alphacouncil-agent 0.9.4 → 1.0.1

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (481) hide show
  1. package/.claude-plugin/marketplace.json +3 -3
  2. package/.claude-plugin/plugin.json +2 -2
  3. package/.codex-plugin/plugin.json +4 -4
  4. package/AGENTS.md +25 -11
  5. package/CHANGELOG.md +146 -0
  6. package/CLAUDE.md +24 -7
  7. package/README.ja.md +15 -10
  8. package/README.md +21 -13
  9. package/README.zh-CN.md +17 -12
  10. package/data/authored/core-seats.mjs +808 -0
  11. package/data/authored/growth-seats.mjs +581 -0
  12. package/data/authored/index.mjs +114 -0
  13. package/data/authored/quant-seats.mjs +564 -0
  14. package/data/authored/value-seats.mjs +663 -0
  15. package/data/build-profile.v1.json +2 -1
  16. package/data/council-evaluation-protocol.v1.json +7 -4
  17. package/data/master-selector-method-locales.v1.mjs +10 -0
  18. package/data/persona-v3-ai-assisted-solo-profile.v1.json +2 -2
  19. package/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs +60 -3
  20. package/docs/INSTALL.md +6 -10
  21. package/docs/personas.md +2 -1
  22. package/docs/plans/v1.0-roadmap.md +487 -0
  23. package/docs/plans/v1.1-basket-native-seats.md +267 -0
  24. package/docs/releases/v0.9.5.md +96 -0
  25. package/docs/releases/v1.0.0.md +164 -0
  26. package/docs/report-contract.md +30 -6
  27. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/a.json +13 -13
  28. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/b.json +2 -2
  29. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/c.json +2 -2
  30. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/d13.json +126 -126
  31. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/d26.json +274 -254
  32. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/e-d13.json +129 -129
  33. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/e-d26.json +277 -257
  34. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/h_ai_reference.json +278 -258
  35. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/simulation-input.json +7278 -556
  36. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/simulation-manifest.json +22 -22
  37. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_ackman/reviews/{change_value_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  38. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_ackman/reviews/{power_map.ai-review.json → owner_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  39. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_aschenbrenner/reviews/{compute_power_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  40. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_aschenbrenner/reviews/{timeline_reverse_valuation.ai-review.json → price_implied_cash_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  41. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_asness/reviews/{crowding_cost_stress.ai-review.json → nominal_earnings_yield_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  42. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_asness/reviews/{factor_decomposer.ai-review.json → real_earnings_yield_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  43. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_bogle/reviews/expected_return_over_long_bond.ai-review.json +277 -0
  44. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_bogle/reviews/fundamental_expected_return.ai-review.json +277 -0
  45. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_buffett/reviews/{incremental_returns.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  46. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_buffett/reviews/{owner_earnings_rebuilder.ai-review.json → owner_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  47. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_burry/reviews/{mispricing_carry.ai-review.json → net_current_asset_surplus_per_share.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  48. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_burry/reviews/{capital_structure_reader.ai-review.json → net_current_asset_value_per_share.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  49. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_cathie_wood/reviews/{cost_adoption_curve.ai-review.json → current_cash_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  50. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_cathie_wood/reviews/{capture_valuation_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  51. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_dalio/reviews/{regime_classifier.ai-review.json → policy_real_rate.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  52. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/{master_munger/reviews/incentive_map.ai-review.json → master_dalio/reviews/real_curve_slope.ai-review.json} +51 -51
  53. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_damodaran/reviews/{reverse_valuation.ai-review.json → implied_equity_risk_premium.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  54. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_damodaran/reviews/{story_dcf.ai-review.json → premium_versus_long_run_average.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  55. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_druckenmiller/reviews/{liquidity_revision_map.ai-review.json → liquidity_curve_impulse.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  56. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_druckenmiller/reviews/{inflection_payoff.ai-review.json → policy_real_rate.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  57. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_duan_yongping/reviews/{user_value_evidence.ai-review.json → five_year_opportunity_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  58. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_duan_yongping/reviews/{opportunity_cost.ai-review.json → margin_retention.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  59. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_fisher/reviews/{research_productivity.ai-review.json → margin_retention.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  60. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_fisher/reviews/{scuttlebutt_graph.ai-review.json → reinvestment_spread.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  61. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/{master_dalio/reviews/debt_driver_stress.ai-review.json → master_forensic_short/reviews/cash_conversion_gap.ai-review.json} +51 -51
