sapor 0.1b1 → 0.2a1

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (324) hide show
  1. checksums.yaml +5 -5
  2. data/Example-Catalonia.md +361 -0
  3. data/Example-Flanders.md +486 -0
  4. data/Example-Greece.md +25 -0
  5. data/Example-Oslo.md +678 -0
  6. data/Example-UnitedKingdom-Referendum.md +132 -0
  7. data/Examples.md +9 -355
  8. data/README.md +41 -8
  9. data/bin/create_installation_package.sh +2 -2
  10. data/bin/install.sh +1 -1
  11. data/bin/sapor.rb +4 -2
  12. data/bin/sapor.sh +10 -9
  13. data/data/hu/hungary-2014.txt +1680 -0
  14. data/data/hu/hungary_2014_screen_scraper.rb +48 -0
  15. data/data/hu/hungary_2014_to_psv.rb +80 -0
  16. data/data/hu/index-2014.txt +106 -0
  17. data/data/pl/2015-gl-lis-okr.csv +42 -0
  18. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv.rb +79 -0
  19. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_and_rsw.rb +94 -0
  20. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp.rb +100 -0
  21. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_sld_and_wi.rb +92 -0
  22. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_sld.rb +84 -0
  23. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_sld_and_wi.rb +85 -0
  24. data/data/uk/inject_ukip_2015_as_brexit_2019_in_2017.rb +54 -0
  25. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2015.txt +651 -0
  26. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2015_to_psv.rb +104 -0
  27. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017.txt +651 -0
  28. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv.rb +104 -0
  29. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv_with_brexit_and_chuk.rb +113 -0
  30. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv_with_tig.rb +111 -0
  31. data/lib/sapor/binomials_cache.rb +1 -1
  32. data/lib/sapor/combinations_distribution.rb +43 -1
  33. data/lib/sapor/denominators.rb +67 -0
  34. data/lib/sapor/dichotomies.rb +41 -1
  35. data/lib/sapor/dichotomy.rb +31 -5
  36. data/lib/sapor/first_past_the_post.rb +6 -2
  37. data/lib/sapor/largest_remainder.rb +118 -0
  38. data/lib/sapor/log4r_logger.rb +1 -1
  39. data/lib/sapor/log_facade.rb +1 -1
  40. data/lib/sapor/{leveled_proportional.rb → multi_district_leveled_proportional.rb} +7 -7
  41. data/lib/sapor/{proportional.rb → multi_district_proportional.rb} +27 -32
  42. data/lib/sapor/multi_district_variable_threshold_proportional.rb +128 -0
  43. data/lib/sapor/number_formatter.rb +1 -1
  44. data/lib/sapor/options.rb +73 -0
  45. data/lib/sapor/poll.rb +178 -29
  46. data/lib/sapor/polychotomy.rb +100 -259
  47. data/lib/sapor/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator.rb +1 -1
  48. data/lib/sapor/referendum_polychotomy.rb +165 -0
  49. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/area.rb +4 -2
  50. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/austria.rb +84 -0
  51. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-2014.psv +46 -0
  52. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-20190526.psv +33 -0
  53. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-2014.psv +80 -0
  54. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-20190526.psv +74 -0
  55. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-2014.psv +114 -0
  56. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-20190526.psv +93 -0
  57. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium.rb +97 -0
  58. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_brussels.rb +62 -0
  59. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_flanders.rb +64 -0
  60. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_wallonia.rb +63 -0
  61. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012-2015.psv +1 -1
  62. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012.psv +1 -1
  63. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015-jxcat.psv +68 -0
  64. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015-no-jxsi.psv +68 -0
  65. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015.psv +63 -0
  66. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-jxcat.rb +109 -0
  67. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-no-jxsi.rb +96 -0
  68. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia.rb +27 -21
  69. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-e-and-p.psv +164 -0
  70. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-e.psv +153 -0
  71. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-p.psv +153 -0
  72. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618.psv +142 -0
  73. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark.rb +128 -0
  74. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_e.rb +128 -0
  75. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_e_and_p.rb +128 -0
  76. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_p.rb +128 -0
  77. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/estonia.rb +88 -0
  78. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20140522-brexit-chuk.psv +172 -0
  79. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20140522.psv +146 -0
  80. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20190523.psv +141 -0
  81. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia-ri-sd.psv +64 -0
  82. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia-sd.psv +60 -0
  83. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia.psv +56 -0
  84. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-sd.psv +56 -0
  85. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014.psv +50 -0
  86. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-20190524-ia.psv +58 -0
  87. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-20190524.psv +52 -0
  88. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_austria.rb +76 -0
  89. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_croatia.rb +81 -0
  90. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_denmark.rb +77 -0
  91. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_estonia.rb +74 -0
  92. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_finland.rb +74 -0
  93. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_ireland.rb +96 -0
  94. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_ireland_with_ia.rb +97 -0
  95. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_italy.rb +83 -0
  96. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_netherlands.rb +81 -0
  97. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_poland.rb +79 -0
