sapor 0.1b1 → 0.2a1
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- checksums.yaml +5 -5
- data/Example-Catalonia.md +361 -0
- data/Example-Flanders.md +486 -0
- data/Example-Greece.md +25 -0
- data/Example-Oslo.md +678 -0
- data/Example-UnitedKingdom-Referendum.md +132 -0
- data/Examples.md +9 -355
- data/README.md +41 -8
- data/bin/create_installation_package.sh +2 -2
- data/bin/install.sh +1 -1
- data/bin/sapor.rb +4 -2
- data/bin/sapor.sh +10 -9
- data/data/hu/hungary-2014.txt +1680 -0
- data/data/hu/hungary_2014_screen_scraper.rb +48 -0
- data/data/hu/hungary_2014_to_psv.rb +80 -0
- data/data/hu/index-2014.txt +106 -0
- data/data/pl/2015-gl-lis-okr.csv +42 -0
- data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv.rb +79 -0
- data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_and_rsw.rb +94 -0
- data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp.rb +100 -0
- data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_sld_and_wi.rb +92 -0
- data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_sld.rb +84 -0
- data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_sld_and_wi.rb +85 -0
- data/data/uk/inject_ukip_2015_as_brexit_2019_in_2017.rb +54 -0
- data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2015.txt +651 -0
- data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2015_to_psv.rb +104 -0
- data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017.txt +651 -0
- data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv.rb +104 -0
- data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv_with_brexit_and_chuk.rb +113 -0
- data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv_with_tig.rb +111 -0
- data/lib/sapor/binomials_cache.rb +1 -1
- data/lib/sapor/combinations_distribution.rb +43 -1
- data/lib/sapor/denominators.rb +67 -0
- data/lib/sapor/dichotomies.rb +41 -1
- data/lib/sapor/dichotomy.rb +31 -5
- data/lib/sapor/first_past_the_post.rb +6 -2
- data/lib/sapor/largest_remainder.rb +118 -0
- data/lib/sapor/log4r_logger.rb +1 -1
- data/lib/sapor/log_facade.rb +1 -1
- data/lib/sapor/{leveled_proportional.rb → multi_district_leveled_proportional.rb} +7 -7
- data/lib/sapor/{proportional.rb → multi_district_proportional.rb} +27 -32
- data/lib/sapor/multi_district_variable_threshold_proportional.rb +128 -0
- data/lib/sapor/number_formatter.rb +1 -1
- data/lib/sapor/options.rb +73 -0
- data/lib/sapor/poll.rb +178 -29
- data/lib/sapor/polychotomy.rb +100 -259
- data/lib/sapor/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator.rb +1 -1
- data/lib/sapor/referendum_polychotomy.rb +165 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/area.rb +4 -2
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/austria.rb +84 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-2014.psv +46 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-20190526.psv +33 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-2014.psv +80 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-20190526.psv +74 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-2014.psv +114 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-20190526.psv +93 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium.rb +97 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_brussels.rb +62 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_flanders.rb +64 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_wallonia.rb +63 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012-2015.psv +1 -1
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012.psv +1 -1
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015-jxcat.psv +68 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015-no-jxsi.psv +68 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015.psv +63 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-jxcat.rb +109 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-no-jxsi.rb +96 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia.rb +27 -21
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-e-and-p.psv +164 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-e.psv +153 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-p.psv +153 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618.psv +142 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark.rb +128 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_e.rb +128 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_e_and_p.rb +128 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_p.rb +128 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/estonia.rb +88 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20140522-brexit-chuk.psv +172 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20140522.psv +146 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20190523.psv +141 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia-ri-sd.psv +64 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia-sd.psv +60 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia.psv +56 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-sd.psv +56 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014.psv +50 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-20190524-ia.psv +58 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-20190524.psv +52 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_austria.rb +76 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_croatia.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_denmark.rb +77 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_estonia.rb +74 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_finland.rb +74 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_ireland.rb +96 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_ireland_with_ia.rb +97 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_italy.rb +83 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_netherlands.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_poland.rb +79 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_romania.rb +78 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_slovakia.rb +80 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_spain.rb +82 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_sweden.rb +76 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_austria.rb +76 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_bulgaria.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_croatia.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_cyprus.rb +72 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_czech_republic.rb +82 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_denmark.rb +77 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_estonia.rb +74 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_finland.rb +74 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_flanders.rb +74 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_france.rb +84 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_france_2019.rb +84 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_french_community_of_belgium.rb +73 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_germany.rb +86 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_great_britain.rb +98 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_greece.rb +77 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_hungary.rb +76 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_ireland.rb +96 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_ireland_with_ia.rb +97 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_italy.rb +83 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_latvia.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_lithuania.rb +80 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_luxembourg.rb +75 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_malta.rb +71 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_netherlands.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_northern_ireland.rb +75 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_poland.rb +79 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_portugal.rb +75 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_romania.rb +78 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_slovakia.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_slovenia.rb +85 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_spain.rb +82 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_sweden.rb +76 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland-20150419-with-sin.psv +224 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland-20150419.psv +212 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland.rb +107 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland_with_sin.rb +107 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-2014.psv +96 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-20190526.psv +87 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders.rb +115 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/france.rb +38 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/greece.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/hungary-2014.psv +2104 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/hungary.rb +116 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20161029-midflokkurinn.psv +94 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20161029.psv +88 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20171028.psv +85 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland.rb +133 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv-p-par.psv +109 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv-par.psv +103 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv.psv +97 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004.psv +89 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia.rb +112 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv.rb +112 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv_p_par.rb +112 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv_par.rb +112 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/luxembourg-20131020.psv +76 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/luxembourg.rb +82 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/netherlands.rb +108 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norway.rb +85 -68
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norwegian_municipality.rb +68 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-and-l-without-n-po-r-and-zl.psv +321 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-konf-kp-l-and-zp-without-k-k15-n-pis-po-psl-r-and-zl.psv +280 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-sld-and-wi-without-n-po-and-zl.psv +403 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-sld-and-wi-without-zl.psv +444 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-sld-without-zl.psv +403 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025.psv +403 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland.rb +125 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_and_l_without_n_po_r_and_zl.rb +122 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp_without_k_k15_n_pis_po_psl_r_and_zl.rb +123 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_sld_and_wi_without_n_po_and_zl.rb +125 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_sld_and_wi_without_zl.rb +126 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_sld_without_zl.rb +126 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-and-ch-without-paf.psv +438 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-and-il-without-paf.psv +438 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-ch-and-il-without-paf.psv +461 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-without-paf.psv +415 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-ch-and-il-without-paf.psv +438 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-without-paf.psv +392 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004.psv +370 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal.rb +101 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_and_ch_without_paf.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_ch_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_without_paf.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_ch_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_without_paf.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/slovakia.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/slovenia.rb +114 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/spain-20160626.psv +619 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/spain.rb +136 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/sweden.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/sweden_20140914.rb +89 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-2015.psv +4358 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-brexit-chuk.psv +5154 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-brexit.psv +4521 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-tig.psv +4529 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608.psv +3894 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom.rb +57 -1038
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_brexit.rb +110 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_brexit_and_chuk.rb +111 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_tig.rb +111 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/utopia.rb +2 -2
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia-2014.psv +101 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia.rb +97 -0
- data/lib/sapor/representatives_polychotomy.rb +338 -0
- data/lib/sapor/single_district_proportional.rb +75 -0
- data/lib/sapor.rb +112 -6
- data/sapor.gemspec +2 -2
- data/spec/integration/area_spec.rb +2 -2