  62. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_forensic_short/reviews/{accounting_rebuilder.ai-review.json → cash_cover_of_leverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  63. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_graham/reviews/{asset_floor.ai-review.json → defensive_hurdle_base.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  64. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_graham/reviews/{normalized_earnings.ai-review.json → half_normalised_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  65. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_jhunjhunwala/reviews/{penetration_liquidity.ai-review.json → cash_quality_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  66. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_jhunjhunwala/reviews/{promoter_governance.ai-review.json → real_structural_growth.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  67. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_klarman/reviews/{recovery_waterfall.ai-review.json → downside_asset_coverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  68. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_klarman/reviews/{cash_catalyst_compare.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  69. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_li_lu/reviews/{promise_integrity_ledger.ai-review.json → cash_backed_decade_return.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  70. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_li_lu/reviews/{ten_year_return_bridge.ai-review.json → decade_return_over_long_bond.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  71. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_lynch/reviews/{story_numbers_check.ai-review.json → growth_justified_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  72. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_lynch/reviews/{category_classifier.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  73. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_marks/reviews/{cycle_temperature.ai-review.json → credit_cycle_position.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  74. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_marks/reviews/{implied_expectations.ai-review.json → equity_over_corporate_debt.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  75. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_munger/reviews/{failure_path_graph.ai-review.json → debt_service_cushion.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  76. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_munger/reviews/reported_earnings_cash_gap.ai-review.json +277 -0
  77. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_natenberg/reviews/{surface_builder.ai-review.json → normalised_skew.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  78. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_natenberg/reviews/{greeks_payoff.ai-review.json → round_trip_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  79. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_pabrai/reviews/{downside_floor.ai-review.json → downside_floor_coverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  80. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_pabrai/reviews/{discrete_payoff.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  81. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_simons/reviews/{leakage_audit.ai-review.json → absolute_session_move.ai-review.json} +42 -42
  82. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_simons/reviews/{oos_cost_test.ai-review.json → session_move_over_implied.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  83. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_sinclair/reviews/{realized_vol_forecast.ai-review.json → round_trip_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  84. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_sinclair/reviews/{net_edge_sizer.ai-review.json → volatility_per_unit_of_width.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  85. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_soros/reviews/{reflexivity_graph.ai-review.json → credit_cycle_position.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  86. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_soros/reviews/{reversal_monitor.ai-review.json → financing_burden.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  87. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_taleb/reviews/{tail_friction.ai-review.json → debt_service_cushion.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  88. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_taleb/reviews/{payoff_ruin.ai-review.json → normalised_skew.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  89. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_thorp/reviews/{fractional_kelly.ai-review.json → edge_per_unit_of_volatility.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  90. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_thorp/reviews/{edge_recalculator.ai-review.json → net_edge.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  91. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/review-manifest.json +288 -270
  92. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-adjudications/index.json +2 -2
  93. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-extractions/index.json +2 -2
  94. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-skeptic-reviews/index.json +2 -2
