alphacouncil-agent 0.9.2 → 1.0.0
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- package/.claude/commands/alpha.md +22 -3
- package/.claude-plugin/marketplace.json +3 -3
- package/.claude-plugin/plugin.json +2 -2
- package/.codex-plugin/plugin.json +4 -4
- package/.grok/commands/alpha.md +22 -3
- package/.opencode/command/alpha.md +22 -3
- package/AGENTS.md +42 -4
- package/CHANGELOG.md +164 -0
- package/CLAUDE.md +59 -7
- package/README.ja.md +25 -11
- package/README.md +44 -12
- package/README.zh-CN.md +37 -12
- package/commands/alpha.md +22 -3
- package/data/authored/core-seats.mjs +808 -0
- package/data/authored/growth-seats.mjs +581 -0
- package/data/authored/index.mjs +114 -0
- package/data/authored/quant-seats.mjs +564 -0
- package/data/authored/value-seats.mjs +663 -0
- package/data/build-profile.v1.json +2 -1
- package/data/council-evaluation-protocol.v1.json +7 -4
- package/data/master-selector-method-locales.v1.mjs +296 -0
- package/data/persona-v3-ai-assisted-solo-profile.v1.json +2 -2
- package/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs +60 -3
- package/docs/INSTALL.md +43 -6
- package/docs/personas.md +2 -1
- package/docs/plans/v1.0-roadmap.md +487 -0
- package/docs/releases/v0.9.3.md +86 -0
- package/docs/releases/v0.9.4.md +79 -0
- package/docs/releases/v0.9.5.md +96 -0
- package/docs/releases/v1.0.0.md +164 -0
- package/docs/report-contract.md +75 -2
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/a.json +13 -13
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/b.json +2 -2
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/c.json +2 -2
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/d13.json +126 -126
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/d26.json +274 -254
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/e-d13.json +129 -129
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/e-d26.json +277 -257
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/h_ai_reference.json +278 -258
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/simulation-input.json +7278 -556
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/simulation-manifest.json +22 -22
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_ackman/reviews/{change_value_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_ackman/reviews/{power_map.ai-review.json → owner_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_aschenbrenner/reviews/{compute_power_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_aschenbrenner/reviews/{timeline_reverse_valuation.ai-review.json → price_implied_cash_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_asness/reviews/{crowding_cost_stress.ai-review.json → nominal_earnings_yield_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_asness/reviews/{factor_decomposer.ai-review.json → real_earnings_yield_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_bogle/reviews/expected_return_over_long_bond.ai-review.json +277 -0
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_bogle/reviews/fundamental_expected_return.ai-review.json +277 -0
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_buffett/reviews/{incremental_returns.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_buffett/reviews/{owner_earnings_rebuilder.ai-review.json → owner_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_burry/reviews/{mispricing_carry.ai-review.json → net_current_asset_surplus_per_share.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_burry/reviews/{capital_structure_reader.ai-review.json → net_current_asset_value_per_share.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_cathie_wood/reviews/{cost_adoption_curve.ai-review.json → current_cash_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_cathie_wood/reviews/{capture_valuation_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_dalio/reviews/{debt_driver_stress.ai-review.json → policy_real_rate.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_dalio/reviews/{regime_classifier.ai-review.json → real_curve_slope.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_damodaran/reviews/{reverse_valuation.ai-review.json → implied_equity_risk_premium.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_damodaran/reviews/{story_dcf.ai-review.json → premium_versus_long_run_average.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_druckenmiller/reviews/{liquidity_revision_map.ai-review.json → liquidity_curve_impulse.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_druckenmiller/reviews/{inflection_payoff.ai-review.json → policy_real_rate.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_duan_yongping/reviews/{opportunity_cost.ai-review.json → five_year_opportunity_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_duan_yongping/reviews/{user_value_evidence.ai-review.json → margin_retention.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_fisher/reviews/{research_productivity.ai-review.json → margin_retention.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_fisher/reviews/{scuttlebutt_graph.ai-review.json → reinvestment_spread.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_forensic_short/reviews/{borrow_catalyst.ai-review.json → cash_conversion_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_forensic_short/reviews/{accounting_rebuilder.ai-review.json → cash_cover_of_leverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_graham/reviews/{asset_floor.ai-review.json → defensive_hurdle_base.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_graham/reviews/{normalized_earnings.ai-review.json → half_normalised_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_jhunjhunwala/reviews/{penetration_liquidity.ai-review.json → cash_quality_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_jhunjhunwala/reviews/{promoter_governance.ai-review.json → real_structural_growth.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_klarman/reviews/{recovery_waterfall.ai-review.json → downside_asset_coverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_klarman/reviews/{cash_catalyst_compare.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_li_lu/reviews/{promise_integrity_ledger.ai-review.json → cash_backed_decade_return.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_li_lu/reviews/{ten_year_return_bridge.ai-review.json → decade_return_over_long_bond.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_lynch/reviews/{story_numbers_check.ai-review.json → growth_justified_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_lynch/reviews/{category_classifier.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_marks/reviews/{cycle_temperature.ai-review.json → credit_cycle_position.