alphacouncil-agent 0.9.2 → 1.0.0

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (493) hide show
  1. package/.claude/commands/alpha.md +22 -3
  2. package/.claude-plugin/marketplace.json +3 -3
  3. package/.claude-plugin/plugin.json +2 -2
  4. package/.codex-plugin/plugin.json +4 -4
  5. package/.grok/commands/alpha.md +22 -3
  6. package/.opencode/command/alpha.md +22 -3
  7. package/AGENTS.md +42 -4
  8. package/CHANGELOG.md +164 -0
  9. package/CLAUDE.md +59 -7
  10. package/README.ja.md +25 -11
  11. package/README.md +44 -12
  12. package/README.zh-CN.md +37 -12
  13. package/commands/alpha.md +22 -3
  14. package/data/authored/core-seats.mjs +808 -0
  15. package/data/authored/growth-seats.mjs +581 -0
  16. package/data/authored/index.mjs +114 -0
  17. package/data/authored/quant-seats.mjs +564 -0
  18. package/data/authored/value-seats.mjs +663 -0
  19. package/data/build-profile.v1.json +2 -1
  20. package/data/council-evaluation-protocol.v1.json +7 -4
  21. package/data/master-selector-method-locales.v1.mjs +296 -0
  22. package/data/persona-v3-ai-assisted-solo-profile.v1.json +2 -2
  23. package/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs +60 -3
  24. package/docs/INSTALL.md +43 -6
  25. package/docs/personas.md +2 -1
  26. package/docs/plans/v1.0-roadmap.md +487 -0
  27. package/docs/releases/v0.9.3.md +86 -0
  28. package/docs/releases/v0.9.4.md +79 -0
  29. package/docs/releases/v0.9.5.md +96 -0
  30. package/docs/releases/v1.0.0.md +164 -0
  31. package/docs/report-contract.md +75 -2
  32. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/a.json +13 -13
  33. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/b.json +2 -2
  34. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/c.json +2 -2
  35. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/d13.json +126 -126
  36. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/d26.json +274 -254
  37. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/e-d13.json +129 -129
  38. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/e-d26.json +277 -257
  39. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/h_ai_reference.json +278 -258
  40. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/simulation-input.json +7278 -556
  41. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/simulation-manifest.json +22 -22
  42. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_ackman/reviews/{change_value_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  43. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_ackman/reviews/{power_map.ai-review.json → owner_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  44. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_aschenbrenner/reviews/{compute_power_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  45. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_aschenbrenner/reviews/{timeline_reverse_valuation.ai-review.json → price_implied_cash_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  46. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_asness/reviews/{crowding_cost_stress.ai-review.json → nominal_earnings_yield_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  47. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_asness/reviews/{factor_decomposer.ai-review.json → real_earnings_yield_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  48. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_bogle/reviews/expected_return_over_long_bond.ai-review.json +277 -0
  49. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_bogle/reviews/fundamental_expected_return.ai-review.json +277 -0
  50. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_buffett/reviews/{incremental_returns.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  51. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_buffett/reviews/{owner_earnings_rebuilder.ai-review.json → owner_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  52. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_burry/reviews/{mispricing_carry.ai-review.json → net_current_asset_surplus_per_share.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  53. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_burry/reviews/{capital_structure_reader.ai-review.json → net_current_asset_value_per_share.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  54. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_cathie_wood/reviews/{cost_adoption_curve.ai-review.json → current_cash_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  55. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_cathie_wood/reviews/{capture_valuation_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  56. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_dalio/reviews/{debt_driver_stress.ai-review.json → policy_real_rate.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  57. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_dalio/reviews/{regime_classifier.ai-review.json → real_curve_slope.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  58. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_damodaran/reviews/{reverse_valuation.ai-review.json → implied_equity_risk_premium.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  59. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_damodaran/reviews/{story_dcf.ai-review.json → premium_versus_long_run_average.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  60. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_druckenmiller/reviews/{liquidity_revision_map.ai-review.json → liquidity_curve_impulse.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  61. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_druckenmiller/reviews/{inflection_payoff.ai-review.json → policy_real_rate.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  62. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_duan_yongping/reviews/{opportunity_cost.ai-review.json → five_year_opportunity_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  63. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_duan_yongping/reviews/{user_value_evidence.ai-review.json → margin_retention.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  64. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_fisher/reviews/{research_productivity.ai-review.json → margin_retention.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  65. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_fisher/reviews/{scuttlebutt_graph.ai-review.json → reinvestment_spread.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  66. