clodds 1.1.0

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (1719) hide show
  1. package/LICENSE +21 -0
  2. package/README.md +468 -0
  3. package/dist/acp/agreement.d.ts +110 -0
  4. package/dist/acp/agreement.js +514 -0
  5. package/dist/acp/agreement.js.map +1 -0
  6. package/dist/acp/discovery.d.ts +84 -0
  7. package/dist/acp/discovery.js +332 -0
  8. package/dist/acp/discovery.js.map +1 -0
  9. package/dist/acp/escrow.d.ts +139 -0
  10. package/dist/acp/escrow.js +880 -0
  11. package/dist/acp/escrow.js.map +1 -0
  12. package/dist/acp/identity.d.ts +135 -0
  13. package/dist/acp/identity.js +716 -0
  14. package/dist/acp/identity.js.map +1 -0
  15. package/dist/acp/index.d.ts +205 -0
  16. package/dist/acp/index.js +583 -0
  17. package/dist/acp/index.js.map +1 -0
  18. package/dist/acp/persistence.d.ts +59 -0
  19. package/dist/acp/persistence.js +590 -0
  20. package/dist/acp/persistence.js.map +1 -0
  21. package/dist/acp/predictions.d.ts +89 -0
  22. package/dist/acp/predictions.js +417 -0
  23. package/dist/acp/predictions.js.map +1 -0
  24. package/dist/acp/registry.d.ts +143 -0
  25. package/dist/acp/registry.js +584 -0
  26. package/dist/acp/registry.js.map +1 -0
  27. package/dist/agents/handlers/acp.d.ts +12 -0
  28. package/dist/agents/handlers/acp.js +987 -0
  29. package/dist/agents/handlers/acp.js.map +1 -0
  30. package/dist/agents/handlers/agentbets.d.ts +8 -0
  31. package/dist/agents/handlers/agentbets.js +63 -0
  32. package/dist/agents/handlers/agentbets.js.map +1 -0
  33. package/dist/agents/handlers/arbitrage.d.ts +16 -0
  34. package/dist/agents/handlers/arbitrage.js +187 -0
  35. package/dist/agents/handlers/arbitrage.js.map +1 -0
  36. package/dist/agents/handlers/betfair.d.ts +11 -0
  37. package/dist/agents/handlers/betfair.js +214 -0
  38. package/dist/agents/handlers/betfair.js.map +1 -0
  39. package/dist/agents/handlers/binance.d.ts +9 -0
  40. package/dist/agents/handlers/binance.js +227 -0
  41. package/dist/agents/handlers/binance.js.map +1 -0
  42. package/dist/agents/handlers/bittensor.d.ts +10 -0
  43. package/dist/agents/handlers/bittensor.js +90 -0
  44. package/dist/agents/handlers/bittensor.js.map +1 -0
  45. package/dist/agents/handlers/bybit.d.ts +9 -0
  46. package/dist/agents/handlers/bybit.js +226 -0
  47. package/dist/agents/handlers/bybit.js.map +1 -0
  48. package/dist/agents/handlers/credentials.d.ts +8 -0
  49. package/dist/agents/handlers/credentials.js +103 -0
  50. package/dist/agents/handlers/credentials.js.map +1 -0
  51. package/dist/agents/handlers/hyperliquid.d.ts +9 -0
  52. package/dist/agents/handlers/hyperliquid.js +326 -0
  53. package/dist/agents/handlers/hyperliquid.js.map +1 -0
  54. package/dist/agents/handlers/index.d.ts +82 -0
  55. package/dist/agents/handlers/index.js +143 -0
  56. package/dist/agents/handlers/index.js.map +1 -0
  57. package/dist/agents/handlers/kalshi.d.ts +10 -0
  58. package/dist/agents/handlers/kalshi.js +1377 -0
  59. package/dist/agents/handlers/kalshi.js.map +1 -0
  60. package/dist/agents/handlers/manifold.d.ts +9 -0
  61. package/dist/agents/handlers/manifold.js +1001 -0
  62. package/dist/agents/handlers/manifold.js.map +1 -0
  63. package/dist/agents/handlers/markets.d.ts +8 -0
  64. package/dist/agents/handlers/markets.js +321 -0
  65. package/dist/agents/handlers/markets.js.map +1 -0
  66. package/dist/agents/handlers/opinion.d.ts +11 -0
  67. package/dist/agents/handlers/opinion.js +374 -0
  68. package/dist/agents/handlers/opinion.js.map +1 -0
  69. package/dist/agents/handlers/paper-trading.d.ts +8 -0
  70. package/dist/agents/handlers/paper-trading.js +124 -0
  71. package/dist/agents/handlers/paper-trading.js.map +1 -0
  72. package/dist/agents/handlers/polymarket.d.ts +17 -0
  73. package/dist/agents/handlers/polymarket.js +455 -0
  74. package/dist/agents/handlers/polymarket.js.map +1 -0
  75. package/dist/agents/handlers/predictfun.d.ts +9 -0
  76. package/dist/agents/handlers/predictfun.js +488 -0
  77. package/dist/agents/handlers/predictfun.js.map +1 -0
  78. package/dist/agents/handlers/smarkets.d.ts +11 -0
  79. package/dist/agents/handlers/smarkets.js +205 -0
  80. package/dist/agents/handlers/smarkets.js.map +1 -0
  81. package/dist/agents/handlers/solana.d.ts +14 -0
  82. package/dist/agents/handlers/solana.js +1530 -0
  83. package/dist/agents/handlers/solana.js.map +1 -0
  84. package/dist/agents/handlers/types.d.ts +58 -0
  85. package/dist/agents/handlers/types.js +34 -0
  86. package/dist/agents/handlers/types.js.map +1 -0
  87. package/dist/agents/handlers/virtuals.d.ts +11 -0
  88. package/dist/agents/handlers/virtuals.js +135 -0
  89. package/dist/agents/handlers/virtuals.js.map +1 -0
  90. package/dist/agents/handlers/wallets.d.ts +9 -0
  91. package/dist/agents/handlers/wallets.js +222 -0
  92. package/dist/agents/handlers/wallets.js.map +1 -0
  93. package/dist/agents/index.d.ts +79 -0
  94. package/dist/agents/index.js +16690 -0
  95. package/dist/agents/index.js.map +1 -0
  96. package/dist/agents/subagents.d.ts +219 -0
  97. package/dist/agents/subagents.js +736 -0
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  99. package/dist/alerts/index.d.ts +110 -0
  100. package/dist/alerts/index.js +421 -0
  101. package/dist/alerts/index.js.map +1 -0
  102. package/dist/alerts/realtime.d.ts +114 -0
  103. package/dist/alerts/realtime.js +262 -0
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  105. package/dist/api/apikeys.d.ts +74 -0
  106. package/dist/api/apikeys.js +319 -0
  107. package/dist/api/apikeys.js.map +1 -0
  108. package/dist/api/compute/code.d.ts +28 -0
  109. package/dist/api/compute/code.js +257 -0
  110. package/dist/api/compute/code.js.map +1 -0
  111. package/dist/api/compute/data.d.ts +72 -0
  112. package/dist/api/compute/data.js +264 -0
  113. package/dist/api/compute/data.js.map +1 -0
  114. package/dist/api/compute/gateway.d.ts +185 -0
  115. package/dist/api/compute/gateway.js +958 -0
  116. package/dist/api/compute/gateway.js.map +1 -0
  117. package/dist/api/compute/index.d.ts +21 -0
  118. package/dist/api/compute/index.js +46 -0
  119. package/dist/api/compute/index.js.map +1 -0
  120. package/dist/api/compute/llm.d.ts +64 -0
  121. package/dist/api/compute/llm.js +602 -0
  122. package/dist/api/compute/llm.js.map +1 -0
  123. package/dist/api/compute/persistence.d.ts +77 -0