  98. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_romania.rb +78 -0
  99. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_slovakia.rb +80 -0
  100. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_spain.rb +82 -0
  101. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_sweden.rb +76 -0
  102. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_austria.rb +76 -0
  103. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_bulgaria.rb +81 -0
  104. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_croatia.rb +81 -0
  105. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_cyprus.rb +72 -0
  106. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_czech_republic.rb +82 -0
  107. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_denmark.rb +77 -0
  108. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_estonia.rb +74 -0
  109. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_finland.rb +74 -0
  110. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_flanders.rb +74 -0
  111. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_france.rb +84 -0
  112. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_france_2019.rb +84 -0
  113. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_french_community_of_belgium.rb +73 -0
  114. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_germany.rb +86 -0
  115. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_great_britain.rb +98 -0
  116. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_greece.rb +77 -0
  117. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_hungary.rb +76 -0
  118. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_ireland.rb +96 -0
  119. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_ireland_with_ia.rb +97 -0
  120. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_italy.rb +83 -0
  121. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_latvia.rb +81 -0
  122. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_lithuania.rb +80 -0
  123. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_luxembourg.rb +75 -0
  124. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_malta.rb +71 -0
  125. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_netherlands.rb +81 -0
  126. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_northern_ireland.rb +75 -0
  127. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_poland.rb +79 -0
  128. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_portugal.rb +75 -0
  129. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_romania.rb +78 -0
  130. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_slovakia.rb +81 -0
  131. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_slovenia.rb +85 -0
  132. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_spain.rb +82 -0
  133. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_sweden.rb +76 -0
  134. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland-20150419-with-sin.psv +224 -0
  135. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland-20150419.psv +212 -0
  136. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland.rb +107 -0
  137. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland_with_sin.rb +107 -0
  138. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-2014.psv +96 -0
  139. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-20190526.psv +87 -0
  140. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders.rb +115 -0
  141. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/france.rb +38 -0
  142. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/greece.rb +92 -0
  143. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/hungary-2014.psv +2104 -0
  144. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/hungary.rb +116 -0
  145. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20161029-midflokkurinn.psv +94 -0
  146. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20161029.psv +88 -0
  147. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20171028.psv +85 -0
  148. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland.rb +133 -0
  149. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv-p-par.psv +109 -0
  150. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv-par.psv +103 -0
  151. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv.psv +97 -0
  152. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004.psv +89 -0
  153. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia.rb +112 -0
  154. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv.rb +112 -0
  155. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv_p_par.rb +112 -0
  156. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv_par.rb +112 -0
  157. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/luxembourg-20131020.psv +76 -0
  158. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/luxembourg.rb +82 -0
  159. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/netherlands.rb +108 -0
  160. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norway.rb +85 -68
  161. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norwegian_municipality.rb +68 -0
  162. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-and-l-without-n-po-r-and-zl.psv +321 -0
  163. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-konf-kp-l-and-zp-without-k-k15-n-pis-po-psl-r-and-zl.psv +280 -0
  164. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-sld-and-wi-without-n-po-and-zl.psv +403 -0
  165. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-sld-and-wi-without-zl.psv +444 -0
  166. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-sld-without-zl.psv +403 -0
  167. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025.psv +403 -0
  168. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland.rb +125 -0
  169. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_and_l_without_n_po_r_and_zl.rb +122 -0
  170. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp_without_k_k15_n_pis_po_psl_r_and_zl.rb +123 -0
  171. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_sld_and_wi_without_n_po_and_zl.rb +125 -0
  172. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_sld_and_wi_without_zl.rb +126 -0
  173. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_sld_without_zl.rb +126 -0
  174. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-and-ch-without-paf.psv +438 -0
  175. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-and-il-without-paf.psv +438 -0
