sapor 0.3.3

Sign up to get free protection for your applications and to get access to all the features.
Files changed (332) hide show
  1. checksums.yaml +7 -0
  2. data/Area Class Diagram.dia +0 -0
  3. data/Area Class Diagram.png +0 -0
  4. data/Class Diagram.dia +0 -0
  5. data/Class Diagram.png +0 -0
  6. data/Example-Catalonia.md +361 -0
  7. data/Example-Flanders.md +486 -0
  8. data/Example-Greece.md +25 -0
  9. data/Example-Oslo.md +678 -0
  10. data/Example-UnitedKingdom-Referendum.md +132 -0
  11. data/Examples.md +15 -0
  12. data/LICENSE +674 -0
  13. data/README.md +103 -0
  14. data/Rakefile +18 -0
  15. data/Technical Documentation.md +14 -0
  16. data/bin/create_installation_package.sh +49 -0
  17. data/bin/install.sh +45 -0
  18. data/bin/sapor.rb +24 -0
  19. data/bin/sapor.sh +106 -0
  20. data/data/hu/hungary-2014.txt +1680 -0
  21. data/data/hu/hungary_2014_screen_scraper.rb +48 -0
  22. data/data/hu/hungary_2014_to_psv.rb +80 -0
  23. data/data/hu/index-2014.txt +106 -0
  24. data/data/pl/2015-gl-lis-okr.csv +42 -0
  25. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv.rb +79 -0
  26. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_and_rsw.rb +94 -0
  27. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp.rb +100 -0
  28. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_sld_and_wi.rb +92 -0
  29. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_sld.rb +84 -0
  30. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_sld_and_wi.rb +85 -0
  31. data/data/uk/inject_ukip_2015_as_brexit_2019_in_2017.rb +54 -0
  32. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2015.txt +651 -0
  33. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2015_to_psv.rb +104 -0
  34. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017.txt +651 -0
  35. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv.rb +104 -0
  36. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv_with_brexit_and_chuk.rb +113 -0
  37. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv_with_tig.rb +111 -0
  38. data/lib/sapor.rb +150 -0
  39. data/lib/sapor/binomials_cache.rb +45 -0
  40. data/lib/sapor/combinations_distribution.rb +222 -0
  41. data/lib/sapor/denominators.rb +67 -0
  42. data/lib/sapor/dichotomies.rb +138 -0
  43. data/lib/sapor/dichotomy.rb +164 -0
  44. data/lib/sapor/first_past_the_post.rb +82 -0
  45. data/lib/sapor/largest_remainder.rb +118 -0
  46. data/lib/sapor/log4r_logger.rb +49 -0
  47. data/lib/sapor/log_facade.rb +40 -0
  48. data/lib/sapor/multi_district_leveled_proportional.rb +64 -0
  49. data/lib/sapor/multi_district_proportional.rb +123 -0
  50. data/lib/sapor/multi_district_variable_threshold_proportional.rb +128 -0
  51. data/lib/sapor/number_formatter.rb +45 -0
  52. data/lib/sapor/options.rb +73 -0
  53. data/lib/sapor/poll.rb +286 -0
  54. data/lib/sapor/polychotomy.rb +200 -0
  55. data/lib/sapor/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator.rb +87 -0
  56. data/lib/sapor/referendum_polychotomy.rb +165 -0
  57. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/area.rb +82 -0
  58. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/austria.rb +84 -0
  59. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-2014.psv +46 -0
  60. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-20190526.psv +33 -0
  61. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-2014.psv +80 -0
  62. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-20190526.psv +74 -0
  63. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-2014.psv +114 -0
  64. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-20190526.psv +93 -0
  65. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium.rb +97 -0
  66. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_brussels.rb +62 -0
  67. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_flanders.rb +64 -0
  68. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_wallonia.rb +63 -0
  69. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012-2015.psv +100 -0
  70. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012.psv +87 -0
  71. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015-jxcat.psv +68 -0
  72. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015-no-jxsi.psv +68 -0
  73. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015.psv +63 -0
  74. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-jxcat.rb +109 -0
  75. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-no-jxsi.rb +96 -0
  76. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia.rb +96 -0
  77. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-e-and-p.psv +164 -0
  78. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-e.psv +153 -0
  79. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-p.psv +153 -0
  80. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618.psv +142 -0
  81. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark.rb +128 -0
  82. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_e.rb +128 -0
  83. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_e_and_p.rb +128 -0
  84. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_p.rb +128 -0
  85. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/estonia.rb +88 -0
  86. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20140522-brexit-chuk.psv +172 -0
  87. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20140522.psv +146 -0
  88. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20190523.psv +141 -0
  89. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia-ri-sd.psv +64 -0
  90. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia-sd.psv +60 -0
  91. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia.psv +56 -0
  92. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-sd.psv +56 -0
  93. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014.psv +50 -0
  94. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-20190524-ia.psv +58 -0
  95. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-20190524.psv +52 -0
  96. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_austria.rb +76 -0
  97. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_croatia.rb +81 -0
  98. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_denmark.rb +77 -0
  99. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_estonia.rb +74 -0
  100. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_finland.rb +74 -0
  101. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_ireland.rb +96 -0
  102. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_ireland_with_ia.rb +97 -0
  103. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_italy.rb +84 -0
  104. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_netherlands.rb +81 -0
  105. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_poland.rb +84 -0
  106. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_romania.rb +78 -0
  107. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_slovakia.rb +80 -0
  108. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_spain.rb +82 -0
  109. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_sweden.rb +76 -0
  110. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_austria.rb +76 -0
  111. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_bulgaria.rb +81 -0
  112. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_croatia.rb +81 -0
  113. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_cyprus.rb +72 -0
  114. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_czech_republic.rb +82 -0
  115. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_denmark.rb +77 -0
  116. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_estonia.rb +74 -0
  117. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_finland.rb +74 -0
  118. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_flanders.rb +74 -0
  119. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_france.rb +84 -0
  120. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_france_2019.rb +84 -0
  121. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_french_community_of_belgium.rb +73 -0
  122. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_germany.rb +86 -0
  123. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_great_britain.rb +98 -0
  124. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_greece.rb +77 -0
  125. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_hungary.rb +76 -0
  126. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_ireland.rb +96 -0
  127. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_ireland_with_ia.rb +97 -0
  128. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_italy.rb +84 -0
  129. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_latvia.rb +81 -0
  130. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_lithuania.rb +80 -0
  131. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_luxembourg.rb +75 -0
  132. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_malta.rb +71 -0
  133. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_netherlands.rb +81 -0
  134. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_northern_ireland.rb +75 -0
  135. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_poland.rb +84 -0
  136. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_portugal.rb +75 -0
  137. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_romania.rb +78 -0
  138. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_slovakia.rb +81 -0
  139. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_slovenia.rb +85 -0
  140. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_spain.rb +82 -0
  141. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_sweden.rb +76 -0
  142. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland-20150419-with-sin.psv +224 -0
  143. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland-20150419.psv +212 -0
