@v587d/capital-generation 2.7.2 → 2.7.4
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- package/CHANGELOG.md +119 -0
- package/README.md +10 -9
- package/THIRD_PARTY_NOTICES.md +116 -30
- package/capital-config/client.js +4 -4
- package/capital-config/package.json +1 -1
- package/capital-watchlist/package.json +1 -1
- package/chart-ui/package.json +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/local-fetch.d.ts +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/local-fetch.js +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/sources.d.ts +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/sources.js +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/wind-client.d.ts +1 -1
- package/lib/web-retriever/wind-client.js +1 -1
- package/package.json +3 -1
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/UPSTREAM.md +9 -0
- package/selected-skills/README.md +6 -1
- package/selected-skills/catalog.js +353 -0
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/UPSTREAM.md +2 -1
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/LICENSE +201 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/UPSTREAM.md +173 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-3-statement-model/SKILL.md +287 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-accrual-schedule/SKILL.md +182 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-audit-xls/SKILL.md +231 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-break-trace/SKILL.md +217 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-catalyst-calendar/SKILL.md +258 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-clean-data-xls/SKILL.md +237 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-comps/SKILL.md +104 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-comps-analysis/SKILL.md +196 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-dcf/SKILL.md +81 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-dcf-model/SKILL.md +68 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-deal-screening/SKILL.md +212 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-deck-refresh/SKILL.md +221 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-earnings-analysis/SKILL.md +237 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-earnings-preview/SKILL.md +239 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-gl-recon/SKILL.md +232 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-ib-check-deck/SKILL.md +252 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-idea-generation/SKILL.md +277 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-initiating-coverage/SKILL.md +271 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-lbo-model/SKILL.md +273 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-market-data/SKILL.md +229 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-model-update/SKILL.md +219 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-morning-note/SKILL.md +227 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-ppt-template-creator/SKILL.md +231 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-pptx-author/SKILL.md +240 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-roll-forward/SKILL.md +189 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-sector-overview/SKILL.md +257 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-skill-creator/SKILL.md +304 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-tax-loss-harvesting/SKILL.md +200 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-thesis-tracker/SKILL.md +237 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-variance-commentary/SKILL.md +262 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-xlsx-author/SKILL.md +256 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-accrual-schedule/SKILL.md +190 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-break-trace/SKILL.md +182 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-gl-recon/SKILL.md +200 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-nav-tieout/SKILL.md +233 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-roll-forward/SKILL.md +178 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-variance-commentary/SKILL.md +190 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-buyer-list/SKILL.md +198 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-cim-builder/SKILL.md +223 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-competitive-analysis/SKILL.md +233 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-datapack-builder/SKILL.md +232 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-deal-tracker/SKILL.md +151 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-merger-model/SKILL.md +226 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-pitch-deck/SKILL.md +231 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-process-letter/SKILL.md +249 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-strip-profile/SKILL.md +196 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-teaser/SKILL.md +235 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/operations/skills/china-kyc-doc-parse/SKILL.md +252 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/operations/skills/china-kyc-rules/SKILL.md +223 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-ai-readiness/SKILL.md +184 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-dd-checklist/SKILL.md +217 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-dd-meeting-prep/SKILL.md +290 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-deal-sourcing/SKILL.md +224 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-ic-memo/SKILL.md +230 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-portfolio-monitoring/SKILL.md +214 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-returns-analysis/SKILL.md +176 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-unit-economics/SKILL.md +192 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-value-creation-plan/SKILL.md +193 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-client-report/SKILL.md +205 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-client-review/SKILL.md +218 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-financial-plan/SKILL.md +259 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-investment-proposal/SKILL.md +271 -0
- package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-portfolio-rebalance/SKILL.md +191 -0
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/UPSTREAM.md +2 -1
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/UPSTREAM.md +4 -3
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/LICENSE +21 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/UPSTREAM.md +111 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/catalyst-map/SKILL.md +119 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/catalyst-map/references/catalyst-framework.md +68 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/SKILL.md +124 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/data-providers.md +26 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/providers/fmp.md +49 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/providers/polygon.md +45 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/providers/tradingeconomics.md +49 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/relevance-ranking.md +24 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-trade-prep/SKILL.md +134 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-trade-prep/references/workflow-framework.md +65 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/evidence-gap-check/SKILL.md +120 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/evidence-gap-check/references/gap-framework.md +66 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/execution-plan-check/SKILL.md +121 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/execution-plan-check/references/execution-checklist.md +70 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/journal-pattern-analyzer/SKILL.md +120 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/journal-pattern-analyzer/references/calculation-helpers.md +16 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/journal-pattern-analyzer/references/pattern-framework.md +74 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/SKILL.md +122 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/references/data-providers.md +23 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/references/interpretation-guide.md +22 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/references/providers/fmp.md +28 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/references/providers/tradingeconomics.md +40 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/SKILL.md +117 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/data-providers.md +26 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/providers/fmp.md +46 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/providers/polygon.md +36 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/providers/tradingeconomics.md +46 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/regime-framework.md +23 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/portfolio-concentration/SKILL.md +119 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/portfolio-concentration/references/concentration-framework.md +72 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/portfolio-risk-review/SKILL.md +126 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/portfolio-risk-review/references/workflow-framework.md +57 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-management/SKILL.md +120 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-management/references/management-framework.md +70 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-sizing/SKILL.md +83 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-sizing/assets/trade-plan-template.md +15 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-sizing/references/calculation-helpers.md +13 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-sizing/references/methodology.md +28 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/post-trade-debrief/SKILL.md +99 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/post-trade-debrief/references/workflow-framework.md +51 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/post-trade-review/SKILL.md +82 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/post-trade-review/references/review-rubric.md +34 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/pre-trade-check/SKILL.md +136 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/pre-trade-check/references/workflow-framework.md +61 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/risk-reward-sanity-check/SKILL.md +81 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/risk-reward-sanity-check/references/calculation-helpers.md +14 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/risk-reward-sanity-check/references/failure-modes.md +9 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/thesis-validation/SKILL.md +123 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/thesis-validation/references/thesis-checklist.md +56 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/watchlist-review/SKILL.md +119 -0
