clodds 1.1.0

package/dist/services/alt-data/feeds/funding-rates.js

@@ -0,0 +1,90 @@
+"use strict";
+/**
+ * Funding Rates Feed
+ *
+ * Polls Binance Futures public API for perpetual funding rates (free, no key).
+ * Extreme funding rates signal crowded positioning → contrarian signal.
+ */
+Object.defineProperty(exports, "__esModule", { value: true });
+exports.createFundingRatesFeed = createFundingRatesFeed;
+const logger_js_1 = require("../../../utils/logger.js");
+const API_URL = 'https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/premiumIndex';
+const DEFAULT_INTERVAL_MS = 60_000; // 1 min
+const DEFAULT_SYMBOLS = ['BTCUSDT', 'ETHUSDT', 'SOLUSDT'];
+function createFundingRatesFeed(onEvent, symbols = DEFAULT_SYMBOLS, intervalMs = DEFAULT_INTERVAL_MS) {
+    let timer = null;
+    const lastRates = new Map();
+    async function poll() {
+        const events = [];
+        const controller = new AbortController();
+        const timeout = setTimeout(() => controller.abort(), 15_000);
+        try {
+            const res = await fetch(API_URL, { signal: controller.signal });
+            if (!res.ok) {
+                logger_js_1.logger.warn({ status: res.status }, '[funding-rates] API returned non-OK');
+                return events;
+            }
+            let data;
+            try {
+                data = (await res.json());
+            }
+            catch {
+                logger_js_1.logger.debug('[funding-rates] Invalid JSON response');
+                return events;
+            }
+            for (const entry of data) {
+                if (!symbols.includes(entry.symbol))
+                    continue;
+                const rate = parseFloat(entry.lastFundingRate);
+                if (isNaN(rate))
+                    continue;
+                // Only emit when rate changes meaningfully (> 0.001% shift)
+                const prev = lastRates.get(entry.symbol);
+                if (prev !== undefined && Math.abs(rate - prev) < 0.00001)
+                    continue;
+                lastRates.set(entry.symbol, rate);
+                const ratePct = (rate * 100).toFixed(4);
+                const direction = rate > 0 ? 'longs paying shorts' : rate < 0 ? 'shorts paying longs' : 'neutral';
+                const event = {
+                    id: `fr-${entry.symbol}-${Date.now()}`,
+                    source: 'funding_rate',
+                    timestamp: Date.now(),
+                    text: `${entry.symbol} funding rate: ${ratePct}% (${direction})`,
+                    numericValue: rate * 100, // Convert to percentage
+                    categories: ['crypto', 'funding'],
+                    meta: {
+                        symbol: entry.symbol,
+                        markPrice: entry.markPrice,
+                        nextFundingTime: entry.nextFundingTime,
+                    },
+                };
+                events.push(event);
+                onEvent(event);
+            }
+        }
+        catch (error) {
+            if (error.name !== 'AbortError') {
+                logger_js_1.logger.warn({ error }, '[funding-rates] Poll failed');
+            }
+        }
+        finally {
+            clearTimeout(timeout);
+        }
+        return events;
+    }
+    function start() {
+        if (timer)
+            return;
+        poll().catch(() => { });
+        timer = setInterval(() => { poll().catch(() => { }); }, intervalMs);
+        logger_js_1.logger.info({ intervalMs, symbols }, '[funding-rates] Feed started');
+    }
+    function stop() {
+        if (timer) {
+            clearInterval(timer);
+            timer = null;
+        }
+    }
+    return { start, stop, poll };
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=funding-rates.js.map

package/dist/services/alt-data/feeds/funding-rates.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/services/alt-data/feeds/reddit.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,13 @@
+/**
+ * Reddit Feed
+ *
+ * Polls Reddit public JSON API for hot posts (free, no auth needed).
+ * Deduplicates by tracking seen post IDs.
+ */
+import type { AltDataEvent } from '../types.js';
+export interface RedditFeed {
+    start(): void;
+    stop(): void;
+    poll(): Promise<AltDataEvent[]>;
+}
+export declare function createRedditFeed(onEvent: (event: AltDataEvent) => void, subreddits?: string[], intervalMs?: number): RedditFeed;

