quantum-spherifier 1.0.0
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- package/.env.example +37 -0
- package/LICENSE +21 -0
- package/README.md +738 -0
- package/config/default.json +83 -0
- package/config/production.json +31 -0
- package/docker/Dockerfile +37 -0
- package/docker/docker-compose.yml +25 -0
- package/docs/architecture.md +160 -0
- package/docs/qspherifier.jpg +0 -0
- package/package.json +128 -0
- package/plugins/example-plugin.js +44 -0
- package/research/INDEX.md +37 -0
- package/research/cross_refs/.gitkeep +0 -0
- package/research/designs/.gitkeep +0 -0
- package/research/hypotheses/.gitkeep +0 -0
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* - Every 5th cycle is a "cross-link" cycle that deliberately bridges
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* two lines (e.g. "qLDPC on neutral atoms" bridges QEC + qubits).
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*
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* This ensures robust, cross-linked progress: nothing stays isolated.
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* ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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*/
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import { EventEmitter } from 'eventemitter3';
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import { RESEARCH_LINES } from './QuantumKnowledgeGraph.js';
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const LINE_DESCRIPTIONS = {
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quantum_error_correction: {
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label: 'Quantum Error Correction',
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shortLabel: 'QEC',
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goal: 'Build fault-tolerant logical qubits by suppressing physical errors below threshold and reducing overhead.',
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keyMetrics: ['logical_error_rate', 'code_distance', 'physical_to_logical_overhead', 'threshold'],
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seedTopics: ['qec_surface_code', 'qec_qldpc', 'qec_color_code', 'qec_magic_state_distillation'],
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},
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new_qubit_modalities: {
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label: 'New Qubit Modalities',
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shortLabel: 'Qubits',
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goal: 'Develop qubit platforms with longer coherence, higher gate fidelity, lower cost, and better scalability.',
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keyMetrics: ['T1', 'T2', 'gate2qFidelity', 'qubitCount', 'costPerQubit'],
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seedTopics: ['qubit_fluxonium', 'qubit_cat', 'qubit_neutral_atom', 'qubit_silicon_spin', 'qubit_topological'],
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+
},
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quantum_algorithms: {
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label: 'Quantum Algorithms',
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shortLabel: 'Algorithms',
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goal: 'Discover and optimize algorithms with provable or practical quantum advantage on near-term and fault-tolerant hardware.',
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keyMetrics: ['circuit_depth', 'tgate_count', 'speedup', 'qubit_requirement'],
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seedTopics: ['algo_qsvt', 'algo_qpe', 'algo_vqe', 'algo_qml', 'algo_hhl'],
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+
},
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molecular_simulation: {
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label: 'Molecular Simulation',
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shortLabel: 'Simulation',
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goal: 'Simulate fermionic systems (catalysts, drugs, materials) beyond classical capability.',
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keyMetrics: ['logical_qubits', 'tgate_count', 'chemical_accuracy', 'molecule_size'],
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seedTopics: ['sim_femoco', 'sim_transition_metal', 'sim_drug_discovery', 'sim_materials', 'sim_qubitization'],
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+
},
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+
};
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+
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export class ResearchLineRouter extends EventEmitter {
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constructor(opts = {}) {
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+
super();
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60
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+
this.kg = opts.kg ?? null;
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+
this.cycleCounts = Object.fromEntries(RESEARCH_LINES.map(l => [l, 0]));
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+
this.crossLinkCycleEvery = opts.crossLinkCycleEvery ?? 5;
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+
this.totalCycles = 0;
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+
this.lastLine = null;
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+
}
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+
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+
/**
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68
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* Decide which research line to execute next.
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* @param {string|null} ownerDirective
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+
* @returns {{ line: string, crossLink: boolean, pairedLine?: string, seedTopic: string|null }}
|
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|
+
*/
|
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|
+
route(ownerDirective = null) {
|
|
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|
+
this.totalCycles++;
|
|
74
|
+
|
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75
|
+
// Cross-link cycle every Nth cycle
|
|
76
|
+