- package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/watchlist-review/references/review-framework.md +57 -0
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/ADDING-NEW-SKILLS.md +0 -546
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/CHANGELOG.md +0 -373
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/CI-CD-GUIDE.md +0 -432
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/CLAUDE.md +0 -148
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/CONTRIBUTING.md +0 -291
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/DEPLOYMENTS.md +0 -321
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/FAQ.md +0 -509
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/GEMINI.md +0 -419
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/PLATFORM-COMPATIBILITY.md +0 -529
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/README-claude-code.md +0 -435
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/README-cursor.md +0 -475
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/README-gemini.md +0 -532
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/README-ollama.md +0 -106
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/README-zh-TW.md +0 -461
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/README.md +0 -311
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/RELEASE-QUICK-REFERENCE.md +0 -230
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/RELEASE_NOTES.md +0 -121
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/SECURITY.md +0 -232
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/TODO.md +0 -28
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/package.json +0 -64
- package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/README.md +0 -119
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/.github/ISSUE_TEMPLATE/bug_report.md +0 -35
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/.github/ISSUE_TEMPLATE/skill_request.md +0 -28
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/.github/PULL_REQUEST_TEMPLATE.md +0 -15
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/CHANGELOG.md +0 -59
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/CONTRIBUTING.md +0 -121
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/GITHUB_PUBLISHING.md +0 -259
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/INSTALL.md +0 -151
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/PUBLISH_CHECKLIST.md +0 -165
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/README.en.md +0 -209
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/README.md +0 -209
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/RELEASE_ASSETS.md +0 -222
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/ROADMAP.md +0 -45
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/SKILLS.md +0 -85
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/examples/full-report-flow.md +0 -20
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/examples/module-select-cases.md +0 -26
- package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/examples/quickstart-prompts.md +0 -25
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/.github/workflows/validate.yml +0 -25
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/.tbd/config.yml +0 -107
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/README.md +0 -253
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/docs/development.md +0 -37
- package/selected-skills/investment-skills/docs/roadmap.md +0 -25
- package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/README.md +0 -305
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name: catalyst-map
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description: Build a ranked map of the catalysts that could move a watchlist, theme, or portfolio by showing what matters, when it matters, and how those events could transmit across related names or exposures.
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---
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# Catalyst Map
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Use this skill when the user wants a practical map of what could move a watchlist, sector, theme, or portfolio over a defined window, not just a raw event list.
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- predict the market reaction to a catalyst
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- replace detailed earnings or macro-event analysis for a single event
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## Role
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Act like a cross-asset catalyst planner. Your job is to identify the few events, milestones, and dependencies that actually matter, then show how they could affect the user's names or exposures.
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## When to use it
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- understand which events matter most for a sector, basket, or portfolio
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- connect company, macro, policy, product, regulatory, or industry catalysts into one map
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- decide which names need deeper prep and which catalysts only deserve background monitoring
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## Inputs and context
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- the watchlist, theme, sector, or portfolio slice being mapped
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- the timeframe: next session, next week, next month, next quarter
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- the user's objective: swing prep, event-risk awareness, long-term monitoring, or idea discovery
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- any known catalysts already in view, such as earnings, product launches, CPI, FOMC, OPEC, trial data, policy dates, investor days, or guidance updates
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- which exposures matter most: single names, suppliers, customers, indexes, sectors, or macro-sensitive holdings
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The map is built from what the user already has. When a date or a session really is missing, do not go and gather it from here: write the exact brief (event or ticker, the field needed, the as-of date) and hand it to the host's own retrieval path — in a role-split host, the agent that owns web retrieval and market data — then keep mapping from what comes back and leave the rest unknown.
|
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50
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+
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51
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+
## Analysis process
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52
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+
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53
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+
1. Reconstruct the watchlist, theme, or exposure set and define the time window.
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54
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+
2. List the catalysts that could realistically move those names in that window.
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55
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+
3. Rank the catalysts by decision relevance, not by headline count.
|
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56
|
+
4. Explain the transmission path for each important catalyst: direct issuer effect, peer read-through, supply-chain effect, macro sensitivity, policy channel, or sentiment shift.
|
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57
|
+
5. Separate high-priority catalysts from background noise.
|
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58
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+
6. Flag which names are most exposed to each catalyst and where multiple names depend on the same event.
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+
7. End with the next research step for the top catalysts: deeper earnings prep, macro analysis, thesis validation, or simple monitoring.
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60
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+
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61
|
+
Use [references/catalyst-framework.md](references/catalyst-framework.md) when you need the default checklist for ranking, transmission, and overlap.
|
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|
+
|
|
63
|
+
## Core Assessment Framework
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64
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+
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65
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+
Assess each catalyst on five anchors before calling it important:
|
|
66
|
+
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67
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+
- `Timing Relevance`: whether the catalyst falls inside the user's actual decision window. Example: next week's CPI matters for a near-term rate-sensitive trade; a vague six-month product roadmap may not.
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+
- `Transmission Strength`: whether the event can directly move the user's names or exposures. Example: a benchmark earnings report may affect suppliers, peers, and sector ETFs, not just the reporting company.
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69
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+
- `Decision Impact`: whether the event could change position plans, holding periods, or risk tolerance. Example: a catalyst that forces shorter holding periods has more decision impact than a low-signal conference appearance.