package/dist/services/alt-data/feeds/reddit.js

@@ -0,0 +1,112 @@
+"use strict";
+/**
+ * Reddit Feed
+ *
+ * Polls Reddit public JSON API for hot posts (free, no auth needed).
+ * Deduplicates by tracking seen post IDs.
+ */
+Object.defineProperty(exports, "__esModule", { value: true });
+exports.createRedditFeed = createRedditFeed;
+const logger_js_1 = require("../../../utils/logger.js");
+const DEFAULT_INTERVAL_MS = 300_000; // 5 min
+const DEFAULT_SUBREDDITS = ['polymarket', 'cryptocurrency', 'wallstreetbets'];
+const POSTS_PER_SUB = 10;
+function createRedditFeed(onEvent, subreddits = DEFAULT_SUBREDDITS, intervalMs = DEFAULT_INTERVAL_MS) {
+    let timer = null;
+    const seenIds = new Set();
+    // Cap memory — only track last 5000 posts
+    const MAX_SEEN = 5000;
+    function trimSeen() {
+        if (seenIds.size > MAX_SEEN) {
+            const arr = Array.from(seenIds);
+            const toRemove = arr.slice(0, arr.length - MAX_SEEN);
+            for (const id of toRemove)
+                seenIds.delete(id);
+        }
+    }
+    async function fetchSubreddit(sub) {
+        const events = [];
+        const url = `https://www.reddit.com/r/${encodeURIComponent(sub)}/hot.json?limit=${POSTS_PER_SUB}&raw_json=1`;
+        const controller = new AbortController();
+        const timeout = setTimeout(() => controller.abort(), 15_000);
+        try {
+            const res = await fetch(url, {
+                signal: controller.signal,
+                headers: { 'User-Agent': 'Clodds/1.0 (alt-data feed)' },
+            });
+            if (!res.ok) {
+                logger_js_1.logger.debug({ status: res.status, sub }, '[reddit] Subreddit fetch failed');
+                return events;
+            }
+            let listing;
+            try {
+                listing = (await res.json());
+            }
+            catch {
+                logger_js_1.logger.debug({ sub }, '[reddit] Invalid JSON response');
+                return events;
+            }
+            const posts = listing.data?.children ?? [];
+            for (const post of posts) {
+                const { id, title, selftext, author, permalink, score, num_comments, subreddit, link_flair_text } = post.data;
+                if (seenIds.has(id))
+                    continue;
+                seenIds.add(id);
+                // Only care about posts with some traction
+                if (score < 5 && num_comments < 3)
+                    continue;
+                const categories = ['reddit', subreddit.toLowerCase()];
+                if (link_flair_text)
+                    categories.push(link_flair_text.toLowerCase());
+                const event = {
+                    id: `reddit-${id}`,
+                    source: 'reddit_post',
+                    timestamp: Date.now(),
+                    text: title,
+                    body: selftext?.slice(0, 500),
+                    url: `https://reddit.com${permalink}`,
+                    author,
+                    categories,
+                    meta: { score, numComments: num_comments, subreddit },
+                };
+                events.push(event);
+                onEvent(event);
+            }
+        }
+        catch (error) {
+            if (error.name !== 'AbortError') {
+                logger_js_1.logger.debug({ error, sub }, '[reddit] Poll failed for subreddit');
+            }
+        }
+        finally {
+            clearTimeout(timeout);
+        }
+        return events;
+    }
+    async function poll() {
+        const results = await Promise.allSettled(subreddits.map((sub) => fetchSubreddit(sub)));
+        const events = [];
+        for (const result of results) {
+            if (result.status === 'fulfilled') {
+                events.push(...result.value);
+            }
+        }
+        trimSeen();
+        return events;
+    }
+    function start() {
+        if (timer)
+            return;
+        poll().catch(() => { });
+        timer = setInterval(() => { poll().catch(() => { }); }, intervalMs);
+        logger_js_1.logger.info({ intervalMs, subreddits }, '[reddit] Feed started');
+    }
+    function stop() {
+        if (timer) {
+            clearInterval(timer);
+            timer = null;
+        }
+    }
+    return { start, stop, poll };
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=reddit.js.map