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_forensic_short/reviews/{borrow_catalyst.ai-review.json → cash_conversion_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  67. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_forensic_short/reviews/{accounting_rebuilder.ai-review.json → cash_cover_of_leverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  68. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_graham/reviews/{asset_floor.ai-review.json → defensive_hurdle_base.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  69. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_graham/reviews/{normalized_earnings.ai-review.json → half_normalised_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  70. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_jhunjhunwala/reviews/{penetration_liquidity.ai-review.json → cash_quality_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  71. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_jhunjhunwala/reviews/{promoter_governance.ai-review.json → real_structural_growth.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  72. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_klarman/reviews/{recovery_waterfall.ai-review.json → downside_asset_coverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  73. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_klarman/reviews/{cash_catalyst_compare.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  74. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_li_lu/reviews/{promise_integrity_ledger.ai-review.json → cash_backed_decade_return.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  75. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_li_lu/reviews/{ten_year_return_bridge.ai-review.json → decade_return_over_long_bond.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  76. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_lynch/reviews/{story_numbers_check.ai-review.json → growth_justified_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  77. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_lynch/reviews/{category_classifier.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  78. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_marks/reviews/{cycle_temperature.ai-review.json → credit_cycle_position.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  79. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_marks/reviews/{implied_expectations.ai-review.json → equity_over_corporate_debt.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  80. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_munger/reviews/{failure_path_graph.ai-review.json → debt_service_cushion.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  81. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_munger/reviews/{incentive_map.ai-review.json → reported_earnings_cash_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  82. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_natenberg/reviews/{surface_builder.ai-review.json → normalised_skew.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  83. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_natenberg/reviews/{greeks_payoff.ai-review.json → round_trip_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  84. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_pabrai/reviews/{downside_floor.ai-review.json → downside_floor_coverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  85. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_pabrai/reviews/{discrete_payoff.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  86. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_simons/reviews/{oos_cost_test.ai-review.json → absolute_session_move.ai-review.json} +42 -42
  87. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_simons/reviews/{leakage_audit.ai-review.json → session_move_over_implied.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  88. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_sinclair/reviews/{realized_vol_forecast.ai-review.json → round_trip_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  89. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_sinclair/reviews/{net_edge_sizer.ai-review.json → volatility_per_unit_of_width.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  90. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_soros/reviews/{reversal_monitor.ai-review.json → credit_cycle_position.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  91. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_soros/reviews/{reflexivity_graph.ai-review.json → financing_burden.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  92. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_taleb/reviews/{tail_friction.ai-review.json → debt_service_cushion.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  93. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_taleb/reviews/{payoff_ruin.ai-review.json → normalised_skew.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  94. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_thorp/reviews/{edge_recalculator.ai-review.json → edge_per_unit_of_volatility.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  95. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_thorp/reviews/{fractional_kelly.ai-review.json → net_edge.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  96. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/review-manifest.json +288 -270
  97. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-adjudications/index.json +2 -2
  98. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-extractions/index.json +2 -2
  99. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-skeptic-reviews/index.json +2 -2
  100. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-source-prereviews/index.json +6 -2
  101. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/decision_policy.json +122 -11
  102. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  103. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/manifest.json +27 -10
  104. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  105. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  106. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/tools.json +56 -30
  107. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/decision_policy.json +101 -10
  108. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  109. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/manifest.json +26 -8