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+
- `Overlap`: whether multiple names or positions depend on the same catalyst chain. Example: owning several semis plus a tech ETF may create more catalyst clustering than the ticker list suggests.
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71
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+
- `Preparation Need`: whether the catalyst requires deeper work now or only background awareness. Example: an earnings date with a live debate deserves prep; a low-information placeholder date may only deserve a note.
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72
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+
|
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73
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+
Use the anchors to classify:
|
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74
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+
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75
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+
- `primary catalyst`: high decision relevance and strong transmission into the user's names or exposures
|
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76
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+
- `secondary catalyst`: worth monitoring, but less likely to dominate the plan
|
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77
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+
- `background`: context only, unless other conditions make it more important later
|
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78
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+
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79
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+
## Evidence That Would Invalidate This Analysis
|
|
80
|
+
|
|
81
|
+
- the timeframe changes enough to reorder catalyst importance
|
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82
|
+
- a date moves, is canceled, or turns out to be less relevant than assumed
|
|
83
|
+
- the user's watchlist or portfolio exposure changes materially
|
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84
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+
- a catalyst's transmission path was overstated or duplicated another event
|
|
85
|
+
- new macro, earnings, or policy information makes a previously secondary catalyst primary
|
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86
|
+
|
|
87
|
+
## Output structure
|
|
88
|
+
|
|
89
|
+
Prefer this output order:
|
|
90
|
+
|
|
91
|
+
1. `Catalyst Summary`
|
|
92
|
+
2. `Primary Catalysts`
|
|
93
|
+
3. `Secondary Catalysts`
|
|
94
|
+
4. `Transmission Map`
|
|
95
|
+
5. `Crowding Or Overlap Risks`
|
|
96
|
+
6. `Next Skill`
|
|
97
|
+
|
|
98
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+
Always include:
|
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99
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+
|
|
100
|
+
- the timeframe and objective used
|
|
101
|
+
- which catalysts matter most and why
|
|
102
|
+
- which names or exposures are linked to each key catalyst
|
|
103
|
+
- where multiple names depend on the same event chain
|
|
104
|
+
- what requires deeper prep now versus background monitoring
|
|
105
|
+
- whether the next step is `earnings-preview`, `macro-event-analysis`, `market-regime-analysis`, `thesis-validation`, or no further action yet
|
|
106
|
+
|
|
107
|
+
A skill named above is an option for the user, not a step this role can take: only the skills the user switched on exist in this session, and the ones this plugin deliberately does not offer — placing orders, setting position size — are not reachable at all. Say what you would check next and let the user decide.
|
|
108
|
+
|
|
109
|
+
## Best practices
|
|
110
|
+
|
|
111
|
+
- do not confuse more calendar entries with better preparation
|
|
112
|
+
- do not list catalysts without explaining why they matter to the user's actual names
|
|
113
|
+
- do not bury shared exposure to the same catalyst chain
|
|
114
|
+
- do not turn a catalyst map into a directional prediction
|
|
115
|
+
|
|
116
|
+
## Usage examples
|
|
117
|
+
|
|
118
|
+
- "Use `catalyst-map` on my semis watchlist for the next three weeks and show me the company, macro, and policy events that matter most."
|
|
119
|
+
- "Use `catalyst-map` on this energy portfolio for the next month and tell me which catalysts deserve deep prep versus simple monitoring."
|
|
@@ -0,0 +1,68 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
# Catalyst Framework
|
|
2
|
+
|
|
3
|
+
Use this framework to map events and milestones into a smaller set of catalysts that actually deserve attention.
|
|
4
|
+
|
|
5
|
+
## What counts as a catalyst
|
|
6
|
+
|
|
7
|
+
A catalyst is not just a calendar event.
|
|
8
|
+
|
|
9
|
+
It can be:
|
|
10
|
+
|
|
11
|
+
- earnings
|
|
12
|
+
- macro releases
|
|
13
|
+
- central-bank decisions
|
|
14
|
+
- product launches
|
|
15
|
+
- investor days
|
|
16
|
+
- guidance updates
|
|
17
|
+
- regulatory or legal milestones
|
|
18
|
+
- trial results
|
|
19
|
+
- policy announcements
|
|
20
|
+
- commodity or supply-chain developments
|
|
21
|
+
|
|
22
|
+
## What makes a catalyst useful
|
|
23
|
+
|
|
24
|
+
A useful catalyst map answers:
|
|
25
|
+
|
|
26
|
+
- what matters
|
|
27
|
+
- when it matters
|
|
28
|
+
- who it affects
|
|
29
|
+
- how it transmits
|
|
30
|
+
- what preparation still needs to be done
|
|
31
|
+
|
|
32
|
+
## Ranking questions
|
|
33
|
+
|
|
34
|
+
For each catalyst, ask:
|
|
35
|
+
|
|
36
|
+
- Is it inside the user's real decision window?
|
|
37
|
+
- Can it change the thesis, holding period, or risk budget?
|
|
38
|
+
- Does it affect one name or a whole cluster?
|
|
39
|
+
- Does it overlap with other catalysts?
|
|
40
|
+
- Does it require deeper work now?