package/dist/services/alt-data/feeds/reddit.js.map

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package/dist/services/alt-data/index.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,31 @@
+/**
+ * Alt Data Service — Orchestrator
+ *
+ * Ingests alternative data feeds, runs sentiment analysis, matches to markets,
+ * and emits TradingSignals on the signal bus when confidence thresholds are met.
+ */
+import type { SignalBus } from '../../gateway/signal-bus.js';
+import type { AltDataConfig, AltDataService } from './types.js';
+export type { AltDataService };
+export interface EmbeddingsLike {
+    embed(text: string): Promise<number[]>;
+    cosineSimilarity(a: number[], b: number[]): number;
+}
+export interface FeedManagerLike {
+    getMarkets?(): Array<{
+        platform: import('../../types.js').Platform;
+        marketId: string;
+        question: string;
+        outcomeId?: string;
+        tags?: string[];
+    }>;
+    on?(event: string, listener: (...args: unknown[]) => void): void;
+    removeListener?(event: string, listener: (...args: unknown[]) => void): void;
+}
+export interface AltDataServiceOptions {
+    config: AltDataConfig;
+    signalBus: SignalBus;
+    feeds?: FeedManagerLike | null;
+    embeddings?: EmbeddingsLike | null;
+}
+export declare function createAltDataService(opts: AltDataServiceOptions): AltDataService;