const isCrossLinkCycle = this.totalCycles % this.crossLinkCycleEvery === 0;
|
|
77
|
+
|
|
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|
+
// Try to detect line from directive
|
|
79
|
+
let line = this._detectLineFromDirective(ownerDirective);
|
|
80
|
+
|
|
81
|
+
if (!line) {
|
|
82
|
+
if (isCrossLinkCycle) {
|
|
83
|
+
// Pick two under-explored lines to bridge
|
|
84
|
+
const pair = this._pickCrossLinkPair();
|
|
85
|
+
line = pair[0];
|
|
86
|
+
const result = {
|
|
87
|
+
line,
|
|
88
|
+
crossLink: true,
|
|
89
|
+
pairedLine: pair[1],
|
|
90
|
+
seedTopic: this._pickSeedTopic(line),
|
|
91
|
+
};
|
|
92
|
+
this.cycleCounts[line]++;
|
|
93
|
+
this.lastLine = line;
|
|
94
|
+
this.emit('routed', result);
|
|
95
|
+
return result;
|
|
96
|
+
}
|
|
97
|
+
// Autonomous: pick the least-cycled line with most under-explored nodes
|
|
98
|
+
line = this._pickBalancedLine();
|
|
99
|
+
}
|
|
100
|
+
|
|
101
|
+
const result = {
|
|
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|
+
line,
|
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|
+
crossLink: false,
|
|
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|
+
seedTopic: this._pickSeedTopic(line),
|
|
105
|
+
};
|
|
106
|
+
this.cycleCounts[line]++;
|
|
107
|
+
this.lastLine = line;
|
|
108
|
+
this.emit('routed', result);
|
|
109
|
+
return result;
|
|
110
|
+
}
|
|
111
|
+
|
|
112
|
+
_detectLineFromDirective(directive) {
|
|
113
|
+
if (!directive || typeof directive !== 'string') return null;
|
|
114
|
+
const lower = directive.toLowerCase();
|
|
115
|
+
const keywords = {
|
|
116
|
+
quantum_error_correction: ['error correction', 'qec', 'surface code', 'qldpc', 'color code', 'magic state', 'fault tolerant', 'threshold', 'logical qubit', 'code distance'],
|
|
117
|
+
new_qubit_modalities: ['qubit', 'transmon', 'fluxonium', 'cat qubit', 'trapped ion', 'neutral atom', 'rydberg', 'photonic', 'topological', 'majorana', 'spin qubit', 'silicon spin', 'nv center', 'coherence', 'gate fidelity'],
|
|
118
|
+
quantum_algorithms: ['algorithm', 'shor', 'grover', 'vqe', 'qaoa', 'qft', 'hhl', 'phase estimation', 'qsvt', 'quantum machine learning', 'qml', 'optimization'],
|
|
119
|
+
molecular_simulation: ['molecular', 'simulation', 'chemistry', 'femoco', 'catalyst', 'drug', 'fermionic', 'hamiltonian', 'trotter', 'qubitization', 'jordan-wigner', 'materials', 'battery', 'protein'],
|
|
120
|
+
};
|
|
121
|
+
for (const [line, kws] of Object.entries(keywords)) {
|
|
122
|
+
if (kws.some(k => lower.includes(k))) return line;
|
|
123
|
+
}
|
|
124
|
+
return null;
|
|
125
|
+
}
|
|
126
|
+
|
|
127
|
+
_pickBalancedLine() {
|
|
128
|
+
// Score each line: lower cycle count + more under-explored nodes = higher priority
|
|
129
|
+
const scores = [];
|
|
130
|
+
for (const line of RESEARCH_LINES) {
|
|
131
|
+
const cycleCount = this.cycleCounts[line];
|
|
132
|
+
const underExplored = this.kg ? this.kg.findUnderExplored(50, line).length : 10;
|
|
133
|
+
const lastCyclePenalty = this.lastLine === line ? 2 : 0;
|
|
134
|
+
const score = underExplored - cycleCount * 0.5 - lastCyclePenalty;
|
|
135
|
+
scores.push({ line, score });
|
|
136
|
+
}
|
|
137
|
+
scores.sort((a, b) => b.score - a.score);
|
|
138
|
+
return scores[0].line;
|
|
139
|
+
}
|
|
140
|
+
|
|
141
|
+
_pickCrossLinkPair() {
|
|
142
|
+
// Pick two lines that have the fewest cross-links between them in the KG
|
|
143
|
+
const pairs = [
|
|
144
|
+
['quantum_error_correction', 'new_qubit_modalities'],
|
|
145
|
+
['quantum_error_correction', 'quantum_algorithms'],
|
|
146
|
+
['quantum_error_correction', 'molecular_simulation'],
|
|
147
|
+
['new_qubit_modalities', 'quantum_algorithms'],
|
|
148
|
+
['new_qubit_modalities', 'molecular_simulation'],
|
|
149
|
+
['quantum_algorithms', 'molecular_simulation'],
|
|
150
|
+
];
|
|
151
|
+
// Simple rotation for determinism
|
|
152
|
+
const idx = Math.floor(this.totalCycles / this.crossLinkCycleEvery) % pairs.length;
|
|
153
|
+
return pairs[idx];
|
|
154
|
+
}
|
|
155
|
+
|
|
156
|
+
_pickSeedTopic(line) {
|
|
157
|
+
const desc = LINE_DESCRIPTIONS[line];
|
|
158
|
+
if (!desc) return null;
|
|
159
|
+
// Prefer under-explored seed topics
|
|
160
|
+
if (this.kg) {
|
|
161
|
+
for (const topic of desc.seedTopics) {
|
|
162
|
+
const underExplored = this.kg.findUnderExplored(20, line);
|
|
163
|
+
const found = underExplored.find(u => u.node?.id === topic);
|
|
164
|
+
if (found) return topic;
|
|
165
|
+
}
|
|
166
|
+
}
|
|
167
|
+
return desc.seedTopics[Math.floor(Math.random() * desc.seedTopics.length)];
|
|
168
|
+
}
|
|
169
|
+
|
|
170
|
+
describe(line) {
|
|
171
|
+
return LINE_DESCRIPTIONS[line] ?? null;
|
|
172
|
+
}
|
|
173
|
+
|
|
174
|
+
allLines() {
|
|
175
|
+
return RESEARCH_LINES.map(l => ({ id: l, ...LINE_DESCRIPTIONS[l], cycles: this.cycleCounts[l] }));
|
|
176
|
+
}
|
|
177
|
+
|
|
178
|
+
stats() {
|
|
179
|
+
return {
|
|
180
|
+
totalCycles: this.totalCycles,
|
|
181
|
+
byLine: { ...this.cycleCounts },
|
|
182
|
+
lastLine: this.lastLine,
|
|
183
|
+
};
|
|
184
|
+
}
|
|
185
|
+
}
|
|
186
|
+
|
|
187
|
+
export { LINE_DESCRIPTIONS, RESEARCH_LINES };
|
|
@@ -0,0 +1,494 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
/**
|
|
2
|
+
* ResourceFeasibilityChecker.js — quantum-spherifier (v1.0)
|
|
3
|
+
* ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
4
|
+
* Anchors every proposed solution to the ACTUAL resources of human
|
|
5
|
+
* civilisation (quantum hardware, cryogenics, fab capacity, supply chains)
|
|
6
|
+
* as of 2026. Produces a structured feasibility verdict:
|
|
7
|
+
*
|
|
8
|
+
* tier: current | near_term | mid_term | long_term | speculative
|
|
9
|
+
* anchors: list of existing facilities / technologies that support the claim
|
|
10
|
+
* gaps: list of missing capabilities that must be developed
|
|
11
|
+
* cost: rough order-of-magnitude estimate (USD)
|
|
12
|
+
* timeline: years-to-useful-quantum-advantage estimate
|
|
13
|
+
* resource: { physicalQubits, logicalQubits, codeDistance, TgateCount, cryo }
|
|
14
|
+
*
|
|
15
|
+
* KEY PRINCIPLE: Every proposed solution must be enlaced with the actual
|
|
16
|
+
* level of resources that civilisation possesses, or will possess if the
|
|
17
|
+
* apparatuses/infrastructures proposed in the solution are built. Nothing
|
|
18
|
+
* stays isolated from reality.
