sapor 0.3.3

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-20190526.psv

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+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+# Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 26 May 2019,
+#         downloaded on 7 August 2019,
+# URL: https://verkiezingen2019.belgium.be/nl/verkiezingen?el=CK
+
+Brabant wallon | Mouvement Réformateur        | 86,463
+Brabant wallon | Ecolo                        | 48,874
+Brabant wallon | Parti Socialiste             | 37,730
+Brabant wallon | Centre démocrate humaniste   | 18,805
+Brabant wallon | Parti du Travail de Belgique | 18,278
+Brabant wallon | DéFI                         | 15,109
+Brabant wallon | Listes Destexhe              |  6,313
+Brabant wallon | Parti Populaire              |  6,085
+Brabant wallon | Collectif Citoyen            |  3,299
+Brabant wallon | Vlaams Belang                |  2,097
+Brabant wallon | Wallonie Insoumise           |  2,088
+Brabant wallon | La Droite                    |  1,460
+Brabant wallon | Turquoise                    |    626
+
+Hainaut | Parti Socialiste             | 250,146
+Hainaut | Mouvement Réformateur        | 116,528
+Hainaut | Parti du Travail de Belgique | 114,243
+Hainaut | Ecolo                        |  89,898
+Hainaut | Centre démocrate humaniste   |  58,695
+Hainaut | DéFI                         |  27,484
+Hainaut | Parti Populaire              |  24,719
+Hainaut | Vlaams Belang                |   8,246
+Hainaut | Listes Destexhe              |   8,177
+Hainaut | Collectif Citoyen            |   7,992
+Hainaut | AGIR                         |   5,916
+Hainaut | La Droite                    |   5,916
+Hainaut | Lutte Ouvrière               |   5,735
+Hainaut | NATION                       |   5,341
+Hainaut | Parti Communiste de Belgique |   1,626
+
+Liège | Parti Socialiste             | 154,232
+Liège | Mouvement Réformateur        | 121,732
+Liège | Parti du Travail de Belgique | 101,860
+Liège | Ecolo                        |  95,878
+Liège | Centre démocrate humaniste   |  52,167
+Liège | DéFI                         |  22,313
+Liège | Parti Populaire              |  21,998
+Liège | Les Belges d’Abord           |  10,463
+Liège | Listes Destexhe              |   9,310
+Liège | DierAnimal                   |   8,392
+Liège | Collectif Citoyen            |   7,395
+Liège | Vlaams Belang                |   4,093
+Liège | La Droite                    |   3,949
+Liège | Wallonie Insoumise           |   3,266
+Liège | NATION                       |   2,137
+
+Luxembourg | Mouvement Réformateur        | 40,242
+Luxembourg | Centre démocrate humaniste   | 40,056
+Luxembourg | Parti Socialiste             | 31,898
+Luxembourg | Ecolo                        | 27,338
+Luxembourg | Parti du Travail de Belgique | 15,424
+Luxembourg | DéFI                         |  5,092
+Luxembourg | Parti Populaire              |  4,933
+Luxembourg | Listes Destexhe              |  1,707
+Luxembourg | Vlaams Belang                |  1,517
+Luxembourg | La Droite                    |  1,440
+Luxembourg | NATION                       |  1,176
+
+Namur | Parti Socialiste             | 67,422
+Namur | Mouvement Réformateur        | 60,266
+Namur | Centre démocrate humaniste   | 51,977
+Namur | Ecolo                        | 46,320
+Namur | Parti du Travail de Belgique | 36,330
+Namur | DéFI                         | 14,809
+Namur | Parti Populaire              |  8,906
+Namur | Listes Destexhe              |  4,326
+Namur | DierAnimal                   |  4,070
+Namur | Collectif Citoyen            |  2,406
+Namur | La Droite                    |  2,310
+Namur | Vlaams Belang                |  2,124
+Namur | NATION                       |  1,929
+Namur | AGIR                         |  1,682

