@v587d/capital-generation 2.7.2 → 2.7.4
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- package/CHANGELOG.md +119 -0
- package/README.md +10 -9
- package/THIRD_PARTY_NOTICES.md +116 -30
- package/capital-config/client.js +4 -4
- package/capital-config/package.json +1 -1
- package/capital-watchlist/package.json +1 -1
- package/chart-ui/package.json +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/local-fetch.d.ts +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/local-fetch.js +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/sources.d.ts +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/sources.js +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/wind-client.d.ts +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/wind-client.js +1 -1
- package/package.json +3 -1
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/UPSTREAM.md +9 -0
- package/selected-skills/README.md +6 -1
- package/selected-skills/catalog.js +353 -0
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/UPSTREAM.md +2 -1
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/LICENSE +201 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/UPSTREAM.md +173 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-3-statement-model/SKILL.md +287 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-accrual-schedule/SKILL.md +182 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-audit-xls/SKILL.md +231 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-break-trace/SKILL.md +217 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-catalyst-calendar/SKILL.md +258 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-clean-data-xls/SKILL.md +237 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-comps/SKILL.md +104 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-comps-analysis/SKILL.md +196 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-dcf/SKILL.md +81 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-dcf-model/SKILL.md +68 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-deal-screening/SKILL.md +212 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-deck-refresh/SKILL.md +221 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-earnings-analysis/SKILL.md +237 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-earnings-preview/SKILL.md +239 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-gl-recon/SKILL.md +232 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-ib-check-deck/SKILL.md +252 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-idea-generation/SKILL.md +277 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-initiating-coverage/SKILL.md +271 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-lbo-model/SKILL.md +273 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-market-data/SKILL.md +229 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-model-update/SKILL.md +219 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-morning-note/SKILL.md +227 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-ppt-template-creator/SKILL.md +231 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-pptx-author/SKILL.md +240 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-roll-forward/SKILL.md +189 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-sector-overview/SKILL.md +257 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-skill-creator/SKILL.md +304 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-tax-loss-harvesting/SKILL.md +200 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-thesis-tracker/SKILL.md +237 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-variance-commentary/SKILL.md +262 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-xlsx-author/SKILL.md +256 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-accrual-schedule/SKILL.md +190 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-break-trace/SKILL.md +182 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-gl-recon/SKILL.md +200 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-nav-tieout/SKILL.md +233 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-roll-forward/SKILL.md +178 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-variance-commentary/SKILL.md +190 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-buyer-list/SKILL.md +198 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-cim-builder/SKILL.md +223 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-competitive-analysis/SKILL.md +233 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-datapack-builder/SKILL.md +232 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-deal-tracker/SKILL.md +151 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-merger-model/SKILL.md +226 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-pitch-deck/SKILL.md +231 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-process-letter/SKILL.md +249 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-strip-profile/SKILL.md +196 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-teaser/SKILL.md +235 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/operations/skills/china-kyc-doc-parse/SKILL.md +252 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/operations/skills/china-kyc-rules/SKILL.md +223 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-ai-readiness/SKILL.md +184 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-dd-checklist/SKILL.md +217 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-dd-meeting-prep/SKILL.md +290 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-deal-sourcing/SKILL.md +224 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-ic-memo/SKILL.md +230 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-portfolio-monitoring/SKILL.md +214 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-returns-analysis/SKILL.md +176 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-unit-economics/SKILL.md +192 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-value-creation-plan/SKILL.md +193 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-client-report/SKILL.md +205 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-client-review/SKILL.md +218 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-financial-plan/SKILL.md +259 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-investment-proposal/SKILL.md +271 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-portfolio-rebalance/SKILL.md +191 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/UPSTREAM.md +2 -1
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/UPSTREAM.md +4 -3
