@tangle-network/agent-bench 0.3.6 → 0.3.8

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Files changed (265) hide show
  1. package/CHANGELOG.md +11 -0
  2. package/HARNESS.md +43 -0
  3. package/dist/adapters.js +24 -24
  4. package/dist/benchmarks/_harness.d.ts +1 -1
  5. package/dist/benchmarks/_harness.js +1 -1
  6. package/dist/benchmarks/aec-bench.js +2 -2
  7. package/dist/benchmarks/agentbench.js +2 -2
  8. package/dist/benchmarks/appworld.js +2 -2
  9. package/dist/benchmarks/bfcl.js +2 -2
  10. package/dist/benchmarks/commit0.js +2 -2
  11. package/dist/benchmarks/crag.js +2 -2
  12. package/dist/benchmarks/dabstep.js +2 -2
  13. package/dist/benchmarks/enterpriseops-gym.js +2 -2
  14. package/dist/benchmarks/finresearchbench.js +2 -2
  15. package/dist/benchmarks/humaneval.d.ts +10 -1
  16. package/dist/benchmarks/humaneval.js +5 -3
  17. package/dist/benchmarks/nomiracl.js +2 -2
  18. package/dist/benchmarks/open-rag-bench.js +2 -2
  19. package/dist/benchmarks/programbench.js +2 -2
  20. package/dist/benchmarks/ragbench.js +2 -2
  21. package/dist/benchmarks/swe-bench.js +2 -2
  22. package/dist/benchmarks/t2-ragbench.js +2 -2
  23. package/dist/benchmarks/tau-bench-shared.js +2 -2
  24. package/dist/benchmarks/tau2-bench.js +3 -3
  25. package/dist/benchmarks/tau3-banking.js +3 -3
  26. package/dist/benchmarks/terminal-bench.js +2 -2
  27. package/dist/benchmarks/toollm.js +2 -2
  28. package/dist/benchmarks/webarena-verified.js +2 -2
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  55. package/dist/index.js +24 -24
  56. package/package.json +6 -5
  57. package/scripts/run-package-tests.mjs +30 -8
  58. package/scripts/verify-packed-consumer.mjs +1 -1
  59. package/scripts/verify-pier-agent.mts +1 -0
  60. package/src/benchmarks/_harness.ts +20 -2
  61. package/src/benchmarks/humaneval.test.mts +122 -0
  62. package/src/benchmarks/humaneval.ts +100 -27
  63. package/src/david-attribution.mts +78 -0
  64. package/src/david-goliath.mts +149 -0
  65. package/src/hev-improve.mts +25 -6
  66. package/src/humaneval-object-ablation.mts +201 -0
  67. package/src/live-improve-campaign-mbpp.mts +641 -0
  68. package/src/live-improve-campaign.mts +500 -0
  69. package/src/mbpp-structural.mts +12 -7
  70. package/src/quant-arena/README.md +144 -0
  71. package/src/quant-arena/backtest.test.mts +135 -0
  72. package/src/quant-arena/backtest.ts +218 -0
  73. package/src/quant-arena/data.test.mts +44 -0
  74. package/src/quant-arena/data.ts +141 -0
  75. package/src/quant-arena/driver.test.mts +253 -0
  76. package/src/quant-arena/driver.ts +219 -0
  77. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/data/PROVENANCE.md +26 -0
  78. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/data/holdout/IDX.csv +523 -0
  79. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/data/holdout/S01.csv +523 -0
  80. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/data/holdout/S02.csv +523 -0
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  98. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/data/insample/S09.csv +2087 -0
  99. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/data/insample/S10.csv +2087 -0
  100. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/demo-campaign/cost-ledger.jsonl +16 -0
  101. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/demo-campaign/notebook.jsonl +5 -0
  102. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/demo-campaign/rollout-manifest.json +171 -0
  103. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/demo-campaign/strategies/cand-001-default-author/strategy.ts +119 -0
  104. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/demo-campaign/strategies/cand-002-default-author/strategy.ts +119 -0
  105. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/demo-campaign/strategies/cand-003-quant-researcher/strategy.ts +105 -0
  106. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/demo-campaign/strategies/cand-004-quant-researcher/strategy.ts +102 -0
  107. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/demo-campaign-v2/cost-ledger.jsonl +4 -0
  108. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/demo-campaign-v2/notebook.jsonl +2 -0
  109. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/demo-campaign-v2/rollout-manifest.json +84 -0
  110. package/src/quant-arena/fixtures/demo-campaign-v2/strategies/cand-001-quant-researcher/strategy.ts +117 -0
  111. package/src/quant-arena/holdout-certify.mts +206 -0
  112. package/src/quant-arena/holdout-certify.test.mts +82 -0
  113. package/src/quant-arena/leak-audit.test.mts +79 -0
  114. package/src/quant-arena/leak-audit.ts +95 -0
  115. package/src/quant-arena/make-fixtures.mts +161 -0
  116. package/src/quant-arena/multiplicity.test.mts +68 -0
  117. package/src/quant-arena/multiplicity.ts +87 -0
  118. package/src/quant-arena/nautilus-certify.ts +31 -0
  119. package/src/quant-arena/oms.ts +90 -0
  120. package/src/quant-arena/profiles/quant-researcher.profile.json +7 -0