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium.rb

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+# encoding: utf-8
+#
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+module Sapor
+  #
+  # The regional data for Belgium.
+  #
+  class Belgium < Area
+    include Singleton
+    def coalitions
+      COALITIONS
+    end
+
+    def no_of_seats
+      seat_distribution.values.inject(:+)
+    end
+
+    def seats(simulation)
+      electoral_system.project(simulation)
+    end
+
+    def threshold
+      THRESHOLD
+    end
+
+    private
+
+    THRESHOLD = 0.05
+    
+    CDH_PARTY = 'Centre démocrate humaniste'.freeze
+    CDV_PARTY = 'Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams'.freeze
+    ECOLO_PARTY = 'Ecolo'.freeze
+    GROEN_PARTY = 'Groen'.freeze
+    MR_PARTY = 'Mouvement Réformateur'.freeze
+    NVA_PARTY = 'Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie'.freeze
+    OVLD_PARTY = 'Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten'.freeze
+    PS_PARTY = 'Parti Socialiste'.freeze
+    PTB_PARTY = 'Parti du Travail de Belgique'.freeze
+    PVDA_PARTY = 'Partij van de Arbeid van België'.freeze
+    SPA_PARTY = 'Socialistische Partij Anders'.freeze
+
+    COALITIONS = [[CDH_PARTY, CDV_PARTY, ECOLO_PARTY, GROEN_PARTY, MR_PARTY, 
+                   OVLD_PARTY, PS_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [CDH_PARTY, CDV_PARTY, ECOLO_PARTY, GROEN_PARTY, MR_PARTY,
+                   OVLD_PARTY],
+                  [CDH_PARTY, CDV_PARTY, ECOLO_PARTY, GROEN_PARTY, PS_PARTY,
+                   PTB_PARTY, PVDA_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [CDH_PARTY, CDV_PARTY, ECOLO_PARTY, GROEN_PARTY, PS_PARTY,
+                   SPA_PARTY],
+                  [CDH_PARTY, CDV_PARTY, MR_PARTY, NVA_PARTY, OVLD_PARTY],
+                  [CDH_PARTY, CDV_PARTY, MR_PARTY, OVLD_PARTY],
+                  [CDH_PARTY, CDV_PARTY, MR_PARTY, OVLD_PARTY, PS_PARTY,
+                   SPA_PARTY],
+                  [CDH_PARTY, CDV_PARTY, MR_PARTY, OVLD_PARTY, PS_PARTY],
+                  [CDH_PARTY, CDV_PARTY, PS_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [CDH_PARTY, ECOLO_PARTY, GROEN_PARTY, PS_PARTY, PTB_PARTY,
+                   PVDA_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [CDV_PARTY, ECOLO_PARTY, GROEN_PARTY, MR_PARTY, OVLD_PARTY,
+                   PS_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [CDV_PARTY, MR_PARTY, NVA_PARTY, OVLD_PARTY],
+                  [ECOLO_PARTY, GROEN_PARTY, MR_PARTY, OVLD_PARTY, PS_PARTY,
+                   SPA_PARTY],
+                  [ECOLO_PARTY, GROEN_PARTY, PS_PARTY, PTB_PARTY, PVDA_PARTY,
+                   SPA_PARTY],
+                  [MR_PARTY, NVA_PARTY, OVLD_PARTY, PS_PARTY, SPA_PARTY],
+                  [MR_PARTY, OVLD_PARTY, PS_PARTY, SPA_PARTY]].freeze
+
+    def electoral_system
+      if @electoral_system.nil?
+        @electoral_system = MultiDistrictProportional.new(
+          overall_election_results_of_2019,
+          election_results_of_2019,
+          seat_distribution,
+          DhondtDenominators,
+          THRESHOLD
+        )
+      end
+      @electoral_system
+    end
+  end
+end

