sapor 0.3.3

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Files changed (332) hide show
  1. checksums.yaml +7 -0
  2. data/Area Class Diagram.dia +0 -0
  3. data/Area Class Diagram.png +0 -0
  4. data/Class Diagram.dia +0 -0
  5. data/Class Diagram.png +0 -0
  6. data/Example-Catalonia.md +361 -0
  7. data/Example-Flanders.md +486 -0
  8. data/Example-Greece.md +25 -0
  9. data/Example-Oslo.md +678 -0
  10. data/Example-UnitedKingdom-Referendum.md +132 -0
  11. data/Examples.md +15 -0
  12. data/LICENSE +674 -0
  13. data/README.md +103 -0
  14. data/Rakefile +18 -0
  15. data/Technical Documentation.md +14 -0
  16. data/bin/create_installation_package.sh +49 -0
  17. data/bin/install.sh +45 -0
  18. data/bin/sapor.rb +24 -0
  19. data/bin/sapor.sh +106 -0
  20. data/data/hu/hungary-2014.txt +1680 -0
  21. data/data/hu/hungary_2014_screen_scraper.rb +48 -0
  22. data/data/hu/hungary_2014_to_psv.rb +80 -0
  23. data/data/hu/index-2014.txt +106 -0
  24. data/data/pl/2015-gl-lis-okr.csv +42 -0
  25. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv.rb +79 -0
  26. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_and_rsw.rb +94 -0
  27. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp.rb +100 -0
  28. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_sld_and_wi.rb +92 -0
  29. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_sld.rb +84 -0
  30. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_sld_and_wi.rb +85 -0
  31. data/data/uk/inject_ukip_2015_as_brexit_2019_in_2017.rb +54 -0
  32. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2015.txt +651 -0
  33. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2015_to_psv.rb +104 -0
  34. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017.txt +651 -0
  35. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv.rb +104 -0
  36. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv_with_brexit_and_chuk.rb +113 -0
  37. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv_with_tig.rb +111 -0
  38. data/lib/sapor.rb +150 -0
  39. data/lib/sapor/binomials_cache.rb +45 -0
  40. data/lib/sapor/combinations_distribution.rb +222 -0
  41. data/lib/sapor/denominators.rb +67 -0
  42. data/lib/sapor/dichotomies.rb +138 -0
  43. data/lib/sapor/dichotomy.rb +164 -0
  44. data/lib/sapor/first_past_the_post.rb +82 -0
  45. data/lib/sapor/largest_remainder.rb +118 -0
  46. data/lib/sapor/log4r_logger.rb +49 -0
  47. data/lib/sapor/log_facade.rb +40 -0
  48. data/lib/sapor/multi_district_leveled_proportional.rb +64 -0
  49. data/lib/sapor/multi_district_proportional.rb +123 -0
  50. data/lib/sapor/multi_district_variable_threshold_proportional.rb +128 -0
  51. data/lib/sapor/number_formatter.rb +45 -0
  52. data/lib/sapor/options.rb +73 -0
  53. data/lib/sapor/poll.rb +286 -0
  54. data/lib/sapor/polychotomy.rb +200 -0
  55. data/lib/sapor/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator.rb +87 -0
  56. data/lib/sapor/referendum_polychotomy.rb +165 -0
  57. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/area.rb +82 -0
  58. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/austria.rb +84 -0
  59. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-2014.psv +46 -0
  60. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-20190526.psv +33 -0
  61. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-2014.psv +80 -0
  62. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-20190526.psv +74 -0
  63. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-2014.psv +114 -0
  64. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-20190526.psv +93 -0
  65. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium.rb +97 -0
  66. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_brussels.rb +62 -0
  67. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_flanders.rb +64 -0
  68. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_wallonia.rb +63 -0
  69. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012-2015.psv +100 -0
  70. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012.psv +87 -0
  71. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015-jxcat.psv +68 -0
  72. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015-no-jxsi.psv +68 -0
  73. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015.psv +63 -0
  74. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-jxcat.rb +109 -0
  75. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-no-jxsi.rb +96 -0
  76. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia.rb +96 -0
  77. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-e-and-p.psv +164 -0
  78. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-e.psv +153 -0
  79. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-p.psv +153 -0
  80. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618.psv +142 -0
  81. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark.rb +128 -0
  82. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_e.rb +128 -0
  83. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_e_and_p.rb +128 -0
  84. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_p.rb +128 -0
  85. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/estonia.rb +88 -0
  86. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20140522-brexit-chuk.psv +172 -0
  87. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20140522.psv +146 -0
  88. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20190523.psv +141 -0
  89. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia-ri-sd.psv +64 -0
  90. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia-sd.psv +60 -0