- data/spec/integration/poll_spec.rb +6 -1
- data/spec/integration/sample.poll +2 -1
- data/spec/spec_helper.rb +2 -2
- data/spec/unit/area_spec.rb +12 -12
- data/spec/unit/austria_spec.rb +76 -0
- data/spec/unit/belgium_brussels_spec.rb +58 -0
- data/spec/unit/belgium_flanders_spec.rb +62 -0
- data/spec/unit/belgium_spec.rb +26 -0
- data/spec/unit/belgium_wallonia_spec.rb +65 -0
- data/spec/unit/binomials_cache_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/unit/catalonia_spec.rb +21 -29
- data/spec/unit/combinations_distribution_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/unit/denmark_spec.rb +56 -0
- data/spec/unit/denmark_with_e_and_p_spec.rb +58 -0
- data/spec/unit/denmark_with_e_spec.rb +57 -0
- data/spec/unit/denmark_with_p_spec.rb +57 -0
- data/spec/unit/denominators_spec.rb +8 -2
- data/spec/unit/dichotomies_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/unit/dichotomy_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/unit/estonia_spec.rb +65 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_austria_spec.rb +61 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_croatia_spec.rb +60 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_denmark_spec.rb +62 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_estonia_spec.rb +94 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_finland_spec.rb +75 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_ireland_spec.rb +72 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_ireland_with_ia_spec.rb +74 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_italy_spec.rb +69 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_netherlands_spec.rb +81 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_poland_spec.rb +69 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_romania_spec.rb +67 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_slovakia_spec.rb +111 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_spain_spec.rb +130 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_sweden_spec.rb +89 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_austria_spec.rb +61 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_bulgaria_spec.rb +97 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_croatia_spec.rb +59 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_cyprus_spec.rb +65 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_czech_republic_spec.rb +125 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_denmark_spec.rb +61 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_estonia_spec.rb +93 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_finland_spec.rb +75 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_flanders_spec.rb +56 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_france_2019_spec.rb +73 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_france_spec.rb +73 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_french_community_of_belgium_spec.rb +61 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_germany_spec.rb +90 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_great_britain_spec.rb +87 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_greece_spec.rb +148 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_hungary_spec.rb +57 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_ireland_spec.rb +72 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_ireland_with_ia_spec.rb +74 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_italy_spec.rb +69 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_latvia_spec.rb +76 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_lithuania_spec.rb +68 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_luxembourg_spec.rb +63 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_malta_spec.rb +60 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_netherlands_spec.rb +81 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_northern_ireland_spec.rb +66 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_poland_spec.rb +69 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_portugal_spec.rb +77 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_romania_spec.rb +67 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_slovakia_spec.rb +111 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_slovenia_spec.rb +77 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_spain_spec.rb +129 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_sweden_spec.rb +89 -0
- data/spec/unit/finland_spec.rb +65 -0
- data/spec/unit/finland_with_sin_spec.rb +67 -0
- data/spec/unit/first_past_the_post_spec.rb +6 -5
- data/spec/unit/flanders_spec.rb +70 -0
- data/spec/unit/france_spec.rb +32 -0
- data/spec/unit/greece_spec.rb +118 -0
- data/spec/unit/hungary_spec.rb +132 -0
- data/spec/unit/iceland_spec.rb +57 -0
- data/spec/unit/largest_remainder_spec.rb +79 -0
- data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_p_par_spec.rb +38 -0
- data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_par_spec.rb +38 -0
- data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_spec.rb +38 -0
- data/spec/unit/latvia_spec.rb +60 -0
- data/spec/unit/luxembourg_spec.rb +54 -0
- data/spec/unit/{leveled_proportional_spec.rb → multi_district_leveled_proportional_spec.rb} +12 -14
- data/spec/unit/{proportional_spec.rb → multi_district_proportional_spec.rb} +11 -16
- data/spec/unit/netherlands_spec.rb +107 -0
- data/spec/unit/norway_spec.rb +23 -6
- data/spec/unit/norwegian_municipality_spec.rb +89 -0
- data/spec/unit/number_formatter_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/unit/poland_spec.rb +62 -0
- data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_and_l_without_n_po_r_and_zl_spec.rb +60 -0
- data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp_without_k_k15_n_pis_po_psl_r_and_zl_spec.rb +59 -0
- data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_sld_and_wi_without_n_po_and_zl_spec.rb +62 -0
- data/spec/unit/poland_with_sld_and_wi_without_zl_spec.rb +63 -0
- data/spec/unit/poland_with_sld_without_zl_spec.rb +62 -0
- data/spec/unit/poll_spec.rb +8 -3
- data/spec/unit/portugal_spec.rb +66 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_and_ch_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_ch_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +69 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_without_paf_spec.rb +67 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_with_ch_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_without_paf_spec.rb +66 -0
- data/spec/unit/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/unit/referendum_polychotomy_spec.rb +289 -0
- data/spec/unit/{polychotomy_spec.rb → representatives_polychotomy_spec.rb} +26 -26
- data/spec/unit/slovakia_spec.rb +99 -0
- data/spec/unit/slovenia_spec.rb +80 -0
- data/spec/unit/spain_spec.rb +101 -0
- data/spec/unit/sweden_20140914_spec.rb +112 -0
- data/spec/unit/sweden_spec.rb +113 -0
- data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_spec.rb +65 -0
- data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_brexit_and_chuk_spec.rb +67 -0
- data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_brexit_spec.rb +66 -0
- data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_tig_spec.rb +66 -0
- data/spec/unit/wallonia_spec.rb +130 -0
- metadata +381 -11
data/Example-Oslo.md
ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,678 @@
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Example: Oslo
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=============
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The following file is a valid poll file for a poll for the city council of Oslo.
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It is based on the results of a poll done from 22--24 June 2015 by Norfakta
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for Høyre.
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Area=NO-0301
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==
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Arbeiderpartiet=283
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Høyre=248
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Venstre=63
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Miljøpartiet de Grønne=59
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14
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Fremskrittspartiet=53
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Sosialistisk Venstreparti=39
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Rødt=30
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17
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Kristelig Folkeparti=16
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18
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Senterpartiet=6
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Other=3
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The following call will use the poll file to run an analysis.
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sapor analyze Høyre-Norfakta-20150624.poll
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For this file, the log will look like below.
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27
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2015-08-07 18:18:46 INFO: Analyzing as a set of dichotomies...
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28
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2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
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29
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Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
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30
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Arbeiderpartiet 50.0% 33.3%– 66.7% 100.0%
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31
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Fremskrittspartiet 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
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32
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Høyre 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
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33
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Kristelig Folkeparti 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
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34
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Miljøpartiet de Grønne 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
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35
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+
Rødt 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
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36
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Senterpartiet 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
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37
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Sosialistisk Venstreparti 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
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38
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Venstre 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
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39
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Other 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
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40
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2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 33.3%.
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2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Number of data points: 3.
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42
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2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
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43
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Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
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44
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Arbeiderpartiet 38.9% 33.3%– 44.4% 100.0%
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45
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Høyre 27.8% 22.2%– 33.3% 100.0%
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46
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Fremskrittspartiet 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
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47
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Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
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48
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Miljøpartiet de Grønne 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
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49
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Rødt 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
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50
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Senterpartiet 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
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51
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Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
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52
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Venstre 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
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53
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Other 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
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54
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2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 11.1%.
