@v587d/capital-generation 2.7.2 → 2.7.4

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (181) hide show
  1. package/CHANGELOG.md +119 -0
  2. package/README.md +10 -9
  3. package/THIRD_PARTY_NOTICES.md +116 -30
  4. package/capital-config/client.js +4 -4
  5. package/capital-config/package.json +1 -1
  6. package/capital-watchlist/package.json +1 -1
  7. package/chart-ui/package.json +1 -1
  8. package/lib/web-retriever/local-fetch.d.ts +1 -1
  9. package/lib/web-retriever/local-fetch.js +1 -1
  10. package/lib/web-retriever/sources.d.ts +1 -1
  11. package/lib/web-retriever/sources.js +1 -1
  12. package/lib/web-retriever/wind-client.d.ts +1 -1
  13. package/lib/web-retriever/wind-client.js +1 -1
  14. package/package.json +3 -1
  15. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/UPSTREAM.md +9 -0
  16. package/selected-skills/README.md +6 -1
  17. package/selected-skills/catalog.js +353 -0
  18. package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/UPSTREAM.md +2 -1
  19. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/LICENSE +201 -0
  20. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/UPSTREAM.md +173 -0
  21. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-3-statement-model/SKILL.md +287 -0
  22. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-accrual-schedule/SKILL.md +182 -0
  23. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-audit-xls/SKILL.md +231 -0
  24. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-break-trace/SKILL.md +217 -0
  25. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-catalyst-calendar/SKILL.md +258 -0
  26. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-clean-data-xls/SKILL.md +237 -0
  27. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-comps/SKILL.md +104 -0
  28. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-comps-analysis/SKILL.md +196 -0
  29. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-dcf/SKILL.md +81 -0
  30. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-dcf-model/SKILL.md +68 -0
  31. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-deal-screening/SKILL.md +212 -0
  32. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-deck-refresh/SKILL.md +221 -0
  33. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-earnings-analysis/SKILL.md +237 -0
  34. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-earnings-preview/SKILL.md +239 -0
  35. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-gl-recon/SKILL.md +232 -0
  36. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-ib-check-deck/SKILL.md +252 -0
  37. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-idea-generation/SKILL.md +277 -0
  38. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-initiating-coverage/SKILL.md +271 -0
  39. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-lbo-model/SKILL.md +273 -0
  40. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-market-data/SKILL.md +229 -0
  41. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-model-update/SKILL.md +219 -0
  42. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-morning-note/SKILL.md +227 -0
  43. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-ppt-template-creator/SKILL.md +231 -0
  44. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-pptx-author/SKILL.md +240 -0
  45. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-roll-forward/SKILL.md +189 -0
  46. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-sector-overview/SKILL.md +257 -0
  47. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-skill-creator/SKILL.md +304 -0
  48. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-tax-loss-harvesting/SKILL.md +200 -0
  49. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-thesis-tracker/SKILL.md +237 -0
  50. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-variance-commentary/SKILL.md +262 -0
  51. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-xlsx-author/SKILL.md +256 -0
  52. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-accrual-schedule/SKILL.md +190 -0
  53. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-break-trace/SKILL.md +182 -0
  54. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-gl-recon/SKILL.md +200 -0
  55. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-nav-tieout/SKILL.md +233 -0
  56. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-roll-forward/SKILL.md +178 -0
  57. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/fund-admin/skills/china-variance-commentary/SKILL.md +190 -0
  58. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-buyer-list/SKILL.md +198 -0
  59. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-cim-builder/SKILL.md +223 -0
  60. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-competitive-analysis/SKILL.md +233 -0
  61. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-datapack-builder/SKILL.md +232 -0
  62. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-deal-tracker/SKILL.md +151 -0
  63. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-merger-model/SKILL.md +226 -0
  64. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-pitch-deck/SKILL.md +231 -0
  65. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-process-letter/SKILL.md +249 -0
  66. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-strip-profile/SKILL.md +196 -0
  67. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/investment-banking/skills/china-teaser/SKILL.md +235 -0
  68. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/operations/skills/china-kyc-doc-parse/SKILL.md +252 -0
  69. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/operations/skills/china-kyc-rules/SKILL.md +223 -0
  70. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-ai-readiness/SKILL.md +184 -0
  71. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-dd-checklist/SKILL.md +217 -0
  72. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-dd-meeting-prep/SKILL.md +290 -0
  73. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-deal-sourcing/SKILL.md +224 -0
  74. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-ic-memo/SKILL.md +230 -0
  75. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-portfolio-monitoring/SKILL.md +214 -0
  76. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-returns-analysis/SKILL.md +176 -0
  77. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-unit-economics/SKILL.md +192 -0
  78. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/private-equity/skills/china-value-creation-plan/SKILL.md +193 -0
  79. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-client-report/SKILL.md +205 -0
  80. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-client-review/SKILL.md +218 -0
  81. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-financial-plan/SKILL.md +259 -0
  82. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-investment-proposal/SKILL.md +271 -0
  83. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/wealth-management/skills/china-portfolio-rebalance/SKILL.md +191 -0
  84. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/UPSTREAM.md +2 -1
  85. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/UPSTREAM.md +4 -3
  86. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/LICENSE +21 -0
  87. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/UPSTREAM.md +111 -0
  88. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/catalyst-map/SKILL.md +119 -0
  89. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/catalyst-map/references/catalyst-framework.md +68 -0
  90. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/SKILL.md +124 -0