  121. package/src/quant-arena/python/pyproject.toml +8 -0
  122. package/src/quant-arena/python/uv.lock +1297 -0
  123. package/src/quant-arena/python/vbt-worker.py +192 -0
  124. package/src/quant-arena/quant-loop.mts +813 -0
  125. package/src/quant-arena/quant-loop.test.mts +75 -0
  126. package/src/quant-arena/strategies/buy-hold-index/strategy.ts +11 -0
  127. package/src/quant-arena/strategies/equal-weight/strategy.ts +20 -0
  128. package/src/quant-arena/strategies/sma-crossover/strategy.ts +42 -0
  129. package/src/quant-arena/types.ts +133 -0
  130. package/src/quant-arena/vbt-client.ts +321 -0
  131. package/src/quant-arena/vbt-parity.test.mts +183 -0
  132. package/src/quant-arena/windows.test.mts +45 -0
  133. package/src/quant-arena/windows.ts +54 -0
  134. package/src/rollout-ledger/backfill-swe-arena.mts +606 -0
  135. package/src/rollout-ledger/backfill-swe-arena.test.mts +338 -0
  136. package/src/rollout-ledger/settle-capture.mts +442 -0
  137. package/src/rollout-ledger/settle-capture.test.mts +270 -0
  138. package/src/stream-observe.py +45 -0
  139. package/src/stream-observe.tpl.html +247 -0
  140. package/src/supervisor-arena.mts +816 -0
  141. package/src/swe-arena/activation.mts +228 -0
  142. package/src/swe-arena/activation.test.mts +303 -0
  143. package/src/swe-arena/analyze.ts +211 -0
  144. package/src/swe-arena/arms.ts +804 -0
  145. package/src/swe-arena/bootstrap-meta.mts +188 -0
  146. package/src/swe-arena/bootstrap-meta.test.mts +51 -0
  147. package/src/swe-arena/briefing.mts +217 -0
  148. package/src/swe-arena/briefing.test.mts +178 -0
  149. package/src/swe-arena/calibrate.ts +217 -0
  150. package/src/swe-arena/capabilities.mts +76 -0
  151. package/src/swe-arena/capabilities.test.mts +57 -0
  152. package/src/swe-arena/capacity.ts +194 -0
  153. package/src/swe-arena/cell-evidence.mts +437 -0
  154. package/src/swe-arena/cell-evidence.test.mts +248 -0
  155. package/src/swe-arena/diagnosis-ensemble.test.mts +210 -0
  156. package/src/swe-arena/diagnosis-ensemble.ts +520 -0
  157. package/src/swe-arena/execution.test.mts +1170 -0
  158. package/src/swe-arena/factory-command-container.ts +284 -0
  159. package/src/swe-arena/factory-judge-child.mts +228 -0
  160. package/src/swe-arena/factory.test.mts +643 -0
  161. package/src/swe-arena/fixtures/analyze.py +80 -0
  162. package/src/swe-arena/fixtures/excludes.txt +8 -0
  163. package/src/swe-arena/fixtures/factory/agent-eval-309/calibration.md +51 -0
  164. package/src/swe-arena/fixtures/factory/agent-eval-309/manifest.json +29 -0
  165. package/src/swe-arena/fixtures/factory/agent-eval-309/spec.md +64 -0
  166. package/src/swe-arena/fixtures/factory/agent-runtime-232/calibration.md +48 -0
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  169. package/src/swe-arena/fixtures/factory/loops-28/calibration.md +47 -0
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@@ -0,0 +1,149 @@
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+ /**
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+ * DAVID vs GOLIATH — the program's northstar, tested head-on: does a CHEAP model
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+ * with a self-verification harness beat a FRONTIER model running solo, at EQUAL OR
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+ * LOWER dollar cost, on held-out code?
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+ *
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+ * GOLIATH — a strong model, ONE shot. The "just use the big model" baseline.
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+ * DAVID — a cheap/weak model + test-time compute: generate N candidate
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+ * solutions AND M of its own unit tests, EXECUTE every candidate
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+ * against the generated tests, and submit the candidate that passes
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+ * the most (CodeT-style execution self-selection). No ground-truth
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+ * test is ever used to select — only the model's own generated tests.
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+ *
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+ * Both are graded by the HIDDEN HumanEval test (never shown). Cost is the real
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+ * token spend × the router-reported/priced rate per arm. The win condition is a
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+ * Pareto beat: David's held-out pass rate >= Goliath's AND David's $ <= Goliath's.
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+ * Mechanism under test: EXECUTION-BASED VERIFICATION is the lever that lets a weak
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+ * generator punch above its solo weight — the standing "verification is live" claim
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+ * at its most dramatic. Paired McNemar on per-task discordant pairs for significance.