  110. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  111. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  112. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/tools.json +56 -30
  113. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/decision_policy.json +89 -10
  114. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  115. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/manifest.json +25 -8
  116. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  117. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  118. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/tools.json +56 -30
  119. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/counterfactuals.jsonl +0 -0
  120. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/decision_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  121. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/decision_policy.json +170 -0
  122. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/doctrine.jsonl +14 -0
  123. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/calibration_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  124. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/experiments.json +5 -0
  125. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/golden_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  126. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/pairwise_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  127. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/failures.jsonl +0 -0
  128. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/manifest.json +141 -0
  129. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/memory_policy.json +5 -0
  130. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/provisional-index.json +41 -0
  131. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/research_policy.json +11 -0
  132. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/sources.jsonl +1 -0
  133. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/tools.json +120 -0
  134. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/voice.en.md +7 -0
  135. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/voice.zh.md +7 -0
  136. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/decision_policy.json +102 -11
  137. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  138. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/manifest.json +24 -8
  139. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  140. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  141. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/tools.json +55 -29
  142. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/decision_policy.json +102 -12
  143. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  144. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/manifest.json +26 -10
  145. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  146. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  147. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/tools.json +56 -30
  148. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/decision_policy.json +74 -12
  149. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  150. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/manifest.json +26 -10
  151. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  152. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  153. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/tools.json +56 -30
  154. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/decision_policy.json +123 -16
  155. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  156. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/manifest.json +24 -8
  157. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  158. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  159. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/tools.json +56 -30
  160. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/decision_policy.json +58 -10
  161. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  162. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/manifest.json +23 -8
  163. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  164. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  165. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/tools.json +54 -28
  166. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/decision_policy.json +89 -10
  167. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  168. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/manifest.json +25 -8
  169. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  170. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  171. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/tools.json +55 -29
  172. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/decision_policy.json +138 -13
  173. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  174. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/manifest.json +31 -11
  175. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  176. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  177. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/tools.json +82 -30
  178. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/decision_policy.json +102 -11
  179. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  180. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/manifest.json +27 -10
  181. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  182. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  183. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/tools.json +58 -32
  184. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/decision_policy.json +93 -14
  185. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  186. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/manifest.json +20 -8
  187. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  188. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  189. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/tools.json +53 -27
  190. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/decision_policy.json +103 -12
  191. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  192. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/manifest.json +26 -8
  193. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  194. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  195. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/tools.json +67 -28
  196. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/decision_policy.json +77 -12
