alphacouncil-agent 0.9.4 → 1.0.1

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (481) hide show
  1. package/.claude-plugin/marketplace.json +3 -3
  2. package/.claude-plugin/plugin.json +2 -2
  3. package/.codex-plugin/plugin.json +4 -4
  4. package/AGENTS.md +25 -11
  5. package/CHANGELOG.md +146 -0
  6. package/CLAUDE.md +24 -7
  7. package/README.ja.md +15 -10
  8. package/README.md +21 -13
  9. package/README.zh-CN.md +17 -12
  10. package/data/authored/core-seats.mjs +808 -0
  11. package/data/authored/growth-seats.mjs +581 -0
  12. package/data/authored/index.mjs +114 -0
  13. package/data/authored/quant-seats.mjs +564 -0
  14. package/data/authored/value-seats.mjs +663 -0
  15. package/data/build-profile.v1.json +2 -1
  16. package/data/council-evaluation-protocol.v1.json +7 -4
  17. package/data/master-selector-method-locales.v1.mjs +10 -0
  18. package/data/persona-v3-ai-assisted-solo-profile.v1.json +2 -2
  19. package/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs +60 -3
  20. package/docs/INSTALL.md +6 -10
  21. package/docs/personas.md +2 -1
  22. package/docs/plans/v1.0-roadmap.md +487 -0
  23. package/docs/plans/v1.1-basket-native-seats.md +267 -0
  24. package/docs/releases/v0.9.5.md +96 -0
  25. package/docs/releases/v1.0.0.md +164 -0
  26. package/docs/report-contract.md +30 -6
  27. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/a.json +13 -13
  28. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/b.json +2 -2
  29. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/c.json +2 -2
  30. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/d13.json +126 -126
  31. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/d26.json +274 -254
  32. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/e-d13.json +129 -129
  33. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/e-d26.json +277 -257
  34. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/runs/h_ai_reference.json +278 -258
  35. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/simulation-input.json +7278 -556
  36. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/experiments/simulation-manifest.json +22 -22
  37. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_ackman/reviews/{change_value_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  38. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_ackman/reviews/{power_map.ai-review.json → owner_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  39. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_aschenbrenner/reviews/{compute_power_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  40. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_aschenbrenner/reviews/{timeline_reverse_valuation.ai-review.json → price_implied_cash_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  41. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_asness/reviews/{crowding_cost_stress.ai-review.json → nominal_earnings_yield_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  42. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_asness/reviews/{factor_decomposer.ai-review.json → real_earnings_yield_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  43. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_bogle/reviews/expected_return_over_long_bond.ai-review.json +277 -0
  44. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_bogle/reviews/fundamental_expected_return.ai-review.json +277 -0
  45. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_buffett/reviews/{incremental_returns.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  46. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_buffett/reviews/{owner_earnings_rebuilder.ai-review.json → owner_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  47. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_burry/reviews/{mispricing_carry.ai-review.json → net_current_asset_surplus_per_share.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  48. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_burry/reviews/{capital_structure_reader.ai-review.json → net_current_asset_value_per_share.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  49. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_cathie_wood/reviews/{cost_adoption_curve.ai-review.json → current_cash_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  50. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_cathie_wood/reviews/{capture_valuation_bridge.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  51. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_dalio/reviews/{regime_classifier.ai-review.json → policy_real_rate.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  52. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/{master_munger/reviews/incentive_map.ai-review.json → master_dalio/reviews/real_curve_slope.ai-review.json} +51 -51
  53. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_damodaran/reviews/{reverse_valuation.ai-review.json → implied_equity_risk_premium.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  54. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_damodaran/reviews/{story_dcf.ai-review.json → premium_versus_long_run_average.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  55. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_druckenmiller/reviews/{liquidity_revision_map.ai-review.json → liquidity_curve_impulse.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  56. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_druckenmiller/reviews/{inflection_payoff.ai-review.json → policy_real_rate.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  57. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_duan_yongping/reviews/{user_value_evidence.ai-review.json → five_year_opportunity_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  58. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_duan_yongping/reviews/{opportunity_cost.ai-review.json → margin_retention.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  59. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_fisher/reviews/{research_productivity.ai-review.json → margin_retention.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  60. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_fisher/reviews/{scuttlebutt_graph.ai-review.json → reinvestment_spread.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  61. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/{master_dalio/reviews/debt_driver_stress.ai-review.json → master_forensic_short/reviews/cash_conversion_gap.ai-review.json} +51 -51
  62. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_forensic_short/reviews/{accounting_rebuilder.ai-review.json → cash_cover_of_leverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  63. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_graham/reviews/{asset_floor.ai-review.json → defensive_hurdle_base.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  64. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_graham/reviews/{normalized_earnings.ai-review.json → half_normalised_earnings_yield.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  65. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_jhunjhunwala/reviews/{penetration_liquidity.ai-review.json → cash_quality_gap.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  66. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_jhunjhunwala/reviews/{promoter_governance.ai-review.json → real_structural_growth.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  67. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_klarman/reviews/{recovery_waterfall.ai-review.json → downside_asset_coverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  68. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_klarman/reviews/{cash_catalyst_compare.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  69. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_li_lu/reviews/{promise_integrity_ledger.ai-review.json → cash_backed_decade_return.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  70. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_li_lu/reviews/{ten_year_return_bridge.ai-review.json → decade_return_over_long_bond.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  71. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_lynch/reviews/{story_numbers_check.ai-review.json → growth_justified_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  72. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_lynch/reviews/{category_classifier.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  73. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_marks/reviews/{cycle_temperature.ai-review.json → credit_cycle_position.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  74. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_marks/reviews/{implied_expectations.ai-review.json → equity_over_corporate_debt.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  75. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_munger/reviews/{failure_path_graph.ai-review.json → debt_service_cushion.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  76. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_munger/reviews/reported_earnings_cash_gap.ai-review.json +277 -0
