|
|
113
|
+
"native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
|
|
114
|
+
}
|
|
115
|
+
},
|
|
116
|
+
"source_ids": [
|
|
117
|
+
"proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"
|
|
118
|
+
],
|
|
119
|
+
"veto_id": "master_munger.reported_earnings_are_not_cash"
|
|
120
|
+
}
|
|
121
|
+
],
|
|
14
122
|
"native_decision_schema": "failure_path_verdict_v1",
|
|
15
123
|
"native_output_fields": [
|
|
16
124
|
{
|
|
17
125
|
"field": "metric_1",
|
|
18
126
|
"on_missing": "fail",
|
|
19
127
|
"value": {
|
|
20
|
-
"output_id": "
|
|
128
|
+
"output_id": "accounting.reported_earnings_cash_gap.master_munger"
|
|
21
129
|
}
|
|
22
130
|
},
|
|
23
131
|
{
|
|
24
132
|
"field": "metric_2",
|
|
25
133
|
"on_missing": "fail",
|
|
26
134
|
"value": {
|
|
27
|
-
"output_id": "risk.
|
|
135
|
+
"output_id": "risk.debt_service_cushion.master_munger"
|
|
28
136
|
}
|
|
29
137
|
}
|
|
30
138
|
],
|
|
@@ -45,21 +153,21 @@
|
|
|
45
153
|
},
|
|
46
154
|
{
|
|
47
155
|
"decision": {
|
|
48
|
-
"common_stance": "
|
|
49
|
-
"native_state": "
|
|
156
|
+
"common_stance": "cautious",
|
|
157
|
+
"native_state": "provisional_monitor"
|
|
50
158
|
},
|
|
51
159
|
"min_ratio": 0.5
|
|
52
160
|
},
|
|
53
161
|
{
|
|
54
162
|
"decision": {
|
|
55
|
-
"common_stance": "
|
|
56
|
-
"native_state": "
|
|
163
|
+
"common_stance": "constructive",
|
|
164
|
+
"native_state": "provisional_no_fatal_path_found"
|
|
57
165
|
},
|
|
58
166
|
"min_ratio": 1
|
|
59
167
|
}
|
|
60
168
|
],
|
|
61
169
|
"scoring": {
|
|
62
|
-
"max_score":
|
|
170
|
+
"max_score": 3,
|
|
63
171
|
"min_coverage": 1,
|
|
64
172
|
"on_insufficient_coverage": {
|
|
65
173
|
"common_stance": "out_of_scope",
|
|
@@ -69,16 +177,16 @@
|
|
|
69
177
|
{
|
|
70
178
|
"condition": {
|
|
71
179
|
"left": {
|
|
72
|
-
"output_id": "
|
|
180
|
+
"output_id": "accounting.reported_earnings_cash_gap.master_munger"
|
|
73
181
|
},
|
|
74
|
-
"op": "
|
|
182
|
+
"op": "gte",
|
|
75
183
|
"right": {
|
|
76
184
|
"literal": 0
|
|
77
185
|
}
|
|
78
186
|
},
|
|
79
187
|
"coverage_weight": 1,
|
|
80
188
|
"points": 1,
|
|
81
|
-
"rule_id": "
|
|
189
|
+
"rule_id": "munger_earnings_arrive_as_cash",
|
|
82
190
|
"source_ids": [
|
|
83
191
|
"proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"
|
|
84
192
|
]
|
|
@@ -86,16 +194,33 @@
|
|
|
86
194
|
{
|
|
87
195
|
"condition": {
|
|
88
196
|
"left": {
|
|
89
|
-
"output_id": "risk.