  124. package/dist/api/compute/persistence.js +251 -0
  125. package/dist/api/compute/persistence.js.map +1 -0
  126. package/dist/api/compute/storage.d.ts +48 -0
  127. package/dist/api/compute/storage.js +283 -0
  128. package/dist/api/compute/storage.js.map +1 -0
  129. package/dist/api/compute/trade.d.ts +69 -0
  130. package/dist/api/compute/trade.js +460 -0
  131. package/dist/api/compute/trade.js.map +1 -0
  132. package/dist/api/compute/types.d.ts +271 -0
  133. package/dist/api/compute/types.js +87 -0
  134. package/dist/api/compute/types.js.map +1 -0
  135. package/dist/api/compute/web.d.ts +29 -0
  136. package/dist/api/compute/web.js +255 -0
  137. package/dist/api/compute/web.js.map +1 -0
  138. package/dist/api/custody.d.ts +48 -0
  139. package/dist/api/custody.js +272 -0
  140. package/dist/api/custody.js.map +1 -0
  141. package/dist/api/fees.d.ts +91 -0
  142. package/dist/api/fees.js +155 -0
  143. package/dist/api/fees.js.map +1 -0
  144. package/dist/api/gateway.d.ts +40 -0
  145. package/dist/api/gateway.js +569 -0
  146. package/dist/api/gateway.js.map +1 -0
  147. package/dist/api/index.d.ts +29 -0
  148. package/dist/api/index.js +55 -0
  149. package/dist/api/index.js.map +1 -0
  150. package/dist/api/jobs.d.ts +59 -0
  151. package/dist/api/jobs.js +362 -0
  152. package/dist/api/jobs.js.map +1 -0
  153. package/dist/api/middleware.d.ts +60 -0
  154. package/dist/api/middleware.js +315 -0
  155. package/dist/api/middleware.js.map +1 -0
  156. package/dist/api/prompt.d.ts +44 -0
  157. package/dist/api/prompt.js +345 -0
  158. package/dist/api/prompt.js.map +1 -0
  159. package/dist/api/sdk.d.ts +258 -0
  160. package/dist/api/sdk.js +341 -0
  161. package/dist/api/sdk.js.map +1 -0
  162. package/dist/api/server.d.ts +17 -0
  163. package/dist/api/server.js +852 -0
  164. package/dist/api/server.js.map +1 -0
  165. package/dist/api/types.d.ts +307 -0
  166. package/dist/api/types.js +64 -0
  167. package/dist/api/types.js.map +1 -0
  168. package/dist/arbitrage/index.d.ts +124 -0
  169. package/dist/arbitrage/index.js +482 -0
  170. package/dist/arbitrage/index.js.map +1 -0
  171. package/dist/auth/copilot.d.ts +87 -0
  172. package/dist/auth/copilot.js +328 -0
  173. package/dist/auth/copilot.js.map +1 -0
  174. package/dist/auth/google.d.ts +121 -0
  175. package/dist/auth/google.js +479 -0
  176. package/dist/auth/google.js.map +1 -0
  177. package/dist/auth/index.d.ts +8 -0
  178. package/dist/auth/index.js +25 -0
  179. package/dist/auth/index.js.map +1 -0
  180. package/dist/auth/oauth.d.ts +94 -0
  181. package/dist/auth/oauth.js +502 -0
  182. package/dist/auth/oauth.js.map +1 -0
  183. package/dist/auth/qwen.d.ts +110 -0
  184. package/dist/auth/qwen.js +351 -0
  185. package/dist/auth/qwen.js.map +1 -0
  186. package/dist/auto-reply/index.d.ts +143 -0
  187. package/dist/auto-reply/index.js +391 -0
  188. package/dist/auto-reply/index.js.map +1 -0
  189. package/dist/automation/cron.d.ts +66 -0
  190. package/dist/automation/cron.js +226 -0
  191. package/dist/automation/cron.js.map +1 -0
  192. package/dist/automation/heartbeats.d.ts +63 -0
  193. package/dist/automation/heartbeats.js +144 -0
  194. package/dist/automation/heartbeats.js.map +1 -0
  195. package/dist/automation/index.d.ts +9 -0
  196. package/dist/automation/index.js +15 -0
  197. package/dist/automation/index.js.map +1 -0
  198. package/dist/automation/webhooks.d.ts +60 -0
  199. package/dist/automation/webhooks.js +225 -0
  200. package/dist/automation/webhooks.js.map +1 -0
  201. package/dist/bankr/client.d.ts +86 -0
  202. package/dist/bankr/client.js +177 -0
  203. package/dist/bankr/client.js.map +1 -0
  204. package/dist/bankr/index.d.ts +6 -0
  205. package/dist/bankr/index.js +23 -0
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  207. package/dist/base/index.d.ts +6 -0
  208. package/dist/base/index.js +23 -0
  209. package/dist/base/index.js.map +1 -0
  210. package/dist/base/provider.d.ts +27 -0
  211. package/dist/base/provider.js +128 -0
  212. package/dist/base/provider.js.map +1 -0
  213. package/dist/bin/worker.d.ts +31 -0
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  216. package/dist/bittensor/chutes.d.ts +14 -0
  217. package/dist/bittensor/chutes.js +141 -0
  218. package/dist/bittensor/chutes.js.map +1 -0
  219. package/dist/bittensor/index.d.ts +7 -0
  220. package/dist/bittensor/index.js +13 -0
  221. package/dist/bittensor/index.js.map +1 -0
  222. package/dist/bittensor/persistence.d.ts +8 -0
  223. package/dist/bittensor/persistence.js +188 -0
  224. package/dist/bittensor/persistence.js.map +1 -0
  225. package/dist/bittensor/plugin.d.ts +30 -0
  226. package/dist/bittensor/plugin.js +134 -0
  227. package/dist/bittensor/plugin.js.map +1 -0
  228. package/dist/bittensor/python-runner.d.ts +7 -0
  229. package/dist/bittensor/python-runner.js +83 -0
  230. package/dist/bittensor/python-runner.js.map +1 -0
  231. package/dist/bittensor/server.d.ts +7 -0
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  233. package/dist/bittensor/server.js.map +1 -0
  234. package/dist/bittensor/service.d.ts +7 -0
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  237. package/dist/bittensor/tool.d.ts +45 -0
  238. package/dist/bittensor/tool.js +147 -0
  239. package/dist/bittensor/tool.js.map +1 -0
  240. package/dist/bittensor/types.d.ts +188 -0
  241. package/dist/bittensor/types.js +6 -0
  242. package/dist/bittensor/types.js.map +1 -0
  243. package/dist/bittensor/wallet.d.ts +18 -0
  244. package/dist/bittensor/wallet.js +192 -0
  245. package/dist/bittensor/wallet.js.map +1 -0
  246. package/dist/bridge/wormhole.d.ts +239 -0
  247. package/dist/bridge/wormhole.js +404 -0
  248. package/dist/bridge/wormhole.js.map +1 -0
  249. package/dist/browser/index.d.ts +67 -0
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  252. package/dist/cache/index.d.ts +105 -0
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  258. package/dist/channels/base-adapter.d.ts +126 -0
  259. package/dist/channels/base-adapter.js +416 -0
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  261. package/dist/channels/bluebubbles/index.d.ts +23 -0
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  264. package/dist/channels/discord/index.d.ts +25 -0
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  266. package/dist/channels/discord/index.js.map +1 -0