|
|
41
|
+
|
|
42
|
+
## Typical transmission paths
|
|
43
|
+
|
|
44
|
+
- direct issuer effect
|
|
45
|
+
- peer sympathy or read-through
|
|
46
|
+
- supplier or customer chain
|
|
47
|
+
- sector ETF or index effect
|
|
48
|
+
- rates, FX, energy, or commodity channel
|
|
49
|
+
- sentiment and positioning shift
|
|
50
|
+
|
|
51
|
+
## Typical mistakes
|
|
52
|
+
|
|
53
|
+
- listing every event instead of the few that matter
|
|
54
|
+
- ignoring shared dependency on the same catalyst
|
|
55
|
+
- failing to connect macro events to single-name risk
|
|
56
|
+
- treating a catalyst as a forecast
|
|
57
|
+
- forgetting that some catalysts matter only because of timeframe
|
|
58
|
+
|
|
59
|
+
## Boundaries
|
|
60
|
+
|
|
61
|
+
This framework does not decide:
|
|
62
|
+
|
|
63
|
+
- whether a trade should be entered
|
|
64
|
+
- what order type should be used
|
|
65
|
+
- how much size should be allocated
|
|
66
|
+
- whether the portfolio is too concentrated
|
|
67
|
+
|
|
68
|
+
It only organizes what could move the relevant names or exposures.
|
|
@@ -0,0 +1,124 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
---
|
|
2
|
+
name: earnings-preview
|
|
3
|
+
description: Prepare for an upcoming earnings report or earnings week by identifying the reports that matter, framing the key debates, and surfacing the read-through risk that could affect the user's watchlist or positions.
|
|
4
|
+
---
|
|
5
|
+
|
|
6
|
+
# Earnings Preview
|
|
7
|
+
|
|
8
|
+
Use this skill when the user needs to prepare before one company reports or before an earnings-heavy week.
|
|
9
|
+
|
|
10
|
+
This skill will not:
|
|
11
|
+
|
|
12
|
+
- predict the post-report price move with certainty
|
|
13
|
+
- confuse a benchmark company's importance with a guaranteed read-through
|
|
14
|
+
- replace missing fundamentals with narrative filler
|
|
15
|
+
|
|
16
|
+
## Role
|
|
17
|
+
|
|
18
|
+
Act like a skeptical earnings prep analyst. Focus on what matters, what is already priced in, what could surprise, and where the read-through really matters.
|
|
19
|
+
|
|
20
|
+
## When to use it
|
|
21
|
+
|
|
22
|
+
Use it when the user wants to:
|
|
23
|
+
|
|
24
|
+
- prioritize which upcoming reports actually deserve attention
|
|
25
|
+
- prepare for a single company report with peer and sector context
|
|
26
|
+
- identify likely read-through names around a benchmark report
|
|
27
|
+
- decide whether a report is worth holding through, fading, or avoiding
|
|
28
|
+
|
|
29
|
+
## Inputs and context
|
|
30
|
+
|
|
31
|
+
Ask for:
|
|
32
|
+
|
|
33
|
+
- the company, peer group, sector, or watchlist
|
|
34
|
+
- the date window or specific report being discussed
|
|
35
|
+
- the user's thesis, exposure, or planned trade posture
|
|
36
|
+
- what matters most this quarter: growth, margins, guidance, backlog, capex, demand, pricing, AI spend, consumer health, and so on
|
|
37
|
+
- whether the user cares more about the report itself, sector read-through, or index impact
|
|
38
|
+
|
|
39
|
+
Helpful but optional:
|
|
40
|
+
|
|
41
|
+
- consensus expectations or prior-quarter context
|
|
42
|
+
- known positioning or sentiment concerns
|
|
43
|
+
- whether the user plans to hold through the event
|
|
44
|
+
|
|
45
|
+
Use the user's materials first: pasted schedules, watchlists, company notes, guidance excerpts, estimate tables, transcripts, screenshots, or provider details already mentioned in the conversation.
|
|
46
|
+
|
|
47
|
+
## If critical data is missing
|
|
48
|
+
|
|
49
|
+
If you already have enough timing and context to do the analysis, do not fetch anything.
|
|
50
|
+
|
|
51
|
+
If key schedule or estimate context is missing:
|
|
52
|
+
|
|
53
|
+
- check whether the user already named a supported provider or already shared usable access details in the conversation
|
|
54
|
+
- if they already indicated `FMP`, `TradingEconomics`, or `Polygon`, use [references/providers/fmp.md](references/providers/fmp.md), [references/providers/tradingeconomics.md](references/providers/tradingeconomics.md), or [references/providers/polygon.md](references/providers/polygon.md) directly
|
|
55
|
+
- otherwise consult [references/data-providers.md](references/data-providers.md) and ask which supported provider they want to use
|
|
56
|
+
- once the missing facts are gathered, continue the preview and disclose the source used
|
|
57
|
+
|
|
58
|
+
## Analysis process
|
|
59
|
+
|
|
60
|
+
1. Identify the reports that matter most for the user's names or theme.
|
|
61
|
+
2. Explain why each report matters: direct exposure, peer sympathy, benchmark status, or index weight.
|
|
62
|
+
3. Frame the key debates going into the report instead of defaulting to generic "beat or miss" language.
|
|
63
|
+
4. Separate pre-report setup risk from business-quality judgment.
|
|
64
|
+
5. Highlight the likely read-through paths, including supplier, customer, competitor, or sector ETF implications.
|
|
65
|
+
6. State what would actually change the thesis, not just what would create short-term noise.
|
|
66
|
+
7. If provider-based data was needed, use only the minimum missing facts and disclose source, freshness, and any obvious coverage gaps. Otherwise stay fully grounded in the user's material.
|
|
67
|
+
|
|
68
|
+
Use [references/relevance-ranking.md](references/relevance-ranking.md) when you need a simple way to prioritize reports and explain why they matter.
|
|
69
|
+
|
|
70
|
+
## Core Assessment Framework
|
|
71
|
+
|
|
72
|
+
Assess each report on four anchors before ranking it:
|
|
73
|
+
|
|
74
|
+
- `Benchmark Relevance`: whether the company can move a sector, supplier chain, customer set, or broad index. Example: NVDA is benchmark-relevant for semis and AI infrastructure; a small software name usually is not.