  176. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-ch-and-il-without-paf.psv +461 -0
  177. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-without-paf.psv +415 -0
  178. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-ch-and-il-without-paf.psv +438 -0
  179. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-without-paf.psv +392 -0
  180. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004.psv +370 -0
  181. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal.rb +101 -0
  182. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_and_ch_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  183. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  184. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_ch_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  185. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  186. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_ch_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  187. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  188. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/slovakia.rb +81 -0
  189. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/slovenia.rb +114 -0
  190. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/spain-20160626.psv +619 -0
  191. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/spain.rb +136 -0
  192. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/sweden.rb +92 -0
  193. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/sweden_20140914.rb +89 -0
  194. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-2015.psv +4358 -0
  195. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-brexit-chuk.psv +5154 -0
  196. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-brexit.psv +4521 -0
  197. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-tig.psv +4529 -0
  198. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608.psv +3894 -0
  199. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom.rb +57 -1038
  200. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_brexit.rb +110 -0
  201. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_brexit_and_chuk.rb +111 -0
  202. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_tig.rb +111 -0
  203. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/utopia.rb +2 -2
  204. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia-2014.psv +101 -0
  205. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia.rb +97 -0
  206. data/lib/sapor/representatives_polychotomy.rb +338 -0
  207. data/lib/sapor/single_district_proportional.rb +75 -0
  208. data/lib/sapor.rb +112 -6
  209. data/sapor.gemspec +2 -2
  210. data/spec/integration/area_spec.rb +2 -2
  211. data/spec/integration/poll_spec.rb +6 -1
  212. data/spec/integration/sample.poll +2 -1
  213. data/spec/spec_helper.rb +2 -2
  214. data/spec/unit/area_spec.rb +12 -12
  215. data/spec/unit/austria_spec.rb +76 -0
  216. data/spec/unit/belgium_brussels_spec.rb +58 -0
  217. data/spec/unit/belgium_flanders_spec.rb +62 -0
  218. data/spec/unit/belgium_spec.rb +26 -0
  219. data/spec/unit/belgium_wallonia_spec.rb +65 -0
  220. data/spec/unit/binomials_cache_spec.rb +1 -1
  221. data/spec/unit/catalonia_spec.rb +21 -29
  222. data/spec/unit/combinations_distribution_spec.rb +1 -1
  223. data/spec/unit/denmark_spec.rb +56 -0
  224. data/spec/unit/denmark_with_e_and_p_spec.rb +58 -0
  225. data/spec/unit/denmark_with_e_spec.rb +57 -0
  226. data/spec/unit/denmark_with_p_spec.rb +57 -0
  227. data/spec/unit/denominators_spec.rb +8 -2
  228. data/spec/unit/dichotomies_spec.rb +1 -1
  229. data/spec/unit/dichotomy_spec.rb +1 -1
  230. data/spec/unit/estonia_spec.rb +65 -0
  231. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_austria_spec.rb +61 -0
  232. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_croatia_spec.rb +60 -0
  233. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_denmark_spec.rb +62 -0
  234. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_estonia_spec.rb +94 -0
  235. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_finland_spec.rb +75 -0
  236. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_ireland_spec.rb +72 -0
  237. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_ireland_with_ia_spec.rb +74 -0
  238. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_italy_spec.rb +69 -0
  239. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_netherlands_spec.rb +81 -0
  240. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_poland_spec.rb +69 -0
  241. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_romania_spec.rb +67 -0
  242. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_slovakia_spec.rb +111 -0
  243. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_spain_spec.rb +130 -0
  244. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_sweden_spec.rb +89 -0
  245. data/spec/unit/european_union_austria_spec.rb +61 -0
  246. data/spec/unit/european_union_bulgaria_spec.rb +97 -0
  247. data/spec/unit/european_union_croatia_spec.rb +59 -0
  248. data/spec/unit/european_union_cyprus_spec.rb +65 -0
  249. data/spec/unit/european_union_czech_republic_spec.rb +125 -0
  250. data/spec/unit/european_union_denmark_spec.rb +61 -0
  251. data/spec/unit/european_union_estonia_spec.rb +93 -0
  252. data/spec/unit/european_union_finland_spec.rb +75 -0
  253. data/spec/unit/european_union_flanders_spec.rb +56 -0
  254. data/spec/unit/european_union_france_2019_spec.rb +73 -0
  255. data/spec/unit/european_union_france_spec.rb +73 -0
  256. data/spec/unit/european_union_french_community_of_belgium_spec.rb +61 -0
  257. data/spec/unit/european_union_germany_spec.rb +90 -0
  258. data/spec/unit/european_union_great_britain_spec.rb +87 -0
  259. data/spec/unit/european_union_greece_spec.rb +148 -0
  260. data/spec/unit/european_union_hungary_spec.rb +57 -0
  261. data/spec/unit/european_union_ireland_spec.rb +72 -0
  262. data/spec/unit/european_union_ireland_with_ia_spec.rb +74 -0
  263. data/spec/unit/european_union_italy_spec.rb +69 -0
  264. data/spec/unit/european_union_latvia_spec.rb +76 -0
  265. data/spec/unit/european_union_lithuania_spec.rb +68 -0
  266. data/spec/unit/european_union_luxembourg_spec.rb +63 -0
  267. data/spec/unit/european_union_malta_spec.rb +60 -0
  268. data/spec/unit/european_union_netherlands_spec.rb +81 -0
  269. data/spec/unit/european_union_northern_ireland_spec.rb +66 -0
  270. data/spec/unit/european_union_poland_spec.rb +69 -0
