@timmeck/trading-brain 1.0.0

package/dist/mcp/server.js

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+import { McpServer } from '@modelcontextprotocol/sdk/server/mcp.js';
+import { StdioServerTransport } from '@modelcontextprotocol/sdk/server/stdio.js';
+import { spawn } from 'node:child_process';
+import path from 'node:path';
+import { IpcClient } from '../ipc/client.js';
+import { getPipeName } from '../utils/paths.js';
+import { registerTools } from './tools.js';
+function spawnDaemon() {
+    const entryPoint = path.resolve(import.meta.dirname, '../index.js');
+    const child = spawn(process.execPath, [
+        '--import', 'tsx',
+        entryPoint, 'daemon',
+    ], {
+        detached: true,
+        stdio: 'ignore',
+        cwd: path.resolve(import.meta.dirname, '../..'),
+    });
+    child.unref();
+    process.stderr.write(`Trading Brain: Auto-started daemon (PID: ${child.pid})\n`);
+}
+async function connectWithRetry(ipc, retries, delayMs) {
+    for (let i = 0; i < retries; i++) {
+        try {
+            await ipc.connect();
+            return;
+        }
+        catch {
+            if (i < retries - 1) {
+                await new Promise(r => setTimeout(r, delayMs));
+            }
+        }
+    }
+    throw new Error('Could not connect to daemon after retries');
+}
+export async function startMcpServer() {
+    const server = new McpServer({
+        name: 'trading-brain',
+        version: '1.0.0',
+    });
+    const ipc = new IpcClient(getPipeName());
+    try {
+        await ipc.connect();
+    }
+    catch {
+        process.stderr.write('Trading Brain: Daemon not running, starting automatically...\n');
+        spawnDaemon();
+        try {
+            await connectWithRetry(ipc, 10, 500);
+        }
+        catch {
+            process.stderr.write('Trading Brain: Could not connect to daemon after auto-start. Check logs.\n');
+            process.exit(1);
+        }
+    }
+    registerTools(server, ipc);
+    const transport = new StdioServerTransport();
+    await server.connect(transport);
+    process.on('SIGINT', () => {
+        ipc.disconnect();
+        process.exit(0);
+    });
+    process.on('SIGTERM', () => {
+        ipc.disconnect();
+        process.exit(0);
+    });
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=server.js.map

package/dist/mcp/server.js.map

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package/dist/mcp/tools.d.ts

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+import type { McpServer } from '@modelcontextprotocol/sdk/server/mcp.js';
+import type { IpcClient } from '../ipc/client.js';
+import type { IpcRouter } from '../ipc/router.js';
+/** Register tools using IPC client (for stdio MCP transport) */
+export declare function registerTools(server: McpServer, ipc: IpcClient): void;
+/** Register tools using router directly (for HTTP MCP transport inside daemon) */
+export declare function registerToolsDirect(server: McpServer, router: IpcRouter): void;