  77. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_natenberg/reviews/{surface_builder.ai-review.json → normalised_skew.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  78. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_natenberg/reviews/{greeks_payoff.ai-review.json → round_trip_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  79. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_pabrai/reviews/{downside_floor.ai-review.json → downside_floor_coverage.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  80. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_pabrai/reviews/{discrete_payoff.ai-review.json → market_capitalisation.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  81. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_simons/reviews/{leakage_audit.ai-review.json → absolute_session_move.ai-review.json} +42 -42
  82. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_simons/reviews/{oos_cost_test.ai-review.json → session_move_over_implied.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  83. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_sinclair/reviews/{realized_vol_forecast.ai-review.json → round_trip_cost.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  84. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_sinclair/reviews/{net_edge_sizer.ai-review.json → volatility_per_unit_of_width.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  85. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_soros/reviews/{reflexivity_graph.ai-review.json → credit_cycle_position.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  86. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_soros/reviews/{reversal_monitor.ai-review.json → financing_burden.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  87. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_taleb/reviews/{tail_friction.ai-review.json → debt_service_cushion.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  88. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_taleb/reviews/{payoff_ruin.ai-review.json → normalised_skew.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  89. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_thorp/reviews/{fractional_kelly.ai-review.json → edge_per_unit_of_volatility.ai-review.json} +46 -46
  90. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_thorp/reviews/{edge_recalculator.ai-review.json → net_edge.ai-review.json} +49 -49
  91. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/review-manifest.json +288 -270
  92. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-adjudications/index.json +2 -2
  93. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-extractions/index.json +2 -2
  94. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-semantic-skeptic-reviews/index.json +2 -2
  95. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-source-prereviews/index.json +6 -2
  96. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/decision_policy.json +122 -11
  97. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  98. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/manifest.json +13 -6
  99. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  100. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  101. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_ackman/tools.json +56 -30
  102. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/decision_policy.json +101 -10
  103. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  104. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/manifest.json +12 -4
  105. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  106. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  107. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_aschenbrenner/tools.json +56 -30
  108. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/decision_policy.json +89 -10
  109. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  110. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/manifest.json +11 -4
  111. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  112. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  113. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_asness/tools.json +56 -30
  114. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/counterfactuals.jsonl +0 -0
  115. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/decision_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  116. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/decision_policy.json +170 -0
  117. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/doctrine.jsonl +14 -0
  118. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/calibration_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  119. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/experiments.json +5 -0
  120. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/golden_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  121. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/evaluation/pairwise_cases.jsonl +0 -0
  122. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/failures.jsonl +0 -0
  123. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/manifest.json +141 -0
  124. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/memory_policy.json +5 -0
  125. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/provisional-index.json +41 -0
  126. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/research_policy.json +11 -0
  127. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/sources.jsonl +1 -0
  128. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/tools.json +120 -0
  129. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/voice.en.md +7 -0
  130. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_bogle/voice.zh.md +7 -0
  131. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/decision_policy.json +102 -11
  132. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  133. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/manifest.json +10 -4
  134. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  135. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  136. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_buffett/tools.json +55 -29
  137. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/decision_policy.json +102 -12
  138. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  139. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/manifest.json +12 -6
  140. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  141. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  142. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_burry/tools.json +56 -30
  143. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/decision_policy.json +74 -12
  144. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  145. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/manifest.json +12 -6
  146. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  147. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  148. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_cathie_wood/tools.json +56 -30
  149. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/decision_policy.json +123 -16
  150. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  151. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/manifest.json +10 -4
  152. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  153. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  154. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_dalio/tools.json +56 -30
  155. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/decision_policy.json +58 -10
  156. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  157. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/manifest.json +9 -4
  158. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  159. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  160. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_damodaran/tools.json +54 -28
  161. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/decision_policy.json +89 -10
  162. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  163. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/manifest.json +11 -4
  164. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  165. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  166. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_druckenmiller/tools.json +55 -29
  167. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/decision_policy.json +138 -13
  168. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  169. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/manifest.json +17 -7
  170. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  171. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  172. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_duan_yongping/tools.json +82 -30
  173. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/decision_policy.json +102 -11
  174. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  175. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/manifest.json +13 -6
  176. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  177. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  178. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_fisher/tools.json +58 -32
  179. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/decision_policy.json +93 -14
  180. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  181. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/manifest.json +6 -4
  182. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  183. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  184. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_forensic_short/tools.json +53 -27