  91. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/data-providers.md +26 -0
  92. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/providers/fmp.md +49 -0
  93. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/providers/polygon.md +45 -0
  94. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/providers/tradingeconomics.md +49 -0
  95. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-preview/references/relevance-ranking.md +24 -0
  96. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-trade-prep/SKILL.md +134 -0
  97. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/earnings-trade-prep/references/workflow-framework.md +65 -0
  98. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/evidence-gap-check/SKILL.md +120 -0
  99. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/evidence-gap-check/references/gap-framework.md +66 -0
  100. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/execution-plan-check/SKILL.md +121 -0
  101. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/execution-plan-check/references/execution-checklist.md +70 -0
  102. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/journal-pattern-analyzer/SKILL.md +120 -0
  103. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/journal-pattern-analyzer/references/calculation-helpers.md +16 -0
  104. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/journal-pattern-analyzer/references/pattern-framework.md +74 -0
  105. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/SKILL.md +122 -0
  106. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/references/data-providers.md +23 -0
  107. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/references/interpretation-guide.md +22 -0
  108. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/references/providers/fmp.md +28 -0
  109. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/macro-event-analysis/references/providers/tradingeconomics.md +40 -0
  110. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/SKILL.md +117 -0
  111. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/data-providers.md +26 -0
  112. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/providers/fmp.md +46 -0
  113. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/providers/polygon.md +36 -0
  114. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/providers/tradingeconomics.md +46 -0
  115. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/market-regime-analysis/references/regime-framework.md +23 -0
  116. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/portfolio-concentration/SKILL.md +119 -0
  117. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/portfolio-concentration/references/concentration-framework.md +72 -0
  118. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/portfolio-risk-review/SKILL.md +126 -0
  119. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/portfolio-risk-review/references/workflow-framework.md +57 -0
  120. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-management/SKILL.md +120 -0
  121. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-management/references/management-framework.md +70 -0
  122. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-sizing/SKILL.md +83 -0
  123. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-sizing/assets/trade-plan-template.md +15 -0
  124. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-sizing/references/calculation-helpers.md +13 -0
  125. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/position-sizing/references/methodology.md +28 -0
  126. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/post-trade-debrief/SKILL.md +99 -0
  127. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/post-trade-debrief/references/workflow-framework.md +51 -0
  128. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/post-trade-review/SKILL.md +82 -0
  129. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/post-trade-review/references/review-rubric.md +34 -0
  130. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/pre-trade-check/SKILL.md +136 -0
  131. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/pre-trade-check/references/workflow-framework.md +61 -0
  132. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/risk-reward-sanity-check/SKILL.md +81 -0
  133. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/risk-reward-sanity-check/references/calculation-helpers.md +14 -0
  134. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/risk-reward-sanity-check/references/failure-modes.md +9 -0
  135. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/thesis-validation/SKILL.md +123 -0
  136. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/thesis-validation/references/thesis-checklist.md +56 -0
  137. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/watchlist-review/SKILL.md +119 -0
  138. package/selected-skills/trading-skills/skills/watchlist-review/references/review-framework.md +57 -0
  139. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/ADDING-NEW-SKILLS.md +0 -546
  140. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/CHANGELOG.md +0 -373
  141. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/CI-CD-GUIDE.md +0 -432
  142. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/CLAUDE.md +0 -148
  143. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/CONTRIBUTING.md +0 -291
  144. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/DEPLOYMENTS.md +0 -321
  145. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/FAQ.md +0 -509
  146. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/GEMINI.md +0 -419
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  171. package/selected-skills/china-stock-research-skills/ROADMAP.md +0 -45
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+ ---
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+ name: catalyst-map
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+ description: Build a ranked map of the catalysts that could move a watchlist, theme, or portfolio by showing what matters, when it matters, and how those events could transmit across related names or exposures.
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+ ---
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+
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+ # Catalyst Map
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+
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+ Use this skill when the user wants a practical map of what could move a watchlist, sector, theme, or portfolio over a defined window, not just a raw event list.
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+
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+ This skill will not:
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+
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+ - predict the market reaction to a catalyst
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+ - replace detailed earnings or macro-event analysis for a single event
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+ - pretend every calendar item deserves equal attention
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+
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+ ## Role
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+
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+ Act like a cross-asset catalyst planner. Your job is to identify the few events, milestones, and dependencies that actually matter, then show how they could affect the user's names or exposures.