|
|
197
|
+
"output_id": "risk.debt_service_cushion.master_munger"
|
|
90
198
|
},
|
|
91
|
-
"op": "
|
|
199
|
+
"op": "gte",
|
|
92
200
|
"right": {
|
|
93
|
-
"literal":
|
|
201
|
+
"literal": 4
|
|
202
|
+
}
|
|
203
|
+
},
|
|
204
|
+
"coverage_weight": 1,
|
|
205
|
+
"points": 1,
|
|
206
|
+
"rule_id": "munger_debt_service_has_a_cushion",
|
|
207
|
+
"source_ids": [
|
|
208
|
+
"proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"
|
|
209
|
+
]
|
|
210
|
+
},
|
|
211
|
+
{
|
|
212
|
+
"condition": {
|
|
213
|
+
"left": {
|
|
214
|
+
"fact_id": "financial.leverage"
|
|
215
|
+
},
|
|
216
|
+
"op": "lte",
|
|
217
|
+
"right": {
|
|
218
|
+
"literal": 1
|
|
94
219
|
}
|
|
95
220
|
},
|
|
96
221
|
"coverage_weight": 1,
|
|
97
222
|
"points": 1,
|
|
98
|
-
"rule_id": "
|
|
223
|
+
"rule_id": "munger_no_leverage_dependency",
|
|
99
224
|
"source_ids": [
|
|
100
225
|
"proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"
|
|
101
226
|
]
|
|
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
|
|
|
1
1
|
{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Invert the thesis, map permanent-loss paths, audit incentives and test coupled risks using cross-disciplinary causal models.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_1","source_ids":["proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"]}
|
|
2
|
-
{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"
|
|
3
|
-
{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"
|
|
2
|
+
{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"The accounting failure path, measured as a distance rather than a level. Operating cash flow equal to reported net income is a gap of zero; everything below that is the part of the earnings that exists only on the income statement.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_2","source_ids":["proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"]}
|
|
3
|
+
{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"The debt failure path, measured the same way. One times coverage is not a safety threshold, it is the point of failure itself -- the interest bill consuming the operating earnings whole -- so the useful number is the distance from it.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_3","source_ids":["proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"]}
|
|
4
4
|
{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject when incentives reward a documented path to permanent business damage.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_4","source_ids":["proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"]}
|
|
5
5
|
{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject when several required assumptions fail through one shared cause.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_5","source_ids":["proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"]}
|
|
6
6
|
{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject when a plausible failure path creates unbounded permanent loss.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_6","source_ids":["proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129"]}
|
|
@@ -16,14 +16,18 @@
|
|
|
16
16
|
],
|
|
17
17
|
"native_decision_schema": "failure_path_verdict_v1",
|
|
18
18
|
"optional_fact_types": [
|
|
19
|
+
"financial.incremental_return_on_capital",
|
|
20
|
+
"financial.leverage",
|
|
21
|
+
"governance.incentive_structure",
|
|
22
|
+
"risk.failure_paths",
|
|
19
23
|
"risk.permanent_loss",
|
|
20
24
|
"business.complexity",
|
|
21
25
|
"capital_allocation.history",
|
|
22
26
|
"decision.coupled_assumptions"
|
|
23
27
|
],
|
|
24
28
|
"required_fact_types": [
|
|
25
|
-
"
|
|
26
|
-
"
|
|
29
|
+
"accounting.cash_conversion",
|
|
30
|
+
"financial.interest_coverage"
|
|
27
31
|
]
|
|
28
32
|
},
|
|
29
33
|
"components": {
|
|
@@ -44,8 +48,8 @@
|
|
|
44
48
|
"computation": {
|
|
45
49
|
"dsl_version": "1.1",
|
|
46
50
|
"pipeline": [
|
|
47
|
-
"master_munger.
|
|
48
|
-
"master_munger.
|
|
51
|
+
"master_munger.reported_earnings_cash_gap",
|
|
52
|
+
"master_munger.debt_service_cushion"
|
|
49
53
|
]
|
|
50
54
|
},
|
|
51
55
|
"decision": {
|
|
@@ -53,8 +57,8 @@
|
|
|
53
57
|
"common_projection": "common_stance_v1",
|
|
54
58
|
"confidence_calibrator": null,
|
|
55
59
|
"eligibility": [
|
|
56
|
-
"
|
|
57
|
-
"
|
|
60
|
+
"accounting.cash_conversion",
|
|
61
|
+
"financial.interest_coverage"
|
|
58
62
|
],
|
|
59
63
|
"hard_vetoes": [
|
|
60
64
|
"master_munger.fatal_incentive",
|
|
@@ -77,11 +81,15 @@
|
|
|
77
81
|
"maturity": "operator_lens",
|
|
78
82
|
"operator_label": {
|
|
79
83
|
"en": "Munger Lens Provisional Operator Lens",
|
|
84
|
+
"ja": "Munger Lens 暫定オペレーター・レンズ",
|
|
85
|
+
"ko": "Munger Lens 임시 오퍼레이터 렌즈",
|
|
80
86
|
"zh": "芒格视角临时操作视角"
|
|
81
87
|
},
|
|
82
88
|
"persona_id": "master_munger",
|
|
83
89
|
"public_label": {
|
|
84
90
|
"en": "Munger Lens Solo Test",
|
|
91
|
+
"ja": "Munger Lens 単独テスト",
|
|
92
|
+
"ko": "Munger Lens 단독 테스트",
|
|
85
93
|
"zh": "芒格视角单人测试"
|
|
86
94
|
},
|
|
87
95
|
"source_cutoff": "2026-07-27"
|
|
@@ -92,7 +100,7 @@
|
|
|
92
100
|
"leak_rule": "public_at <= as_of AND memory_created_at <= as_of",
|
|
93
101
|
"postmortem_horizon_days": 90
|
|
94
102
|
},
|
|
95
|
-
"pack_version": "0.9.