  144. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland.rb +107 -0
  145. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland_with_sin.rb +107 -0
  146. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-2014.psv +96 -0
  147. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-20190526.psv +87 -0
  148. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders.rb +115 -0
  149. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/france.rb +38 -0
  150. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/greece.rb +92 -0
  151. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/hungary-2014.psv +2104 -0
  152. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/hungary.rb +116 -0
  153. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20161029-midflokkurinn.psv +94 -0
  154. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20161029.psv +88 -0
  155. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20171028.psv +85 -0
  156. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland.rb +133 -0
  157. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv-p-par.psv +109 -0
  158. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv-par.psv +103 -0
  159. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv.psv +97 -0
  160. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004.psv +89 -0
  161. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia.rb +112 -0
  162. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv.rb +112 -0
  163. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv_p_par.rb +112 -0
  164. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv_par.rb +112 -0
  165. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/luxembourg-20131020.psv +76 -0
  166. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/luxembourg.rb +82 -0
  167. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/netherlands.rb +108 -0
  168. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norway.rb +425 -0
  169. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norwegian_municipality.rb +68 -0
  170. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-and-l-without-n-po-r-and-zl.psv +321 -0
  171. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-konf-kp-l-and-zp-without-k-k15-n-pis-po-psl-r-and-zl.psv +280 -0
  172. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-sld-and-wi-without-n-po-and-zl.psv +403 -0
  173. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-sld-and-wi-without-zl.psv +444 -0
  174. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-sld-without-zl.psv +403 -0
  175. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025.psv +403 -0
  176. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland.rb +125 -0
  177. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_and_l_without_n_po_r_and_zl.rb +122 -0
  178. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp_without_k_k15_n_pis_po_psl_r_and_zl.rb +123 -0
  179. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_sld_and_wi_without_n_po_and_zl.rb +125 -0
  180. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_sld_and_wi_without_zl.rb +126 -0
  181. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_sld_without_zl.rb +126 -0
  182. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-and-ch-without-paf.psv +438 -0
  183. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-and-il-without-paf.psv +438 -0
  184. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-ch-and-il-without-paf.psv +461 -0
  185. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-without-paf.psv +415 -0
  186. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-ch-and-il-without-paf.psv +438 -0
  187. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-without-paf.psv +392 -0
  188. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004.psv +370 -0
  189. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal.rb +101 -0
  190. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_and_ch_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  191. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  192. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_ch_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  193. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  194. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_ch_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  195. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  196. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/slovakia.rb +81 -0
  197. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/slovenia.rb +114 -0
  198. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/spain-20160626.psv +619 -0
  199. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/spain.rb +136 -0
  200. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/sweden.rb +92 -0
  201. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/sweden_20140914.rb +89 -0
  202. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-2015.psv +4358 -0
  203. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-brexit-chuk.psv +5154 -0
  204. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-brexit.psv +4521 -0
  205. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-tig.psv +4529 -0
  206. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608.psv +3894 -0
  207. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom.rb +94 -0
  208. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_brexit.rb +110 -0
  209. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_brexit_and_chuk.rb +111 -0
  210. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_tig.rb +111 -0
  211. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/utopia.rb +66 -0
  212. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia-2014.psv +101 -0
  213. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia-20190526.psv +88 -0
  214. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia.rb +112 -0
  215. data/lib/sapor/representatives_polychotomy.rb +338 -0
  216. data/lib/sapor/single_district_proportional.rb +75 -0
  217. data/sapor.gemspec +35 -0
  218. data/spec/integration/area_spec.rb +28 -0
  219. data/spec/integration/poll_spec.rb +112 -0
  220. data/spec/integration/sample.poll +8 -0
  221. data/spec/spec_helper.rb +31 -0
  222. data/spec/unit/area_spec.rb +115 -0
  223. data/spec/unit/austria_spec.rb +76 -0
  224. data/spec/unit/belgium_brussels_spec.rb +58 -0
  225. data/spec/unit/belgium_flanders_spec.rb +62 -0
  226. data/spec/unit/belgium_spec.rb +26 -0
  227. data/spec/unit/belgium_wallonia_spec.rb +65 -0
  228. data/spec/unit/binomials_cache_spec.rb +34 -0
  229. data/spec/unit/catalonia_spec.rb +74 -0
  230. data/spec/unit/combinations_distribution_spec.rb +241 -0
  231. data/spec/unit/denmark_spec.rb +56 -0
  232. data/spec/unit/denmark_with_e_and_p_spec.rb +58 -0
  233. data/spec/unit/denmark_with_e_spec.rb +57 -0
  234. data/spec/unit/denmark_with_p_spec.rb +57 -0
  235. data/spec/unit/denominators_spec.rb +40 -0
  236. data/spec/unit/dichotomies_spec.rb +154 -0
  237. data/spec/unit/dichotomy_spec.rb +320 -0
  238. data/spec/unit/estonia_spec.rb +65 -0
  239. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_austria_spec.rb +61 -0
  240. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_croatia_spec.rb +60 -0
  241. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_denmark_spec.rb +62 -0
  242. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_estonia_spec.rb +94 -0
  243. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_finland_spec.rb +75 -0
  244. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_ireland_spec.rb +72 -0
  245. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_ireland_with_ia_spec.rb +74 -0
  246. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_italy_spec.rb +69 -0
  247. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_netherlands_spec.rb +81 -0
  248. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_poland_spec.rb +69 -0
  249. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_romania_spec.rb +67 -0
  250. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_slovakia_spec.rb +111 -0
  251. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_spain_spec.rb +130 -0
  252. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_sweden_spec.rb +89 -0
  253. data/spec/unit/european_union_austria_spec.rb +61 -0
  254. data/spec/unit/european_union_bulgaria_spec.rb +97 -0
  255. data/spec/unit/european_union_croatia_spec.rb +59 -0
  256. data/spec/unit/european_union_cyprus_spec.rb +65 -0
  257. data/spec/unit/european_union_czech_republic_spec.rb +125 -0
  258. data/spec/unit/european_union_denmark_spec.rb +61 -0
  259. data/spec/unit/european_union_estonia_spec.rb +93 -0
  260. data/spec/unit/european_union_finland_spec.rb +75 -0
  261. data/spec/unit/european_union_flanders_spec.rb +56 -0
  262. data/spec/unit/european_union_france_2019_spec.rb +73 -0
  263. data/spec/unit/european_union_france_spec.rb +73 -0
  264. data/spec/unit/european_union_french_community_of_belgium_spec.rb +61 -0
  265. data/spec/unit/european_union_germany_spec.rb +90 -0
  266. data/spec/unit/european_union_great_britain_spec.rb +87 -0
  267. data/spec/unit/european_union_greece_spec.rb +148 -0
  268. data/spec/unit/european_union_hungary_spec.rb +57 -0
  269. data/spec/unit/european_union_ireland_spec.rb +72 -0
  270. data/spec/unit/european_union_ireland_with_ia_spec.rb +74 -0
  271. data/spec/unit/european_union_italy_spec.rb +69 -0
  272. data/spec/unit/european_union_latvia_spec.rb +76 -0
  273. data/spec/unit/european_union_lithuania_spec.rb +68 -0
  274. data/spec/unit/european_union_luxembourg_spec.rb +63 -0
  275. data/spec/unit/european_union_malta_spec.rb +60 -0
  276. data/spec/unit/european_union_netherlands_spec.rb +81 -0
  277. data/spec/unit/european_union_northern_ireland_spec.rb +66 -0
  278. data/spec/unit/european_union_poland_spec.rb +69 -0