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+
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+ ## When to use it
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+
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+ Use it when the user wants to:
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+
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+ - organize upcoming catalysts for a watchlist or theme
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+ - understand which events matter most for a sector, basket, or portfolio
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+ - connect company, macro, policy, product, regulatory, or industry catalysts into one map
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+ - decide which names need deeper prep and which catalysts only deserve background monitoring
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+
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+ ## Inputs and context
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+
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+ Ask for:
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+
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+ - the watchlist, theme, sector, or portfolio slice being mapped
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+ - the timeframe: next session, next week, next month, next quarter
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+ - the user's objective: swing prep, event-risk awareness, long-term monitoring, or idea discovery
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+ - any known catalysts already in view, such as earnings, product launches, CPI, FOMC, OPEC, trial data, policy dates, investor days, or guidance updates
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+ - which exposures matter most: single names, suppliers, customers, indexes, sectors, or macro-sensitive holdings
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+
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+ Helpful but optional:
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+
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+ - notes on what the user already believes matters most
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+ - regime or macro context already established elsewhere
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+ - whether the map is for trading entries, portfolio defense, or investor monitoring
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+
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+ Use the user's materials first.
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+
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+ If the user gives only a vague theme and no timeframe or exposures, say what is missing and keep the map provisional rather than inventing a false catalyst schedule.
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+
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+ The map is built from what the user already has. When a date or a session really is missing, do not go and gather it from here: write the exact brief (event or ticker, the field needed, the as-of date) and hand it to the host's own retrieval path — in a role-split host, the agent that owns web retrieval and market data — then keep mapping from what comes back and leave the rest unknown.
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+
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+ ## Analysis process
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+
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+ 1. Reconstruct the watchlist, theme, or exposure set and define the time window.
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+ 2. List the catalysts that could realistically move those names in that window.
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+ 3. Rank the catalysts by decision relevance, not by headline count.
56
+ 4. Explain the transmission path for each important catalyst: direct issuer effect, peer read-through, supply-chain effect, macro sensitivity, policy channel, or sentiment shift.
57
+ 5. Separate high-priority catalysts from background noise.
58
+ 6. Flag which names are most exposed to each catalyst and where multiple names depend on the same event.
59
+ 7. End with the next research step for the top catalysts: deeper earnings prep, macro analysis, thesis validation, or simple monitoring.
60
+
61
+ Use [references/catalyst-framework.md](references/catalyst-framework.md) when you need the default checklist for ranking, transmission, and overlap.
62
+
63
+ ## Core Assessment Framework
64
+
65
+ Assess each catalyst on five anchors before calling it important:
66
+
67
+ - `Timing Relevance`: whether the catalyst falls inside the user's actual decision window. Example: next week's CPI matters for a near-term rate-sensitive trade; a vague six-month product roadmap may not.
68
+ - `Transmission Strength`: whether the event can directly move the user's names or exposures. Example: a benchmark earnings report may affect suppliers, peers, and sector ETFs, not just the reporting company.
69
+ - `Decision Impact`: whether the event could change position plans, holding periods, or risk tolerance. Example: a catalyst that forces shorter holding periods has more decision impact than a low-signal conference appearance.
70
+ - `Overlap`: whether multiple names or positions depend on the same catalyst chain. Example: owning several semis plus a tech ETF may create more catalyst clustering than the ticker list suggests.
71
+ - `Preparation Need`: whether the catalyst requires deeper work now or only background awareness. Example: an earnings date with a live debate deserves prep; a low-information placeholder date may only deserve a note.
72
+
73
+ Use the anchors to classify:
74
+
75
+ - `primary catalyst`: high decision relevance and strong transmission into the user's names or exposures
76
+ - `secondary catalyst`: worth monitoring, but less likely to dominate the plan
77
+ - `background`: context only, unless other conditions make it more important later
78
+
79
+ ## Evidence That Would Invalidate This Analysis
80
+
81
+ - the timeframe changes enough to reorder catalyst importance
82
+ - a date moves, is canceled, or turns out to be less relevant than assumed
83
+ - the user's watchlist or portfolio exposure changes materially
84
+ - a catalyst's transmission path was overstated or duplicated another event
85
+ - new macro, earnings, or policy information makes a previously secondary catalyst primary
86
+
87
+ ## Output structure
88
+
89
+ Prefer this output order:
90
+
91
+ 1. `Catalyst Summary`
92
+ 2. `Primary Catalysts`
93
+ 3. `Secondary Catalysts`
94
+ 4. `Transmission Map`
95
+ 5. `Crowding Or Overlap Risks`
96
+ 6. `Next Skill`
97
+
98
+ Always include:
99
+
100
+ - the timeframe and objective used
101
+ - which catalysts matter most and why
102
+ - which names or exposures are linked to each key catalyst
103
+ - where multiple names depend on the same event chain
104
+ - what requires deeper prep now versus background monitoring
105
+ - whether the next step is `earnings-preview`, `macro-event-analysis`, `market-regime-analysis`, `thesis-validation`, or no further action yet
106
+
107
+ A skill named above is an option for the user, not a step this role can take: only the skills the user switched on exist in this session, and the ones this plugin deliberately does not offer — placing orders, setting position size — are not reachable at all. Say what you would check next and let the user decide.
