sapor 0.3.4

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (332) hide show
  1. checksums.yaml +7 -0
  2. data/Area Class Diagram.dia +0 -0
  3. data/Area Class Diagram.png +0 -0
  4. data/Class Diagram.dia +0 -0
  5. data/Class Diagram.png +0 -0
  6. data/Example-Catalonia.md +361 -0
  7. data/Example-Flanders.md +486 -0
  8. data/Example-Greece.md +25 -0
  9. data/Example-Oslo.md +678 -0
  10. data/Example-UnitedKingdom-Referendum.md +132 -0
  11. data/Examples.md +15 -0
  12. data/LICENSE +674 -0
  13. data/README.md +103 -0
  14. data/Rakefile +18 -0
  15. data/Technical Documentation.md +14 -0
  16. data/bin/create_installation_package.sh +49 -0
  17. data/bin/install.sh +45 -0
  18. data/bin/sapor.rb +24 -0
  19. data/bin/sapor.sh +106 -0
  20. data/data/hu/hungary-2014.txt +1680 -0
  21. data/data/hu/hungary_2014_screen_scraper.rb +48 -0
  22. data/data/hu/hungary_2014_to_psv.rb +80 -0
  23. data/data/hu/index-2014.txt +106 -0
  24. data/data/pl/2015-gl-lis-okr.csv +42 -0
  25. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv.rb +79 -0
  26. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_and_rsw.rb +94 -0
  27. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp.rb +100 -0
  28. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_sld_and_wi.rb +92 -0
  29. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_sld.rb +84 -0
  30. data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_sld_and_wi.rb +85 -0
  31. data/data/uk/inject_ukip_2015_as_brexit_2019_in_2017.rb +54 -0
  32. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2015.txt +651 -0
  33. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2015_to_psv.rb +104 -0
  34. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017.txt +651 -0
  35. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv.rb +104 -0
  36. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv_with_brexit_and_chuk.rb +113 -0
  37. data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv_with_tig.rb +111 -0
  38. data/lib/sapor.rb +150 -0
  39. data/lib/sapor/binomials_cache.rb +45 -0
  40. data/lib/sapor/combinations_distribution.rb +222 -0
  41. data/lib/sapor/denominators.rb +67 -0
  42. data/lib/sapor/dichotomies.rb +138 -0
  43. data/lib/sapor/dichotomy.rb +164 -0
  44. data/lib/sapor/first_past_the_post.rb +82 -0
  45. data/lib/sapor/largest_remainder.rb +118 -0
  46. data/lib/sapor/log4r_logger.rb +49 -0
  47. data/lib/sapor/log_facade.rb +40 -0
  48. data/lib/sapor/multi_district_leveled_proportional.rb +64 -0
  49. data/lib/sapor/multi_district_proportional.rb +123 -0
  50. data/lib/sapor/multi_district_variable_threshold_proportional.rb +128 -0
  51. data/lib/sapor/number_formatter.rb +45 -0
  52. data/lib/sapor/options.rb +73 -0
  53. data/lib/sapor/poll.rb +286 -0
  54. data/lib/sapor/polychotomy.rb +200 -0
  55. data/lib/sapor/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator.rb +87 -0
  56. data/lib/sapor/referendum_polychotomy.rb +165 -0
  57. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/area.rb +82 -0
  58. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/austria.rb +84 -0
  59. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-2014.psv +46 -0
  60. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-20190526.psv +33 -0
  61. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-2014.psv +80 -0
  62. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-20190526.psv +74 -0
  63. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-2014.psv +114 -0
  64. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-20190526.psv +93 -0
  65. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium.rb +97 -0
  66. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_brussels.rb +62 -0
  67. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_flanders.rb +64 -0
  68. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_wallonia.rb +63 -0
  69. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012-2015.psv +100 -0
  70. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012.psv +87 -0
  71. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015-jxcat.psv +68 -0
  72. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015-no-jxsi.psv +68 -0
  73. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015.psv +63 -0
  74. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-jxcat.rb +109 -0
  75. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-no-jxsi.rb +96 -0
  76. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia.rb +96 -0
  77. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-e-and-p.psv +164 -0
  78. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-e.psv +153 -0
  79. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-p.psv +153 -0
  80. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618.psv +142 -0
  81. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark.rb +128 -0
  82. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_e.rb +128 -0
  83. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_e_and_p.rb +128 -0
  84. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_p.rb +128 -0
  85. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/estonia.rb +88 -0
  86. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20140522-brexit-chuk.psv +172 -0
  87. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20140522.psv +146 -0
  88. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20190523.psv +141 -0
  89. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia-ri-sd.psv +64 -0
  90. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia-sd.psv +60 -0
  91. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia.psv +56 -0
  92. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-sd.psv +56 -0
  93. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014.psv +50 -0
