@rubytech/create-maxy-code 0.1.169 → 0.1.170
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- package/package.json +1 -1
- package/payload/platform/plugins/.claude-plugin/marketplace.json +0 -15
- package/payload/platform/plugins/docs/references/platform.md +1 -1
- package/payload/server/{chunk-3TRIXQSJ.js → chunk-L2YK2VK3.js} +17 -29
- package/payload/server/maxy-edge.js +1 -1
- package/payload/server/server.js +1 -1
- package/payload/platform/plugins/teaching/.claude-plugin/plugin.json +0 -8
- package/payload/platform/plugins/teaching/PLUGIN.md +0 -58
- package/payload/platform/plugins/teaching/skills/interactive-tutor/SKILL.md +0 -59
- package/payload/platform/plugins/teaching/skills/interactive-tutor/references/assessment.md +0 -70
- package/payload/platform/plugins/teaching/skills/interactive-tutor/references/classroom-conduct.md +0 -43
- package/payload/platform/plugins/teaching/skills/interactive-tutor/references/teaching-modes.md +0 -83
- package/payload/platform/plugins/teaching/skills/lesson-planner/SKILL.md +0 -48
- package/payload/platform/plugins/teaching/skills/lesson-planner/references/context-gathering.md +0 -41
- package/payload/platform/plugins/teaching/skills/lesson-planner/references/plan-structure.md +0 -94
- package/payload/platform/plugins/teaching/skills/study-pack-builder/SKILL.md +0 -52
- package/payload/platform/plugins/teaching/skills/study-pack-builder/references/disaggregation.md +0 -49
- package/payload/platform/plugins/teaching/skills/study-pack-builder/references/materials.md +0 -116
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/.claude-plugin/plugin.json +0 -8
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/PLUGIN.md +0 -119
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/bin/scaffold.sh +0 -116
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/brand-pack/SKILL.md +0 -256
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/brand-pack/references/color-psychology.md +0 -118
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/investor-data-room/SKILL.md +0 -376
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/investor-data-room/references/business-plan-template.md +0 -64
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/investor-data-room/references/compliance-research-checklist.md +0 -53
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/investor-data-room/references/data-room-structure.md +0 -88
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/investor-data-room/references/deck-blueprint-template.md +0 -39
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/investor-data-room/references/design-tokens-application.md +0 -79
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/investor-data-room/references/html-pdf-pipeline.md +0 -236
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/investor-data-room/references/internal-workings-scrub.md +0 -33
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/investor-data-room/references/termsheet-template.md +0 -88
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/investor-data-room/templates/prospectus/index.html +0 -1565
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/investor-data-room/templates/prospectus/render-pdf.mjs +0 -91
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/investor-data-room/templates/prospectus/term_sheet.html +0 -715
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/office-hours/SKILL.md +0 -587
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/prototype-host/SKILL.md +0 -179
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/prototype-host/references/cloudflared-ingress-edit.md +0 -81
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/prototype-host/references/scaffold-frameworks.md +0 -60
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/prototype-host/references/systemd-user-service.md +0 -104
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/SKILL.md +0 -336
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/aarrr-metrics.md +0 -275
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/assumption-testing.md +0 -93
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/boolean-search.md +0 -308
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/build-measure-learn.md +0 -262
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/business-model-canvas.md +0 -171
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/commitment-signals.md +0 -246
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/design-thinking.md +0 -183
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/earlyvangelist.md +0 -190
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/first-principles.md +0 -58
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/fishbone.md +0 -114
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/five-whys.md +0 -43
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/ice-scoring.md +0 -237
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/innovation-accounting.md +0 -290
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/jtbd.md +0 -105
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/landing-page.md +0 -361
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/market-type.md +0 -167
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/mom-test.md +0 -193
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/mvp-types.md +0 -200
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/og-images.md +0 -239
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/pareto.md +0 -103
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/persona-development.md +0 -291
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/pivot-types.md +0 -225
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/positioning-statement.md +0 -179
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/prd.md +0 -363
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/pre-mortem.md +0 -74
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/problem-validation.md +0 -253
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/product-market-fit.md +0 -256
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/research-synthesis.md +0 -276
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/three-engines-of-growth.md +0 -248
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/validation-tests.md +0 -89
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/value-proposition-canvas.md +0 -121
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/win-loss-analysis.md +0 -242
- package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/workflow-mapping.md +0 -271
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/.claude-plugin/plugin.json +0 -17
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/PLUGIN.md +0 -130
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/agents/writer-craft--manuscript-reviewer.md +0 -96
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/mcp/package.json +0 -19
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/mcp/scripts/smoke.mjs +0 -152
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/mcp/src/index.ts +0 -289
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/mcp/src/lib/neo4j.ts +0 -56
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/mcp/src/lib/voice-corpus.ts +0 -54
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/mcp/src/tools/voice-distil-profile.ts +0 -303
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/mcp/src/tools/voice-record-feedback.ts +0 -114
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/mcp/src/tools/voice-retrieve-conditioning.ts +0 -145