108
+
109
+ ## Best practices
110
+
111
+ - do not confuse more calendar entries with better preparation
112
+ - do not list catalysts without explaining why they matter to the user's actual names
113
+ - do not bury shared exposure to the same catalyst chain
114
+ - do not turn a catalyst map into a directional prediction
115
+
116
+ ## Usage examples
117
+
118
+ - "Use `catalyst-map` on my semis watchlist for the next three weeks and show me the company, macro, and policy events that matter most."
119
+ - "Use `catalyst-map` on this energy portfolio for the next month and tell me which catalysts deserve deep prep versus simple monitoring."
@@ -0,0 +1,68 @@
1
+ # Catalyst Framework
2
+
3
+ Use this framework to map events and milestones into a smaller set of catalysts that actually deserve attention.
4
+
5
+ ## What counts as a catalyst
6
+
7
+ A catalyst is not just a calendar event.
8
+
9
+ It can be:
10
+
11
+ - earnings
12
+ - macro releases
13
+ - central-bank decisions
14
+ - product launches
15
+ - investor days
16
+ - guidance updates
17
+ - regulatory or legal milestones
18
+ - trial results
19
+ - policy announcements
20
+ - commodity or supply-chain developments
21
+
22
+ ## What makes a catalyst useful
23
+
24
+ A useful catalyst map answers:
25
+
26
+ - what matters
27
+ - when it matters
28
+ - who it affects
29
+ - how it transmits
30
+ - what preparation still needs to be done
31
+
32
+ ## Ranking questions
33
+
34
+ For each catalyst, ask:
35
+
36
+ - Is it inside the user's real decision window?
37
+ - Can it change the thesis, holding period, or risk budget?
38
+ - Does it affect one name or a whole cluster?
39
+ - Does it overlap with other catalysts?
40
+ - Does it require deeper work now?
41
+
42
+ ## Typical transmission paths
43
+
44
+ - direct issuer effect
45
+ - peer sympathy or read-through
46
+ - supplier or customer chain
47
+ - sector ETF or index effect
48
+ - rates, FX, energy, or commodity channel
49
+ - sentiment and positioning shift
50
+
51
+ ## Typical mistakes
52
+
53
+ - listing every event instead of the few that matter
54
+ - ignoring shared dependency on the same catalyst
55
+ - failing to connect macro events to single-name risk
56
+ - treating a catalyst as a forecast
57
+ - forgetting that some catalysts matter only because of timeframe
58
+
59
+ ## Boundaries
60
+
61
+ This framework does not decide:
62
+
63
+ - whether a trade should be entered
64
+ - what order type should be used
65
+ - how much size should be allocated
66
+ - whether the portfolio is too concentrated
67
+
68
+ It only organizes what could move the relevant names or exposures.
@@ -0,0 +1,124 @@
1
+ ---
2
+ name: earnings-preview
3
+ description: Prepare for an upcoming earnings report or earnings week by identifying the reports that matter, framing the key debates, and surfacing the read-through risk that could affect the user's watchlist or positions.
4
+ ---
5
+
6
+ # Earnings Preview
7
+
8
+ Use this skill when the user needs to prepare before one company reports or before an earnings-heavy week.
9
+
10
+ This skill will not:
11
+
12
+ - predict the post-report price move with certainty
13
+ - confuse a benchmark company's importance with a guaranteed read-through
14
+ - replace missing fundamentals with narrative filler
15
+
16
+ ## Role
17
+
18
+ Act like a skeptical earnings prep analyst. Focus on what matters, what is already priced in, what could surprise, and where the read-through really matters.
19
+
20
+ ## When to use it
21
+
22
+ Use it when the user wants to:
23
+
24
+ - prioritize which upcoming reports actually deserve attention
25
+ - prepare for a single company report with peer and sector context
26
+ - identify likely read-through names around a benchmark report
27
+ - decide whether a report is worth holding through, fading, or avoiding
28
+
29
+ ## Inputs and context
30
+
31
+ Ask for:
32
+
33
+ - the company, peer group, sector, or watchlist
34
+ - the date window or specific report being discussed
35
+ - the user's thesis, exposure, or planned trade posture
36
+ - what matters most this quarter: growth, margins, guidance, backlog, capex, demand, pricing, AI spend, consumer health, and so on
37
+ - whether the user cares more about the report itself, sector read-through, or index impact
38
+
39
+ Helpful but optional:
40
+
41
+ - consensus expectations or prior-quarter context
42
+ - known positioning or sentiment concerns
43
+ - whether the user plans to hold through the event
44
+
45
+ Use the user's materials first: pasted schedules, watchlists, company notes, guidance excerpts, estimate tables, transcripts, screenshots, or provider details already mentioned in the conversation.