  94. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-20190524-ia.psv +58 -0
  95. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-20190524.psv +52 -0
  96. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_austria.rb +76 -0
  97. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_croatia.rb +81 -0
  98. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_denmark.rb +77 -0
  99. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_estonia.rb +74 -0
  100. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_finland.rb +74 -0
  101. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_ireland.rb +96 -0
  102. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_ireland_with_ia.rb +97 -0
  103. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_italy.rb +84 -0
  104. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_netherlands.rb +81 -0
  105. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_poland.rb +84 -0
  106. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_romania.rb +78 -0
  107. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_slovakia.rb +80 -0
  108. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_spain.rb +82 -0
  109. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_sweden.rb +76 -0
  110. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_austria.rb +76 -0
  111. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_bulgaria.rb +82 -0
  112. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_croatia.rb +81 -0
  113. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_cyprus.rb +72 -0
  114. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_czech_republic.rb +82 -0
  115. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_denmark.rb +77 -0
  116. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_estonia.rb +74 -0
  117. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_finland.rb +74 -0
  118. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_flanders.rb +74 -0
  119. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_france.rb +84 -0
  120. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_france_2019.rb +84 -0
  121. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_french_community_of_belgium.rb +73 -0
  122. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_germany.rb +86 -0
  123. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_great_britain.rb +98 -0
  124. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_greece.rb +77 -0
  125. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_hungary.rb +76 -0
  126. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_ireland.rb +96 -0
  127. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_ireland_with_ia.rb +97 -0
  128. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_italy.rb +84 -0
  129. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_latvia.rb +81 -0
  130. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_lithuania.rb +80 -0
  131. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_luxembourg.rb +75 -0
  132. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_malta.rb +71 -0
  133. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_netherlands.rb +81 -0
  134. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_northern_ireland.rb +75 -0
  135. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_poland.rb +84 -0
  136. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_portugal.rb +75 -0
  137. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_romania.rb +78 -0
  138. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_slovakia.rb +81 -0
  139. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_slovenia.rb +85 -0
  140. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_spain.rb +82 -0
  141. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_sweden.rb +76 -0
  142. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland-20150419-with-sin.psv +224 -0
  143. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland-20150419.psv +212 -0
  144. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland.rb +107 -0
  145. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland_with_sin.rb +107 -0
  146. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-2014.psv +96 -0
  147. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-20190526.psv +87 -0
  148. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders.rb +115 -0
  149. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/france.rb +38 -0
  150. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/greece.rb +92 -0
  151. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/hungary-2014.psv +2104 -0
  152. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/hungary.rb +116 -0
  153. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20161029-midflokkurinn.psv +94 -0
  154. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20161029.psv +88 -0
  155. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20171028.psv +85 -0
  156. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland.rb +133 -0
  157. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv-p-par.psv +109 -0
  158. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv-par.psv +103 -0
  159. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv.psv +97 -0
  160. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004.psv +89 -0
  161. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia.rb +112 -0
  162. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv.rb +112 -0
  163. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv_p_par.rb +112 -0
  164. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv_par.rb +112 -0
  165. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/luxembourg-20131020.psv +76 -0
  166. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/luxembourg.rb +82 -0
  167. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/netherlands.rb +108 -0