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/mcp/src/tools/voice-tag-content.ts +0 -117
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/mcp/tsconfig.json +0 -8
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/citation-style/SKILL.md +0 -94
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/citation-style/references/book-and-chapter-models.md +0 -77
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/citation-style/references/citation-rules.md +0 -103
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/citation-style/references/journal-article-models.md +0 -74
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/citation-style/references/other-source-models.md +0 -146
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/citation-style/references/reference-list-rules.md +0 -70
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/editorial-practice/SKILL.md +0 -108
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/editorial-practice/references/copyediting.md +0 -73
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/editorial-practice/references/developmental-editing.md +0 -85
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/editorial-practice/references/genre-specific-editing.md +0 -78
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/editorial-practice/references/line-editing.md +0 -55
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/editorial-practice/references/self-editing.md +0 -89
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/persuasive-storytelling/SKILL.md +0 -114
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/persuasive-storytelling/references/audience-analysis.md +0 -73
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/persuasive-storytelling/references/crafting-persuasive-story.md +0 -76
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/persuasive-storytelling/references/persuasion-case-studies.md +0 -67
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/persuasive-storytelling/references/transformation-framework.md +0 -86
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/point-of-view/SKILL.md +0 -97
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/point-of-view/references/indirect-narration.md +0 -72
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/point-of-view/references/pov-types-and-voice.md +0 -91
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/point-of-view/references/protagonist-filter.md +0 -71
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/point-of-view/references/tense-and-person.md +0 -85
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/prose-craft/SKILL.md +0 -100
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/prose-craft/references/punctuation-and-grammar.md +0 -72
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/prose-craft/references/repetition.md +0 -71
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/prose-craft/references/sound-and-rhythm.md +0 -64
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/prose-craft/references/word-economy.md +0 -93
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/reader-engagement/SKILL.md +0 -100
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/reader-engagement/references/cause-effect-setup-payoff.md +0 -79
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/reader-engagement/references/conflict-escalation.md +0 -81
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/reader-engagement/references/hooking-readers.md +0 -67
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/reader-engagement/references/neurochemistry-of-engagement.md +0 -94
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/review-manuscript/SKILL.md +0 -111
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/review-manuscript/references/review-manuscript-checklist.md +0 -119
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/review-prose/SKILL.md +0 -99
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/review-prose/references/prose-review-checklist.md +0 -112
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/review-scene/SKILL.md +0 -99
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/review-scene/references/scene-analysis-framework.md +0 -95
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/story-architecture/SKILL.md +0 -106
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/story-architecture/references/blueprinting-and-scene-cards.md +0 -118
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/story-architecture/references/inner-issue-and-protagonist-goal.md +0 -66
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/story-architecture/references/misbelief-desire-worldview.md +0 -87
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/story-architecture/references/origin-scenes-and-escalation.md +0 -82
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/story-blueprint/SKILL.md +0 -133
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/story-blueprint/references/blueprinting-exercises.md +0 -118
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/story-blueprint/references/blueprinting-process.md +0 -128
- package/payload/platform/plugins/writer-craft/skills/voice-mirror/SKILL.md +0 -166
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name: zero-to-prototype
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description: Takes entrepreneurs from raw idea to validated prototype—from initial concept through customer discovery, validation frameworks, to landing page and PRD. Use when someone wants to validate a business idea, conduct customer discovery, test assumptions, create a landing page, write a PRD, or go from "I have an idea" to "I'm ready to build." Triggers include "pressure test this idea", "validate my thinking", "help me understand if this is worth pursuing", "create a landing page", "write a PRD", "do customer discovery", or when someone presents a new business idea for evaluation.
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---
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# Zero to Prototype
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This skill guides you from raw idea to validated prototype using proven innovation frameworks. It covers the full journey:
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1. **Idea Validation** → Is this worth pursuing?
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2. **Customer Discovery** → Who needs this and why?
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3. **Problem/Solution Fit** → Does this solve a real problem?
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4. **Go-to-Market** → How do we reach customers?
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5. **Deliverables** → Landing page, PRD, pitch materials
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## Outputs
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All work is persisted to markdown files for durable artifacts:
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| Stage | Output File | Purpose |
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| PMF Analysis | `<PROJECT>-PMF.md` | Validated insights, customer quotes, frameworks applied |
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| Product Spec | `<PROJECT>-PRD.md` | Requirements, user stories, success metrics |
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| Landing Page | `<PROJECT>-LANDING.md` | Copy, structure, conversion elements |
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Write progressively as you work—don't wait until the end.