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_marks/reviews/{implied_expectations.ai-review.json → equity_over_corporate_debt.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_munger/reviews/{failure_path_graph.ai-review.json → debt_service_cushion.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_munger/reviews/{incentive_map.ai-review.json → reported_earnings_cash_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_natenberg/reviews/{surface_builder.ai-review.json → normalised_skew.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_natenberg/reviews/{greeks_payoff.ai-review.json → round_trip_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_pabrai/reviews/{downside_floor.ai-review.json → downside_floor_coverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_pabrai/reviews/{discrete_payoff.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_simons/reviews/{oos_cost_test.ai-review.json → absolute_session_move.ai-review.json} +42 -42
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_simons/reviews/{leakage_audit.ai-review.json → session_move_over_implied.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_sinclair/reviews/{realized_vol_forecast.ai-review.json → round_trip_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_sinclair/reviews/{net_edge_sizer.ai-review.json → volatility_per_unit_of_width.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_soros/reviews/{reversal_monitor.ai-review.json → credit_cycle_position.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_soros/reviews/{reflexivity_graph.ai-review.json → financing_burden.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_taleb/reviews/{tail_friction.ai-review.json → debt_service_cushion.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_taleb/reviews/{payoff_ruin.ai-review.json → normalised_skew.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_thorp/reviews/{edge_recalculator.ai-review.json → edge_per_unit_of_volatility.ai-review.json} +46 -46
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_thorp/reviews/{fractional_kelly.ai-review.json → net_edge.ai-review.json} +49 -49
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/review-manifest.json +288 -270
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-adjudications/index.json +2 -2
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-extractions/index.json +2 -2
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-skeptic-reviews/index.json +2 -2
- package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-source-prereviews/index.json +6 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/decision_policy.json +122 -11
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/manifest.json +27 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/decision_policy.json +101 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/manifest.json +26 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/decision_policy.json +89 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/manifest.json +25 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/counterfactuals.jsonl +0 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/decision_cases.jsonl +0 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/decision_policy.json +170 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/doctrine.jsonl +14 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/calibration_cases.jsonl +0 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/experiments.json +5 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/golden_cases.jsonl +0 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/pairwise_cases.jsonl +0 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/failures.jsonl +0 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/manifest.json +141 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/memory_policy.json +5 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/provisional-index.json +41 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/research_policy.json +11 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/sources.jsonl +1 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/tools.json +120 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/voice.en.md +7 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/voice.zh.md +7 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/decision_policy.json +102 -11
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/manifest.json +24 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/tools.json +55 -29
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/decision_policy.json +102 -12
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/manifest.json +26 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/decision_policy.json +74 -12
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/manifest.json +26 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/decision_policy.json +123 -16
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/manifest.json +24 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/tools.json +56 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/decision_policy.json +58 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/manifest.json +23 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/tools.json +54 -28
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/decision_policy.json +89 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/manifest.json +25 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/tools.json +55 -29
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/decision_policy.json +138 -13
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/manifest.json +31 -11
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/tools.json +82 -30
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/decision_policy.json +102 -11
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/manifest.json +27 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/tools.json +58 -32
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/decision_policy.json +93 -14
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/manifest.json +20 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/tools.json +53 -27
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/decision_policy.json +103 -12
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/manifest.json +26 -8
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/tools.json +67 -28
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/decision_policy.json +77 -12