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/LICENSE +21 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/UPSTREAM.md +111 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/catalyst-map/SKILL.md +119 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/catalyst-map/references/catalyst-framework.md +68 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/SKILL.md +124 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/data-providers.md +26 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/providers/fmp.md +49 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/providers/polygon.md +45 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/providers/tradingeconomics.md +49 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/relevance-ranking.md +24 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-trade-prep/SKILL.md +134 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-trade-prep/references/workflow-framework.md +65 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/evidence-gap-check/SKILL.md +120 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/evidence-gap-check/references/gap-framework.md +66 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/execution-plan-check/SKILL.md +121 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/execution-plan-check/references/execution-checklist.md +70 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/journal-pattern-analyzer/SKILL.md +120 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/journal-pattern-analyzer/references/calculation-helpers.md +16 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/journal-pattern-analyzer/references/pattern-framework.md +74 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/SKILL.md +122 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/references/data-providers.md +23 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/references/interpretation-guide.md +22 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/references/providers/fmp.md +28 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/references/providers/tradingeconomics.md +40 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/SKILL.md +117 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/data-providers.md +26 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/providers/fmp.md +46 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/providers/polygon.md +36 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/providers/tradingeconomics.md +46 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/regime-framework.md +23 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/portfolio-concentration/SKILL.md +119 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/portfolio-concentration/references/concentration-framework.md +72 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/portfolio-risk-review/SKILL.md +126 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/portfolio-risk-review/references/workflow-framework.md +57 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-management/SKILL.md +120 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-management/references/management-framework.md +70 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-sizing/SKILL.md +83 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-sizing/assets/trade-plan-template.md +15 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-sizing/references/calculation-helpers.md +13 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-sizing/references/methodology.md +28 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/post-trade-debrief/SKILL.md +99 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/post-trade-debrief/references/workflow-framework.md +51 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/post-trade-review/SKILL.md +82 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/post-trade-review/references/review-rubric.md +34 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/pre-trade-check/SKILL.md +136 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/pre-trade-check/references/workflow-framework.md +61 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/risk-reward-sanity-check/SKILL.md +81 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/risk-reward-sanity-check/references/calculation-helpers.md +14 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/risk-reward-sanity-check/references/failure-modes.md +9 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/thesis-validation/SKILL.md +123 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/thesis-validation/references/thesis-checklist.md +56 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/watchlist-review/SKILL.md +119 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/watchlist-review/references/review-framework.md +57 -0
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/ADDING-NEW-SKILLS.md +0 -546
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/CHANGELOG.md +0 -373
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/CI-CD-GUIDE.md +0 -432
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/CLAUDE.md +0 -148
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/CONTRIBUTING.md +0 -291
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/DEPLOYMENTS.md +0 -321
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/FAQ.md +0 -509
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/GEMINI.md +0 -419
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/PLATFORM-COMPATIBILITY.md +0 -529
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/README-claude-code.md +0 -435
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/README-cursor.md +0 -475
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/README-gemini.md +0 -532
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/README-ollama.md +0 -106
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/README-zh-TW.md +0 -461
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/README.md +0 -311
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/RELEASE-QUICK-REFERENCE.md +0 -230
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/RELEASE_NOTES.md +0 -121
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/SECURITY.md +0 -232
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/TODO.md +0 -28
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/package.json +0 -64
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/README.md +0 -119
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/.github/ISSUE_TEMPLATE/bug_report.md +0 -35
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/.github/ISSUE_TEMPLATE/skill_request.md +0 -28
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/.github/PULL_REQUEST_TEMPLATE.md +0 -15
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/CHANGELOG.md +0 -59