  267. package/dist/channels/googlechat/index.d.ts +35 -0
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  270. package/dist/channels/imessage/index.d.ts +28 -0
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  279. package/dist/channels/matrix/index.d.ts +35 -0
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  282. package/dist/channels/mattermost/index.d.ts +25 -0
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  288. package/dist/channels/nostr/index.d.ts +21 -0
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  300. package/dist/channels/telegram/index.d.ts +9 -0
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@@ -0,0 +1,970 @@
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+ "use strict";
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+ /**
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+ * Portfolio Service - Track positions, balances, and PnL
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+ *
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+ * Features:
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+ * - Fetch positions from Polymarket/Kalshi APIs
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+ * - Fetch positions from futures exchanges (Hyperliquid, Binance, Bybit, MEXC)
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+ * - Calculate unrealized PnL
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+ * - Track portfolio value over time
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+ * - Multi-platform aggregation with Promise.allSettled
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+ * - Locked balance calculation (Polymarket open orders, futures margin)
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+ */
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+ var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {
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+ if (k2 === undefined) k2 = k;
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+ var desc = Object.getOwnPropertyDescriptor(m, k);
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+ if (!desc || ("get" in desc ? !m.__esModule : desc.writable || desc.configurable)) {
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+ desc = { enumerable: true, get: function() { return m[k]; } };
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+ }
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+ Object.defineProperty(o, k2, desc);
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+ }) : (function(o, m, k, k2) {
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+ if (k2 === undefined) k2 = k;
22
+ o[k2] = m[k];
23
+ }));
24
+ var __setModuleDefault = (this && this.__setModuleDefault) || (Object.create ? (function(o, v) {
25
+ Object.defineProperty(o, "default", { enumerable: true, value: v });
26
+ }) : function(o, v) {
27
+ o["default"] = v;
28
+ });
29
+ var __importStar = (this && this.__importStar) || (function () {
30
+ var ownKeys = function(o) {
31
+ ownKeys = Object.getOwnPropertyNames || function (o) {
32
+ var ar = [];
33
+ for (var k in o) if (Object.prototype.hasOwnProperty.call(o, k)) ar[ar.length] = k;
34
+ return ar;
35
+ };
36
+ return ownKeys(o);
37
+ };
38
+ return function (mod) {
39
+ if (mod && mod.__esModule) return mod;
40
+ var result = {};
41
+ if (mod != null) for (var k = ownKeys(mod), i = 0; i < k.length; i++) if (k[i] !== "default") __createBinding(result, mod, k[i]);
42
+ __setModuleDefault(result, mod);
43
+ return result;
44
+ };
45
+ })();
46
+ Object.defineProperty(exports, "__esModule", { value: true });
47
+ exports.createPortfolioService = createPortfolioService;
48
+ const logger_1 = require("../utils/logger");
49
+ const polymarket_auth_1 = require("../utils/polymarket-auth");
50
+ const kalshi_auth_1 = require("../utils/kalshi-auth");
51
+ // =============================================================================
52
+ // POLYMARKET API
53
+ // =============================================================================
54
+ const POLY_CLOB_URL = 'https://clob.polymarket.com';
55
+ const POLY_GAMMA_URL = 'https://gamma-api.polymarket.com';
56
+ async function fetchPolymarketPositions(auth) {
57
+ const url = `${POLY_CLOB_URL}/positions`;
58
+ const headers = (0, polymarket_auth_1.buildPolymarketHeadersForUrl)(auth, 'GET', url);
59
+ try {
60
+ const response = await fetch(url, {
61
+ method: 'GET',
62
+ headers: {
63
+ ...headers,
64
+ 'Content-Type': 'application/json',
65
+ },
66
+ });
67
+ if (!response.ok) {
68
+ logger_1.logger.error({ status: response.status }, 'Failed to fetch Polymarket positions');
69
+ return [];
70
+ }
71
+ const data = (await response.json());
72
+ return data.map((p) => {
73
+ const shares = parseFloat(p.size);
74
+ const avgPrice = parseFloat(p.avgPrice);
75
+ const currentPrice = parseFloat(p.cur_price);
76
+ const costBasis = shares * avgPrice;
77
+ const value = shares * currentPrice;
78
+ const unrealizedPnL = value - costBasis;
79
+ const unrealizedPnLPct = costBasis > 0 ? (unrealizedPnL / costBasis) * 100 : 0;
80
+ return {
81
+ id: `poly_${p.asset}`,
82
+ platform: 'polymarket',
83
+ marketId: p.condition_id,
84
+ marketQuestion: p.market,
85
+ outcome: p.outcome || 'Unknown',
86
+ tokenId: p.asset,
87
+ shares,
88
+ avgPrice,
89
+ currentPrice,
90
+ value,
91
+ costBasis,
92
+ unrealizedPnL,
93
+ unrealizedPnLPct,
94
+ realizedPnL: parseFloat(p.realized_pnl || '0'),
95
+ };
96
+ });
97
+ }
98
+ catch (error) {
99
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error }, 'Error fetching Polymarket positions');
100
+ return [];
101
+ }
102
+ }
103
+ async function fetchPolymarketBalance(auth) {
104
+ const url = `${POLY_CLOB_URL}/balance`;
105
+ const headers = (0, polymarket_auth_1.buildPolymarketHeadersForUrl)(auth, 'GET', url);
106
+ try {
107
+ const response = await fetch(url, {
108
+ method: 'GET',
109
+ headers: {
110
+ ...headers,
111
+ 'Content-Type': 'application/json',
112
+ },
113
+ });
114
+ if (!response.ok) {
115
+ logger_1.logger.error({ status: response.status }, 'Failed to fetch Polymarket balance');
116
+ return { platform: 'polymarket', available: 0, locked: 0, total: 0 };
117
+ }
118
+ const data = (await response.json());
119
+ const total = parseFloat(data.balance) / 1e6; // USDC has 6 decimals
120
+ // Calculate locked USDC from open buy orders