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## Available Frameworks (31 total)
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**Problem & Customer Discovery:**
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- 5 Whys Method
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- The Mom Test
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- Problem Validation
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- Persona Development
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- Earlyvangelist Identification
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- Commitment Signals (Currencies of Conversation)
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- Workflow Mapping
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- Boolean Search Mastery
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**Strategy & Positioning:**
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- Business Model Canvas
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- Market Type Framework
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- Positioning Statement
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- First Principles Thinking
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**Validation & Testing:**
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- MVP Types
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## Workflow
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- Full zero-to-prototype journey
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### Phase 2: Framework Selection
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#### By Primary Goal
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**Goal: Validate whether worth pursuing**
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- → **Problem Validation** + **Assumption Testing** (references/problem-validation.md, references/assumption-testing.md)
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**Goal: Measure progress**
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- → **Product-Market Fit Signals** for PMF assessment (references/product-market-fit.md)
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**Goal: Prioritize and refine**
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- → **Three Engines of Growth** for growth strategy (references/three-engines-of-growth.md)
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- → **Win/Loss Analysis** for conversion improvement (references/win-loss-analysis.md)
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**Some Validation (talked to customers):**
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### Phase 3: Apply Framework
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When applying a framework:
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### Phase 4: Synthesis & Deliverables
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After completing frameworks:
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- **Landing Page**: Use `references/landing-page.md` to transform insights into copy
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- **PRD**: Use `references/prd.md` to document requirements
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4. **Write the synthesis** to output file
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## Complete Journey Workflows
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### Zero to Prototype (Full Journey)
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For someone going from raw idea to ready-to-build:
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**Week 1-2: Validation**
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2. **Market Type Framework** → Set realistic expectations
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3. **Problem Validation** → Confirm problem is real
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4. **Mom Test** + **Earlyvangelist** → Find and interview customers
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**Week 3-4: Refinement**
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5. **JTBD** → Understand the job deeply
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6. **Assumption Testing** → Test critical beliefs
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7. **Commitment Signals** → Assess real demand
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8. **Research Synthesis** → Consolidate learnings
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**Week 5-6: Deliverables**
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9. **Positioning Statement** → Nail the differentiation
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10. **MVP Types** → Choose validation approach
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11. **Landing Page** → Create demand-testing page
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12. **PRD** → Document what to build
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### Customer Discovery Sprint
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For validating a customer segment:
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1. **Persona Development** → Define who to talk to
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2. **Boolean Search** → Find them
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3. **Mom Test** → Interview without bias
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4. **Earlyvangelist** → Identify true early adopters
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5. **Commitment Signals** → Qualify real interest
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6. **Workflow Mapping** → Understand current state
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|
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### Idea Validation Sprint
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For quick go/no-go:
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1. **5 Whys** or **JTBD** → Understand the problem
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2. **Assumption Testing** → Identify critical beliefs
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3. **Pre-mortem** → Surface risks
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4. **Market Type** → Set expectations
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5. Verdict: Go, iterate, or kill
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### Post-Interview Synthesis
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After completing customer interviews:
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1. **Research Synthesis** → Combine qual and quant
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2. **JTBD** → Refine job statement
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|
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3. **Positioning Statement** → Clarify differentiation
|
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4. **Landing Page** → Create demand test
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|
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5. **PRD** → Document requirements
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|
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249
|
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### GTM Strategy
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|
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For go-to-market planning:
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|
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1. **Positioning Statement** → Define differentiation
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|
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2. **Persona Development** → Target customer profiles
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|