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/CONTRIBUTING.md +0 -121
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/GITHUB_PUBLISHING.md +0 -259
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/INSTALL.md +0 -151
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/PUBLISH_CHECKLIST.md +0 -165
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/README.en.md +0 -209
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/README.md +0 -209
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/RELEASE_ASSETS.md +0 -222
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/ROADMAP.md +0 -45
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/SKILLS.md +0 -85
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/examples/full-report-flow.md +0 -20
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/examples/module-select-cases.md +0 -26
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/examples/quickstart-prompts.md +0 -25
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/.github/workflows/validate.yml +0 -25
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/.tbd/config.yml +0 -107
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/README.md +0 -253
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/docs/development.md +0 -37
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/docs/roadmap.md +0 -25
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/README.md +0 -305
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---
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name: china-audit-xls
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description: Audit financial models and Excel workbooks for A-share analysis. Adapts the original audit-xls skill for Chinese financial modeling standards, CAS conventions, and A-share-specific checks. Triggers on "A股模型审计", "财务模型核查", "audit model China", "audit xlsx", "模型QC", or "check model [company]".
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---
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# china-audit-xls
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## Purpose
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Audit **A股财务模型** — comprehensive quality checks for Chinese equity financial models.
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## Data Sources
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### Tier 0 — 万得 Wind(最全面付费数据)
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- 覆盖:A股/港美股/基金/指数/债券/宏观/研报/分析(44个工具)
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- MCP 服务:`wind-mcp`(需 `WIND_API_KEY` 密钥,以 `ak_` 开头)
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- 优势:全市场覆盖面最广、数据最全面、包含研报和量化分析
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- 密钥申请:https://aifinmarket.wind.com.cn/#/home
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### Tier 1 — 同花顺 iFind(付费精确数据)/ AkShare MCP(Tier-2 免费备选)
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```python
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get_financials(ticker, "income") → Actuals for cross-check
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get_financials(ticker, "balance") → BS for cross-check
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get_quote(ticker) → Market data
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```
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### Secondary Sources
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- 巨潮 — source financials
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- 审计报告 — reference data
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## Workflow
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### Step 1: Structural Audit
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**Model structure checklist:**
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| Area | Check | Pass Criteria |
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|------|-------|--------------|
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| Cover page | Company, date, version | Present and accurate |
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| Assumptions | All key inputs centralized | No hardcoded values in calc |
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| Historicals | All periods populated | 3-5 years |
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| Forecast | Explicit forecast period | 3-5 years |
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| Valuation | DCF, comps, football field | All methods present |
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| Checks | Sum, balance, cross-ref | All checks green |
|
|
47
|
+
| Documentation | Methodology notes | Clear and complete |
|
|
48
|
+
|
|
49
|
+
### Step 2: Formula Audit
|
|
50
|
+
|
|
51
|
+
**Formula checks:**
|
|
52
|
+
|
|
53
|
+
| Check | Description | Pass Criteria |
|
|
54
|
+
|-------|-------------|--------------|
|
|
55
|
+
| No hardcodes | All inputs in assumptions | ✓ |
|
|
56
|
+
| Consistent formulas | Same formula across periods | ✓ |
|
|
57
|
+
| No circularity (unless intended) | Circular refs flagged | ✓ |
|
|
58
|
+
| Error handling | IFERROR used where needed | ✓ |
|
|
59
|
+
| Named ranges | Key cells named | ✓ |
|
|
60
|
+
| Sheet references | Cross-sheet refs work | ✓ |
|
|
61
|
+
| Broken links | No external links or all work | ✓ |
|
|
62
|
+
|
|
63
|
+
**Common hardcodes to find:**
|
|
64
|
+
- Growth rates embedded in formulas
|
|
65
|
+
- Multiples typed into cells
|
|
66
|
+
- Shares outstanding hardcoded
|
|
67
|
+
- Tax rates not in assumptions
|
|
68
|
+
|
|
69
|
+
### Step 3: Historicals Cross-Check
|
|
70
|
+
|
|
71
|
+
**Cross-check against source data:**
|
|
72
|
+
|
|
73
|
+
| Line Item | Model | iFind / AkShare / 巨潮 | Difference | Explanation |
|
|
74
|
+
|-----------|-------|----------------|------------|-------------|
|
|
75
|
+
| 营业收入 | | | | |
|
|
76
|
+
| 营业成本 | | | | |
|
|
77
|
+
| 归母净利润 | | | | |
|
|
78
|
+
| 总资产 | | | | |
|
|
79
|
+
| 净资产 | | | | |
|
|
80
|
+
| 经营现金流 | | | | |
|
|
81
|
+
|
|
82
|
+
**Cross-check tolerance:**
|
|
83
|
+
- Revenue, profit: ±2%
|
|
84
|
+
- Balance sheet: ±1%
|
|
85
|
+
- Cash flow: ±3% (timing differences)
|
|
86
|
+
|
|
87
|
+
### Step 4: CAS Compliance Check
|
|
88
|
+
|
|
89
|
+
**CAS-specific checks:**
|
|
90
|
+
|
|
91
|
+
| Check | Description |
|
|
92
|
+
|-------|-------------|
|
|
93
|
+
| Revenue net of VAT | 营业收入 not gross |
|
|
94
|
+
| R&D expensed | Not capitalized (unless criteria met) |
|
|
95
|
+
| Tax calculation | 25% / 15% rate applied correctly |
|
|
96
|
+
| Minority interest | Separated from parent equity |
|
|
97
|
+
| Government grants | Correct classification |
|
|
98
|
+
| 合同负债 | Recognized appropriately |
|
|
99
|
