riksdagsmonitor 0.8.14 → 0.8.15

package/dist/scripts/analysis-framework/methodology-types.d.ts

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+/**
+ * @module analysis-framework/methodology-types
+ * @description Shared TypeScript types for the three political
+ * analysis methodologies:
+ *
+ * 1. **PoliticalClassification** — 7-dimension event classification
+ * 2. **PoliticalRiskAssessment** — Likelihood × Impact risk scoring
+ * 3. **PoliticalThreatAnalysis** — Political Threat Taxonomy
+ *    (six democratic-function threat categories)
+ *
+ * These types are consumed by:
+ * - `political-classification.ts`
+ * - `political-risk-assessment.ts`
+ * - `political-threat-analysis.ts`
+ * - Extended `DocumentAnalysisResult` in `types.ts`
+ *
+ * @author Hack23 AB
+ * @license Apache-2.0
+ */
+/**
+ * Public Interest Sensitivity — adapted from ISMS Confidentiality levels.
+ * Measures how politically sensitive this event is in the public domain.
+ *
+ * - explosive: Imminent public controversy, coalition-threatening, media firestorm
+ * - sensitive: Politically charged, significant public interest
+ * - standard: Normal legislative activity with moderate public interest
+ * - routine: Administrative/procedural, low public visibility
+ */
+export type PublicInterestSensitivity = 'explosive' | 'sensitive' | 'standard' | 'routine';
+/**
+ * Democratic Integrity Impact — adapted from ISMS Integrity levels.
+ * Measures whether this event affects democratic processes and norms.
+ *
+ * - critical: Threatens constitutional or democratic foundations
+ * - significant: Material impact on democratic participation or oversight
+ * - moderate: Noticeable procedural or governance effects
+ * - minor: Minimal democratic process implications
+ */
+export type DemocraticIntegrityImpact = 'critical' | 'significant' | 'moderate' | 'minor';
+/**
+ * Policy Urgency — adapted from ISMS Availability levels.
+ * Measures how time-sensitive this is for citizens and policymakers.
+ *
+ * - immediate: Requires action within days; crisis or emergency context
+ * - short-term: Action needed within weeks; active parliamentary timeline
+ * - medium-term: Months-long implementation cycle; planned legislation
+ * - long-term: Strategic direction; multi-year or structural change
+ */
+export type PolicyUrgency = 'immediate' | 'short-term' | 'medium-term' | 'long-term';
+/**
+ * Economic Impact — adapted from ISMS Financial Impact levels.
+ * Measures the fiscal and economic consequence of this event.
+ *
+ * - transformative: Macro-level change; affects GDP, national budget, or SEK billions+
+ * - major: Significant sectoral or fiscal consequence; large-scale redistribution
+ * - moderate: Notable but bounded economic effect; affects specific industries or groups
+ * - minimal: Limited fiscal consequence; administrative or procedural cost only
+ */
+export type EconomicImpact = 'transformative' | 'major' | 'moderate' | 'minimal';
+/**
+ * Governance Impact — adapted from ISMS Operational Impact levels.
+ * Measures how this event affects government operations and institutional function.
+ *
+ * - systemic: Cross-government structural change; affects multiple agencies
+ * - significant: Major departmental or policy-area impact
+ * - procedural: Changes to administrative processes or regulations
+ * - routine: Standard governmental operations; no structural change
+ */
+export type GovernanceImpact = 'systemic' | 'significant' | 'procedural' | 'routine';
+/**
+ * Political Capital Impact — adapted from ISMS Reputational Impact levels.
+ * Measures the effect on party or politician standing and electoral viability.
+ *
+ * - career-defining: Permanently alters political trajectory; election-determining
+ * - significant: Meaningful shift in public perception or party support
+ * - notable: Observable but temporary reputational effect
+ * - negligible: Minimal effect on political standing
+ */
+export type PoliticalCapitalImpact = 'career-defining' | 'significant' | 'notable' | 'negligible';
+/**
+ * Legislative Impact — adapted from ISMS Regulatory Impact levels.
+ * Measures whether this event changes laws, regulations, or constitutional order.
+ *
+ * - constitutional: Affects fundamental law (RF) or constitutional principles
+ * - legislative: Creates or amends riksdag-level statute (lag)
+ * - regulatory: Changes government ordinances or agency regulations (förordning)
+ * - administrative: Internal government guidance or procedural decisions
+ */
+export type LegislativeImpact = 'constitutional' | 'legislative' | 'regulatory' | 'administrative';
+/**
+ * Overall classification summary — aggregated across all 7 dimensions.
+ *
+ * - critical: Explosive, democratic-integrity-critical, immediate urgency