|
|
75
|
+
- `Debate Intensity`: whether the quarter has one or two live disagreements that matter more than the headline beat or miss. Example: gross margin durability or cloud booking reacceleration counts as a real debate; generic "can they beat" does not.
|
|
76
|
+
- `Read-Through Strength`: whether peers or related industries will plausibly react to the same datapoints. Example: capex guidance from a hyperscaler may matter for semis, power, cooling, and networking.
|
|
77
|
+
- `Positioning Risk`: whether sentiment, recent price action, or the user's exposure makes the event more dangerous to hold through.
|
|
78
|
+
|
|
79
|
+
Use the anchors to classify:
|
|
80
|
+
|
|
81
|
+
- `must-watch`: benchmark relevance is high and at least one of debate intensity, read-through strength, or positioning risk is also high
|
|
82
|
+
- `watch`: relevant event, but consequences are narrower or easier to absorb
|
|
83
|
+
- `background`: useful context, but low priority unless it directly affects the user's book
|
|
84
|
+
|
|
85
|
+
## Evidence That Would Invalidate This Analysis
|
|
86
|
+
|
|
87
|
+
- the report date or session changes enough to alter the planning window
|
|
88
|
+
- the quarter's key debate changes because management, industry data, or a peer report reframes the issue
|
|
89
|
+
- read-through assumptions break because the peer set, supplier chain, or benchmark relationship was overstated
|
|
90
|
+
- the user's exposure or holding plan changes, making the current priority ranking less relevant
|
|
91
|
+
- estimate, guidance, or schedule fields turn out to be stale, incomplete, or sourced from the wrong provider snapshot
|
|
92
|
+
|
|
93
|
+
## Output structure
|
|
94
|
+
|
|
95
|
+
Prefer this output order:
|
|
96
|
+
|
|
97
|
+
1. `Priority List`
|
|
98
|
+
2. `Core Assessment Framework`
|
|
99
|
+
3. `Key Debates`
|
|
100
|
+
4. `Read-Through Map`
|
|
101
|
+
5. `Plan Risk`
|
|
102
|
+
6. `Evidence That Would Invalidate This Analysis`
|
|
103
|
+
7. `Source And Caveats`
|
|
104
|
+
|
|
105
|
+
Always return:
|
|
106
|
+
|
|
107
|
+
- a prioritized report list or single-name preview
|
|
108
|
+
- why each report matters in plain language
|
|
109
|
+
- the key debates or watch items going into the print
|
|
110
|
+
- the likely read-through map for peers, suppliers, customers, or sector leadership
|
|
111
|
+
- the main pre-report risk to the user's plan
|
|
112
|
+
- explicit caveats around missing dates, incomplete estimates, stale data, or example-mode data when relevant
|
|
113
|
+
|
|
114
|
+
## Best practices
|
|
115
|
+
|
|
116
|
+
- do not turn "important report" into "predictable trade"
|
|
117
|
+
- do not confuse sector importance with a guaranteed stock move
|
|
118
|
+
- distinguish between what matters for fundamentals and what matters for positioning
|
|
119
|
+
- if timing, estimates, or coverage are incomplete, say that early rather than burying it
|
|
120
|
+
|
|
121
|
+
## Usage examples
|
|
122
|
+
|
|
123
|
+
- "Use `earnings-preview` for NVDA next week. I care about AI demand, gross margin durability, and read-through for semis."
|
|
124
|
+
- "Use `earnings-preview` for AAPL, AMZN, and COST over the next ten days and tell me which reports matter most for index and sector read-through."
|
|
@@ -0,0 +1,26 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
# Data Providers
|
|
2
|
+
|
|
3
|
+
Use this only if the user did not already provide enough schedule or estimate context.
|
|
4
|
+
|
|
5
|
+
Supported providers:
|
|
6
|
+
|
|
7
|
+
- `FMP`: best default for forward earnings dates, report timing, and estimate fields through `/stable/earnings-calendar`
|
|
8
|
+
- `TradingEconomics`: useful for earnings dates, release session, forecast fields, and revenue context through `/earnings-revenues`
|
|
9
|
+
- `Polygon`: useful when the user already works in Polygon and needs recent reported financials, but not the best default for forward earnings schedule confirmation
|
|
10
|
+
|
|
11
|
+
If the user already named one of these providers or already shared usable access details, use that provider path directly.
|
|
12
|
+
|
|
13
|
+
Otherwise ask: "Which provider do you want to use for the missing earnings context: FMP, TradingEconomics, or Polygon?"
|
|
14
|
+
|
|
15
|
+
Fallback strategy:
|
|
16
|
+
|
|
17
|
+
- start with `FMP` when the missing piece is the upcoming earnings date, session, or consensus-style estimate fields
|
|
18
|
+
- use `TradingEconomics` when the user already works there or when revenue forecast context matters
|
|
19
|
+
- use `Polygon` when the user already uses Polygon for fundamentals and the missing piece is prior reported context rather than the upcoming schedule
|
|
20
|
+
- if the user insists on `Polygon` but the exact upcoming date or session still cannot be confirmed, say that clearly and ask whether to supplement with `FMP` or `TradingEconomics`
|
|
21
|
+
|
|
22
|
+
Provider notes:
|
|
23
|
+
|
|
24
|
+
- [FMP](providers/fmp.md)
|
|
25
|
+
- [TradingEconomics](providers/tradingeconomics.md)
|
|
26
|
+
- [Polygon](providers/polygon.md)
|
|
@@ -0,0 +1,49 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
# FMP
|
|
2
|
+
|
|
3
|
+
Use this path only when the user already indicated `FMP` or chose it from the supported provider list.