121
+ let locked = 0;
122
+ try {
123
+ const ordersUrl = `${POLY_CLOB_URL}/orders?state=OPEN`;
124
+ const ordersHeaders = (0, polymarket_auth_1.buildPolymarketHeadersForUrl)(auth, 'GET', ordersUrl);
125
+ const ordersRes = await fetch(ordersUrl, {
126
+ method: 'GET',
127
+ headers: { ...ordersHeaders, 'Content-Type': 'application/json' },
128
+ });
129
+ if (ordersRes.ok) {
130
+ const orders = (await ordersRes.json());
131
+ for (const order of orders) {
132
+ if (order.side === 'BUY') {
133
+ const remaining = parseFloat(order.original_size) - parseFloat(order.size_matched);
134
+ locked += remaining * parseFloat(order.price);
135
+ }
136
+ }
137
+ }
138
+ }
139
+ catch {
140
+ // Non-critical — just leave locked at 0
141
+ }
142
+ return {
143
+ platform: 'polymarket',
144
+ available: total - locked,
145
+ locked,
146
+ total,
147
+ };
148
+ }
149
+ catch (error) {
150
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error }, 'Error fetching Polymarket balance');
151
+ return { platform: 'polymarket', available: 0, locked: 0, total: 0 };
152
+ }
153
+ }
154
+ // =============================================================================
155
+ // KALSHI API
156
+ // =============================================================================
157
+ const KALSHI_API_URL = 'https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2';
158
+ async function fetchKalshiMarketPrice(auth, ticker) {
159
+ const url = `${KALSHI_API_URL}/markets/${ticker}`;
160
+ const headers = (0, kalshi_auth_1.buildKalshiHeadersForUrl)(auth, 'GET', url);
161
+ try {
162
+ const response = await fetch(url, {
163
+ method: 'GET',
164
+ headers: { ...headers, 'Content-Type': 'application/json' },
165
+ });
166
+ if (!response.ok)
167
+ return null;
168
+ const data = (await response.json());
169
+ const m = data.market;
170
+ const yesPrice = (m.yes_price ?? m.yes_bid ?? 0) / 100;
171
+ const noPrice = (m.no_bid ?? 0) / 100 || Math.max(0, 1 - yesPrice);
172
+ return { yesPrice, noPrice };
173
+ }
174
+ catch {
175
+ return null;
176
+ }
177
+ }
178
+ async function fetchKalshiPositions(auth) {
179
+ const url = `${KALSHI_API_URL}/portfolio/positions`;
180
+ const headers = (0, kalshi_auth_1.buildKalshiHeadersForUrl)(auth, 'GET', url);
181
+ try {
182
+ const response = await fetch(url, {
183
+ method: 'GET',
184
+ headers: {
185
+ ...headers,
186
+ 'Content-Type': 'application/json',
187
+ },
188
+ });
189
+ if (!response.ok) {
190
+ logger_1.logger.error({ status: response.status }, 'Failed to fetch Kalshi positions');
191
+ return [];
192
+ }
193
+ const data = (await response.json());
194
+ const positions = data.market_positions || [];
195
+ // Fetch current prices for all positions in parallel
196
+ const priceMap = new Map();
197
+ const uniqueMarkets = Array.from(new Set(positions.map((p) => p.market_id)));
198
+ const prices = await Promise.all(uniqueMarkets.map((ticker) => fetchKalshiMarketPrice(auth, ticker)));
199
+ uniqueMarkets.forEach((ticker, i) => {
200
+ if (prices[i])
201
+ priceMap.set(ticker, prices[i]);
202
+ });
203
+ return positions.map((p) => {
204
+ const shares = Math.abs(p.position);
205
+ const avgPrice = p.average_price / 100; // Kalshi uses cents
206
+ const isYes = p.position > 0;
207
+ const marketPrice = priceMap.get(p.market_id);
208
+ const currentPrice = marketPrice
209
+ ? (isYes ? marketPrice.yesPrice : marketPrice.noPrice)
210
+ : avgPrice; // Fall back to avgPrice if price fetch fails
211
+ const costBasis = p.total_cost / 100;
212
+ const value = shares * currentPrice;
213
+ const unrealizedPnL = value - costBasis;
214
+ const unrealizedPnLPct = costBasis > 0 ? (unrealizedPnL / costBasis) * 100 : 0;
215
+ return {
216
+ id: `kalshi_${p.market_id}`,
217
+ platform: 'kalshi',
218
+ marketId: p.market_id,
219
+ marketQuestion: p.market_title,
220
+ outcome: isYes ? 'Yes' : 'No',
221
+ shares,
222
+ avgPrice,
223
+ currentPrice,
224
+ value,
225
+ costBasis,
226
+ unrealizedPnL,
227
+ unrealizedPnLPct,
228
+ realizedPnL: p.realized_pnl / 100,
229
+ };
230
+ });
231
+ }
232
+ catch (error) {
233
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error }, 'Error fetching Kalshi positions');
234
+ return [];
235
+ }
236
+ }
237
+ async function fetchKalshiBalance(auth) {
238
+ const url = `${KALSHI_API_URL}/portfolio/balance`;
239
+ const headers = (0, kalshi_auth_1.buildKalshiHeadersForUrl)(auth, 'GET', url);
240
+ try {
241
+ const response = await fetch(url, {
242
+ method: 'GET',
243
+ headers: {
244
+ ...headers,
245
+ 'Content-Type': 'application/json',
246
+ },
247
+ });
248
+ if (!response.ok) {
249
+ logger_1.logger.error({ status: response.status }, 'Failed to fetch Kalshi balance');
250
+ return { platform: 'kalshi', available: 0, locked: 0, total: 0 };
251
+ }
252
+ const data = (await response.json());
253
+ const available = data.balance / 100; // Cents to dollars
254
+ return {
255
+ platform: 'kalshi',
256
+ available,
257
+ locked: 0,
258
+ total: available,
259
+ };
260
+ }
261
+ catch (error) {
262
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error }, 'Error fetching Kalshi balance');
263
+ return { platform: 'kalshi', available: 0, locked: 0, total: 0 };
264
+ }
265
+ }
266
+ // =============================================================================
267
+ // EXCHANGE FETCHERS (dynamic imports — SDKs only load when credentials present)
268
+ // =============================================================================
269
+ async function fetchHyperliquidPositions(config) {
270
+ try {
271
+ const hl = await Promise.resolve().then(() => __importStar(require('../exchanges/hyperliquid/index')));
272
+ const state = await hl.getUserState(config.walletAddress);
273
+ return state.assetPositions
274
+ .filter((ap) => parseFloat(ap.position.szi) !== 0)
275
+ .map((ap) => {
276
+ const p = ap.position;
277
+ const shares = Math.abs(parseFloat(p.szi));
278
+ const entryPrice = parseFloat(p.entryPx);
279
+ const unrealizedPnL = parseFloat(p.unrealizedPnl);
280
+ const isLong = parseFloat(p.szi) > 0;
281
+ const currentPrice = shares > 0 ? entryPrice + unrealizedPnL / shares : entryPrice;
282
+ const costBasis = shares * entryPrice;
283
+ const value = shares * currentPrice;
284
+ const unrealizedPnLPct = costBasis > 0 ? (unrealizedPnL / costBasis) * 100 : 0;
285
+ return {
286
+ id: `hl_${p.coin}_${isLong ? 'long' : 'short'}`,