+
| 信用减值损失 | CAS 22 model applied |
|
|
100
|
+
|
|
101
|
+
### Step 5: Balance Sheet Integrity
|
|
102
|
+
|
|
103
|
+
**BS checks:**
|
|
104
|
+
|
|
105
|
+
| Check | Formula | Pass |
|
|
106
|
+
|-------|---------|------|
|
|
107
|
+
| BS balances | Assets = L + E | ✓ |
|
|
108
|
+
| Cash flow ties | Ending cash = Beginning + Net CF | ✓ |
|
|
109
|
+
| Debt schedule | Short + Long = Total debt | ✓ |
|
|
110
|
+
| Share count | Shares × Price = Market cap | ✓ |
|
|
111
|
+
| Minority interest | Correct % applied | ✓ |
|
|
112
|
+
|
|
113
|
+
### Step 6: Forecast Logic Check
|
|
114
|
+
|
|
115
|
+
**Forecast quality:**
|
|
116
|
+
|
|
117
|
+
| Check | Description | Pass |
|
|
118
|
+
|-------|-------------|------|
|
|
119
|
+
| Growth reasonable | Within industry range | ✓ |
|
|
120
|
+
| Margins stable | No unexplained jumps | ✓ |
|
|
121
|
+
| Working capital | Trends with revenue | ✓ |
|
|
122
|
+
| CapEx | Consistent with depreciation | ✓ |
|
|
123
|
+
| Debt service | Can be serviced from FCF | ✓ |
|
|
124
|
+
| Dividend | Consistent with policy | ✓ |
|
|
125
|
+
|
|
126
|
+
**Growth rate benchmarks:**
|
|
127
|
+
|
|
128
|
+
| Metric | Conservative | Base | Optimistic |
|
|
129
|
+
|--------|-------------|------|-----------|
|
|
130
|
+
| Revenue growth | 5-10% | 10-20% | 20-30% |
|
|
131
|
+
| Margin expansion | 0 ppts | 0-2 ppts | 2-5 ppts |
|
|
132
|
+
| Tax rate | 25% | 25% | 15% (if 高新) |
|
|
133
|
+
|
|
134
|
+
### Step 7: Valuation Check
|
|
135
|
+
|
|
136
|
+
**Valuation audit:**
|
|
137
|
+
|
|
138
|
+
| Method | Check | Pass |
|
|
139
|
+
|--------|-------|------|
|
|
140
|
+
| DCF | WACC reasonable (6-10%) | ✓ |
|
|
141
|
+
| DCF | Terminal growth < GDP growth | ✓ |
|
|
142
|
+
| DCF | FCF positive in base case | ✓ |
|
|
143
|
+
| Comps | Peer group appropriate | ✓ |
|
|
144
|
+
| Comps | Multiples reasonable | ✓ |
|
|
145
|
+
| Football field | Min/median/max consistent | ✓ |
|
|
146
|
+
|
|
147
|
+
**WACC components (China):**
|
|
148
|
+
|
|
149
|
+
| Component | Typical Range |
|
|
150
|
+
|-----------|--------------|
|
|
151
|
+
| Risk-free rate (CGB 10Y) | 2.0-3.0% |
|
|
152
|
+
| Equity risk premium | 6-8% |
|
|
153
|
+
| Cost of debt | 3-6% |
|
|
154
|
+
| Tax rate | 25% (15% for 高新) |
|
|
155
|
+
|
|
156
|
+
### Step 8: Sensitivity & Scenario Check
|
|
157
|
+
|
|
158
|
+
**Sensitivity audit:**
|
|
159
|
+
|
|
160
|
+
| Check | Description |
|
|
161
|
+
|-------|-------------|
|
|
162
|
+
| Sensitivity tables | Key variables tested |
|
|
163
|
+
| Scenarios | Base / Bull / Bear |
|
|
164
|
+
| Tornado chart | Key drivers identified |
|
|
165
|
+
| Monte Carlo (if used) | Assumptions reasonable |
|
|
166
|
+
|
|
167
|
+
### Step 9: Common A-share Model Errors
|
|
168
|
+
|
|
169
|
+
**Error checklist:**
|
|
170
|
+
|
|
171
|
+
| Error | Detection | Fix |
|
|
172
|
+
|-------|-----------|-----|
|
|
173
|
+
| 收入用含税 | VAT not removed | Divide by 1.13 |
|
|
174
|
+
| 税率错误 | Wrong rate applied | Verify 高新 status |
|
|
175
|
+
| 单位错误 | 千元 vs 万元 | Standardize |
|
|
176
|
+
| 季度加总错误 | Q+Q ≠ Annual | Check sum |
|
|
177
|
+
| 增长率计算 | Wrong base period | Verify formula |
|
|
178
|
+
| 少数股东损益 | Missing | Add if applicable |
|
|
179
|
+
| 折旧年限 | Wrong | Check FA notes |
|
|
180
|
+
|
|
181
|
+
### Step 10: Audit Report
|
|
182
|
+
|
|
183
|
+
**Standard audit output:**
|
|
184
|
+
|
|
185
|
+
```
|
|
186
|
+
【模型审计报告】[Company] [Date]
|
|
187
|
+
|
|
188
|
+
一、结构检查
|
|
189
|
+
[Structure assessment]
|
|
190
|
+
|
|
191
|
+
二、公式检查
|
|
192
|
+
[Formula audit results]
|
|
193
|
+
|
|
194
|
+
三、历史数据核对
|
|
195
|
+
[Cross-check results]
|
|
196
|
+
|
|
197
|
+
四、CAS合规检查
|
|
198
|
+
[CAS compliance]
|
|
199
|
+
|
|
200
|
+
五、预测逻辑检查
|
|
201
|
+
[Forecast quality]
|
|
202
|
+
|
|
203
|
+
六、估值检查
|
|
204
|
+
[Valuation audit]
|
|
205
|
+
|
|
206
|
+
七、发现的问题
|
|
207
|
+
[List of issues with severity]
|
|
208
|
+
|
|
209
|
+
八、建议修复
|
|
210
|
+
[Recommended fixes]
|
|
211
|
+
|
|
212
|
+
总体评价: [Pass / Pass with conditions / Fail]
|
|
213
|
+
```
|
|
214
|
+
|
|
215
|
+
## Quality Checks
|
|
216
|
+
|
|
217
|
+
Before completing:
|
|
218
|
+
- [ ] All structural checks passed
|
|
219
|
+
- [ ] No hardcodes found
|
|
220
|
+
- [ ] Historicals cross-checked
|
|
221
|
+
- [ ] CAS compliant
|
|
222
|
+
- [ ] BS/CF integrity verified
|
|
223
|
+
- [ ] Forecast logic sound
|
|
224
|
+
- [ ] Valuation reasonable
|
|
225
|
+
- [ ] All issues documented
|
|
226
|
+
> **Data Source Mode Switch**: Set env var `IFIND_DATA_SOURCE_MODE` to control data source preference.
|
|
227
|
+
> - `ifind-only` (strict): Use iFind only, error if unavailable
|
|
228
|
+
> - `ifind-fallback` (default): iFind preferred, fallback to AkShare
|
|
229
|
+
> - `akshare-only`: Skip iFind, use AkShare only
|
|
230
|
+
> - `wind-only`: Wind only, error if unavailable
|
|
231
|
+
> - `wind-fallback`: Wind first, fallback to iFind → AkShare
|
|
@@ -0,0 +1,217 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
---
|
|
2
|
+
name: china-break-trace
|
|
3
|
+
description: Forensic financial analysis for A-share companies. Identifies discrepancies, potential irregularities, and earnings quality issues in Chinese financial statements. Adapted from the original break-trace skill for CAS accounting and Chinese market red flags. Triggers on "A股财务核查", "财务异常", "forensic analysis China", "财务舞弊", "earnings quality China", or "investigate [company] financials".
|
|
4
|
+
---
|
|
5
|
+
|
|
6
|
+
# china-break-trace
|
|
7
|
+
|
|
8
|
+
> 本文件相对上游 `d7585ca` 快照做过合规改写(取数与凭据口径),逐条记在快照根目录的 UPSTREAM.md;方法论、阈值与输出模板未改。
|
|
9
|
+
|
|
10
|
+
## Purpose
|
|
11
|
+
|
|
12
|
+
Conduct **A股财务核查** — forensic analysis to identify potential issues in Chinese financial statements.
|
|
13
|
+
|
|
14
|
+
## Data Sources
|
|
15
|
+
|
|
16
|
+
Forensic work is only as good as the records behind it, and this step retrieves nothing itself: the plugin has one entry for data — the main agent delegating to the role that owns structured data or disclosure and web material — and it holds no data-service key here.
|
|
17
|
+
|
|
18
|
+
Send out briefs naming the ticker, the field, and the period:
|
|
19
|
+
|
|
20
|
+
- 三表全周期:利润表 (收入与利润趋势)、资产负债表 (科目余额与结构)、现金流量表 (经营现金流质量) — long enough windows that a break shows up as a change, not as noise
|
|
21
|
+
- 附注与原始披露:定期报告正文与附注、审计报告(意见类型、强调事项段)、异常交易相关公告
|
|
22
|
+
- 监管信号:交易所问询函、证监会处理决定与处罚公告
|
|
23
|
+
|
|
24
|
+
The disclosure venues those briefs resolve to (巨潮、交易所、监管机构网站) are the host retrieval path's business; name the document, not the website. Then work the comparison from what came back: a statement that did not come back is a named gap, and no red flag is raised — or dismissed — on a remembered balance.