|
|
103
|
+
"pack_version": "0.9.4",
|
|
96
104
|
"research": {
|
|
97
105
|
"mandatory_disconfirming_queries": [
|
|
98
106
|
"Reject when incentives reward a documented path to permanent business damage.",
|
|
@@ -109,16 +117,22 @@
|
|
|
109
117
|
"schema_version": 3,
|
|
110
118
|
"selection": {
|
|
111
119
|
"best_for": {
|
|
112
|
-
"en": "
|
|
113
|
-
"
|
|
120
|
+
"en": "Business quality, incentives, failure analysis, and capital allocation.",
|
|
121
|
+
"ja": "事業の質、インセンティブ、失敗分析、資本配分。",
|
|
122
|
+
"ko": "사업의 질, 유인 구조, 실패 분석, 자본 배분.",
|
|
123
|
+
"zh": "商业质量、激励机制、失败分析与资本配置。"
|
|
114
124
|
},
|
|
115
125
|
"identity": {
|
|
116
126
|
"en": "Munger Lens; project-derived and not human reviewed",
|
|
127
|
+
"ja": "Munger Lens。プロジェクト派生で、方法帰属について人による審査を受けていない暫定オペレーター・レンズ。本人の発言や現在の見解ではない。",
|
|
128
|
+
"ko": "Munger Lens. 프로젝트에서 파생되었고 방법 귀속에 대한 인적 심사를 거치지 않은 임시 오퍼레이터 렌즈다. 본인의 발언이나 현재 견해가 아니다.",
|
|
117
129
|
"zh": "芒格视角;项目派生、未经人工审定"
|
|
118
130
|
},
|
|
119
131
|
"method": {
|
|
120
132
|
"en": "Invert the thesis, map permanent-loss paths, audit incentives and test coupled risks using cross-disciplinary causal models.",
|
|
121
|
-
"
|
|
133
|
+
"ja": "投資仮説を逆から検討し、永久損失に至る経路を洗い出し、インセンティブを監査し、分野横断的な因果モデルで複合リスクを検証する。",
|
|
134
|
+
"ko": "투자 가설을 거꾸로 검토하고 영구 손실 경로를 도식화하며, 유인을 점검하고 여러 학문 분야의 인과 모델로 결합 위험을 검증한다.",
|
|
135
|
+
"zh": "从激励、复杂性和永久损失路径出发,优先寻找必须放弃的原因。"
|
|
122
136
|
}
|
|
123
137
|
},
|
|
124
138
|
"voice": {
|
|
@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@
|
|
|
16
16
|
],
|
|
17
17
|
"experiment_pass_count": 0,
|
|
18
18
|
"formula_approval_binding_count": 0,
|
|
19
|
-
"formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:
|
|
19
|
+
"formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:fc8afd469d9cafccccc4221622ccde5061167c538ab6472eecaaf65efce5461b",
|
|
20
20
|
"method_model_eligible": false,
|
|
21
21
|
"native_states": [
|
|
22
22
|
"provisional_out_of_scope",
|
|
@@ -26,8 +26,8 @@
|
|
|
26
26
|
],
|
|
27
27
|
"persona_id": "master_munger",
|
|
28
28
|
"planned_tool_ids": [
|
|
29
|
-
"master_munger.
|
|
30
|
-
"master_munger.
|
|
29
|
+
"master_munger.reported_earnings_cash_gap",
|
|
30
|
+
"master_munger.debt_service_cushion"
|
|
31
31
|
],
|
|
32
32
|
"production_eligible": false,
|
|
33
33
|
"review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
|
|
@@ -1 +1 @@
|
|
|
1
|
-
{"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:
|
|
1
|
+
{"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:bcb3837fef3f4b8009c4b4c84e05c3e167696d6535e0ff068f940d6b90cdc965","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_munger"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:d4d52af8b246f7129","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_munger","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
|