  271. data/spec/unit/european_union_portugal_spec.rb +77 -0
  272. data/spec/unit/european_union_romania_spec.rb +67 -0
  273. data/spec/unit/european_union_slovakia_spec.rb +111 -0
  274. data/spec/unit/european_union_slovenia_spec.rb +77 -0
  275. data/spec/unit/european_union_spain_spec.rb +129 -0
  276. data/spec/unit/european_union_sweden_spec.rb +89 -0
  277. data/spec/unit/finland_spec.rb +65 -0
  278. data/spec/unit/finland_with_sin_spec.rb +67 -0
  279. data/spec/unit/first_past_the_post_spec.rb +6 -5
  280. data/spec/unit/flanders_spec.rb +70 -0
  281. data/spec/unit/france_spec.rb +32 -0
  282. data/spec/unit/greece_spec.rb +118 -0
  283. data/spec/unit/hungary_spec.rb +132 -0
  284. data/spec/unit/iceland_spec.rb +57 -0
  285. data/spec/unit/largest_remainder_spec.rb +79 -0
  286. data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_p_par_spec.rb +38 -0
  287. data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_par_spec.rb +38 -0
  288. data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_spec.rb +38 -0
  289. data/spec/unit/latvia_spec.rb +60 -0
  290. data/spec/unit/luxembourg_spec.rb +54 -0
  291. data/spec/unit/{leveled_proportional_spec.rb → multi_district_leveled_proportional_spec.rb} +12 -14
  292. data/spec/unit/{proportional_spec.rb → multi_district_proportional_spec.rb} +11 -16
  293. data/spec/unit/netherlands_spec.rb +107 -0
  294. data/spec/unit/norway_spec.rb +23 -6
  295. data/spec/unit/norwegian_municipality_spec.rb +89 -0
  296. data/spec/unit/number_formatter_spec.rb +1 -1
  297. data/spec/unit/poland_spec.rb +62 -0
  298. data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_and_l_without_n_po_r_and_zl_spec.rb +60 -0
  299. data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp_without_k_k15_n_pis_po_psl_r_and_zl_spec.rb +59 -0
  300. data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_sld_and_wi_without_n_po_and_zl_spec.rb +62 -0
  301. data/spec/unit/poland_with_sld_and_wi_without_zl_spec.rb +63 -0
  302. data/spec/unit/poland_with_sld_without_zl_spec.rb +62 -0
  303. data/spec/unit/poll_spec.rb +8 -3
  304. data/spec/unit/portugal_spec.rb +66 -0
  305. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_and_ch_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
  306. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
  307. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_ch_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +69 -0
  308. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_without_paf_spec.rb +67 -0
  309. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_ch_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
  310. data/spec/unit/portugal_without_paf_spec.rb +66 -0
  311. data/spec/unit/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator_spec.rb +1 -1
  312. data/spec/unit/referendum_polychotomy_spec.rb +289 -0
  313. data/spec/unit/{polychotomy_spec.rb → representatives_polychotomy_spec.rb} +26 -26
  314. data/spec/unit/slovakia_spec.rb +99 -0
  315. data/spec/unit/slovenia_spec.rb +80 -0
  316. data/spec/unit/spain_spec.rb +101 -0
  317. data/spec/unit/sweden_20140914_spec.rb +112 -0
  318. data/spec/unit/sweden_spec.rb +113 -0
  319. data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_spec.rb +65 -0
  320. data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_brexit_and_chuk_spec.rb +67 -0
  321. data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_brexit_spec.rb +66 -0
  322. data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_tig_spec.rb +66 -0
  323. data/spec/unit/wallonia_spec.rb +130 -0
  324. metadata +381 -11
checksums.yaml CHANGED
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
1
1
  ---
2
- SHA1:
3
- metadata.gz: e2de2c113ab0bd3f70e3b3db62aa9d1f2bf65530
4
- data.tar.gz: aa6d848603c5733c7ac7bd105e621fd517433656
2
+ SHA256:
3
+ metadata.gz: 4c4c28f6f1c628c881e70b906ea40a25ef527505ceeaab7b81d5b5f10398e66c
4
+ data.tar.gz: 23e53997152350800d6ce7821a4ceadc7f0088579a4272f19c68bb1180060e12
5
5
  SHA512:
6
- metadata.gz: 45991171803bd5340cb3910f008262eacaca3f5e2237d8ac28d91f84a73373b36f82f52ad77aad02538c2ffca66c4e4c05b733b11c47f12527ba1f8d9f9be9f5
7
- data.tar.gz: 508e93083f807387e4b82e04cc36518a3d348e9007081520be4382ef22e2ebec21345ba34540e432a677ace9e9480557a393eddf734082005d1ddd018a6a43b0
6
+ metadata.gz: 438e63eb23147489b9ffb9be967f5f0233bf076207f4571994fb78c81ba8dd819a2165d08c506429e7dafe600c502632a836d488a71558f63ea5b60fecf72b68
7
+ data.tar.gz: def5ef060931f843022e889fc98d16f5a60963a22417d3388c4da3a9324bf0c46b2580db737e175619c614e905aecb50b40e3440323d1143798ef9c455516cb7
data/Example-Catalonia.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,361 @@
1
+ Example: Catalonia
2
+ ==================
3
+
4
+ The following file is a valid poll file for a Catalan poll. It is based on
5
+ the results of a poll done from 1–3 July 2015 by GAPS for Òmnium Cultural.
6
+
7
+ Area=ES-CT
8
+ ==
9
+ Junts pel Sí=262
10
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot=164
11
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía=131
12
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya=74
13
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya=74
14
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres=66
15
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya=33
16
+ Other=16
17
+
18
+ The following call will use the poll file to run an analysis.
19
+
20
+ sapor analyze ÒmniumCultural-GAPS-20150703.poll
21
+
22
+ For this file, the log will look like below.
23
+
24
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:05 INFO: Analyzing as a set of dichotomies...
25
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:05 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
26
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥3%)
27
+ Junts pel Sí 50.0% 0.0%– 66.7% 100.0%
28
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
29
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
30
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
31
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
32
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
33
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
34
+ Other 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
35
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:05 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 33.3%.
36
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:05 INFO: Number of data points: 3.