|
|
19
|
+
*
|
|
20
|
+
* Used as a HARD GATE before any document is marked patent-eligible.
|
|
21
|
+
* ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
22
|
+
*/
|
|
23
|
+
|
|
24
|
+
import { EventEmitter } from 'eventemitter3';
|
|
25
|
+
|
|
26
|
+
// Resource anchors: the ACTUAL quantum-computing capacity of human
|
|
27
|
+
// civilisation as of 2026. Every claim must trace back to at least one
|
|
28
|
+
// anchor or be flagged as speculative.
|
|
29
|
+
export const RESOURCE_ANCHORS = Object.freeze({
|
|
30
|
+
// ── Superconducting platforms ─────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
31
|
+
IBM_Condor: {
|
|
32
|
+
label: 'IBM Condor — 1,121 superconducting qubits (Yorktown, USA)',
|
|
33
|
+
status: 'operating',
|
|
34
|
+
qubitCount: 1121,
|
|
35
|
+
modality: 'superconducting_transmon',
|
|
36
|
+
year: 2023,
|
|
37
|
+
note: 'Kilo-qubit cryogenic control demonstrated; no quantum advantage',
|
|
38
|
+
},
|
|
39
|
+
IBM_Heron: {
|
|
40
|
+
label: 'IBM Heron R2 — 156 qubits, tunable couplers (IBM Quantum System Two)',
|
|
41
|
+
status: 'operating',
|
|
42
|
+
qubitCount: 156,
|
|
43
|
+
modality: 'superconducting_transmon',
|
|
44
|
+
gate2qFidelity: 0.997,
|
|
45
|
+
year: 2024,
|
|
46
|
+
},
|
|
47
|
+
Google_Willow: {
|
|
48
|
+
label: 'Google Willow — 105 qubits, below-threshold QEC (Santa Barbara, USA)',
|
|
49
|
+
status: 'operating',
|
|
50
|
+
qubitCount: 105,
|
|
51
|
+
modality: 'superconducting_transmon',
|
|
52
|
+
gate2qFidelity: 0.998,
|
|
53
|
+
achievement: 'exponential_error_suppression_distance_7',
|
|
54
|
+
year: 2024,
|
|
55
|
+
},
|
|
56
|
+
Rigetti_Ankaa3: {
|
|
57
|
+
label: 'Rigetti Ankaa-3 — 84 superconducting qubits',
|
|
58
|
+
status: 'operating',
|
|
59
|
+
qubitCount: 84,
|
|
60
|
+
modality: 'superconducting_transmon',
|
|
61
|
+
gate2qFidelity: 0.995,
|
|
62
|
+
year: 2024,
|
|
63
|
+
},
|
|
64
|
+
|
|
65
|
+
// ── Trapped-ion platforms ─────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
66
|
+
IonQ_Forte: {
|
|
67
|
+
label: 'IonQ Forte Enterprise — 36 algorithmic qubits (Bothell, USA)',
|
|
68
|
+
status: 'operating',
|
|
69
|
+
algorithmicQubits: 36,
|
|
70
|
+
modality: 'trapped_ion_ytterbium',
|
|
71
|
+
gate2qFidelity: 0.996,
|
|
72
|
+
connectivity: 'all_to_all',
|
|
73
|
+
year: 2024,
|
|
74
|
+
},
|
|
75
|
+
Quantinuum_H2: {
|
|
76
|
+
label: 'Quantinuum H2 — 56 trapped-ion qubits, 99.87% 2Q fidelity',
|
|
77
|
+
status: 'operating',
|
|
78
|
+
qubitCount: 56,
|
|
79
|
+
modality: 'trapped_ion_barium',
|
|
80
|
+
gate2qFidelity: 0.9987,
|
|
81
|
+
connectivity: 'all_to_all',
|
|
82
|
+
achievement: 'non_Abelian_topological_states_2024',
|
|
83
|
+
year: 2024,
|
|
84
|
+
},
|
|
85
|
+
|
|
86
|
+
// ── Neutral-atom platforms ────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
87
|
+
QuEra_Aquila: {
|
|
88
|
+
label: 'QuEra Aquila — 256 neutral-atom qubits (Boston, USA, AWS Braket)',
|
|
89
|
+
status: 'operating',
|
|
90
|
+
qubitCount: 256,
|
|
91
|
+
modality: 'neutral_atom_rubidium',
|
|
92
|
+
gate2qFidelity: 0.98,
|
|
93
|
+
year: 2023,
|
|
94
|
+
},
|
|
95
|
+
Atom_Computing_1180: {
|
|
96
|
+
label: 'Atom Computing — 1,180 neutral-atom qubits, strontium (Boulder, USA)',
|
|
97
|
+
status: 'operating',
|
|
98
|
+
qubitCount: 1180,
|
|
99
|
+
modality: 'neutral_atom_strontium',
|
|
100
|
+
gate2qFidelity: 0.995,
|
|
101
|
+
T1_s: 40,
|
|
102
|
+
achievement: 'first_1000_plus_qubit_neutral_atom',
|
|
103
|
+
year: 2024,
|
|
104
|
+
},
|
|
105
|
+
|
|
106
|
+
// ── Photonic platforms ────────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
107
|
+
Xanadu_Borealis: {
|
|
108
|
+
label: 'Xanadu Borealis — 216 photonic squeezed modes (Toronto, CA)',
|
|
109
|
+
status: 'operating',
|
|
110
|
+
modes: 216,
|
|
111
|
+
modality: 'photonic_continuous_variable',
|
|
112
|
+
achievement: 'GBS_quantum_advantage_2022',
|
|
113
|
+
year: 2022,
|
|
114
|
+
},
|
|
115
|
+
PsiQuantum_Omega: {
|
|
116
|
+
label: 'PsiQuantum Omega — photonic FTQC chip in development (Palo Alto, USA + Brisbane, AU)',
|
|
117
|
+
status: 'under_construction',
|
|
118
|
+
targetQubitCount: 1000000,
|
|
119
|
+
modality: 'photonic_fusion_based',
|
|
120
|
+
fabPartner: 'GlobalFoundries',
|
|
121
|
+
year: '2027_target',
|
|
122
|
+
},
|
|
123
|
+
|
|
124
|
+
// ── Topological ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
125
|
+
Microsoft_Majorana1: {
|
|
126
|
+
label: 'Microsoft Majorana 1 — topological qubit prototype',
|
|
127
|
+
status: 'prototype',
|
|
128
|
+
qubitCount: 1,
|
|
129
|
+
modality: 'topological_majorana',
|
|
130
|
+
materials: 'InAs/Al nanowire',
|
|
131
|
+
year: 2024,
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note: 'First topological qubit; not yet scalable',
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},
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134
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+
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135
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+
// ── Silicon spin ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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136
|
+
Intel_Spin_TunnelFalls: {
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137
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+
label: 'Intel Tunnel Falls — 12-qubit silicon spin chip',
