@cogitator-ai/core 0.3.0 → 0.5.0

package/dist/causal/discovery/prompts.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,99 @@
+import type { CausalNode, CausalHypothesis, ExecutionTrace } from '@cogitator-ai/types';
+export declare function buildCausalExtractionPrompt(source: string, existingNodes: CausalNode[], context?: {
+    taskDescription?: string;
+    recentActions?: string[];
+}): string;
+export declare function buildHypothesisGenerationPrompt(patterns: Array<{
+    trigger: string;
+    effect: string;
+    occurrences: number;
+}>, traces: Array<{
+    id: string;
+    summary: string;
+    success: boolean;
+}>, context: {
+    agentId: string;
+    goal?: string;
+}): string;
+export declare function buildCausalValidationPrompt(hypothesis: CausalHypothesis, originalTrace: {
+    id: string;
+    summary: string;
+    outcome: string;
+}, forkTraces: Array<{
+    intervention: string;
+    outcome: string;
+    diffFromOriginal: string;
+}>): string;
+export declare function buildErrorCausalAnalysisPrompt(error: {
+    message: string;
+    stack?: string;
+}, trace: ExecutionTrace, context: {
+    recentActions: string[];
+    systemState: Record<string, unknown>;
+}): string;
+export interface ExtractedRelationship {
+    cause: {
+        id: string;
+        name: string;
+        type: string;
+    };
+    effect: {
+        id: string;
+        name: string;
+        type: string;
+    };
+    relationType: string;
+    strength: number;
+    confidence: number;
+    mechanism: string;
+}
+export interface CausalExtractionResult {
+    relationships: ExtractedRelationship[];
+    reasoning: string;
+}
+export declare function parseCausalExtractionResponse(response: string): CausalExtractionResult | null;
+export interface GeneratedHypothesis {
+    cause: string;
+    effect: string;
+    relationType: string;
+    expectedStrength: number;
+    rationale: string;
+    testable: boolean;
+    testStrategy: string;
+}
+export interface HypothesisGenerationResult {
+    hypotheses: GeneratedHypothesis[];
+}
+export declare function parseHypothesisResponse(response: string): HypothesisGenerationResult | null;
+export interface ValidationResult {
+    verdict: 'validated' | 'rejected' | 'inconclusive';
+    confidence: number;
+    evidence: Array<{
+        type: 'supporting' | 'refuting';
+        description: string;
+    }>;
+    adjustedStrength: number;
+    reasoning: string;
+}
+export declare function parseValidationResponse(response: string): ValidationResult | null;
+export interface RootCauseAnalysisResult {
+    rootCauses: Array<{
+        variable: string;
+        description: string;
+        contribution: number;
+        actionable: boolean;
+    }>;
+    causalChain: Array<{
+        from: string;
+        to: string;
+        mechanism: string;
+    }>;
+    preventiveInterventions: Array<{
+        target: string;
+        action: string;
+        expectedEffect: string;
+    }>;
+    reasoning: string;
+}
+export declare function parseRootCauseResponse(response: string): RootCauseAnalysisResult | null;
+//# sourceMappingURL=prompts.d.ts.map

package/dist/causal/discovery/prompts.d.ts.map

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package/dist/causal/discovery/prompts.js