  91. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia.psv +56 -0
  92. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-sd.psv +56 -0
  93. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014.psv +50 -0
  94. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-20190524-ia.psv +58 -0
  95. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-20190524.psv +52 -0
  96. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_austria.rb +76 -0
  97. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_croatia.rb +81 -0
  98. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_denmark.rb +77 -0
  99. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_estonia.rb +74 -0
  100. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_finland.rb +74 -0
  101. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_ireland.rb +96 -0
  102. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_ireland_with_ia.rb +97 -0
  103. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_italy.rb +84 -0
  104. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_netherlands.rb +81 -0
  105. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_poland.rb +84 -0
  106. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_romania.rb +78 -0
  107. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_slovakia.rb +80 -0
  108. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_spain.rb +82 -0
  109. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_sweden.rb +76 -0
  110. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_austria.rb +76 -0
  111. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_bulgaria.rb +81 -0
  112. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_croatia.rb +81 -0
  113. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_cyprus.rb +72 -0
  114. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_czech_republic.rb +82 -0
  115. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_denmark.rb +77 -0
  116. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_estonia.rb +74 -0
  117. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_finland.rb +74 -0
  118. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_flanders.rb +74 -0
  119. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_france.rb +84 -0
  120. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_france_2019.rb +84 -0
  121. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_french_community_of_belgium.rb +73 -0
  122. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_germany.rb +86 -0
  123. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_great_britain.rb +98 -0
  124. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_greece.rb +77 -0
  125. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_hungary.rb +76 -0
  126. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_ireland.rb +96 -0
  127. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_ireland_with_ia.rb +97 -0
  128. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_italy.rb +84 -0
  129. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_latvia.rb +81 -0
  130. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_lithuania.rb +80 -0
  131. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_luxembourg.rb +75 -0
  132. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_malta.rb +71 -0
  133. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_netherlands.rb +81 -0
  134. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_northern_ireland.rb +75 -0
  135. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_poland.rb +84 -0
  136. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_portugal.rb +75 -0
  137. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_romania.rb +78 -0
  138. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_slovakia.rb +81 -0
  139. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_slovenia.rb +85 -0
  140. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_spain.rb +82 -0
  141. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_sweden.rb +76 -0
  142. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland-20150419-with-sin.psv +224 -0
  143. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland-20150419.psv +212 -0
  144. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland.rb +107 -0
  145. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland_with_sin.rb +107 -0
  146. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-2014.psv +96 -0
  147. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-20190526.psv +87 -0
  148. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders.rb +115 -0
  149. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/france.rb +38 -0
  150. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/greece.rb +92 -0
  151. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/hungary-2014.psv +2104 -0
  152. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/hungary.rb +116 -0
  153. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20161029-midflokkurinn.psv +94 -0
  154. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20161029.psv +88 -0
  155. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20171028.psv +85 -0
  156. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland.rb +133 -0
  157. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv-p-par.psv +109 -0
  158. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv-par.psv +103 -0
  159. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv.psv +97 -0
  160. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004.psv +89 -0
  161. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia.rb +112 -0