  197. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
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131
  "proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"
84
132
  ]
@@ -86,16 +134,16 @@
86
134
  {
87
135
  "condition": {
88
136
  "left": {
89
- "output_id": "valuation.implied_story"
137
+ "fact_id": "index.aggregate_earnings_yield"
90
138
  },
91
139
  "op": "gt",
92
140
  "right": {
93
- "literal": 0
141
+ "fact_id": "macro.aaa_corporate_yield"
94
142
  }
95
143
  },
96
144
  "coverage_weight": 1,
97
145
  "points": 1,
98
- "rule_id": "proxy_score_2",
146
+ "rule_id": "damodaran_equity_out_yields_corporate_debt",
99
147
  "source_ids": [
100
148
  "proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"
101
149
  ]
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
1
1
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Translate a testable business story into growth, margins, reinvestment, risk and cash flow, then expose the value distribution and price-implied story.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_1","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
2
- {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Compute a versioned valuation distribution from explicit operating assumptions.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_2","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
3
- {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Solve for the growth, margin and reinvestment story embedded in price.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_3","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
2
+ {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"What the market is currently paying for equity risk over the risk-free rate. the named source's argument is that this number, not a historical average, is what a valuation should discount at.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_2","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
3
+ {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"The current implied premium against its own long-run average of about 4.2%, which is how he judges whether the market as a whole is cheap or rich.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_3","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
4
4
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Decline when a load-bearing narrative claim has no mapped valuation variable.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_4","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
5
5
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject a growth scenario whose required reinvestment is omitted or internally inconsistent.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_5","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
6
6
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject a terminal state incompatible with mature growth, margin and risk assumptions.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_6","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
@@ -16,6 +16,9 @@
16
16
  ],
17
17
  "native_decision_schema": "valuation_distribution_v1",
18
18
  "optional_fact_types": [
19
+ "index.aggregate_pe_forward",
20
+ "macro.aaa_corporate_yield",
21
+ "valuation.revenue_growth",
19
22
  "valuation.target_margin",
20
23
  "valuation.reinvestment_rate",
21
24
  "valuation.cost_of_capital",
@@ -24,7 +27,8 @@
24
27
  "valuation.implied_story"
25
28
  ],
26
29
  "required_fact_types": [
27
- "valuation.revenue_growth"
30
+ "index.aggregate_earnings_yield",
31
+ "macro.long_bond_yield"
28
32
  ]
29
33
  },
30
34
  "components": {
@@ -45,8 +49,8 @@
45
49
  "computation": {
46
50
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
47
51
  "pipeline": [
48
- "master_damodaran.story_dcf",
49
- "master_damodaran.reverse_valuation"
52
+ "master_damodaran.implied_equity_risk_premium",
53
+ "master_damodaran.premium_versus_long_run_average"
50
54
  ]
51
55
  },
52
56
  "decision": {
@@ -54,7 +58,8 @@
54
58
  "common_projection": "common_stance_v1",
55
59
  "confidence_calibrator": null,
56
60
  "eligibility": [
57
- "valuation.revenue_growth"
61
+ "index.aggregate_earnings_yield",
62
+ "macro.long_bond_yield"
58
63
  ],
59
64
  "hard_vetoes": [
60
65
  "master_damodaran.story_number_gap",
@@ -77,11 +82,15 @@
77
82
  "maturity": "operator_lens",
78
83
  "operator_label": {
79
84
  "en": "Damodaran Valuation Lens Provisional Operator Lens",
85
+ "ja": "Damodaran Valuation Lens 暫定オペレーター・レンズ",
86
+ "ko": "Damodaran Valuation Lens 임시 오퍼레이터 렌즈",
80
87
  "zh": "达莫达兰估值视角临时操作视角"
81
88
  },
82
89
  "persona_id": "master_damodaran",
83
90
  "public_label": {
84
91
  "en": "Damodaran Valuation Lens Solo Test",
92
+ "ja": "Damodaran Valuation Lens 単独テスト",
93
+ "ko": "Damodaran Valuation Lens 단독 테스트",
85
94
  "zh": "达莫达兰估值视角单人测试"
86
95
  },
87
96
  "source_cutoff": "2026-07-27"
@@ -92,7 +101,7 @@
92
101
  "leak_rule": "public_at <= as_of AND memory_created_at <= as_of",
93
102
  "postmortem_horizon_days": 90
94
103
  },
95
- "pack_version": "0.9.2",
104
+ "pack_version": "0.9.4",
96
105
  "research": {
97
106
  "mandatory_disconfirming_queries": [
98
107
  "Decline when a load-bearing narrative claim has no mapped valuation variable.",
@@ -109,16 +118,22 @@
109
118
  "schema_version": 3,
110
119
  "selection": {
111
120
  "best_for": {
112
- "en": "Testing deterministic behavior in intrinsic_valuation, story_to_numbers, young_companies, reverse_valuation",
113
- "zh": "用于测试确定性行为:intrinsic_valuation、story_to_numbers、young_companies、reverse_valuation"
121
+ "en": "Intrinsic valuation, converting stories into numbers, young companies, and reverse valuation.",
122
+ "ja": "内在価値評価、ストーリーの数値化、若い企業、リバース・バリュエーション。",
123
+ "ko": "내재가치 평가, 이야기의 수치화, 초기 기업, 역산 가치평가.",
124
+ "zh": "内在估值、故事量化、年轻企业与反向估值。"
114
125
  },
115
126
  "identity": {
116
127
  "en": "Damodaran Valuation Lens; project-derived and not human reviewed",
128
+ "ja": "Damodaran Valuation Lens。プロジェクト派生で、方法帰属について人による審査を受けていない暫定オペレーター・レンズ。本人の発言や現在の見解ではない。",
129
+ "ko": "Damodaran Valuation Lens. 프로젝트에서 파생되었고 방법 귀속에 대한 인적 심사를 거치지 않은 임시 오퍼레이터 렌즈다. 본인의 발언이나 현재 견해가 아니다.",
117
130
  "zh": "达莫达兰估值视角;项目派生、未经人工审定"
118
131
  },
119
132
  "method": {
120
133
  "en": "Translate a testable business story into growth, margins, reinvestment, risk and cash flow, then expose the value distribution and price-implied story.",
121
- "zh": "Translate a testable business story into growth, margins, reinvestment, risk and cash flow, then expose the value distribution and price-implied story."