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/manifest.json +25 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/tools.json +54 -28
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/decision_policy.json +105 -14
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/manifest.json +22 -6
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/provisional-index.json +3 -3
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/sources.jsonl +1 -1
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/tools.json +55 -29
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/decision_policy.json +101 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/manifest.json +27 -10
- package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/provisional-index.json +3 -3
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- package/skills/agent-skills-governance/SKILL.md +8 -2
- package/skills/alphacouncil-agent/SKILL.md +60 -9
- package/skills/public-equity-investing/SKILL.md +17 -0
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_ackman/provisional-derivations/change_value_bridge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_ackman/provisional-derivations/power_map.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-derivations/compute_power_bridge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-derivations/timeline_reverse_valuation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_asness/provisional-derivations/crowding_cost_stress.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_asness/provisional-derivations/factor_decomposer.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_buffett/provisional-derivations/incremental_returns.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_buffett/provisional-derivations/owner_earnings_rebuilder.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_burry/provisional-derivations/capital_structure_reader.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_burry/provisional-derivations/mispricing_carry.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_cathie_wood/provisional-derivations/capture_valuation_bridge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_cathie_wood/provisional-derivations/cost_adoption_curve.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_dalio/provisional-derivations/debt_driver_stress.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_dalio/provisional-derivations/regime_classifier.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_damodaran/provisional-derivations/story_dcf.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_druckenmiller/provisional-derivations/inflection_payoff.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_druckenmiller/provisional-derivations/liquidity_revision_map.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_duan_yongping/provisional-derivations/opportunity_cost.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_duan_yongping/provisional-derivations/user_value_evidence.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_fisher/provisional-derivations/research_productivity.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_fisher/provisional-derivations/scuttlebutt_graph.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_forensic_short/provisional-derivations/borrow_catalyst.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_graham/provisional-derivations/asset_floor.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_graham/provisional-derivations/normalized_earnings.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-derivations/penetration_liquidity.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-derivations/promoter_governance.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_klarman/provisional-derivations/cash_catalyst_compare.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_klarman/provisional-derivations/recovery_waterfall.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_li_lu/provisional-derivations/promise_integrity_ledger.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_li_lu/provisional-derivations/ten_year_return_bridge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_lynch/provisional-derivations/category_classifier.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_lynch/provisional-derivations/story_numbers_check.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_marks/provisional-derivations/cycle_temperature.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_marks/provisional-derivations/implied_expectations.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_munger/provisional-derivations/failure_path_graph.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_munger/provisional-derivations/incentive_map.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_pabrai/provisional-derivations/discrete_payoff.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_pabrai/provisional-derivations/downside_floor.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_simons/provisional-derivations/leakage_audit.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_simons/provisional-derivations/oos_cost_test.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_sinclair/provisional-derivations/net_edge_sizer.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_sinclair/provisional-derivations/realized_vol_forecast.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_soros/provisional-derivations/reflexivity_graph.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_soros/provisional-derivations/reversal_monitor.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_taleb/provisional-derivations/payoff_ruin.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_thorp/provisional-derivations/edge_recalculator.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
- package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_thorp/provisional-derivations/fractional_kelly.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
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{"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:6df57c7a07f6d45decc48315ca7062ea98b6c91828a9a91faaf7f5334a448363","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_simons"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:640bd638960790aab","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_simons","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
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{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Forecast realized volatility, compare it with implied volatility, subtract spreads and slippage, and size only a robust executable edge.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_1","source_ids":["proxy:514255b4bf1696d6c"]}