  162. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv.rb +112 -0
  163. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv_p_par.rb +112 -0
  164. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv_par.rb +112 -0
  165. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/luxembourg-20131020.psv +76 -0
  166. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/luxembourg.rb +82 -0
  167. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/netherlands.rb +108 -0
  168. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norway.rb +425 -0
  169. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norwegian_municipality.rb +68 -0
  170. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-and-l-without-n-po-r-and-zl.psv +321 -0
  171. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-konf-kp-l-and-zp-without-k-k15-n-pis-po-psl-r-and-zl.psv +280 -0
  172. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-sld-and-wi-without-n-po-and-zl.psv +403 -0
  173. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-sld-and-wi-without-zl.psv +444 -0
  174. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-sld-without-zl.psv +403 -0
  175. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025.psv +403 -0
  176. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland.rb +125 -0
  177. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_and_l_without_n_po_r_and_zl.rb +122 -0
  178. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp_without_k_k15_n_pis_po_psl_r_and_zl.rb +123 -0
  179. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_sld_and_wi_without_n_po_and_zl.rb +125 -0
  180. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_sld_and_wi_without_zl.rb +126 -0
  181. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_sld_without_zl.rb +126 -0
  182. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-and-ch-without-paf.psv +438 -0
  183. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-and-il-without-paf.psv +438 -0
  184. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-ch-and-il-without-paf.psv +461 -0
  185. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-without-paf.psv +415 -0
  186. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-ch-and-il-without-paf.psv +438 -0
  187. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-without-paf.psv +392 -0
  188. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004.psv +370 -0
  189. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal.rb +101 -0
  190. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_and_ch_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  191. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  192. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_ch_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  193. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  194. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_ch_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  195. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  196. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/slovakia.rb +81 -0
  197. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/slovenia.rb +114 -0
  198. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/spain-20160626.psv +619 -0
  199. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/spain.rb +136 -0
  200. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/sweden.rb +92 -0
  201. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/sweden_20140914.rb +89 -0
  202. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-2015.psv +4358 -0
  203. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-brexit-chuk.psv +5154 -0
  204. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-brexit.psv +4521 -0
  205. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-tig.psv +4529 -0
  206. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608.psv +3894 -0
  207. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom.rb +94 -0
  208. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_brexit.rb +110 -0
  209. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_brexit_and_chuk.rb +111 -0
  210. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_tig.rb +111 -0
  211. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/utopia.rb +66 -0
  212. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia-2014.psv +101 -0
  213. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia-20190526.psv +88 -0
  214. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia.rb +112 -0
  215. data/lib/sapor/representatives_polychotomy.rb +338 -0
  216. data/lib/sapor/single_district_proportional.rb +75 -0
  217. data/sapor.gemspec +35 -0
  218. data/spec/integration/area_spec.rb +28 -0
  219. data/spec/integration/poll_spec.rb +112 -0
  220. data/spec/integration/sample.poll +8 -0
  221. data/spec/spec_helper.rb +31 -0
  222. data/spec/unit/area_spec.rb +115 -0
  223. data/spec/unit/austria_spec.rb +76 -0
  224. data/spec/unit/belgium_brussels_spec.rb +58 -0
  225. data/spec/unit/belgium_flanders_spec.rb +62 -0
  226. data/spec/unit/belgium_spec.rb +26 -0
  227. data/spec/unit/belgium_wallonia_spec.rb +65 -0
  228. data/spec/unit/binomials_cache_spec.rb +34 -0
  229. data/spec/unit/catalonia_spec.rb +74 -0
  230. data/spec/unit/combinations_distribution_spec.rb +241 -0
  231. data/spec/unit/denmark_spec.rb +56 -0
  232. data/spec/unit/denmark_with_e_and_p_spec.rb +58 -0
  233. data/spec/unit/denmark_with_e_spec.rb +57 -0
  234. data/spec/unit/denmark_with_p_spec.rb +57 -0
  235. data/spec/unit/denominators_spec.rb +40 -0