  95. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-source-prereviews/index.json +6 -2
  96. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/decision_policy.json +122 -11
  97. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  98. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/manifest.json +13 -6
  99. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  100. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  101. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/tools.json +56 -30
  102. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/decision_policy.json +101 -10
  103. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  104. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/manifest.json +12 -4
  105. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  106. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  107. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/tools.json +56 -30
  108. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/decision_policy.json +89 -10
  109. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  110. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/manifest.json +11 -4
  111. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  112. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  113. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/tools.json +56 -30
  114. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/counterfactuals.jsonl +0 -0
  115. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/decision_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  116. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/decision_policy.json +170 -0
  117. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/doctrine.jsonl +14 -0
  118. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/calibration_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  119. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/experiments.json +5 -0
  120. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/golden_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  121. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/pairwise_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  122. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/failures.jsonl +0 -0
  123. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/manifest.json +141 -0
  124. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/memory_policy.json +5 -0
  125. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/provisional-index.json +41 -0
  126. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/research_policy.json +11 -0
  127. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/sources.jsonl +1 -0
  128. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/tools.json +120 -0
  129. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/voice.en.md +7 -0
  130. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/voice.zh.md +7 -0
  131. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/decision_policy.json +102 -11
  132. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  133. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/manifest.json +10 -4
  134. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  135. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  136. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/tools.json +55 -29
  137. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/decision_policy.json +102 -12
  138. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  139. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/manifest.json +12 -6
  140. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  141. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  142. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/tools.json +56 -30
  143. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/decision_policy.json +74 -12
  144. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  145. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/manifest.json +12 -6
  146. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  147. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  148. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/tools.json +56 -30
  149. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/decision_policy.json +123 -16
  150. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  151. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/manifest.json +10 -4
  152. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  153. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  154. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/tools.json +56 -30
  155. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/decision_policy.json +58 -10
  156. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  157. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/manifest.json +9 -4
  158. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  159. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  160. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/tools.json +54 -28
  161. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/decision_policy.json +89 -10
  162. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  163. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/manifest.json +11 -4
  164. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  165. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  166. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/tools.json +55 -29
  167. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/decision_policy.json +138 -13
  168. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  169. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/manifest.json +17 -7
  170. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  171. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  172. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/tools.json +82 -30
  173. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/decision_policy.json +102 -11