134
+ "ja": "検証可能な事業ストーリーを成長率、利益率、再投資、リスク、キャッシュフローに変換し、価値分布と価格に織り込まれたストーリーを明らかにする。",
135
+ "ko": "검증 가능한 사업 이야기를 성장률, 마진, 재투자, 위험, 현금흐름으로 변환한 뒤 가치 분포와 가격에 내재된 이야기를 드러낸다.",
136
+ "zh": "把商业故事翻译成增长、利润率、再投资、风险和现金流,再形成价值区间。"
122
137
  }
123
138
  },
124
139
  "voice": {
@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@
16
16
  ],
17
17
  "experiment_pass_count": 0,
18
18
  "formula_approval_binding_count": 0,
19
- "formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:7265b10a67bd0437af02572176793ef0b8529e48437edc5a2e0b1b1b9fbe73d0",
19
+ "formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:fc8afd469d9cafccccc4221622ccde5061167c538ab6472eecaaf65efce5461b",
20
20
  "method_model_eligible": false,
21
21
  "native_states": [
22
22
  "provisional_unvalued",
@@ -26,8 +26,8 @@
26
26
  ],
27
27
  "persona_id": "master_damodaran",
28
28
  "planned_tool_ids": [
29
- "master_damodaran.story_dcf",
30
- "master_damodaran.reverse_valuation"
29
+ "master_damodaran.implied_equity_risk_premium",
30
+ "master_damodaran.premium_versus_long_run_average"
31
31
  ],
32
32
  "production_eligible": false,
33
33
  "review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
@@ -1 +1 @@
1
- {"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:7f0424103f133db3e2e9f34614f2d59204ddca48d531947a9de8944559a4f970","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_damodaran"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_damodaran","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
1
+ {"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:8e68b654954f3bf4ef1d28ff060d3246671dfa0f495fe26ae24dfc1f87ff31e8","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_damodaran"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_damodaran","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
1
1
  [
2
2
  {
3
3
  "assurance_class": "provisional_derived_proxy",
4
- "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:20a49da931137ded2f83e9f19eb5e65f0d6c96a87081a8ce374686794f16d993",
5
- "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:268384e9ee8d0ae670940b1cf22d7da283ecede6a558d17733c1fedc33fcef9d",
6
- "derivation_spec_id": "master_damodaran.story_dcf.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
4
+ "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:500b290e0e13e80c02f1072f33f879ab79f9cfa81a749295634e763dda75b6f2",
5
+ "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:b256595a8aed8861a196eb7335efbc72e3ed70bac462d8021abe47efde3597fe",
6
+ "derivation_spec_id": "master_damodaran.implied_equity_risk_premium.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
7
7
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
8
- "id": "master_damodaran.story_dcf",
8
+ "id": "master_damodaran.implied_equity_risk_premium",
9
9
  "input_contracts": [
10
10
  {
11
11
  "on_missing": "fail",
@@ -14,45 +14,68 @@
14
14
  "basis": "instant",
15
15
  "window": null
16
16
  },
17
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
18
- "value_kind": "scalar"
17
+ "unit": "decimal",
18
+ "value_kind": "ratio"
19
+ },
20
+ {
21
+ "on_missing": "fail",
22
+ "period": {
23
+ "alignment": "as_of",
24
+ "basis": "instant",
25
+ "window": null
26
+ },
27
+ "unit": "decimal",
28
+ "value_kind": "ratio"
19
29
  }
20
30
  ],
21
- "input_schema_hash": "sha256:1ab8af900d600dd05c6a3696f13b5834980f97fc8c525a4991c0a7380b6cf9c2",
31
+ "input_schema_hash": "sha256:2ed1240f33f9ed42d241ff758e8d43c9ee68fed7edcaacede625db0c08ef5ba4",
22
32
  "inputs": [
23
33
  {
24
- "fact_id": "valuation.revenue_growth"
34
+ "fact_id": "index.aggregate_earnings_yield"
35
+ },
36
+ {
37
+ "fact_id": "macro.long_bond_yield"
25
38
  }
26
39
  ],
27
40
  "intended_use": "local_test_only",
28
- "kind": "transform",
41
+ "kind": "recomputation",
29
42