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+ *
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+ * Run from cwd=bench: env DAVID=groq/llama-3.1-8b-instant GOLIATH=anthropic/claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 \
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+ * N=8 T=5 NTASKS=164 REPS=2 node_modules/.bin/tsx src/david-goliath.mts
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+ */
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+ import { execFile } from 'node:child_process'
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+ import { mkdtempSync, writeFileSync, rmSync } from 'node:fs'
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+ import { tmpdir } from 'node:os'
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+ import { join } from 'node:path'
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+ import { loadHumanEval, extractCode, type HumanEvalTask } from './benchmarks/humaneval'
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+
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+ const KEY = process.env.TANGLE_API_KEY
30
+ if (!KEY) throw new Error('TANGLE_API_KEY required')
31
+ const ROUTER = process.env.ROUTER_BASE ?? 'https://router.tangle.tools/v1'
32
+ const DAVID = process.env.DAVID ?? 'groq/llama-3.1-8b-instant'
33
+ const GOLIATH = process.env.GOLIATH ?? 'anthropic/claude-haiku-4-5-20251001'
34
+ const N = Number(process.env.N ?? 8) // David candidate solutions
35
+ const T = Number(process.env.T ?? 5) // David generated tests
36
+ const NTASKS = Number(process.env.NTASKS ?? 164)
37
+ const REPS = Number(process.env.REPS ?? 2)
38
+ const CONC = Number(process.env.CONCURRENCY ?? 6)
39
+ const EXEC_TIMEOUT = Number(process.env.EXEC_TIMEOUT_MS ?? 6000)
40
+
41
+ // Approx $/1M tokens (in,out) for cost accounting — the router does not price
42
+ // every model inline, so use public rates; a cheap/frontier gap of ~20-30x is the
43
+ // point, and the ratio is robust to small rate errors. Override via PRICES env.
44
+ const PRICES: Record<string, [number, number]> = {
45
+ 'groq/llama-3.1-8b-instant': [0.05, 0.08],
46
+ 'google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite': [0.10, 0.40],
47
+ 'openai/gpt-4o-mini': [0.15, 0.60],
48
+ 'anthropic/claude-haiku-4-5-20251001': [1.0, 5.0],
49
+ 'glm-5.2': [0.60, 2.20],
50
+ }
51
+ const priceOf = (m: string) => PRICES[m] ?? [0.5, 1.5]
52
+
53
+ interface Usage { in: number; out: number }
54
+ const zero = (): Usage => ({ in: 0, out: 0 })
55
+ const addU = (a: Usage, b: Usage) => { a.in += b.in; a.out += b.out }
56
+ const usd = (m: string, u: Usage) => { const [pi, po] = priceOf(m); return (u.in * pi + u.out * po) / 1e6 }
57
+
58
+ async function chat(model: string, messages: { role: string; content: string }[], temperature: number, usage: Usage): Promise<string> {
59
+ for (let a = 0; ; a++) {
60
+ try {
61
+ const r = await fetch(`${ROUTER}/chat/completions`, { method: 'POST', headers: { 'content-type': 'application/json', authorization: `Bearer ${KEY}` }, body: JSON.stringify({ model, messages, temperature, max_tokens: 1000 }), signal: AbortSignal.timeout(60_000) })
62
+ if ([408, 429, 500, 502, 503, 504, 520, 522, 524].includes(r.status)) { if (a >= 5) return ''; await sleep(700 * 2 ** a); continue }
63
+ if (!r.ok) return ''
64
+ const j = (await r.json()) as { choices?: { message?: { content?: string } }[]; usage?: { prompt_tokens?: number; completion_tokens?: number } }
65
+ addU(usage, { in: j.usage?.prompt_tokens ?? 0, out: j.usage?.completion_tokens ?? 0 })
66
+ return j.choices?.[0]?.message?.content ?? ''
67
+ } catch { if (a >= 5) return ''; await sleep(700 * 2 ** a) }
68
+ }
69
+ }
70
+ const sleep = (ms: number) => new Promise((r) => setTimeout(r, ms))
71
+ const exec = (file: string, args: string[], o: object) => new Promise<{ code: number; stdout: string }>((res) => execFile(file, args, { ...o, maxBuffer: 8 * 1024 * 1024 }, (e, stdout) => res({ code: (e as { code?: number } | null)?.code ?? (e ? 1 : 0), stdout: String(stdout) })))
72
+ async function runPy(program: string): Promise<{ ok: boolean }> {
73
+ const d = mkdtempSync(join(tmpdir(), 'dg-'))
74
+ try { writeFileSync(join(d, 'p.py'), program); const r = await exec('python3', [join(d, 'p.py')], { cwd: d, timeout: EXEC_TIMEOUT }); return { ok: r.code === 0 } } finally { rmSync(d, { recursive: true, force: true }) }
75
+ }
76
+
77
+ const SOLVE = 'You are an expert Python programmer. Output the COMPLETE function (signature + body + imports) in a single ```python block. No prose, no tests.'
78
+ async function genSolution(model: string, t: HumanEvalTask, temp: number, u: Usage): Promise<string> {
79
+ return extractCode(await chat(model, [{ role: 'system', content: SOLVE }, { role: 'user', content: `Complete:\n\n\`\`\`python\n${t.prompt}\`\`\`` }], temp, u))
80
+ }
81
+ // David writes its OWN tests (never sees the hidden test). Parse assert lines.