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55
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2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Number of data points: 9.
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56
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2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
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57
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Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
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58
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Arbeiderpartiet 35.2% 29.6%– 40.7% 100.0%
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59
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+
Høyre 31.5% 25.9%– 37.0% 100.0%
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60
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Miljøpartiet de Grønne 9.3% 3.7%– 11.1% 100.0%
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61
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+
Venstre 9.3% 3.7%– 11.1% 100.0%
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62
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Fremskrittspartiet 5.6% 3.7%– 11.1% 100.0%
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63
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+
Rødt 5.6% 0.0%– 7.4% 100.0%
|
64
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+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.6% 3.7%– 7.4% 100.0%
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65
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+
Kristelig Folkeparti 1.9% 0.0%– 3.7% 100.0%
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66
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+
Senterpartiet 1.9% 0.0%– 3.7% 100.0%
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67
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Other 1.9% 0.0%– 3.7% 100.0%
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68
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2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.70%.
|
69
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2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Number of data points: 27.
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70
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2015-08-07 18:18:48 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
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71
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Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
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72
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Arbeiderpartiet 35.2% 32.1%– 39.5% 100.0%
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73
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+
Høyre 31.5% 27.2%– 34.6% 100.0%
|
74
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+
Venstre 8.0% 6.2%– 9.9% 100.0%
|
75
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+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.8% 4.9%– 8.6% 100.0%
|
76
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+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 6.8% 4.9%– 9.9% 100.0%
|
77
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+
Rødt 4.3% 2.5%– 6.2% 100.0%
|
78
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+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.3% 3.7%– 7.4% 100.0%
|
79
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+
Kristelig Folkeparti 1.9% 1.2%– 3.7% 100.0%
|
80
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+
Senterpartiet 0.6% 0.0%– 2.5% 3.4%
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81
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+
Other 0.6% 0.0%– 1.2% 0.1%
|
82
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+
2015-08-07 18:18:48 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.23%.
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83
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2015-08-07 18:18:48 INFO: Number of data points: 81.
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84
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2015-08-07 18:18:50 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
85
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Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
|
86
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Arbeiderpartiet 35.2% 32.1%– 39.1% 100.0%
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87
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+
Høyre 31.1% 27.6%– 34.6% 100.0%
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88
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+
Venstre 8.0% 6.2%– 10.3% 100.0%
|
89
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+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.2% 5.8%– 9.5% 100.0%
|
90
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+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.8% 4.9%– 8.6% 100.0%
|
91
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+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.7% 3.3%– 6.6% 100.0%
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92
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+
Rødt 3.9% 2.5%– 5.3% 100.0%
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93
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+
Kristelig Folkeparti 1.9% 1.2%– 3.3% 83.2%
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94
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+
Senterpartiet 0.6% 0.4%– 1.6% 1.9%
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95
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+
Other 0.6% 0.0%– 1.2% 0.1%
|
96
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+
2015-08-07 18:18:50 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.412%.
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97
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2015-08-07 18:18:50 INFO: Number of data points: 243.
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98
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2015-08-07 18:18:56 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
99
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Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
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100
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+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.3% 32.1%– 38.8% 100.0%
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101
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+
Høyre 30.9% 27.8%– 34.3% 100.0%
|
102
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+
Venstre 7.9% 6.2%– 10.0% 100.0%
|
103
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+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.3% 5.8%– 9.5% 100.0%
|
104
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+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.7% 5.1%– 8.6% 100.0%
|
105
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+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 3.6%– 6.7% 100.0%
|
106
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+
Rødt 3.8% 2.6%– 5.3% 100.0%
|
107
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+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.2%– 3.3% 82.5%
|
108
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+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 2.2%
|
109
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+
Other 0.3% 0.1%– 1.1% 0.1%
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110
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+
2015-08-07 18:18:56 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.137%.
|
111
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+
2015-08-07 18:18:56 INFO: Number of data points: 729.
|
112
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2015-08-07 18:19:14 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
113
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Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
|
114
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+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 32.1%– 38.8% 100.0%
|
115
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+
Høyre 31.0% 27.9%– 34.3% 100.0%
|
116
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+
Venstre 7.9% 6.2%– 10.0% 100.0%
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117
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+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.8%– 9.4% 100.0%
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118
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+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 5.1%– 8.6% 100.0%
|
119
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+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 3.6%– 6.6% 100.0%
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120
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+
Rødt 3.8% 2.6%– 5.3% 100.0%
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121
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+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.2%– 3.2% 79.5%
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122
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Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 1.8%
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123
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+
Other 0.4% 0.1%– 1.1% 0.1%
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124
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+
2015-08-07 18:19:14 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.046%.
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125
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2015-08-07 18:19:14 INFO: Number of data points: 2,187.
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126
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2015-08-07 18:19:14 INFO: Analyzing as a polychotomy...
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127
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2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
128
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Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
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129
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Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 13.9% 27.5% 27.5%– 27.5% 100.0% 17–17
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130
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Høyre 31.0% 11.9% 23.5% 23.5%– 23.5% 100.0% 14–14
|
131
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+
Venstre 7.9% 2.1% 4.1% 4.1%– 4.1% 100.0% 2– 2
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132
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+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 1.9% 3.7% 3.7%– 3.7% 100.0% 2– 2
|
133
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+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 1.6% 3.2% 3.2%– 3.2% 100.0% 2– 2
|
134
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+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.1%– 2.1% 100.0% 1– 1
|
135
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+
Rødt 3.8% 0.6% 1.4% 1.4%– 1.4% 100.0% 1– 1
|
136
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+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5%– 0.5% 100.0% 0– 0
|
137
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+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%– 0.1% 0– 0
|
138
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+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
139
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+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 50.1% 34.8% 34.8%– 34.8% 0.0% 21–21 0.0%
|
140
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+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 50.1% 33.4% 33.4%– 33.4% 0.0% 20–20 0.0%
|
141
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+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 50.1% 31.0% 31.0%– 31.0% 0.0% 19–19 0.0%
|
142
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+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 50.1% 29.7% 29.7%– 29.7% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
|
143
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 50.1% 26.7% 26.7%– 26.7% 0.0% 16–16 0.0%
|
144
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+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 50.1% 35.0% 35.0%– 35.0% 0.0% 20–20 0.0%
|
145
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+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 50.1% 31.3% 31.3%– 31.3% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
|
146
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+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 50.1% 31.3% 31.3%– 31.3% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
|
147
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+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 50.1% 28.1% 28.1%– 28.1% 0.0% 16–16 0.0%
|
148
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+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 50.1% 4.6% 4.6%– 4.6% 0.0% 2– 2 0.0%
|
149
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+
2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 100%.