46
+
47
+ ## If critical data is missing
48
+
49
+ If you already have enough timing and context to do the analysis, do not fetch anything.
50
+
51
+ If key schedule or estimate context is missing:
52
+
53
+ - check whether the user already named a supported provider or already shared usable access details in the conversation
54
+ - if they already indicated `FMP`, `TradingEconomics`, or `Polygon`, use [references/providers/fmp.md](references/providers/fmp.md), [references/providers/tradingeconomics.md](references/providers/tradingeconomics.md), or [references/providers/polygon.md](references/providers/polygon.md) directly
55
+ - otherwise consult [references/data-providers.md](references/data-providers.md) and ask which supported provider they want to use
56
+ - once the missing facts are gathered, continue the preview and disclose the source used
57
+
58
+ ## Analysis process
59
+
60
+ 1. Identify the reports that matter most for the user's names or theme.
61
+ 2. Explain why each report matters: direct exposure, peer sympathy, benchmark status, or index weight.
62
+ 3. Frame the key debates going into the report instead of defaulting to generic "beat or miss" language.
63
+ 4. Separate pre-report setup risk from business-quality judgment.
64
+ 5. Highlight the likely read-through paths, including supplier, customer, competitor, or sector ETF implications.
65
+ 6. State what would actually change the thesis, not just what would create short-term noise.
66
+ 7. If provider-based data was needed, use only the minimum missing facts and disclose source, freshness, and any obvious coverage gaps. Otherwise stay fully grounded in the user's material.
67
+
68
+ Use [references/relevance-ranking.md](references/relevance-ranking.md) when you need a simple way to prioritize reports and explain why they matter.
69
+
70
+ ## Core Assessment Framework
71
+
72
+ Assess each report on four anchors before ranking it:
73
+
74
+ - `Benchmark Relevance`: whether the company can move a sector, supplier chain, customer set, or broad index. Example: NVDA is benchmark-relevant for semis and AI infrastructure; a small software name usually is not.
75
+ - `Debate Intensity`: whether the quarter has one or two live disagreements that matter more than the headline beat or miss. Example: gross margin durability or cloud booking reacceleration counts as a real debate; generic "can they beat" does not.
76
+ - `Read-Through Strength`: whether peers or related industries will plausibly react to the same datapoints. Example: capex guidance from a hyperscaler may matter for semis, power, cooling, and networking.
77
+ - `Positioning Risk`: whether sentiment, recent price action, or the user's exposure makes the event more dangerous to hold through.
78
+
79
+ Use the anchors to classify:
80
+
81
+ - `must-watch`: benchmark relevance is high and at least one of debate intensity, read-through strength, or positioning risk is also high
82
+ - `watch`: relevant event, but consequences are narrower or easier to absorb
83
+ - `background`: useful context, but low priority unless it directly affects the user's book
84
+
85
+ ## Evidence That Would Invalidate This Analysis
86
+
87
+ - the report date or session changes enough to alter the planning window
88
+ - the quarter's key debate changes because management, industry data, or a peer report reframes the issue
89
+ - read-through assumptions break because the peer set, supplier chain, or benchmark relationship was overstated
90
+ - the user's exposure or holding plan changes, making the current priority ranking less relevant
91
+ - estimate, guidance, or schedule fields turn out to be stale, incomplete, or sourced from the wrong provider snapshot
92
+
93
+ ## Output structure
94
+
95
+ Prefer this output order:
96
+
97
+ 1. `Priority List`
98
+ 2. `Core Assessment Framework`
99
+ 3. `Key Debates`
100
+ 4. `Read-Through Map`
101
+ 5. `Plan Risk`
102
+ 6. `Evidence That Would Invalidate This Analysis`
103
+ 7. `Source And Caveats`
104
+
105
+ Always return:
106
+
107
+ - a prioritized report list or single-name preview
108
+ - why each report matters in plain language
109
+ - the key debates or watch items going into the print
110
+ - the likely read-through map for peers, suppliers, customers, or sector leadership
111
+ - the main pre-report risk to the user's plan
112
+ - explicit caveats around missing dates, incomplete estimates, stale data, or example-mode data when relevant
113
+
114
+ ## Best practices
115
+
116
+ - do not turn "important report" into "predictable trade"
117
+ - do not confuse sector importance with a guaranteed stock move
118
+ - distinguish between what matters for fundamentals and what matters for positioning
119
+ - if timing, estimates, or coverage are incomplete, say that early rather than burying it
120
+
121
+ ## Usage examples
122
+
123
+ - "Use `earnings-preview` for NVDA next week. I care about AI demand, gross margin durability, and read-through for semis."