  279. data/spec/unit/european_union_portugal_spec.rb +77 -0
  280. data/spec/unit/european_union_romania_spec.rb +67 -0
  281. data/spec/unit/european_union_slovakia_spec.rb +111 -0
  282. data/spec/unit/european_union_slovenia_spec.rb +77 -0
  283. data/spec/unit/european_union_spain_spec.rb +129 -0
  284. data/spec/unit/european_union_sweden_spec.rb +89 -0
  285. data/spec/unit/finland_spec.rb +65 -0
  286. data/spec/unit/finland_with_sin_spec.rb +67 -0
  287. data/spec/unit/first_past_the_post_spec.rb +54 -0
  288. data/spec/unit/flanders_spec.rb +70 -0
  289. data/spec/unit/france_spec.rb +32 -0
  290. data/spec/unit/greece_spec.rb +118 -0
  291. data/spec/unit/hungary_spec.rb +132 -0
  292. data/spec/unit/iceland_spec.rb +57 -0
  293. data/spec/unit/largest_remainder_spec.rb +79 -0
  294. data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_p_par_spec.rb +38 -0
  295. data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_par_spec.rb +38 -0
  296. data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_spec.rb +38 -0
  297. data/spec/unit/latvia_spec.rb +60 -0
  298. data/spec/unit/luxembourg_spec.rb +54 -0
  299. data/spec/unit/multi_district_leveled_proportional_spec.rb +49 -0
  300. data/spec/unit/multi_district_proportional_spec.rb +81 -0
  301. data/spec/unit/netherlands_spec.rb +107 -0
  302. data/spec/unit/norway_spec.rb +64 -0
  303. data/spec/unit/norwegian_municipality_spec.rb +89 -0
  304. data/spec/unit/number_formatter_spec.rb +173 -0
  305. data/spec/unit/poland_spec.rb +62 -0
  306. data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_and_l_without_n_po_r_and_zl_spec.rb +60 -0
  307. data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp_without_k_k15_n_pis_po_psl_r_and_zl_spec.rb +59 -0
  308. data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_sld_and_wi_without_n_po_and_zl_spec.rb +62 -0
  309. data/spec/unit/poland_with_sld_and_wi_without_zl_spec.rb +63 -0
  310. data/spec/unit/poland_with_sld_without_zl_spec.rb +62 -0
  311. data/spec/unit/poll_spec.rb +110 -0
  312. data/spec/unit/portugal_spec.rb +66 -0
  313. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_and_ch_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
  314. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
  315. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_ch_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +69 -0
  316. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_without_paf_spec.rb +67 -0
  317. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_ch_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
  318. data/spec/unit/portugal_without_paf_spec.rb +66 -0
  319. data/spec/unit/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator_spec.rb +82 -0
  320. data/spec/unit/referendum_polychotomy_spec.rb +289 -0
  321. data/spec/unit/representatives_polychotomy_spec.rb +332 -0
  322. data/spec/unit/slovakia_spec.rb +99 -0
  323. data/spec/unit/slovenia_spec.rb +80 -0
  324. data/spec/unit/spain_spec.rb +101 -0
  325. data/spec/unit/sweden_20140914_spec.rb +112 -0
  326. data/spec/unit/sweden_spec.rb +113 -0
  327. data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_spec.rb +65 -0
  328. data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_brexit_and_chuk_spec.rb +67 -0
  329. data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_brexit_spec.rb +66 -0
  330. data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_tig_spec.rb +66 -0
  331. data/spec/unit/wallonia_spec.rb +70 -0
  332. metadata +490 -0
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
1
+ Example: Greece
2
+ ===============
3
+
4
+ The following file is a valid poll file for a Greek poll. It is based on
5
+ the results of a poll done from 31 August–1 September 2015 by Pulse RC for
6
+ Action24.
7
+
8
+ Area=GR
9
+ ==
10
+ Junts pel Sí=262
11
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot=164
12
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía=131
13
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya=74
14
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya=74
15
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres=66
16
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya=33
17
+ Other=16
18
+
19
+ The following call will use the poll file to run an analysis.
20
+
21
+ sapor analyze PulceRC-Action24-20150901.poll
22
+
23
+ For this file, the log will look like below.
24
+
25
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:05 INFO: Analyzing as a set of dichotomies...
@@ -0,0 +1,678 @@
1
+ Example: Oslo
2
+ =============
3
+
4
+ The following file is a valid poll file for a poll for the city council of Oslo.
5
+ It is based on the results of a poll done from 22--24 June 2015 by Norfakta
6
+ for Høyre.
7
+
8
+ Area=NO-0301
9
+ ==
10
+ Arbeiderpartiet=283
11
+ Høyre=248
12
+ Venstre=63
13
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne=59
14
+ Fremskrittspartiet=53
15
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti=39
16
+ Rødt=30
17
+ Kristelig Folkeparti=16
18
+ Senterpartiet=6
19
+ Other=3
20
+
21
+ The following call will use the poll file to run an analysis.
22
+
23
+ sapor analyze Høyre-Norfakta-20150624.poll
24
+
25
+ For this file, the log will look like below.
26
+
27
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:46 INFO: Analyzing as a set of dichotomies...
28
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
29
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
30
+ Arbeiderpartiet 50.0% 33.3%– 66.7% 100.0%
31
+ Fremskrittspartiet 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
32
+ Høyre 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
33
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
34
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
35
+ Rødt 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
36
+ Senterpartiet 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
37
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
38
+ Venstre 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
39
+ Other 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
40
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 33.3%.
41
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Number of data points: 3.
42
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
43
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
44
+ Arbeiderpartiet 38.9% 33.3%– 44.4% 100.0%
45
+ Høyre 27.8% 22.2%– 33.3% 100.0%
46
+ Fremskrittspartiet 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
47
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
48
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
49
+ Rødt 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
50
+ Senterpartiet 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
51
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
52
+ Venstre 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
53
+ Other 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
54
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 11.1%.
55
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Number of data points: 9.
56
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
57
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
58
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.2% 29.6%– 40.7% 100.0%
59
+ Høyre 31.5% 25.9%– 37.0% 100.0%
60
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 9.3% 3.7%– 11.1% 100.0%
61
+ Venstre 9.3% 3.7%– 11.1% 100.0%
62
+ Fremskrittspartiet 5.6% 3.7%– 11.1% 100.0%
63
+ Rødt 5.6% 0.0%– 7.4% 100.0%
64
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.6% 3.7%– 7.4% 100.0%
65
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 1.9% 0.0%– 3.7% 100.0%
66
+ Senterpartiet 1.9% 0.0%– 3.7% 100.0%
67
+ Other 1.9% 0.0%– 3.7% 100.0%
68
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.70%.
69
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Number of data points: 27.
70
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:48 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
71
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
72
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.2% 32.1%– 39.5% 100.0%
73
+ Høyre 31.5% 27.2%– 34.6% 100.0%
74
+ Venstre 8.0% 6.2%– 9.9% 100.0%
75
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.8% 4.9%– 8.6% 100.0%
76
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 6.8% 4.9%– 9.9% 100.0%
77
+ Rødt 4.3% 2.5%– 6.2% 100.0%
78
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.3% 3.7%– 7.4% 100.0%
79
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 1.9% 1.2%– 3.7% 100.0%
80
+ Senterpartiet 0.6% 0.0%– 2.5% 3.4%
81
+ Other 0.6% 0.0%– 1.2% 0.1%
82
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:48 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.23%.
83
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:48 INFO: Number of data points: 81.
84
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:50 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
85
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
86
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.2% 32.1%– 39.1% 100.0%
87
+ Høyre 31.1% 27.6%– 34.6% 100.0%
88
+ Venstre 8.0% 6.2%– 10.3% 100.0%
89
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.2% 5.8%– 9.5% 100.0%
90
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.8% 4.9%– 8.6% 100.0%
91
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.7% 3.3%– 6.6% 100.0%
92
+ Rødt 3.9% 2.5%– 5.3% 100.0%
93
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 1.9% 1.2%– 3.3% 83.2%
94
+ Senterpartiet 0.6% 0.4%– 1.6% 1.9%
95
+ Other 0.6% 0.0%– 1.2% 0.1%
96
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:50 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.412%.
97
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:50 INFO: Number of data points: 243.