package/dist/services/alt-data/index.js

@@ -0,0 +1,278 @@
+"use strict";
+/**
+ * Alt Data Service — Orchestrator
+ *
+ * Ingests alternative data feeds, runs sentiment analysis, matches to markets,
+ * and emits TradingSignals on the signal bus when confidence thresholds are met.
+ */
+Object.defineProperty(exports, "__esModule", { value: true });
+exports.createAltDataService = createAltDataService;
+const sentiment_js_1 = require("./sentiment.js");
+const market_matcher_js_1 = require("./market-matcher.js");
+const fear_greed_js_1 = require("./feeds/fear-greed.js");
+const funding_rates_js_1 = require("./feeds/funding-rates.js");
+const reddit_js_1 = require("./feeds/reddit.js");
+const logger_js_1 = require("../../utils/logger.js");
+// ── Config defaults ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+const DEFAULTS = {
+    enabled: true,
+    minSentimentConfidence: 0.3,
+    minMarketRelevance: 0.6,
+    maxAgeMs: 300_000,
+    fearGreedEnabled: true,
+    fearGreedIntervalMs: 3_600_000,
+    fundingRatesEnabled: true,
+    fundingRatesIntervalMs: 60_000,
+    fundingRatesSymbols: ['BTCUSDT', 'ETHUSDT', 'SOLUSDT'],
+    redditEnabled: false,
+    redditIntervalMs: 300_000,
+    redditSubreddits: ['polymarket', 'cryptocurrency', 'wallstreetbets'],
+};
+// Max distinct markets to track sentiment for (prevents unbounded growth)
+const MAX_SENTIMENT_CACHE_SIZE = 500;
+function createAltDataService(opts) {
+    const cfg = { ...DEFAULTS, ...opts.config };
+    const { signalBus } = opts;
+    // Core engine
+    const analyzer = (0, sentiment_js_1.createSentimentAnalyzer)();
+    const matcher = (0, market_matcher_js_1.createMarketMatcher)(opts.embeddings ?? null, opts.feeds ?? null, { minRelevance: cfg.minMarketRelevance });
+    // State
+    const recentSignals = [];
+    const marketSentimentCache = new Map();
+    let eventsProcessed = 0;
+    let signalsEmitted = 0;
+    let stopped = false;
+    const MAX_RECENT = 200;
+    // Feeds
+    let fearGreedFeed = null;
+    let fundingRatesFeed = null;
+    let redditFeed = null;
+    // News bridge listener (stored for cleanup on stop)
+    let newsListener = null;
+    // Serial event processing queue (prevents unbounded async fan-out)
+    const eventQueue = [];
+    const MAX_QUEUE = 100;
+    let draining = false;
+    // ── Cache eviction ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+    function evictStaleCacheEntries() {
+        if (marketSentimentCache.size <= MAX_SENTIMENT_CACHE_SIZE)
+            return;
+        // Evict oldest entries (by lastUpdated) until we're at 80% capacity
+        const target = Math.floor(MAX_SENTIMENT_CACHE_SIZE * 0.8);
+        const entries = [...marketSentimentCache.entries()].sort((a, b) => a[1].lastUpdated - b[1].lastUpdated);
+        const toRemove = entries.length - target;
+        for (let i = 0; i < toRemove; i++) {
+            marketSentimentCache.delete(entries[i][0]);
+        }
+    }
+    // ── Event processing pipeline ──────────────────────────────────────────
+    async function processEvent(event) {
+        // Guard: don't emit after stop()
+        if (stopped)
+            return;
+        eventsProcessed++;
+        // 1. Sentiment analysis
+        const sentiment = analyzer.analyze(event);
+        // 2. Check confidence threshold
+        if (sentiment.confidence < cfg.minSentimentConfidence)
+            return;
+        // 3. Market matching
+        const matchedMarkets = await matcher.match(event, sentiment);
+        // Re-check stopped after async work
+        if (stopped)
+            return;
+        // 4. Build composite signal
+        const altSignal = {
+            event,
+            sentiment,
+            matchedMarkets,
+            generatedAt: Date.now(),
+        };
+        // Store recent signals (append to end, read from tail — O(1) append)
+        recentSignals.push(altSignal);
+        if (recentSignals.length > MAX_RECENT)
+            recentSignals.splice(0, recentSignals.length - MAX_RECENT);
+        // 5. Emit TradingSignal for each matched market
+        for (const market of matchedMarkets) {
+            // Update per-market sentiment cache
+            const cacheKey = `${market.platform}:${market.marketId}`;
+            let entry = marketSentimentCache.get(cacheKey);
+            if (!entry) {
+                entry = { scores: [], confidences: [], lastUpdated: 0 };
+                marketSentimentCache.set(cacheKey, entry);
+            }
+            entry.scores.push(sentiment.score);
+            entry.confidences.push(sentiment.confidence);
+            entry.lastUpdated = Date.now();
+            // Keep rolling window of 20 scores per market
+            if (entry.scores.length > 20) {
+                entry.scores.shift();
+                entry.confidences.shift();
+            }
+            // Skip neutral signals — no actionable direction
+            const direction = sentiment.score > 0 ? 'buy' : sentiment.score < 0 ? 'sell' : null;
+            if (!direction)
+                continue;
+            const signal = {
+                type: 'sentiment_shift',
+                platform: market.platform,
+                marketId: market.marketId,
+                outcomeId: market.outcomeId ?? '',
+                strength: sentiment.confidence * market.relevance,
+                direction,
+                features: {
+                    sentimentScore: sentiment.score,
+                    sentimentConfidence: sentiment.confidence,
+                    marketRelevance: market.relevance,
+                },
+                timestamp: Date.now(),
+            };
+            signalBus.emit('signal', signal);
+            signalsEmitted++;
+            logger_js_1.logger.debug({
+                source: event.source,
+                market: market.question.slice(0, 60),
+                score: sentiment.score.toFixed(2),
+                strength: signal.strength.toFixed(2),
+                direction: signal.direction,
+            }, '[alt-data] Signal emitted');
+        }
+        // Evict stale cache entries once per event (not per market match)
+        evictStaleCacheEntries();
+    }
+    function onFeedEvent(event) {
+        if (stopped)
+            return;
+        // Check age — skip stale events
+        if (Date.now() - event.timestamp > cfg.maxAgeMs)