37
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:05 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
38
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥3%)
39
+ Junts pel Sí 27.8% 22.2%– 33.3% 100.0%
40
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 16.7% 11.1%– 22.2% 100.0%
41
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.7% 11.1%– 22.2% 100.0%
42
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
43
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
44
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
45
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
46
+ Other 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
47
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:05 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 11.1%.
48
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:05 INFO: Number of data points: 9.
49
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:05 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
50
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥3%)
51
+ Junts pel Sí 31.5% 25.9%– 37.0% 100.0%
52
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.4% 14.8%– 22.2% 100.0%
53
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.7% 11.1%– 18.5% 100.0%
54
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 9.3% 3.7%– 11.1% 100.0%
55
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.3% 7.4%– 11.1% 100.0%
56
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.3% 7.4%– 11.1% 100.0%
57
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 5.6% 3.7%– 7.4% 99.7%
58
+ Other 1.9% 0.0%– 3.7% 0.0%
59
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:05 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.70%.
60
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:05 INFO: Number of data points: 27.
61
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:06 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
62
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥3%)
63
+ Junts pel Sí 31.5% 28.4%– 35.8% 100.0%
64
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.4% 17.3%– 23.5% 100.0%
65
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 15.4% 13.6%– 19.8% 100.0%
66
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.3% 6.2%– 11.1% 100.0%
67
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.3% 6.2%– 11.1% 100.0%
68
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 6.2%– 11.1% 100.0%
69
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.3% 2.5%– 6.2% 100.0%
70
+ Other 1.9% 1.2%– 3.7% 11.9%
71
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:06 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.23%.
72
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:06 INFO: Number of data points: 81.
73
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:07 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
74
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥3%)
75
+ Junts pel Sí 31.9% 28.8%– 35.4% 100.0%
76
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 17.3%– 23.0% 100.0%
77
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 15.8% 13.6%– 18.9% 100.0%
78
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 8.8% 7.0%– 11.5% 100.0%
79
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 8.8% 7.0%– 11.5% 100.0%
80
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 6.2%– 10.3% 100.0%
81
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 3.9% 2.9%– 5.8% 97.8%
82
+ Other 1.9% 1.2%– 3.3% 5.8%
83
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:07 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.412%.
84
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:07 INFO: Number of data points: 243.
85
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:12 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
86
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥3%)
87
+ Junts pel Sí 31.9% 28.8%– 35.3% 100.0%
88
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 17.3%– 22.9% 100.0%
89
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 13.6%– 18.7% 100.0%
90
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 7.1%– 11.2% 100.0%
91
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 7.1%– 11.2% 100.0%
92
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 6.3%– 10.2% 100.0%
93
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 2.9%– 5.6% 95.8%
94
+ Other 2.0% 1.1%– 3.2% 3.9%
95
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:12 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.137%.
96
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:12 INFO: Number of data points: 729.
97
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:25 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
98
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥3%)
99
+ Junts pel Sí 31.9% 28.8%– 35.3% 100.0%
100
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 17.4%– 22.9% 100.0%
101
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 13.6%– 18.7% 100.0%
102
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 7.2%– 11.2% 100.0%
103
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 7.2%– 11.2% 100.0%
104
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.1% 6.4%– 10.2% 100.0%
105
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 2.9%– 5.6% 95.7%
106
+ Other 1.9% 1.2%– 3.2% 3.9%
107
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:25 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.046%.
108
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:25 INFO: Number of data points: 2,187.
109
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:25 INFO: Analyzing as a polychotomy...
110
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:26 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
111
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
112
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 12.3% 24.4% 24.4%– 24.5% 100.0% 59– 59
113
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 7.1% 13.8% 13.8%– 13.9% 100.0% 28– 28
114
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 5.5% 10.4% 10.4%– 10.5% 100.0% 21– 21
115
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 2.6% 5.0% 5.0%– 5.0% 0.0% 9– 9
116
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 2.6% 5.0% 5.0%– 5.0% 100.0% 10– 10
117
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 2.3% 4.3% 4.3%– 4.3% 100.0% 8– 8
118
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6%– 1.6% 0– 0
119
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
120
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 50.0% 28.7% 28.7%– 28.7% 0.0% 67– 67 0.0%
121
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 50.0% 24.4% 24.4%– 24.4% 0.0% 59– 59 0.0%
122
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:26 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 100%.
123
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:26 INFO: 1 simulations out of 1 data points, 1 / 40,531,767,997,824,000 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
124
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:26 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
125
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
126
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 25.5% 25.5% 25.5%– 25.5% 100.0% 57– 57
127
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 14.7% 14.7% 14.7%– 14.7% 100.0% 28– 28
128
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2%– 11.2% 100.0% 21– 21
129
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 5.6% 5.6% 5.5%– 5.6% 100.0% 11– 11
130
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 5.5% 100.0% 10– 10
131
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6%– 4.6% 100.0% 8– 8
132
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%– 1.6% 0– 0
133
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
134
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 64.8% 30.1% 29.4%– 30.1% 0.0% 65– 65 0.0%
135
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 62.6% 25.5% 25.0%– 25.5% 0.0% 57– 57 0.0%
136
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:26 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.05%.