  185. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/decision_policy.json +103 -12
  186. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  187. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/manifest.json +12 -4
  188. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  189. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  190. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_graham/tools.json +67 -28
  191. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/decision_policy.json +77 -12
  192. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  193. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/manifest.json +11 -6
  194. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  195. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  196. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_jhunjhunwala/tools.json +54 -28
  197. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/decision_policy.json +105 -14
  198. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  199. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/manifest.json +8 -2
  200. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  201. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  202. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_klarman/tools.json +55 -29
  203. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/decision_policy.json +101 -10
  204. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  205. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/manifest.json +13 -6
  206. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  207. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  208. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_li_lu/tools.json +58 -32
  209. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_lynch/decision_policy.json +127 -16
  210. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_lynch/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  211. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_lynch/manifest.json +14 -6
  212. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_lynch/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  213. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_lynch/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  214. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_lynch/tools.json +67 -28
  215. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_marks/decision_policy.json +71 -9
  216. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_marks/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  217. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_marks/manifest.json +11 -6
  218. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_marks/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  219. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_marks/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  220. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_marks/tools.json +54 -28
  221. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_munger/decision_policy.json +141 -16
  222. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_munger/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  223. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_munger/manifest.json +10 -6
  224. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_munger/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  225. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_munger/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  226. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_munger/tools.json +52 -26
  227. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_natenberg/decision_policy.json +59 -11
  228. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_natenberg/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  229. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_natenberg/manifest.json +9 -6
  230. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_natenberg/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  231. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_natenberg/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  232. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_natenberg/tools.json +50 -24
  233. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_pabrai/decision_policy.json +125 -14
  234. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_pabrai/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  235. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_pabrai/manifest.json +8 -2
  236. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_pabrai/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  237. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_pabrai/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  238. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_pabrai/tools.json +55 -29
  239. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_simons/decision_policy.json +59 -11
  240. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_simons/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  241. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_simons/manifest.json +8 -4
  242. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_simons/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  243. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_simons/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  244. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_simons/tools.json +43 -30
  245. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_sinclair/decision_policy.json +59 -11
  246. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_sinclair/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  247. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_sinclair/manifest.json +8 -6
  248. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_sinclair/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  249. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_sinclair/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  250. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_sinclair/tools.json +54 -28
  251. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_soros/decision_policy.json +98 -10
  252. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_soros/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  253. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_soros/manifest.json +10 -7
  254. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_soros/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  255. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_soros/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  256. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_soros/tools.json +54 -28
  257. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_taleb/decision_policy.json +124 -13
  258. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_taleb/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  259. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_taleb/manifest.json +9 -5
  260. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_taleb/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  261. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_taleb/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  262. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_taleb/tools.json +50 -24
  263. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_thorp/decision_policy.json +61 -13
  264. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_thorp/doctrine.jsonl +2 -2
  265. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_thorp/manifest.json +11 -6
  266. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_thorp/provisional-index.json +3 -3
  267. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_thorp/sources.jsonl +1 -1
  268. package/knowledge/solo-test/masters/master_thorp/tools.json +56 -30
  269. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/compilation-manifest.json +290 -264
  270. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_ackman/components/tools.json +58 -32
  271. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_ackman/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  272. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_ackman/provisional-derivations/owner_earnings_yield.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  273. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_aschenbrenner/components/tools.json +58 -32
  274. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  275. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-derivations/price_implied_cash_yield.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  276. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_asness/components/tools.json +58 -32
  277. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_asness/provisional-derivations/nominal_earnings_yield_gap.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  278. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_asness/provisional-derivations/real_earnings_yield_gap.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  279. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_bogle/components/tools.json +120 -0
  280. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_bogle/provisional-derivations/expected_return_over_long_bond.derived-proxy-evidence.json +77 -0