+ * - high: Multiple high-severity dimensions
+ * - medium: Mixed severity profile
+ * - low: Routine across most dimensions
+ */
+export type OverallClassification = 'critical' | 'high' | 'medium' | 'low';
+/** Complete 7-dimension political classification for a parliamentary document */
+export interface PoliticalClassification {
+    /** How politically sensitive this event is in the public domain */
+    publicInterestSensitivity: PublicInterestSensitivity;
+    /** Whether this affects democratic processes and norms */
+    democraticIntegrityImpact: DemocraticIntegrityImpact;
+    /** How time-sensitive this is for citizens and policymakers */
+    policyUrgency: PolicyUrgency;
+    /** Fiscal and economic consequence */
+    economicImpact: EconomicImpact;
+    /** Effect on government operations and institutional function */
+    governanceImpact: GovernanceImpact;
+    /** Effect on party or politician standing */
+    politicalCapitalImpact: PoliticalCapitalImpact;
+    /** Whether this changes laws, regulations, or constitutional order */
+    legislativeImpact: LegislativeImpact;
+    /** Aggregated summary classification across all 7 dimensions */
+    overallClassification: OverallClassification;
+    /**
+     * Numeric classification score (0–100).
+     * Weighted composite of all 7 dimensions.
+     */
+    classificationScore: number;
+    /**
+     * Rationale for the classification.
+     * Lists the primary signals that determined each dimension.
+     */
+    rationale: string[];
+}
+/**
+ * Political risk categories for Swedish parliamentary context.
+ * Each maps to a distinct failure mode in governance or democratic function.
+ */
+export type PoliticalRiskCategory = 'coalition-stability' | 'policy-implementation' | 'democratic-process' | 'economic-policy' | 'social-cohesion' | 'international-standing';
+/**
+ * Likelihood levels for political risk assessment.
+ * Adapted from ISMS probability scale to Swedish parliamentary context.
+ *
+ * - almost-certain: Multiple parliamentary signals confirm (80-99%)
+ * - likely: Strong indicators from committee/debate activity (60-79%)
+ * - possible: Mixed signals, uncertain outcome (40-59%)
+ * - unlikely: Weak indicators, strong opposition (20-39%)
+ * - rare: Exceptional circumstances required (5-19%)
+ * - exceptional: Black swan political events (<5%)
+ */
+export type LikelihoodLevel = 'almost-certain' | 'likely' | 'possible' | 'unlikely' | 'rare' | 'exceptional';
+/** Numeric probability midpoint for each likelihood level (0–1) */
+export declare const LIKELIHOOD_PROBABILITY: Readonly<Record<LikelihoodLevel, number>>;
+/**
+ * Impact levels for political risk assessment.
+ * Adapted from ISMS consequence scale to political domain.
+ *
+ * - transformative: Constitutional or regime-level change
+ * - critical: Major policy shift affecting millions of citizens
+ * - high: Significant legislative change
+ * - moderate: Notable policy adjustment
+ * - low: Minor procedural change
+ * - minimal: Routine parliamentary activity
+ */
+export type RiskImpactLevel = 'transformative' | 'critical' | 'high' | 'moderate' | 'low' | 'minimal';
+/** Numeric impact weight for scoring each impact level (0–10) */
+export declare const IMPACT_WEIGHT: Readonly<Record<RiskImpactLevel, number>>;
+/** Complete political risk assessment for a single risk category */
+export interface PoliticalRiskAssessment {
+    /** The risk category being assessed */
+    riskCategory: PoliticalRiskCategory;
+    /** Likelihood that this risk materialises */
+    likelihood: LikelihoodLevel;
+    /** Severity of impact if this risk materialises */
+    impact: RiskImpactLevel;
+    /**
+     * Composite risk score (0–100).
+     * Computed as: (likelihood_probability × impact_weight × 10), clamped to 0–100.
+     */
+    riskScore: number;
+    /**
+     * Priority tier derived from risk score.
+     * - critical: ≥70
+     * - high: ≥50
+     * - medium: ≥30
+     * - low: <30
+     */
+    priority: 'critical' | 'high' | 'medium' | 'low';
+    /**
+     * Evidence from parliamentary data supporting this assessment.
+     * Should reference dok_id values, voting records, or speech excerpts.
+     */
+    evidence: string[];
+    /** Confidence level in this risk assessment */
+    confidence: 'high' | 'medium' | 'low';
+    /** Factors that reduce the probability or impact of this risk */
+    mitigatingFactors: string[];
+    /** Factors that increase the probability or impact of this risk */
+    escalatingFactors: string[];
+}
+/** Aggregated risk profile for a parliamentary document or event */
+export interface PoliticalRiskProfile {
+    /** Individual risk assessments per category */
+    riskAssessments: PoliticalRiskAssessment[];