|
|
25
|
+
|
|
26
|
+
## Workflow
|
|
27
|
+
|
|
28
|
+
### Step 1: Revenue Quality Analysis
|
|
29
|
+
|
|
30
|
+
**Revenue red flags:**
|
|
31
|
+
|
|
32
|
+
| Indicator | Check | Red Flag |
|
|
33
|
+
|-----------|-------|----------|
|
|
34
|
+
| 应收账款/收入 | AR / Revenue | >40% or rising fast |
|
|
35
|
+
| 应收账款增速 vs 收入增速 | Growth comparison | AR growing >> Revenue |
|
|
36
|
+
| 经营活动现金流/净利润 | OCF / Net Income | <0.5 or negative |
|
|
37
|
+
| 收入确认政策 | Notes review | Aggressive recognition |
|
|
38
|
+
| 客户集中度 | Top customers | >30% from one customer |
|
|
39
|
+
| 关联交易 | Related party | High % of revenue |
|
|
40
|
+
|
|
41
|
+
**Revenue quality score:**
|
|
42
|
+
|
|
43
|
+
| Metric | Score (1-5) | Notes |
|
|
44
|
+
|--------|-------------|-------|
|
|
45
|
+
| OCF/NI ratio | | 5 = OCF >> NI |
|
|
46
|
+
| AR days | | 5 = low/stable |
|
|
47
|
+
| Revenue concentration | | 5 = diversified |
|
|
48
|
+
| Growth quality | | 5 = organic, recurring |
|
|
49
|
+
| Cash conversion | | 5 = excellent |
|
|
50
|
+
|
|
51
|
+
### Step 2: Profit Quality Analysis
|
|
52
|
+
|
|
53
|
+
**Profit red flags:**
|
|
54
|
+
|
|
55
|
+
| Indicator | Check | Red Flag |
|
|
56
|
+
|-----------|-------|----------|
|
|
57
|
+
| 营业利润 vs 净利润 | Operating profit vs net | Large gap |
|
|
58
|
+
| 非经常性损益 | Non-recurring items | >20% of profit |
|
|
59
|
+
| 政府补助 | Government subsidies | High % of profit |
|
|
60
|
+
| 资产减值 | Impairments | Irregular timing |
|
|
61
|
+
| 投资收益 | Investment income | Unsustainable |
|
|
62
|
+
| 毛利率趋势 | Gross margin | Unexplained changes |
|
|
63
|
+
|
|
64
|
+
**Profit decomposition:**
|
|
65
|
+
|
|
66
|
+
```
|
|
67
|
+
净利润 = 营业利润 + 营业外收支 - 所得税
|
|
68
|
+
|
|
69
|
+
分析重点:
|
|
70
|
+
1. 营业利润占比 (营业利润/净利润): 应>80%
|
|
71
|
+
2. 非经常性损益: 识别一次性项目
|
|
72
|
+
3. 政府补助依赖度: 补助/净利润
|
|
73
|
+
4. 减值损失波动: 是否平滑利润?
|
|
74
|
+
```
|
|
75
|
+
|
|
76
|
+
### Step 3: Cash Flow Quality
|
|
77
|
+
|
|
78
|
+
**Cash flow analysis:**
|
|
79
|
+
|
|
80
|
+
| Metric | Formula | Healthy | Concern |
|
|
81
|
+
|--------|---------|---------|---------|
|
|
82
|
+
| OCF/NI | OCF / Net Income | >1 | <0.5 |
|
|
83
|
+
| FCF | OCF - CapEx | Positive | Negative |
|
|
84
|
+
| OCF/Revenue | OCF / Revenue | >5% | <0% |
|
|
85
|
+
| 投资活动现金流 | Investing CF | Outflows (growth) | Large inflows (asset sales?) |
|
|
86
|
+
|
|
87
|
+
**Cash flow quality score:**
|
|
88
|
+
|
|
89
|
+
| Indicator | Healthy | Warning |
|
|
90
|
+
|-----------|---------|---------|
|
|
91
|
+
| OCF consistently positive | ✓ | Negative OCF |
|
|
92
|
+
| OCF tracks NI | ✓ | Large divergence |
|
|
93
|
+
| CapEx sustainable | ✓ | CapEx >> OCF |
|
|
94
|
+
| No frequent asset sales | ✓ | Asset disposal income |
|
|
95
|
+
|
|
96
|
+
### Step 4: Balance Sheet Anomalies
|
|
97
|
+
|
|
98
|
+
**Balance sheet checks:**
|
|
99
|
+
|
|
100
|
+
| Area | Red Flags |
|
|
101
|
+
|------|-----------|
|
|
102
|
+
| 货币资金 | Large cash + high debt (possible restriction) |
|
|
103
|
+
| 应收账款 | Rapid growth, aging issues |
|
|
104
|
+
| 其他应收款 | Unusually large (possible tunneling) |
|
|
105
|
+
| 存货 | Rapid growth, no explanation |
|
|
106
|
+
| 在建工程 | Never completed (capitalized costs?) |
|
|
107
|
+
| 商誉 | High % of equity (>30%) |
|
|
108
|
+
| 长期待摊费用 | Unusually large |
|
|
109
|
+
| 负债 | Off-balance sheet items |
|
|
110
|
+
|
|
111
|
+
**Specific balance sheet ratios:**
|
|
112
|
+
|
|
113
|
+
| Ratio | Formula | Concern |
|
|
114
|
+
|-------|---------|---------|
|
|
115
|
+
| 有息负债/净资产 | Interest-bearing debt / Equity | >100% |
|
|
116
|
+
| 货币资金/有息负债 | Cash / Interest-bearing debt | <0.3 |
|
|
117
|
+
| 商誉/净资产 | Goodwill / Equity | >30% |
|
|
118
|
+
| 其他应收款/资产 | Other receivables / Total assets | >5% |
|
|
119
|
+
| 存货周转天数 | Inventory days | Sudden increase |
|
|
120
|
+
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### Step 5: Related Party Analysis
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**Related party red flags:**
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| 关联交易金额 | % of revenue/costs |
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| 关联交易定价 | Arm's length? |
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| 关联应收应付 | Balances with related parties |
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| 资金占用 | Funds tied up with related parties |
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| 担保 | Guarantees for related parties |
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**Common tunneling mechanisms:**
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- 担保 for related party debt
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### Step 6: Earnings Management Detection
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**Earnings management indicators:**
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| 费用资本化 | CapEx unusual, D&A low |
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| 收入提前确认 | AR rising, 预收账款 falling |
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| 估计变更 | Reserve changes |
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**Beneish M-Score (adapted for China):**
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|----------|------------|
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| DSRI | Days sales in receivables change |
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| GMI | Gross margin deterioration |
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| AQI | Asset quality index |
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| SGI | Sales growth index |
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| DEPI | Depreciation index |
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| SGAI | SG&A index |
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| LVGI | Leverage index |
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| TATA | Total accruals / Total assets |
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### Step 7: Auditor & Filing Analysis
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**Audit report review:**
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| Item | Review |
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|------|--------|
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| 审计意见 | Standard / Modified / Adverse |
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| 强调事项段 | Any emphasis of matter? |
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| 关键审计事项 | Key audit matters |
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| 审计师变更 | Recent change? |
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| 审计费用 | Unusual changes? |
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**Filing review:**
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- 年报 vs 中报 consistency
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- Notes completeness
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- Segment disclosures
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| Related party disclosures
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| Commitments and contingencies
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### Step 8: Regulatory Signals
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**Regulatory red flags:**
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| Source | Signals |
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|--------|---------|
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| 交易所问询函 | Inquiry letters |