82
+ async function genTests(model: string, t: HumanEvalTask, u: Usage): Promise<string[]> {
83
+ const reply = await chat(model, [
84
+ { role: 'system', content: 'Write Python assert-based unit tests for the described function. Output ONLY a ```python block of standalone `assert <entry>(...) == ...` lines (at least a few, covering normal + edge cases). No function definition, no prose.' },
85
+ { role: 'user', content: `Function to test (entry point: ${t.entryPoint}):\n\n\`\`\`python\n${t.prompt}\`\`\`` },
86
+ ], 0.4, u)
87
+ const block = extractCode(reply) || reply
88
+ return block.split('\n').map((l) => l.trim()).filter((l) => l.startsWith('assert ') && l.includes(t.entryPoint)).slice(0, T + 3)
89
+ }
90
+ // Hidden held-out judge — the truth. Never used for selection.
91
+ async function judge(t: HumanEvalTask, code: string): Promise<boolean> {
92
+ if (!code.trim()) return false
93
+ return (await runPy(`${code}\n\n${t.test}\n\ncheck(${t.entryPoint})\n`)).ok
94
+ }
95
+ // David's self-selection: score each candidate by how many of ITS OWN tests it passes.
96
+ async function scoreOnTests(code: string, tests: string[]): Promise<number> {
97
+ if (!code.trim() || tests.length === 0) return 0
98
+ let pass = 0
99
+ // one program per test keeps a crash on one test from voiding the rest
100
+ for (const a of tests) if ((await runPy(`${code}\n\n${a}\n`)).ok) pass++
101
+ return pass
102
+ }
103
+
104
+ async function davidArm(t: HumanEvalTask, u: Usage): Promise<string> {
105
+ const cands = (await Promise.all(Array.from({ length: N }, () => genSolution(DAVID, t, 0.7, u)))).filter((c) => c.trim())
106
+ if (cands.length === 0) return ''
107
+ const tests = await genTests(DAVID, t, u)
108
+ if (tests.length === 0) return cands[0]! // no verifier signal → first sample
109
+ const scored = await Promise.all(cands.map(async (c) => ({ c, s: await scoreOnTests(c, tests) })))
110
+ scored.sort((a, b) => b.s - a.s || b.c.length - a.c.length)
111
+ return scored[0]!.c
112
+ }
113
+ const goliathArm = (t: HumanEvalTask, u: Usage) => genSolution(GOLIATH, t, 0.2, u)
114
+
115
+ async function pool<T2, R>(xs: T2[], n: number, fn: (x: T2, i: number) => Promise<R>): Promise<R[]> {
116
+ const o = new Array<R>(xs.length); let i = 0
117
+ await Promise.all(Array.from({ length: Math.min(n, xs.length) }, async () => { while (i < xs.length) { const k = i++; o[k] = await fn(xs[k]!, k) } }))
118
+ return o
119
+ }
120
+ function mcnemar(b: number, c: number): number { const n = b + c; if (n === 0) return 1; const k = Math.min(b, c); const lf = (x: number) => { let s = 0; for (let i = 2; i <= x; i++) s += Math.log(i); return s }; let tl = 0; for (let i = 0; i <= k; i++) tl += Math.exp(lf(n) - lf(i) - lf(n - i) - n * Math.log(2)); return Math.min(1, 2 * tl) }
121
+
122
+ async function main(): Promise<void> {
123
+ if (['1', 'true'].includes((process.env.SMOKE ?? '').toLowerCase())) { console.error('SMOKE ok: david-goliath loaded'); return }
124
+ const tasks = await loadHumanEval(NTASKS, 0)
125
+ console.error(`=== DAVID(${DAVID}, N=${N} sols + ${T} self-tests) vs GOLIATH(${GOLIATH}, 1 shot) · HumanEval n=${tasks.length} · reps=${REPS} ===`)
126
+ const dU = zero(), gU = zero()
127
+ const units = tasks.flatMap((task) => Array.from({ length: REPS }, () => task))
128
+ let done = 0
129
+ const res = await pool(units, CONC, async (task) => {
130
+ const safe = async (fn: () => Promise<string>) => { try { return await fn() } catch { return '' } }
131
+ const [dCode, gCode] = await Promise.all([safe(() => davidArm(task, dU)), safe(() => goliathArm(task, gU))])
132
+ const [d, g] = await Promise.all([judge(task, dCode), judge(task, gCode)])
133
+ if (++done % 20 === 0) console.error(` ${done}/${units.length} units`)
134
+ return { d, g }
135
+ })
136
+ const n = res.length, dPass = res.filter((r) => r.d).length, gPass = res.filter((r) => r.g).length
137
+ const b = res.filter((r) => r.d && !r.g).length, c = res.filter((r) => !r.d && r.g).length