98
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:56 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
99
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
100
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.3% 32.1%– 38.8% 100.0%
101
+ Høyre 30.9% 27.8%– 34.3% 100.0%
102
+ Venstre 7.9% 6.2%– 10.0% 100.0%
103
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.3% 5.8%– 9.5% 100.0%
104
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.7% 5.1%– 8.6% 100.0%
105
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 3.6%– 6.7% 100.0%
106
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.6%– 5.3% 100.0%
107
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.2%– 3.3% 82.5%
108
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 2.2%
109
+ Other 0.3% 0.1%– 1.1% 0.1%
110
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:56 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.137%.
111
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:56 INFO: Number of data points: 729.
112
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:14 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
113
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
114
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 32.1%– 38.8% 100.0%
115
+ Høyre 31.0% 27.9%– 34.3% 100.0%
116
+ Venstre 7.9% 6.2%– 10.0% 100.0%
117
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.8%– 9.4% 100.0%
118
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 5.1%– 8.6% 100.0%
119
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 3.6%– 6.6% 100.0%
120
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.6%– 5.3% 100.0%
121
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.2%– 3.2% 79.5%
122
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 1.8%
123
+ Other 0.4% 0.1%– 1.1% 0.1%
124
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:14 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.046%.
125
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:14 INFO: Number of data points: 2,187.
126
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:14 INFO: Analyzing as a polychotomy...
127
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
128
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
129
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 13.9% 27.5% 27.5%– 27.5% 100.0% 17–17
130
+ Høyre 31.0% 11.9% 23.5% 23.5%– 23.5% 100.0% 14–14
131
+ Venstre 7.9% 2.1% 4.1% 4.1%– 4.1% 100.0% 2– 2
132
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 1.9% 3.7% 3.7%– 3.7% 100.0% 2– 2
133
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 1.6% 3.2% 3.2%– 3.2% 100.0% 2– 2
134
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.1%– 2.1% 100.0% 1– 1
135
+ Rødt 3.8% 0.6% 1.4% 1.4%– 1.4% 100.0% 1– 1
136
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5%– 0.5% 100.0% 0– 0
137
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%– 0.1% 0– 0
138
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
139
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 50.1% 34.8% 34.8%– 34.8% 0.0% 21–21 0.0%
140
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 50.1% 33.4% 33.4%– 33.4% 0.0% 20–20 0.0%
141
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 50.1% 31.0% 31.0%– 31.0% 0.0% 19–19 0.0%
142
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 50.1% 29.7% 29.7%– 29.7% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
143
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 50.1% 26.7% 26.7%– 26.7% 0.0% 16–16 0.0%
144
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 50.1% 35.0% 35.0%– 35.0% 0.0% 20–20 0.0%
145
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 50.1% 31.3% 31.3%– 31.3% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
146
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 50.1% 31.3% 31.3%– 31.3% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
147
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 50.1% 28.1% 28.1%– 28.1% 0.0% 16–16 0.0%
148
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 50.1% 4.6% 4.6%– 4.6% 0.0% 2– 2 0.0%
149
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 100%.
150
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: 1 simulations out of 1 data points, 1 / 198,285,846,287,760,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
151
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
152
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
153
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 29.9% 29.9% 29.9%– 29.9% 100.0% 18–18
154
+ Høyre 31.0% 25.6% 25.6% 25.6%– 25.7% 100.0% 15–15
155
+ Venstre 7.9% 6.1% 6.1% 6.0%– 6.1% 100.0% 4– 4
156
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4%– 5.4% 100.0% 3– 3
157
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6%– 4.7% 100.0% 3– 3
158
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1%– 3.2% 100.0% 2– 2
159
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1%– 2.2% 100.0% 1– 1
160
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%– 1.1% 100.0% 0– 0
161
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%– 0.1% 0– 0
162
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
163
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 68.9% 40.8% 37.8%– 40.8% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
164
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 68.1% 38.6% 36.0%– 38.6% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
165
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 66.6% 35.3% 33.2%– 35.3% 0.0% 21–21 0.0%
166
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 65.9% 33.2% 31.4%– 33.2% 0.0% 20–20 0.0%
167
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 64.4% 30.3% 28.5%– 30.3% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
168
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 69.6% 42.8% 38.9%– 42.8% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
169
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 67.4% 37.5% 34.4%– 37.5% 0.0% 22–22 0.0%
170
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 67.1% 37.4% 34.3%– 37.4% 0.0% 22–22 0.0%
171
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 65.4% 32.8% 30.4%– 32.8% 0.0% 19–19 0.0%
172
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 53.1% 7.2% 5.9%– 7.2% 0.0% 4– 4 0.0%
173
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.42%.
174
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: 2 simulations out of 2 data points, 1 / 99,142,923,143,880,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
175
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
176
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
177
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 30.5% 30.5% 30.5%– 30.5% 100.0% 18–18
178
+ Høyre 31.0% 24.8% 24.8% 24.7%– 24.8% 100.0% 15–15
179
+ Venstre 7.9% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%– 10.5% 100.0% 6– 6
180
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1%– 8.1% 100.0% 5– 5
181
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9%– 5.9% 100.0% 3– 3
182
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%– 3.0% 0.0% 2– 2
183
+ Rødt 3.8% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6%– 7.6% 100.0% 5– 5
184
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2%– 5.3% 100.0% 3– 3
185
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%– 0.5% 0– 0
186
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
187
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 74.1% 49.6% 48.2%– 49.6% 0.0% 30–30 100.0%
188
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 41.6% 42.0% 40.3%– 42.9% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
189
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 70.4% 41.5% 40.6%– 41.5% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
190
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 34.4% 33.9% 33.5%– 35.3% 0.0% 20–20 0.0%
191
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 31.4% 30.6% 30.5%– 32.2% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
192
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 76.4% 54.4% 52.5%– 54.4% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
193
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 72.6% 46.8% 45.2%– 46.8% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
194
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 72.6% 46.3% 44.9%– 46.3% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
195
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 69.6% 40.4% 39.0%– 40.4% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
196
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 56.6% 16.1% 13.0%– 16.1% 0.0% 9– 9 0.0%
197
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.44%.
198
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: 4 simulations out of 9 data points, 1 / 22,031,760,698,640,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
199
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
200
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
201
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.3% 35.3% 35.3%– 35.3% 100.0% 21–21
202
+ Høyre 31.0% 29.1% 29.1% 29.0%– 29.1% 100.0% 18–18
203
+ Venstre 7.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%– 5.0% 0.0% 3– 3
204
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5%– 11.5% 100.0% 7– 7
205
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7%– 8.7% 100.0% 5– 5
206
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.0%– 5.1% 100.0% 3– 3
207
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%– 2.5% 100.0% 1– 1
208
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%– 1.3% 100.0% 1– 1
209
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%– 0.5% 0– 0
210
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
211
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 76.9% 54.8% 53.8%– 54.8% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
212
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 75.1% 52.4% 50.3%– 52.4% 100.0% 31–31 100.0%
213
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 43.1% 43.3% 42.4%– 43.7% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
214
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 70.1% 40.9% 40.2%– 40.9% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
215
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 68.4% 37.8% 36.5%– 37.8% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
216
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.6% 55.6% 55.0%– 56.4% 100.0% 34–34 100.0%
217
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 44.9% 44.6% 44.1%– 45.6% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
218
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.1% 44.1% 43.8%– 44.6% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
219
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 35.6% 35.4% 34.7%– 36.4% 0.0% 22–22 0.0%
220
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 6.4% 6.8% 5.7%– 7.0% 0.0% 4– 4 0.0%
221
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.44%.