  174. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  175. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/manifest.json +13 -6
  176. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  177. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  178. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/tools.json +58 -32
  179. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/decision_policy.json +93 -14
  180. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  181. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/manifest.json +6 -4
  182. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  183. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  184. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/tools.json +53 -27
  185. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/decision_policy.json +103 -12
  186. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  187. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/manifest.json +12 -4
  188. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  189. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  190. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/tools.json +67 -28
  191. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/decision_policy.json +77 -12
  192. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  193. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/manifest.json +11 -6
  194. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  195. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/sources.jsonl +1 -1
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  197. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/decision_policy.json +105 -14
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@@ -52,14 +114,14 @@
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@@ -16,6 +16,8 @@
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+ "macro.growth_regime",
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@@ -24,7 +26,9 @@
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27
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+ "macro.short_bond_yield",
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32
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@@ -45,8 +49,8 @@
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46
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- "master_dalio.regime_classifier",
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- "master_dalio.debt_driver_stress"
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+ "master_dalio.policy_real_rate",
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+ "master_dalio.real_curve_slope"
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@@ -54,7 +58,9 @@
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@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@
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@@ -26,8 +26,8 @@
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- {"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:3d57c071dc89730604ae5edb56d0d68be3113fd1678fc93c94cc12c4117f2c29","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_dalio"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:89c1ba22ac2965e32","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_dalio","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
1
+ {"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:fc00d5be37f5e057c7f7c1dff46deebe99cbb8a892c87995d950eb7b64231c64","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_dalio"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:89c1ba22ac2965e32","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_dalio","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
1
1
  [
2
2
  {
3
3
  "assurance_class": "provisional_derived_proxy",
4
- "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:89b860b69b24b05f1aa7f52fd59ac650b71b92e5ba3c239bc02514a1d70f71a0",
5
- "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:b8b6f23a565660f04631006b564a85d23c8b76ad48cecaae235c3cca0d074daa",
6
- "derivation_spec_id": "master_dalio.regime_classifier.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
4
+ "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:1a3f42c96f53396b66e285c547f8ceaa7939e84bc94172295b4e88521d9d001c",
5
+ "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:97c673d4240a4231fff621fb9fe8bf824d7c8d3c36bea2eb2d4a2a9f451dfe12",
6
+ "derivation_spec_id": "master_dalio.policy_real_rate.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
7
7
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
8
- "id": "master_dalio.regime_classifier",
8
+ "id": "master_dalio.policy_real_rate",
9
9
  "input_contracts": [
10
10
  {
11
11
  "on_missing": "fail",
@@ -14,44 +14,57 @@
14
14
  "basis": "instant",
15
15
  "window": null
16
16
  },
17
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
18
- "value_kind": "scalar"
17
+ "unit": "decimal",
18
+ "value_kind": "ratio"
19
+ },
20
+ {
21
+ "on_missing": "fail",
22
+ "period": {
23
+ "alignment": "as_of",
24
+ "basis": "instant",
25
+ "window": null
26
+ },
27
+ "unit": "decimal",
28
+ "value_kind": "ratio"
19
29
  }
20
30
  ],
21
- "input_schema_hash": "sha256:b1a35868965749e95efe34f6f95b84d632729bed866e17e0fe699bd8757824ad",
31
+ "input_schema_hash": "sha256:6a71fba0ba95a687fe1c621cf6468827d1dbe0de0ce014d2c0ad016b0eb8d1cb",
22
32
  "inputs": [
23
33
  {
24
- "fact_id": "macro.growth_regime"
34
+ "fact_id": "macro.short_bond_yield"
35
+ },
36
+ {
37
+ "fact_id": "macro.breakeven_inflation"
25
38
  }
26
39
  ],
27
40
  "intended_use": "local_test_only",
28
- "kind": "transform",
41
+ "kind": "recomputation",
29
42
  "on_missing": "fail",
30
- "operation": "identity",
31
- "output_id": "macro.growth_regime",
43
+ "operation": "subtract",
44
+ "output_id": "macro.policy_real_rate.master_dalio",
32
45
  "output_period": {
33
46
  "alignment": "as_of",
34
47
  "basis": "instant",
35
48
  "window": null
36
49
  },
37
- "output_schema_hash": "sha256:a362f447b36b2ee7135461fa632263a44a39adcb3dcfd4a34f96fb1f547f02a5",