138
+ const p = mcnemar(b, c)
139
+ const dCost = usd(DAVID, dU), gCost = usd(GOLIATH, gU)
140
+ console.log('\n=== RESULT (held-out HumanEval) ===')
141
+ console.log(` GOLIATH ${GOLIATH} solo : ${gPass}/${n} = ${(gPass / n * 100).toFixed(1)}% $${gCost.toFixed(4)}`)
142
+ console.log(` DAVID ${DAVID} + verify: ${dPass}/${n} = ${(dPass / n * 100).toFixed(1)}% $${dCost.toFixed(4)}`)
143
+ console.log(` accuracy: David ${dPass >= gPass ? '>=' : '<'} Goliath (${(dPass / n * 100).toFixed(1)} vs ${(gPass / n * 100).toFixed(1)}); paired McNemar David-only=${b} Goliath-only=${c} p=${p.toFixed(4)}`)
144
+ console.log(` cost: David is ${(gCost / Math.max(dCost, 1e-9)).toFixed(1)}x CHEAPER ($${dCost.toFixed(4)} vs $${gCost.toFixed(4)})`)
145
+ const paretoBeat = dPass >= gPass && dCost <= gCost
146
+ const sigBeat = dPass > gPass && p < 0.05
147
+ console.log(` VERDICT: ${sigBeat ? 'DAVID SIGNIFICANTLY BEATS GOLIATH' : paretoBeat ? 'DAVID PARETO-DOMINATES (>= accuracy, <= cost)' : dPass >= gPass ? 'David matches accuracy (check cost)' : 'Goliath wins accuracy'}`)
148
+ }
149
+ main().catch((e) => { console.error('MAIN:', e instanceof Error ? (e.stack ?? e.message) : e); process.exit(1) })
@@ -65,8 +65,11 @@ async function main(): Promise<void> {
65
65
  const trainN = Number(process.env.TRAIN_N ?? 12)
66
66
  const holdoutN = Number(process.env.HOLDOUT_N ?? 12)
67
67
  const offset = Number(process.env.OFFSET ?? 80)
68
- const generations = Number(process.env.GENERATIONS ?? 1)
69
- const population = Number(process.env.POPULATION ?? 2)
68
+ // generations=1 never exercises the GEPA Pareto/combine path (the frontier
69
+ // needs >=1 completed generation before combine can fire) — default to a
70
+ // multi-generation budget so the default run measures the full loop.
71
+ const generations = Number(process.env.GENERATIONS ?? 6)
72
+ const population = Number(process.env.POPULATION ?? 4)
70
73
  const workerMaxTokens = Number(process.env.MAX_TOKENS ?? 6000)
71
74
  const reflectMaxTokens = Number(process.env.REFLECT_MAX_TOKENS ?? 8000)
72
75
  const maxConcurrency = Number(process.env.MAX_CONCURRENCY ?? 4)
@@ -115,9 +118,21 @@ async function main(): Promise<void> {
115
118
  console.log(` [judge] ${scenario.id} pass=0 (empty)`)
116
119
  return { dimensions: { pass: 0 }, composite: 0, notes: 'empty' }
117
120
  }
118
- const { pass } = await runChecker(t, code)
121
+ const { pass, detail } = await runChecker(t, code)
119
122
  console.log(` [judge] ${scenario.id} pass=${pass}`)
120
- return { dimensions: { pass }, composite: pass, notes: pass === 1 ? 'passed' : 'failed' }
123
+ if (pass === 1) return { dimensions: { pass }, composite: pass, notes: 'passed' }
124
+ // Trajectory-grounded failure note: the checker's traceback/assertion tail
125
+ // plus the model's own emitted code, so GEPA reflection sees WHAT failed and
126
+ // WHAT the model wrote — not just the word 'failed'. The candidate's full
127
+ // raw reply additionally reaches the proposer via the campaign breakdown's
128
+ // `emitted` field (carried automatically from the string artifact).
129
+ const traceback = (detail ?? 'checker produced no output (timeout or silent non-zero exit)').slice(-800)
130
+ const excerpt = code.slice(0, 700)
131
+ return {
132
+ dimensions: { pass },
133
+ composite: pass,
134
+ notes: `${traceback}\n--- emitted code (first 700 chars) ---\n${excerpt}`,
135
+ }
121
136
  },
122
137
  }
123
138
 
@@ -146,12 +161,17 @@ async function main(): Promise<void> {
146
161
  judge,
147
162
  agent,
148
163
  expectUsage: 'warn',
164
+ // rawTraceContext stays OFF deliberately: it swaps the distilled findings for
165
+ // filesystem paths + grep/cat instructions (rawTraceDistiller), which only a
166
+ // coding harness can execute. This run's proposer is prompt-tier (gepaProposer
167
+ // — a single LLM call that cannot run grep), so the trace evidence arrives via
168
+ // the judge's traceback notes + the breakdown's `emitted` excerpt instead.