|
150
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+
2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: 1 simulations out of 1 data points, 1 / 198,285,846,287,760,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
151
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+
2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
152
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+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
153
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+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 29.9% 29.9% 29.9%– 29.9% 100.0% 18–18
|
154
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+
Høyre 31.0% 25.6% 25.6% 25.6%– 25.7% 100.0% 15–15
|
155
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+
Venstre 7.9% 6.1% 6.1% 6.0%– 6.1% 100.0% 4– 4
|
156
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+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4%– 5.4% 100.0% 3– 3
|
157
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+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6%– 4.7% 100.0% 3– 3
|
158
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+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1%– 3.2% 100.0% 2– 2
|
159
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+
Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1%– 2.2% 100.0% 1– 1
|
160
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+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%– 1.1% 100.0% 0– 0
|
161
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+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%– 0.1% 0– 0
|
162
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+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
163
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 68.9% 40.8% 37.8%– 40.8% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
|
164
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+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 68.1% 38.6% 36.0%– 38.6% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
|
165
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+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 66.6% 35.3% 33.2%– 35.3% 0.0% 21–21 0.0%
|
166
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+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 65.9% 33.2% 31.4%– 33.2% 0.0% 20–20 0.0%
|
167
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 64.4% 30.3% 28.5%– 30.3% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
|
168
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 69.6% 42.8% 38.9%– 42.8% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
|
169
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 67.4% 37.5% 34.4%– 37.5% 0.0% 22–22 0.0%
|
170
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 67.1% 37.4% 34.3%– 37.4% 0.0% 22–22 0.0%
|
171
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 65.4% 32.8% 30.4%– 32.8% 0.0% 19–19 0.0%
|
172
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 53.1% 7.2% 5.9%– 7.2% 0.0% 4– 4 0.0%
|
173
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.42%.
|
174
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: 2 simulations out of 2 data points, 1 / 99,142,923,143,880,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
175
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
176
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
177
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 30.5% 30.5% 30.5%– 30.5% 100.0% 18–18
|
178
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+
Høyre 31.0% 24.8% 24.8% 24.7%– 24.8% 100.0% 15–15
|
179
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%– 10.5% 100.0% 6– 6
|
180
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1%– 8.1% 100.0% 5– 5
|
181
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9%– 5.9% 100.0% 3– 3
|
182
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%– 3.0% 0.0% 2– 2
|
183
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6%– 7.6% 100.0% 5– 5
|
184
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2%– 5.3% 100.0% 3– 3
|
185
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%– 0.5% 0– 0
|
186
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
187
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 74.1% 49.6% 48.2%– 49.6% 0.0% 30–30 100.0%
|
188
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 41.6% 42.0% 40.3%– 42.9% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
|
189
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 70.4% 41.5% 40.6%– 41.5% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
|
190
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 34.4% 33.9% 33.5%– 35.3% 0.0% 20–20 0.0%
|
191
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 31.4% 30.6% 30.5%– 32.2% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
|
192
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 76.4% 54.4% 52.5%– 54.4% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
|
193
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 72.6% 46.8% 45.2%– 46.8% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
|
194
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 72.6% 46.3% 44.9%– 46.3% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
|
195
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 69.6% 40.4% 39.0%– 40.4% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
|
196
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 56.6% 16.1% 13.0%– 16.1% 0.0% 9– 9 0.0%
|
197
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.44%.
|
198
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: 4 simulations out of 9 data points, 1 / 22,031,760,698,640,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
199
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
200
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
201
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.3% 35.3% 35.3%– 35.3% 100.0% 21–21
|
202
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 29.1% 29.1% 29.0%– 29.1% 100.0% 18–18
|
203
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%– 5.0% 0.0% 3– 3
|
204
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5%– 11.5% 100.0% 7– 7
|
205
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7%– 8.7% 100.0% 5– 5
|
206
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.0%– 5.1% 100.0% 3– 3
|
207
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%– 2.5% 100.0% 1– 1
|
208
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%– 1.3% 100.0% 1– 1
|
209
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%– 0.5% 0– 0
|
210
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
211
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 76.9% 54.8% 53.8%– 54.8% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
|
212
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 75.1% 52.4% 50.3%– 52.4% 100.0% 31–31 100.0%
|
213
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 43.1% 43.3% 42.4%– 43.7% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
|
214
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 70.1% 40.9% 40.2%– 40.9% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
|
215
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 68.4% 37.8% 36.5%– 37.8% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
|
216
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.6% 55.6% 55.0%– 56.4% 100.0% 34–34 100.0%
|
217
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 44.9% 44.6% 44.1%– 45.6% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
|
218
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.1% 44.1% 43.8%– 44.6% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
|
219
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 35.6% 35.4% 34.7%– 36.4% 0.0% 22–22 0.0%
|
220
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 6.4% 6.8% 5.7%– 7.0% 0.0% 4– 4 0.0%
|
221
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.44%.
|
222
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: 8 simulations out of 31 data points, 1 / 6,396,317,622,185,806,451 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
223
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
224
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
225
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.3% 35.3% 35.3%– 35.3% 100.0% 21–21
|
226
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 29.1% 29.1% 29.0%– 29.1% 100.0% 18–18
|
227
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%– 5.0% 0.0% 3– 3
|
228
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5%– 11.5% 100.0% 7– 7
|
229
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7%– 8.7% 100.0% 5– 5
|
230
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.0%– 5.1% 100.0% 3– 3
|
231
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%– 2.5% 100.0% 1– 1
|
232
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%– 1.3% 100.0% 1– 1
|
233
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%– 0.5% 0– 0
|
234
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
235
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 77.1% 54.8% 54.3%– 54.8% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
|
236
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 75.9% 52.4% 51.7%– 52.4% 100.0% 31–31 100.0%
|
237
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 43.6% 43.3% 43.1%– 43.7% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
|
238
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.6% 40.9% 40.9%– 42.3% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
|
239
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 37.4% 37.8% 36.5%– 38.3% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
|
240
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 56.1% 55.6% 55.6%– 56.4% 100.0% 34–34 100.0%
|
241
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 44.6% 44.6% 44.1%– 44.9% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
|
242
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.1% 44.1% 43.8%– 44.6% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
|
243
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 35.9% 35.4% 35.2%– 36.4% 0.0% 22–22 0.0%
|
244
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 6.4% 6.8% 5.7%– 7.0% 0.0% 4– 4 0.0%
|
245
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 9.42%.
|
246
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: 16 simulations out of 83 data points, 1 / 2,388,986,099,852,530,120 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
247
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
248
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
249
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 33.1% 33.1% 33.1%– 33.1% 0.7% 20–20
|
250
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 34.5% 34.5% 34.5%– 34.5% 100.0% 21–21
|
251
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6%– 8.6% 99.3% 5– 5
|
252
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9%– 5.9% 0.7% 3– 3
|
253
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.5% 6.5% 6.4%– 6.5% 100.0% 4– 4
|
254
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.1% 100.0% 2– 2
|
255
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%– 2.4% 100.0% 1– 1
|
256
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.6% 0.7% 1– 1
|
257
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6%– 2.7% 2– 2
|
258
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
259
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 48.0% 48.0% 47.9%– 48.0% 0.7% 28–28 0.7%
|
260
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 45.6% 45.6% 45.5%– 45.7% 0.7% 27–27 0.7%
|
261
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 42.2% 42.2% 42.1%– 42.3% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
|
262
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 39.7% 39.8% 39.7%– 39.8% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
|
263
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 41.1% 41.0% 40.6%– 41.6% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
|
264
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 56.9% 56.9% 56.7%– 57.0% 100.0% 34–34 100.0%
|
265
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 53.6% 53.7% 53.2%– 53.9% 99.3% 33–33 99.3%
|
266
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 50.9% 51.1% 50.8%– 51.1% 99.3% 31–31 99.3%
|
267
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 44.6% 44.6% 43.7%– 45.2% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
|
268
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 12.6% 12.7% 12.5%– 12.9% 0.0% 8– 8 0.0%
|
269
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.62%.