137
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:26 INFO: 2 simulations out of 2 data points, 1 / 20,265,883,998,912,000 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
138
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:26 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
139
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
140
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 27.6% 27.6% 27.6%– 27.6% 100.0% 57– 57
141
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 16.4% 16.4% 16.4%– 16.5% 100.0% 28– 28
142
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 12.8% 12.8% 12.8%– 12.8% 100.0% 21– 21
143
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%– 6.8% 100.0% 11– 11
144
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 6.5% 6.5% 6.4%– 6.5% 100.0% 10– 10
145
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2%– 5.3% 100.0% 8– 8
146
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%– 1.7% 0– 0
147
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
148
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 66.1% 32.8% 32.1%– 32.8% 0.0% 65– 65 0.0%
149
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 63.5% 27.6% 27.1%– 27.6% 0.0% 57– 57 0.0%
150
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:26 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.10%.
151
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:26 INFO: 4 simulations out of 4 data points, 1 / 10,132,941,999,456,000 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
152
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:27 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
153
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
154
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8%– 31.8% 100.0% 54– 54
155
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 19.9% 19.9% 19.9%– 19.9% 100.0% 29– 29
156
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 15.9% 15.9% 15.9%– 15.9% 100.0% 21– 21
157
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1%– 9.1% 100.0% 12– 12
158
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5%– 8.5% 100.0% 11– 11
159
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%– 6.5% 100.0% 8– 8
160
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%– 1.9% 0– 0
161
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
162
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 68.7% 38.3% 37.6%– 38.3% 0.0% 62– 62 0.0%
163
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 65.8% 31.8% 31.3%– 31.8% 0.0% 54– 54 0.0%
164
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:27 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 4.21%.
165
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:27 INFO: 8 simulations out of 8 data points, 1 / 5,066,470,999,728,000 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
166
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:27 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
167
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
168
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 32.9% 32.9% 32.8%– 32.9% 100.0% 51– 54
169
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 20.8% 20.8% 20.2%– 20.8% 100.0% 27– 28
170
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 16.7% 16.7% 15.8%– 16.7% 100.0% 20– 21
171
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 9.7% 9.7% 8.7%– 9.7% 100.0% 12– 12
172
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 6.6%– 9.0% 94.8% 8– 11
173
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8%– 11.7% 100.0% 9– 17
174
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%– 2.7% 0– 0
175
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
176
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 39.7% 39.7% 39.3%– 44.4% 0.0% 63– 68 5.2%
177
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 66.5% 32.9% 32.3%– 32.9% 0.0% 51– 54 0.0%
178
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:27 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.05%.
179
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:27 INFO: 16 simulations out of 24 data points, 1 / 1,688,823,666,576,000 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
180
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:27 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
181
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
182
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 32.9% 32.9% 32.8%– 34.9% 100.0% 51– 57
183
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 20.8% 20.8% 20.2%– 21.4% 100.0% 27– 28
184
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 16.7% 16.7% 15.8%– 16.7% 100.0% 20– 21
185
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 9.7% 9.7% 8.7%– 9.7% 100.0% 12– 12
186
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 5.3%– 9.0% 85.4% 6– 11
187
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8%– 11.7% 100.0% 9– 17
188
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%– 3.4% 0– 1
189
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
190
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 39.7% 39.7% 39.4%– 44.4% 0.0% 63– 68 4.7%
191
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 33.2% 32.9% 32.8%– 34.9% 0.0% 51– 57 0.0%
192
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:27 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.66%.
193
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:27 INFO: 32 simulations out of 66 data points, 1 / 614,117,696,936,727 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
194
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:28 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
195
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
196
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 32.9% 32.9% 32.8%– 34.9% 100.0% 51– 57
197
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 20.8% 20.8% 20.2%– 21.4% 100.0% 27– 28
198
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 16.7% 16.7% 15.8%– 16.7% 100.0% 20– 21
199
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 9.7% 9.7% 8.7%– 9.7% 98.3% 12– 12
200
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 5.3%– 9.0% 85.6% 6– 11
201
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8%– 11.7% 100.0% 9– 17
202
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%– 3.4% 0– 1
203
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
204
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 39.7% 39.7% 39.5%– 44.8% 0.0% 63– 68 4.6%
205
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 32.9% 32.9% 32.8%– 35.3% 0.0% 51– 57 0.0%
206
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:28 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.25%.
207
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:28 INFO: 64 simulations out of 179 data points, 1 / 226,434,458,088,402 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
208
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:28 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
209
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
210
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 32.9% 32.9% 32.8%– 34.9% 100.0% 51– 57
211
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 20.8% 20.8% 20.2%– 21.4% 100.0% 27– 28
212
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 16.7% 16.7% 15.8%– 16.7% 100.0% 20– 21
213
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 9.7% 9.7% 8.7%– 9.7% 98.2% 12– 12
214
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 5.3%– 9.0% 85.7% 6– 11
215
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8%– 11.7% 100.0% 9– 17
216
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%– 3.4% 0– 1
217
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
218
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 39.7% 39.7% 39.5%– 44.6% 0.0% 63– 68 4.6%
219
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 32.9% 32.9% 32.8%– 35.1% 0.0% 51– 57 0.0%
220
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:28 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.89%.