+    /** Highest priority risk (for article focus) */
+    dominantRisk: PoliticalRiskCategory;
+    /**
+     * Composite risk score (0–100), aggregated across all categories.
+     * Weighted by risk priority.
+     */
+    compositeRiskScore: number;
+    /**
+     * Overall risk level derived from composite score.
+     * - critical: ≥70
+     * - high: ≥50
+     * - medium: ≥30
+     * - low: <30
+     */
+    overallRiskLevel: 'critical' | 'high' | 'medium' | 'low';
+}
+/**
+ * Political Threat Taxonomy — six democratic-function threat categories
+ * for political intelligence analysis.
+ *
+ * | Category               | Democratic Function Threatened |
+ * |------------------------|-------------------------------|
+ * | Polarization           | Narrative Integrity           |
+ * | Regulatory Overreach   | Legislative Integrity         |
+ * | Institutional Erosion  | Accountability                |
+ * | Democratic Deficit     | Transparency                  |
+ * | Economic Disruption    | Democratic Process            |
+ * | Societal Impact        | Power Balance                 |
+ */
+export type ThreatCategory = 'polarization' | 'regulatory-overreach' | 'institutional-erosion' | 'democratic-deficit' | 'economic-disruption' | 'societal-impact';
+/**
+ * Political threat agents — identifies the actor whose actions create or amplify the threat.
+ */
+export type ThreatAgent = 'ruling-coalition' | 'opposition-parties' | 'external-actors' | 'special-interests' | 'media' | 'institutional';
+/**
+ * Severity levels for political threat analysis.
+ *
+ * - critical: Immediate and fundamental threat to democratic function
+ * - high: Serious and near-term threat requiring political response
+ * - medium: Moderate threat with observable indicators
+ * - low: Latent or low-probability threat, early warning
+ */
+export type ThreatSeverity = 'critical' | 'high' | 'medium' | 'low';
+/** Political threat analysis for a single threat category */
+export interface PoliticalThreatAnalysis {
+    /** Which threat category this threat belongs to */
+    threatCategory: ThreatCategory;
+    /** Actors whose actions manifest or amplify this threat */
+    threatAgents: ThreatAgent[];
+    /** Severity of this threat to democratic governance */
+    severity: ThreatSeverity;
+    /**
+     * Observable indicators from parliamentary data (MCP sources).
+     * Should reference specific speeches, votes, documents, or patterns.
+     */
+    indicators: string[];
+    /**
+     * Democratic safeguards and countermeasures available.
+     * Institutional or procedural responses that mitigate this threat.
+     */
+    countermeasures: string[];
+    /**
+     * Rationale linking the observable signals to the threat category.
+     * Should be evidence-based, not generic.
+     */
+    rationale: string;
+}
+/** Aggregated political threat profile for a parliamentary document or event */
+export interface PoliticalThreatProfile {
+    /** Individual political threat analyses detected */
+    threatAnalyses: PoliticalThreatAnalysis[];
+    /**
+     * Primary threat category, selected from `threatAnalyses`.
+     *
+     * Determined by the highest `severity` among detected threats. When multiple
+     * threats share the same highest severity, a deterministic threat category
+     * ordering is used as a tie-breaker:
+     * polarization → regulatory-overreach → institutional-erosion →
+     * democratic-deficit → economic-disruption → societal-impact.
+     *
+     * Evidence density (for example, number of `indicators`) is not used for
+     * selection.
+     *
+     * `null` when no significant threats are detected (valid JSON output).
+     */
+    primaryThreat: ThreatCategory | null;
+    /**
+     * Overall threat level across all threat categories.
+     * Derived from the highest-severity individual threat.
+     */
+    overallThreatLevel: ThreatSeverity | 'none';
+    /**
+     * Active threat agents across all detected threats (deduplicated).
+     */
+    activeThreatAgents: ThreatAgent[];
+}
+/**
+ * Combined output of all three political analysis methodologies for a
+ * single parliamentary document.
+ *
+ * This is attached to `DocumentAnalysisResult` as `methodologyAnalysis`
+ * (see `types.ts`).
+ */
+export interface MethodologyAnalysis {
+    /** 7-dimension political classification */
+    classification: PoliticalClassification;
+    /** Likelihood × Impact risk profile across 6 risk categories */
+    riskProfile: PoliticalRiskProfile;
+    /** Political threat analysis across detected threat categories */
+    threatProfile: PoliticalThreatProfile;
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=methodology-types.d.ts.map