package/dist/mcp/tools.js

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+import { z } from 'zod';
+function textResult(data) {
+    const text = typeof data === 'string' ? data : JSON.stringify(data, null, 2);
+    return { content: [{ type: 'text', text }] };
+}
+/** Register tools using IPC client (for stdio MCP transport) */
+export function registerTools(server, ipc) {
+    registerToolsWithCaller(server, (method, params) => ipc.request(method, params));
+}
+/** Register tools using router directly (for HTTP MCP transport inside daemon) */
+export function registerToolsDirect(server, router) {
+    registerToolsWithCaller(server, (method, params) => router.handle(method, params));
+}
+function registerToolsWithCaller(server, call) {
+    // 1. trading_record_outcome
+    server.tool('trading_record_outcome', 'Record a trade outcome. Main entry point for the learning loop — updates synapses, graph, chains, and triggers pattern extraction.', {
+        pair: z.string().describe('Trading pair (e.g. BTC/USDT)'),
+        bot_type: z.string().describe('Bot type (e.g. DCA, Grid, SmartTrader)'),
+        profit_pct: z.number().describe('Profit percentage of the trade'),
+        win: z.boolean().describe('Whether the trade was profitable'),
+        rsi14: z.number().optional().describe('RSI-14 value at entry'),
+        macd: z.number().optional().describe('MACD value at entry'),
+        trend_score: z.number().optional().describe('Trend score at entry'),
+        volatility: z.number().optional().describe('Volatility at entry'),
+        regime: z.string().optional().describe('Market regime (e.g. bullish_trend, ranging)'),
+    }, async (params) => {
+        const result = await call('trade.recordOutcome', {
+            signals: { rsi14: params.rsi14, macd: params.macd, trendScore: params.trend_score, volatility: params.volatility },
+            regime: params.regime,
+            profitPct: params.profit_pct,
+            win: params.win,
+            botType: params.bot_type,
+            pair: params.pair,
+        });
+        return textResult(`Trade #${result.tradeId} recorded (${params.win ? 'WIN' : 'LOSS'}, ${params.profit_pct.toFixed(2)}%). Fingerprint: ${result.fingerprint}. Synapse weight: ${result.synapseWeight.toFixed(3)}`);
+    });
+    // 2. trading_signal_weights
+    server.tool('trading_signal_weights', 'Get brain-weighted signal strengths based on learned experience. Returns adjusted weights for each signal type.', {
+        rsi14: z.number().optional().describe('RSI-14 value'),
+        macd: z.number().optional().describe('MACD value'),
+        trend_score: z.number().optional().describe('Trend score'),
+        volatility: z.number().optional().describe('Volatility'),
+        regime: z.string().optional().describe('Market regime'),
+    }, async (params) => {
+        const result = await call('signal.weights', {
+            signals: { rsi14: params.rsi14, macd: params.macd, trendScore: params.trend_score, volatility: params.volatility },
+            regime: params.regime,
+        });
+        return textResult(result);
+    });
+    // 3. trading_signal_confidence
+    server.tool('trading_signal_confidence', 'Get Wilson Score confidence for a signal pattern. Returns 0-1 confidence based on historical win rate.', {
+        rsi14: z.number().optional().describe('RSI-14 value'),
+        macd: z.number().optional().describe('MACD value'),
+        trend_score: z.number().optional().describe('Trend score'),
+        volatility: z.number().optional().describe('Volatility'),
+        regime: z.string().optional().describe('Market regime'),
+    }, async (params) => {
+        const confidence = await call('signal.confidence', {
+            signals: { rsi14: params.rsi14, macd: params.macd, trendScore: params.trend_score, volatility: params.volatility },
+            regime: params.regime,
+        });
+        return textResult(`Confidence: ${(confidence * 100).toFixed(1)}%`);
+    });
+    // 4. trading_dca_multiplier
+    server.tool('trading_dca_multiplier', 'Get brain-recommended DCA position size multiplier based on regime success history.', {
+        regime: z.string().describe('Market regime'),
+        rsi: z.number().describe('Current RSI value'),
+        volatility: z.number().describe('Current volatility'),
+    }, async (params) => {
+        const result = await call('strategy.dcaMultiplier', params);