149
169
  budget: { generations, populationSize: population, holdoutScenarios, maxConcurrency, reps: 1 },
150
170
  llm: { baseUrl: reflectBase, apiKey: reflectKey, model: reflectModel },
151
171
  })
152
172
 
153
173
  console.log('\n═══ RESULT ═══')
154
- console.log(`decision=${out.decision} lift=${out.lift}`)
174
+ console.log(`gateDecision=${out.gateDecision} shipped=${out.shipped} lift=${out.lift}`)
155
175
  console.log(`baseline holdout pass-rate = ${out.raw.baseline.compositeMean}`)
156
176
  console.log(`winner holdout pass-rate = ${out.raw.winner.compositeMean}`)
157
177
  console.log(`baseline per-scenario: ${JSON.stringify(out.raw.baseline.perScenario)}`)
@@ -160,7 +180,6 @@ async function main(): Promise<void> {
160
180
  if ((out.raw.winner as { surface?: unknown }).surface) {
161
181
  console.log(`winner instruction:\n${String((out.raw.winner as { surface?: unknown }).surface).slice(0, 1200)}`)
162
182
  }
163
- console.log(`live instruction unchanged: ${profile.prompt?.systemPrompt}`)
164
183
  }
165
184
 
166
185
  main().catch((e) => {
@@ -0,0 +1,201 @@
1
+ /**
2
+ * OBJECT-OF-IMPROVEMENT ablation on HumanEval — the head-on test of the claim our
3
+ * whole self-improvement line rests on: at EQUAL budget, does adding CAPABILITY
4
+ * (a real code-execution tool) beat adding IMPROVER-cleverness (blind prompt
5
+ * self-refinement)? Both arms get the same model, the same K rounds per task, the
6
+ * same held-out tasks. The ONLY difference is what the budget buys:
7
+ *
8
+ * IMPROVER arm — K rounds of "critique your own function and rewrite it",
9
+ * with NO execution. The classic reflect-without-a-tool loop.
10
+ * CAPABILITY arm — K rounds WITH a `run_python` tool: the agent executes its
11
+ * function on inputs it chooses, sees real output/errors, fixes.
12
+ *
13
+ * Grading is a DETERMINISTIC hidden test (never shown): the task's own `check`.
14
+ * If the capability arm wins the held-out pass rate, the object of improvement
15
+ * (what you can DO) dominates the improver (how cleverly you rewrite) — the
16
+ * finding the prompt-only self-improvement runs kept nulling on.
17
+ *
18
+ * Fast by construction: HumanEval tasks are tiny, graded in an isolated Python
19
+ * container with a hard timeout — seconds per task. Paired
20
+ * McNemar over the per-task pass/fail difference gives the significance.
21
+ *
22
+ * Run from cwd=bench: env WORKER_MODEL=google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite N=60 K=3 \
23
+ * REPS=2 node_modules/.bin/tsx src/humaneval-object-ablation.mts
24
+ */
25
+ import {
26
+ loadHumanEval,
27
+ extractCode,
28
+ runPythonProgram,
29
+ type HumanEvalTask,
30
+ } from './benchmarks/humaneval'
31
+
32
+ const ROUTER = process.env.ROUTER_BASE ?? 'https://router.tangle.tools/v1'
33
+ const KEY = process.env.TANGLE_API_KEY
34
+ if (!KEY) throw new Error('TANGLE_API_KEY required')
35
+ const MODEL = process.env.WORKER_MODEL ?? 'google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite'
36
+ const N = Number(process.env.N ?? 60)
37
+ const OFFSET = Number(process.env.OFFSET ?? 0)
38
+ const K = Number(process.env.K ?? 3) // rounds/budget per task (equal for both arms)
39
+ const REPS = Number(process.env.REPS ?? 2)
40
+ const CONC = Number(process.env.CONCURRENCY ?? 6)
41
+ const EXEC_TIMEOUT = Number(process.env.EXEC_TIMEOUT_MS ?? 8000)
42
+
43
+ interface ChatMsg { role: string; content: string; tool_calls?: unknown; tool_call_id?: string; name?: string }
44
+ interface Tool { type: 'function'; function: { name: string; description: string; parameters: unknown } }
45
+
46
+ async function router(messages: ChatMsg[], tools?: Tool[]): Promise<{ content: string; toolCalls: { id: string; name: string; args: Record<string, unknown> }[] }> {
47
+ const body: Record<string, unknown> = { model: MODEL, messages, temperature: 0.4 }
48
+ if (tools) { body.tools = tools; body.tool_choice = 'auto' }
49
+ for (let attempt = 0; ; attempt++) {
50
+ let res: Response
51
+ try {
52
+ res = await fetch(`${ROUTER}/chat/completions`, { method: 'POST', headers: { 'content-type': 'application/json', authorization: `Bearer ${KEY}` }, body: JSON.stringify(body), signal: AbortSignal.timeout(60_000) })
53
+ } catch (e) { if (attempt >= 5) throw e; await sleep(800 * 2 ** attempt); continue }
54
+ if ([408, 429, 500, 502, 503, 504, 520, 522, 524].includes(res.status)) { if (attempt >= 5) throw new Error(`router ${res.status} exhausted`); await sleep(800 * 2 ** attempt); continue }
55
+ if (!res.ok) throw new Error(`router ${res.status}: ${(await res.text()).slice(0, 200)}`)
56
+ const j = (await res.json()) as { choices?: { message?: { content?: string; tool_calls?: { id: string; function: { name: string; arguments: string } }[] } }[] }
57
+ const m = j.choices?.[0]?.message
58
+ const toolCalls = (m?.tool_calls ?? []).map((t) => { let args: Record<string, unknown> = {}; try { args = JSON.parse(t.function.arguments) } catch { /* keep {} */ } return { id: t.id, name: t.function.name, args } })
59
+ return { content: m?.content ?? '', toolCalls }
60
+ }
61
+ }
62
+ const sleep = (ms: number) => new Promise((r) => setTimeout(r, ms))
63
+ /** Run model-written Python in the shared networkless, resource-capped container. */
64
+ async function runPython(program: string): Promise<{ stdout: string; stderr: string; ok: boolean }> {
65
+ const result = await runPythonProgram(program, EXEC_TIMEOUT)
66
+ return {
67
+ stdout: result.stdout.slice(0, 2000),
68
+ stderr: result.stderr.slice(0, 2000),
69
+ ok: result.exitCode === 0,
70
+ }
71
+ }
72
+
73
+ /** The HIDDEN judge: candidate full function + the task's own check. Never shown. */
74
+ async function judge(task: HumanEvalTask, candidate: string): Promise<boolean> {
75
+ if (!candidate.trim()) return false
76
+ const program = `${candidate}\n\n${task.test}\n\ncheck(${task.entryPoint})\nprint("PASS")\n`
77
+ const r = await runPython(program)
78
+ return r.ok && r.stdout.includes('PASS')
79
+ }
80
+
81
+ const SYSTEM = 'You are an expert Python programmer. Output the COMPLETE function definition (signature + body, plus any imports) in a single ```python block. No tests, no prose outside the block.'