|
270
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: 32 simulations out of 164 data points, 1 / 1,209,060,038,340,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
271
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:18 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
272
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
273
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 38.8% 38.8% 38.8%– 38.8% 98.7% 23–23
|
274
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%– 31.5% 100.0% 19–19
|
275
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.7%– 8.8% 100.0% 5– 5
|
276
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 5.5% 0.0% 3– 3
|
277
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%– 6.6% 100.0% 4– 4
|
278
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.0% 100.0% 2– 2
|
279
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%– 2.2% 100.0% 1– 1
|
280
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.5% 98.7% 1– 1
|
281
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1%– 1.2% 1– 1
|
282
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
283
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 51.6% 51.6% 51.5%– 51.7% 98.7% 30–30 98.7%
|
284
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.4% 49.4% 49.0%– 49.5% 0.0% 29–29 0.0%
|
285
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.1% 46.2% 45.8%– 46.2% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
|
286
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 43.9% 44.0% 43.8%– 44.0% 0.0% 26–26 0.0%
|
287
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%– 38.1% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
|
288
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.8% 53.7% 53.7%– 53.8% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
|
289
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.4% 49.5% 49.3%– 49.6% 1.3% 30–30 100.0%
|
290
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 48.3% 48.1%– 48.4% 1.3% 29–29 1.3%
|
291
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.6% 41.7% 41.5%– 41.8% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
|
292
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%– 11.4% 0.0% 7– 7 0.0%
|
293
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:18 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.72%.
|
294
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:18 INFO: 64 simulations out of 290 data points, 1 / 683,744,297,544,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
295
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:19 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
296
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
297
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 38.8% 38.8% 38.8%– 38.8% 98.7% 23–23
|
298
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%– 31.5% 100.0% 19–19
|
299
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.7%– 8.8% 99.5% 5– 5
|
300
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 5.5% 0.5% 3– 3
|
301
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%– 6.6% 100.0% 4– 4
|
302
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.0% 100.0% 2– 2
|
303
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%– 2.2% 100.0% 1– 1
|
304
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.5% 98.7% 1– 1
|
305
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1%– 1.2% 1– 1
|
306
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
307
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 51.6% 51.6% 51.5%– 51.7% 98.7% 30–30 98.7%
|
308
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.3% 49.4% 49.3%– 49.4% 0.0% 29–29 0.0%
|
309
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.2% 46.2% 46.1%– 46.2% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
|
310
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 43.9% 44.0% 43.8%– 44.0% 0.0% 26–26 0.0%
|
311
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%– 38.1% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
|
312
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.8% 53.7% 53.7%– 53.8% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
|
313
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.5% 49.5% 49.4%– 49.6% 1.3% 30–30 99.5%
|
314
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 48.3% 48.3%– 48.4% 1.3% 29–29 1.3%
|
315
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.7% 41.7% 41.6%– 41.7% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
|
316
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%– 11.4% 0.0% 7– 7 0.0%
|
317
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:19 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 7.36%.
|
318
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:19 INFO: 128 simulations out of 572 data points, 1 / 346,653,577,426,153,846 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
319
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:20 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
320
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
321
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 38.8% 38.8% 38.8%– 38.8% 98.7% 23–23
|
322
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%– 31.5% 100.0% 19–19
|
323
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.7%– 8.8% 99.5% 5– 5
|
324
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 5.5% 0.5% 3– 3
|
325
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%– 6.6% 100.0% 4– 4
|
326
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.0% 100.0% 2– 2
|
327
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%– 2.2% 99.8% 1– 1
|
328
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.5% 98.7% 1– 1
|
329
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1%– 1.2% 1– 1
|
330
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
331
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 51.6% 51.6% 51.6%– 51.6% 98.5% 30–30 98.5%
|
332
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.4% 49.4% 49.3%– 49.4% 0.0% 29–29 0.0%
|
333
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.2% 46.2% 46.1%– 46.2% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
|
334
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 44.0% 44.0% 43.9%– 44.0% 0.0% 26–26 0.0%
|
335
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%– 38.0% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
|
336
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 56.9% 53.7% 53.7%– 53.7% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
|
337
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.5% 49.5% 49.5%– 49.5% 1.5% 30–30 99.5%
|
338
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 48.3% 48.3%– 48.4% 1.5% 29–29 1.5%
|
339
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.7% 41.7% 41.6%– 41.7% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
|
340
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%– 11.4% 0.0% 7– 7 0.0%
|
341
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:20 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.89%.
|
342
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:20 INFO: 256 simulations out of 1,174 data points, 1 / 168,897,654,418,875,638 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
343
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:21 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
344
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
345
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 38.8% 38.8% 32.1%– 38.8% 97.7% 20–23
|
346
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%– 31.8% 100.0% 19–19
|
347
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.6%– 8.8% 98.1% 5– 5
|
348
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 6.8% 1.9% 3– 4
|
349
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.4%– 6.6% 98.9% 4– 4
|
350
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.5% 99.2% 2– 3
|
351
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%– 3.1% 99.8% 1– 2
|
352
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.6% 98.0% 1– 1
|
353
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1%– 1.2% 1– 1
|
354
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
355
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 51.6% 51.6% 50.1%– 51.6% 97.8% 30–30 98.0%
|
356
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.4% 49.4% 46.9%– 49.4% 1.1% 28–29 1.1%
|
357
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.2% 46.2% 42.5%– 46.2% 0.0% 26–27 0.1%
|
358
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 44.0% 44.0% 39.7%– 44.0% 0.0% 24–26 0.0%
|
359
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%– 38.4% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
|
360
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 54.1% 53.7% 53.7%– 56.6% 99.9% 32–33 99.9%
|
361
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.5% 49.5% 49.5%– 49.5% 2.5% 30–30 97.9%
|
362
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 48.3% 48.3%– 48.4% 2.0% 29–29 2.0%
|
363
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.7% 41.7% 40.1%– 41.7% 0.0% 24–25 0.0%
|
364
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%– 11.4% 0.0% 7– 7 0.0%
|
365
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:21 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 6.77%.
|
366
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:21 INFO: 512 simulations out of 2,345 data points, 1 / 84,556,864,088,597,014 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
367
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:23 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
368
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
369
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.7% 36.7% 35.4%– 36.8% 100.0% 21–22
|
370
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 27.2% 27.2% 27.2%– 30.1% 100.0% 16–18
|
371
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%– 9.0% 15.8% 4– 5
|
372
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 4.8%– 9.6% 84.3% 3– 6
|
373
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3%– 7.4% 100.0% 4– 4
|
374
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 4.9%– 5.2% 100.0% 3– 3
|
375
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%– 4.2% 100.0% 2– 3
|
376
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.9%– 2.7% 100.0% 1– 2
|
377
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%– 1.4% 0– 1
|
378
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
379
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 55.9% 55.9% 50.9%– 55.9% 100.0% 31–33 100.0%
|
380
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 52.3% 52.3% 46.7%– 52.3% 84.2% 28–31 84.2%
|
381
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.3% 46.3% 46.1%– 46.3% 0.0% 27–28 0.0%
|
382
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 42.7% 42.7% 41.9%– 42.8% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
|
383
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 34.6% 34.6% 34.6%– 37.4% 0.0% 20–22 0.0%
|
384
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.5% 53.5% 53.1%– 53.5% 100.0% 31–32 100.0%
|
385
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0%– 49.7% 0.0% 26–29 0.4%
|
386
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.0% 43.9% 43.9%– 48.3% 0.0% 26–28 0.0%
|
387
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.5% 36.6% 36.5%– 41.0% 0.0% 22–24 0.0%
|
388
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%– 12.3% 0.0% 6– 7 0.0%
|
389
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:23 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 4.25%.