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138
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+
status: 'operating',
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139
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+
qubitCount: 12,
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140
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+
modality: 'silicon_spin_qubit',
|
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141
|
+
fabNode: 'Intel 3 (CMOS compatible)',
|
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142
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+
year: 2023,
|
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143
|
+
},
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144
|
+
|
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145
|
+
// ── Cryogenics & infrastructure ───────────────────────────────────────────
|
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146
|
+
Dilution_Refrigerators: {
|
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147
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+
label: 'Bluefors / Oxford Instruments dilution refrigerators (10-20 mK)',
|
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148
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+
status: 'available',
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149
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+
baseTemp_mK: 10,
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150
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+
coolingPower_uW_at_20mK: 30,
|
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151
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+
annualUnits: 500,
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152
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+
costUSD: 500000,
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153
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+
},
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154
|
+
Cryogenic_CMOS_Control: {
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label: 'Cryo-CMOS control chips (Intel, Google, SeeQC)',
|
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156
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+
status: 'emerging',
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157
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+
note: '4K-stage CMOS for scalable control; reduces wiring burden',
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+
year: 2024,
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159
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+
},
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160
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+
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161
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+
// ── Classical HPC for simulation ──────────────────────────────────────────
|
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162
|
+
GPU_Clusters: {
|
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163
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+
label: 'NVIDIA H100 / H200 GPU clusters for tensor-network simulation',
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164
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status: 'available',
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165
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+
note: 'cuQuantum library; simulates up to ~40 qubits state-vector, 100+ with tensor networks',
|
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|
+
year: 2024,
|
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167
|
+
},
|
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168
|
+
Supercomputers: {
|
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|
+
label: 'Frontier / Aurora / Fugaku supercomputers (exascale)',
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|
+
status: 'available',
|
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171
|
+
performance: '1-2 exaflops',
|
|
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|
+
note: 'Used for classical simulation of quantum circuits and benchmarking',
|
|
173
|
+
},
|
|
174
|
+
|
|
175
|
+
// ── Materials & supply chain ──────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
176
|
+
Helium3_supply: {
|
|
177
|
+
label: 'Helium-3 supply (dilution refrigerators)',
|
|
178
|
+
status: 'constrained',
|
|
179
|
+
annualLiters: 10000,
|
|
180
|
+
note: 'Critical for sub-100mK; limited global supply',
|
|
181
|
+
},
|
|
182
|
+
REBCO_tape: {
|
|
183
|
+
label: 'REBCO HTS tape (for high-field magnets in ion traps)',
|
|
184
|
+
status: 'available',
|
|
185
|
+
annualKm: 1000,
|
|
186
|
+
},
|
|
187
|
+
Ultra_pure_Si28: {
|
|
188
|
+
label: 'Isotopically purified 28-Silicon (for spin qubits)',
|
|
189
|
+
status: 'available',
|
|
190
|
+
enrichmentLevel: 0.9999,
|
|
191
|
+
costPerGramUSD: 50000,
|
|
192
|
+
},
|
|
193
|
+
Fiber_optics: {
|
|
194
|
+
label: 'Low-loss optical fiber (<0.2 dB/km) for photonic QC',
|
|
195
|
+
status: 'available',
|
|
196
|
+
loss_dB_per_km: 0.17,
|
|
197
|
+
},
|
|
198
|
+
});
|
|
199
|
+
|
|
200
|
+
// Feasibility rules — each tests a specific quantum parameter and returns
|
|
201
|
+
// a tier verdict. The most pessimistic tier wins.