+        return textResult(result);
+    });
+    // 5. trading_grid_params
+    server.tool('trading_grid_params', 'Get brain-recommended grid spacing parameters based on volatility history.', {
+        regime: z.string().describe('Market regime'),
+        volatility: z.number().describe('Current volatility'),
+        pair: z.string().describe('Trading pair'),
+    }, async (params) => {
+        const result = await call('strategy.gridParams', params);
+        return textResult(result);
+    });
+    // 6. trading_explore
+    server.tool('trading_explore', 'Explore the brain network using spreading activation. Find related nodes from a starting concept.', {
+        query: z.string().describe('Node ID, label, or partial match to start exploration from'),
+    }, async (params) => {
+        const result = await call('synapse.explore', params);
+        return textResult(result);
+    });
+    // 7. trading_connections
+    server.tool('trading_connections', 'Find the shortest path between two nodes in the brain network.', {
+        from: z.string().describe('Source node ID'),
+        to: z.string().describe('Target node ID'),
+    }, async (params) => {
+        const path = await call('synapse.findPath', params);
+        if (!path)
+            return textResult('No path found between these nodes.');
+        return textResult(`Path: ${path.join(' → ')}`);
+    });
+    // 8. trading_rules
+    server.tool('trading_rules', 'Get all learned trading rules with confidence scores and win rates.', {}, async () => {
+        const rules = await call('rule.list', {});
+        return textResult(rules);
+    });
+    // 9. trading_insights
+    server.tool('trading_insights', 'Get research insights (trends, gaps, synergies, performance, regime shifts).', {
+        type: z.string().optional().describe('Filter by type: trend, gap, synergy, performance, regime_shift'),
+        limit: z.number().optional().describe('Max results (default 20)'),
+    }, async (params) => {
+        const result = params.type
+            ? await call('insight.byType', params)
+            : await call('insight.list', params);
+        return textResult(result);
+    });
+    // 10. trading_chains
+    server.tool('trading_chains', 'Get detected trade chains (winning/losing streaks).', {
+        pair: z.string().optional().describe('Filter by trading pair'),
+        limit: z.number().optional().describe('Max results (default 20)'),
+    }, async (params) => {
+        const result = params.pair
+            ? await call('chain.byPair', params)
+            : await call('chain.list', params);
+        return textResult(result);
+    });
+    // 11. trading_query
+    server.tool('trading_query', 'Search trades and signals by fingerprint, pair, or bot type.', {
+        search: z.string().describe('Search query'),
+        limit: z.number().optional().describe('Max results (default 50)'),
+    }, async (params) => {
+        const result = await call('trade.query', params);
+        return textResult(result);
+    });
+    // 12. trading_status
+    server.tool('trading_status', 'Get brain stats: trades, synapses, graph size, rules, insights, calibration.', {}, async () => {
+        const result = await call('analytics.summary', {});
+        return textResult(result);
+    });
+    // 13. trading_calibration
+    server.tool('trading_calibration', 'Get current adaptive calibration parameters (learning rate, Wilson Z, decay half-life, etc.).', {}, async () => {
+        const result = await call('calibration.get', {});
+        return textResult(result);
+    });
+    // 14. trading_learn
+    server.tool('trading_learn', 'Manually trigger a learning cycle (pattern extraction, calibration, decay).', {}, async () => {
+        const result = await call('learning.run', {});
+        return textResult(result);
+    });
+    // 15. trading_reset
+    server.tool('trading_reset', 'Reset all trading brain data (trades, synapses, graph, rules, insights, chains, calibration).', {
+        confirm: z.boolean().describe('Must be true to confirm reset'),
+    }, async (params) => {
+        if (!params.confirm)
+            return textResult('Reset cancelled. Pass confirm: true to proceed.');
+        const result = await call('reset', {});
+        return textResult(result);
+    });
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=tools.js.map

