sapor 0.1b1 → 0.2a1

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-2014.psv

@@ -0,0 +1,96 @@
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+# Source: Wikipedia page about the elections of 25 May 2014 in Flanders,
+#         downloaded on 19 March 2016,
+# URL: https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vlaamse_verkiezingen_2014
+
+Antwerpen | N-VA          | 411,001
+Antwerpen | CD&V          | 225,891
+Antwerpen | sp.a          | 128,760
+Antwerpen | Groen         | 111,234
+Antwerpen | Open Vld      | 108,209
+Antwerpen | Vlaams Belang |  79,588
+Antwerpen | PVDA          |  43,694
+Antwerpen | Piratenpartij |   7,514
+Antwerpen | GENOEG        |   3,521
+Antwerpen | MAMA          |   3,227
+Antwerpen | ROSSEM        |   2,773
+Antwerpen | ROEL          |   1,306
+Antwerpen | VCP           |     682
+
+Brussel | Open Vld      | 12,461
+Brussel | Groen         | 10,660
+Brussel | sp.a          |  9,558
+Brussel | N-VA          |  9,508
+Brussel | CD&V          |  6,284
+Brussel | Vlaams Belang |  2,960
+Brussel | PENSIOEN PLUS |    488
+
+Limburg | N-VA          | 176,512
+Limburg | CD&V          | 127,656
+Limburg | sp.a          |  94,721
+Limburg | Open Vld      |  66,269
+Limburg | Groen         |  32,713
+Limburg | Vlaams Belang |  32,392
+Limburg | PVDA          |  14,257
+Limburg | GENOEG        |   1,475
+Limburg | ROSSEM        |   1,259
+Limburg | VCP           |     979
+Limburg | ROEL          |     872
+
+Oost-Vlaanderen | N-VA          | 300,638
+Oost-Vlaanderen | CD&V          | 179,572
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Open Vld      | 169,726
+Oost-Vlaanderen | sp.a          | 139,640
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Groen         |  88,977
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Vlaams Belang |  62,881
+Oost-Vlaanderen | PVDA          |  23,029
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Piratenpartij |   7,142
+Oost-Vlaanderen | SD&P          |   2,853
+Oost-Vlaanderen | ROSSEM        |   2,236
+Oost-Vlaanderen | GENOEG        |   2,177
+Oost-Vlaanderen | ROEL          |   1,017
+Oost-Vlaanderen | VCP           |     909
+
+Vlaams-Brabant | N-VA          | 204,139
+Vlaams-Brabant | Open Vld      | 133,362
+Vlaams-Brabant | CD&V          | 118,669
+Vlaams-Brabant | sp.a          |  85,105
+Vlaams-Brabant | Groen         |  64,836
+Vlaams-Brabant | UF            |  34,741
+Vlaams-Brabant | Vlaams Belang |  30,531
+Vlaams-Brabant | PVDA          |  12,212
+Vlaams-Brabant | Piratenpartij |   5,572
+Vlaams-Brabant | GENOEG        |   1,398
+Vlaams-Brabant | ROSSEM        |   1,302
+Vlaams-Brabant | VCP           |   1,007
+Vlaams-Brabant | ROEL          |     674
+
+West-Vlaanderen | N-VA          | 238,148
+West-Vlaanderen | CD&V          | 202,622
+West-Vlaanderen | sp.a          | 130,119
+West-Vlaanderen | Open Vld      | 104,442
+West-Vlaanderen | Groen         |  57,361
+West-Vlaanderen | Vlaams Belang |  40,488
+West-Vlaanderen | PVDA          |  12,922
+West-Vlaanderen | Piratenpartij |   5,758
+West-Vlaanderen | ROSSEM        |   2,407
+West-Vlaanderen | GENOEG        |   2,041
+West-Vlaanderen | VCP           |   1,449
+West-Vlaanderen | ROEL          |   1,359
+West-Vlaanderen | VITAL         |     617