|
|
202
|
+
const FEASIBILITY_RULES = [
|
|
203
|
+
// ── Physical qubit count ──────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
204
|
+
{
|
|
205
|
+
id: 'rule_physical_qubits',
|
|
206
|
+
test: (claim) => {
|
|
207
|
+
const n = claim.parameters?.physicalQubits;
|
|
208
|
+
if (typeof n !== 'number') return null;
|
|
209
|
+
if (n > 1_000_000) return { tier: 'speculative', reason: `${n} physical qubits exceeds any announced roadmap (PsiQuantum targets 1M by ~2028)` };
|
|
210
|
+
if (n > 100_000) return { tier: 'long_term', reason: `${n} physical qubits requires 2030+ fab scale-up` };
|
|
211
|
+
if (n > 10_000) return { tier: 'mid_term', reason: `${n} physical qubits is 5-8 years from current 1K-scale` };
|
|
212
|
+
if (n > 1_000) return { tier: 'near_term', reason: `${n} physical qubits within IBM/Atom Computing 2025-2027 roadmap` };
|
|
213
|
+
if (n > 100) return { tier: 'current', reason: `${n} physical qubits demonstrated (IBM Condor 1121, Atom 1180)` };
|
|
214
|
+
return { tier: 'current', reason: `${n} physical qubits well within current capability` };
|
|
215
|
+
},
|
|
216
|
+
},
|
|
217
|
+
// ── Logical qubit count ───────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
218
|
+
{
|
|
219
|
+
id: 'rule_logical_qubits',
|
|
220
|
+
test: (claim) => {
|
|
221
|
+
const n = claim.parameters?.logicalQubits;
|
|
222
|
+
if (typeof n !== 'number') return null;
|
|
223
|
+
if (n > 10_000) return { tier: 'speculative', reason: `${n} logical qubits far beyond any roadmap (RSA-2048 needs ~4K)` };
|
|
224
|
+
if (n > 1_000) return { tier: 'long_term', reason: `${n} logical qubits requires 2035+ fault-tolerant scale` };
|
|
225
|
+
if (n > 100) return { tier: 'mid_term', reason: `${n} logical qubits in 2029-2033 FTQC roadmap window` };
|
|
226
|
+
if (n > 10) return { tier: 'near_term', reason: `${n} logical qubits targeted by 2026-2028 (Google, Quantinuum)` };
|
|
227
|
+
if (n >= 1) return { tier: 'current', reason: `${n} logical qubit(s) demonstrated (Google Willow distance-7, 2024)` };
|
|
228
|
+
return null;
|
|
229
|
+
},
|
|
230
|
+
},
|
|
231
|
+
// ── 2-qubit gate fidelity ─────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
232
|
+
{
|
|
233
|
+
id: 'rule_gate_fidelity',
|
|
234
|
+
test: (claim) => {
|
|
235
|
+
const f = claim.parameters?.gate2qFidelity;
|
|
236
|
+
if (typeof f !== 'number') return null;
|
|
237
|
+
if (f < 0.90) return { tier: 'speculative', reason: `2Q fidelity ${(f*100).toFixed(2)}% far below surface-code threshold (99%)` };
|
|
238
|
+
if (f < 0.99) return { tier: 'long_term', reason: `2Q fidelity ${(f*100).toFixed(2)}% below surface-code threshold; QEC infeasible` };
|
|
239
|
+
if (f < 0.995) return { tier: 'mid_term', reason: `2Q fidelity ${(f*100).toFixed(2)}% marginal for surface code; high overhead` };
|
|
240
|
+
if (f < 0.999) return { tier: 'near_term', reason: `2Q fidelity ${(f*100).toFixed(2)}% above threshold; practical QEC (IBM Heron, IonQ)` };
|
|
241
|
+
return { tier: 'current', reason: `2Q fidelity ${(f*100).toFixed(2)}% excellent (Quantinuum H2: 99.87%)` };
|
|
242
|
+
},
|
|
243
|
+
},
|
|
244
|
+
// ── Surface code distance ─────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
245
|
+
{
|
|
246
|
+
id: 'rule_code_distance',
|
|
247
|
+
test: (claim) => {
|
|
248
|
+
const d = claim.parameters?.codeDistance;
|
|
249
|
+
if (typeof d !== 'number') return null;
|
|
250
|
+
if (d > 30) return { tier: 'long_term', reason: `Code distance ${d} requires ~${d*d*2} physical qubits per logical (2030+)` };
|
|
251
|
+
if (d > 15) return { tier: 'mid_term', reason: `Code distance ${d} requires ~${d*d*2} physical qubits per logical (2027-2029)` };
|
|
252
|
+
if (d > 7) return { tier: 'near_term', reason: `Code distance ${d} within reach of current 100+ qubit processors` };
|
|
253
|
+
if (d >= 3) return { tier: 'current', reason: `Code distance ${d} demonstrated (Google Willow d=7, 2024)` };
|
|
254
|
+
return null;
|
|
255
|
+
},
|
|
256
|
+
},
|
|
257
|
+
// ── T-gate count (circuit depth proxy) ────────────────────────────────────
|
|
258
|
+
{
|
|
259
|
+
id: 'rule_tgate_count',
|
|
260
|
+
test: (claim) => {
|
|
261
|
+
const t = claim.parameters?.tgateCount;
|
|
262
|
+
if (typeof t !== 'number') return null;
|
|
263
|
+
if (t > 1e12) return { tier: 'speculative', reason: `${t.toExponential()} T-gates exceeds feasible runtime even at FTQC` };
|
|
264
|
+
if (t > 1e9) return { tier: 'long_term', reason: `${t.toExponential()} T-gates requires large-scale FTQC (Shor RSA-2048 scale)` };
|
|
265
|
+