  "on_missing": "fail",
30
- "operation": "identity",
31
- "output_id": "valuation.cash_flow",
43
+ "operation": "subtract",
44
+ "output_id": "index.implied_equity_risk_premium.master_damodaran",
32
45
  "output_period": {
33
46
  "alignment": "as_of",
34
47
  "basis": "instant",
35
48
  "window": null
36
49
  },
37
- "output_schema_hash": "sha256:73753a17e47b2d602a5cb8f59c282a6ebf70a7fe9ec574d70b4fc7ebae1ab63d",
50
+ "output_schema_hash": "sha256:c2fcd47a4aa4014f89d12390ec92f592067ef12d2f18982fcf201f4c8d713d4e",
38
51
  "production_eligible": false,
39
52
  "review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
40
53
  "schema_version": 1,
41
54
  "source_ids": [
42
55
  "proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"
43
56
  ],
44
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
45
- "value_kind": "scalar",
46
- "version": "0.1.0"
57
+ "unit": "decimal",
58
+ "value_kind": "ratio",
59
+ "version": "0.2.0"
47
60
  },
48
61
  {
49
62
  "assurance_class": "provisional_derived_proxy",
50
- "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:e96f75523bce99c9b7958de400ccc61e126595c5377cecd5ce62f099c8ce6737",
51
- "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:803aa6175d8b89b67d5927c43a0c72f9915aa6411d2bd0457f5e97be4e0d8586",
52
- "derivation_spec_id": "master_damodaran.reverse_valuation.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
63
+ "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:5b557801dbdfeb202198eca16cfd22eaa009252ca9a39c3357e5000a1efabb90",
64
+ "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:3743c713e5c27017406e6d6bc79ed177415f868a7abd3a00093f308f0e79f744",
65
+ "derivation_spec_id": "master_damodaran.premium_versus_long_run_average.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
53
66
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
54
- "id": "master_damodaran.reverse_valuation",
67
+ "id": "master_damodaran.premium_versus_long_run_average",
55
68
  "input_contracts": [
69
+ {
70
+ "on_missing": "fail",
71
+ "period": {
72
+ "alignment": "as_of",
73
+ "basis": "instant",
74
+ "window": null
75
+ },
76
+ "unit": "decimal",
77
+ "value_kind": "ratio"
78
+ },
56
79
  {
57
80
  "on_missing": "fail",
58
81
  "period": {
@@ -64,31 +87,34 @@
64
87
  "value_kind": "scalar"
65
88
  }
66
89
  ],
67
- "input_schema_hash": "sha256:a731632d8dd3ee91a857f04ded0e8df403bc54115bc90000bd9dcf0e98760d8b",
90
+ "input_schema_hash": "sha256:5f30cc56513316e32142651b812911eef0fcbce86aea6a5c7f3cc005d507e012",
68
91
  "inputs": [
69
92
  {
70
- "fact_id": "valuation.revenue_growth"
93
+ "output_id": "index.implied_equity_risk_premium.master_damodaran"
94
+ },
95
+ {
96
+ "literal": 0.042
71
97
  }
72
98
  ],
73
99
  "intended_use": "local_test_only",
74
- "kind": "transform",
100
+ "kind": "recomputation",
75
101
  "on_missing": "fail",
76
- "operation": "identity",
77
- "output_id": "valuation.implied_story",
102
+ "operation": "subtract",
103
+ "output_id": "index.implied_premium_gap.master_damodaran",
78
104
  "output_period": {
79
105
  "alignment": "as_of",
80
106
  "basis": "instant",
81
107
  "window": null
82
108
  },
83
- "output_schema_hash": "sha256:5528c3bfa18cdd8a775e2704176e5dc406da639c04fc57e293adc4c1d6ee5627",
109
+ "output_schema_hash": "sha256:4b68698678a20f720d47bf9b66c5bb1e4839e72cd55fb4d8f978f7e4f82f418f",
84
110
  "production_eligible": false,
85
111
  "review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
86
112
  "schema_version": 1,
87
113
  "source_ids": [
88
114
  "proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"
89
115
  ],
90
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
91
- "value_kind": "scalar",
92
- "version": "0.1.0"
116
+ "unit": "decimal",
117
+ "value_kind": "ratio",
118
+ "version": "0.2.0"
93
119
  }
94
120
  ]