  236. data/spec/unit/dichotomies_spec.rb +154 -0
  237. data/spec/unit/dichotomy_spec.rb +320 -0
  238. data/spec/unit/estonia_spec.rb +65 -0
  239. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_austria_spec.rb +61 -0
  240. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_croatia_spec.rb +60 -0
  241. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_denmark_spec.rb +62 -0
  242. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_estonia_spec.rb +94 -0
  243. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_finland_spec.rb +75 -0
  244. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_ireland_spec.rb +72 -0
  245. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_ireland_with_ia_spec.rb +74 -0
  246. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_italy_spec.rb +69 -0
  247. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_netherlands_spec.rb +81 -0
  248. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_poland_spec.rb +69 -0
  249. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_romania_spec.rb +67 -0
  250. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_slovakia_spec.rb +111 -0
  251. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_spain_spec.rb +130 -0
  252. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_sweden_spec.rb +89 -0
  253. data/spec/unit/european_union_austria_spec.rb +61 -0
  254. data/spec/unit/european_union_bulgaria_spec.rb +97 -0
  255. data/spec/unit/european_union_croatia_spec.rb +59 -0
  256. data/spec/unit/european_union_cyprus_spec.rb +65 -0
  257. data/spec/unit/european_union_czech_republic_spec.rb +125 -0
  258. data/spec/unit/european_union_denmark_spec.rb +61 -0
  259. data/spec/unit/european_union_estonia_spec.rb +93 -0
  260. data/spec/unit/european_union_finland_spec.rb +75 -0
  261. data/spec/unit/european_union_flanders_spec.rb +56 -0
  262. data/spec/unit/european_union_france_2019_spec.rb +73 -0
  263. data/spec/unit/european_union_france_spec.rb +73 -0
  264. data/spec/unit/european_union_french_community_of_belgium_spec.rb +61 -0
  265. data/spec/unit/european_union_germany_spec.rb +90 -0
  266. data/spec/unit/european_union_great_britain_spec.rb +87 -0
  267. data/spec/unit/european_union_greece_spec.rb +148 -0
  268. data/spec/unit/european_union_hungary_spec.rb +57 -0
  269. data/spec/unit/european_union_ireland_spec.rb +72 -0
  270. data/spec/unit/european_union_ireland_with_ia_spec.rb +74 -0
  271. data/spec/unit/european_union_italy_spec.rb +69 -0
  272. data/spec/unit/european_union_latvia_spec.rb +76 -0
  273. data/spec/unit/european_union_lithuania_spec.rb +68 -0
  274. data/spec/unit/european_union_luxembourg_spec.rb +63 -0
  275. data/spec/unit/european_union_malta_spec.rb +60 -0
  276. data/spec/unit/european_union_netherlands_spec.rb +81 -0
  277. data/spec/unit/european_union_northern_ireland_spec.rb +66 -0
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@@ -0,0 +1,116 @@
1
+ # encoding: utf-8
2
+ #
3
+ # Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
4
+ # Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
5
+ #
6
+ # This file is part of SAPoR.
7
+ #
8
+ # SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
9
+ # terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
10
+ # Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
11
+ # version.
12
+ #
13
+ # SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
14
+ # WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
15
+ # A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
16
+ #
17
+ # You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
18
+ #
19
+
20
+ module Sapor
21
+ #
22
+ # The regional data for Hungary.
23
+ #
24
+ class Hungary < Area
25
+ include Singleton
26
+
27
+ def area_code
28
+ 'HU'
29
+ end
30
+
31
+ def coalitions
32
+ COALITIONS
33
+ end
34
+
35
+ def individual_constituencies_seats(simulation)
36
+ individual_constituencies_electoral_system.project(simulation)
37
+ end
38
+
39
+ def no_of_seats
40
+ NO_OF_PROPORTIONAL_SEATS + \
41
+ individual_constituencies_election_results_of_2014.size
42
+ end
43
+
44
+ def overall_individual_constituencies_election_results_of_2014
45
+ if @overall_individual_constituencies_election_results_of_2014.nil?
46
+ @overall_individual_constituencies_election_results_of_2014 = \
47
+ summarize_election_results( \
48
+ individual_constituencies_election_results_of_2014
49
+ )
50
+ end
51
+ @overall_individual_constituencies_election_results_of_2014
52
+ end
53
+
54
+ def party_list_seats(simulation)
55
+ PARTY_LIST_ELECTORAL_SYSTEM.project(simulation)
56
+ end
57
+
58
+ def population_size
59
+ # Voter turnout on 6 April 2014
60
+ # Source: Wikipedia, Hungarian parliamentary election, 2014, downloaded
61
+ # on 10 November 2017,
62
+ # https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hungarian_parliamentary_election,_2014
63
+ 5_047_363
64
+ end
65
+
66
+ def seats(simulation)
67
+ individual_seats = individual_constituencies_seats(simulation)
68
+ party_seats = party_list_seats(simulation)
69
+ join_seats(individual_seats, party_seats)
70
+ end
71
+
72
+ def threshold
73
+ THRESHOLD
74
+ end
75
+
76
+ private
77
+
78
+ NO_OF_PROPORTIONAL_SEATS = 93
79
+ THRESHOLD = 0.05
80
+ PARTY_LIST_ELECTORAL_SYSTEM = SingleDistrictProportional.new(\
81
+ NO_OF_PROPORTIONAL_SEATS, DhondtDenominators, THRESHOLD
82
+ )
83
+
84
+ COALITIONS = [%w(DK Együtt MLP MSZP Párbeszéd), ['Fidesz–KDNP']].freeze
85
+
86
+ def individual_constituencies_election_results_of_2014
87
+ if @individual_constituencies_election_results_of_2014.nil?