  168. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norway.rb +425 -0
  169. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norwegian_municipality.rb +68 -0
  170. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-and-l-without-n-po-r-and-zl.psv +321 -0
  171. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-konf-kp-l-and-zp-without-k-k15-n-pis-po-psl-r-and-zl.psv +280 -0
  172. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-sld-and-wi-without-n-po-and-zl.psv +403 -0
  173. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-sld-and-wi-without-zl.psv +444 -0
  174. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-sld-without-zl.psv +403 -0
  175. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025.psv +403 -0
  176. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland.rb +125 -0
  177. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_and_l_without_n_po_r_and_zl.rb +122 -0
  178. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp_without_k_k15_n_pis_po_psl_r_and_zl.rb +123 -0
  179. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_sld_and_wi_without_n_po_and_zl.rb +125 -0
  180. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_sld_and_wi_without_zl.rb +126 -0
  181. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_sld_without_zl.rb +126 -0
  182. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-and-ch-without-paf.psv +438 -0
  183. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-and-il-without-paf.psv +438 -0
  184. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-ch-and-il-without-paf.psv +461 -0
  185. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-without-paf.psv +415 -0
  186. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-ch-and-il-without-paf.psv +438 -0
  187. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-without-paf.psv +392 -0
  188. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004.psv +370 -0
  189. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal.rb +101 -0
  190. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_and_ch_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  191. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  192. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_ch_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  193. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  194. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_ch_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  195. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_without_paf.rb +92 -0
  196. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/slovakia.rb +81 -0
  197. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/slovenia.rb +114 -0
  198. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/spain-20160626.psv +619 -0
  199. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/spain.rb +136 -0
  200. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/sweden.rb +92 -0
  201. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/sweden_20140914.rb +89 -0
  202. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-2015.psv +4358 -0
  203. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-brexit-chuk.psv +5154 -0
  204. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-brexit.psv +4521 -0
  205. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-tig.psv +4529 -0
  206. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608.psv +3894 -0
  207. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom.rb +94 -0
  208. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_brexit.rb +110 -0
  209. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_brexit_and_chuk.rb +111 -0
  210. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_tig.rb +111 -0
  211. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/utopia.rb +66 -0
  212. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia-2014.psv +101 -0
  213. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia-20190526.psv +88 -0
  214. data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia.rb +112 -0
  215. data/lib/sapor/representatives_polychotomy.rb +338 -0
  216. data/lib/sapor/single_district_proportional.rb +75 -0
  217. data/sapor.gemspec +35 -0
  218. data/spec/integration/area_spec.rb +28 -0
  219. data/spec/integration/poll_spec.rb +112 -0
  220. data/spec/integration/sample.poll +8 -0
  221. data/spec/spec_helper.rb +31 -0
  222. data/spec/unit/area_spec.rb +115 -0
  223. data/spec/unit/austria_spec.rb +76 -0
  224. data/spec/unit/belgium_brussels_spec.rb +58 -0
  225. data/spec/unit/belgium_flanders_spec.rb +62 -0
  226. data/spec/unit/belgium_spec.rb +26 -0
  227. data/spec/unit/belgium_wallonia_spec.rb +65 -0
  228. data/spec/unit/binomials_cache_spec.rb +34 -0
  229. data/spec/unit/catalonia_spec.rb +74 -0
  230. data/spec/unit/combinations_distribution_spec.rb +241 -0
  231. data/spec/unit/denmark_spec.rb +56 -0
  232. data/spec/unit/denmark_with_e_and_p_spec.rb +58 -0
  233. data/spec/unit/denmark_with_e_spec.rb +57 -0
  234. data/spec/unit/denmark_with_p_spec.rb +57 -0
  235. data/spec/unit/denominators_spec.rb +40 -0
  236. data/spec/unit/dichotomies_spec.rb +154 -0
  237. data/spec/unit/dichotomy_spec.rb +320 -0
  238. data/spec/unit/estonia_spec.rb +65 -0
  239. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_austria_spec.rb +61 -0
  240. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_croatia_spec.rb +60 -0
  241. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_denmark_spec.rb +62 -0
  242. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_estonia_spec.rb +94 -0
  243. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_finland_spec.rb +75 -0
  244. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_ireland_spec.rb +72 -0