  281. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_bogle/provisional-derivations/fundamental_expected_return.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  282. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_buffett/components/tools.json +57 -31
  283. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_buffett/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  284. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_buffett/provisional-derivations/owner_earnings_yield.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  285. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_burry/components/tools.json +58 -32
  286. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_burry/provisional-derivations/net_current_asset_surplus_per_share.derived-proxy-evidence.json +77 -0
  287. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_burry/provisional-derivations/net_current_asset_value_per_share.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  288. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_cathie_wood/components/tools.json +58 -32
  289. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_cathie_wood/provisional-derivations/current_cash_yield.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  290. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_cathie_wood/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  291. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_dalio/components/tools.json +58 -32
  292. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_dalio/provisional-derivations/policy_real_rate.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  293. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_dalio/provisional-derivations/real_curve_slope.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  294. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_damodaran/components/tools.json +56 -30
  295. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_damodaran/provisional-derivations/implied_equity_risk_premium.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  296. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_damodaran/provisional-derivations/{reverse_valuation.derived-proxy-evidence.json → premium_versus_long_run_average.derived-proxy-evidence.json} +29 -16
  297. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_druckenmiller/components/tools.json +57 -31
  298. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_druckenmiller/provisional-derivations/liquidity_curve_impulse.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  299. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_druckenmiller/provisional-derivations/policy_real_rate.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  300. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_duan_yongping/components/tools.json +84 -32
  301. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_duan_yongping/provisional-derivations/five_year_opportunity_cost.derived-proxy-evidence.json +102 -0
  302. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_duan_yongping/provisional-derivations/margin_retention.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  303. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_fisher/components/tools.json +60 -34
  304. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_fisher/provisional-derivations/margin_retention.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  305. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_fisher/provisional-derivations/reinvestment_spread.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  306. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_forensic_short/components/tools.json +55 -29
  307. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_forensic_short/provisional-derivations/{accounting_rebuilder.derived-proxy-evidence.json → cash_conversion_gap.derived-proxy-evidence.json} +28 -15
  308. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_forensic_short/provisional-derivations/cash_cover_of_leverage.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  309. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_graham/components/tools.json +69 -30
  310. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_graham/provisional-derivations/defensive_hurdle_base.derived-proxy-evidence.json +89 -0
  311. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_graham/provisional-derivations/half_normalised_earnings_yield.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  312. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_jhunjhunwala/components/tools.json +56 -30
  313. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-derivations/cash_quality_gap.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  314. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-derivations/real_structural_growth.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  315. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_klarman/components/tools.json +57 -31
  316. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_klarman/provisional-derivations/downside_asset_coverage.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  317. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_klarman/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  318. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_li_lu/components/tools.json +60 -34
  319. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_li_lu/provisional-derivations/cash_backed_decade_return.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  320. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_li_lu/provisional-derivations/decade_return_over_long_bond.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  321. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_lynch/components/tools.json +69 -30
  322. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_lynch/provisional-derivations/growth_justified_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +89 -0
  323. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_lynch/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  324. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_marks/components/tools.json +56 -30
  325. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_marks/provisional-derivations/credit_cycle_position.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  326. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_marks/provisional-derivations/equity_over_corporate_debt.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  327. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_munger/components/tools.json +54 -28
  328. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_munger/provisional-derivations/debt_service_cushion.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  329. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_munger/provisional-derivations/reported_earnings_cash_gap.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  330. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_natenberg/components/tools.json +52 -26
  331. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_natenberg/provisional-derivations/{surface_builder.derived-proxy-evidence.json → normalised_skew.derived-proxy-evidence.json} +27 -14
  332. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_natenberg/provisional-derivations/round_trip_cost.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  333. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_pabrai/components/tools.json +57 -31
  334. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_pabrai/provisional-derivations/downside_floor_coverage.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  335. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_pabrai/provisional-derivations/market_capitalisation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  336. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_simons/components/tools.json +45 -32
  337. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/{master_natenberg/provisional-derivations/greeks_payoff.derived-proxy-evidence.json → master_simons/provisional-derivations/absolute_session_move.derived-proxy-evidence.json} +17 -17
  338. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_simons/provisional-derivations/session_move_over_implied.derived-proxy-evidence.json +77 -0
  339. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_sinclair/components/tools.json +56 -30
  340. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_sinclair/provisional-derivations/round_trip_cost.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  341. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_sinclair/provisional-derivations/volatility_per_unit_of_width.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  342. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_soros/components/tools.json +56 -30
  343. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_soros/provisional-derivations/credit_cycle_position.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  344. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_soros/provisional-derivations/financing_burden.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  345. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_taleb/components/tools.json +52 -26
  346. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_taleb/provisional-derivations/debt_service_cushion.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  347. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_taleb/provisional-derivations/{tail_friction.derived-proxy-evidence.json → normalised_skew.derived-proxy-evidence.json} +27 -14