50
+ "output_schema_hash": "sha256:af5335f4593a63b35116eaca3b4ecadca909ed813e9e8859bbfd63cd0356c0e4",
38
51
  "production_eligible": false,
39
52
  "review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
40
53
  "schema_version": 1,
41
54
  "source_ids": [
42
55
  "proxy:89c1ba22ac2965e32"
43
56
  ],
44
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
45
- "value_kind": "scalar",
46
- "version": "0.1.0"
57
+ "unit": "decimal",
58
+ "value_kind": "ratio",
59
+ "version": "0.2.0"
47
60
  },
48
61
  {
49
62
  "assurance_class": "provisional_derived_proxy",
50
- "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:9562819a0d26ff184b7888914f9efd3355f853a3af752c3a2f9943c3e522d0a4",
51
- "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:c08ce7f44b55e8191541b5b4ac350c9d2e37405f61a7ed0f4e4b056585df91ce",
52
- "derivation_spec_id": "master_dalio.debt_driver_stress.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
63
+ "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:3211513ff12fe1398acddc3927a66dd661b442cf766c5798193b605b865cadd8",
64
+ "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:0464fe91c5639d9ed65d17aad4e05959c8fc1052d25c24f6722054a9663ced99",
65
+ "derivation_spec_id": "master_dalio.real_curve_slope.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
53
66
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
54
- "id": "master_dalio.debt_driver_stress",
67
+ "id": "master_dalio.real_curve_slope",
55
68
  "input_contracts": [
56
69
  {
57
70
  "on_missing": "fail",
@@ -60,35 +73,48 @@
60
73
  "basis": "instant",
61
74
  "window": null
62
75
  },
63
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
64
- "value_kind": "scalar"
76
+ "unit": "decimal",
77
+ "value_kind": "ratio"
78
+ },
79
+ {
80
+ "on_missing": "fail",
81
+ "period": {
82
+ "alignment": "as_of",
83
+ "basis": "instant",
84
+ "window": null
85
+ },
86
+ "unit": "decimal",
87
+ "value_kind": "ratio"
65
88
  }
66
89
  ],
67
- "input_schema_hash": "sha256:f6314d9460fc29333f05c0b84f233d1aa747052e63359f58397d98b16cb36b98",
90
+ "input_schema_hash": "sha256:50663c4617161656a613bc4590f1bce748db9446591fd986bc3fe3472a8d3164",
68
91
  "inputs": [
69
92
  {
70
- "fact_id": "macro.growth_regime"
93
+ "fact_id": "macro.real_rate"
94
+ },
95
+ {
96
+ "output_id": "macro.policy_real_rate.master_dalio"
71
97
  }
72
98
  ],
73
99
  "intended_use": "local_test_only",
74
- "kind": "transform",
100
+ "kind": "recomputation",
75
101
  "on_missing": "fail",
76
- "operation": "identity",
77
- "output_id": "credit.debt_service",
102
+ "operation": "subtract",
103
+ "output_id": "macro.real_curve_slope.master_dalio",
78
104
  "output_period": {
79
105
  "alignment": "as_of",
80
106
  "basis": "instant",
81
107
  "window": null
82
108
  },
83
- "output_schema_hash": "sha256:64023fe51634160d0e494c807e520b13846450b93aa9f8b5a62c269faf4d815d",
109
+ "output_schema_hash": "sha256:c95ce92759d4ac065f575a18f0d9ee5f0bce5f01c33a2d630f6e11a7a5afb246",
84
110
  "production_eligible": false,
85
111
  "review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
86
112
  "schema_version": 1,
87
113
  "source_ids": [
88
114
  "proxy:89c1ba22ac2965e32"
89
115
  ],
90
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
91
- "value_kind": "scalar",
92
- "version": "0.1.0"
116
+ "unit": "decimal",
117
+ "value_kind": "ratio",
118
+ "version": "0.2.0"
93
119
  }
94
120
  ]
@@ -2,7 +2,28 @@
2
2
  "abstention_policy": "fail_closed",
3
3
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
4
4
  "eligibility": {
5
- "all": []
5
+ "all": [
6
+ {
7
+ "condition": {
8
+ "op": "exists",
9
+ "value": {
10
+ "fact_id": "index.aggregate_pe_forward"
11
+ }
12
+ },
13
+ "condition_id": "master_damodaran.forward_earnings_available",
14
+ "on_false": {
15
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
16
+ "native_state": "provisional_unvalued"
17
+ },
18
+ "on_uncomputable": {
19
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
20
+ "native_state": "provisional_unvalued"
21
+ },
22
+ "source_ids": [
23
+ "proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"
24
+ ]
25
+ }
26
+ ]
6
27
  },
7
28
  "fact_gate": {
8
29
  "on_missing_critical": {
@@ -10,21 +31,48 @@
10
31
  "native_state": "provisional_unvalued"
11
32
  }
12
33
  },
13
- "hard_vetoes": [],
34
+ "hard_vetoes": [
35
+ {
36
+ "condition": {
37
+ "left": {
38
+ "output_id": "index.implied_equity_risk_premium.master_damodaran"
39
+ },
40
+ "op": "lte",
41
+ "right": {
42
+ "literal": 0
43
+ }
44
+ },
45
+ "on_trigger": {
46
+ "common_stance": "opposed",
47
+ "native_state": "provisional_overvalued"
48
+ },
49
+ "on_uncomputable": {
50
+ "action": "abstain",
51
+ "decision": {
52
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
53
+ "native_state": "provisional_unvalued"
54
+ }
55
+ },
56
+ "source_ids": [
57
+ "proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"
58
+ ],
59
+ "veto_id": "master_damodaran.no_premium_over_riskfree"
60
+ }
61
+ ],
14
62
  "native_decision_schema": "valuation_distribution_v1",
15
63
  "native_output_fields": [
16
64
  {
17
65
  "field": "metric_1",
18
66
  "on_missing": "fail",
19
67
  "value": {
20
- "output_id": "valuation.cash_flow"
68
+ "output_id": "index.implied_equity_risk_premium.master_damodaran"
21
69
  }
22
70
  },
23
71
  {
24
72
  "field": "metric_2",
25
73
  "on_missing": "fail",
26
74
  "value": {
27
- "output_id": "valuation.implied_story"
75
+ "output_id": "index.implied_premium_gap.master_damodaran"
28
76
  }
29
77
  }
30
78
  ],
@@ -52,7 +100,7 @@
52
100
  },
53
101
  {
54
102
  "decision": {
55
- "common_stance": "cautious",
103
+ "common_stance": "constructive",
56
104
  "native_state": "provisional_undervalued"
57
105
  },
58
106
  "min_ratio": 1
@@ -69,7 +117,7 @@
69
117
  {
70
118
  "condition": {
71
119
  "left": {
72
- "output_id": "valuation.cash_flow"
120
+ "output_id": "index.implied_premium_gap.master_damodaran"
73
121
  },
74
122
  "op": "gt",
75
123
  "right": {
@@ -78,7 +126,7 @@