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3. **Boolean Search** → Find and reach targets
|
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|
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4. **Value Proposition Canvas** → Align messaging
|
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|
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5. **AARRR Metrics** → Set up measurement
|
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|
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6. **Landing Page** → Create conversion page
|
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|
-
|
|
260
|
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## Selection Matrix (Quick Reference)
|
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|
-
|
|
262
|
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| If you need to... | Use these frameworks |
|
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263
|
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|-------------------|---------------------|
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|
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| Understand the problem | 5 Whys, JTBD, Problem Validation |
|
|
265
|
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| Find customers | Earlyvangelist, Boolean Search, Persona |
|
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266
|
-
| Interview customers | Mom Test, Commitment Signals |
|
|
267
|
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| Map the business | Business Model Canvas, Market Type |
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|
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| Test assumptions | Assumption Testing, Build-Measure-Learn |
|
|
269
|
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| Prioritize | Pareto, ICE Scoring |
|
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270
|
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| Identify risks | Pre-mortem, Fishbone |
|
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271
|
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| Clarify positioning | Positioning Statement, Value Proposition Canvas |
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|
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| Measure progress | Innovation Accounting, AARRR, PMF Signals |
|
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|
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| Combine data | Research Synthesis |
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274
|
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| Choose MVP approach | MVP Types |
|
|
275
|
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| Plan growth | Three Engines, Pivot Types |
|
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276
|
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| Create landing page | Landing Page Creation |
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277
|
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| Write requirements | PRD |
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|
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|
|
279
|
-
## Key Principles
|
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280
|
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|
|
281
|
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1. **Evidence over intuition** — Every insight should trace to customer data
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|
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|
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2. **Specifics over generics** — Push for concrete examples and quotes
|
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|
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3. **Learning over building** — Validate before you invest
|
|
284
|
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4. **Progress over perfection** — Ship, measure, iterate
|
|
285
|
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5. **Synthesis over summary** — Connect dots, don't just list facts
|
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|
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|
|
287
|
-
## Research routing
|
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288
|
-
|
|
289
|
-
Customer-discovery prior-art lookups, prospect-finding (`references/boolean-search.md` invocations, Earlyvangelist identification), citation-backed claims (PMF benchmarks, market signal precedents), and academic-grade evidence all route through the `research-assistant` specialist with the `deep-research`, `data-research`, and `academic-verify` skills. Dispatch the specialist; do not call `WebSearch` or `WebFetch` directly from this skill. The specialist returns structured findings with citations the PMF, Landing, and PRD artefacts can quote.
|
|
290
|
-
|
|
291
|
-
## Framework Reference Files
|
|
292
|
-
|
|
293
|
-
All frameworks are in `references/` directory:
|
|
294
|
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|
|
295
|
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| Framework | File |
|
|
296
|
-
|-----------|------|
|
|
297
|
-
| 5 Whys | `five-whys.md` |
|
|
298
|
-
| JTBD | `jtbd.md` |
|
|
299
|
-
| Mom Test | `mom-test.md` |
|
|
300
|
-
| Problem Validation | `problem-validation.md` |
|
|
301
|
-
| Persona Development | `persona-development.md` |
|
|
302
|
-
| Earlyvangelist | `earlyvangelist.md` |
|
|
303
|
-
| Commitment Signals | `commitment-signals.md` |
|
|
304
|
-
| Workflow Mapping | `workflow-mapping.md` |
|
|
305
|
-
| Boolean Search | `boolean-search.md` |
|
|
306
|
-
| Business Model Canvas | `business-model-canvas.md` |
|
|
307
|
-
| Market Type | `market-type.md` |
|
|
308
|
-
| Positioning Statement | `positioning-statement.md` |
|
|
309
|
-
| Value Proposition Canvas | `value-proposition-canvas.md` |
|
|
310
|
-
| First Principles | `first-principles.md` |
|
|
311
|
-
| Assumption Testing | `assumption-testing.md` |
|
|
312
|
-
| MVP Types | `mvp-types.md` |
|
|
313
|
-
| Build-Measure-Learn | `build-measure-learn.md` |
|
|
314
|
-
| Innovation Accounting | `innovation-accounting.md` |
|
|
315
|
-
| Product-Market Fit | `product-market-fit.md` |
|
|
316
|
-
| Pre-mortem | `pre-mortem.md` |
|
|
317
|
-
| Fishbone | `fishbone.md` |
|
|
318
|
-
| Pareto | `pareto.md` |
|
|
319
|
-
| ICE Scoring | `ice-scoring.md` |
|
|
320
|
-
| Win/Loss Analysis | `win-loss-analysis.md` |
|
|
321
|
-
| Research Synthesis | `research-synthesis.md` |
|
|
322
|
-
| Three Engines of Growth | `three-engines-of-growth.md` |
|
|
323
|
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| AARRR Metrics | `aarrr-metrics.md` |
|
|
324
|
-
| Pivot Types | `pivot-types.md` |
|
|
325
|
-
| Design Thinking | `design-thinking.md` |
|
|
326
|
-
| Landing Page | `landing-page.md` |
|
|
327
|
-
| OG Images | `og-images.md` |
|
|
328
|
-
| PRD | `prd.md` |
|
|
329
|
-
|
|
330
|
-
## Notes
|
|
331
|
-
|
|
332
|
-
- Load references on-demand (only when framework is selected)
|
|
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|
-
- One framework at a time (don't blend mid-stream)
|
|
334
|
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- User can switch frameworks if one isn't working
|
|
335
|
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- Always offer next steps after completing a framework
|
|
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|
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- Write to output files progressively, not at the end
|
package/payload/platform/plugins/venture-studio/skills/zero-to-prototype/references/aarrr-metrics.md
DELETED
|
@@ -1,275 +0,0 @@
|
|
|
1
|
-
# AARRR Metrics (Pirate Metrics)
|
|
2
|
-
|
|
3
|
-
## Purpose
|
|
4
|
-
Track the complete customer journey through five critical stages, identifying the weakest point in your funnel to focus optimization efforts.