124
+ - "Use `earnings-preview` for AAPL, AMZN, and COST over the next ten days and tell me which reports matter most for index and sector read-through."
@@ -0,0 +1,26 @@
1
+ # Data Providers
2
+
3
+ Use this only if the user did not already provide enough schedule or estimate context.
4
+
5
+ Supported providers:
6
+
7
+ - `FMP`: best default for forward earnings dates, report timing, and estimate fields through `/stable/earnings-calendar`
8
+ - `TradingEconomics`: useful for earnings dates, release session, forecast fields, and revenue context through `/earnings-revenues`
9
+ - `Polygon`: useful when the user already works in Polygon and needs recent reported financials, but not the best default for forward earnings schedule confirmation
10
+
11
+ If the user already named one of these providers or already shared usable access details, use that provider path directly.
12
+
13
+ Otherwise ask: "Which provider do you want to use for the missing earnings context: FMP, TradingEconomics, or Polygon?"
14
+
15
+ Fallback strategy:
16
+
17
+ - start with `FMP` when the missing piece is the upcoming earnings date, session, or consensus-style estimate fields
18
+ - use `TradingEconomics` when the user already works there or when revenue forecast context matters
19
+ - use `Polygon` when the user already uses Polygon for fundamentals and the missing piece is prior reported context rather than the upcoming schedule
20
+ - if the user insists on `Polygon` but the exact upcoming date or session still cannot be confirmed, say that clearly and ask whether to supplement with `FMP` or `TradingEconomics`
21
+
22
+ Provider notes:
23
+
24
+ - [FMP](providers/fmp.md)
25
+ - [TradingEconomics](providers/tradingeconomics.md)
26
+ - [Polygon](providers/polygon.md)
@@ -0,0 +1,49 @@
1
+ # FMP
2
+
3
+ Use this path only when the user already indicated `FMP` or chose it from the supported provider list.
4
+
5
+ Use the smallest request that fills the missing earnings facts.
6
+
7
+ ## Best endpoint for a date window
8
+
9
+ Call the official earnings calendar endpoint:
10
+
11
+ ```bash
12
+ curl "https://financialmodelingprep.com/stable/earnings-calendar?from=2026-03-09&to=2026-03-20&apikey=<FMP_API_KEY>"
13
+ ```
14
+
15
+ Use this when the user gave a date window and you need report timing or estimate context for one or more names.
16
+
17
+ Pull only the fields you need for the preview:
18
+
19
+ - `date`
20
+ - `symbol`
21
+ - `name`
22
+ - `time`
23
+ - `epsEstimated`
24
+ - `revenueEstimated`
25
+ - `epsActual`
26
+ - `revenueActual`
27
+ - `lastUpdated`
28
+
29
+ ## Best endpoint for a single company
30
+
31
+ If the user only cares about one company and you already know the symbol, use:
32
+
33
+ ```bash
34
+ curl "https://financialmodelingprep.com/stable/earnings?symbol=AAPL&apikey=<FMP_API_KEY>"
35
+ ```
36
+
37
+ This is useful when the user wants one-name context rather than a calendar sweep.
38
+
39
+ ## How to use the result
40
+
41
+ - confirm the report date and timing first
42
+ - use estimate fields only to frame the debate, not to imply direction
43
+ - if `time`, EPS estimates, or revenue estimates are missing, say that explicitly
44
+ - disclose that FMP supplied the missing schedule or estimate data
45
+
46
+ Official docs:
47
+
48
+ - [FMP earnings calendar API](https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/developer/docs/stable/earnings-calendar)
49
+ - [FMP earnings report API](https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/developer/docs/earnings-historical-earnings)
@@ -0,0 +1,45 @@
1
+ # Polygon
2
+
3
+ Use this path only when the user already indicated `Polygon` or chose it from the supported provider list.
4
+
5
+ Polygon is useful here for recent reported fundamentals and prior-quarter anchors. It is not the best default source for exact upcoming earnings date or session confirmation.
6
+
7
+ ## Best endpoint for recent reported financials
8
+
9
+ Call the official financials endpoint:
10
+
11
+ ```bash
12
+ curl "https://api.polygon.io/vX/reference/financials?ticker=AAPL&timeframe=annual&limit=4&apiKey=<POLYGON_API_KEY>"
13
+ ```
14
+
15
+ Use this when the user already knows the company and you need recent reported revenue, EPS-related fields, margin context, or balance-sheet anchors to frame the debate.