78
126
  },
79
127
  "coverage_weight": 1,
80
128
  "points": 1,
81
- "rule_id": "proxy_score_1",
129
+ "rule_id": "damodaran_premium_above_long_run_average",
82
130
  "source_ids": [
83
131
  "proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"
84
132
  ]
@@ -86,16 +134,16 @@
86
134
  {
87
135
  "condition": {
88
136
  "left": {
89
- "output_id": "valuation.implied_story"
137
+ "fact_id": "index.aggregate_earnings_yield"
90
138
  },
91
139
  "op": "gt",
92
140
  "right": {
93
- "literal": 0
141
+ "fact_id": "macro.aaa_corporate_yield"
94
142
  }
95
143
  },
96
144
  "coverage_weight": 1,
97
145
  "points": 1,
98
- "rule_id": "proxy_score_2",
146
+ "rule_id": "damodaran_equity_out_yields_corporate_debt",
99
147
  "source_ids": [
100
148
  "proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"
101
149
  ]
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
1
1
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Translate a testable business story into growth, margins, reinvestment, risk and cash flow, then expose the value distribution and price-implied story.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_1","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
2
- {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Compute a versioned valuation distribution from explicit operating assumptions.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_2","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
3
- {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Solve for the growth, margin and reinvestment story embedded in price.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_3","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
2
+ {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"What the market is currently paying for equity risk over the risk-free rate. the named source's argument is that this number, not a historical average, is what a valuation should discount at.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_2","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
3
+ {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"The current implied premium against its own long-run average of about 4.2%, which is how he judges whether the market as a whole is cheap or rich.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_3","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
4
4
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Decline when a load-bearing narrative claim has no mapped valuation variable.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_4","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
5
5
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject a growth scenario whose required reinvestment is omitted or internally inconsistent.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_5","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
6
6
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject a terminal state incompatible with mature growth, margin and risk assumptions.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_6","source_ids":["proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0"]}
@@ -16,6 +16,9 @@
16
16
  ],
17
17
  "native_decision_schema": "valuation_distribution_v1",
18
18
  "optional_fact_types": [
19
+ "index.aggregate_pe_forward",
20
+ "macro.aaa_corporate_yield",
21
+ "valuation.revenue_growth",
19
22
  "valuation.target_margin",
20
23
  "valuation.reinvestment_rate",
21
24
  "valuation.cost_of_capital",
@@ -24,7 +27,8 @@
24
27
  "valuation.implied_story"
25
28
  ],
26
29
  "required_fact_types": [
27
- "valuation.revenue_growth"
30
+ "index.aggregate_earnings_yield",
31
+ "macro.long_bond_yield"
28
32
  ]
29
33
  },
30
34
  "components": {
@@ -45,8 +49,8 @@
45
49
  "computation": {
46
50
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
47
51
  "pipeline": [
48
- "master_damodaran.story_dcf",
49
- "master_damodaran.reverse_valuation"
52
+ "master_damodaran.implied_equity_risk_premium",
53
+ "master_damodaran.premium_versus_long_run_average"
50
54
  ]
51
55
  },
52
56
  "decision": {
@@ -54,7 +58,8 @@
54
58
  "common_projection": "common_stance_v1",
55
59
  "confidence_calibrator": null,
56
60
  "eligibility": [
57
- "valuation.revenue_growth"
61
+ "index.aggregate_earnings_yield",
62
+ "macro.long_bond_yield"
58
63
  ],
59
64
  "hard_vetoes": [
60
65
  "master_damodaran.story_number_gap",
@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@
16
16
  ],
17
17
  "experiment_pass_count": 0,
18
18
  "formula_approval_binding_count": 0,
19
- "formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:7265b10a67bd0437af02572176793ef0b8529e48437edc5a2e0b1b1b9fbe73d0",
19
+ "formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:9eb750e5aec2e4b6ef7a7033aba119927d5a6540220d608cbe6fd90eaf255b05",
20
20
  "method_model_eligible": false,
21
21
  "native_states": [
22
22
  "provisional_unvalued",
@@ -26,8 +26,8 @@
26
26
  ],
27
27
  "persona_id": "master_damodaran",
28
28
  "planned_tool_ids": [
29
- "master_damodaran.story_dcf",
30
- "master_damodaran.reverse_valuation"
29
+ "master_damodaran.implied_equity_risk_premium",
30
+ "master_damodaran.premium_versus_long_run_average"
31
31
  ],
32
32
  "production_eligible": false,
33
33
  "review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
@@ -1 +1 @@
1
- {"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:7f0424103f133db3e2e9f34614f2d59204ddca48d531947a9de8944559a4f970","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_damodaran"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_damodaran","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
1
+ {"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:8e68b654954f3bf4ef1d28ff060d3246671dfa0f495fe26ae24dfc1f87ff31e8","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_damodaran"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:bcabfc2d756d028b0","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_damodaran","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}