package/dist/mcp/tools.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/research/research-engine.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,21 @@
+import type { TradeRepository } from '../db/repositories/trade.repository.js';
+import type { InsightRepository } from '../db/repositories/insight.repository.js';
+import type { ResearchConfig } from '../types/config.types.js';
+export declare class ResearchEngine {
+    private config;
+    private tradeRepo;
+    private insightRepo;
+    private timer;
+    private logger;
+    constructor(config: ResearchConfig, tradeRepo: TradeRepository, insightRepo: InsightRepository);
+    start(): void;
+    stop(): void;
+    runCycle(): void;
+    private detectTrends;
+    private detectGaps;
+    private detectSynergies;
+    private detectPerformance;
+    private detectRegimeShifts;
+    /** Manual trigger */
+    runManual(): number;
+}

package/dist/research/research-engine.js

@@ -0,0 +1,204 @@
+import { getLogger } from '../utils/logger.js';
+import { getEventBus } from '../utils/events.js';
+function mode(arr) {
+    if (arr.length === 0)
+        return null;
+    const freq = {};
+    arr.forEach(v => { freq[v] = (freq[v] || 0) + 1; });
+    let maxCount = 0, maxVal = null;
+    for (const [val, count] of Object.entries(freq)) {
+        if (count > maxCount) {
+            maxCount = count;
+            maxVal = val;
+        }
+    }
+    return maxVal;
+}
+export class ResearchEngine {
+    config;
+    tradeRepo;
+    insightRepo;
+    timer = null;
+    logger = getLogger();
+    constructor(config, tradeRepo, insightRepo) {
+        this.config = config;
+        this.tradeRepo = tradeRepo;
+        this.insightRepo = insightRepo;
+    }
+    start() {
+        // Initial delay before first run
+        setTimeout(() => {
+            this.runCycle();
+            this.timer = setInterval(() => this.runCycle(), this.config.intervalMs);
+        }, this.config.initialDelayMs);
+        this.logger.info(`Research engine started (interval: ${this.config.intervalMs}ms)`);
+    }
+    stop() {
+        if (this.timer) {
+            clearInterval(this.timer);
+            this.timer = null;
+        }
+    }
+    runCycle() {
+        const bus = getEventBus();
+        const trades = this.tradeRepo.getAll();
+        if (trades.length < this.config.minTrades)
+            return;
+        const now = Date.now();
+        const insights = [];
+        this.detectTrends(trades, now, insights);
+        this.detectGaps(trades, insights);
+        this.detectSynergies(trades, insights);
+        this.detectPerformance(trades, insights);
+        this.detectRegimeShifts(trades, now, insights);
+        // Save insights
+        for (const ins of insights) {
+            const id = this.insightRepo.create(ins);
+            bus.emit('insight:created', { insightId: id, type: ins.type });
+        }
+        // Prune old insights
+        this.insightRepo.pruneOldest(this.config.maxInsights);
+        if (insights.length > 0) {
+            this.logger.info(`Research: ${insights.length} new insights`);
+        }
+    }
+    detectTrends(trades, now, insights) {
+        const recentCutoff = new Date(now - this.config.trendWindowDays * 86400000).toISOString();
+        const olderCutoff = new Date(now - 30 * 86400000).toISOString();
+        const recent = trades.filter(o => o.created_at > recentCutoff);
+        const older = trades.filter(o => o.created_at > olderCutoff && o.created_at <= recentCutoff);
+        if (recent.length >= 5 && older.length >= 5) {
+            const recentWinRate = recent.filter(o => o.win === 1).length / recent.length;
+            const olderWinRate = older.filter(o => o.win === 1).length / older.length;
+            const delta = recentWinRate - olderWinRate;
+            if (Math.abs(delta) > 0.1) {
+                insights.push({
+                    type: 'trend',
+                    severity: Math.abs(delta) > 0.2 ? 'high' : 'medium',
+                    title: delta > 0 ? 'Win-Rate steigt' : 'Win-Rate sinkt',
+                    description: `Win-Rate ${delta > 0 ? 'gestiegen' : 'gesunken'}: ${(olderWinRate * 100).toFixed(0)}% → ${(recentWinRate * 100).toFixed(0)}% (letzte ${this.config.trendWindowDays} Tage vs. vorher)`,
+                    data: { recentWinRate, olderWinRate, delta },
+                });
+            }
+        }
+    }
+    detectGaps(trades, insights) {
+        const regimeGroups = {};
+        trades.forEach(o => {
+            const parts = o.fingerprint.split('|');
+            const regime = parts[4] || 'unknown';
+            if (!regimeGroups[regime])
+                regimeGroups[regime] = [];
+            regimeGroups[regime].push(o);
+        });
+        for (const [regime, group] of Object.entries(regimeGroups)) {