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-20190526.psv

@@ -0,0 +1,87 @@
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+# Source: Official page with the results of the elections of 26 May 2019 in
+#         Flanders, downloaded on 2 November 2019,
+# URL: https://verkiezingen2019.belgium.be/nl/verkiezingen?el=VL
+
+Antwerpen | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie              | 361,403
+Antwerpen | Vlaams Belang                        | 209,738
+Antwerpen | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams      | 129,843
+Antwerpen | Groen                                | 126,988
+Antwerpen | Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 116,020
+Antwerpen | Socialistische Partij Anders         |  90,113
+Antwerpen | Partij van de Arbeid van België      |  75,833
+Antwerpen | DierAnimal                           |   9,414
+Antwerpen | Piratenpartij                        |   4,987
+Antwerpen | Partij Vrede en Solidariteit         |   2,813
+Antwerpen | Genoeg voor iedereen                 |   2,650
+Antwerpen | Democratisch-Solidair Appèl          |   2,533
+Antwerpen | Burgerlijst                          |   2,033
+Antwerpen | BE.ONE                               |   1,563
+
+Brussel | Groen                                | 18,772
+Brussel | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie              | 12,697
+Brussel | Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 10,937
+Brussel | Socialistische Partij Anders         |  8,958
+Brussel | Vlaams Belang                        |  5,687
+Brussel | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams      |  5,640
+Brussel | Partij van de Arbeid van België      |  4,272
+
+Limburg | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie              | 120,633
+Limburg | Vlaams Belang                        | 110,351
+Limburg | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams      | 105,133
+Limburg | Socialistische Partij Anders         |  74,161
+Limburg | Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten |  65,086
+Limburg | Groen                                |  36,762
+Limburg | Partij van de Arbeid van België      |  31,272
+Limburg | Democratisch-Solidair Appèl          |   2,036
+Limburg | PRO                                  |   1,445
+Limburg | Referendumpartij                     |     705
+
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie              | 219,289
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Vlaams Belang                        | 203,497
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 156,275
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams      | 132,894
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Groen                                | 103,764
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Socialistische Partij Anders         | 101,258
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Partij van de Arbeid van België      |  54,457
+Oost-Vlaanderen | DierAnimal                           |   9,807
+Oost-Vlaanderen | BE.ONE                               |   2,501
+Oost-Vlaanderen | de coöperatie                        |   1,402
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Referendumpartij                     |     954
+
+Vlaams-Brabant | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie              | 181,032
+Vlaams-Brabant | Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 109,634
+Vlaams-Brabant | Vlaams Belang                        |  93,118
+Vlaams-Brabant | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams      |  91,619
+Vlaams-Brabant | Groen                                |  85,852
+Vlaams-Brabant | Socialistische Partij Anders         |  66,701
+Vlaams-Brabant | Partij van de Arbeid van België      |  32,366
+Vlaams-Brabant | Union des Francophones               |  28,804
+Vlaams-Brabant | DierAnimal                           |   8,978
+Vlaams-Brabant | PRO                                  |   4,240
+
+West-Vlaanderen | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams      | 187,637
+West-Vlaanderen | Vlaams Belang                        | 161,586
+West-Vlaanderen | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie              | 157,198
+West-Vlaanderen | Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten |  98,678
+West-Vlaanderen | Socialistische Partij Anders         |  97,398
+West-Vlaanderen | Groen                                |  56,558
+West-Vlaanderen | Partij van de Arbeid van België      |  27,393
+West-Vlaanderen | DierAnimal                           |   8,745
+West-Vlaanderen | Piratenpartij                        |   4,161

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders.rb

@@ -0,0 +1,115 @@
+# encoding: utf-8
+#
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+module Sapor
+  #
+  # The regional data for Flanders.
+  #
+  class Flanders < Area
+    include Singleton
+    def area_code
+      'BE-VLG'
+    end
+
+    def coalitions
+      COALITIONS
+    end
+
+    def no_of_seats
+      SEAT_DISTRIBUTION.values.inject(:+)
+    end
+
+    def overall_election_results_of_2019
+      if @overall_election_results_of_2019.nil?
+        @overall_election_results_of_2019 = \
+          summarize_election_results(election_results_of_2019)
+      end
+      @overall_election_results_of_2019
+    end
+
+    def population_size
+      # Voter turnout on 26 May 2019
+      # Source: Official page with the results of the elections of 26 May 2019
+      #         in Flanders, downloaded on 2 November 2019
+      # https://verkiezingen2019.belgium.be/nl/verkiezingen?el=VL
+      4_238_274
+    end
+
+    def seats(simulation)
+      electoral_system.project(simulation)
+    end
+
+    def threshold
+      THRESHOLD
+    end
+
+    private
+    
+    CDV_PARTY = 'Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams'.freeze
+    GROEN_PARTY = 'Groen'.freeze
+    NVA_PARTY = 'Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie'.freeze
+    PVDA_PARTY = 'Partij van de Arbeid van België'.freeze
+    SPA_PARTY = 'Socialistische Partij Anders'.freeze
+    VB_PARTY = 'Vlaams Belang'.freeze
+    VLD_PARTY = 'Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten'.freeze
+
+    COALITIONS = [[CDV_PARTY, GROEN_PARTY, VLD_PARTY],
+                  [CDV_PARTY, GROEN_PARTY, VLD_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [CDV_PARTY, GROEN_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [CDV_PARTY, GROEN_PARTY, PVDA_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [CDV_PARTY, NVA_PARTY],
+                  [CDV_PARTY, NVA_PARTY, VLD_PARTY],
+                  [CDV_PARTY, NVA_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [CDV_PARTY, VLD_PARTY],
+                  [CDV_PARTY, VLD_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [CDV_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [GROEN_PARTY, VLD_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [VLD_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [NVA_PARTY, VLD_PARTY],
+                  [NVA_PARTY, VLD_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [NVA_PARTY, VB_PARTY]].freeze    
+
+    SEAT_DISTRIBUTION = { 'Antwerpen' => 33, 'Brussel' => 6,
+                          'Limburg' => 16, 'Oost-Vlaanderen' => 27,
+                          'Vlaams-Brabant' => 20,
+                          'West-Vlaanderen' => 22 }
+
+    THRESHOLD = 0.05
+
+    def election_results_of_2019
+      if @election_results_of_2019.nil?
+        @election_results_of_2019 = load_election_results( \
+          'flanders-20190526.psv')
+      end
+      @election_results_of_2019
+    end
+
+    def electoral_system
+      if @electoral_system.nil?
+        @electoral_system = MultiDistrictProportional.new( \
+          overall_election_results_of_2019,
+          election_results_of_2019,
+          SEAT_DISTRIBUTION,
+          DhondtDenominators,
+          THRESHOLD)
+      end
+      @electoral_system
+    end
+  end
+end