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{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"The width is crossed twice, once to get the position on and once to get it off. Every edge has to clear the round trip, and the round trip is where most of the volatility edges he examines stop existing.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_2","source_ids":["proxy:514255b4bf1696d6c"]}
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{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"How many times the quoted width fits inside the volatility being traded. The gross edge is some fraction of that volatility and is not computable from these facts, so the number of widths available is the strongest statement this pack supports about whether any residual edge could survive execution.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_3","source_ids":["proxy:514255b4bf1696d6c"]}
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{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject an edge based on an unvalidated realized-volatility forecast.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_4","source_ids":["proxy:514255b4bf1696d6c"]}
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{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject when spread and slippage erase the gross volatility difference.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_5","source_ids":["proxy:514255b4bf1696d6c"]}
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{"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject when forecast error is material relative to estimated net edge.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_6","source_ids":["proxy:514255b4bf1696d6c"]}
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"ja": "Sinclair Lens (Volatility Trading and Execution) 暫定オペレーター・レンズ",
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"ko": "Sinclair Lens (Volatility Trading and Execution) 임시 오퍼레이터 렌즈",
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"ja": "Sinclair Lens (Volatility Trading and Execution) 単独テスト",
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"en": "Volatility forecasting, options execution, edge measurement, and position sizing.",
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"ja": "ボラティリティ予測、オプション執行、優位性の測定、ポジション量。",
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"ko": "변동성 예측, 옵션 집행, 우위 측정, 포지션 규모 결정.",
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"zh": "波动率预测、期权执行、优势度量与仓位管理。"
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"ja": "Sinclair Lens (Volatility Trading and Execution)。プロジェクト派生で、方法帰属について人による審査を受けていない暫定オペレーター・レンズ。本人の発言や現在の見解ではない。",
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"ko": "Sinclair Lens (Volatility Trading and Execution). 프로젝트에서 파생되었고 방법 귀속에 대한 인적 심사를 거치지 않은 임시 오퍼레이터 렌즈다. 본인의 발언이나 현재 견해가 아니다.",
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"zh": "辛克莱视角(波动率交易与执行);项目派生、未经人工审定"
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},
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"method": {
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"en": "Forecast realized volatility, compare it with implied volatility, subtract spreads and slippage, and size only a robust executable edge.",
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"
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+
"ja": "実現ボラティリティを予測してインプライド・ボラティリティと比較し、スプレッドとスリッページを差し引いた後も堅牢で実行可能な優位性だけに応じてポジションを決める。",
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132
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+
"ko": "실현변동성을 예측해 내재변동성과 비교하고, 스프레드와 슬리피지를 차감한 뒤에도 견고하고 실행 가능한 우위에만 포지션 규모를 배정한다.",
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+
"zh": "比较实现波动预测与隐含波动,扣除价差、滑点和仓位风险后判断优势是否仍存在。"
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}
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},
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"voice": {
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@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@
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],
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"experiment_pass_count": 0,
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18
18
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"formula_approval_binding_count": 0,
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19
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-
"formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:
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19
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+
"formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:fc8afd469d9cafccccc4221622ccde5061167c538ab6472eecaaf65efce5461b",
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"method_model_eligible": false,
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"native_states": [
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"provisional_insufficient_inputs",
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@@ -26,8 +26,8 @@
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],
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"persona_id": "master_sinclair",
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"planned_tool_ids": [
|
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-
"master_sinclair.
|
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-
"master_sinclair.
|
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29
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+
"master_sinclair.round_trip_cost",
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30
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+
"master_sinclair.volatility_per_unit_of_width"
|
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],
|
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|
"production_eligible": false,
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|
"review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
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|
@@ -1 +1 @@
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|
|
1
|
-
{"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:
|
|
1
|
+
{"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:e5acb0972c01c00368960d59ceefea938f5482863f3b3d612aee74b156a3d527","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_sinclair"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:514255b4bf1696d6c","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_sinclair","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
|