+            if (group.length < 5 && group.length > 0) {
+                insights.push({
+                    type: 'gap',
+                    severity: 'low',
+                    title: `Datenlücke: ${regime}`,
+                    description: `Nur ${group.length} Trades im Regime "${regime}" — Brain braucht mehr Daten für zuverlässige Gewichtung`,
+                    data: { regime, count: group.length },
+                });
+            }
+        }
+    }
+    detectSynergies(trades, insights) {
+        const botTypeGroups = {};
+        trades.forEach(o => {
+            if (!botTypeGroups[o.bot_type])
+                botTypeGroups[o.bot_type] = [];
+            botTypeGroups[o.bot_type].push(o);
+        });
+        const botTypes = Object.keys(botTypeGroups);
+        if (botTypes.length < 2)
+            return;
+        for (let i = 0; i < botTypes.length; i++) {
+            for (let j = i + 1; j < botTypes.length; j++) {
+                const a = botTypeGroups[botTypes[i]];
+                const b = botTypeGroups[botTypes[j]];
+                const aFps = new Set(a.map(o => o.fingerprint));
+                const bFps = new Set(b.map(o => o.fingerprint));
+                let shared = 0;
+                aFps.forEach(fp => { if (bFps.has(fp))
+                    shared++; });
+                if (shared > 0) {
+                    insights.push({
+                        type: 'synergy',
+                        severity: shared > 3 ? 'high' : 'medium',
+                        title: `Synergie: ${botTypes[i]} ↔ ${botTypes[j]}`,
+                        description: `${shared} gemeinsame Signal-Muster — Erfahrungen von ${botTypes[i]} helfen ${botTypes[j]}`,
+                        data: { botA: botTypes[i], botB: botTypes[j], sharedPatterns: shared },
+                    });
+                }
+            }
+        }
+    }
+    detectPerformance(trades, insights) {
+        const fpGroups = {};
+        trades.forEach(o => {
+            if (!fpGroups[o.fingerprint])
+                fpGroups[o.fingerprint] = [];
+            fpGroups[o.fingerprint].push(o);
+        });
+        let bestFp = null, worstFp = null;
+        let bestWR = 0, worstWR = 1;
+        for (const [fp, group] of Object.entries(fpGroups)) {
+            if (group.length < 5)
+                continue;
+            const wr = group.filter(o => o.win === 1).length / group.length;
+            if (wr > bestWR) {
+                bestWR = wr;
+                bestFp = fp;
+            }
+            if (wr < worstWR) {
+                worstWR = wr;
+                worstFp = fp;
+            }
+        }
+        if (bestFp && bestWR > 0.6) {
+            insights.push({
+                type: 'performance',
+                severity: 'high',
+                title: 'Stärkstes Signal-Muster',
+                description: `"${bestFp.split('|').join(' + ')}" hat ${(bestWR * 100).toFixed(0)}% Win-Rate (n=${fpGroups[bestFp].length})`,
+                data: { fingerprint: bestFp, winRate: bestWR, count: fpGroups[bestFp].length },
+            });
+        }
+        if (worstFp && worstWR < 0.35) {
+            insights.push({
+                type: 'performance',
+                severity: 'high',
+                title: 'Schwächstes Signal-Muster',
+                description: `"${worstFp.split('|').join(' + ')}" hat nur ${(worstWR * 100).toFixed(0)}% Win-Rate (n=${fpGroups[worstFp].length}) — Brain reduziert Gewichtung`,
+                data: { fingerprint: worstFp, winRate: worstWR, count: fpGroups[worstFp].length },
+            });
+        }
+    }
+    detectRegimeShifts(trades, now, insights) {
+        const recentCutoff = new Date(now - this.config.trendWindowDays * 86400000).toISOString();
+        const recent = trades.filter(o => o.created_at > recentCutoff);
+        const older = trades.filter(o => o.created_at <= recentCutoff).slice(-10);
+        if (recent.length < 3)
+            return;
+        const recentRegimes = recent.map(o => o.fingerprint.split('|')[4] || 'unknown');
+        const prevRegimes = older.map(o => o.fingerprint.split('|')[4] || 'unknown');
+        const recentMode = mode(recentRegimes);
+        const prevMode = mode(prevRegimes);
+        if (recentMode && prevMode && recentMode !== prevMode) {
+            insights.push({
+                type: 'regime_shift',
+                severity: 'high',
+                title: 'Regime-Wechsel erkannt',
+                description: `Marktregime hat sich verschoben: "${prevMode}" → "${recentMode}"`,
+                data: { from: prevMode, to: recentMode },
+            });
+        }
+    }
+    /** Manual trigger */
+    runManual() {
+        this.runCycle();
+        return this.insightRepo.count();
+    }
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=research-engine.js.map