287
+ platform: 'hyperliquid',
288
+ marketId: p.coin,
289
+ marketQuestion: `${p.coin} Perp`,
290
+ outcome: isLong ? 'Long' : 'Short',
291
+ shares,
292
+ avgPrice: entryPrice,
293
+ currentPrice,
294
+ value,
295
+ costBasis,
296
+ unrealizedPnL,
297
+ unrealizedPnLPct,
298
+ realizedPnL: 0,
299
+ side: isLong ? 'long' : 'short',
300
+ liquidationPrice: parseFloat(p.liquidationPx) || undefined,
301
+ };
302
+ });
303
+ }
304
+ catch (error) {
305
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error }, 'Error fetching Hyperliquid positions');
306
+ return [];
307
+ }
308
+ }
309
+ async function fetchHyperliquidBalance(config) {
310
+ try {
311
+ const hl = await Promise.resolve().then(() => __importStar(require('../exchanges/hyperliquid/index')));
312
+ const state = await hl.getUserState(config.walletAddress);
313
+ const accountValue = parseFloat(state.marginSummary.accountValue);
314
+ const marginUsed = parseFloat(state.marginSummary.totalMarginUsed);
315
+ return {
316
+ platform: 'hyperliquid',
317
+ available: accountValue - marginUsed,
318
+ locked: marginUsed,
319
+ total: accountValue,
320
+ };
321
+ }
322
+ catch (error) {
323
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error }, 'Error fetching Hyperliquid balance');
324
+ return { platform: 'hyperliquid', available: 0, locked: 0, total: 0 };
325
+ }
326
+ }
327
+ async function fetchBinancePositions(config) {
328
+ try {
329
+ const bin = await Promise.resolve().then(() => __importStar(require('../exchanges/binance-futures/index')));
330
+ const positions = await bin.getPositions(config);
331
+ return positions
332
+ .filter((p) => p.positionAmt !== 0)
333
+ .map((p) => {
334
+ const isLong = p.positionAmt > 0;
335
+ const shares = Math.abs(p.positionAmt);
336
+ const costBasis = shares * p.entryPrice;
337
+ const value = Math.abs(p.notional);
338
+ const unrealizedPnLPct = costBasis > 0 ? (p.unrealizedProfit / costBasis) * 100 : 0;
339
+ return {
340
+ id: `binance_${p.symbol}_${p.positionSide}`,
341
+ platform: 'binance',
342
+ marketId: p.symbol,
343
+ marketQuestion: `${p.symbol} Perp`,
344
+ outcome: isLong ? 'Long' : 'Short',
345
+ shares,
346
+ avgPrice: p.entryPrice,
347
+ currentPrice: p.markPrice,
348
+ value,
349
+ costBasis,
350
+ unrealizedPnL: p.unrealizedProfit,
351
+ unrealizedPnLPct,
352
+ realizedPnL: 0,
353
+ leverage: p.leverage,
354
+ marginType: p.marginType,
355
+ liquidationPrice: p.liquidationPrice || undefined,
356
+ notionalValue: Math.abs(p.notional),
357
+ side: isLong ? 'long' : 'short',
358
+ };
359
+ });
360
+ }
361
+ catch (error) {
362
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error }, 'Error fetching Binance positions');
363
+ return [];
364
+ }
365
+ }
366
+ async function fetchBinanceBalance(config) {
367
+ try {
368
+ const bin = await Promise.resolve().then(() => __importStar(require('../exchanges/binance-futures/index')));
369
+ const balances = await bin.getBalance(config);
370
+ const usdt = balances.find((b) => b.asset === 'USDT');
371
+ if (!usdt)
372
+ return { platform: 'binance', available: 0, locked: 0, total: 0 };
373
+ return {
374
+ platform: 'binance',
375
+ available: usdt.availableBalance,
376
+ locked: usdt.balance - usdt.availableBalance,
377
+ total: usdt.balance,
378
+ };
379
+ }
380
+ catch (error) {
381
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error }, 'Error fetching Binance balance');
382
+ return { platform: 'binance', available: 0, locked: 0, total: 0 };
383
+ }
384
+ }
385
+ async function fetchBybitPositions(config) {
386
+ try {
387
+ const bb = await Promise.resolve().then(() => __importStar(require('../exchanges/bybit/index')));
388
+ const positions = await bb.getPositions(config);
389
+ return positions
390
+ .filter((p) => p.size !== 0)
391
+ .map((p) => {
392
+ const isLong = p.side === 'Buy';
393
+ const costBasis = p.size * p.entryPrice;
394
+ const unrealizedPnLPct = costBasis > 0 ? (p.unrealisedPnl / costBasis) * 100 : 0;
395
+ return {
396
+ id: `bybit_${p.symbol}_${p.side}`,
397
+ platform: 'bybit',
398
+ marketId: p.symbol,
399
+ marketQuestion: `${p.symbol} Perp`,
400
+ outcome: isLong ? 'Long' : 'Short',
401
+ shares: p.size,
402
+ avgPrice: p.entryPrice,
403
+ currentPrice: p.markPrice,
404
+ value: p.positionValue,
405
+ costBasis,
406
+ unrealizedPnL: p.unrealisedPnl,
407
+ unrealizedPnLPct,
408
+ realizedPnL: p.cumRealisedPnl,
409
+ leverage: p.leverage,
410
+ liquidationPrice: p.liqPrice || undefined,
411
+ notionalValue: p.positionValue,
412
+ side: isLong ? 'long' : 'short',
413
+ };
414
+ });
415
+ }
416
+ catch (error) {
417
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error }, 'Error fetching Bybit positions');
418
+ return [];
419
+ }
420
+ }
421
+ async function fetchBybitBalance(config) {
422
+ try {
423
+ const bb = await Promise.resolve().then(() => __importStar(require('../exchanges/bybit/index')));
424
+ const balances = await bb.getBalance(config);
425
+ const usdt = balances.find((b) => b.coin === 'USDT');
426
+ if (!usdt)
427
+ return { platform: 'bybit', available: 0, locked: 0, total: 0 };
428
+ return {
429
+ platform: 'bybit',
430
+ available: usdt.availableBalance,
431
+ locked: usdt.equity - usdt.availableBalance,
432
+ total: usdt.equity,
433
+ };
434
+ }
435
+ catch (error) {
436
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error }, 'Error fetching Bybit balance');
437
+ return { platform: 'bybit', available: 0, locked: 0, total: 0 };
438
+ }
439
+ }
440
+ async function fetchMexcPositions(config) {
441
+ try {
442
+ const mx = await Promise.resolve().then(() => __importStar(require('../exchanges/mexc/index')));
443
+ const positions = await mx.getPositions(config);
444
+ return positions
445
+ .filter((p) => p.holdVol !== 0)
446
+ .map((p) => {
447
+ const isLong = p.positionType === 1;
448
+ const costBasis = p.holdVol * p.openAvgPrice;
449
+ const unrealizedPnLPct = costBasis > 0 ? (p.unrealisedPnl / costBasis) * 100 : 0;
450
+ return {
451
+ id: `mexc_${p.symbol}_${isLong ? 'long' : 'short'}`,
452
+ platform: 'mexc',
453
+ marketId: p.symbol,
454
+ marketQuestion: `${p.symbol} Perp`,
455
+ outcome: isLong ? 'Long' : 'Short',
456
+ shares: p.holdVol,
457
+ avgPrice: p.openAvgPrice,
458
+ currentPrice: p.markPrice,
459
+ value: p.positionValue,
460
+ costBasis,
461
+ unrealizedPnL: p.unrealisedPnl,
462