  348. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_thorp/components/tools.json +58 -32
  349. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_thorp/provisional-derivations/edge_per_unit_of_volatility.derived-proxy-evidence.json +77 -0
  350. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_thorp/provisional-derivations/net_edge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +76 -0
  351. package/mcp/lib/breadth.mjs +126 -0
  352. package/mcp/lib/constants.mjs +15 -0
  353. package/mcp/lib/damodaran.mjs +119 -0
  354. package/mcp/lib/fred.mjs +246 -0
  355. package/mcp/lib/fund-holdings-parsers.mjs +297 -0
  356. package/mcp/lib/fund-observations.mjs +152 -0
  357. package/mcp/lib/fundamentals.mjs +806 -0
  358. package/mcp/lib/funds.mjs +785 -0
  359. package/mcp/lib/gates.mjs +71 -4
  360. package/mcp/lib/grounding.mjs +209 -36
  361. package/mcp/lib/index-aggregate.mjs +733 -0
  362. package/mcp/lib/insider-ownership.mjs +149 -0
  363. package/mcp/lib/instrument-facts.mjs +855 -0
  364. package/mcp/lib/instruments.mjs +216 -0
  365. package/mcp/lib/markdown.mjs +216 -43
  366. package/mcp/lib/master-catalog.mjs +4 -0
  367. package/mcp/lib/orchestrator.mjs +173 -29
  368. package/mcp/lib/packets.mjs +59 -6
  369. package/mcp/lib/personas/engine.mjs +23 -10
  370. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/deterministic-executor.mjs +13 -2
  371. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/ga-external-evidence.mjs +3 -2
  372. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/ga-gate.mjs +2 -1
  373. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/ga-package-evidence.mjs +5 -4
  374. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/grounding-adapter.mjs +309 -2
  375. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/production-root.mjs +5 -4
  376. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/release-formula-evidence.mjs +14 -7
  377. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/release-source-evidence.mjs +2 -1
  378. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/releases.mjs +5 -4
  379. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/runtime-release-integrity.mjs +6 -5
  380. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/semantic-source-adjudication.mjs +2 -1
  381. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/semantic-source-extraction.mjs +2 -1
  382. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/semantic-source-skeptic-review.mjs +2 -1
  383. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/source-review-operations.mjs +3 -2
  384. package/mcp/lib/personas-v3/staging.mjs +22 -3
  385. package/mcp/lib/prompts.mjs +87 -3
  386. package/mcp/lib/quotes.mjs +5 -0
  387. package/mcp/lib/rpc.mjs +27 -10
  388. package/mcp/lib/run-store.mjs +5 -3
  389. package/mcp/lib/sec.mjs +32 -0
  390. package/mcp/lib/tables.mjs +11 -0
  391. package/mcp/lib/voice.mjs +122 -0
  392. package/mcp/lib/xbrl-aggregates.mjs +153 -0
  393. package/mcp/lib/xbrl-series.mjs +341 -0
  394. package/mcp/lib/xlsx.mjs +155 -0
  395. package/package.json +5 -5
  396. package/personas/masters/masters-value/bogle.md +145 -0
  397. package/schemas/council-evaluation-protocol-v1.schema.json +2 -2
  398. package/schemas/persona-v3-ai-assisted-solo-profile-v1.schema.json +2 -2
  399. package/schemas/persona-v3-ai-machine-simulation-v1.schema.json +1 -1
  400. package/schemas/persona-v3-build-spec-v1.schema.json +3 -3
  401. package/schemas/persona-v3-release-formula-review-evidence-v1.schema.json +3 -3
  402. package/schemas/persona-v3-release-manifest-v1.schema.json +6 -6
  403. package/schemas/persona-v3-release-source-review-evidence-v1.schema.json +3 -3
  404. package/schemas/persona-v3-tool-graph-v1.schema.json +1 -1
  405. package/schemas/source-review-batch-v1.schema.json +9 -9
  406. package/scripts/assemble-persona-v3-release.mjs +3 -2
  407. package/scripts/build-persona-v3-solo-test-packs.mjs +6 -8
  408. package/scripts/check-persona-v3-ga.mjs +1 -1
  409. package/scripts/check-persona-v3-production-candidates.mjs +1 -1
  410. package/scripts/compile-persona-v3-formulas.mjs +19 -18
  411. package/scripts/doctor.mjs +11 -9
  412. package/scripts/export-persona-source-review-batch.mjs +1 -1
  413. package/scripts/generate-persona-v3-drafts.mjs +2 -2
  414. package/scripts/lib/build-profile.mjs +24 -0
  415. package/scripts/lib/council-evaluation-protocol.mjs +7 -6
  416. package/scripts/lib/host-capabilities.mjs +2 -1
  417. package/scripts/lib/packaged-host-parity.mjs +9 -3
  418. package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-ai-assisted-solo-status.mjs +6 -4
  419. package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-ai-formula-review.mjs +6 -5
  420. package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-ai-machine-simulations.mjs +32 -4
  421. package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-build-specs.mjs +3 -2
  422. package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-draft-packs.mjs +2 -2
  423. package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-formula-pipeline.mjs +11 -10
  424. package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-production-candidates.mjs +10 -9
  425. package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-solo-formula-pipeline.mjs +188 -16
  426. package/scripts/lib/persona-v3-solo-test-packs.mjs +112 -11
  427. package/scripts/package-smoke.mjs +2 -1
  428. package/scripts/report-persona-corpus-gaps.mjs +4 -1
  429. package/scripts/review-persona-v3-solo-formulas.mjs +12 -8
  430. package/scripts/scaffold-persona-v3-staging.mjs +1 -1
  431. package/skills/agent-skills-governance/SKILL.md +8 -2
  432. package/skills/alphacouncil-agent/SKILL.md +12 -4
  433. package/skills/public-equity-investing/SKILL.md +17 -0
  434. package/knowledge/ai-assisted-solo/reviews/persona-v3-ai-formula-reviews/master_forensic_short/reviews/borrow_catalyst.ai-review.json +0 -277
  435. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_ackman/provisional-derivations/change_value_bridge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  436. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_ackman/provisional-derivations/power_map.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  437. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-derivations/compute_power_bridge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  438. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_aschenbrenner/provisional-derivations/timeline_reverse_valuation.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  439. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_asness/provisional-derivations/crowding_cost_stress.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  440. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_asness/provisional-derivations/factor_decomposer.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  441. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_buffett/provisional-derivations/incremental_returns.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  442. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_buffett/provisional-derivations/owner_earnings_rebuilder.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  443. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_burry/provisional-derivations/capital_structure_reader.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  444. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_burry/provisional-derivations/mispricing_carry.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  445. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_cathie_wood/provisional-derivations/capture_valuation_bridge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  446. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_cathie_wood/provisional-derivations/cost_adoption_curve.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  447. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_dalio/provisional-derivations/debt_driver_stress.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  448. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_dalio/provisional-derivations/regime_classifier.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  449. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_damodaran/provisional-derivations/story_dcf.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  450. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_druckenmiller/provisional-derivations/inflection_payoff.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  451. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_druckenmiller/provisional-derivations/liquidity_revision_map.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  452. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_duan_yongping/provisional-derivations/opportunity_cost.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  453. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_duan_yongping/provisional-derivations/user_value_evidence.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  454. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_fisher/provisional-derivations/research_productivity.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  455. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_fisher/provisional-derivations/scuttlebutt_graph.