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| 证监会关注函 | Regulatory attention |
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| 行政处罚 | Fines, penalties |
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| 交易所纪律处分 | Disciplinary actions |
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| 投资者诉讼 | Shareholder lawsuits |
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## Common A-share Fraud Patterns
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| Pattern | Description | Detection |
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|---------|-------------|-----------|
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| 虚增收入 | Fictitious revenue | AR anomaly, tax mismatch |
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| 虚减成本 | Understate costs | Margin anomaly |
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| 关联交易非关联化 | Related party disguised | Customer/supplier analysis |
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| 资金循环 | Round-tripping | Cash flow analysis |
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| 资产置换 | Asset swapping | Unusual asset changes |
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| 会计估计操纵 | Estimate manipulation | Reserve changes |
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## Quality Checks
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Before delivering report:
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- [ ] All red flags investigated
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- [ ] Evidence documented
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- [ ] Severity assessed
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- [ ] Conclusions supported
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- [ ] Regulatory signals checked
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- [ ] Report structured clearly
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> 取数档位(接哪家数据服务、用哪个密钥)由宿主的凭据域决定:这份核查报告不配置它,也不向使用者索取凭据。
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@@ -0,0 +1,258 @@
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---
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name: china-catalyst-calendar
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description: Track upcoming catalysts for A-share coverage universe — earnings dates, regulatory announcements, sector conferences, product launches, and policy events relevant to Chinese equities. Adapted from the original catalyst-calendar skill for A-share market conventions. Triggers on "A股催化剂日历", "事件日历", "财报日历", "earnings calendar A-share", "upcoming catalysts China", or "what's coming up for [company]".
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---
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# china-catalyst-calendar
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> 本文件相对上游 `d7585ca` 快照做过合规改写(取数与凭据口径),逐条记在快照根目录的 UPSTREAM.md;方法论、阈值与输出模板未改。
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## Purpose
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Build and maintain a **A股催化剂日历** tracking upcoming events that could materially impact stock prices within a coverage universe.
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## Catalyst Types (A-share Specific)
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### 1. Earnings & Financial Reports
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| Event | Typical Timing | Notes |
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|-------|---------------|-------|
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| 业绩预告 (earnings preview) | 1-4 weeks before | Mandatory if variance >50% from prior |
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| 季报 (quarterly report) | 1 month after quarter-end | 10-day grace period possible |
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| 中报 (semi-annual report) | 2 months after H1 | 15-day grace period |
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| 年报 (annual report) | 4 months after year-end | Most important event of the year |
|
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| 业绩说明会 (earnings call) | Same day or next trading day | 上证e互动 / 深交所互动易 |
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+
|
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### 2. Regulatory & Policy Events
|
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| Event | Impact | Typical Timing |
|
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29
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|-------|--------|---------------|
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| 央行MLF/LPR操作 | High (liquidity, rates) | 15th of each month (MLF) |
|
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31
|
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| 央行降准/降息 | Very high | Ad-hoc, 国新办发布会 |
|
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32
|
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| 国务院政策发布 | Sector-specific | Ad-hoc |
|
|
33
|
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| 部委监管政策 (NMPA, MIIT, etc.) | Industry-specific | Ad-hoc |
|
|
34
|
+
| 集采结果 (volume-based procurement) | Pharma/medtech | Quarterly cycles |
|
|
35
|
+
| 行业准入政策变化 | Sector-specific | Ad-hoc |
|
|
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|
+
| 反垄断调查 | Specific companies | Ad-hoc |
|
|
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|
+
|
|
38
|
+
### 3. Corporate Events
|
|
39
|
+
|
|
40
|
+
| Event | Impact | Notes |
|
|
41
|
+
|-------|--------|-------|
|
|
42
|
+
| 股东大会 (AGM) | Low-medium | Voting on key items |
|
|
43
|
+
| 分红/送股/转增 (dividend/rights) | Medium | Ex-dividend date matters |
|
|
44
|
+
| 限售股解禁 (lock-up expiry) | Medium-high | Watch large blocks |
|
|
45
|
+
| 增减持公告 (shareholder transactions) | Low-medium | 5% threshold triggers disclosure |
|
|
46
|
+
| 回购 (share buyback) | Low-medium | Implementation tracking |
|
|
47
|
+
| 并购重组 (M&A announcements) | High | 停牌 until announcement |
|
|
48
|
+
| 增发/配股 (seasoned equity) | High | Dilution impact |
|
|
49
|
+
| 可转债发行/转股 | Medium | Conversion tracking |
|
|
50
|
+
|
|
51
|
+
### 4. Sector / Industry Events
|
|
52
|
+
|
|
53
|
+
| Event | Example Sectors | Notes |
|
|
54
|
+
|-------|----------------|-------|
|
|
55
|
+
| 行业展会/论坛 | 新能源, 半导体, 医药 | Networking, product announcements |
|
|
56
|
+
| 政策研讨会 | 环保, 教育, 互联网 | Policy direction signals |
|
|
57
|
+
| 行业协会数据发布 | 汽车, 光伏, 风电 | Monthly/quarterly stats |
|
|
58
|
+
| 国际展会 (CES, IFA, etc.) | 消费电子 | New product launches |
|
|
59
|
+
|
|
60
|
+
### 5. Macro Data Releases
|
|
61
|
+
|
|
62
|
+
| Indicator | Frequency | Impact |
|
|
63
|
+
|-----------|-----------|--------|
|
|
64
|
+
| PMI (制造业/非制造业) | Monthly (1st) | Market-wide |
|
|
65
|
+
| CPI / PPI | Monthly (9-10th) | Rates, commodities |
|
|
66
|
+
| 社会融资规模 / M2 | Monthly (10-15th) | Liquidity |
|
|
67
|
+
| 外汇储备 | Monthly | FX sentiment |
|
|
68
|
+
| 工业增加值 | Monthly | Growth indicator |
|
|
69
|
+
| 零售数据 | Monthly | Consumption |
|
|
70
|
+
| 就业数据 | Quarterly | Labor market |
|
|
71
|
+
|
|
72
|
+
## Data Sources
|
|
73
|
+
|
|
74
|
+
A calendar is a list of dates and documents, and this plugin obtains none of them from inside this step: retrieval has exactly one entry — the main agent delegating it to the role that owns market data or web and disclosure material — and a calendar holds no data-service key and issues no query of its own.