|
|
5
|
-
|
|
6
|
-
## When to Use
|
|
7
|
-
- Setting up metrics for a new product
|
|
8
|
-
- Diagnosing why growth has stalled
|
|
9
|
-
- Prioritizing where to focus improvement efforts
|
|
10
|
-
- Aligning team around growth metrics
|
|
11
|
-
- Reporting progress to stakeholders
|
|
12
|
-
|
|
13
|
-
## Process
|
|
14
|
-
|
|
15
|
-
### 1. Understand the Five Stages
|
|
16
|
-
|
|
17
|
-
Each stage represents a critical step in the customer journey:
|
|
18
|
-
|
|
19
|
-
**A - Acquisition:** How do users find you?
|
|
20
|
-
**A - Activation:** Do they have a good first experience?
|
|
21
|
-
**R - Retention:** Do they come back?
|
|
22
|
-
**R - Revenue:** Do they pay?
|
|
23
|
-
**R - Referral:** Do they tell others?
|
|
24
|
-
|
|
25
|
-
### 2. Define Metrics for Each Stage
|
|
26
|
-
|
|
27
|
-
**Acquisition - "How do users find us?"**
|
|
28
|
-
|
|
29
|
-
| Metric | Definition | Target |
|
|
30
|
-
|--------|------------|--------|
|
|
31
|
-
| Total Visitors | Unique visitors from all sources | Growth trend |
|
|
32
|
-
| Channel Breakdown | % from each source (organic, paid, social, direct) | Diversified |
|
|
33
|
-
| Cost Per Visit | Total spend / Visitors | Decreasing |
|
|
34
|
-
| Traffic Quality | % of visits meeting intent signals | >50% |
|
|
35
|
-
|
|
36
|
-
**Questions to answer:**
|
|
37
|
-
- Which channels drive the most traffic?
|
|
38
|
-
- Which channels drive the highest quality traffic?
|
|
39
|
-
- What's our cost per visit by channel?
|
|
40
|
-
- Are we dependent on one channel?
|
|
41
|
-
|
|
42
|
-
**Activation - "Do they have a good first experience?"**
|
|
43
|
-
|
|
44
|
-
| Metric | Definition | Target |
|
|
45
|
-
|--------|------------|--------|
|
|
46
|
-
| Signup Rate | Signups / Visitors | >5-10% |
|
|
47
|
-
| Onboarding Completion | % completing key onboarding steps | >80% |
|
|
48
|
-
| Time to Value | Time from signup to "aha moment" | <24 hours |
|
|
49
|
-
| Activation Rate | % reaching key engagement milestone | >30% |
|
|
50
|
-
|
|
51
|
-
**Questions to answer:**
|
|
52
|
-
- Where do users drop off in onboarding?
|
|
53
|
-
- How long until users experience core value?
|
|
54
|
-
- What's the definition of "activated"?
|
|
55
|
-
- What predicts long-term retention?
|
|
56
|
-
|
|
57
|
-
**Retention - "Do they come back?"**
|
|
58
|
-
|
|
59
|
-
| Metric | Definition | Target |
|
|
60
|
-
|--------|------------|--------|
|
|
61
|
-
| DAU/MAU Ratio | Daily active / Monthly active | >20% |
|
|
62
|
-
| Week 1 Retention | % returning in week 1 | >50% |
|
|
63
|
-
| Month 1 Retention | % returning in month 1 | >40% |
|
|
64
|
-
| Churn Rate | % of customers lost per period | <5%/mo |
|
|
65
|
-
|
|
66
|
-
**Questions to answer:**
|
|
67
|
-
- How many users return after first use?
|
|
68
|
-
- What's retention by cohort?
|
|
69
|
-
- What behaviors predict retention?
|
|
70
|
-
- Why do users churn?
|
|
71
|
-
|
|
72
|
-
**Revenue - "Do they pay?"**
|
|
73
|
-
|
|
74
|
-
| Metric | Definition | Target |
|
|
75
|
-
|--------|------------|--------|
|
|
76
|
-
| Conversion Rate | Paying / Total users | Varies |
|
|
77
|
-
| ARPU | Average Revenue Per User | Growth trend |
|
|
78
|
-
| LTV | Customer Lifetime Value | >3x CAC |
|
|
79
|
-
| MRR/ARR | Monthly/Annual Recurring Revenue | Growth trend |
|
|
80
|
-
|
|
81
|
-
**Questions to answer:**
|
|
82
|
-
- What % of users convert to paid?