16
+
17
+ Pull only the fields you need:
18
+
19
+ - `ticker`
20
+ - `fiscal_period`
21
+ - `fiscal_year`
22
+ - `financials.income_statement`
23
+ - `financials.balance_sheet`
24
+ - `financials.cash_flow_statement`
25
+ - `filing_date`
26
+
27
+ ## Optional market-reaction context
28
+
29
+ If the user also needs to know how the stock behaved around the last report, pair the fundamentals call with aggregate bars:
30
+
31
+ ```bash
32
+ curl "https://api.polygon.io/v2/aggs/ticker/AAPL/range/1/day/2026-01-15/2026-02-15?adjusted=true&sort=asc&limit=500&apiKey=<POLYGON_API_KEY>"
33
+ ```
34
+
35
+ ## How to use the result
36
+
37
+ - use Polygon to anchor what the company last reported and where the debate may start
38
+ - do not pretend Polygon solved the forward schedule problem if the exact upcoming report date or session is still unclear
39
+ - if the user needs forward timing confirmation and Polygon does not provide it cleanly, say so and ask whether to supplement with `FMP` or `TradingEconomics`
40
+ - disclose that Polygon supplied the historical fundamental context
41
+
42
+ Official docs:
43
+
44
+ - [Polygon financials API](https://polygon.io/docs/rest/stocks/fundamentals/financials)
45
+ - [Polygon aggregate bars API](https://polygon.io/docs/rest/stocks/aggregates/custom-bars)
@@ -0,0 +1,49 @@
1
+ # TradingEconomics
2
+
3
+ Use this path only when the user already indicated `TradingEconomics` or chose it from the supported provider list.
4
+
5
+ Use the smallest request that fills the missing earnings facts.
6
+
7
+ ## Best endpoint for a date window
8
+
9
+ Call the official earnings and revenues endpoint:
10
+
11
+ ```bash
12
+ curl "https://api.tradingeconomics.com/earnings-revenues?c=<TE_API_KEY>&d1=2026-03-09&d2=2026-03-20&f=json"
13
+ ```
14
+
15
+ Use this when the user gave a time window and you need the report date, session, or forecast fields for more than one company.
16
+
17
+ Pull only the fields you need for the preview:
18
+
19
+ - `Date`
20
+ - `Symbol`
21
+ - `Name`
22
+ - `Forecast`
23
+ - `RevenueForecast`
24
+ - `Previous`
25
+ - `RevenuePrevious`
26
+ - `MarketRelease`
27
+ - `Importance`
28
+ - `LastUpdate`
29
+
30
+ ## Best endpoint for a single company
31
+
32
+ If the user only cares about one company and you already know the provider symbol, use:
33
+
34
+ ```bash
35
+ curl "https://api.tradingeconomics.com/earnings-revenues/symbol/aapl:us?c=<TE_API_KEY>&d1=2025-01-01&d2=2026-12-31&f=json"
36
+ ```
37
+
38
+ TradingEconomics symbols are provider-specific, such as `aapl:us`.
39
+
40
+ ## How to use the result
41
+
42
+ - confirm the report date and `MarketRelease` timing
43
+ - use `Forecast` and `RevenueForecast` only as context, not as a prediction signal
44
+ - if the provider lacks a field the analysis needs, say so clearly and continue with the available information
45
+ - disclose that TradingEconomics supplied the missing schedule or estimate data
46
+
47
+ Official docs:
48
+
49
+ - [TradingEconomics earnings and revenues docs](https://docs.tradingeconomics.com/financials/earnings_revenues/)
@@ -0,0 +1,24 @@
1
+ # Relevance Ranking
2
+
3
+ The v1 ranking is deliberately simple and explainable.
4
+
5
+ ## Inputs to the score
6
+
7
+ - whether the symbol is directly requested
8
+ - market-cap bucket
9
+ - whether the company is a benchmark name in a watched sector
10
+ - whether the report has broad read-through implications
11
+ - whether timing and estimate fields are present
12
+
13
+ ## What the score is not
14
+
15
+ - a prediction of the stock move
16
+ - a conviction score
17
+ - a measure of trade quality
18
+
19
+ ## Reporting guidance
20
+
21
+ Always pair the numeric score with a short reason, for example:
22
+
23
+ - "Mega-cap benchmark with index weight and supplier read-through."
24
+ - "Mid-cap peer read-through is useful, but broad market impact is limited."
@@ -0,0 +1,134 @@
1
+ ---
2
+ name: earnings-trade-prep
3
+ description: Orchestrate a disciplined earnings-event workflow by deciding which names deserve prep, mapping the key debates and read-through paths, pressure-testing the thesis and structure, and ending with a clear pre-earnings hold, avoid, or trade decision.
4
+ ---
5
+
6
+ # Earnings Trade Prep
7
+
8
+ Use this workflow skill when the user is preparing to trade around earnings or deciding whether to hold an existing or planned position into an earnings event.
9
+
10
+ This workflow will not:
11
+
12
+ - predict the post-earnings price move
13
+ - treat a strong narrative as enough reason to hold through the event
14
+ - force a hold-through decision if the real answer is to reduce, avoid, or wait
15
+
16
+ ## Role
17
+
18
+ Act like an earnings-event gatekeeper. Your job is to run the minimum useful chain of earnings-specific checks, then return a clear decision about whether the name deserves prep, a trade, a hold-through plan, or avoidance.