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  456. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_forensic_short/provisional-derivations/borrow_catalyst.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  457. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_graham/provisional-derivations/asset_floor.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  458. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_graham/provisional-derivations/normalized_earnings.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  459. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-derivations/penetration_liquidity.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  460. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_jhunjhunwala/provisional-derivations/promoter_governance.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  461. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_klarman/provisional-derivations/cash_catalyst_compare.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  462. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_klarman/provisional-derivations/recovery_waterfall.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  463. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_li_lu/provisional-derivations/promise_integrity_ledger.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  464. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_li_lu/provisional-derivations/ten_year_return_bridge.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  465. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_lynch/provisional-derivations/category_classifier.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  466. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_lynch/provisional-derivations/story_numbers_check.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  467. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_marks/provisional-derivations/cycle_temperature.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  468. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_marks/provisional-derivations/implied_expectations.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  469. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_munger/provisional-derivations/failure_path_graph.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  470. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_munger/provisional-derivations/incentive_map.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  471. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_pabrai/provisional-derivations/discrete_payoff.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  472. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_pabrai/provisional-derivations/downside_floor.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  473. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_simons/provisional-derivations/leakage_audit.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  474. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_simons/provisional-derivations/oos_cost_test.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  475. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_sinclair/provisional-derivations/net_edge_sizer.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  476. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_sinclair/provisional-derivations/realized_vol_forecast.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  477. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_soros/provisional-derivations/reflexivity_graph.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  478. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_soros/provisional-derivations/reversal_monitor.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  479. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_taleb/provisional-derivations/payoff_ruin.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  480. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_thorp/provisional-derivations/edge_recalculator.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
  481. package/knowledge/solo-test/persona-v3-solo-test-formulas/master_thorp/provisional-derivations/fractional_kelly.derived-proxy-evidence.json +0 -64
@@ -362,9 +362,9 @@
362
362
  "unsupported": 0,
363
363
  "unverifiable": 6
364
364
  },
365
- "canonical_master_count": 26,
365
+ "canonical_master_count": 27,
366
366
  "human_reviewed_count": 0,
367
- "index_hash": "sha256:c53d44e03e4d46ae87f53815670784515366b9e470d15eda283a17da3286bac1",
367
+ "index_hash": "sha256:9d052ce5a24c0cf4d50f9f7be8c3cdfad2bb31ebd62cbe1e150403d3b2806fd4",
368
368
  "method_attribution_approved_count": 0,
369
369
  "production_effect": "none",
370
370
  "proposition_adjudication_count": 29,
@@ -291,9 +291,9 @@
291
291
  }
292
292
  ],
293
293
  "candidate_count": 32,
294
- "canonical_master_count": 26,
294
+ "canonical_master_count": 27,
295
295
  "human_reviewed_count": 0,
296
- "index_hash": "sha256:8d916ceda6c30bbcab86c5add14ef241fce640a7e2d5a4b0075cbe36aea1fec0",
296
+ "index_hash": "sha256:712b227059e659c9c0561556a4b5feb65633d255af4322c3a985b9d617217c25",
297
297
  "method_attribution_approved_count": 0,
298
298
  "production_effect": "none",
299
299
  "proposition_count": 29,
@@ -330,9 +330,9 @@
330
330
  "unsupported": 0,
331
331
  "unverifiable": 6
332
332
  },
333
- "canonical_master_count": 26,
333
+ "canonical_master_count": 27,
334
334
  "human_reviewed_count": 0,
335
- "index_hash": "sha256:7ee648dd8fb773bd7e6a5e5760a478bbbf23872d28e8e59b671ceb071933e8df",
335
+ "index_hash": "sha256:73328f1fd66725d70753d0fa7a5ce759d86c952ada2cb88182dc0d670692e5da",
336
336
  "method_attribution_approved_count": 0,
337
337
  "production_effect": "none",
338
338
  "proposition_review_count": 29,
@@ -228,10 +228,10 @@
228
228
  ],
229
229
  "assurance_class": "machine_pre_review_only",
230
230
  "candidate_count": 32,
231
- "canonical_master_count": 26,
231
+ "canonical_master_count": 27,
232
232
  "human_claim_count": 0,
233
233
  "human_reviewed_count": 0,
234
- "index_hash": "sha256:dacfe0763c9f4d198c446ec8b40f33d59f1063556f79a6d888ed7332771c732e",
234
+ "index_hash": "sha256:3ce3085cb3ed7c4fdc1a99a7941558ff29c9248f70a833f2a9140b8a248dba67",
235
235
  "personas": [
236
236
  {
237
237
  "candidate_count": 1,
@@ -336,6 +336,10 @@
336
336
  {
337
337
  "candidate_count": 1,
338
338
  "persona_id": "master_sinclair"
339
+ },
340
+ {
341
+ "candidate_count": 0,
342
+ "persona_id": "master_bogle"
339
343
  }
340
344
  ],
341
345
  "production_effect": "none",
@@ -2,7 +2,48 @@
2
2
  "abstention_policy": "fail_closed",
3
3
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
4
4
  "eligibility": {
5
- "all": []
5
+ "all": [
6
+ {
7
+ "condition": {
8
+ "op": "exists",
9
+ "value": {
10
+ "fact_id": "financial.leverage"
11
+ }
12
+ },
13
+ "condition_id": "master_ackman.capital_structure_resolvable",
14
+ "on_false": {
15
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
16
+ "native_state": "provisional_passive_only"
17
+ },
18
+ "on_uncomputable": {
19
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
20
+ "native_state": "provisional_passive_only"
21
+ },
22
+ "source_ids": [
23
+ "proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"
24
+ ]
25
+ },
26
+ {
27
+ "condition": {
28
+ "op": "exists",
29
+ "value": {
30
+ "fact_id": "capital_allocation.share_count_change_5y"
31
+ }
32
+ },
33
+ "condition_id": "master_ackman.capital_allocation_history_available",
34
+ "on_false": {
35
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
36
+ "native_state": "provisional_passive_only"
37
+ },
38
+ "on_uncomputable": {
39
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
40
+ "native_state": "provisional_passive_only"
41
+ },
42
+ "source_ids": [
43
+ "proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"
44
+ ]
45
+ }
46
+ ]
6
47
  },
7
48
  "fact_gate": {
8
49
  "on_missing_critical": {
@@ -10,21 +51,74 @@
10
51
  "native_state": "provisional_passive_only"
11
52
  }
12
53
  },
13
- "hard_vetoes": [],
54
+ "hard_vetoes": [
55
+ {
56
+ "condition": {
57
+ "left": {
58
+ "fact_id": "financial.owner_earnings"
59
+ },
60
+ "op": "lte",
61
+ "right": {
62
+ "literal": 0
63
+ }
64
+ },
65
+ "on_trigger": {
66
+ "common_stance": "opposed",
67
+ "native_state": "provisional_infeasible"
68
+ },
69
+ "on_uncomputable": {
70
+ "action": "abstain",
71
+ "decision": {
72
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
73
+ "native_state": "provisional_passive_only"
74
+ }
75
+ },
76
+ "source_ids": [
77
+ "proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"
78
+ ],
79
+ "veto_id": "master_ackman.no_standalone_downside"
80
+ },
81
+ {
82
+ "condition": {
83
+ "left": {
84
+ "fact_id": "financial.leverage"
85
+ },
86
+ "op": "gt",
87
+ "right": {
88
+ "literal": 3
89
+ }
90
+ },
91
+ "on_trigger": {
92
+ "common_stance": "opposed",
93
+ "native_state": "provisional_infeasible"
94
+ },
95
+ "on_uncomputable": {
96
+ "action": "abstain",
97
+ "decision": {
98
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
99
+ "native_state": "provisional_passive_only"
100
+ }
101
+ },
102
+ "source_ids": [
103
+ "proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"
104
+ ],
105
+ "veto_id": "master_ackman.balance_sheet_cannot_finance_change"
106
+ }
107
+ ],
14
108
  "native_decision_schema": "engagement_feasibility_v1",
15
109