222
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: 8 simulations out of 31 data points, 1 / 6,396,317,622,185,806,451 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
223
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
224
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
225
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.3% 35.3% 35.3%– 35.3% 100.0% 21–21
226
+ Høyre 31.0% 29.1% 29.1% 29.0%– 29.1% 100.0% 18–18
227
+ Venstre 7.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%– 5.0% 0.0% 3– 3
228
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5%– 11.5% 100.0% 7– 7
229
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7%– 8.7% 100.0% 5– 5
230
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.0%– 5.1% 100.0% 3– 3
231
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%– 2.5% 100.0% 1– 1
232
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%– 1.3% 100.0% 1– 1
233
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%– 0.5% 0– 0
234
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
235
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 77.1% 54.8% 54.3%– 54.8% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
236
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 75.9% 52.4% 51.7%– 52.4% 100.0% 31–31 100.0%
237
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 43.6% 43.3% 43.1%– 43.7% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
238
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.6% 40.9% 40.9%– 42.3% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
239
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 37.4% 37.8% 36.5%– 38.3% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
240
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 56.1% 55.6% 55.6%– 56.4% 100.0% 34–34 100.0%
241
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 44.6% 44.6% 44.1%– 44.9% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
242
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.1% 44.1% 43.8%– 44.6% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
243
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 35.9% 35.4% 35.2%– 36.4% 0.0% 22–22 0.0%
244
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 6.4% 6.8% 5.7%– 7.0% 0.0% 4– 4 0.0%
245
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 9.42%.
246
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: 16 simulations out of 83 data points, 1 / 2,388,986,099,852,530,120 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
247
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
248
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
249
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 33.1% 33.1% 33.1%– 33.1% 0.7% 20–20
250
+ Høyre 31.0% 34.5% 34.5% 34.5%– 34.5% 100.0% 21–21
251
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6%– 8.6% 99.3% 5– 5
252
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9%– 5.9% 0.7% 3– 3
253
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.5% 6.5% 6.4%– 6.5% 100.0% 4– 4
254
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.1% 100.0% 2– 2
255
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%– 2.4% 100.0% 1– 1
256
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.6% 0.7% 1– 1
257
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6%– 2.7% 2– 2
258
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
259
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 48.0% 48.0% 47.9%– 48.0% 0.7% 28–28 0.7%
260
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 45.6% 45.6% 45.5%– 45.7% 0.7% 27–27 0.7%
261
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 42.2% 42.2% 42.1%– 42.3% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
262
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 39.7% 39.8% 39.7%– 39.8% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
263
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 41.1% 41.0% 40.6%– 41.6% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
264
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 56.9% 56.9% 56.7%– 57.0% 100.0% 34–34 100.0%
265
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 53.6% 53.7% 53.2%– 53.9% 99.3% 33–33 99.3%
266
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 50.9% 51.1% 50.8%– 51.1% 99.3% 31–31 99.3%
267
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 44.6% 44.6% 43.7%– 45.2% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
268
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 12.6% 12.7% 12.5%– 12.9% 0.0% 8– 8 0.0%
269
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.62%.
270
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: 32 simulations out of 164 data points, 1 / 1,209,060,038,340,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
271
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:18 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
272
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
273
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 38.8% 38.8% 38.8%– 38.8% 98.7% 23–23
274
+ Høyre 31.0% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%– 31.5% 100.0% 19–19
275
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.7%– 8.8% 100.0% 5– 5
276
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 5.5% 0.0% 3– 3
277
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%– 6.6% 100.0% 4– 4
278
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.0% 100.0% 2– 2
279
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%– 2.2% 100.0% 1– 1
280
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.5% 98.7% 1– 1
281
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1%– 1.2% 1– 1
282
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
283
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 51.6% 51.6% 51.5%– 51.7% 98.7% 30–30 98.7%
284
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.4% 49.4% 49.0%– 49.5% 0.0% 29–29 0.0%
285
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.1% 46.2% 45.8%– 46.2% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
286
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 43.9% 44.0% 43.8%– 44.0% 0.0% 26–26 0.0%
287
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%– 38.1% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
288
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.8% 53.7% 53.7%– 53.8% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
289
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.4% 49.5% 49.3%– 49.6% 1.3% 30–30 100.0%
290
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 48.3% 48.1%– 48.4% 1.3% 29–29 1.3%
291
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.6% 41.7% 41.5%– 41.8% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
292
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%– 11.4% 0.0% 7– 7 0.0%
293
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:18 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.72%.
294
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:18 INFO: 64 simulations out of 290 data points, 1 / 683,744,297,544,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
295
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:19 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
296
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
297
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 38.8% 38.8% 38.8%– 38.8% 98.7% 23–23
298
+ Høyre 31.0% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%– 31.5% 100.0% 19–19
299
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.7%– 8.8% 99.5% 5– 5
300
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 5.5% 0.5% 3– 3
301
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%– 6.6% 100.0% 4– 4
302
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.0% 100.0% 2– 2
303
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%– 2.2% 100.0% 1– 1
304
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.5% 98.7% 1– 1
305
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1%– 1.2% 1– 1
306
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
307
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 51.6% 51.6% 51.5%– 51.7% 98.7% 30–30 98.7%
308
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.3% 49.4% 49.3%– 49.4% 0.0% 29–29 0.0%
309
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.2% 46.2% 46.1%– 46.2% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
310
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 43.9% 44.0% 43.8%– 44.0% 0.0% 26–26 0.0%
311
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%– 38.1% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
312
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.8% 53.7% 53.7%– 53.8% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
313
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.5% 49.5% 49.4%– 49.6% 1.3% 30–30 99.5%
314
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 48.3% 48.3%– 48.4% 1.3% 29–29 1.3%
315
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.7% 41.7% 41.6%– 41.7% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
316
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%– 11.4% 0.0% 7– 7 0.0%
317
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:19 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 7.36%.
318
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:19 INFO: 128 simulations out of 572 data points, 1 / 346,653,577,426,153,846 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
319
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:20 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
320
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
321
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 38.8% 38.8% 38.8%– 38.8% 98.7% 23–23
322
+ Høyre 31.0% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%– 31.5% 100.0% 19–19
323
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.7%– 8.8% 99.5% 5– 5
324
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 5.5% 0.5% 3– 3
325
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%– 6.6% 100.0% 4– 4
326
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.0% 100.0% 2– 2
327
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%– 2.2% 99.8% 1– 1
328
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.5% 98.7% 1– 1
329
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1%– 1.2% 1– 1
330
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
331
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 51.6% 51.6% 51.6%– 51.6% 98.5% 30–30 98.5%
332
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.4% 49.4% 49.3%– 49.4% 0.0% 29–29 0.0%
333
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.2% 46.2% 46.1%– 46.2% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
334
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 44.0% 44.0% 43.9%– 44.0% 0.0% 26–26 0.0%
335
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%– 38.0% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
336
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 56.9% 53.7% 53.7%– 53.7% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
337
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.5% 49.5% 49.5%– 49.5% 1.5% 30–30 99.5%
338
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 48.3% 48.3%– 48.4% 1.5% 29–29 1.5%
339
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.7% 41.7% 41.6%– 41.7% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
340
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%– 11.4% 0.0% 7– 7 0.0%
341
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:20 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.89%.