|
|
4
|
+
|
|
5
|
+
Use the smallest request that fills the missing earnings facts.
|
|
6
|
+
|
|
7
|
+
## Best endpoint for a date window
|
|
8
|
+
|
|
9
|
+
Call the official earnings calendar endpoint:
|
|
10
|
+
|
|
11
|
+
```bash
|
|
12
|
+
curl "https://financialmodelingprep.com/stable/earnings-calendar?from=2026-03-09&to=2026-03-20&apikey=<FMP_API_KEY>"
|
|
13
|
+
```
|
|
14
|
+
|
|
15
|
+
Use this when the user gave a date window and you need report timing or estimate context for one or more names.
|
|
16
|
+
|
|
17
|
+
Pull only the fields you need for the preview:
|
|
18
|
+
|
|
19
|
+
- `date`
|
|
20
|
+
- `symbol`
|
|
21
|
+
- `name`
|
|
22
|
+
- `time`
|
|
23
|
+
- `epsEstimated`
|
|
24
|
+
- `revenueEstimated`
|
|
25
|
+
- `epsActual`
|
|
26
|
+
- `revenueActual`
|
|
27
|
+
- `lastUpdated`
|
|
28
|
+
|
|
29
|
+
## Best endpoint for a single company
|
|
30
|
+
|
|
31
|
+
If the user only cares about one company and you already know the symbol, use:
|
|
32
|
+
|
|
33
|
+
```bash
|
|
34
|
+
curl "https://financialmodelingprep.com/stable/earnings?symbol=AAPL&apikey=<FMP_API_KEY>"
|
|
35
|
+
```
|
|
36
|
+
|
|
37
|
+
This is useful when the user wants one-name context rather than a calendar sweep.
|
|
38
|
+
|
|
39
|
+
## How to use the result
|
|
40
|
+
|
|
41
|
+
- confirm the report date and timing first
|
|
42
|
+
- use estimate fields only to frame the debate, not to imply direction
|
|
43
|
+
- if `time`, EPS estimates, or revenue estimates are missing, say that explicitly
|
|
44
|
+
- disclose that FMP supplied the missing schedule or estimate data
|
|
45
|
+
|
|
46
|
+
Official docs:
|
|
47
|
+
|
|
48
|
+
- [FMP earnings calendar API](https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/developer/docs/stable/earnings-calendar)
|
|
49
|
+
- [FMP earnings report API](https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/developer/docs/earnings-historical-earnings)
|
package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/providers/polygon.md
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,45 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
# Polygon
|
|
2
|
+
|
|
3
|
+
Use this path only when the user already indicated `Polygon` or chose it from the supported provider list.
|
|
4
|
+
|
|
5
|
+
Polygon is useful here for recent reported fundamentals and prior-quarter anchors. It is not the best default source for exact upcoming earnings date or session confirmation.
|
|
6
|
+
|
|
7
|
+
## Best endpoint for recent reported financials
|
|
8
|
+
|
|
9
|
+
Call the official financials endpoint:
|
|
10
|
+
|
|
11
|
+
```bash
|
|
12
|
+
curl "https://api.polygon.io/vX/reference/financials?ticker=AAPL&timeframe=annual&limit=4&apiKey=<POLYGON_API_KEY>"
|
|
13
|
+
```
|
|
14
|
+
|
|
15
|
+
Use this when the user already knows the company and you need recent reported revenue, EPS-related fields, margin context, or balance-sheet anchors to frame the debate.
|
|
16
|
+
|
|
17
|
+
Pull only the fields you need:
|
|
18
|
+
|
|
19
|
+
- `ticker`
|
|
20
|
+
- `fiscal_period`
|
|
21
|
+
- `fiscal_year`
|
|
22
|
+
- `financials.income_statement`
|
|
23
|
+
- `financials.balance_sheet`
|
|
24
|
+
- `financials.cash_flow_statement`
|
|
25
|
+
- `filing_date`
|
|
26
|
+
|
|
27
|
+
## Optional market-reaction context
|
|
28
|
+
|
|
29
|
+
If the user also needs to know how the stock behaved around the last report, pair the fundamentals call with aggregate bars:
|
|
30
|
+
|
|
31
|
+
```bash
|
|
32
|
+
curl "https://api.polygon.io/v2/aggs/ticker/AAPL/range/1/day/2026-01-15/2026-02-15?adjusted=true&sort=asc&limit=500&apiKey=<POLYGON_API_KEY>"
|
|
33
|
+
```
|
|
34
|
+
|
|
35
|
+
## How to use the result
|
|
36
|
+
|
|
37
|
+
- use Polygon to anchor what the company last reported and where the debate may start
|
|
38
|
+
- do not pretend Polygon solved the forward schedule problem if the exact upcoming report date or session is still unclear
|
|
39
|
+
- if the user needs forward timing confirmation and Polygon does not provide it cleanly, say so and ask whether to supplement with `FMP` or `TradingEconomics`
|
|
40
|
+
- disclose that Polygon supplied the historical fundamental context
|
|
41
|
+
|
|
42
|
+
Official docs:
|
|
43
|
+
|
|
44
|
+
- [Polygon financials API](https://polygon.io/docs/rest/stocks/fundamentals/financials)
|
|
45
|
+
- [Polygon aggregate bars API](https://polygon.io/docs/rest/stocks/aggregates/custom-bars)
|
|
@@ -0,0 +1,49 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
# TradingEconomics
|
|
2
|
+
|
|
3
|
+
Use this path only when the user already indicated `TradingEconomics` or chose it from the supported provider list.
|
|
4
|
+
|
|
5
|
+
Use the smallest request that fills the missing earnings facts.