  "native_output_fields": [
16
110
  {
17
111
  "field": "metric_1",
18
112
  "on_missing": "fail",
19
113
  "value": {
20
- "output_id": "governance.voting_control"
114
+ "output_id": "valuation.market_capitalisation.master_ackman"
21
115
  }
22
116
  },
23
117
  {
24
118
  "field": "metric_2",
25
119
  "on_missing": "fail",
26
120
  "value": {
27
- "output_id": "valuation.standalone_value"
121
+ "output_id": "valuation.owner_earnings_yield.master_ackman"
28
122
  }
29
123
  }
30
124
  ],
@@ -52,14 +146,14 @@
52
146
  },
53
147
  {
54
148
  "decision": {
55
- "common_stance": "cautious",
149
+ "common_stance": "constructive",
56
150
  "native_state": "provisional_engagement_candidate"
57
151
  },
58
152
  "min_ratio": 1
59
153
  }
60
154
  ],
61
155
  "scoring": {
62
- "max_score": 2,
156
+ "max_score": 3,
63
157
  "min_coverage": 1,
64
158
  "on_insufficient_coverage": {
65
159
  "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
@@ -69,16 +163,33 @@
69
163
  {
70
164
  "condition": {
71
165
  "left": {
72
- "output_id": "governance.voting_control"
166
+ "output_id": "valuation.owner_earnings_yield.master_ackman"
73
167
  },
74
168
  "op": "gt",
75
169
  "right": {
76
- "literal": 0
170
+ "fact_id": "macro.long_bond_yield"
171
+ }
172
+ },
173
+ "coverage_weight": 1,
174
+ "points": 1,
175
+ "rule_id": "ackman_value_gap_over_the_long_bond",
176
+ "source_ids": [
177
+ "proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"
178
+ ]
179
+ },
180
+ {
181
+ "condition": {
182
+ "left": {
183
+ "fact_id": "financial.leverage"
184
+ },
185
+ "op": "lt",
186
+ "right": {
187
+ "literal": 1
77
188
  }
78
189
  },
79
190
  "coverage_weight": 1,
80
191
  "points": 1,
81
- "rule_id": "proxy_score_1",
192
+ "rule_id": "ackman_balance_sheet_can_carry_the_change",
82
193
  "source_ids": [
83
194
  "proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"
84
195
  ]
@@ -86,7 +197,7 @@
86
197
  {
87
198
  "condition": {
88
199
  "left": {
89
- "output_id": "valuation.standalone_value"
200
+ "fact_id": "capital_allocation.share_count_change_5y"
90
201
  },
91
202
  "op": "gt",
92
203
  "right": {
@@ -95,7 +206,7 @@
95
206
  },
96
207
  "coverage_weight": 1,
97
208
  "points": 1,
98
- "rule_id": "proxy_score_2",
209
+ "rule_id": "ackman_capital_allocation_lever_exists",
99
210
  "source_ids": [
100
211
  "proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"
101
212
  ]
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
1
1
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Separate standalone value from improvement value, then test whether a legal, financeable and time-bounded actor can execute the change path.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_1","source_ids":["proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"]}
2
- {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Rebuild voting, board, regulatory, creditor and stakeholder constraints from public records.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_2","source_ids":["proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"]}
3
- {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Separate standalone value from costed and timed improvement levers.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_3","source_ids":["proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"]}
2
+ {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"The price of the whole company, which is what a value gap is measured against. Same construction and same output id as the Buffett, Graham, Cathie Wood and Aschenbrenner seats.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_2","source_ids":["proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"]}
3
+ {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"What an owner earns on the purchase price of the business as it stands today, before any change. This is the standalone half of the standalone-versus-improvement split the method is built on; the improvement half has no facts and is not computed.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_3","source_ids":["proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"]}
4
4
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject engagement when the existing business lacks a defensible downside case.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_4","source_ids":["proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"]}
5
5
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject a catalyst that no identified actor has legal power to cause.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_5","source_ids":["proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"]}
6
6
  {"assurance_class":"provisional_derived_proxy","attribution_status":"provisional_not_human_reviewed","claim":"Reject when implementation cost and time erase the reviewed value gap.","rule_id":"proxy_rule_6","source_ids":["proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"]}
@@ -16,15 +16,21 @@
16
16
  ],
17
17
  "native_decision_schema": "engagement_feasibility_v1",
18
18
  "optional_fact_types": [
19
+ "financial.leverage",
20
+ "capital_allocation.share_count_change_5y",
21
+ "macro.long_bond_yield",
22
+ "valuation.standalone_value",
19
23
  "valuation.improvement_value",
24
+ "governance.voting_control",
20
25
  "governance.board_rights",
21
26
  "catalyst.change_levers",
22
27
  "catalyst.implementation_cost",
23
28
  "catalyst.timeline"
24
29
  ],
25
30
  "required_fact_types": [
26
- "governance.voting_control",
27
- "valuation.standalone_value"
31
+ "market.price",
32
+ "capital_allocation.share_count",
33
+ "financial.owner_earnings"
28
34
  ]
29
35
  },
30
36
  "components": {
@@ -45,8 +51,8 @@
45
51
  "computation": {
46
52
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
47
53
  "pipeline": [
48
- "master_ackman.power_map",
49
- "master_ackman.change_value_bridge"
54
+ "master_ackman.market_capitalisation",
55
+ "master_ackman.owner_earnings_yield"
50
56
  ]
51
57
  },
52
58
  "decision": {
@@ -54,8 +60,9 @@
54
60
  "common_projection": "common_stance_v1",
55
61
  "confidence_calibrator": null,
56
62
  "eligibility": [
57
- "governance.voting_control",
58
- "valuation.standalone_value"
63
+ "market.price",
64
+ "capital_allocation.share_count",
65
+ "financial.owner_earnings"
59
66
  ],
60
67
  "hard_vetoes": [
61
68
  "master_ackman.no_standalone_downside",
@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@
16
16
  ],
17
17
  "experiment_pass_count": 0,
18
18
  "formula_approval_binding_count": 0,
19
- "formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:7265b10a67bd0437af02572176793ef0b8529e48437edc5a2e0b1b1b9fbe73d0",
19
+ "formula_compilation_manifest_hash": "sha256:9eb750e5aec2e4b6ef7a7033aba119927d5a6540220d608cbe6fd90eaf255b05",
20
20
  "method_model_eligible": false,
21
21
  "native_states": [
22
22
  "provisional_passive_only",
@@ -26,8 +26,8 @@
26
26
  ],
27
27
  "persona_id": "master_ackman",
28
28
  "planned_tool_ids": [
29
- "master_ackman.power_map",
30
- "master_ackman.change_value_bridge"
29
+ "master_ackman.market_capitalisation",
30
+ "master_ackman.owner_earnings_yield"
31
31
  ],
32
32
  "production_eligible": false,
33
33
  "review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
@@ -1 +1 @@
1
- {"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:60726ec833df7e955bc060166a4d20094150b958fb16bd5efebde1b8edae0a00","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_ackman"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_ackman","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
1
+ {"adjudication":{"notes":"No human review, no named-method attribution, no production effect.","reviewer_ids":[],"status":"pending"},"author":"AlphaCouncil project build specification","content_hash":"sha256:286f97c6fb8e23b18b814ba97ef96f4244e428d0c48fde6a617dbaaa73de1faa","grade":"E","known_at":"2026-07-27","locator":{"section":"master_ackman"},"public_at":"2026-07-27","published_at":"2026-07-27","retrieved_at":"2026-07-27","schema_version":1,"source_id":"proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc","source_kind":"derived_proxy","summary":"Project-authored provisional proxy used only to exercise the deterministic solo-test build; it is not source approval or method attribution.","supports":["solo_test_structure","deterministic_execution_only"],"title":"Provisional project-derived method hypothesis for master_ackman","url":"https://github.com/Zhao73/alphacouncil-agent/blob/main/data/persona-v3-build-specs.v1.mjs"}
@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
1
1
  [
2
2
  {
3
3
  "assurance_class": "provisional_derived_proxy",
4
- "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:1c40f8ff2cfa041ffca300488b153a04db3215431c683b215f8c4bafe6429482",
5
- "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:cbc66704abe50660a149b649d09b7897a5db8dac9b9c3d279be97908ae5e0620",
6
- "derivation_spec_id": "master_ackman.power_map.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
4
+ "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:b88b95a72ac829720356072a44881c6c856a66666415fe49eab52d02dcd25367",
5
+ "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:5177b07c8b2aa0e5303c3e0e2b0a98ebaf75cf4c1ba5257e327cdd4e10ef486e",
6
+ "derivation_spec_id": "master_ackman.market_capitalisation.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
7
7
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
8
- "id": "master_ackman.power_map",
8