19
+
20
+ ## When to use it
21
+
22
+ Use it when the user wants to:
23
+
24
+ - prepare one name or a small peer group for an upcoming earnings report
25
+ - decide whether to hold through earnings, trade the setup before the event, or avoid it
26
+ - organize the key debates, read-through paths, and event-specific risks in one place
27
+ - stop running disconnected checks manually before every earnings-heavy week
28
+
29
+ ## Inputs and context
30
+
31
+ Ask for:
32
+
33
+ - the company or peer group
34
+ - the earnings window or known report timing
35
+ - whether the user is flat, already in a position, or planning a new trade
36
+ - the main pre-earnings thesis or concern
37
+ - whether the user cares more about the single name, sector read-through, or both
38
+
39
+ Helpful but optional:
40
+
41
+ - current entry, stop, target, or existing position details
42
+ - portfolio overlap with peers or sector ETFs
43
+ - execution constraints such as regular-hours only or no hold-through-event policy
44
+
45
+ Use the user's materials first.
46
+
47
+ If the user has not yet identified which name matters most, start by ranking the group rather than assuming every report deserves equal work.
48
+
49
+ ## Workflow routing
50
+
51
+ Use the smallest useful chain:
52
+
53
+ 1. If the user starts with several earnings names, run `watchlist-review`.
54
+ 2. If the event picture across the group is still fuzzy, run `catalyst-map`.
55
+ 3. Run `earnings-preview` on the selected name or peer set.
56
+ 4. If the idea is still under-researched, run `evidence-gap-check`.
57
+ 5. Run `thesis-validation` on the event thesis or hold-through logic.
58
+ 6. If the broader tape matters, run `market-regime-analysis`.
59
+ 7. If the user is building a trade around the event, run `risk-reward-sanity-check`.
60
+ 8. If entry or exit mechanics matter, run `execution-plan-check`.
61
+ 9. If the position interacts with existing exposure, run `portfolio-concentration`.
62
+ 10. If the user still plans to trade or hold, run `position-sizing` or `position-management` as appropriate.
63
+
64
+ Stop the workflow when the event thesis, execution plan, or hold-through logic becomes indefensible.
65
+
66
+ ## Decision logic
67
+
68
+ Classify the result as:
69
+
70
+ - `prep only`: the name deserves further monitoring or notes, but not an immediate trade or hold-through commitment
71
+ - `trade before event only`: the setup may be valid, but holding through the report is not justified
72
+ - `hold through with conditions`: holding through earnings is defensible only under explicit constraints
73
+ - `avoid`: the event-specific risk, uncertainty, or overlap is too high for the current plan
74
+
75
+ ## Output structure
76
+
77
+ Prefer this output order:
78
+
79
+ 1. `Earnings Prep Verdict`
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+ 2. `Checks Run`
81
+ 3. `Key Debate And Read-Through`
82
+ 4. `Hold-Through Decision`
83
+ 5. `What Still Needs Work`
84
+ 6. `Updated Trade Context`
85
+ 7. `Next Skill Or Action`
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+
87
+ Always include:
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+
89
+ - the minimum set of checks actually used
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+ - the key earnings debate
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+ - the main hold-through or avoid reason
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+ - whether the user should prep only, trade before the event, hold through with conditions, or avoid
93
+ - a compact updated trade context block when enough information exists
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+
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+ ## Updated Trade Context
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+
97
+ When enough context exists, carry forward a compact block like this:
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+
99
+ ```markdown
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+ ## Trade Context
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+
102
+ - instrument:
103
+ - direction:
104
+ - timeframe:
105
+ - thesis:
106
+ - key_debate:
107
+ - read_through_map:
108
+ - upcoming_events:
109
+ - invalidation:
110
+ - entry_idea:
111
+ - stop_idea:
112
+ - target_idea:
113
+ - position_size_hint:
114
+ - portfolio_impact:
115
+ - confidence_notes:
116
+ - open_questions:
117
+ - source_freshness:
118
+ - assumptions:
119
+ - next_recommended_skill:
120
+ ```
121
+
122
+ Only populate fields supported by the checks that actually ran.
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+
124
+ ## Best practices
125
+
126
+ - do not let "important report" become "must hold through"
127
+ - do not ignore sector or ETF overlap around benchmark earnings
128
+ - do not hide event-specific execution risk behind a good-looking setup
129
+ - do not continue the workflow once the hold-through logic is broken
130
+
131
+ ## Usage examples
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+
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+ - "Use `earnings-trade-prep` on NVDA for next week and tell me whether this is a prep-only name, a pre-event trade, or a hold-through candidate."
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+ - "Use `earnings-trade-prep` on my semiconductor watchlist for the next earnings-heavy week and route the most important name through the minimum checks."