88
+ @individual_constituencies_election_results_of_2014 = \
89
+ load_election_results('hungary-2014.psv')
90
+ end
91
+ @individual_constituencies_election_results_of_2014
92
+ end
93
+
94
+ def individual_constituencies_electoral_system
95
+ if @individual_constituencies_electoral_system.nil?
96
+ @individual_constituencies_electoral_system = FirstPastThePost.new(
97
+ overall_individual_constituencies_election_results_of_2014,
98
+ individual_constituencies_election_results_of_2014
99
+ )
100
+ end
101
+ @individual_constituencies_electoral_system
102
+ end
103
+
104
+ def join_seats(seats1, seats2)
105
+ results = seats1.dup
106
+ seats2.each_pair do |party, result|
107
+ if results.key?(party)
108
+ results[party] += result
109
+ else
110
+ results[party] = result
111
+ end
112
+ end
113
+ results
114
+ end
115
+ end
116
+ end
@@ -0,0 +1,94 @@
1
+ # Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
2
+ # Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
3
+ #
4
+ # This file is part of SAPoR.
5
+ #
6
+ # SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
7
+ # terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
8
+ # Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
9
+ # version.
10
+ #
11
+ # SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
12
+ # WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
13
+ # A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
14
+ #
15
+ # You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
16
+ #
17
+
18
+ # Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 29 October
19
+ # 2016, downloaded on 17 September 2017,
20
+ # URL: http://icelandmonitor.mbl.is/elections2016/
21
+
22
+ Norðaustur | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 6,014
23
+ Norðaustur | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 2,271
24
+ Norðaustur | Miðflokkurinn | 2,271
25
+ Norðaustur | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 4,539
26
+ Norðaustur | Píratar | 2,265
27
+ Norðaustur | Samfylkingin | 1,816
28
+ Norðaustur | Viðreisn | 1,482
29
+ Norðaustur | Björt framtíð | 774
30
+ Norðaustur | Flokkur fólksins | 645
31
+ Norðaustur | Dögun | 415
32
+ Norðaustur | Alþýðufylkingin | 211
33
+
34
+ Norðvestur | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 4,951
35
+ Norðvestur | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 1,741
36
+ Norðvestur | Miðflokkurinn | 1,741
37
+ Norðvestur | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 3,032
38
+ Norðvestur | Píratar | 1,823
39
+ Norðvestur | Samfylkingin | 1,054
40
+ Norðvestur | Viðreisn | 1,044
41
+ Norðvestur | Björt framtíð | 590
42
+ Norðvestur | Flokkur fólksins | 412
43
+ Norðvestur | Dögun | 282
44
+ Norðvestur | Íslenska þjóðfylkingin | 90
45
+
46
+ Reykjavík norður | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 8,538
47
+ Reykjavík norður | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 7,318
48
+ Reykjavík norður | Píratar | 6,655
49
+ Reykjavík norður | Viðreisn | 4,064
50
+ Reykjavík norður | Björt framtíð | 2,673
51
+ Reykjavík norður | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 994
52
+ Reykjavík norður | Miðflokkurinn | 993
53
+ Reykjavík norður | Samfylkingin | 1,822
54
+ Reykjavík norður | Flokkur fólksins | 1,321
55
+ Reykjavík norður | Dögun | 496
56
+ Reykjavík norður | Alþýðufylkingin | 104
57
+
58
+ Reykjavík suður | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 8,929
59
+ Reykjavík suður | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 6,148
60
+ Reykjavík suður | Píratar | 6,021
61
+ Reykjavík suður | Viðreisn | 4,440
62
+ Reykjavík suður | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 1,282
63
+ Reykjavík suður | Miðflokkurinn | 1,282
64
+ Reykjavík suður | Björt framtíð | 2,518
65
+ Reykjavík suður | Samfylkingin | 1,944
66
+ Reykjavík suður | Flokkur fólksins | 1,614
67
+ Reykjavík suður | Dögun | 578
68
+ Reykjavík suður | Alþýðufylkingin | 79
69
+ Reykjavík suður | Húmanistaflokkurinn | 33
70
+
71
+ Suðvestur | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 18,049
72
+ Suðvestur | Píratar | 7,227
73
+ Suðvestur | Viðreisn | 6,857
74
+ Suðvestur | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 6,378
75
+ Suðvestur | Björt framtíð | 5,458
76
+ Suðvestur | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 2,031
77
+ Suðvestur | Miðflokkurinn | 2,031
78
+ Suðvestur | Samfylkingin | 2,532
79
+ Suðvestur | Flokkur fólksins | 1,742
80
+ Suðvestur | Dögun | 893
81
+ Suðvestur | Alþýðufylkingin | 103
82
+
83
+ Suður | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 8,509
84
+ Suður | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 2,577
85
+ Suður | Miðflokkurinn | 2,577
86
+ Suður | Píratar | 3,458
87
+ Suður | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 2,751
88
+ Suður | Viðreisn | 1,983
89
+ Suður | Samfylkingin | 1,725
90
+ Suður | Björt framtíð | 1,565
91
+ Suður | Flokkur fólksins | 973
92
+ Suður | Dögun | 611
93
+ Suður | Íslenska þjóðfylkingin | 213
94
+ Suður | Alþýðufylkingin | 78
@@ -0,0 +1,88 @@
1
+ # Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
2
+ # Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
3
+ #
4
+ # This file is part of SAPoR.