|
|
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|
+
|
|
76
|
+
Hand over one brief per family, each naming the ticker or the indicator, the field wanted, and the as-of date:
|
|
77
|
+
|
|
78
|
+
- 公司事件:分红、回购、股东大会、解禁、披露安排, plus the 公告 and 相关新闻 behind each entry
|
|
79
|
+
- 公司底色:profile, 股本结构, and the historical earnings pattern that tells you which quarter is material
|
|
80
|
+
- 交易状态:current quote and trading context for each name on the calendar
|
|
81
|
+
- 全市场:指数行情 as macro backdrop, and market-wide news flow
|
|
82
|
+
- 宏观发布:the indicator calendar above (CPI / PMI / 工业增加值 / 零售 / 就业) with its release dates
|
|
83
|
+
|
|
84
|
+
The disclosure venues these briefs eventually resolve to — 巨潮公告、上交所公告、深交所公告 — are the host retrieval role's business, not a browsing task for this step: name the document type you need and let the retrieval path decide where it lives. In a role-split host, delegate rather than searching from here, then keep calendar entries that came back and mark the rest as unconfirmed dates.
|
|
85
|
+
|
|
86
|
+
## Workflow
|
|
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|
+
|
|
88
|
+
### Step 1: Define Coverage Universe
|
|
89
|
+
|
|
90
|
+
Identify the stocks and sectors to track. Typical A-share coverage universe:
|
|
91
|
+
- 50-200 names
|
|
92
|
+
- Organized by sector/industry
|
|
93
|
+
- Priority tiers (P1 = must-track, P2 = watchlist)
|
|
94
|
+
|
|
95
|
+
### Step 2: Build Calendar Entries
|
|
96
|
+
|
|
97
|
+
**For each catalyst, record:**
|
|
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|
+
|
|
99
|
+
```json
|
|
100
|
+
{
|
|
101
|
+
"date": "2024-04-25",
|
|
102
|
+
"type": "earnings",
|
|
103
|
+
"subtype": "季报",
|
|
104
|
+
"ticker": "{{TICKER}}",
|
|
105
|
+
"company": "{{COMPANY_NAME}}",
|
|
106
|
+
"importance": "high",
|
|
107
|
+
"notes": "Q1 2024 results; watch 批价 and inventory",
|
|
108
|
+
"status": "confirmed"
|
|
109
|
+
}
|
|
110
|
+
```
|
|
111
|
+
|
|
112
|
+
**Catalyst types in JSON:**
|
|
113
|
+
- `earnings` — quarterly/semi/annual reports
|
|
114
|
+
- `earnings_call` — 业绩说明会
|
|
115
|
+
- `regulatory` — 监管政策发布
|
|
116
|
+
- `policy` — 宏观政策 (央行, 国务院)
|
|
117
|
+
- `corporate` — 公司事件 (分红, 解禁, M&A)
|
|
118
|
+
- `macro_data` — 经济数据发布
|
|
119
|
+
- `sector_event` — 行业展会/论坛
|
|
120
|
+
- `lockup_expiry` — 限售股解禁
|
|
121
|
+
|
|
122
|
+
### Step 3: Prioritize Catalysts
|
|
123
|
+
|
|
124
|
+
**Importance levels:**
|
|
125
|
+
- **Critical**: Likely to move stock >10% (earnings, M&A, major policy)
|
|
126
|
+
- **High**: Likely to move stock 5-10% (regulatory decisions, industry data)
|
|
127
|
+
- **Medium**: Watch item, context-setting (dividend, conference participation)
|
|
128
|
+
- **Low**: Background noise (routine filings, minor announcements)
|
|
129
|
+
|
|
130
|
+
### Step 4: Pre-Catalyst Preparation
|
|
131
|
+
|
|
132
|
+
**1 week before critical catalysts:**
|
|
133
|
+
- Pull latest data and consensus
|
|
134
|
+
- Prepare scenario analysis
|
|
135
|
+
- Draft preliminary positioning note
|
|
136
|
+
- Alert stakeholders if high-impact
|
|
137
|
+
|
|
138
|
+
**1 day before critical catalysts:**
|
|
139
|
+
- Final data check
|
|
140
|
+
- Confirm release timing (morning vs afternoon)
|
|
141
|
+
- Prepare pre-market positioning note
|
|
142
|
+
- Set monitoring alerts
|
|
143
|
+
|
|
144
|
+
### Step 5: Post-Catalyst Update
|
|
145
|
+
|
|
146
|
+
After catalyst passes:
|
|
147
|
+
- Record actual outcome
|
|
148
|
+
- Compare vs scenario framework
|
|
149
|
+
- Update price target / thesis if material
|
|
150
|
+
- Move to "completed" section
|
|
151
|
+
- Flag next catalyst in queue
|
|
152
|
+
|
|
153
|
+
## Calendar Format
|
|
154
|
+
|
|
155
|
+
### Weekly View
|
|
156
|
+
|
|
157
|
+
```
|
|
158
|
+
【本周催化剂日历】[YYYY-MM-DD 至 YYYY-MM-DD]
|
|
159
|
+
|
|
160
|
+
周一 [Date]
|
|
161
|
+
- [Time] [Ticker] [Company] — [Event type] — [Importance]
|
|
162
|
+
- [Time] [Macro event] — [Impact assessment]
|
|
163
|
+
|
|
164
|
+
周二 [Date]
|
|
165
|
+
...