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_brussels.rb

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+# encoding: utf-8
+#
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+module Sapor
+  #
+  # The regional data for Belgium: the Brussels part.
+  #
+  class BelgiumBrussels < Belgium
+    def area_code
+      'BE[BRU]'
+    end
+
+    def overall_election_results_of_2019
+      if @overall_election_results_of_2019.nil?
+        @overall_election_results_of_2019 = \
+          summarize_election_results(election_results_of_2019)
+      end
+      @overall_election_results_of_2019
+    end
+
+    # Voter turnout on 26 May 2019
+    # Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 26 May
+    # 2019, downloaded on 6 August 2019,
+    # https://verkiezingen2019.belgium.be/nl/resultaten-cijfers?el=CK&id=CKC21004
+    def population_size
+      501_459
+    end
+
+    def seat_distribution
+      SEAT_DISTRIBUTION
+    end
+
+    private
+
+    SEAT_DISTRIBUTION = { 'Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad' => 15 }.freeze
+
+    def election_results_of_2019
+      if @election_results_of_2019.nil?
+        @election_results_of_2019 = load_election_results(
+          'belgium-brussels-20190526.psv'
+        )
+      end
+      @election_results_of_2019
+    end
+  end
+end

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_flanders.rb

@@ -0,0 +1,64 @@
+# encoding: utf-8
+#
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+module Sapor
+  #
+  # The regional data for Belgium: the Flemish part.
+  #
+  class BelgiumFlanders < Belgium
+    def area_code
+      'BE[VLG]'
+    end
+
+    def overall_election_results_of_2019
+      if @overall_election_results_of_2019.nil?
+        @overall_election_results_of_2019 = \
+          summarize_election_results(election_results_of_2019)
+      end
+      @overall_election_results_of_2019
+    end
+
+    def population_size
+      # Voter turnout on 26 May 2019
+      # Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 26 May
+      # 2019, downloaded on 6 August 2019,
+      # https://verkiezingen2019.belgium.be/nl/verkiezingen?el=CK
+      1_156_127 + 554_838 + 998_917 + 690_028 + 806_395 	
+    end
+
+    def seat_distribution
+      SEAT_DISTRIBUTION
+    end
+
+    private
+
+    SEAT_DISTRIBUTION = { 'Antwerpen' => 24, 'Limburg' => 12,
+                          'Oost-Vlaanderen' => 20, 'Vlaams-Brabant' => 15,
+                          'West-Vlaanderen' => 16 }.freeze
+
+    def election_results_of_2019
+      if @election_results_of_2019.nil?
+        @election_results_of_2019 = load_election_results(
+          'belgium-flanders-20190526.psv'
+        )
+      end
+      @election_results_of_2019
+    end
+  end
+end

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_wallonia.rb

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+# encoding: utf-8
+#
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+module Sapor
+  #
+  # The regional data for Belgium: the Walloon part.
+  #
+  class BelgiumWallonia < Belgium
+    def area_code
+      'BE[WAL]'
+    end
+
+    def overall_election_results_of_2019
+      if @overall_election_results_of_2019.nil?
+        @overall_election_results_of_2019 = \
+          summarize_election_results(election_results_of_2019)
+      end
+      @overall_election_results_of_2019
+    end
+
+    # Voter turnout on 26 May 2019
+    # Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 26 May
+    # 2019, downloaded on 7 August 2019,
+    # https://verkiezingen2019.belgium.be/nl/verkiezingen?el=CK
+    def population_size
+      730_662 + 619_185 + 170_823 + 304_877 + 247_227
+    end
+
+    def seat_distribution
+      SEAT_DISTRIBUTION
+    end
+
+    private
+
+    SEAT_DISTRIBUTION = { 'Brabant wallon' => 5, 'Hainaut' => 18, 'Liège' => 15,
+                          'Luxembourg' => 4, 'Namur' => 6 }.freeze
+
+    def election_results_of_2019
+      if @election_results_of_2019.nil?
+        @election_results_of_2019 = load_election_results(
+          'belgium-wallonia-20190526.psv'
+        )
+      end
+      @election_results_of_2019
+    end
+  end
+end