5
+ #
6
+ # SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
7
+ # terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
8
+ # Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
9
+ # version.
10
+ #
11
+ # SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
12
+ # WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
13
+ # A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
14
+ #
15
+ # You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
16
+ #
17
+
18
+ # Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 29 October
19
+ # 2016, downloaded on 17 September 2017,
20
+ # URL: http://icelandmonitor.mbl.is/elections2016/
21
+
22
+ Norðaustur | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 6,014
23
+ Norðaustur | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 4,542
24
+ Norðaustur | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 4,539
25
+ Norðaustur | Píratar | 2,265
26
+ Norðaustur | Samfylkingin | 1,816
27
+ Norðaustur | Viðreisn | 1,482
28
+ Norðaustur | Björt framtíð | 774
29
+ Norðaustur | Flokkur fólksins | 645
30
+ Norðaustur | Dögun | 415
31
+ Norðaustur | Alþýðufylkingin | 211
32
+
33
+ Norðvestur | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 4,951
34
+ Norðvestur | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 3,482
35
+ Norðvestur | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 3,032
36
+ Norðvestur | Píratar | 1,823
37
+ Norðvestur | Samfylkingin | 1,054
38
+ Norðvestur | Viðreisn | 1,044
39
+ Norðvestur | Björt framtíð | 590
40
+ Norðvestur | Flokkur fólksins | 412
41
+ Norðvestur | Dögun | 282
42
+ Norðvestur | Íslenska þjóðfylkingin | 90
43
+
44
+ Reykjavík norður | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 8,538
45
+ Reykjavík norður | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 7,318
46
+ Reykjavík norður | Píratar | 6,655
47
+ Reykjavík norður | Viðreisn | 4,064
48
+ Reykjavík norður | Björt framtíð | 2,673
49
+ Reykjavík norður | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 1,987
50
+ Reykjavík norður | Samfylkingin | 1,822
51
+ Reykjavík norður | Flokkur fólksins | 1,321
52
+ Reykjavík norður | Dögun | 496
53
+ Reykjavík norður | Alþýðufylkingin | 104
54
+
55
+ Reykjavík suður | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 8,929
56
+ Reykjavík suður | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 6,148
57
+ Reykjavík suður | Píratar | 6,021
58
+ Reykjavík suður | Viðreisn | 4,440
59
+ Reykjavík suður | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 2,564
60
+ Reykjavík suður | Björt framtíð | 2,518
61
+ Reykjavík suður | Samfylkingin | 1,944
62
+ Reykjavík suður | Flokkur fólksins | 1,614
63
+ Reykjavík suður | Dögun | 578
64
+ Reykjavík suður | Alþýðufylkingin | 79
65
+ Reykjavík suður | Húmanistaflokkurinn | 33
66
+
67
+ Suðvestur | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 18,049
68
+ Suðvestur | Píratar | 7,227
69
+ Suðvestur | Viðreisn | 6,857
70
+ Suðvestur | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 6,378
71
+ Suðvestur | Björt framtíð | 5,458
72
+ Suðvestur | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 4,062
73
+ Suðvestur | Samfylkingin | 2,532
74
+ Suðvestur | Flokkur fólksins | 1,742
75
+ Suðvestur | Dögun | 893
76
+ Suðvestur | Alþýðufylkingin | 103
77
+
78
+ Suður | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 8,509
79
+ Suður | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 5,154
80
+ Suður | Píratar | 3,458
81
+ Suður | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 2,751
82
+ Suður | Viðreisn | 1,983
83
+ Suður | Samfylkingin | 1,725
84
+ Suður | Björt framtíð | 1,565
85
+ Suður | Flokkur fólksins | 973
86
+ Suður | Dögun | 611
87
+ Suður | Íslenska þjóðfylkingin | 213
88
+ Suður | Alþýðufylkingin | 78
@@ -0,0 +1,85 @@
1
+ # Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
2
+ # Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
3
+ #
4
+ # This file is part of SAPoR.