|
390
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:23 INFO: 1,024 simulations out of 4,690 data points, 1 / 42,278,432,044,298,507 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
391
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:26 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
392
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
393
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.7% 36.7% 31.8%– 36.8% 99.9% 19–22
|
394
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 27.2% 27.2% 27.2%– 30.9% 100.0% 16–18
|
395
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%– 9.0% 19.4% 4– 5
|
396
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 4.8%– 9.6% 85.0% 3– 6
|
397
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3%– 7.8% 99.9% 4– 5
|
398
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 4.8%– 5.2% 99.1% 3– 3
|
399
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%– 4.2% 99.7% 2– 3
|
400
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.3%– 2.7% 96.6% 1– 2
|
401
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%– 2.1% 0– 1
|
402
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
403
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 50.9% 55.9% 50.3%– 55.9% 99.2% 30–33 99.0%
|
404
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 52.3% 52.3% 46.6%– 52.3% 80.4% 28–31 80.4%
|
405
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.3% 46.3% 42.5%– 46.3% 0.0% 25–28 0.0%
|
406
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 42.7% 42.7% 38.7%– 42.8% 0.0% 23–25 0.0%
|
407
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 34.6% 34.6% 34.6%– 38.7% 0.0% 20–23 0.0%
|
408
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.5% 53.5% 53.1%– 56.7% 100.0% 31–34 100.0%
|
409
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 45.0% 45.0%– 51.0% 3.4% 26–30 4.0%
|
410
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.0% 43.9% 43.9%– 48.9% 0.1% 26–29 0.3%
|
411
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.5% 36.6% 36.5%– 41.1% 0.0% 22–24 0.0%
|
412
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%– 12.3% 0.0% 6– 7 0.0%
|
413
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:26 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 4.94%.
|
414
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:26 INFO: 2,048 simulations out of 9,461 data points, 1 / 20,958,233,409,550,787 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
415
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:31 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
416
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
417
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.7% 36.7% 31.8%– 36.8% 99.5% 19–22
|
418
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 27.2% 27.2% 27.2%– 30.9% 100.0% 16–18
|
419
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%– 9.4% 23.0% 4– 6
|
420
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 4.8%– 9.6% 81.2% 3– 6
|
421
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 6.9%– 7.8% 99.4% 4– 5
|
422
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 4.6%– 5.2% 98.5% 3– 3
|
423
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%– 4.5% 99.1% 2– 3
|
424
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.3%– 2.7% 96.7% 1– 2
|
425
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9%– 2.1% 0– 1
|
426
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
427
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 50.3% 55.9% 50.1%– 55.9% 99.0% 29–33 97.2%
|
428
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 52.3% 52.3% 46.2%– 52.3% 76.8% 27–31 76.8%
|
429
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.3% 46.3% 42.5%– 46.5% 0.0% 25–28 0.0%
|
430
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 42.7% 42.7% 38.7%– 42.8% 0.0% 23–25 0.0%
|
431
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 34.6% 34.6% 34.6%– 38.7% 0.0% 20–23 0.0%
|
432
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.7% 53.5% 52.8%– 56.7% 100.0% 31–34 100.0%
|
433
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 45.0% 45.0%– 51.0% 5.1% 26–30 5.7%
|
434
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.0% 43.9% 43.9%– 48.9% 0.2% 26–29 2.0%
|
435
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.5% 36.6% 36.5%– 42.0% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
|
436
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 12.3% 10.4% 10.4%– 12.3% 0.0% 6– 7 0.0%
|
437
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:31 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.79%.
|
438
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:31 INFO: 4,096 simulations out of 18,996 data points, 1 / 10,438,294,708,768,161 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
439
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:39 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
440
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
441
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 34.7% 34.7% 31.8%– 38.2% 96.1% 19–23
|
442
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 30.6% 30.6% 25.9%– 32.9% 100.0% 15–20
|
443
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 9.2% 9.2% 6.7%– 9.2% 80.7% 4– 6
|
444
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.7% 8.7% 4.8%– 9.6% 88.8% 3– 6
|
445
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 5.8% 5.8% 5.2%– 9.1% 53.3% 3– 5
|
446
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 6.0% 6.0% 3.2%– 6.4% 73.7% 2– 4
|
447
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%– 5.8% 99.4% 2– 3
|
448
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%– 2.8% 98.9% 1– 2
|
449
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%– 1.6% 0– 1
|
450
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
451
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 52.8% 52.8% 49.8%– 55.9% 95.9% 30–33 97.9%
|
452
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.8% 49.8% 46.1%– 52.3% 19.2% 28–31 64.9%
|
453
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 44.1% 44.1% 43.4%– 47.8% 0.0% 25–29 0.0%
|
454
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.1% 41.1% 39.0%– 43.2% 0.0% 23–26 0.0%
|
455
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 34.6% 36.4% 34.6%– 38.6% 0.0% 20–23 0.0%
|
456
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.2% 55.7% 51.8%– 55.7% 100.0% 30–34 100.0%
|
457
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 47.4% 45.0%– 50.3% 5.0% 26–30 3.0%
|
458
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 47.0% 43.9%– 49.2% 1.4% 26–29 1.9%
|
459
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.5% 41.2% 36.0%– 44.0% 0.0% 21–26 0.0%
|
460
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 10.4%– 12.3% 0.0% 6– 7 0.0%
|
461
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:39 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.38%.
|
462
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:39 INFO: 8,192 simulations out of 37,868 data points, 1 / 5,236,237,622,471,743 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
463
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:59 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
464
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
465
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 34.7%– 38.6% 99.8% 21–23
|
466
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 28.1%– 32.3% 100.0% 17–19
|
467
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 7.5%– 9.0% 79.7% 4– 5
|
468
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0%– 8.7% 98.4% 4– 5
|
469
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 5.3%– 7.5% 97.8% 3– 4
|
470
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 4.4%– 5.8% 98.5% 3– 4
|
471
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 4.3% 99.9% 2– 2
|
472
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8%– 2.1% 99.8% 1– 1
|
473
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%– 1.3% 0– 1
|
474
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
475
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 52.8% 53.4% 51.1%– 54.7% 99.8% 31–33 99.8%
|
476
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.8% 49.4% 48.4%– 51.7% 17.9% 29–31 91.3%
|
477
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 44.1% 45.4% 44.1%– 46.7% 0.0% 27–28 0.0%
|
478
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.1% 41.4% 41.0%– 43.6% 0.0% 25–26 0.0%
|
479
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 35.4%– 38.0% 0.0% 21–22 0.0%
|
480
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 54.0% 54.0% 53.0%– 55.2% 100.0% 31–32 100.0%
|
481
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 46.6% 46.6% 45.6%– 49.3% 0.3% 26–28 0.2%
|
482
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 46.0% 46.0% 45.0%– 48.2% 0.1% 26–28 0.1%
|
483
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 39.0% 39.0% 37.6%– 42.5% 0.0% 22–25 0.0%
|
484
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 10.0%– 11.4% 0.0% 5– 7 0.0%
|
485
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:59 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.87%.