|
|
83
|
-
- What's the average customer worth?
|
|
84
|
-
- Is revenue growing faster than users?
|
|
85
|
-
- What's the path from free to paid?
|
|
86
|
-
|
|
87
|
-
**Referral - "Do they tell others?"**
|
|
88
|
-
|
|
89
|
-
| Metric | Definition | Target |
|
|
90
|
-
|--------|------------|--------|
|
|
91
|
-
| NPS | Net Promoter Score | >50 |
|
|
92
|
-
| Referral Rate | % of users who refer | >10% |
|
|
93
|
-
| Viral Coefficient | New users per existing user | Approaching 1 |
|
|
94
|
-
| Referral Conversion | % of referrals who convert | >20% |
|
|
95
|
-
|
|
96
|
-
**Questions to answer:**
|
|
97
|
-
- Would customers recommend us?
|
|
98
|
-
- What % of growth is organic?
|
|
99
|
-
- What triggers referrals?
|
|
100
|
-
- What's the quality of referred users?
|
|
101
|
-
|
|
102
|
-
### 3. Build Your Funnel Dashboard
|
|
103
|
-
|
|
104
|
-
Map each stage with:
|
|
105
|
-
- Primary metric
|
|
106
|
-
- Supporting metrics
|
|
107
|
-
- Current value
|
|
108
|
-
- Target value
|
|
109
|
-
- Trend (improving/stable/declining)
|
|
110
|
-
|
|
111
|
-
**Example Dashboard:**
|
|
112
|
-
```
|
|
113
|
-
STAGE | PRIMARY METRIC | CURRENT | TARGET | TREND
|
|
114
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-----------|--------------------|---------|---------|---------
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Acquisition| Monthly Visitors | 10,000 | 15,000 | ↑
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Activation | Signup Rate | 8% | 10% | →
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Activation | Time to Value | 3 days | 1 day | ↓
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Retention | Month 1 Retention | 25% | 40% | ↑
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Revenue | Conversion Rate | 3% | 5% | ↑
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Referral | NPS | 35 | 50 | →
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```
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### 4. Identify the Constraint
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**The Theory of Constraints:** The weakest stage limits overall growth.
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To find your constraint:
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1. Look for the biggest drop-off between stages
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2. Compare your metrics to benchmarks
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3. Calculate the impact of improving each stage
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**Example Analysis:**
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- Acquisition: 10,000 visitors (adequate)
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- Activation: 800 signups (8% = okay)
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- Retention: 200 Month 1 (25% = PROBLEM)
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- Revenue: 60 paying (30% = good)
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- Referral: 6 referrals (10% = okay)
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**Constraint identified:** Retention (25% Month 1)
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Even if you double acquisition to 20,000 visitors:
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- With 25% retention: 400 retained → 120 paying
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- With 40% retention: 320 retained → 96 paying
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Improving retention by 15% would have bigger impact than doubling traffic.
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### 5. Optimize the Constraint
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Once you've identified the constraint, go deep:
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**Retention example actions:**
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1. Analyze churned users - what's common?
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2. Interview retained users - what kept them?
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3. Identify activation metrics that predict retention
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4. Test interventions (emails, features, onboarding)
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5. Measure cohort retention weekly
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**Only move to the next constraint when the current one is solved.**
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### 6. Cohort Analysis
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Track metrics by cohort (users who started at the same time):
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**Why cohorts matter:**
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- Aggregate numbers hide improvements
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- January users vs. June users may behave differently
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- Product changes show up in newer cohorts first
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**Example Cohort Retention:**
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```
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Cohort | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4
|
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----------|--------|--------|--------|--------
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|
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January | 40% | 30% | 22% | 18%
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February | 42% | 32% | 25% | 20%
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|
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March | 48% | 38% | 30% | 25%
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```
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|
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**Insight:** March cohort is improving - product changes working
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|
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|
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### 7. Stage-Specific Experiments
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**Acquisition experiments:**
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- New channel tests
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- Ad creative variations
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- SEO content experiments
|
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- Partnership pilots
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**Activation experiments:**
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- Onboarding flow changes
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|
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- Time-to-value reduction
|
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- First-use experience improvements
|
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|
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- Tutorial/guidance additions
|
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|
|
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|
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**Retention experiments:**
|
|
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- Engagement features
|
|
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|
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- Email/notification cadence
|
|
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|
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- Feature adoption campaigns
|
|
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|
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- Re-engagement campaigns
|
|
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|
-
|
|
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|
-
**Revenue experiments:**
|
|
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|
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- Pricing tests
|
|
202
|
-
- Plan/tier changes
|
|
203
|
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- Upsell timing
|
|
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|
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- Payment friction reduction
|
|
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|
-
|
|
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|
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**Referral experiments:**
|
|
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|
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- Referral program design
|
|
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|
-
- Share mechanics
|
|
209
|
-
- Incentive structures
|
|
210
|
-
- Social proof additions
|
|
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|
-
|
|
212
|
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### 8. Synthesis
|
|
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|
-
|
|
214
|
-
After setting up your AARRR dashboard:
|
|
215
|
-
- Which stage is the current constraint?