5
+ #
6
+ # SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
7
+ # terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
8
+ # Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
9
+ # version.
10
+ #
11
+ # SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
12
+ # WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
13
+ # A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
14
+ #
15
+ # You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
16
+ #
17
+
18
+ # Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 28 October
19
+ # 2017, downloaded on 20 November 2017,
20
+ # URL: http://icelandmonitor.mbl.is/elections2017/
21
+
22
+ Norðaustur | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 4,787
23
+ Norðaustur | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 4,699
24
+ Norðaustur | Miðflokkurinn | 4,388
25
+ Norðaustur | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 3,386
26
+ Norðaustur | Samfylkingin | 3,275
27
+ Norðaustur | Píratar | 1,295
28
+ Norðaustur | Flokkur fólksins | 1,005
29
+ Norðaustur | Viðreisn | 495
30
+ Norðaustur | Björt framtíð | 169
31
+ Norðaustur | Alþýðufylkingin | 110
32
+
33
+ Norðvestur | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 4,233
34
+ Norðvestur | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 3,177
35
+ Norðvestur | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 3,067
36
+ Norðvestur | Miðflokkurinn | 2,456
37
+ Norðvestur | Samfylkingin | 1,681
38
+ Norðvestur | Píratar | 1,169
39
+ Norðvestur | Flokkur fólksins | 911
40
+ Norðvestur | Viðreisn | 423
41
+ Norðvestur | Björt framtíð | 135
42
+
43
+ Reykjavík norður | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 8,108
44
+ Reykjavík norður | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 7,727
45
+ Reykjavík norður | Píratar | 4,885
46
+ Reykjavík norður | Samfylkingin | 4,575
47
+ Reykjavík norður | Viðreisn | 3,013
48
+ Reykjavík norður | Flokkur fólksins | 2,547
49
+ Reykjavík norður | Miðflokkurinn | 2,509
50
+ Reykjavík norður | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 1,901
51
+ Reykjavík norður | Björt framtíð | 506
52
+ Reykjavík norður | Alþýðufylkingin | 105
53
+
54
+ Reykjavík suður | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 8,143
55
+ Reykjavík suður | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 6,750
56
+ Reykjavík suður | Samfylkingin | 4,661
57
+ Reykjavík suður | Píratar | 4,076
58
+ Reykjavík suður | Viðreisn | 3,043
59
+ Reykjavík suður | Flokkur fólksins | 2,914
60
+ Reykjavík suður | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 2,897
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+ Reykjavík suður | Miðflokkurinn | 2,701
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+ Reykjavík suður | Björt framtíð | 449
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+ Reykjavík suður | Alþýðufylkingin | 85
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+
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+ Suður | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 7,056
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+ Suður | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 5,230
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+ Suður | Miðflokkurinn | 3,999
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+ Suður | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 3,321
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+ Suður | Samfylkingin | 2,689
70
+ Suður | Flokkur fólksins | 2,509
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+ Suður | Píratar | 1,985
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+ Suður | Viðreisn | 871
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+ Suður | Björt framtíð | 289
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+ Suður | Dögun | 101
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+
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+ Suðvestur | Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 17,216
77
+ Suðvestur | Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 7,591
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+ Suðvestur | Samfylkingin | 6,771
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+ Suðvestur | Miðflokkurinn | 5,282
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+ Suðvestur | Viðreisn | 5,277
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+ Suðvestur | Píratar | 4,641
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+ Suðvestur | Framsóknarflokkurinn | 4,425
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+ Suðvestur | Flokkur fólksins | 3,616
84
+ Suðvestur | Björt framtíð | 846
85
+ Suðvestur | Alþýðufylkingin | 75
@@ -0,0 +1,133 @@
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+ # encoding: utf-8
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+ #
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+ # Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
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+ # Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
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+ #
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+ # This file is part of SAPoR.