82
+ const userPrompt = (t: HumanEvalTask) => `Complete this function:\n\n\`\`\`python\n${t.prompt}\`\`\``
83
+
84
+ /** IMPROVER arm: K rounds of blind self-refinement — no execution, just "review and rewrite". */
85
+ async function improverArm(task: HumanEvalTask): Promise<string> {
86
+ const messages: ChatMsg[] = [{ role: 'system', content: SYSTEM }, { role: 'user', content: userPrompt(task) }]
87
+ let code = ''
88
+ for (let round = 0; round < K; round++) {
89
+ const { content } = await router(messages)
90
+ code = extractCode(content) || content
91
+ if (round < K - 1) {
92
+ messages.push({ role: 'assistant', content })
93
+ messages.push({ role: 'user', content: 'Carefully review your function for correctness bugs and edge cases. If it can be improved, output the corrected COMPLETE function in a python block; if it is already correct, output it again unchanged.' })
94
+ }
95
+ }
96
+ return code
97
+ }
98
+
99
+ const RUN_TOOL: Tool = { type: 'function', function: { name: 'run_python', description: 'Execute a Python snippet and return its stdout/stderr. Use it to test your function on example inputs from the docstring before finalizing.', parameters: { type: 'object', properties: { code: { type: 'string', description: 'python source to run' } }, required: ['code'] } } }
100
+
101
+ /** CAPABILITY arm: K rounds WITH a real code-execution tool — write, run, see real output, fix. */
102
+ async function capabilityArm(task: HumanEvalTask): Promise<string> {
103
+ const messages: ChatMsg[] = [
104
+ { role: 'system', content: `${SYSTEM}\nYou have a run_python tool: test your function on the docstring's example inputs before giving your final answer. Fix any failures you observe.` },
105
+ { role: 'user', content: userPrompt(task) },
106
+ ]
107
+ let code = ''
108
+ // (K-1) tool-exploration rounds + 1 forced final answer = K calls total, matching
109
+ // the improver arm's K blind-refine rounds (equal budget).
110
+ for (let round = 0; round < Math.max(1, K - 1); round++) {
111
+ const { content, toolCalls } = await router(messages, [RUN_TOOL])
112
+ if (content && extractCode(content)) code = extractCode(content)
113
+ messages.push({ role: 'assistant', content: content || '', ...(toolCalls.length ? { tool_calls: toolCalls.map((t) => ({ id: t.id, type: 'function', function: { name: t.name, arguments: JSON.stringify(t.args) } })) } : {}) })
114
+ if (toolCalls.length) {
115
+ for (const tc of toolCalls) {
116
+ const snippet = String(tc.args.code ?? '')
117
+ const r = await runPython(snippet)
118
+ messages.push({ role: 'tool', tool_call_id: tc.id, name: tc.name, content: `stdout:\n${r.stdout}\nstderr:\n${r.stderr}\nexit_ok=${r.ok}` })
119
+ }
120
+ } else {
121
+ messages.push({ role: 'user', content: 'Test your function with run_python on the docstring examples before finalizing.' })
122
+ }
123
+ }
124
+ // FAIR FINAL ANSWER: the tool rounds are exploration; force one no-tool call to
125
+ // emit the complete function. Without this, an agent that ends mid-tool-call
126
+ // yields empty code and is unfairly scored 0 (an extraction artifact, not a
127
+ // real "the tool hurt" signal). Only override if it produces a real block.