if (t > 1e6) return { tier: 'mid_term', reason: `${t.toExponential()} T-gates requires early FTQC (FeMoco-scale)` };
|
|
266
|
+
if (t > 1e4) return { tier: 'near_term', reason: `${t.toExponential()} T-gates requires small FTQC` };
|
|
267
|
+
return { tier: 'current', reason: `${t} T-gates within NISQ+ range` };
|
|
268
|
+
},
|
|
269
|
+
},
|
|
270
|
+
// ── Coherence time ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
271
|
+
{
|
|
272
|
+
id: 'rule_coherence',
|
|
273
|
+
test: (claim) => {
|
|
274
|
+
const T1 = claim.parameters?.T1_s;
|
|
275
|
+
if (typeof T1 !== 'number') return null;
|
|
276
|
+
if (T1 > 1000) return { tier: 'speculative', reason: `T1=${T1}s exceeds any demonstrated qubit` };
|
|
277
|
+
if (T1 > 100) return { tier: 'long_term', reason: `T1=${T1}s exceeds current best trapped ions (~100s)` };
|
|
278
|
+
if (T1 > 1) return { tier: 'near_term', reason: `T1=${T1}s achievable with trapped ions / nuclear-spin neutral atoms` };
|
|
279
|
+
if (T1 > 0.001) return { tier: 'current', reason: `T1=${(T1*1000).toFixed(1)}ms within superconducting / neutral atom range` };
|
|
280
|
+
return { tier: 'current', reason: `T1=${(T1*1e6).toFixed(0)}µs typical transmon` };
|
|
281
|
+
},
|
|
282
|
+
},
|
|
283
|
+
// ── Error rate (physical) ─────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
284
|
+
{
|
|
285
|
+
id: 'rule_error_rate',
|
|
286
|
+
test: (claim) => {
|
|
287
|
+
const e = claim.parameters?.physicalErrorRate;
|
|
288
|
+
if (typeof e !== 'number') return null;
|
|
289
|
+
if (e < 1e-6) return { tier: 'speculative', reason: `Physical error ${e.toExponential()} below any demonstrated qubit` };
|
|
290
|
+
if (e < 1e-4) return { tier: 'long_term', reason: `Physical error ${e.toExponential()} requires topological or major advances` };
|
|
291
|
+
if (e < 1e-3) return { tier: 'near_term', reason: `Physical error ${e.toExponential()} within reach of improved transmons/ions` };
|
|
292
|
+
if (e < 1e-2) return { tier: 'current', reason: `Physical error ${e.toExponential()} typical of current superconducting qubits` };
|
|
293
|
+
return { tier: 'speculative', reason: `Physical error ${e.toExponential()} above QEC threshold (1%)` };
|
|
294
|
+
},
|
|
295
|
+
},
|
|
296
|
+
// ── Qubit modality maturity ───────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
297
|
+
{
|
|
298
|
+
id: 'rule_modality',
|
|
299
|
+
test: (claim) => {
|
|
300
|
+
const m = claim.parameters?.modality;
|
|
301
|
+
if (!m) return null;
|
|
302
|
+
const maturity = {
|
|
303
|
+
'superconducting_transmon': 'current',
|
|
304
|
+
'trapped_ion': 'current',
|
|
305
|
+
'neutral_atom': 'current',
|
|
306
|
+
'photonic': 'mid_term',
|
|
307
|
+
'silicon_spin': 'near_term',
|
|
308
|
+
'topological': 'long_term',
|
|
309
|
+
'NV_center': 'mid_term',
|
|
310
|
+
};
|
|
311
|
+
const tier = maturity[m];
|
|
312
|
+
if (!tier) return null;
|
|
313
|
+
const reasons = {
|
|
314
|
+
current: `${m}: demonstrated at scale (IBM, Google, IonQ, Atom)`,
|
|
315
|
+
near_term: `${m}: promising; requires 1-3 years maturation (silicon spin)`,
|
|
316
|
+
mid_term: `${m}: 3-8 years from scalable computation (photonic, NV)`,
|
|
317
|
+
long_term: `${m}: 8-20 years; fundamental R&D ongoing (topological)`,
|
|
318
|
+
};
|
|
319
|
+
return { tier, reason: reasons[tier] };
|
|
320
|
+
},
|
|
321
|
+
},
|
|
322
|
+
// ── Quantum advantage claim ───────────────────────────────────────────────
|
|
323
|
+
{
|
|
324
|
+
id: 'rule_advantage_claim',
|
|
325
|
+
test: (claim) => {
|
|
326
|
+
if (!claim.parameters?.claimsAdvantage) return null;
|
|
327
|
+
const problem = claim.parameters?.advantageProblem ?? 'unknown';
|
|
328
|
+
const demonstrated = ['RCS', 'GBS', 'random_circuit_sampling'];
|
|
329
|
+
if (demonstrated.includes(problem)) {
|
|
330
|
+
return { tier: 'current', reason: `Quantum advantage for ${problem} already demonstrated (Google 2019, USTC 2020, Xanadu 2022)` };
|
|
331
|
+
}
|
|
332
|
+
const practical = ['chemistry', 'optimization', 'ML', 'factoring'];
|
|
333
|
+
if (practical.includes(problem)) {
|
|
334
|
+
return { tier: 'long_term', reason: `Practical quantum advantage for ${problem} requires 4K+ logical qubits (2035+)` };
|
|
335
|
+
}
|
|
336
|
+
return { tier: 'mid_term', reason: `Quantum advantage for ${problem}: unproven; requires further research` };
|
|
337
|
+
},
|
|
338
|
+
},
|
|
339
|
+
];
|
|
340
|
+
|
|
341
|
+
export class ResourceFeasibilityChecker extends EventEmitter {
|
|
342
|
+
constructor(opts = {}) {
|
|
343
|
+
super();
|
|
344
|
+
this.kg = opts.kg ?? null;
|
|
345
|
+
}
|
|
346
|
+
|
|
347
|
+
/**
|
|
348
|
+
* Assess a hypothesis or design proposal.