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+ #
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+ # SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
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+ # terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
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+ # Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
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+ # version.
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+ #
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+ # SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
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+ # WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
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+ # A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
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+ #
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+ # You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
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+ #
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+
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+ module Sapor
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+ #
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+ # The regional data for Iceland.
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+ #
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+ class Iceland < Area
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+ include Singleton
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+
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+ def area_code
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+ 'IS'
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+ end
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+
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+ def coalitions
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+ COALITIONS
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+ end
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+
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+ def no_of_seats
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+ NO_OF_SEATS
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+ end
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+
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+ def overall_election_results_of_2017
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+ if @overall_election_results_of_2017.nil?
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+ @overall_election_results_of_2017 = \
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+ summarize_election_results(election_results_of_2017)
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+ end
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+ @overall_election_results_of_2017
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+ end
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+
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+ def population_size
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+ # Voter turnout on 28 October 2017
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+ # Source: Wikipedia, Icelandic parliamentary election, 2017, downloaded
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+ # on 20 November 2017,
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+ # https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Icelandic_parliamentary_election,_2017
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+ 196_246
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+ end
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+
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+ def seat_distribution
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+ SEAT_DISTRIBUTION
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+ end
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+
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+ def seats(simulation)
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+ electoral_system.project(simulation)
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+ end
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+
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+ def threshold
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+ LEVELING_THRESHOLD
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+ end
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+
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+ private
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+
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+ COALITIONS = [['Björt framtíð', 'Píratar', 'Samfylkingin', 'Viðreisn',
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+ 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ ['Björt framtíð', 'Píratar', 'Samfylkingin',
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+ 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ ['Björt framtíð', 'Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn'],
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+ ['Björt framtíð', 'Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn', 'Viðreisn'],
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+ ['Framsóknarflokkurinn', 'Miðflokkurinn', 'Samfylkingin',
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+ 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ %w(Framsóknarflokkurinn Miðflokkurinn Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn),
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+ ['Framsóknarflokkurinn', 'Miðflokkurinn',
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+ 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ ['Framsóknarflokkurinn', 'Samfylkingin',
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+ 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ %w(Framsóknarflokkurinn Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn),
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+ ['Framsóknarflokkurinn', 'Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn',
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+ 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ ['Framsóknarflokkurinn', 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ ['Miðflokkurinn', 'Samfylkingin',
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+ 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ %w(Miðflokkurinn Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn),
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+ ['Miðflokkurinn', 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ %w(Samfylkingin Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn),
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+ ['Píratar', 'Samfylkingin', 'Viðreisn',
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+ 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ ['Píratar', 'Samfylkingin',
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+ 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ ['Píratar', 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ ['Samfylkingin', 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð'],
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+ %w(Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn Viðreisn),
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+ ['Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn',
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+ 'Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð']].freeze
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+
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+ DIRECT_SEAT_DISTRIBUTION = { 'Norðaustur' => 9, 'Norðvestur' => 9,
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+ 'Reykjavík norður' => 9,
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+ 'Reykjavík suður' => 9, 'Suðvestur' => 9,
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+ 'Suður' => 9 }.freeze
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+
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+ NO_OF_LEVELING_SEATS = 9
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+
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+ LEVELING_THRESHOLD = 0.05
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+
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+ NO_OF_SEATS = NO_OF_LEVELING_SEATS + \
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+ DIRECT_SEAT_DISTRIBUTION.values.inject(:+)
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+
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+ def election_results_of_2017
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+ if @election_results_of_2017.nil?
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+ @election_results_of_2017 = load_election_results(
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+ 'iceland-20171028.psv'
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+ )
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+ end
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+ @election_results_of_2017
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+ end
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+
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+ def electoral_system
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+ if @electoral_system.nil?
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+ @electoral_system = MultiDistrictLeveledProportional.new(
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+ overall_election_results_of_2017, election_results_of_2017,
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+ DIRECT_SEAT_DISTRIBUTION, NO_OF_LEVELING_SEATS, LEVELING_THRESHOLD,
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+ DhondtDenominators
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+ )
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+ end
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+ @electoral_system
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+ end
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+ end
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+ end