342
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:20 INFO: 256 simulations out of 1,174 data points, 1 / 168,897,654,418,875,638 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
343
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:21 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
344
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
345
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 38.8% 38.8% 32.1%– 38.8% 97.7% 20–23
346
+ Høyre 31.0% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%– 31.8% 100.0% 19–19
347
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.6%– 8.8% 98.1% 5– 5
348
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 6.8% 1.9% 3– 4
349
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.4%– 6.6% 98.9% 4– 4
350
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.5% 99.2% 2– 3
351
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%– 3.1% 99.8% 1– 2
352
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.6% 98.0% 1– 1
353
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1%– 1.2% 1– 1
354
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
355
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 51.6% 51.6% 50.1%– 51.6% 97.8% 30–30 98.0%
356
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.4% 49.4% 46.9%– 49.4% 1.1% 28–29 1.1%
357
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.2% 46.2% 42.5%– 46.2% 0.0% 26–27 0.1%
358
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 44.0% 44.0% 39.7%– 44.0% 0.0% 24–26 0.0%
359
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%– 38.4% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
360
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 54.1% 53.7% 53.7%– 56.6% 99.9% 32–33 99.9%
361
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.5% 49.5% 49.5%– 49.5% 2.5% 30–30 97.9%
362
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 48.3% 48.3%– 48.4% 2.0% 29–29 2.0%
363
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.7% 41.7% 40.1%– 41.7% 0.0% 24–25 0.0%
364
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%– 11.4% 0.0% 7– 7 0.0%
365
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:21 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 6.77%.
366
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:21 INFO: 512 simulations out of 2,345 data points, 1 / 84,556,864,088,597,014 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
367
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:23 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
368
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
369
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.7% 36.7% 35.4%– 36.8% 100.0% 21–22
370
+ Høyre 31.0% 27.2% 27.2% 27.2%– 30.1% 100.0% 16–18
371
+ Venstre 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%– 9.0% 15.8% 4– 5
372
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 4.8%– 9.6% 84.3% 3– 6
373
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3%– 7.4% 100.0% 4– 4
374
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 4.9%– 5.2% 100.0% 3– 3
375
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%– 4.2% 100.0% 2– 3
376
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.9%– 2.7% 100.0% 1– 2
377
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%– 1.4% 0– 1
378
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
379
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 55.9% 55.9% 50.9%– 55.9% 100.0% 31–33 100.0%
380
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 52.3% 52.3% 46.7%– 52.3% 84.2% 28–31 84.2%
381
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.3% 46.3% 46.1%– 46.3% 0.0% 27–28 0.0%
382
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 42.7% 42.7% 41.9%– 42.8% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
383
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 34.6% 34.6% 34.6%– 37.4% 0.0% 20–22 0.0%
384
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.5% 53.5% 53.1%– 53.5% 100.0% 31–32 100.0%
385
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0%– 49.7% 0.0% 26–29 0.4%
386
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.0% 43.9% 43.9%– 48.3% 0.0% 26–28 0.0%
387
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.5% 36.6% 36.5%– 41.0% 0.0% 22–24 0.0%
388
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%– 12.3% 0.0% 6– 7 0.0%
389
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:23 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 4.25%.
390
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:23 INFO: 1,024 simulations out of 4,690 data points, 1 / 42,278,432,044,298,507 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
391
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:26 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
392
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
393
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.7% 36.7% 31.8%– 36.8% 99.9% 19–22
394
+ Høyre 31.0% 27.2% 27.2% 27.2%– 30.9% 100.0% 16–18
395
+ Venstre 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%– 9.0% 19.4% 4– 5
396
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 4.8%– 9.6% 85.0% 3– 6
397
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3%– 7.8% 99.9% 4– 5
398
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 4.8%– 5.2% 99.1% 3– 3
399
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%– 4.2% 99.7% 2– 3
400
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.3%– 2.7% 96.6% 1– 2
401
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%– 2.1% 0– 1
402
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
403
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 50.9% 55.9% 50.3%– 55.9% 99.2% 30–33 99.0%
404
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 52.3% 52.3% 46.6%– 52.3% 80.4% 28–31 80.4%
405
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.3% 46.3% 42.5%– 46.3% 0.0% 25–28 0.0%
406
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 42.7% 42.7% 38.7%– 42.8% 0.0% 23–25 0.0%
407
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 34.6% 34.6% 34.6%– 38.7% 0.0% 20–23 0.0%
408
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.5% 53.5% 53.1%– 56.7% 100.0% 31–34 100.0%
409
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 45.0% 45.0%– 51.0% 3.4% 26–30 4.0%
410
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.0% 43.9% 43.9%– 48.9% 0.1% 26–29 0.3%
411
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.5% 36.6% 36.5%– 41.1% 0.0% 22–24 0.0%
412
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%– 12.3% 0.0% 6– 7 0.0%
413
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:26 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 4.94%.
414
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:26 INFO: 2,048 simulations out of 9,461 data points, 1 / 20,958,233,409,550,787 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
415
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:31 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
416
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
417
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.7% 36.7% 31.8%– 36.8% 99.5% 19–22
418
+ Høyre 31.0% 27.2% 27.2% 27.2%– 30.9% 100.0% 16–18
419
+ Venstre 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%– 9.4% 23.0% 4– 6
420
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 4.8%– 9.6% 81.2% 3– 6
421
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 6.9%– 7.8% 99.4% 4– 5
422
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 4.6%– 5.2% 98.5% 3– 3
423
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%– 4.5% 99.1% 2– 3
424
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.3%– 2.7% 96.7% 1– 2
425
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9%– 2.1% 0– 1
426
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
427
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 50.3% 55.9% 50.1%– 55.9% 99.0% 29–33 97.2%
428
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 52.3% 52.3% 46.2%– 52.3% 76.8% 27–31 76.8%
429
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.3% 46.3% 42.5%– 46.5% 0.0% 25–28 0.0%
430
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 42.7% 42.7% 38.7%– 42.8% 0.0% 23–25 0.0%
431
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 34.6% 34.6% 34.6%– 38.7% 0.0% 20–23 0.0%
432
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.7% 53.5% 52.8%– 56.7% 100.0% 31–34 100.0%
433
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 45.0% 45.0%– 51.0% 5.1% 26–30 5.7%
434
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.0% 43.9% 43.9%– 48.9% 0.2% 26–29 2.0%
435
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.5% 36.6% 36.5%– 42.0% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
436
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 12.3% 10.4% 10.4%– 12.3% 0.0% 6– 7 0.0%
437
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:31 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.79%.
438
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:31 INFO: 4,096 simulations out of 18,996 data points, 1 / 10,438,294,708,768,161 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
439
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:39 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
440
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
441
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 34.7% 34.7% 31.8%– 38.2% 96.1% 19–23
442
+ Høyre 31.0% 30.6% 30.6% 25.9%– 32.9% 100.0% 15–20
443
+ Venstre 7.9% 9.2% 9.2% 6.7%– 9.2% 80.7% 4– 6
444
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.7% 8.7% 4.8%– 9.6% 88.8% 3– 6
445
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 5.8% 5.8% 5.2%– 9.1% 53.3% 3– 5
446
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 6.0% 6.0% 3.2%– 6.4% 73.7% 2– 4
447
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%– 5.8% 99.4% 2– 3
448
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%– 2.8% 98.9% 1– 2
449
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%– 1.6% 0– 1
450
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
451
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 52.8% 52.8% 49.8%– 55.9% 95.9% 30–33 97.9%
452
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.8% 49.8% 46.1%– 52.3% 19.2% 28–31 64.9%
453
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 44.1% 44.1% 43.4%– 47.8% 0.0% 25–29 0.0%
454
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.1% 41.1% 39.0%– 43.2% 0.0% 23–26 0.0%
455
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 34.6% 36.4% 34.6%– 38.6% 0.0% 20–23 0.0%
456
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.2% 55.7% 51.8%– 55.7% 100.0% 30–34 100.0%
457
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 47.4% 45.0%– 50.3% 5.0% 26–30 3.0%
458
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 47.0% 43.9%– 49.2% 1.4% 26–29 1.9%
459
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.5% 41.2% 36.0%– 44.0% 0.0% 21–26 0.0%
460
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 10.4%– 12.3% 0.0% 6– 7 0.0%
461
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:39 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.38%.