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/france.rb

@@ -0,0 +1,38 @@
+# encoding: utf-8
+#
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+module Sapor
+  #
+  # The regional data for France.
+  #
+  class France < Area
+    include Singleton
+    def area_code
+      'FR'
+    end
+
+    def population_size
+      # Number of registered voters
+      # Source: French Wikipedia page about the French presidential elections in
+      # 2017, retrieved on 12 April 2017.
+      # https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C3%89lection_pr%C3%A9sidentielle_fran%C3%A7aise_de_2017
+      44_834_000
+    end
+  end
+end

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/greece.rb

@@ -0,0 +1,92 @@
+
+#
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+module Sapor
+  #
+  # The regional data for Greece.
+  #
+  class Greece < Area
+    include Singleton
+    def area_code
+      'GR'
+    end
+
+    def coalitions
+      COALITIONS
+    end
+
+    def no_of_seats
+      NO_OF_PROPORTIONAL_SEATS + NO_OF_BONUS_SEATS
+    end
+
+    def population_size
+      POPULATION_SIZE
+    end
+
+    def seats(simulation)
+      electoral_system.project(simulation)
+    end
+
+    def threshold
+      THRESHOLD
+    end
+
+    private
+
+    ANEL_PARTY = 'Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες'.freeze
+    EL_PARTY = 'Ελληνική Λύση'.freeze
+    KINAL_PARTY = 'Κίνημα Αλλαγής'.freeze
+    LE_PARTY = 'Λαϊκή Ενότητα'.freeze
+    MERA_PARTY = 'Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής'.freeze
+    ND_PARTY = 'Νέα Δημοκρατία'.freeze
+    POTAMI_PARTY = 'Το Ποτάμι'.freeze
+    SYRIZA_PARTY = 'Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς'.freeze
+
+    COALITIONS = [[ANEL_PARTY, LE_PARTY, SYRIZA_PARTY],
+                  [ANEL_PARTY, SYRIZA_PARTY],
+                  [KINAL_PARTY, ND_PARTY, POTAMI_PARTY],
+                  [KINAL_PARTY, ND_PARTY],
+                  [LE_PARTY, SYRIZA_PARTY],
+                  [MERA_PARTY, SYRIZA_PARTY],
+                  [ND_PARTY],
+                  [ND_PARTY, POTAMI_PARTY],
+                  [SYRIZA_PARTY]].freeze
+
+    NO_OF_PROPORTIONAL_SEATS = 250
+
+    NO_OF_BONUS_SEATS = 50
+
+    # Number of registered voters on 20 September 2015
+    # Source: Greek legislative election, September 2015, retrieved on 20
+    # January 2019.
+    # URL: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greek_legislative_election,_September_2015
+    POPULATION_SIZE = 5_567_930
+
+    THRESHOLD = 0.03
+
+    def electoral_system
+      if @electoral_system.nil?
+        @electoral_system = LargestRemainder.new(NO_OF_PROPORTIONAL_SEATS,
+                                                 HareQuota, THRESHOLD, false,
+                                                 NO_OF_BONUS_SEATS, false)
+      end
+      @electoral_system
+    end
+  end
+end