221
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:28 INFO: 128 simulations out of 341 data points, 1 / 118,861,489,729,689 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
222
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:29 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
223
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
224
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 30.9% 30.9% 28.8%– 34.9% 100.0% 47– 56
225
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 22.5% 22.5% 18.6%– 22.5% 100.0% 24– 30
226
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 16.9% 16.9% 16.2%– 17.1% 100.0% 21– 22
227
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 7.9% 7.9% 7.7%– 11.4% 88.1% 11– 15
228
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 7.5% 7.5% 7.3%– 9.0% 88.4% 10– 11
229
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 7.1% 7.1% 6.6%– 11.0% 100.0% 8– 16
230
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 1.9%– 4.0% 0– 6
231
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
232
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 38.0% 38.0% 37.9%– 42.6% 0.0% 57– 65 0.5%
233
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 30.9% 30.9% 28.8%– 34.9% 0.0% 47– 56 0.0%
234
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:29 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.06%.
235
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:29 INFO: 256 simulations out of 695 data points, 1 / 58,319,090,644,351 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
236
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:30 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
237
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
238
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 30.6% 30.6% 28.8%– 34.6% 100.0% 47– 56
239
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 19.1% 19.1% 18.6%– 22.5% 99.8% 24– 30
240
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 16.7% 16.7% 16.2%– 17.6% 100.0% 21– 22
241
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 10.3% 9.4% 7.7%– 10.3% 93.8% 11– 14
242
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 9.5% 7.2% 7.1%– 10.1% 54.6% 9– 13
243
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 10.8% 10.8% 6.0%– 11.0% 100.0% 8– 16
244
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 1.9%– 4.8% 0– 6
245
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
246
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 36.6% 41.4% 36.6%– 41.4% 0.0% 57– 64 0.1%
247
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 30.6% 30.6% 28.8%– 34.6% 0.0% 47– 56 0.0%
248
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:30 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.75%.
249
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:30 INFO: 512 simulations out of 1,419 data points, 1 / 28,563,613,811,010 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
250
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:33 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
251
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
252
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 30.6% 30.6% 28.5%– 34.6% 100.0% 47– 56
253
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 19.1% 19.1% 16.4%– 22.5% 96.0% 21– 30
254
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 16.7% 16.7% 12.5%– 17.6% 100.0% 16– 22
255
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 10.3% 9.4% 7.7%– 11.8% 92.5% 11– 17
256
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 9.5% 7.2% 7.1%– 10.7% 54.2% 9– 14
257
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 10.8% 10.8% 6.0%– 11.0% 100.0% 8– 16
258
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.2%– 6.3% 0– 8
259
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
260
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 41.4% 41.4% 36.6%– 41.4% 0.0% 57– 64 0.2%
261
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 30.6% 30.6% 28.5%– 34.6% 0.0% 47– 56 0.0%
262
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:33 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.29%.
263
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:33 INFO: 1,024 simulations out of 2,830 data points, 1 / 14,322,179,504,531 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
264
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:36 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
265
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
266
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 32.7% 32.7% 28.5%– 34.2% 100.0% 45– 55
267
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 17.9% 17.9% 17.9%– 22.5% 56.5% 22– 30
268
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 19.1% 19.1% 12.7%– 19.2% 100.0% 16– 24
269
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 7.7% 7.7% 7.5%– 11.8% 50.7% 9– 17
270
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 8.8% 8.8% 7.1%– 11.1% 79.2% 9– 14
271
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 7.6% 7.6% 6.0%– 10.8% 100.0% 8– 14
272
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.9%– 5.8% 0– 7
273
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
274
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 40.3% 40.3% 36.6%– 43.8% 0.0% 56– 68 2.7%
275
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 32.7% 32.7% 28.5%– 34.2% 0.0% 45– 55 0.0%
276
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:36 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.20%.
277
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:36 INFO: 2,048 simulations out of 5,727 data points, 1 / 7,077,312,379,574 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
278
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:41 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
279
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
280
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 32.7% 32.7% 27.2%– 34.9% 100.0% 43– 55
281
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 17.9% 17.9% 17.5%– 23.1% 68.1% 22– 30
282
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 19.1% 19.1% 12.7%– 19.2% 100.0% 16– 25
283
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 7.7% 7.7% 6.9%– 11.8% 41.7% 9– 17
284
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 8.8% 8.8% 7.0%– 11.1% 73.4% 9– 14
285
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 7.6% 7.6% 6.0%– 10.8% 99.9% 8– 14
286
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 5.5% 0– 7
287
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
288
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 40.7% 40.3% 36.3%– 43.8% 0.0% 55– 66 1.8%
289
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 32.7% 32.7% 27.2%– 34.9% 0.0% 43– 55 0.0%
290
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:41 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.26%.