462
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:39 INFO: 8,192 simulations out of 37,868 data points, 1 / 5,236,237,622,471,743 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
463
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:59 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
464
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
465
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 34.7%– 38.6% 99.8% 21–23
466
+ Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 28.1%– 32.3% 100.0% 17–19
467
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 7.5%– 9.0% 79.7% 4– 5
468
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0%– 8.7% 98.4% 4– 5
469
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 5.3%– 7.5% 97.8% 3– 4
470
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 4.4%– 5.8% 98.5% 3– 4
471
+ Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 4.3% 99.9% 2– 2
472
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8%– 2.1% 99.8% 1– 1
473
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%– 1.3% 0– 1
474
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
475
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 52.8% 53.4% 51.1%– 54.7% 99.8% 31–33 99.8%
476
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.8% 49.4% 48.4%– 51.7% 17.9% 29–31 91.3%
477
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 44.1% 45.4% 44.1%– 46.7% 0.0% 27–28 0.0%
478
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.1% 41.4% 41.0%– 43.6% 0.0% 25–26 0.0%
479
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 35.4%– 38.0% 0.0% 21–22 0.0%
480
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 54.0% 54.0% 53.0%– 55.2% 100.0% 31–32 100.0%
481
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 46.6% 46.6% 45.6%– 49.3% 0.3% 26–28 0.2%
482
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 46.0% 46.0% 45.0%– 48.2% 0.1% 26–28 0.1%
483
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 39.0% 39.0% 37.6%– 42.5% 0.0% 22–25 0.0%
484
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 10.0%– 11.4% 0.0% 5– 7 0.0%
485
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:59 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.87%.
486
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:59 INFO: 16,384 simulations out of 75,853 data points, 1 / 2,614,080,475,231,829 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
487
+ 2015-08-07 18:20:33 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
488
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
489
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 34.7%– 38.6% 99.4% 21–23
490
+ Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 28.1%– 32.3% 100.0% 17–19
491
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 7.0%– 9.0% 72.1% 4– 5
492
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0%– 8.7% 97.9% 4– 5
493
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.9%– 7.5% 97.3% 3– 4
494
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 4.4%– 5.8% 97.5% 3– 4
495
+ Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 4.8% 99.6% 2– 3
496
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.4%– 2.5% 99.8% 1– 1
497
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%– 1.3% 0– 1
498
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
499
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 52.8% 53.4% 51.1%– 54.7% 99.2% 31–33 99.3%
500
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.8% 49.4% 48.3%– 51.7% 25.4% 29–31 90.3%
501
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 44.1% 45.4% 44.1%– 46.7% 0.0% 27–28 0.0%
502
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.1% 41.4% 41.0%– 43.6% 0.0% 25–26 0.0%
503
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 35.4%– 38.0% 0.0% 21–22 0.0%
504
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.2% 54.0% 53.0%– 55.7% 100.0% 31–32 100.0%
505
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 46.3% 46.6% 45.5%– 49.3% 0.9% 26–28 0.7%
506
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 46.0% 46.0% 44.9%– 48.2% 0.6% 26–28 0.6%
507
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 40.6% 39.0% 37.6%– 42.5% 0.0% 22–25 0.0%
508
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 10.0%– 11.4% 0.0% 5– 7 0.0%
509
+ 2015-08-07 18:20:33 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.51%.
510
+ 2015-08-07 18:20:33 INFO: 32,768 simulations out of 151,494 data points, 1 / 1,308,869,303,654,006 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
511
+ 2015-08-07 18:21:52 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
512
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
513
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 33.9%– 38.6% 98.9% 20–23
514
+ Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 27.9%– 32.3% 100.0% 17–19
515
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 6.8%– 9.7% 72.1% 4– 6
516
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0%– 8.8% 95.6% 4– 5
517
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.8%– 7.7% 92.8% 3– 5
518
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.9%– 6.8% 96.2% 2– 4
519
+ Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 5.0% 99.5% 2– 3
520
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2%– 2.7% 99.1% 1– 2
521
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%– 1.6% 0– 1
522
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
523
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 53.4% 53.4% 51.1%– 54.8% 98.8% 30–33 98.8%
524
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.9% 49.4% 47.6%– 51.7% 25.6% 28–31 80.7%
525
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 44.1% 45.4% 44.1%– 47.5% 0.0% 26–28 0.0%
526
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 42.5% 41.4% 40.6%– 43.6% 0.0% 24–26 0.0%
527
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 34.6%– 38.0% 0.0% 20–23 0.0%
528
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 51.8% 54.0% 51.8%– 55.7% 100.0% 31–33 100.0%
529
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 46.3% 46.6% 45.2%– 49.3% 1.3% 26–29 1.3%
530
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.5% 46.0% 44.4%– 48.2% 1.0% 26–29 1.2%
531
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 38.0% 39.0% 37.6%– 42.6% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
532
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 9.3%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
533
+ 2015-08-07 18:21:52 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.33%.
534
+ 2015-08-07 18:21:52 INFO: 65,536 simulations out of 303,147 data points, 1 / 654,091,402,150,639 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
535
+ 2015-08-07 18:24:42 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
536
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
537
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 32.0%– 39.2% 93.6% 19–24
538
+ Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 26.8%– 34.6% 100.0% 16–21
539
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 6.3%– 9.7% 62.0% 4– 6
540
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 5.8%– 8.8% 91.8% 3– 5
541
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.8%– 8.0% 89.7% 3– 5
542
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.9%– 6.4% 94.3% 2– 4
543
+ Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 5.0% 99.2% 2– 3
544
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2%– 3.0% 99.1% 1– 2
545
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%– 1.8% 0– 1
546
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
547
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 49.7% 53.4% 48.4%– 56.2% 92.4% 28–33 93.0%
548
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 45.2% 49.4% 44.9%– 52.2% 40.2% 26–31 72.8%
549
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.7% 45.4% 41.2%– 48.6% 0.0% 24–29 0.0%
550
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 37.9% 41.4% 37.5%– 44.8% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
551
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 34.1%– 41.2% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
552
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 50.8% 54.0% 50.8%– 58.6% 100.0% 30–35 100.0%
553
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 45.4% 46.6% 44.2%– 52.2% 7.9% 26–31 7.1%
554
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 43.8% 46.0% 43.4%– 51.3% 6.1% 26–31 6.9%
555
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.7% 39.0% 36.6%– 44.6% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
556
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 8.3%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
557
+ 2015-08-07 18:24:42 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.10%.
558
+ 2015-08-07 18:24:42 INFO: 131,072 simulations out of 606,334 data points, 1 / 327,024,125,791,659 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
559
+ 2015-08-07 18:31:12 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
560
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
561
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 31.9%– 38.9% 92.8% 19–23
562
+ Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 27.1%– 34.6% 100.0% 16–21
563
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 6.1%– 10.1% 68.4% 4– 6
564
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 5.3%– 8.7% 79.6% 3– 5
565
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.9%– 8.2% 91.8% 3– 5
566
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.7%– 6.4% 89.4% 2– 4
567
+ Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 5.4% 97.7% 2– 3
568
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2%– 3.4% 99.1% 1– 2
569
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3%– 1.7% 0– 1
570
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
571
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 49.7% 53.4% 48.1%– 56.2% 83.3% 28–33 77.7%
572
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 50.0% 49.4% 44.6%– 52.2% 27.1% 26–31 46.8%
573
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.7% 45.4% 41.2%– 48.7% 0.1% 24–29 0.5%
574
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 38.1% 41.4% 37.5%– 44.8% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
575
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 33.7%– 41.2% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
576
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.8% 54.0% 50.8%– 58.6% 99.6% 30–35 99.5%
577
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.9% 46.6% 44.2%– 52.2% 22.7% 26–31 22.9%
578
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 49.3% 46.0% 43.4%– 51.3% 14.6% 26–31 22.2%
579
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 42.0% 39.0% 36.6%– 44.8% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
580
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 8.3%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
581
+ 2015-08-07 18:31:12 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.66%.