|
|
6
|
+
|
|
7
|
+
## Best endpoint for a date window
|
|
8
|
+
|
|
9
|
+
Call the official earnings and revenues endpoint:
|
|
10
|
+
|
|
11
|
+
```bash
|
|
12
|
+
curl "https://api.tradingeconomics.com/earnings-revenues?c=<TE_API_KEY>&d1=2026-03-09&d2=2026-03-20&f=json"
|
|
13
|
+
```
|
|
14
|
+
|
|
15
|
+
Use this when the user gave a time window and you need the report date, session, or forecast fields for more than one company.
|
|
16
|
+
|
|
17
|
+
Pull only the fields you need for the preview:
|
|
18
|
+
|
|
19
|
+
- `Date`
|
|
20
|
+
- `Symbol`
|
|
21
|
+
- `Name`
|
|
22
|
+
- `Forecast`
|
|
23
|
+
- `RevenueForecast`
|
|
24
|
+
- `Previous`
|
|
25
|
+
- `RevenuePrevious`
|
|
26
|
+
- `MarketRelease`
|
|
27
|
+
- `Importance`
|
|
28
|
+
- `LastUpdate`
|
|
29
|
+
|
|
30
|
+
## Best endpoint for a single company
|
|
31
|
+
|
|
32
|
+
If the user only cares about one company and you already know the provider symbol, use:
|
|
33
|
+
|
|
34
|
+
```bash
|
|
35
|
+
curl "https://api.tradingeconomics.com/earnings-revenues/symbol/aapl:us?c=<TE_API_KEY>&d1=2025-01-01&d2=2026-12-31&f=json"
|
|
36
|
+
```
|
|
37
|
+
|
|
38
|
+
TradingEconomics symbols are provider-specific, such as `aapl:us`.
|
|
39
|
+
|
|
40
|
+
## How to use the result
|
|
41
|
+
|
|
42
|
+
- confirm the report date and `MarketRelease` timing
|
|
43
|
+
- use `Forecast` and `RevenueForecast` only as context, not as a prediction signal
|
|
44
|
+
- if the provider lacks a field the analysis needs, say so clearly and continue with the available information
|
|
45
|
+
- disclose that TradingEconomics supplied the missing schedule or estimate data
|
|
46
|
+
|
|
47
|
+
Official docs:
|
|
48
|
+
|
|
49
|
+
- [TradingEconomics earnings and revenues docs](https://docs.tradingeconomics.com/financials/earnings_revenues/)
|
package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/relevance-ranking.md
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,24 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
# Relevance Ranking
|
|
2
|
+
|
|
3
|
+
The v1 ranking is deliberately simple and explainable.
|
|
4
|
+
|
|
5
|
+
## Inputs to the score
|
|
6
|
+
|
|
7
|
+
- whether the symbol is directly requested
|
|
8
|
+
- market-cap bucket
|
|
9
|
+
- whether the company is a benchmark name in a watched sector
|
|
10
|
+
- whether the report has broad read-through implications
|
|
11
|
+
- whether timing and estimate fields are present
|
|
12
|
+
|
|
13
|
+
## What the score is not
|
|
14
|
+
|
|
15
|
+
- a prediction of the stock move
|
|
16
|
+
- a conviction score
|
|
17
|
+
- a measure of trade quality
|
|
18
|
+
|
|
19
|
+
## Reporting guidance
|
|
20
|
+
|
|
21
|
+
Always pair the numeric score with a short reason, for example:
|
|
22
|
+
|
|
23
|
+
- "Mega-cap benchmark with index weight and supplier read-through."
|
|
24
|
+
- "Mid-cap peer read-through is useful, but broad market impact is limited."
|
|
@@ -0,0 +1,134 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
---
|
|
2
|
+
name: earnings-trade-prep
|
|
3
|
+
description: Orchestrate a disciplined earnings-event workflow by deciding which names deserve prep, mapping the key debates and read-through paths, pressure-testing the thesis and structure, and ending with a clear pre-earnings hold, avoid, or trade decision.
|
|
4
|
+
---
|
|
5
|
+
|
|
6
|
+
# Earnings Trade Prep
|
|
7
|
+
|
|
8
|
+
Use this workflow skill when the user is preparing to trade around earnings or deciding whether to hold an existing or planned position into an earnings event.
|
|
9
|
+
|
|
10
|
+
This workflow will not:
|
|
11
|
+
|
|
12
|
+
- predict the post-earnings price move
|
|
13
|
+
- treat a strong narrative as enough reason to hold through the event
|
|
14
|
+
- force a hold-through decision if the real answer is to reduce, avoid, or wait
|
|
15
|
+
|
|
16
|
+
## Role
|
|
17
|
+
|
|
18
|
+
Act like an earnings-event gatekeeper. Your job is to run the minimum useful chain of earnings-specific checks, then return a clear decision about whether the name deserves prep, a trade, a hold-through plan, or avoidance.
|
|
19
|
+
|
|
20
|
+
## When to use it
|
|
21
|
+
|
|
22
|
+
Use it when the user wants to:
|
|
23
|
+
|
|
24
|
+
- prepare one name or a small peer group for an upcoming earnings report
|
|
25
|
+
- decide whether to hold through earnings, trade the setup before the event, or avoid it
|
|
26
|
+
- organize the key debates, read-through paths, and event-specific risks in one place
|
|
27
|
+
- stop running disconnected checks manually before every earnings-heavy week
|
|
28
|
+
|
|
29
|
+
## Inputs and context
|
|
30
|
+
|
|
31
|
+
Ask for:
|
|
32
|
+
|
|
33
|
+
- the company or peer group
|
|
34
|
+
- the earnings window or known report timing
|
|
35
|
+
- whether the user is flat, already in a position, or planning a new trade
|
|
36
|
+
- the main pre-earnings thesis or concern
|
|
37
|
+
- whether the user cares more about the single name, sector read-through, or both
|
|
38
|
+
|
|
39
|
+
Helpful but optional:
|
|
40
|
+
|
|
41
|
+
- current entry, stop, target, or existing position details
|
|
42
|
+
- portfolio overlap with peers or sector ETFs
|
|
43
|
+
- execution constraints such as regular-hours only or no hold-through-event policy
|
|
44
|
+
|
|
45
|
+
Use the user's materials first.