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package/dist/scripts/analysis-framework/methodology-types.js

@@ -0,0 +1,38 @@
+/**
+ * @module analysis-framework/methodology-types
+ * @description Shared TypeScript types for the three political
+ * analysis methodologies:
+ *
+ * 1. **PoliticalClassification** — 7-dimension event classification
+ * 2. **PoliticalRiskAssessment** — Likelihood × Impact risk scoring
+ * 3. **PoliticalThreatAnalysis** — Political Threat Taxonomy
+ *    (six democratic-function threat categories)
+ *
+ * These types are consumed by:
+ * - `political-classification.ts`
+ * - `political-risk-assessment.ts`
+ * - `political-threat-analysis.ts`
+ * - Extended `DocumentAnalysisResult` in `types.ts`
+ *
+ * @author Hack23 AB
+ * @license Apache-2.0
+ */
+/** Numeric probability midpoint for each likelihood level (0–1) */
+export const LIKELIHOOD_PROBABILITY = {
+    'almost-certain': 0.90,
+    'likely': 0.70,
+    'possible': 0.50,
+    'unlikely': 0.30,
+    'rare': 0.12,
+    'exceptional': 0.02,
+};
+/** Numeric impact weight for scoring each impact level (0–10) */
+export const IMPACT_WEIGHT = {
+    transformative: 10,
+    critical: 8,
+    high: 6,
+    moderate: 4,
+    low: 2,
+    minimal: 1,
+};
+//# sourceMappingURL=methodology-types.js.map

package/dist/scripts/analysis-framework/methodology-types.js.map

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package/dist/scripts/analysis-framework/political-classification.d.ts

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+/**
+ * @module analysis-framework/political-classification
+ * @description Political classification engine implementing 7-dimension scoring
+ * for parliamentary documents.
+ *
+ * Inspired by ISMS CLASSIFICATION.md (Impact Analysis Matrix — Confidentiality,
+ * Integrity, Availability levels), adapted for political intelligence analysis.
+ *
+ * ## Dimensions
+ * | ISMS Dimension          | Political Dimension              |
+ * |-------------------------|----------------------------------|
+ * | Confidentiality         | Public Interest Sensitivity      |
+ * | Integrity               | Democratic Integrity Impact      |
+ * | Availability            | Policy Urgency                   |
+ * | Financial Impact        | Economic Impact                  |
+ * | Operational Impact      | Governance Impact                |
+ * | Reputational Impact     | Political Capital Impact         |
+ * | Regulatory Impact       | Legislative Impact               |
+ *
+ * The engine is **pure** — deterministic for the same input, no side effects.
+ *
+ * @author Hack23 AB
+ * @license Apache-2.0
+ */
+import type { RawDocument, CIAContext } from '../data-transformers/types.js';
+import type { PoliticalClassification } from './methodology-types.js';
+/**
+ * Classify a parliamentary document across 7 political dimensions.
+ *
+ * Applies the ISMS-inspired Political Classification Framework to produce
+ * a multi-dimensional classification with an aggregated score and rationale.
+ *
+ * The function is **pure** — deterministic for the same input, no side effects.
+ *
+ * @param doc  - The parliamentary document to classify
+ * @param cia  - Optional CIA context (coalition stability influences several dimensions)
+ * @returns    Complete 7-dimension political classification
+ *
+ * @example
+ * ```typescript
+ * const classification = classifyPoliticalDocument(doc, ciaContext);
+ * console.log(classification.overallClassification); // 'critical' | 'high' | 'medium' | 'low'
+ * console.log(classification.classificationScore);   // 0-100
+ * ```
+ */
+export declare function classifyPoliticalDocument(doc: RawDocument, cia?: CIAContext): PoliticalClassification;
+/**
+ * Classify a batch of parliamentary documents.
+ *
+ * Applies `classifyPoliticalDocument` to each document independently.
+ * Useful for batch processing in the news generation pipeline.
+ *
+ * @param docs - Array of documents to classify
+ * @param cia  - Optional shared CIA context for all documents
+ * @returns    Array of classifications, one per input document
+ */
+export declare function classifyPoliticalDocuments(docs: RawDocument[], cia?: CIAContext): PoliticalClassification[];
+//# sourceMappingURL=political-classification.d.ts.map

package/dist/scripts/analysis-framework/political-classification.d.ts.map

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