|
|
349
|
+
* @param {object} claim – { statement, parameters, supportingConcepts, ... }
|
|
350
|
+
* @returns {object} verdict
|
|
351
|
+
*/
|
|
352
|
+
async assess(claim) {
|
|
353
|
+
const anchors = this._findAnchors(claim);
|
|
354
|
+
const ruleResults = FEASIBILITY_RULES
|
|
355
|
+
.map(rule => rule.test(claim))
|
|
356
|
+
.filter(r => r !== null);
|
|
357
|
+
|
|
358
|
+
// Pick the most pessimistic tier
|
|
359
|
+
const tierOrder = ['current', 'near_term', 'mid_term', 'long_term', 'speculative'];
|
|
360
|
+
let worstTier = 'current';
|
|
361
|
+
for (const r of ruleResults) {
|
|
362
|
+
if (tierOrder.indexOf(r.tier) > tierOrder.indexOf(worstTier)) worstTier = r.tier;
|
|
363
|
+
}
|
|
364
|
+
// If no anchors found and no rules fired, default to speculative
|
|
365
|
+
if (anchors.length === 0 && ruleResults.length === 0) worstTier = 'speculative';
|
|
366
|
+
else if (anchors.length === 0) worstTier = tierOrder[Math.max(tierOrder.indexOf(worstTier), 2)];
|
|
367
|
+
|
|
368
|
+
const costEstimate = this._estimateCost(claim, worstTier);
|
|
369
|
+
const timelineEstimate = this._estimateTimeline(worstTier);
|
|
370
|
+
const resourceProfile = this._resourceProfile(claim, worstTier);
|
|
371
|
+
const crossLinks = this._verifyCrossLinks(claim);
|
|
372
|
+
|
|
373
|
+
const verdict = {
|
|
374
|
+
tier: worstTier,
|
|
375
|
+
confidence: this._confidence(anchors.length, ruleResults.length, crossLinks),
|
|
376
|
+
anchors,
|
|
377
|
+
ruleResults,
|
|
378
|
+
gaps: this._findGaps(claim, anchors),
|
|
379
|
+
costEstimate,
|
|
380
|
+
timelineEstimate,
|
|
381
|
+
resourceProfile,
|
|
382
|
+
crossLinks,
|
|
383
|
+
patentEligible: worstTier !== 'speculative'
|
|
384
|
+
&& anchors.length >= 1
|
|
385
|
+
&& crossLinks.linkedConcepts >= 1,
|
|
386
|
+
};
|
|
387
|
+
|
|
388
|
+
this.emit('assessed', { claim, verdict });
|
|
389
|
+
return verdict;
|
|
390
|
+
}
|
|
391
|
+
|
|
392
|
+
_findAnchors(claim) {
|
|
393
|
+
const found = [];
|
|
394
|
+
const text = `${claim.statement ?? ''} ${JSON.stringify(claim.parameters ?? {})} ${(claim.supportingConcepts ?? []).join(' ')}`.toLowerCase();
|
|
395
|
+
for (const [id, anchor] of Object.entries(RESOURCE_ANCHORS)) {
|
|
396
|
+
const label = (anchor.label ?? id).toLowerCase();
|
|
397
|
+
const keywords = [id.toLowerCase().replace(/_/g, ' '), label.split('(')[0].trim()];
|
|
398
|
+
// Also match on modality
|
|
399
|
+
if (anchor.modality) keywords.push(anchor.modality.toLowerCase().replace(/_/g, ' '));
|
|
400
|
+
if (keywords.some(k => text.includes(k))) found.push({ id, ...anchor });
|
|
401
|
+
}
|
|
402
|
+
return found;
|
|
403
|
+
}
|
|
404
|
+
|
|
405
|
+
_findGaps(claim, anchors) {
|
|
406
|
+
const gaps = [];
|
|
407
|
+
const p = claim.parameters ?? {};
|
|
408
|
+
if (p.physicalQubits > 10000 && !anchors.find(a => a.id === 'IBM_Condor' || a.id === 'Atom_Computing_1180' || a.id === 'PsiQuantum_Omega')) {
|
|
409
|
+
gaps.push('Kilo-to-mega-qubit scale-up: requires new cryogenic wiring (cryo-CMOS) and calibration automation');
|
|
410
|
+
}
|
|
411
|
+
if (p.modality === 'superconducting_transmon' && p.physicalQubits > 1000 && !anchors.find(a => a.id === 'Dilution_Refrigerators')) {
|
|
412
|
+
gaps.push('Dilution refrigerator capacity: current systems cool ~1000 qubits; >10K needs modular cryogenics');
|
|
413
|
+
}
|
|
414
|
+
if (p.modality === 'topological' && !anchors.find(a => a.id === 'Microsoft_Majorana1')) {
|
|
415
|
+
gaps.push('Topological qubit validation: Majorana zero modes need unambiguous braiding demonstration');