@@ -0,0 +1,265 @@
+export function buildCausalExtractionPrompt(source, existingNodes, context) {
+    const existingNodeList = existingNodes.length > 0
+        ? `\nExisting variables in the causal graph:\n${existingNodes.map((n) => `- ${n.id}: ${n.name} (${n.variableType})`).join('\n')}`
+        : '';
+    const contextSection = context
+        ? `\nContext:\n- Task: ${context.taskDescription || 'Not specified'}\n- Recent actions: ${context.recentActions?.join(', ') || 'None'}`
+        : '';
+    return `Analyze the following text and extract causal relationships.
+
+For each causal relationship found, identify:
+1. The cause variable (what produces the effect)
+2. The effect variable (what is affected)
+3. The relationship type: causes, enables, prevents, mediates, confounds, or moderates
+4. Estimated strength (0.0 to 1.0)
+5. Confidence in this relationship (0.0 to 1.0)
+6. Brief mechanism description
+${existingNodeList}
+${contextSection}
+
+Text to analyze:
+"""
+${source}
+"""
+
+Respond in JSON format:
+{
+  "relationships": [
+    {
+      "cause": { "id": "variable_id", "name": "Human readable name", "type": "observed|treatment|outcome|confounder|mediator|latent" },
+      "effect": { "id": "variable_id", "name": "Human readable name", "type": "observed|treatment|outcome|confounder|mediator|latent" },
+      "relationType": "causes|enables|prevents|mediates|confounds|moderates",
+      "strength": 0.8,
+      "confidence": 0.7,
+      "mechanism": "Brief description of how cause affects effect"
+    }
+  ],
+  "reasoning": "Brief explanation of the analysis"
+}
+
+Be conservative - only extract relationships that are clearly implied or stated. Prefer using existing variables when they match.`;
+}
+export function buildHypothesisGenerationPrompt(patterns, traces, context) {
+    const patternSection = patterns.length > 0
+        ? `\nObserved patterns:\n${patterns.map((p) => `- "${p.trigger}" → "${p.effect}" (observed ${p.occurrences} times)`).join('\n')}`
+        : '';
+    const traceSection = traces.length > 0
+        ? `\nRecent execution traces:\n${traces.map((t) => `- [${t.success ? 'SUCCESS' : 'FAILURE'}] ${t.summary}`).join('\n')}`
+        : '';
+    return `Generate causal hypotheses for agent ${context.agentId}.
+${context.goal ? `Agent goal: ${context.goal}` : ''}
+${patternSection}
+${traceSection}
+
+Generate hypotheses about causal relationships that could explain the observed patterns and outcomes.
+
+Respond in JSON format:
+{
+  "hypotheses": [
+    {
+      "cause": "variable_id",
+      "effect": "variable_id",
+      "relationType": "causes|enables|prevents",
+      "expectedStrength": 0.7,
+      "rationale": "Why this relationship might exist",
+      "testable": true,
+      "testStrategy": "How to test this hypothesis"
+    }
+  ]
+}
+
+Focus on:
+1. Relationships that explain failures
+2. Patterns that predict success
+3. Hidden confounders that might explain spurious correlations`;
+}
+export function buildCausalValidationPrompt(hypothesis, originalTrace, forkTraces) {
+    return `Validate the following causal hypothesis based on execution traces.
+
+Hypothesis:
+- Cause: ${hypothesis.cause}
+- Effect: ${hypothesis.effect}
+- Relationship: ${hypothesis.relationType}
+- Expected strength: ${hypothesis.strength}
+
+Original execution:
+- Trace ID: ${originalTrace.id}
+- Summary: ${originalTrace.summary}
+- Outcome: ${originalTrace.outcome}
+
+Forked executions (with interventions):
+${forkTraces.map((f) => `- Intervention: ${f.intervention}\n  Outcome: ${f.outcome}\n  Difference: ${f.diffFromOriginal}`).join('\n\n')}
+
+Analyze whether the evidence supports or refutes the hypothesis.
+
+Respond in JSON format:
+{
+  "verdict": "validated|rejected|inconclusive",
+  "confidence": 0.8,
+  "evidence": [
+    { "type": "supporting|refuting", "description": "..." }
+  ],
+  "adjustedStrength": 0.75,
+  "reasoning": "Detailed analysis of the evidence"
+}`;
+}
+export function buildErrorCausalAnalysisPrompt(error, trace, context) {
+    const steps = trace.steps.slice(-10).map((s) => ({
+        action: s.toolCall ? `${s.toolCall.name}(${JSON.stringify(s.toolCall.arguments)})` : s.type,
+        result: s.toolResult
+            ? String(s.toolResult.result).substring(0, 200)
+            : s.response?.substring(0, 200),
+        success: !s.toolResult?.error,
+    }));
+    return `Analyze the causal chain that led to this error.
+
+Error:
+${error.message}
+${error.stack ? `Stack: ${error.stack.substring(0, 500)}` : ''}
+
+Recent execution steps:
+${steps.map((s, i) => `${i + 1}. [${s.success ? 'OK' : 'FAIL'}] ${s.action}: ${s.result || 'no result'}`).join('\n')}
+
+System context:
+- Recent actions: ${context.recentActions.join(', ')}
+- State: ${JSON.stringify(context.systemState, null, 2).substring(0, 500)}
+
+Identify:
+1. The root cause(s) of the error
+2. Contributing factors
+3. The causal chain from root cause to error
+4. Preventive interventions
+
+Respond in JSON format:
+{
+  "rootCauses": [
+    {
+      "variable": "cause_id",
+      "description": "What went wrong",
+      "contribution": 0.8,
+      "actionable": true
+    }
+  ],
+  "causalChain": [
+    { "from": "cause1", "to": "cause2", "mechanism": "how it propagated" }
+  ],
+  "preventiveInterventions": [
+    { "target": "variable", "action": "what to do", "expectedEffect": "outcome" }
+  ],
+  "reasoning": "Analysis explanation"
+}`;
+}
+export function parseCausalExtractionResponse(response) {
+    try {
+        const jsonMatch = /\{[\s\S]*\}/.exec(response);
+        if (!jsonMatch)
+            return null;
+        const parsed = JSON.parse(jsonMatch[0]);
+        if (!parsed.relationships || !Array.isArray(parsed.relationships)) {
+            return null;
+        }
+        return {
+            relationships: parsed.relationships.map((r) => ({
+                cause: r.cause,
+                effect: r.effect,
+                relationType: r.relationType,
+                strength: typeof r.strength === 'number' ? r.strength : 0.5,
+                confidence: typeof r.confidence === 'number' ? r.confidence : 0.5,
+                mechanism: r.mechanism || '',
+            })),
+            reasoning: parsed.reasoning || '',
+        };
+    }
+    catch {
+        return null;
+    }
+}
+export function parseHypothesisResponse(response) {
+    try {
+        const jsonMatch = /\{[\s\S]*\}/.exec(response);
+        if (!jsonMatch)
+            return null;
+        const parsed = JSON.parse(jsonMatch[0]);
+        if (!parsed.hypotheses || !Array.isArray(parsed.hypotheses)) {
+            return null;
+        }
+        return {
+            hypotheses: parsed.hypotheses.map((h) => ({
+                cause: h.cause,
+                effect: h.effect,
+                relationType: h.relationType || 'causes',
+                expectedStrength: typeof h.expectedStrength === 'number' ? h.expectedStrength : 0.5,
+                rationale: h.rationale || '',
+                testable: h.testable !== false,
+                testStrategy: h.testStrategy || '',
+            })),
+        };
+    }
+    catch {
+        return null;
+    }
+}
+export function parseValidationResponse(response) {
+    try {
+        const jsonMatch = /\{[\s\S]*\}/.exec(response);
+        if (!jsonMatch)
+            return null;
+        const parsed = JSON.parse(jsonMatch[0]);
+        const verdict = parsed.verdict;
+        if (!['validated', 'rejected', 'inconclusive'].includes(verdict)) {
+            return null;
+        }
+        return {
+            verdict: verdict,
+            confidence: typeof parsed.confidence === 'number' ? parsed.confidence : 0.5,
+            evidence: Array.isArray(parsed.evidence)
+                ? parsed.evidence.map((e) => ({
+                    type: e.type,
+                    description: e.description,
+                }))
+                : [],
+            adjustedStrength: typeof parsed.adjustedStrength === 'number' ? parsed.adjustedStrength : 0.5,
+            reasoning: parsed.reasoning || '',
+        };
+    }
+    catch {
+        return null;
+    }
+}
+export function parseRootCauseResponse(response) {
+    try {
+        const jsonMatch = /\{[\s\S]*\}/.exec(response);
+        if (!jsonMatch)
+            return null;
+        const parsed = JSON.parse(jsonMatch[0]);
+        return {
+            rootCauses: Array.isArray(parsed.rootCauses)
+                ? parsed.rootCauses.map((r) => ({
+                    variable: r.variable,
+                    description: r.description,
+                    contribution: typeof r.contribution === 'number' ? r.contribution : 0.5,
+                    actionable: r.actionable !== false,
+                }))
+                : [],
+            causalChain: Array.isArray(parsed.causalChain)
+                ? parsed.causalChain.map((c) => ({
+                    from: c.from,
+                    to: c.to,
+                    mechanism: c.mechanism,
+                }))
+                : [],
+            preventiveInterventions: Array.isArray(parsed.preventiveInterventions)
+                ? parsed.preventiveInterventions.map((p) => ({
+                    target: p.target,
+                    action: p.action,
+                    expectedEffect: p.expectedEffect,
+                }))
+                : [],
+            reasoning: parsed.reasoning || '',
+        };
+    }
+    catch {
+        return null;
+    }
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=prompts.js.map