|
|
216
|
-
- What's causing the drop-off at that stage?
|
|
217
|
-
- What experiments could improve it?
|
|
218
|
-
- How will you measure improvement?
|
|
219
|
-
- What's the target that would make you move to the next constraint?
|
|
220
|
-
|
|
221
|
-
## Example
|
|
222
|
-
|
|
223
|
-
**Product**: B2B email outreach tool
|
|
224
|
-
|
|
225
|
-
### Current Metrics
|
|
226
|
-
|
|
227
|
-
| Stage | Metric | Current | Target |
|
|
228
|
-
|-------|--------|---------|--------|
|
|
229
|
-
| Acquisition | Monthly visitors | 5,000 | 10,000 |
|
|
230
|
-
| Activation | Trial starts | 500 (10%) | 750 (15%) |
|
|
231
|
-
| Activation | Complete first sequence | 150 (30%) | 250 (50%) |
|
|
232
|
-
| Retention | Week 2 Active | 75 (50%) | 100 (67%) |
|
|
233
|
-
| Revenue | Convert to paid | 30 (40%) | 45 (60%) |
|
|
234
|
-
| Referral | Recommend (NPS >8) | 15 (50%) | 25 (83%) |
|
|
235
|
-
|
|
236
|
-
### Constraint Analysis
|
|
237
|
-
|
|
238
|
-
Biggest drop-off: Trial start → Complete first sequence (30%)
|
|
239
|
-
|
|
240
|
-
**Why this matters:**
|
|
241
|
-
- 70% of trial users never complete their first outreach sequence
|
|
242
|
-
- Users who complete first sequence retain 80%+ at Week 2
|
|
243
|
-
- This is THE activation bottleneck
|
|
244
|
-
|
|
245
|
-
### Experiment Plan
|
|
246
|
-
|
|
247
|
-
**Hypothesis:** Completing first sequence is too hard/confusing
|
|
248
|
-
|
|
249
|
-
**Experiments:**
|
|
250
|
-
1. **Template library:** Pre-built sequences (reduce blank page problem)
|
|
251
|
-
- Success: First sequence completion >40%
|
|
252
|
-
2. **Guided onboarding:** Step-by-step wizard
|
|
253
|
-
- Success: First sequence completion >45%
|
|
254
|
-
3. **Time-based help:** If no sequence in 24h, trigger outreach
|
|
255
|
-
- Success: First sequence completion >50%
|
|
256
|
-
|
|
257
|
-
**Timeline:** Test each for 2 weeks, measure cohort completion rate
|
|
258
|
-
|
|
259
|
-
### 6-Week Results
|
|
260
|
-
|
|
261
|
-
| Experiment | First Sequence Completion |
|
|
262
|
-
|------------|---------------------------|
|
|
263
|
-
| Baseline | 30% |
|
|
264
|
-
| Template Library | 38% (+8%) |
|
|
265
|
-
| + Guided Onboarding | 52% (+14%) |
|
|
266
|
-
| + Time-based Help | 58% (+6%) |
|
|
267
|
-
|
|
268
|
-
**New metrics after optimization:**
|
|
269
|
-
- First sequence completion: 58% (was 30%)
|
|
270
|
-
- Week 2 retention: 68% (was 50%)
|
|
271
|
-
- Conversion to paid: 48% (was 40%)
|
|
272
|
-
|
|
273
|
-
**Insight:** Fixing the activation bottleneck (first sequence completion) improved downstream metrics without touching retention or revenue directly. This is the power of focusing on the constraint.
|
|
274
|
-
|
|
275
|
-
**New constraint:** Acquisition (need more traffic now that funnel converts better)
|
|
@@ -1,93 +0,0 @@
|
|
|
1
|
-
# Assumption Testing
|
|
2
|
-
|
|
3
|
-
## Purpose
|
|
4
|
-
Identify and validate critical assumptions your idea depends on, separating what you know from what you believe.