|
486
|
+
2015-08-07 18:19:59 INFO: 16,384 simulations out of 75,853 data points, 1 / 2,614,080,475,231,829 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
487
|
+
2015-08-07 18:20:33 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
488
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
489
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 34.7%– 38.6% 99.4% 21–23
|
490
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 28.1%– 32.3% 100.0% 17–19
|
491
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 7.0%– 9.0% 72.1% 4– 5
|
492
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0%– 8.7% 97.9% 4– 5
|
493
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.9%– 7.5% 97.3% 3– 4
|
494
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 4.4%– 5.8% 97.5% 3– 4
|
495
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 4.8% 99.6% 2– 3
|
496
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.4%– 2.5% 99.8% 1– 1
|
497
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%– 1.3% 0– 1
|
498
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
499
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 52.8% 53.4% 51.1%– 54.7% 99.2% 31–33 99.3%
|
500
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.8% 49.4% 48.3%– 51.7% 25.4% 29–31 90.3%
|
501
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 44.1% 45.4% 44.1%– 46.7% 0.0% 27–28 0.0%
|
502
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.1% 41.4% 41.0%– 43.6% 0.0% 25–26 0.0%
|
503
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 35.4%– 38.0% 0.0% 21–22 0.0%
|
504
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.2% 54.0% 53.0%– 55.7% 100.0% 31–32 100.0%
|
505
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 46.3% 46.6% 45.5%– 49.3% 0.9% 26–28 0.7%
|
506
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 46.0% 46.0% 44.9%– 48.2% 0.6% 26–28 0.6%
|
507
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 40.6% 39.0% 37.6%– 42.5% 0.0% 22–25 0.0%
|
508
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 10.0%– 11.4% 0.0% 5– 7 0.0%
|
509
|
+
2015-08-07 18:20:33 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.51%.
|
510
|
+
2015-08-07 18:20:33 INFO: 32,768 simulations out of 151,494 data points, 1 / 1,308,869,303,654,006 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
511
|
+
2015-08-07 18:21:52 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
512
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
513
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 33.9%– 38.6% 98.9% 20–23
|
514
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 27.9%– 32.3% 100.0% 17–19
|
515
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 6.8%– 9.7% 72.1% 4– 6
|
516
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0%– 8.8% 95.6% 4– 5
|
517
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.8%– 7.7% 92.8% 3– 5
|
518
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.9%– 6.8% 96.2% 2– 4
|
519
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 5.0% 99.5% 2– 3
|
520
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2%– 2.7% 99.1% 1– 2
|
521
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%– 1.6% 0– 1
|
522
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
523
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 53.4% 53.4% 51.1%– 54.8% 98.8% 30–33 98.8%
|
524
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.9% 49.4% 47.6%– 51.7% 25.6% 28–31 80.7%
|
525
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 44.1% 45.4% 44.1%– 47.5% 0.0% 26–28 0.0%
|
526
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 42.5% 41.4% 40.6%– 43.6% 0.0% 24–26 0.0%
|
527
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 34.6%– 38.0% 0.0% 20–23 0.0%
|
528
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 51.8% 54.0% 51.8%– 55.7% 100.0% 31–33 100.0%
|
529
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 46.3% 46.6% 45.2%– 49.3% 1.3% 26–29 1.3%
|
530
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.5% 46.0% 44.4%– 48.2% 1.0% 26–29 1.2%
|
531
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 38.0% 39.0% 37.6%– 42.6% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
|
532
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 9.3%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
|
533
|
+
2015-08-07 18:21:52 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.33%.
|
534
|
+
2015-08-07 18:21:52 INFO: 65,536 simulations out of 303,147 data points, 1 / 654,091,402,150,639 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
535
|
+
2015-08-07 18:24:42 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
536
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
537
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 32.0%– 39.2% 93.6% 19–24
|
538
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 26.8%– 34.6% 100.0% 16–21
|
539
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 6.3%– 9.7% 62.0% 4– 6
|
540
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 5.8%– 8.8% 91.8% 3– 5
|
541
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.8%– 8.0% 89.7% 3– 5
|
542
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.9%– 6.4% 94.3% 2– 4
|
543
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 5.0% 99.2% 2– 3
|
544
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2%– 3.0% 99.1% 1– 2
|
545
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%– 1.8% 0– 1
|
546
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
547
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 49.7% 53.4% 48.4%– 56.2% 92.4% 28–33 93.0%
|
548
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 45.2% 49.4% 44.9%– 52.2% 40.2% 26–31 72.8%
|
549
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.7% 45.4% 41.2%– 48.6% 0.0% 24–29 0.0%
|
550
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 37.9% 41.4% 37.5%– 44.8% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
|
551
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 34.1%– 41.2% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
|
552
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 50.8% 54.0% 50.8%– 58.6% 100.0% 30–35 100.0%
|
553
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 45.4% 46.6% 44.2%– 52.2% 7.9% 26–31 7.1%
|
554
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 43.8% 46.0% 43.4%– 51.3% 6.1% 26–31 6.9%
|
555
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.7% 39.0% 36.6%– 44.6% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
|
556
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 8.3%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
|
557
|
+
2015-08-07 18:24:42 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.10%.
|
558
|
+
2015-08-07 18:24:42 INFO: 131,072 simulations out of 606,334 data points, 1 / 327,024,125,791,659 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
559
|
+
2015-08-07 18:31:12 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
560
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
561
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 31.9%– 38.9% 92.8% 19–23
|
562
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 27.1%– 34.6% 100.0% 16–21
|
563
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 6.1%– 10.1% 68.4% 4– 6
|
564
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 5.3%– 8.7% 79.6% 3– 5
|
565
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.9%– 8.2% 91.8% 3– 5
|
566
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.7%– 6.4% 89.4% 2– 4
|
567
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 5.4% 97.7% 2– 3
|
568
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2%– 3.4% 99.1% 1– 2
|
569
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3%– 1.7% 0– 1
|
570
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
571
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 49.7% 53.4% 48.1%– 56.2% 83.3% 28–33 77.7%
|
572
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 50.0% 49.4% 44.6%– 52.2% 27.1% 26–31 46.8%
|
573
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.7% 45.4% 41.2%– 48.7% 0.1% 24–29 0.5%
|
574
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 38.1% 41.4% 37.5%– 44.8% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
|
575
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 33.7%– 41.2% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
|
576
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.8% 54.0% 50.8%– 58.6% 99.6% 30–35 99.5%
|
577
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.9% 46.6% 44.2%– 52.2% 22.7% 26–31 22.9%
|
578
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 49.3% 46.0% 43.4%– 51.3% 14.6% 26–31 22.2%
|
579
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 42.0% 39.0% 36.6%– 44.8% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
|
580
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 8.3%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
|
581
|
+
2015-08-07 18:31:12 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.66%.