+            return;
+        // Enqueue and drain serially (prevents unbounded concurrent embeds)
+        if (eventQueue.length >= MAX_QUEUE)
+            return; // back-pressure: drop if full
+        eventQueue.push(event);
+        drainQueue();
+    }
+    async function drainQueue() {
+        if (draining)
+            return;
+        draining = true;
+        while (eventQueue.length > 0 && !stopped) {
+            const event = eventQueue.shift();
+            await processEvent(event).catch((error) => {
+                logger_js_1.logger.warn({ error, source: event.source }, '[alt-data] Event processing failed');
+            });
+        }
+        draining = false;
+    }
+    // ── Service lifecycle ──────────────────────────────────────────────────
+    async function start() {
+        stopped = false;
+        // Pre-warm market embeddings in background (don't block gateway startup)
+        matcher.refreshMarkets().catch((err) => logger_js_1.logger.warn({ error: err }, '[alt-data] Background market refresh failed'));
+        // Start enabled feeds
+        if (cfg.fearGreedEnabled) {
+            fearGreedFeed = (0, fear_greed_js_1.createFearGreedFeed)(onFeedEvent, cfg.fearGreedIntervalMs);
+            fearGreedFeed.start();
+        }
+        if (cfg.fundingRatesEnabled) {
+            fundingRatesFeed = (0, funding_rates_js_1.createFundingRatesFeed)(onFeedEvent, cfg.fundingRatesSymbols, cfg.fundingRatesIntervalMs);
+            fundingRatesFeed.start();
+        }
+        if (cfg.redditEnabled) {
+            redditFeed = (0, reddit_js_1.createRedditFeed)(onFeedEvent, cfg.redditSubreddits, cfg.redditIntervalMs);
+            redditFeed.start();
+        }
+        // Bridge existing news events if FeedManager is available
+        if (opts.feeds?.on) {
+            newsListener = (item) => {
+                const newsItem = item;
+                if (!newsItem?.title)
+                    return;
+                const event = {
+                    id: `news-${newsItem.id ?? Date.now()}`,
+                    source: 'news_headline',
+                    timestamp: Date.now(),
+                    text: newsItem.title,
+                    body: newsItem.content?.slice(0, 500),
+                    url: newsItem.url,
+                    author: newsItem.author,
+                    categories: ['news'],
+                    meta: { originalSource: newsItem.source },
+                };
+                onFeedEvent(event);
+            };
+            opts.feeds.on('news', newsListener);
+        }
+        const activeFeeds = getActiveFeeds();
+        logger_js_1.logger.info({ feeds: activeFeeds, eventsProcessed, signalsEmitted }, '[alt-data] Service started');
+    }
+    function stop() {
+        stopped = true;
+        // Remove news bridge listener to prevent leak on reload
+        if (newsListener && opts.feeds?.removeListener) {
+            opts.feeds.removeListener('news', newsListener);
+        }
+        newsListener = null;
+        fearGreedFeed?.stop();
+        fundingRatesFeed?.stop();
+        redditFeed?.stop();
+        fearGreedFeed = null;
+        fundingRatesFeed = null;
+        redditFeed = null;
+        // Clear pending queue
+        eventQueue.length = 0;
+        logger_js_1.logger.info({ eventsProcessed, signalsEmitted }, '[alt-data] Service stopped');
+    }
+    function getActiveFeeds() {
+        const active = [];
+        if (fearGreedFeed)
+            active.push('fear_greed');
+        if (fundingRatesFeed)
+            active.push('funding_rates');
+        if (redditFeed)
+            active.push('reddit');
+        if (opts.feeds?.on)
+            active.push('news_bridge');
+        return active;
+    }
+    function getRecentSignals(limit = 20) {
+        // Signals stored oldest-first; return newest-first
+        const start = Math.max(0, recentSignals.length - limit);
+        return recentSignals.slice(start).reverse();
+    }
+    function getMarketSentiment(marketId) {
+        // Aggregate across all platforms for this marketId
+        const allScores = [];
+        const allConfs = [];
+        for (const [key, entry] of marketSentimentCache) {
+            if (key.endsWith(`:${marketId}`)) {
+                allScores.push(...entry.scores);
+                allConfs.push(...entry.confidences);
+            }
+        }
+        if (allScores.length === 0)
+            return null;
+        const avgScore = allScores.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / allScores.length;
+        const avgConf = allConfs.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / allConfs.length;
+        return {
+            score: avgScore,
+            confidence: avgConf,
+            sources: allScores.length,
+        };
+    }
+    function getStats() {
+        return {
+            eventsProcessed,
+            signalsEmitted,
+            activeFeeds: getActiveFeeds(),
+        };
+    }
+    return {
+        start,
+        stop,
+        getRecentSignals,
+        getMarketSentiment,
+        getStats,
+    };
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=index.js.map

package/dist/services/alt-data/index.js.map

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package/dist/services/alt-data/market-matcher.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,29 @@
+/**
+ * Market Matcher — Maps alt-data events to active prediction markets
+ *
+ * Uses embeddings for semantic matching with a keyword/category fallback.
+ * Follows the pattern from src/opportunity/matching.ts.
+ */
+import type { Platform } from '../../types.js';
+import type { MarketMatcher } from './types.js';
+interface EmbeddingsLike {
+    embed(text: string): Promise<number[]>;
+    cosineSimilarity(a: number[], b: number[]): number;
+}
+interface MarketEntry {
+    platform: Platform;
+    marketId: string;
+    question: string;
+    outcomeId?: string;
+    tags?: string[];
+}
+interface FeedManagerLike {
+    getMarkets?(): MarketEntry[];
+}
+interface MarketMatcherConfig {
+    minRelevance: number;
+    maxResults: number;
+    cacheRefreshMs: number;
+}
+export declare function createMarketMatcher(embeddings: EmbeddingsLike | null, feeds: FeedManagerLike | null, config?: Partial<MarketMatcherConfig>): MarketMatcher;
+export {};