|
|
166
|
+
|
|
167
|
+
本周重点:
|
|
168
|
+
- [Top 2-3 catalysts to watch]
|
|
169
|
+
- [Market-wide risk events]
|
|
170
|
+
```
|
|
171
|
+
|
|
172
|
+
### Monthly View
|
|
173
|
+
|
|
174
|
+
```
|
|
175
|
+
【X月重要事件日历】
|
|
176
|
+
|
|
177
|
+
财报窗口:
|
|
178
|
+
- [Week 1]: [Sector] Q[X] results: [List of companies]
|
|
179
|
+
- [Week 2]: [Sector] Q[X] results: [List of companies]
|
|
180
|
+
|
|
181
|
+
政策窗口:
|
|
182
|
+
- [Date]: [Policy event] — [Expected impact]
|
|
183
|
+
|
|
184
|
+
解禁窗口:
|
|
185
|
+
- [Date]: [Ticker] — [Amount] shares unlocking — [Risk assessment]
|
|
186
|
+
|
|
187
|
+
宏观数据:
|
|
188
|
+
- [Date]: [Indicator] — [Consensus] — [Previous]
|
|
189
|
+
```
|
|
190
|
+
|
|
191
|
+
### Upcoming Catalysts Table
|
|
192
|
+
|
|
193
|
+
| Date | Company | Event | Importance | Watch Item |
|
|
194
|
+
|------|---------|-------|------------|------------|
|
|
195
|
+
| {{DATE}} | {{COMPANY_NAME}} ({{TICKER}}) | {{EVENT_TYPE}} | {{IMPORTANCE}} | {{WATCH_ITEMS}} |
|
|
196
|
+
| Example | 贵州茅台 (600519) | Q1 年报 | Critical | 批价, 动销 |
|
|
197
|
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| 04-30 | 工信部 | 新能源车月度数据 | Medium | 销量, 渗透率 |
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198
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+
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199
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+
## China-Specific Considerations
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200
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+
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|
201
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+
### Earnings Calendar Patterns
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202
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+
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|
203
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+
| Season | Months | Key Notes |
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204
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+
|--------|--------|-----------|
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205
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+
| Q1 earnings | Late April | 年报 + Q1季报 叠加, 信息密集 |
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|
206
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+
| H1 earnings | Late August | 中报窗口, 分红预案公布 |
|
|
207
|
+
| Q3 earnings | Late October | 三季报, 全年预测调整 |
|
|
208
|
+
| Annual earnings | Jan-April | 年报密集发布, 分红方案 |
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|
209
|
+
|
|
210
|
+
### Lock-up Expiry (限售股解禁)
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|
211
|
+
|
|
212
|
+
- 首发限售股 (IPO lock-up): typically 12 months
|
|
213
|
+
- 定增限售股 (private placement): typically 6-18 months
|
|
214
|
+
- 股权激励限售股: varies by plan
|
|
215
|
+
- High lock-up expiry → potential selling pressure
|
|
216
|
+
|
|
217
|
+
**Risk assessment:**
|
|
218
|
+
- Large percentage of float unlocking (>5%) → high risk
|
|
219
|
+
- Concentrated holders (single entity) → higher impact
|
|
220
|
+
- Company in downtrend → higher probability of sale
|
|
221
|
+
|
|
222
|
+
### Regulatory Calendar
|
|
223
|
+
|
|
224
|
+
**Recurring policy events:**
|
|
225
|
+
- 中央经济工作会议 (Central Economic Work Conference): Dec
|
|
226
|
+
- 两会 (Two Sessions / NPC & CPPCC): Mar
|
|
227
|
+
- 政治局会议 (Politburo meeting): Monthly (economics discussed ~quarterly)
|
|
228
|
+
- 国新办发布会 (State Council Info Office presser): Ad-hoc
|
|
229
|
+
- 央行货币政策执行报告: Quarterly
|
|
230
|
+
|
|
231
|
+
### Dividend Calendar
|
|
232
|
+
|
|
233
|
+
- 股权登记日 (record date): critical for dividend capture
|
|
234
|
+
- 除权除息日 (ex-dividend date): price adjusts
|
|
235
|
+
- 分红实施公告: typically 2-4 weeks after AGM approval
|
|
236
|
+
- 高送转 (high bonus issue): historically market-positive event
|
|
237
|
+
|
|
238
|
+
## Integration with Other Skills
|
|
239
|
+
|
|
240
|
+
| Related Skill | Integration Point |
|
|
241
|
+
|---------------|-------------------|
|
|
242
|
+
| china-earnings-analysis | Post-earnings catalyst review |
|
|
243
|
+
| china-earnings-preview | Pre-earnings scenario setup |
|
|
244
|
+
| china-thesis-tracker | Catalyst milestone tracking |
|
|
245
|
+
| china-morning-note | Daily catalyst briefing |
|
|
246
|
+
| china-market-researcher | Sector catalyst themes |
|
|
247
|
+
|
|
248
|
+
A skill named above is an option for the user, not a step this role can take: only the skills the user switched on exist in this session, and the ones this plugin deliberately does not offer — placing orders, setting position size — are not reachable at all. Say what you would check next and let the user decide.
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|
249
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+
|
|
250
|
+
## Quality Checks
|
|
251
|
+
|
|
252
|
+
Before delivering:
|
|
253
|
+
- [ ] Calendar covers 4-12 weeks ahead
|
|
254
|
+
- [ ] All critical catalysts flagged
|
|
255
|
+
- [ ] Dates verified against official sources
|
|
256
|
+
- [ ] Importance levels assigned consistently
|
|
257
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+
- [ ] Watch items specific and actionable
|
|
258
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+
- [ ] Pre-catalyst preparation tasks defined
|