package/dist/causal/discovery/prompts.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/causal/graph/causal-graph.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,38 @@
+import type { CausalGraph, CausalGraphData, CausalNode, CausalEdge, CausalPath, TripleType } from '@cogitator-ai/types';
+export declare class CausalGraphImpl implements CausalGraph {
+    readonly id: string;
+    readonly name: string;
+    private nodes;
+    private edges;
+    private parentMap;
+    private childMap;
+    private edgeIndex;
+    private createdAt;
+    private updatedAt;
+    private version;
+    constructor(id: string, name: string);
+    static fromData(data: CausalGraphData): CausalGraphImpl;
+    addNode(node: CausalNode): void;
+    removeNode(nodeId: string): void;
+    getNode(nodeId: string): CausalNode | undefined;
+    getNodes(): CausalNode[];
+    hasNode(nodeId: string): boolean;
+    addEdge(edge: CausalEdge): void;
+    removeEdge(edgeId: string): void;
+    getEdge(edgeId: string): CausalEdge | undefined;
+    getEdges(): CausalEdge[];
+    getEdgeBetween(source: string, target: string): CausalEdge | undefined;
+    getParents(nodeId: string): CausalNode[];
+    getChildren(nodeId: string): CausalNode[];
+    getAncestors(nodeId: string): CausalNode[];
+    getDescendants(nodeId: string): CausalNode[];
+    findPaths(from: string, to: string, maxLength?: number): CausalPath[];
+    getMarkovBlanket(nodeId: string): CausalNode[];
+    topologicalSort(): string[];
+    hasCycle(): boolean;
+    clone(): CausalGraph;
+    toData(): CausalGraphData;
+    private touch;
+}
+export declare function getTripleType(graph: CausalGraph, a: string, b: string, c: string): TripleType | null;
+//# sourceMappingURL=causal-graph.d.ts.map

package/dist/causal/graph/causal-graph.d.ts.map

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