|
|
416
|
+
}
|
|
417
|
+
if (p.logicalQubits > 10 && (p.codeDistance ?? 0) < 5) {
|
|
418
|
+
gaps.push('Code distance must increase to ≥5 for multiple logical qubits with useful error rates');
|
|
419
|
+
}
|
|
420
|
+
if (p.tgateCount > 1e6 && !anchors.find(a => a.id === 'Google_Willow' || a.id === 'Quantinuum_H2')) {
|
|
421
|
+
gaps.push('Fault-tolerant gate infrastructure: T-gate factories (magic state distillation) at scale');
|
|
422
|
+
}
|
|
423
|
+
if (p.modality === 'silicon_spin' && !anchors.find(a => a.id === 'Intel_Spin_TunnelFalls')) {
|
|
424
|
+
gaps.push('Silicon spin qubit 2-qubit gate fidelity improvement (currently ~99%, need 99.9%+)');
|
|
425
|
+
}
|
|
426
|
+
return gaps;
|
|
427
|
+
}
|
|
428
|
+
|
|
429
|
+
_estimateCost(claim, tier) {
|
|
430
|
+
const base = {
|
|
431
|
+
current: 5e6, // $5M (single chip experiment)
|
|
432
|
+
near_term: 5e7, // $50M (small processor + team)
|
|
433
|
+
mid_term: 5e8, // $500M (100-qubit FTQC prototype)
|
|
434
|
+
long_term: 5e9, // $5B (1K logical qubits)
|
|
435
|
+
speculative: 5e10, // $50B+ (RSA-scale)
|
|
436
|
+
};
|
|
437
|
+
return {
|
|
438
|
+
low: base[tier] ?? 1e7,
|
|
439
|
+
high: (base[tier] ?? 1e7) * 10,
|
|
440
|
+
currency: 'USD',
|
|
441
|
+
note: 'Order-of-magnitude estimate; refine with bottom-up EPC + cryogenics + control electronics analysis.',
|
|
442
|
+
};
|
|
443
|
+
}
|
|
444
|
+
|
|
445
|
+
_estimateTimeline(tier) {
|
|
446
|
+
return {
|
|
447
|
+
current: '0-2 years',
|
|
448
|
+
near_term: '2-5 years',
|
|
449
|
+
mid_term: '5-10 years',
|
|
450
|
+
long_term: '10-20 years',
|
|
451
|
+
speculative: '>20 years or unknown',
|
|
452
|
+
}[tier] ?? 'unknown';
|
|
453
|
+
}
|
|
454
|
+
|
|
455
|
+
_resourceProfile(claim) {
|
|
456
|
+
const p = claim.parameters ?? {};
|
|
457
|
+
return {
|
|
458
|
+
physicalQubits: p.physicalQubits ?? null,
|
|
459
|
+
logicalQubits: p.logicalQubits ?? null,
|
|
460
|
+
codeDistance: p.codeDistance ?? null,
|
|
461
|
+
tgateCount: p.tgateCount ?? null,
|
|
462
|
+
modality: p.modality ?? 'unknown',
|
|
463
|
+
cryoRequired: ['superconducting_transmon', 'topological', 'silicon_spin'].includes(p.modality),
|
|
464
|
+
operatingTemp: p.modality === 'photonic' ? '300K'
|
|
465
|
+
: p.modality === 'trapped_ion' ? '4K (vacuum)'
|
|
466
|
+
: p.modality === 'neutral_atom' ? 'µK (magneto-optical trap)'
|
|
467
|
+
: '10-20mK (dilution refrigerator)',
|
|
468
|
+
};
|
|
469
|
+
}
|
|
470
|
+
|
|
471
|
+
_verifyCrossLinks(claim) {
|
|
472
|
+
// quantum-spherifier principle: nothing stays isolated
|
|
473
|
+
const concepts = claim.supportingConcepts ?? [];
|
|
474
|
+
const kgHits = this.kg
|
|
475
|
+
? concepts.filter(c => this.kg.nodes.has(c)).length
|
|
476
|
+
: 0;
|
|
477
|
+
return {
|
|
478
|
+
linkedConcepts: kgHits,
|
|
479
|
+
totalConcepts: concepts.length,
|
|
480
|
+
sufficient: kgHits >= 1,
|
|
481
|
+
note: kgHits >= 1
|
|
482
|
+
? 'Solution is cross-linked to the quantum knowledge graph.'
|
|
483
|
+
: 'WARNING: solution is isolated — no KG concepts referenced. Enforce cross-linking.',
|
|
484
|
+
};
|
|
485
|
+
}
|
|
486
|
+
|
|
487
|
+
_confidence(anchorCount, ruleCount, crossLinks) {
|
|
488
|
+
const base = Math.min(1.0, 0.25 + 0.12 * anchorCount + 0.08 * ruleCount);
|
|
489
|
+
const linkBonus = crossLinks.linkedConcepts >= 1 ? 0.10 : -0.15;
|
|
490
|
+
return Math.round(Math.max(0, Math.min(1, base + linkBonus)) * 100) / 100;
|
|
491
|
+
}
|
|
492
|
+
}
|
|
493
|
+
|
|
494
|
+
export { FEASIBILITY_RULES };
|