package/dist/research/research-engine.js.map

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package/dist/services/analytics.service.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,16 @@
+import type { TradeRepository } from '../db/repositories/trade.repository.js';
+import type { RuleRepository } from '../db/repositories/rule.repository.js';
+import type { ChainRepository } from '../db/repositories/chain.repository.js';
+import type { InsightRepository } from '../db/repositories/insight.repository.js';
+import type { SynapseManager } from '../synapses/synapse-manager.js';
+import type { WeightedGraph } from '../graph/weighted-graph.js';
+export declare class AnalyticsService {
+    private tradeRepo;
+    private ruleRepo;
+    private chainRepo;
+    private insightRepo;
+    private synapseManager;
+    private graph;
+    constructor(tradeRepo: TradeRepository, ruleRepo: RuleRepository, chainRepo: ChainRepository, insightRepo: InsightRepository, synapseManager: SynapseManager, graph: WeightedGraph);
+    getSummary(): Record<string, unknown>;
+}

package/dist/services/analytics.service.js

@@ -0,0 +1,64 @@
+export class AnalyticsService {
+    tradeRepo;
+    ruleRepo;
+    chainRepo;
+    insightRepo;
+    synapseManager;
+    graph;
+    constructor(tradeRepo, ruleRepo, chainRepo, insightRepo, synapseManager, graph) {
+        this.tradeRepo = tradeRepo;
+        this.ruleRepo = ruleRepo;
+        this.chainRepo = chainRepo;
+        this.insightRepo = insightRepo;
+        this.synapseManager = synapseManager;
+        this.graph = graph;
+    }
+    getSummary() {
+        const tradeCount = this.tradeRepo.count();
+        const recentTrades = this.tradeRepo.getRecent(10);
+        const rules = this.ruleRepo.getAll();
+        const chains = this.chainRepo.getRecent(5);
+        const insights = this.insightRepo.getRecent(5);
+        const wins = recentTrades.filter(t => t.win === 1).length;
+        const recentWinRate = recentTrades.length > 0 ? wins / recentTrades.length : 0;
+        const topRule = rules.length > 0 ? {
+            pattern: rules[0].pattern,
+            winRate: Math.round(rules[0].win_rate * 100),
+            confidence: Math.round(rules[0].confidence * 100),
+            sampleCount: rules[0].sample_count,
+        } : null;
+        return {
+            trades: {
+                total: tradeCount,
+                recentWinRate: Math.round(recentWinRate * 100),
+            },
+            rules: {
+                total: rules.length,
+                topRule,
+            },
+            chains: {
+                total: this.chainRepo.count(),
+                recent: chains.map(c => ({
+                    pair: c.pair,
+                    type: c.type,
+                    length: c.length,
+                })),
+            },
+            insights: {
+                total: this.insightRepo.count(),
+                recent: insights.map(i => ({
+                    type: i.type,
+                    severity: i.severity,
+                    title: i.title,
+                })),
+            },
+            network: {
+                synapses: this.synapseManager.count(),
+                avgWeight: Number(this.synapseManager.getAvgWeight().toFixed(3)),
+                graphNodes: this.graph.getNodeCount(),
+                graphEdges: this.graph.getEdgeCount(),
+            },
+        };
+    }
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=analytics.service.js.map

package/dist/services/analytics.service.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/services/insight.service.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,11 @@
+import type { InsightRepository, InsightRecord } from '../db/repositories/insight.repository.js';
+export declare class InsightService {
+    private insightRepo;
+    constructor(insightRepo: InsightRepository);
+    getAll(): InsightRecord[];
+    getRecent(limit?: number): InsightRecord[];
+    getByType(type: string): InsightRecord[];
+    getBySeverity(severity: string): InsightRecord[];
+    search(query: string, limit?: number): InsightRecord[];
+    count(): number;
+}

package/dist/services/insight.service.js

@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
+export class InsightService {
+    insightRepo;
+    constructor(insightRepo) {
+        this.insightRepo = insightRepo;
+    }
+    getAll() {
+        return this.insightRepo.getAll();
+    }
+    getRecent(limit = 10) {
+        return this.insightRepo.getRecent(limit);
+    }
+    getByType(type) {
+        return this.insightRepo.getByType(type);
+    }
+    getBySeverity(severity) {
+        return this.insightRepo.getBySeverity(severity);
+    }
+    search(query, limit = 20) {
+        return this.insightRepo.search(query, limit);
+    }
+    count() {
+        return this.insightRepo.count();
+    }
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=insight.service.js.map

package/dist/services/insight.service.js.map

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