|
|
5
|
-
|
|
6
|
-
## When to Use
|
|
7
|
-
- Validating new business ideas before investment
|
|
8
|
-
- Refining GTM strategies
|
|
9
|
-
- When the idea has many unknowns
|
|
10
|
-
- Before making resource commitments
|
|
11
|
-
|
|
12
|
-
## Process
|
|
13
|
-
|
|
14
|
-
1. **Brain dump all assumptions**
|
|
15
|
-
- List everything you believe to be true about:
|
|
16
|
-
- Customers (who they are, what they want, willingness to pay)
|
|
17
|
-
- Market (size, growth, competition)
|
|
18
|
-
- Execution (your ability, resources, timeline)
|
|
19
|
-
- Business model (how you make money, unit economics)
|
|
20
|
-
|
|
21
|
-
2. **Categorize assumptions**
|
|
22
|
-
- **Known**: Evidence-based facts
|
|
23
|
-
- **Assumed**: Unvalidated beliefs
|
|
24
|
-
- **Unknown**: Things you don't know yet
|
|
25
|
-
|
|
26
|
-
3. **Prioritize by risk**
|
|
27
|
-
- **Critical assumptions**: If wrong, the idea fails
|
|
28
|
-
- **Important assumptions**: If wrong, major pivot needed
|
|
29
|
-
- **Minor assumptions**: If wrong, adjust and continue
|
|
30
|
-
- Focus on critical assumptions first
|
|
31
|
-
|
|
32
|
-
4. **Assess validation difficulty**
|
|
33
|
-
- **Easy to test**: Can validate in days/weeks with low cost
|
|
34
|
-
- **Moderate to test**: Requires some time/resources
|
|
35
|
-
- **Hard to test**: Expensive or time-intensive to validate
|
|
36
|
-
|
|
37
|
-
5. **Design minimum tests**
|
|
38
|
-
- For each critical assumption, create the smallest test:
|
|
39
|
-
- Customer interviews (5-10 target customers)
|
|
40
|
-
- Landing page with ad spend ($100-500)
|
|
41
|
-
- Prototype demonstration
|
|
42
|
-
- Pre-sales/letters of intent
|
|
43
|
-
- What specific evidence would confirm or reject?
|
|
44
|
-
|
|
45
|
-
6. **Set decision criteria**
|
|
46
|
-
- What result means "proceed"?
|
|
47
|
-
- What result means "pivot"?
|
|
48
|
-
- What result means "kill the idea"?
|
|
49
|
-
|
|
50
|
-
7. **Run tests, gather evidence**
|
|
51
|
-
- Execute minimum tests
|
|
52
|
-
- Document results objectively
|
|
53
|
-
|
|
54
|
-
8. **Synthesis**
|
|
55
|
-
- Which critical assumptions were validated?
|
|
56
|
-
- Which were invalidated?
|
|
57
|
-
- What pivots are needed?
|
|
58
|
-
- Is the idea still viable?
|
|
59
|
-
|
|
60
|
-
## Example
|
|
61
|
-
|
|
62
|
-
**Idea**: "Subscription box for AI prompt templates for marketing teams"
|
|
63
|
-
|
|
64
|
-
**Critical assumptions**:
|
|
65
|
-
1. Marketing teams regularly need prompt templates
|
|
66
|
-
2. They'll pay $99/month for curated prompts
|
|
67
|
-
3. Generic templates provide value vs. custom creation
|
|
68
|
-
4. Decision-maker is marketing manager/director
|
|
69
|
-
5. Monthly delivery model fits their workflow
|
|
70
|
-
|
|
71
|
-
**Prioritized risk**:
|
|
72
|
-
- **Assumption #2** (pricing/willingness to pay) = HIGHEST RISK
|
|
73
|
-
- If wrong: Revenue model fails
|
|
74
|
-
- Easy to test: Landing page + ad campaign
|
|
75
|
-
|
|
76
|
-
**Test design**:
|
|
77
|
-
- Create landing page describing offer
|
|
78
|
-
- Run $300 LinkedIn ad campaign to marketing managers
|
|
79
|
-
- Offer "early bird" pricing: $79/mo (save $20)
|
|
80
|
-
- Measure: Click-through rate, email signups, pre-orders
|
|
81
|
-
- Success criteria: 5% CTR, 30 email signups, 3+ pre-orders in 2 weeks
|
|
82
|
-
|
|
83
|
-
**Test results** (hypothetical):
|
|
84
|
-
- CTR: 2.3% (below target)
|
|
85
|
-
- Email signups: 47 (above target)
|
|
86
|
-
- Pre-orders: 0 (major red flag)
|
|
87
|
-
- Feedback: "Love the idea but seems expensive for templates"
|
|
88
|
-
|
|
89
|
-
**Insight**: Interest exists but price resistance is real. Invalidated assumption #2. Pivots to test:
|
|
90
|
-
- Lower price point ($29/mo)
|
|
91
|
-
- One-time template library purchase
|
|
92
|
-
- Freemium model with premium add-ons
|
|
93
|
-
- Enterprise licensing vs. individual subscriptions
|