+ unrealizedPnLPct,
463
+ realizedPnL: p.realisedPnl,
464
+ leverage: p.leverage,
465
+ liquidationPrice: p.liquidatePrice || undefined,
466
+ notionalValue: p.positionValue,
467
+ side: isLong ? 'long' : 'short',
468
+ };
469
+ });
470
+ }
471
+ catch (error) {
472
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error }, 'Error fetching MEXC positions');
473
+ return [];
474
+ }
475
+ }
476
+ async function fetchMexcBalance(config) {
477
+ try {
478
+ const mx = await Promise.resolve().then(() => __importStar(require('../exchanges/mexc/index')));
479
+ const balances = await mx.getBalance(config);
480
+ const usdt = balances.find((b) => b.currency === 'USDT');
481
+ if (!usdt)
482
+ return { platform: 'mexc', available: 0, locked: 0, total: 0 };
483
+ return {
484
+ platform: 'mexc',
485
+ available: usdt.availableBalance,
486
+ locked: usdt.frozenBalance,
487
+ total: usdt.equity,
488
+ };
489
+ }
490
+ catch (error) {
491
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error }, 'Error fetching MEXC balance');
492
+ return { platform: 'mexc', available: 0, locked: 0, total: 0 };
493
+ }
494
+ }
495
+ // =============================================================================
496
+ // PORTFOLIO SERVICE
497
+ // =============================================================================
498
+ function createPortfolioService(config, db) {
499
+ const cacheTtl = (config.cacheTtlSeconds || 30) * 1000;
500
+ let cachedPositions = null;
501
+ let cachedBalances = null;
502
+ let lastFetch = 0;
503
+ async function refreshIfStale() {
504
+ if (Date.now() - lastFetch > cacheTtl) {
505
+ await service.refresh();
506
+ }
507
+ }
508
+ const service = {
509
+ async fetchPositions() {
510
+ const fetchers = [];
511
+ if (config.polymarket)
512
+ fetchers.push(fetchPolymarketPositions(config.polymarket));
513
+ if (config.kalshi)
514
+ fetchers.push(fetchKalshiPositions(config.kalshi));
515
+ if (config.hyperliquid)
516
+ fetchers.push(fetchHyperliquidPositions(config.hyperliquid));
517
+ if (config.binance)
518
+ fetchers.push(fetchBinancePositions(config.binance));
519
+ if (config.bybit)
520
+ fetchers.push(fetchBybitPositions(config.bybit));
521
+ if (config.mexc)
522
+ fetchers.push(fetchMexcPositions(config.mexc));
523
+ const results = await Promise.allSettled(fetchers);
524
+ const positions = [];
525
+ for (const result of results) {
526
+ if (result.status === 'fulfilled') {
527
+ positions.push(...result.value);
528
+ }
529
+ else {
530
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error: result.reason }, 'Exchange position fetch failed');
531
+ }
532
+ }
533
+ cachedPositions = positions;
534
+ lastFetch = Date.now();
535
+ logger_1.logger.info({ count: positions.length }, 'Fetched positions');
536
+ return positions;
537
+ },
538
+ async fetchBalances() {
539
+ const fetchers = [];
540
+ if (config.polymarket)
541
+ fetchers.push(fetchPolymarketBalance(config.polymarket));
542
+ if (config.kalshi)
543
+ fetchers.push(fetchKalshiBalance(config.kalshi));
544
+ if (config.hyperliquid)
545
+ fetchers.push(fetchHyperliquidBalance(config.hyperliquid));
546
+ if (config.binance)
547
+ fetchers.push(fetchBinanceBalance(config.binance));
548
+ if (config.bybit)
549
+ fetchers.push(fetchBybitBalance(config.bybit));
550
+ if (config.mexc)
551
+ fetchers.push(fetchMexcBalance(config.mexc));
552
+ const results = await Promise.allSettled(fetchers);
553
+ const balances = [];
554
+ for (const result of results) {
555
+ if (result.status === 'fulfilled') {
556
+ balances.push(result.value);
557
+ }
558
+ else {
559
+ logger_1.logger.error({ error: result.reason }, 'Exchange balance fetch failed');
560
+ }
561
+ }
562
+ cachedBalances = balances;
563
+ return balances;
564
+ },
565
+ async getSummary() {
566
+ await refreshIfStale();
567
+ const positions = cachedPositions || [];
568
+ const balances = cachedBalances || [];
569
+ const totalValue = positions.reduce((sum, p) => sum + p.value, 0);
570
+ const totalCostBasis = positions.reduce((sum, p) => sum + p.costBasis, 0);
571
+ const unrealizedPnL = positions.reduce((sum, p) => sum + p.unrealizedPnL, 0);
572
+ const realizedPnL = positions.reduce((sum, p) => sum + p.realizedPnL, 0);
573
+ const unrealizedPnLPct = totalCostBasis > 0 ? (unrealizedPnL / totalCostBasis) * 100 : 0;
574
+ return {
575
+ totalValue,
576
+ totalCostBasis,
577
+ unrealizedPnL,
578
+ unrealizedPnLPct,
579
+ realizedPnL,
580
+ positionsCount: positions.length,
581
+ balances,
582
+ positions,
583
+ lastUpdated: new Date(lastFetch),
584
+ };
585
+ },
586
+ async getPositionsByPlatform(platform) {
587
+ await refreshIfStale();
588
+ return (cachedPositions || []).filter((p) => p.platform === platform);
589
+ },
590
+ async getPosition(platform, marketId, outcome) {
591
+ await refreshIfStale();
592
+ return ((cachedPositions || []).find((p) => p.platform === platform && p.marketId === marketId && p.outcome === outcome) || null);
593
+ },
594
+ async getUnrealizedPnL() {
595
+ await refreshIfStale();
596
+ return (cachedPositions || []).reduce((sum, p) => sum + p.unrealizedPnL, 0);
597
+ },
598
+ async getTotalValue() {
599
+ await refreshIfStale();
600
+ const positions = cachedPositions || [];
601
+ const balances = cachedBalances || [];
602
+ const positionValue = positions.reduce((sum, p) => sum + p.value, 0);
603
+ const cashValue = balances.reduce((sum, b) => sum + b.available, 0);
604
+ return positionValue + cashValue;
605
+ },
606
+ async formatSummary() {
607
+ const summary = await this.getSummary();
608
+ const pnlSign = summary.unrealizedPnL >= 0 ? '+' : '';
609
+ const pnlEmoji = summary.unrealizedPnL >= 0 ? '🟢' : '🔴';
610
+ let text = `📊 **Portfolio Summary**\n\n`;
611
+ text += `**Total Value:** $${summary.totalValue.toFixed(2)}\n`;
612
+ text += `**Positions:** ${summary.positionsCount}\n`;
613
+ text += `**Unrealized P&L:** ${pnlEmoji} ${pnlSign}$${summary.unrealizedPnL.toFixed(2)} (${pnlSign}${summary.unrealizedPnLPct.toFixed(1)}%)\n`;
614
+ text += `**Realized P&L:** $${summary.realizedPnL.toFixed(2)}\n\n`;
615
+ text += `**Balances:**\n`;
616
+ for (const bal of summary.balances) {
617
+ let balLine = ` ${bal.platform}: $${bal.total.toFixed(2)}`;
618
+ if (bal.locked > 0) {
619
+ balLine += ` ($${bal.available.toFixed(2)} avail, $${bal.locked.toFixed(2)} locked)`;
620
+ }
621
+ text += balLine + '\n';
622