|
|
46
|
+
|
|
47
|
+
If the user has not yet identified which name matters most, start by ranking the group rather than assuming every report deserves equal work.
|
|
48
|
+
|
|
49
|
+
## Workflow routing
|
|
50
|
+
|
|
51
|
+
Use the smallest useful chain:
|
|
52
|
+
|
|
53
|
+
1. If the user starts with several earnings names, run `watchlist-review`.
|
|
54
|
+
2. If the event picture across the group is still fuzzy, run `catalyst-map`.
|
|
55
|
+
3. Run `earnings-preview` on the selected name or peer set.
|
|
56
|
+
4. If the idea is still under-researched, run `evidence-gap-check`.
|
|
57
|
+
5. Run `thesis-validation` on the event thesis or hold-through logic.
|
|
58
|
+
6. If the broader tape matters, run `market-regime-analysis`.
|
|
59
|
+
7. If the user is building a trade around the event, run `risk-reward-sanity-check`.
|
|
60
|
+
8. If entry or exit mechanics matter, run `execution-plan-check`.
|
|
61
|
+
9. If the position interacts with existing exposure, run `portfolio-concentration`.
|
|
62
|
+
10. If the user still plans to trade or hold, run `position-sizing` or `position-management` as appropriate.
|
|
63
|
+
|
|
64
|
+
Stop the workflow when the event thesis, execution plan, or hold-through logic becomes indefensible.
|
|
65
|
+
|
|
66
|
+
## Decision logic
|
|
67
|
+
|
|
68
|
+
Classify the result as:
|
|
69
|
+
|
|
70
|
+
- `prep only`: the name deserves further monitoring or notes, but not an immediate trade or hold-through commitment
|
|
71
|
+
- `trade before event only`: the setup may be valid, but holding through the report is not justified
|
|
72
|
+
- `hold through with conditions`: holding through earnings is defensible only under explicit constraints
|
|
73
|
+
- `avoid`: the event-specific risk, uncertainty, or overlap is too high for the current plan
|
|
74
|
+
|
|
75
|
+
## Output structure
|
|
76
|
+
|
|
77
|
+
Prefer this output order:
|
|
78
|
+
|
|
79
|
+
1. `Earnings Prep Verdict`
|
|
80
|
+
2. `Checks Run`
|
|
81
|
+
3. `Key Debate And Read-Through`
|
|
82
|
+
4. `Hold-Through Decision`
|
|
83
|
+
5. `What Still Needs Work`
|
|
84
|
+
6. `Updated Trade Context`
|
|
85
|
+
7. `Next Skill Or Action`
|
|
86
|
+
|
|
87
|
+
Always include:
|
|
88
|
+
|
|
89
|
+
- the minimum set of checks actually used
|
|
90
|
+
- the key earnings debate
|
|
91
|
+
- the main hold-through or avoid reason
|
|
92
|
+
- whether the user should prep only, trade before the event, hold through with conditions, or avoid
|
|
93
|
+
- a compact updated trade context block when enough information exists
|
|
94
|
+
|
|
95
|
+
## Updated Trade Context
|
|
96
|
+
|
|
97
|
+
When enough context exists, carry forward a compact block like this:
|
|
98
|
+
|
|
99
|
+
```markdown
|
|
100
|
+
## Trade Context
|
|
101
|
+
|
|
102
|
+
- instrument:
|
|
103
|
+
- direction:
|
|
104
|
+
- timeframe:
|
|
105
|
+
- thesis:
|
|
106
|
+
- key_debate:
|
|
107
|
+
- read_through_map:
|
|
108
|
+
- upcoming_events:
|
|
109
|
+
- invalidation:
|
|
110
|
+
- entry_idea:
|
|
111
|
+
- stop_idea:
|
|
112
|
+
- target_idea:
|
|
113
|
+
- position_size_hint:
|
|
114
|
+
- portfolio_impact:
|
|
115
|
+
- confidence_notes:
|
|
116
|
+
- open_questions:
|
|
117
|
+
- source_freshness:
|
|
118
|
+
- assumptions:
|
|
119
|
+
- next_recommended_skill:
|
|
120
|
+
```
|
|
121
|
+
|
|
122
|
+
Only populate fields supported by the checks that actually ran.
|
|
123
|
+
|
|
124
|
+
## Best practices
|
|
125
|
+
|
|
126
|
+
- do not let "important report" become "must hold through"
|
|
127
|
+
- do not ignore sector or ETF overlap around benchmark earnings
|
|
128
|
+
- do not hide event-specific execution risk behind a good-looking setup
|
|
129
|
+
- do not continue the workflow once the hold-through logic is broken
|
|
130
|
+
|
|
131
|
+
## Usage examples
|
|
132
|
+
|
|
133
|
+
- "Use `earnings-trade-prep` on NVDA for next week and tell me whether this is a prep-only name, a pre-event trade, or a hold-through candidate."
|
|
134
|
+
- "Use `earnings-trade-prep` on my semiconductor watchlist for the next earnings-heavy week and route the most important name through the minimum checks."
|