|
582
|
+
2015-08-07 18:31:12 INFO: 262,144 simulations out of 1,212,753 data points, 1 / 163,500,602,585,819 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
583
|
+
2015-08-07 18:44:09 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
584
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
585
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.5% 36.5% 32.2%– 38.6% 96.0% 19–23
|
586
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 30.5% 30.5% 27.1%– 33.9% 100.0% 16–21
|
587
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 6.2%– 10.0% 77.2% 4– 6
|
588
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 6.2% 6.2% 5.6%– 8.7% 66.0% 3– 5
|
589
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.7% 4.8%– 8.1% 86.4% 3– 5
|
590
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.1% 4.1% 3.7%– 6.4% 85.7% 2– 4
|
591
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.7%– 5.4% 97.9% 2– 3
|
592
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% 1.3%– 3.3% 97.4% 1– 2
|
593
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 0– 1
|
594
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
595
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 49.7% 51.4% 48.4%– 55.6% 91.0% 28–33 88.1%
|
596
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 47.2% 47.6% 44.9%– 52.1% 20.6% 26–31 31.8%
|
597
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 45.3% 45.1% 41.7%– 48.2% 0.1% 25–29 0.2%
|
598
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 43.8% 41.4% 37.9%– 44.4% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
|
599
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 37.1% 37.1% 34.1%– 40.6% 0.0% 20–24 0.0%
|
600
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 54.4% 54.5% 51.2%– 57.7% 99.8% 30–34 99.8%
|
601
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 45.4% 49.0% 44.6%– 51.8% 13.2% 26–31 12.7%
|
602
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.9% 48.3% 43.8%– 51.2% 7.6% 26–31 11.8%
|
603
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 40.6% 41.6% 36.7%– 44.6% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
|
604
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.9% 9.1%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
|
605
|
+
2015-08-07 18:44:09 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.78%.
|
606
|
+
2015-08-07 18:44:09 INFO: 524,288 simulations out of 2,425,652 data points, 1 / 81,745,380,742,068 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
607
|
+
2015-08-07 19:11:27 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
608
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
609
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.5% 35.0% 31.8%– 38.6% 94.5% 19–23
|
610
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 30.5% 30.5% 27.2%– 34.0% 100.0% 16–20
|
611
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 6.2%– 10.0% 62.9% 4– 6
|
612
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 7.8% 7.8% 5.6%– 9.2% 68.0% 3– 5
|
613
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.9% 6.7% 5.0%– 8.4% 90.5% 3– 5
|
614
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.3% 5.3% 3.6%– 6.4% 85.5% 2– 4
|
615
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.7%– 5.3% 98.1% 2– 3
|
616
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% 1.1%– 3.2% 97.7% 1– 2
|
617
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 0– 1
|
618
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
619
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 55.1% 51.4% 48.4%– 55.6% 87.8% 28–33 83.8%
|
620
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 50.6% 47.6% 44.8%– 52.0% 22.0% 26–31 25.0%
|
621
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 41.3% 45.1% 41.1%– 48.1% 0.1% 24–28 0.2%
|
622
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 40.2% 41.4% 37.6%– 44.4% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
|
623
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 37.1% 37.1% 34.0%– 41.0% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
|
624
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 57.2% 54.5% 51.3%– 58.6% 99.8% 31–35 99.8%
|
625
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 45.4% 49.5% 44.6%– 51.8% 16.3% 26–31 17.4%
|
626
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.9% 48.3% 43.8%– 51.1% 8.1% 26–31 16.0%
|
627
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.4% 41.6% 37.0%– 44.0% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
|
628
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.9% 8.9%– 13.1% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
|
629
|
+
2015-08-07 19:11:27 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.56%.
|
630
|
+
2015-08-07 19:11:27 INFO: 1,048,576 simulations out of 4,851,507 data points, 1 / 40,870,980,148,593 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
631
|
+
2015-08-07 20:06:39 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
632
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
633
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 34.5% 34.0% 31.6%– 38.6% 94.2% 19–23
|
634
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 30.6% 30.6% 27.4%– 34.0% 100.0% 16–20
|
635
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 6.1%– 10.0% 60.2% 4– 6
|
636
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 7.4% 5.6%– 9.2% 70.7% 3– 6
|
637
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.9% 6.9% 5.1%– 8.4% 91.9% 3– 5
|
638
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.8% 4.8% 3.5%– 6.4% 82.7% 2– 4
|
639
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 3.7% 2.7%– 5.3% 98.0% 2– 3
|
640
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.2%– 3.3% 97.6% 1– 2
|
641
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 0– 1
|
642
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
643
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 49.7% 51.3% 48.7%– 55.5% 88.2% 28–33 86.5%
|
644
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 48.0% 47.6% 44.9%– 51.8% 16.2% 26–31 19.6%
|
645
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 43.8% 43.9% 41.2%– 48.1% 0.1% 24–28 0.2%
|
646
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 40.2% 41.4% 37.6%– 44.3% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
|
647
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 37.1% 37.5% 34.1%– 40.8% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
|
648
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 56.7% 55.3% 51.4%– 58.3% 99.8% 31–35 99.8%
|
649
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 49.5% 44.8%– 51.6% 15.9% 26–31 16.0%
|
650
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.9% 48.0% 44.0%– 50.8% 6.6% 26–31 13.3%
|
651
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.4% 41.6% 37.3%– 44.1% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
|
652
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 8.8%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
|
653
|
+
2015-08-07 20:06:39 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.686%.
|
654
|
+
2015-08-07 20:06:39 INFO: 2,097,152 simulations out of 9,703,300 data points, 1 / 20,434,887,748,267 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|
655
|
+
2015-08-07 22:09:03 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
|
656
|
+
Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
|
657
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 34.0% 34.0% 31.7%– 38.5% 94.0% 19–23
|
658
|
+
Høyre 31.0% 31.6% 31.6% 27.5%– 33.9% 100.0% 16–20
|
659
|
+
Venstre 7.9% 8.4% 8.4% 6.1%– 9.8% 59.1% 4– 6
|
660
|
+
Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 7.9% 7.9% 5.6%– 9.2% 71.3% 3– 6
|
661
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 5.1%– 8.4% 92.8% 3– 5
|
662
|
+
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.3% 5.2% 3.5%– 6.6% 83.5% 2– 4
|
663
|
+
Rødt 3.8% 3.3% 3.5% 2.7%– 5.3% 98.0% 2– 3
|
664
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.2%– 3.2% 98.0% 1– 2
|
665
|
+
Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.3%– 1.6% 0– 1
|
666
|
+
Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
|
667
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 48.4% 51.5% 48.7%– 55.5% 89.3% 29–33 86.9%
|
668
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 48.0% 48.0% 44.9%– 51.8% 18.6% 26–31 19.5%
|
669
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 41.6% 43.6% 41.2%– 48.0% 0.1% 24–28 0.2%
|
670
|
+
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.0% 40.1% 37.6%– 44.4% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
|
671
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 36.8% 36.8% 34.1%– 40.7% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
|
672
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.4% 56.1% 51.5%– 58.3% 99.7% 31–35 99.8%
|
673
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 49.1% 44.8%– 51.6% 14.3% 26–31 15.6%
|
674
|
+
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.9% 48.2% 43.9%– 50.8% 6.0% 26–30 12.8%
|
675
|
+
Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.4% 41.7% 37.3%– 44.1% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
|
676
|
+
Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 8.8%– 13.1% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
|
677
|
+
2015-08-07 22:09:03 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.960%.
|
678
|
+
2015-08-07 22:09:03 INFO: 4,194,304 simulations out of 19,405,009 data points, 1 / 10,218,281,593,569 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
|