+ }
623
+ text += `\n_Updated: ${summary.lastUpdated.toLocaleTimeString()}_`;
624
+ return text;
625
+ },
626
+ async formatPositionsTable() {
627
+ await refreshIfStale();
628
+ const positions = cachedPositions || [];
629
+ if (positions.length === 0) {
630
+ return '📭 No open positions';
631
+ }
632
+ let text = `📈 **Open Positions** (${positions.length})\n\n`;
633
+ for (const pos of positions) {
634
+ const pnlSign = pos.unrealizedPnL >= 0 ? '+' : '';
635
+ const pnlEmoji = pos.unrealizedPnL >= 0 ? '🟢' : '🔴';
636
+ const question = pos.marketQuestion
637
+ ? pos.marketQuestion.slice(0, 40) + (pos.marketQuestion.length > 40 ? '...' : '')
638
+ : pos.marketId.slice(0, 20);
639
+ text += `**${question}** [${pos.platform}]\n`;
640
+ if (pos.side) {
641
+ const leverageStr = pos.leverage ? ` ${pos.leverage}x` : '';
642
+ const liqStr = pos.liquidationPrice ? ` | liq $${pos.liquidationPrice.toFixed(2)}` : '';
643
+ text += ` ${pos.side.toUpperCase()}${leverageStr}: ${pos.shares.toFixed(4)} @ $${pos.currentPrice.toFixed(2)}\n`;
644
+ text += ` ${pnlEmoji} ${pnlSign}$${pos.unrealizedPnL.toFixed(2)} (${pnlSign}${pos.unrealizedPnLPct.toFixed(1)}%)${liqStr}\n\n`;
645
+ }
646
+ else {
647
+ text += ` ${pos.outcome}: ${pos.shares.toFixed(2)} @ $${pos.currentPrice.toFixed(3)}\n`;
648
+ text += ` ${pnlEmoji} ${pnlSign}$${pos.unrealizedPnL.toFixed(2)} (${pnlSign}${pos.unrealizedPnLPct.toFixed(1)}%)\n\n`;
649
+ }
650
+ }
651
+ return text;
652
+ },
653
+ async refresh() {
654
+ await Promise.all([this.fetchPositions(), this.fetchBalances()]);
655
+ logger_1.logger.info('Portfolio refreshed');
656
+ },
657
+ // =========================================================================
658
+ // CORRELATION TRACKING
659
+ // =========================================================================
660
+ classifyPosition(position) {
661
+ const question = (position.marketQuestion || '').toLowerCase();
662
+ // Politics keywords
663
+ if (/trump|biden|harris|election|president|congress|senate|governor|poll|vote/i.test(question)) {
664
+ return 'politics';
665
+ }
666
+ // Crypto keywords
667
+ if (/bitcoin|btc|ethereum|eth|crypto|solana|sol|doge|token|blockchain/i.test(question)) {
668
+ return 'crypto';
669
+ }
670
+ // Sports keywords
671
+ if (/nfl|nba|mlb|nhl|super\s*bowl|world\s*series|playoff|championship|team|game|match|win/i.test(question)) {
672
+ return 'sports';
673
+ }
674
+ // Economics keywords
675
+ if (/fed|interest\s*rate|inflation|cpi|gdp|recession|unemployment|fomc|tariff|trade/i.test(question)) {
676
+ return 'economics';
677
+ }
678
+ // Weather keywords
679
+ if (/weather|temperature|hurricane|storm|rain|snow|heat|cold|climate/i.test(question)) {
680
+ return 'weather';
681
+ }
682
+ // Entertainment keywords
683
+ if (/movie|oscar|emmy|grammy|album|song|celebrity|actor|netflix|disney/i.test(question)) {
684
+ return 'entertainment';
685
+ }
686
+ // Science keywords
687
+ if (/nasa|space|mars|moon|vaccine|fda|drug|research|study|discovery/i.test(question)) {
688
+ return 'science';
689
+ }
690
+ return 'other';
691
+ },
692
+ calculateCorrelation(positionA, positionB) {
693
+ const questionA = (positionA.marketQuestion || '').toLowerCase();
694
+ const questionB = (positionB.marketQuestion || '').toLowerCase();
695
+ // Same market, opposite outcomes = negative correlation
696
+ if (positionA.marketId === positionB.marketId) {
697
+ if (positionA.outcome !== positionB.outcome) {
698
+ return {
699
+ positionA: positionA.id,
700
+ positionB: positionB.id,
701
+ correlation: -1.0,
702
+ correlationType: 'negative',
703
+ reason: 'Same market, opposite outcomes',
704
+ };
705
+ }
706
+ return {
707
+ positionA: positionA.id,
708
+ positionB: positionB.id,
709
+ correlation: 1.0,
710
+ correlationType: 'positive',
711
+ reason: 'Same market, same outcome',
712
+ };
713
+ }
714
+ // Check for related topics
715
+ const categoryA = this.classifyPosition(positionA);
716
+ const categoryB = this.classifyPosition(positionB);
717
+ // Same category = moderate positive correlation
718
+ if (categoryA === categoryB && categoryA !== 'other') {
719
+ // Look for more specific correlations
720
+ const extractKeyEntities = (q) => {
721
+ const entities = [];
722
+ // Extract names
723
+ const nameMatch = q.match(/\b(trump|biden|harris|musk|bezos|bitcoin|ethereum|solana)\b/gi);
724
+ if (nameMatch)
725
+ entities.push(...nameMatch.map((n) => n.toLowerCase()));
726
+ // Extract years
727
+ const yearMatch = q.match(/\b(202\d)\b/g);
728
+ if (yearMatch)
729
+ entities.push(...yearMatch);
730
+ return entities;
731
+ };
732
+ const entitiesA = extractKeyEntities(questionA);
733
+ const entitiesB = extractKeyEntities(questionB);
734
+ const sharedEntities = entitiesA.filter((e) => entitiesB.includes(e));
735
+ if (sharedEntities.length > 0) {
736
+ return {
737
+ positionA: positionA.id,
738
+ positionB: positionB.id,
739
+ correlation: 0.7 + sharedEntities.length * 0.1,
740
+ correlationType: 'positive',
741
+ reason: `Same category (${categoryA}) with shared entities: ${sharedEntities.join(', ')}`,
742
+ };
743
+ }
744
+ return {
745
+ positionA: positionA.id,
746
+ positionB: positionB.id,
747
+ correlation: 0.4,
748
+ correlationType: 'positive',
749
+ reason: `Same category: ${categoryA}`,
750
+ };
751
+ }
752
+ // Check for economic/political correlation
753
+ if ((categoryA === 'politics' && categoryB === 'economics') ||
754
+ (categoryA === 'economics' && categoryB === 'politics')) {
755
+ return {
756
+ positionA: positionA.id,
757
+ positionB: positionB.id,
758
+ correlation: 0.3,
759
+ correlationType: 'positive',
760
+ reason: 'Politics and economics are often correlated',
761
+ };
762
+ }
763
+ // Default: low/no correlation
764
+ return {
765
+ positionA: positionA.id,
766
+ positionB: positionB.id,
767
+ correlation: 0.1,
768
+ correlationType: 'neutral',
769
+ reason: 'Different categories',
770
+ };
771
+ },
772
+ async getCorrelationMatrix() {
773
+ await refreshIfStale();
774
+ const positions = cachedPositions || [];
775
+ if (positions.length === 0) {
776
+ return {
777
+ positions: [],
778
+ matrix: [],
779
+ highCorrelationPairs: [],
780
+ portfolioCorrelation: 0,
781
+ };
782
+ }
783
+ const positionIds = positions.map((p) => p.id);
784
+ const n = positions.length;
785
+ const matrix = Array(n)
786
+ .fill(null)
787
+ .map(() => Array(n).fill(0));