291
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:41 INFO: 4,096 simulations out of 11,469 data points, 1 / 3,534,028,075,492 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
292
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:53 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
293
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
294
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 31.9% 31.9% 28.4%– 35.3% 100.0% 46– 55
295
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 19.3% 19.3% 16.8%– 23.1% 94.1% 21– 30
296
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 16.3% 16.3% 13.5%– 19.2% 100.0% 17– 24
297
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 8.5% 8.5% 7.3%– 10.9% 35.8% 9– 13
298
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 10.2% 10.2% 7.2%– 11.2% 85.8% 9– 14
299
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 7.6% 7.6% 6.6%– 10.0% 100.0% 8– 13
300
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 4.8% 4.8% 3.0%– 5.5% 0– 7
301
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
302
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 38.7% 39.5% 36.5%– 44.5% 0.0% 56– 66 0.5%
303
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 31.9% 31.9% 28.4%– 35.3% 0.0% 46– 55 0.0%
304
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:53 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.79%.
305
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:53 INFO: 8,192 simulations out of 22,965 data points, 1 / 1,764,936,555,533 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
306
+ 2015-08-01 09:33:22 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
307
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
308
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 31.3% 31.3% 28.4%– 35.3% 100.0% 46– 55
309
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 19.5% 19.5% 17.2%– 22.5% 95.9% 22– 30
310
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 17.1% 17.1% 13.5%– 18.3% 100.0% 17– 24
311
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 9.3% 9.3% 7.5%– 10.9% 18.1% 9– 13
312
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 9.4% 9.4% 7.2%– 11.2% 89.8% 9– 14
313
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 6.4%– 9.6% 100.0% 8– 13
314
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0%– 5.3% 0– 7
315
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
316
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 39.3% 39.3% 36.5%– 44.3% 0.0% 56– 66 0.2%
317
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 31.3% 31.3% 28.4%– 35.3% 0.0% 46– 55 0.0%
318
+ 2015-08-01 09:33:22 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.37%.
319
+ 2015-08-01 09:33:22 INFO: 16,384 simulations out of 45,929 data points, 1 / 882,487,491,515 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
320
+ 2015-08-01 09:34:20 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
321
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
322
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 30.9% 30.9% 28.5%– 35.0% 100.0% 46– 55
323
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 19.9% 19.9% 17.2%– 22.5% 95.7% 22– 30
324
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 17.1% 16.8% 13.8%– 18.9% 100.0% 18– 24
325
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 9.7% 9.7% 7.3%– 10.9% 42.0% 9– 13
326
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 7.4%– 11.2% 90.6% 10– 14
327
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 8.0% 8.1% 6.4%– 9.6% 100.0% 8– 13
328
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 3.6% 3.6% 3.0%– 5.3% 0– 7
329
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
330
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 39.0% 39.0% 36.5%– 43.7% 0.0% 56– 66 0.2%
331
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 30.9% 30.9% 28.5%– 35.0% 0.0% 46– 55 0.0%
332
+ 2015-08-01 09:34:20 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.412%.
333
+ 2015-08-01 09:34:20 INFO: 32,768 simulations out of 91,962 data points, 1 / 440,744,742,369 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
334
+ 2015-08-01 09:36:09 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
335
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
336
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 30.9% 30.9% 28.7%– 34.7% 100.0% 46– 55
337
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 19.9% 19.9% 17.2%– 22.5% 96.8% 22– 30
338
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 17.1% 16.8% 13.5%– 18.7% 100.0% 17– 24
339
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 9.7% 9.3% 7.1%– 10.9% 47.5% 9– 13
340
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 9.4% 9.4% 7.5%– 11.1% 85.3% 10– 14
341
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 8.1% 8.1% 6.4%– 10.0% 100.0% 8– 13
342
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 3.6% 3.6% 3.0%– 5.5% 0– 7
343
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
344
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 39.0% 39.0% 36.6%– 43.4% 0.0% 56– 66 0.2%
345
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 30.9% 30.9% 28.7%– 34.7% 0.0% 46– 55 0.0%
346
+ 2015-08-01 09:36:09 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.412%.
347
+ 2015-08-01 09:36:09 INFO: 65,536 simulations out of 183,888 data points, 1 / 220,415,513,779 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).
348
+ 2015-08-01 09:39:49 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
349
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
350
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 31.8% 30.9% 28.7%– 34.9% 100.0% 46– 55
351
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot 20.0% 19.8% 19.8% 17.1%– 22.7% 96.6% 22– 30
352
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía 16.0% 16.5% 16.5% 13.6%– 18.7% 100.0% 17– 24
353
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya 9.0% 9.7% 9.3% 7.1%– 11.2% 43.7% 9– 14
354
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya 9.0% 9.4% 9.4% 7.1%– 11.2% 81.6% 9– 14
355
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres 8.0% 8.1% 8.1% 6.4%– 10.0% 100.0% 8– 13
356
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya 4.0% 3.8% 3.8% 2.9%– 5.5% 0– 7
357
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
358
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres + Junts pel Sí 40.0% 39.9% 39.9% 36.5%– 43.1% 0.0% 56– 66 0.6%
359
+ Junts pel Sí 32.0% 31.8% 30.9% 28.7%– 34.9% 0.0% 46– 55 0.0%
360
+ 2015-08-01 09:39:49 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.01%.
361
+ 2015-08-01 09:39:49 INFO: 131,072 simulations out of 367,802 data points, 1 / 110,199,966,280 of search space size (40,531,767,997,824,000).