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012-2015.psv

@@ -0,0 +1,100 @@
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+# Source: Argos, Archivo historico electoral, retrieved on 23 May 2015.
+# URL: http://www.argos.gva.es/ahe/index.html
+
+# Adapted from catalonia-2012.psv for the 2015 elections using the following
+# transformation rules:
+# c = Junts pel Sí / (Convergència i Unió + Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya – Catalunya Sí)
+#   = 39.2% / (30.7% + 13.7%)
+#   = 0.882882883
+# Junts pel Sí = c × (Convergència i Unió
+#                     + Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya – Catalunya Sí)
+# Unió Democràtica de Catalunya = (1 - c) × (Convergència i Unió
+#                                            + Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya
+#                                              – Catalunya Sí) 
+# Catalunya Sí que es Pot = Iniciativa per Catalunya Verds – Esquerra Unida i
+#                           Alternativa
+
+Barcelona | Junts pel Sí                                           | 979,373
+Barcelona | Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya                   | 418,847
+Barcelona | Partit Popular de Catalunya                            | 361,656
+Barcelona | Catalunya Sí que es Pot                                | 303,625
+Barcelona | Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía                     | 229,746
+Barcelona | Unió Democràtica de Catalunya                          | 129,917
+Barcelona | Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres |  92,794
+Barcelona | Plataforma per Catalunya                               |  51,403
+Barcelona | Solidaritat Catalana per la Independència              |  32,296
+Barcelona | Escons en Blanc                                        |  22,817
+Barcelona | Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal           |  16,479
+Barcelona | Pirates de Catalunya                                   |  15,241
+Barcelona | Unió, Progrés i Democràcia                             |  12,147
+Barcelona | Farts.cat                                              |   9,185
+Barcelona | Via Democràtica                                        |   5,984
+Barcelona | Unificació Comunista d'Espanya                         |   1,998
+
+Girona    | Junts pel Sí                                           | 185,048
+Girona    | Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya                   |  34,688
+Girona    | Partit Popular de Catalunya                            |  33,096
+Girona    | Unió Democràtica de Catalunya                          |  24,547
+Girona    | Catalunya Sí que es Pot                                |  20,397
+Girona    | Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres |  14,499
+Girona    | Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía                     |  12,341
+Girona    | Solidaritat Catalana per la Independència              |   6,011
+Girona    | Plataforma per Catalunya                               |   3,377
+Girona    | Escons en Blanc                                        |   1,946
+Girona    | Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal           |   1,565
+Girona    | Pirates de Catalunya                                   |   1,137
+Girona    | Farts.cat                                              |     718
+Girona    | Unió, Progrés i Democràcia                             |     701
+Girona    | Partit Republicà d'Esquerra – Izquierda Republicana    |     525
+Girona    | Unificació Comunista d'Espanya                         |     201
+
+Lleida    | Junts pel Sí                                           | 110,401
+Lleida    | Partit Popular de Catalunya                            |  23,338
+Lleida    | Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya                   |  21,598
+Lleida    | Unió Democràtica de Catalunya                          |  14,645
+Lleida    | Catalunya Sí que es Pot                                |  11,145
+Lleida    | Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía                     |   6,881
+Lleida    | Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres |   6,302
+Lleida    | Solidaritat Catalana per la Independència              |   3,038
+Lleida    | Escons en Blanc                                        |   1,417
+Lleida    | Plataforma per Catalunya                               |   1,224
+Lleida    | Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal           |     752
+Lleida    | Pirates de Catalunya                                   |     642
+Lleida    | Farts.cat                                              |     476
+Lleida    | Unió, Progrés i Democràcia                             |     392
+Lleida    | Partit Republicà d'Esquerra – Izquierda Republicana    |     301
+Lleida    | Unificació Comunista d'Espanya                         |      90
+
+Tarragona | Junts pel Sí                                           | 148,104
+Tarragona | Partit Popular de Catalunya                            |  53,591
+Tarragona | Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya                   |  48,642
+Tarragona | Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía                     |  26,039
+Tarragona | Catalunya Sí que es Pot                                |  24,538
+Tarragona | Unió Democràtica de Catalunya                          |  19,646
+Tarragona | Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres |  12,840
+Tarragona | Solidaritat Catalana per la Independència              |   5,493
+Tarragona | Plataforma per Catalunya                               |   4,103
+Tarragona | Escons en Blanc                                        |   2,108
+Tarragona | Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal           |   2,065
+Tarragona | Unió, Progrés i Democràcia                             |   1,373
+Tarragona | Farts.cat                                              |   1,323
+Tarragona | Pirates de Catalunya                                   |   1,199
+Tarragona | Socialistes i Republicans                              |     333
+Tarragona | Unificació Comunista d'Espanya                         |     287