128
+ {
129
+ messages.push({ role: 'user', content: 'Now output your FINAL complete function in a single ```python block, no tools, no prose.' })
130
+ const { content } = await router(messages)
131
+ const finalCode = extractCode(content)
132
+ if (finalCode.trim()) code = finalCode
133
+ }
134
+ return code
135
+ }
136
+
137
+ async function pool<T, R>(items: T[], limit: number, fn: (t: T, i: number) => Promise<R>): Promise<R[]> {
138
+ const out = new Array<R>(items.length)
139
+ let next = 0
140
+ await Promise.all(Array.from({ length: Math.min(limit, items.length) }, async () => {
141
+ while (next < items.length) { const i = next++; out[i] = await fn(items[i]!, i) }
142
+ }))
143
+ return out
144
+ }
145
+
146
+ // McNemar exact (paired): b = capability-only wins, c = improver-only wins.
147
+ function mcnemarP(b: number, c: number): number {
148
+ const n = b + c; if (n === 0) return 1
149
+ const k = Math.min(b, c)
150
+ const lf = (x: number) => { let s = 0; for (let i = 2; i <= x; i++) s += Math.log(i); return s }
151
+ let tail = 0; for (let i = 0; i <= k; i++) tail += Math.exp(lf(n) - lf(i) - lf(n - i) - n * Math.log(2))
152
+ return Math.min(1, 2 * tail)
153
+ }
154
+
155
+ async function main(): Promise<void> {
156
+ if (['1', 'true'].includes((process.env.SMOKE ?? '').toLowerCase())) { console.error('SMOKE ok: humaneval-object-ablation loaded'); return }
157
+ const tasks = await loadHumanEval(N, OFFSET)
158
+ console.error(`=== OBJECT-OF-IMPROVEMENT ablation · HumanEval n=${tasks.length} (offset ${OFFSET}) · model=${MODEL} · K=${K} rounds · reps=${REPS} · equal budget ===`)
159
+ // self-check the local grader on the gold solution of task 0 (never shown to the model)
160
+ if (tasks[0]?.canonicalSolution) {
161
+ const gold = `${tasks[0].prompt}${tasks[0].canonicalSolution}`
162
+ console.error(` grader self-check (gold passes): ${await judge(tasks[0], gold)}`)
163
+ }
164
+
165
+ // per (task, rep): run both arms; record pass/fail.
166
+ const units = tasks.flatMap((task) => Array.from({ length: REPS }, (_, rep) => ({ task, rep })))
167
+ let done = 0
168
+ let capEmpty = 0
169
+ const results = await pool(units, CONC, async ({ task }) => {
170
+ // Per-unit resilience: a transient model failure (e.g. a weak model emitting a
171
+ // malformed tool call → router 400) scores that arm 0 for this unit, never
172
+ // crashes the whole run. Both arms wrapped identically so neither is favored.
173
+ const safe = async (fn: () => Promise<string>) => { try { return await fn() } catch { return '' } }
174
+ const [impCode, capCode] = await Promise.all([safe(() => improverArm(task)), safe(() => capabilityArm(task))])
175
+ const [imp, cap] = await Promise.all([judge(task, impCode), judge(task, capCode)])
176
+ done++
177
+ // AUTOPSY: a capability-arm failure with EMPTY final code is an extraction
178
+ // artifact (ended mid-tool-call, never emitted a final function), NOT a real
179
+ // "the tool hurt" signal. Count it so the effect can be separated.
180
+ if (!cap && !capCode.trim()) { capEmpty++; if (imp) console.error(` [cap-empty] ${task.taskId} (improver passed)`) }
181
+ if (done % 20 === 0) console.error(` ${done}/${units.length} units`)
182
+ return { id: task.taskId, imp, cap }
183
+ })
184
+ console.error(` capability-arm empty-final-code (artifact) count: ${capEmpty}/${results.length}`)
185
+
186
+ const impPass = results.filter((r) => r.imp).length
187
+ const capPass = results.filter((r) => r.cap).length
188
+ const b = results.filter((r) => r.cap && !r.imp).length // capability-only wins
189
+ const c = results.filter((r) => !r.cap && r.imp).length // improver-only wins
190
+ const p = mcnemarP(b, c)
191
+ const n = results.length
192
+ const liftPp = ((capPass - impPass) / n) * 100
193
+
194
+ console.log('')
195
+ console.log('=== RESULT (held-out HumanEval, equal budget) ===')
196
+ console.log(` IMPROVER (blind self-refine, no tool): ${impPass}/${n} = ${((impPass / n) * 100).toFixed(1)}%`)
197
+ console.log(` CAPABILITY (self-built execution tool) : ${capPass}/${n} = ${((capPass / n) * 100).toFixed(1)}%`)
198
+ console.log(` lift = ${liftPp >= 0 ? '+' : ''}${liftPp.toFixed(1)}pp paired McNemar: capability-only=${b} improver-only=${c} p=${p.toFixed(4)}`)
199
+ console.log(` verdict: ${p < 0.05 && capPass > impPass ? 'CAPABILITY > IMPROVER (significant)' : p < 0.05 && impPass > capPass ? 'IMPROVER > CAPABILITY (significant)' : 'no significant difference'}`)
200
+ }
201
+ main().catch((e) => { console.error('MAIN:', e instanceof Error ? (e.stack ?? e.message) : e); process.exit(1) })