582
+ 2015-08-07 18:31:12 INFO: 262,144 simulations out of 1,212,753 data points, 1 / 163,500,602,585,819 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
583
+ 2015-08-07 18:44:09 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
584
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
585
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.5% 36.5% 32.2%– 38.6% 96.0% 19–23
586
+ Høyre 31.0% 30.5% 30.5% 27.1%– 33.9% 100.0% 16–21
587
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 6.2%– 10.0% 77.2% 4– 6
588
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 6.2% 6.2% 5.6%– 8.7% 66.0% 3– 5
589
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.7% 4.8%– 8.1% 86.4% 3– 5
590
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.1% 4.1% 3.7%– 6.4% 85.7% 2– 4
591
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.7%– 5.4% 97.9% 2– 3
592
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% 1.3%– 3.3% 97.4% 1– 2
593
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 0– 1
594
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
595
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 49.7% 51.4% 48.4%– 55.6% 91.0% 28–33 88.1%
596
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 47.2% 47.6% 44.9%– 52.1% 20.6% 26–31 31.8%
597
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 45.3% 45.1% 41.7%– 48.2% 0.1% 25–29 0.2%
598
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 43.8% 41.4% 37.9%– 44.4% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
599
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 37.1% 37.1% 34.1%– 40.6% 0.0% 20–24 0.0%
600
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 54.4% 54.5% 51.2%– 57.7% 99.8% 30–34 99.8%
601
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 45.4% 49.0% 44.6%– 51.8% 13.2% 26–31 12.7%
602
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.9% 48.3% 43.8%– 51.2% 7.6% 26–31 11.8%
603
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 40.6% 41.6% 36.7%– 44.6% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
604
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.9% 9.1%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
605
+ 2015-08-07 18:44:09 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.78%.
606
+ 2015-08-07 18:44:09 INFO: 524,288 simulations out of 2,425,652 data points, 1 / 81,745,380,742,068 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
607
+ 2015-08-07 19:11:27 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
608
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
609
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.5% 35.0% 31.8%– 38.6% 94.5% 19–23
610
+ Høyre 31.0% 30.5% 30.5% 27.2%– 34.0% 100.0% 16–20
611
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 6.2%– 10.0% 62.9% 4– 6
612
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 7.8% 7.8% 5.6%– 9.2% 68.0% 3– 5
613
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.9% 6.7% 5.0%– 8.4% 90.5% 3– 5
614
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.3% 5.3% 3.6%– 6.4% 85.5% 2– 4
615
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.7%– 5.3% 98.1% 2– 3
616
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% 1.1%– 3.2% 97.7% 1– 2
617
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 0– 1
618
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
619
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 55.1% 51.4% 48.4%– 55.6% 87.8% 28–33 83.8%
620
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 50.6% 47.6% 44.8%– 52.0% 22.0% 26–31 25.0%
621
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 41.3% 45.1% 41.1%– 48.1% 0.1% 24–28 0.2%
622
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 40.2% 41.4% 37.6%– 44.4% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
623
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 37.1% 37.1% 34.0%– 41.0% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
624
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 57.2% 54.5% 51.3%– 58.6% 99.8% 31–35 99.8%
625
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 45.4% 49.5% 44.6%– 51.8% 16.3% 26–31 17.4%
626
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.9% 48.3% 43.8%– 51.1% 8.1% 26–31 16.0%
627
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.4% 41.6% 37.0%– 44.0% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
628
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.9% 8.9%– 13.1% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
629
+ 2015-08-07 19:11:27 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.56%.
630
+ 2015-08-07 19:11:27 INFO: 1,048,576 simulations out of 4,851,507 data points, 1 / 40,870,980,148,593 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
631
+ 2015-08-07 20:06:39 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
632
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
633
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 34.5% 34.0% 31.6%– 38.6% 94.2% 19–23
634
+ Høyre 31.0% 30.6% 30.6% 27.4%– 34.0% 100.0% 16–20
635
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 6.1%– 10.0% 60.2% 4– 6
636
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 7.4% 5.6%– 9.2% 70.7% 3– 6
637
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.9% 6.9% 5.1%– 8.4% 91.9% 3– 5
638
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.8% 4.8% 3.5%– 6.4% 82.7% 2– 4
639
+ Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 3.7% 2.7%– 5.3% 98.0% 2– 3
640
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.2%– 3.3% 97.6% 1– 2
641
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 0– 1
642
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
643
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 49.7% 51.3% 48.7%– 55.5% 88.2% 28–33 86.5%
644
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 48.0% 47.6% 44.9%– 51.8% 16.2% 26–31 19.6%
645
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 43.8% 43.9% 41.2%– 48.1% 0.1% 24–28 0.2%
646
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 40.2% 41.4% 37.6%– 44.3% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
647
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 37.1% 37.5% 34.1%– 40.8% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
648
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 56.7% 55.3% 51.4%– 58.3% 99.8% 31–35 99.8%
649
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 49.5% 44.8%– 51.6% 15.9% 26–31 16.0%
650
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.9% 48.0% 44.0%– 50.8% 6.6% 26–31 13.3%
651
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.4% 41.6% 37.3%– 44.1% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
652
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 8.8%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
653
+ 2015-08-07 20:06:39 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.686%.
654
+ 2015-08-07 20:06:39 INFO: 2,097,152 simulations out of 9,703,300 data points, 1 / 20,434,887,748,267 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
655
+ 2015-08-07 22:09:03 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
656
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
657
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 34.0% 34.0% 31.7%– 38.5% 94.0% 19–23
658
+ Høyre 31.0% 31.6% 31.6% 27.5%– 33.9% 100.0% 16–20
659
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.4% 8.4% 6.1%– 9.8% 59.1% 4– 6
660
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 7.9% 7.9% 5.6%– 9.2% 71.3% 3– 6
661
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 5.1%– 8.4% 92.8% 3– 5
662
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.3% 5.2% 3.5%– 6.6% 83.5% 2– 4
663
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.3% 3.5% 2.7%– 5.3% 98.0% 2– 3
664
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.2%– 3.2% 98.0% 1– 2
665
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.3%– 1.6% 0– 1
666
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
667
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 48.4% 51.5% 48.7%– 55.5% 89.3% 29–33 86.9%
668
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 48.0% 48.0% 44.9%– 51.8% 18.6% 26–31 19.5%
669
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 41.6% 43.6% 41.2%– 48.0% 0.1% 24–28 0.2%
670
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.0% 40.1% 37.6%– 44.4% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
671
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 36.8% 36.8% 34.1%– 40.7% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
672
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.4% 56.1% 51.5%– 58.3% 99.7% 31–35 99.8%
673
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 49.1% 44.8%– 51.6% 14.3% 26–31 15.6%
674
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.9% 48.2% 43.9%– 50.8% 6.0% 26–30 12.8%
675
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.4% 41.7% 37.3%– 44.1% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
676
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 8.8%– 13.1% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
677
+ 2015-08-07 22:09:03 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.960%.
678
+ 2015-08-07 22:09:03 INFO: 4,194,304 simulations out of 19,405,009 data points, 1 / 10,218,281,593,569 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).