+ "id": "master_ackman.market_capitalisation",
9
9
  "input_contracts": [
10
10
  {
11
11
  "on_missing": "fail",
@@ -14,45 +14,68 @@
14
14
  "basis": "instant",
15
15
  "window": null
16
16
  },
17
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
18
- "value_kind": "scalar"
17
+ "unit": "currency_units",
18
+ "value_kind": "monetary"
19
+ },
20
+ {
21
+ "on_missing": "fail",
22
+ "period": {
23
+ "alignment": "as_of",
24
+ "basis": "instant",
25
+ "window": null
26
+ },
27
+ "unit": "shares",
28
+ "value_kind": "count"
19
29
  }
20
30
  ],
21
- "input_schema_hash": "sha256:d6d5421f4728b2bf2e735974a54ecccb10b243a3b74f7a2bb66238cef114aed2",
31
+ "input_schema_hash": "sha256:8acf4b2a1fc157ec4219b0d0ef76bac827cbca552d4bc1fb4413b6866502a7b2",
22
32
  "inputs": [
23
33
  {
24
- "fact_id": "governance.voting_control"
34
+ "fact_id": "market.price"
35
+ },
36
+ {
37
+ "fact_id": "capital_allocation.share_count"
25
38
  }
26
39
  ],
27
40
  "intended_use": "local_test_only",
28
- "kind": "transform",
41
+ "kind": "recomputation",
29
42
  "on_missing": "fail",
30
- "operation": "identity",
31
- "output_id": "governance.voting_control",
43
+ "operation": "multiply",
44
+ "output_id": "valuation.market_capitalisation.master_ackman",
32
45
  "output_period": {
33
46
  "alignment": "as_of",
34
47
  "basis": "instant",
35
48
  "window": null
36
49
  },
37
- "output_schema_hash": "sha256:0d7a86f1c2399ef6c935d15b79aa2bfa1abefaa83dbea81f218c06256200258b",
50
+ "output_schema_hash": "sha256:a5d6a20233a5f2062c302a0d17fdddda010d65d1d4e14f3838381cbf50a8c51a",
38
51
  "production_eligible": false,
39
52
  "review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
40
53
  "schema_version": 1,
41
54
  "source_ids": [
42
55
  "proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"
43
56
  ],
44
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
45
- "value_kind": "scalar",
46
- "version": "0.1.0"
57
+ "unit": "currency_units",
58
+ "value_kind": "monetary",
59
+ "version": "0.2.0"
47
60
  },
48
61
  {
49
62
  "assurance_class": "provisional_derived_proxy",
50
- "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:149e0f53f4a2834190696104b7172ff834fe2228817fa5681ef6e5b1641efd38",
51
- "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:5c14bdc63fe4980710f521bdcd091a3c9b40da37b67029fb191ed161480a0885",
52
- "derivation_spec_id": "master_ackman.change_value_bridge.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
63
+ "derivation_evidence_hash": "sha256:80968abbbfa03af12f2711821160902e684df17d31aac8166fdf4b1c264cb6b9",
64
+ "derivation_spec_hash": "sha256:233af4f87f220dd426da53b6946ff1b4470579d98fb2440289a8c42d7007277f",
65
+ "derivation_spec_id": "master_ackman.owner_earnings_yield.prototype_v1.derived_proxy_v1",
53
66
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
54
- "id": "master_ackman.change_value_bridge",
67
+ "id": "master_ackman.owner_earnings_yield",
55
68
  "input_contracts": [
69
+ {
70
+ "on_missing": "fail",
71
+ "period": {
72
+ "alignment": "as_of",
73
+ "basis": "duration",
74
+ "window": "P1Y"
75
+ },
76
+ "unit": "currency_units",
77
+ "value_kind": "monetary"
78
+ },
56
79
  {
57
80
  "on_missing": "fail",
58
81
  "period": {
@@ -60,35 +83,38 @@
60
83
  "basis": "instant",
61
84
  "window": null
62
85
  },
63
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
64
- "value_kind": "scalar"
86
+ "unit": "currency_units",
87
+ "value_kind": "monetary"
65
88
  }
66
89
  ],
67
- "input_schema_hash": "sha256:a6145cd3e1648def22c39da079f7324b23293116b851c6f32e54e84421dd3a8c",
90
+ "input_schema_hash": "sha256:9f99ae402409f36da36df30b911141dd23e5be38b2b8f76f3597d1a1e125e518",
68
91
  "inputs": [
69
92
  {
70
- "fact_id": "valuation.standalone_value"
93
+ "fact_id": "financial.owner_earnings"
94
+ },
95
+ {
96
+ "output_id": "valuation.market_capitalisation.master_ackman"
71
97
  }
72
98
  ],
73
99
  "intended_use": "local_test_only",
74
- "kind": "transform",
100
+ "kind": "recomputation",
75
101
  "on_missing": "fail",
76
- "operation": "identity",
77
- "output_id": "valuation.standalone_value",
102
+ "operation": "divide",
103
+ "output_id": "valuation.owner_earnings_yield.master_ackman",
78
104
  "output_period": {
79
105
  "alignment": "as_of",
80
106
  "basis": "instant",
81
107
  "window": null
82
108
  },
83
- "output_schema_hash": "sha256:32a524378b3639ca17788b585c900c96da5841c179dad80008c766a123bc4a8c",
109
+ "output_schema_hash": "sha256:20259b82092a96c0cdf3979904198a8a7bd9a147ccd83ea3df214d1ed6e40809",
84
110
  "production_eligible": false,
85
111
  "review_status": "not_human_reviewed",
86
112
  "schema_version": 1,
87
113
  "source_ids": [
88
114
  "proxy:16fb57696593fc4dc"
89
115
  ],
90
- "unit": "derived_proxy_scalar",
91
- "value_kind": "scalar",
92
- "version": "0.1.0"
116
+ "unit": "decimal",
117
+ "value_kind": "ratio",
118
+ "version": "0.2.0"
93
119
  }
94
120
  ]
@@ -2,7 +2,71 @@
2
2
  "abstention_policy": "fail_closed",
3
3
  "dsl_version": "1.1",
4
4
  "eligibility": {
5
- "all": []
5
+ "all": [
6
+ {
7
+ "condition": {
8
+ "left": {
9
+ "output_id": "valuation.free_cash_flow_yield.master_aschenbrenner"
10
+ },
11
+ "op": "lt",
12
+ "right": {
13
+ "fact_id": "macro.long_bond_yield"
14
+ }
15
+ },
16
+ "condition_id": "master_aschenbrenner.price_embeds_a_scaling_timeline",
17
+ "on_false": {
18
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
19
+ "native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
20
+ },
21
+ "on_uncomputable": {
22
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
23
+ "native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
24
+ },
25
+ "source_ids": [
26
+ "proxy:d16b09eea457cf401"
27
+ ]
28
+ },
29
+ {
30
+ "condition": {
31
+ "op": "exists",
32
+ "value": {
33
+ "fact_id": "valuation.revenue_growth"
34
+ }
35
+ },
36
+ "condition_id": "master_aschenbrenner.observed_scaling_rate_available",
37
+ "on_false": {
38
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
39
+ "native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
40
+ },
41
+ "on_uncomputable": {
42
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
43
+ "native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
44
+ },
45
+ "source_ids": [
46
+ "proxy:d16b09eea457cf401"
47
+ ]
48
+ },
49
+ {
50
+ "condition": {
51
+ "op": "exists",
52
+ "value": {
53
+ "fact_id": "financial.incremental_return_on_capital"
54
+ }
55
+ },
56
+ "condition_id": "master_aschenbrenner.buildout_economics_observable",
57
+ "on_false": {
58
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
59
+ "native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
60
+ },
61
+ "on_uncomputable": {
62
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
63
+ "native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
64
+ },
65
+ "source_ids": [
66
+ "proxy:d16b09eea457cf401"
67
+ ]
68
+ }
69
+ ]
6
70
  },
7
71
  "fact_gate": {
8
72
  "on_missing_critical": {
@@ -10,21 +74,48 @@
10
74
  "native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
11
75
  }
12
76
  },
13
- "hard_vetoes": [],
77
+ "hard_vetoes": [
78
+ {
79
+ "condition": {
80
+ "left": {
81
+ "fact_id": "valuation.revenue_growth"
82
+ },
83
+ "op": "lte",
84
+ "right": {
85
+ "literal": 0
86
+ }
87
+ },
88
+ "on_trigger": {
89
+ "common_stance": "opposed",
90
+ "native_state": "provisional_timeline_overpriced"
91
+ },
92
+ "on_uncomputable": {
93
+ "action": "abstain",
94
+ "decision": {
95
+ "common_stance": "out_of_scope",
96
+ "native_state": "provisional_out_of_scope"
97
+ }
98
+ },
99
+ "source_ids": [
100
+ "proxy:d16b09eea457cf401"
101
+ ],
102
+ "veto_id": "master_aschenbrenner.scaling_has_stopped"
103
+ }
104
+ ],
14
105
  "native_decision_schema": "ai_scaling_timeline_v1",
15
106
  "native_output_fields": [
16
107
  {
17
108
  "field": "metric_1",
18
109
  "on_missing": "fail",
19
110
  "value": {
20
- "output_id": "ai.power.required_mw"
111
+ "output_id": "valuation.market_capitalisation.master_aschenbrenner"
21
112
  }
22
113
  },
23
114
  {
24
115
  "field": "metric_2",
25
116
  "on_missing": "fail",
26
117
  "value": {
27
- "output_id": "valuation.implied_growth"
118
+ "output_id": "valuation.free_cash_flow_yield.master_aschenbrenner"
28
119
  }
29
120
  }
30
121
  ],
@@ -52,7 +143,7 @@
52
143
  },
53
144
  {
54
145
  "decision": {
55
- "common_stance": "cautious",
146
+ "common_stance": "constructive",
56
147
  "native_state": "provisional_timeline_underpriced"
57
148
  },
58
149
  "min_ratio": 1
@@ -69,16 +160,16 @@
69
160
  {
70
161
  "condition": {
71
162
  "left": {
72
- "output_id": "ai.power.required_mw"
163
+ "fact_id": "valuation.revenue_growth"
73
164
  },
74
165
  "op": "gt",
75
166
  "right": {
76
- "literal": 0
167
+ "fact_id": "macro.long_bond_yield"
77
168
  }
78
169
  },
79
170
  "coverage_weight": 1,
80
171
  "points": 1,
81
- "rule_id": "proxy_score_1",
172
+ "rule_id": "aschenbrenner_scaling_rate_beats_the_riskless_alternative",
82
173
  "source_ids": [
83
174
  "proxy:d16b09eea457cf401"
84
175
  ]
@@ -86,7 +177,7 @@
86
177
  {
87
178
  "condition": {
88
179
  "left": {
89
- "output_id": "valuation.implied_growth"
180
+ "fact_id": "financial.incremental_return_on_capital"
90
181
  },
91
182
  "op": "gt",
92
183
  "right": {
@@ -95,7 +186,7 @@
95
186
  },
96
187
  "coverage_weight": 1,
97
188
  "points": 1,
98
- "rule_id": "proxy_score_2",
189
+ "rule_id": "aschenbrenner_buildout_earns_on_the_capital_it_consumes",
99
190
  "source_ids": [
100
191
  "proxy:d16b09eea457cf401"
101
192
  ]