788
+ const highCorrelationPairs = [];
789
+ // Calculate pairwise correlations
790
+ for (let i = 0; i < n; i++) {
791
+ matrix[i][i] = 1.0; // Self-correlation
792
+ for (let j = i + 1; j < n; j++) {
793
+ const corr = this.calculateCorrelation(positions[i], positions[j]);
794
+ matrix[i][j] = corr.correlation;
795
+ matrix[j][i] = corr.correlation;
796
+ if (Math.abs(corr.correlation) > 0.7) {
797
+ highCorrelationPairs.push(corr);
798
+ }
799
+ }
800
+ }
801
+ // Calculate overall portfolio correlation (average of absolute correlations)
802
+ let totalCorr = 0;
803
+ let count = 0;
804
+ for (let i = 0; i < n; i++) {
805
+ for (let j = i + 1; j < n; j++) {
806
+ totalCorr += Math.abs(matrix[i][j]);
807
+ count++;
808
+ }
809
+ }
810
+ const portfolioCorrelation = count > 0 ? totalCorr / count : 0;
811
+ return {
812
+ positions: positionIds,
813
+ matrix,
814
+ highCorrelationPairs,
815
+ portfolioCorrelation,
816
+ };
817
+ },
818
+ async getCategoryExposure() {
819
+ await refreshIfStale();
820
+ const positions = cachedPositions || [];
821
+ if (positions.length === 0) {
822
+ return [];
823
+ }
824
+ const totalValue = positions.reduce((sum, p) => sum + Math.abs(p.value), 0);
825
+ const byCategory = new Map();
826
+ for (const pos of positions) {
827
+ const category = this.classifyPosition(pos);
828
+ const existing = byCategory.get(category) || { value: 0, positions: [] };
829
+ existing.value += Math.abs(pos.value);
830
+ existing.positions.push(pos.id);
831
+ byCategory.set(category, existing);
832
+ }
833
+ const exposures = [];
834
+ for (const [category, data] of byCategory) {
835
+ exposures.push({
836
+ category,
837
+ positionCount: data.positions.length,
838
+ totalValue: data.value,
839
+ valuePercent: totalValue > 0 ? (data.value / totalValue) * 100 : 0,
840
+ positions: data.positions,
841
+ });
842
+ }
843
+ // Sort by value descending
844
+ exposures.sort((a, b) => b.totalValue - a.totalValue);
845
+ return exposures;
846
+ },
847
+ async getConcentrationRisk() {
848
+ await refreshIfStale();
849
+ const positions = cachedPositions || [];
850
+ if (positions.length === 0) {
851
+ return {
852
+ hhi: 0,
853
+ largestPositionPct: 0,
854
+ top3Pct: 0,
855
+ diversificationScore: 100,
856
+ riskLevel: 'low',
857
+ };
858
+ }
859
+ const totalValue = positions.reduce((sum, p) => sum + Math.abs(p.value), 0);
860
+ if (totalValue === 0) {
861
+ return {
862
+ hhi: 0,
863
+ largestPositionPct: 0,
864
+ top3Pct: 0,
865
+ diversificationScore: 100,
866
+ riskLevel: 'low',
867
+ };
868
+ }
869
+ // Calculate market shares (as percentages)
870
+ const shares = positions.map((p) => (Math.abs(p.value) / totalValue) * 100);
871
+ shares.sort((a, b) => b - a);
872
+ // HHI = sum of squared market shares
873
+ const hhi = shares.reduce((sum, s) => sum + s * s, 0);
874
+ const largestPositionPct = shares[0];
875
+ const top3Pct = shares.slice(0, 3).reduce((sum, s) => sum + s, 0);
876
+ // Diversification score: 100 - (HHI normalized to 0-100)
877
+ // Max HHI = 10000 (single position), Min HHI = 10000/n (equal distribution)
878
+ const maxHhi = 10000;
879
+ const minHhi = positions.length > 0 ? 10000 / positions.length : 0;
880
+ const normalizedHhi = ((hhi - minHhi) / (maxHhi - minHhi)) * 100;
881
+ const diversificationScore = Math.max(0, 100 - normalizedHhi);
882
+ // Risk level thresholds
883
+ let riskLevel;
884
+ if (largestPositionPct > 50 || hhi > 5000) {
885
+ riskLevel = 'critical';
886
+ }
887
+ else if (largestPositionPct > 30 || hhi > 2500) {
888
+ riskLevel = 'high';
889
+ }
890
+ else if (largestPositionPct > 20 || hhi > 1500) {
891
+ riskLevel = 'medium';
892
+ }
893
+ else {
894
+ riskLevel = 'low';
895
+ }
896
+ return {
897
+ hhi: Math.round(hhi),
898
+ largestPositionPct,
899
+ top3Pct,
900
+ diversificationScore: Math.round(diversificationScore),
901
+ riskLevel,
902
+ };
903
+ },
904
+ async findHedgedPairs() {
905
+ await refreshIfStale();
906
+ const positions = cachedPositions || [];
907
+ const hedgedPairs = [];
908
+ // Find positions in the same market with opposite outcomes
909
+ const byMarket = new Map();
910
+ for (const pos of positions) {
911
+ const key = `${pos.platform}:${pos.marketId}`;
912
+ const existing = byMarket.get(key) || [];
913
+ existing.push(pos);
914
+ byMarket.set(key, existing);
915
+ }
916
+ for (const [_, marketPositions] of byMarket) {
917
+ if (marketPositions.length >= 2) {
918
+ // Find YES and NO positions
919
+ const yesPos = marketPositions.find((p) => p.outcome.toLowerCase() === 'yes');
920
+ const noPos = marketPositions.find((p) => p.outcome.toLowerCase() === 'no');
921
+ if (yesPos && noPos) {
922
+ const minValue = Math.min(Math.abs(yesPos.value), Math.abs(noPos.value));
923
+ const maxValue = Math.max(Math.abs(yesPos.value), Math.abs(noPos.value));
924
+ const hedgeRatio = maxValue > 0 ? minValue / maxValue : 0;
925
+ hedgedPairs.push({
926
+ longPosition: yesPos.value > noPos.value ? yesPos.id : noPos.id,
927
+ shortPosition: yesPos.value > noPos.value ? noPos.id : yesPos.id,
928
+ hedgeRatio,
929
+ });
930
+ }
931
+ }
932
+ }
933
+ return hedgedPairs;
934
+ },
935
+ async getPortfolioRiskMetrics() {
936
+ await refreshIfStale();
937
+ const positions = cachedPositions || [];
938
+ const [correlationMatrix, categoryExposure, concentrationRisk, hedgedPositions] = await Promise.all([
939
+ this.getCorrelationMatrix(),
940
+ this.getCategoryExposure(),
941
+ this.getConcentrationRisk(),
942
+ this.findHedgedPairs(),
943
+ ]);
944
+ // Platform exposure
945
+ const totalValue = positions.reduce((sum, p) => sum + Math.abs(p.value), 0);
946
+ const byPlatform = new Map();
947
+ for (const pos of positions) {
948
+ const existing = byPlatform.get(pos.platform) || { count: 0, value: 0 };
949
+ existing.count++;
950
+ existing.value += Math.abs(pos.value);
951
+ byPlatform.set(pos.platform, existing);
952
+ }
953
+ const platformExposure = Array.from(byPlatform.entries()).map(([platform, data]) => ({
954
+ platform,
955
+ positionCount: data.count,
956
+ totalValue: data.value,
957
+ valuePercent: totalValue > 0 ? (data.value / totalValue) * 100 : 0,
958
+ }));
959
+ return {
960
+ correlationMatrix,
961
+ categoryExposure,
962
+ platformExposure,
963
+ concentrationRisk,
964
+ hedgedPositions,
965
+ };
966
+ },
967
+ };
968
+ return service;
969
+ }
970
+ //# sourceMappingURL=index.js.map