  245. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_ireland_with_ia_spec.rb +74 -0
  246. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_italy_spec.rb +69 -0
  247. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_netherlands_spec.rb +81 -0
  248. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_poland_spec.rb +69 -0
  249. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_romania_spec.rb +67 -0
  250. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_slovakia_spec.rb +111 -0
  251. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_spain_spec.rb +130 -0
  252. data/spec/unit/european_union_27_sweden_spec.rb +89 -0
  253. data/spec/unit/european_union_austria_spec.rb +61 -0
  254. data/spec/unit/european_union_bulgaria_spec.rb +97 -0
  255. data/spec/unit/european_union_croatia_spec.rb +59 -0
  256. data/spec/unit/european_union_cyprus_spec.rb +65 -0
  257. data/spec/unit/european_union_czech_republic_spec.rb +125 -0
  258. data/spec/unit/european_union_denmark_spec.rb +61 -0
  259. data/spec/unit/european_union_estonia_spec.rb +93 -0
  260. data/spec/unit/european_union_finland_spec.rb +75 -0
  261. data/spec/unit/european_union_flanders_spec.rb +56 -0
  262. data/spec/unit/european_union_france_2019_spec.rb +73 -0
  263. data/spec/unit/european_union_france_spec.rb +73 -0
  264. data/spec/unit/european_union_french_community_of_belgium_spec.rb +61 -0
  265. data/spec/unit/european_union_germany_spec.rb +90 -0
  266. data/spec/unit/european_union_great_britain_spec.rb +87 -0
  267. data/spec/unit/european_union_greece_spec.rb +148 -0
  268. data/spec/unit/european_union_hungary_spec.rb +57 -0
  269. data/spec/unit/european_union_ireland_spec.rb +72 -0
  270. data/spec/unit/european_union_ireland_with_ia_spec.rb +74 -0
  271. data/spec/unit/european_union_italy_spec.rb +69 -0
  272. data/spec/unit/european_union_latvia_spec.rb +76 -0
  273. data/spec/unit/european_union_lithuania_spec.rb +68 -0
  274. data/spec/unit/european_union_luxembourg_spec.rb +63 -0
  275. data/spec/unit/european_union_malta_spec.rb +60 -0
  276. data/spec/unit/european_union_netherlands_spec.rb +81 -0
  277. data/spec/unit/european_union_northern_ireland_spec.rb +66 -0
  278. data/spec/unit/european_union_poland_spec.rb +69 -0
  279. data/spec/unit/european_union_portugal_spec.rb +77 -0
  280. data/spec/unit/european_union_romania_spec.rb +67 -0
  281. data/spec/unit/european_union_slovakia_spec.rb +111 -0
  282. data/spec/unit/european_union_slovenia_spec.rb +77 -0
  283. data/spec/unit/european_union_spain_spec.rb +129 -0
  284. data/spec/unit/european_union_sweden_spec.rb +89 -0
  285. data/spec/unit/finland_spec.rb +65 -0
  286. data/spec/unit/finland_with_sin_spec.rb +67 -0
  287. data/spec/unit/first_past_the_post_spec.rb +54 -0
  288. data/spec/unit/flanders_spec.rb +70 -0
  289. data/spec/unit/france_spec.rb +32 -0
  290. data/spec/unit/greece_spec.rb +118 -0
  291. data/spec/unit/hungary_spec.rb +132 -0
  292. data/spec/unit/iceland_spec.rb +57 -0
  293. data/spec/unit/largest_remainder_spec.rb +79 -0
  294. data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_p_par_spec.rb +38 -0
  295. data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_par_spec.rb +38 -0
  296. data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_spec.rb +38 -0
  297. data/spec/unit/latvia_spec.rb +60 -0
  298. data/spec/unit/luxembourg_spec.rb +54 -0
  299. data/spec/unit/multi_district_leveled_proportional_spec.rb +49 -0
  300. data/spec/unit/multi_district_proportional_spec.rb +81 -0
  301. data/spec/unit/netherlands_spec.rb +107 -0
  302. data/spec/unit/norway_spec.rb +64 -0
  303. data/spec/unit/norwegian_municipality_spec.rb +89 -0
  304. data/spec/unit/number_formatter_spec.rb +173 -0
  305. data/spec/unit/poland_spec.rb +62 -0
  306. data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_and_l_without_n_po_r_and_zl_spec.rb +60 -0
  307. data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp_without_k_k15_n_pis_po_psl_r_and_zl_spec.rb +59 -0
  308. data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_sld_and_wi_without_n_po_and_zl_spec.rb +62 -0
  309. data/spec/unit/poland_with_sld_and_wi_without_zl_spec.rb +63 -0
  310. data/spec/unit/poland_with_sld_without_zl_spec.rb +62 -0
  311. data/spec/unit/poll_spec.rb +110 -0
  312. data/spec/unit/portugal_spec.rb +66 -0
  313. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_and_ch_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
  314. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
  315. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_ch_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +69 -0
  316. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_without_paf_spec.rb +67 -0
  317. data/spec/unit/portugal_with_ch_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
  318. data/spec/unit/portugal_without_paf_spec.rb +66 -0
  319. data/spec/unit/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator_spec.rb +82 -0
  320. data/spec/unit/referendum_polychotomy_spec.rb +289 -0
  321. data/spec/unit/representatives_polychotomy_spec.rb +332 -0
  322. data/spec/unit/slovakia_spec.rb +99 -0
  323. data/spec/unit/slovenia_spec.rb +80 -0
  324. data/spec/unit/spain_spec.rb +101 -0
  325. data/spec/unit/sweden_20140914_spec.rb +112 -0
  326. data/spec/unit/sweden_spec.rb +113 -0
  327. data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_spec.rb +65 -0
  328. data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_brexit_and_chuk_spec.rb +67 -0
  329. data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_brexit_spec.rb +66 -0
  330. data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_tig_spec.rb +66 -0
  331. data/spec/unit/wallonia_spec.rb +70 -0
  332. metadata +490 -0
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
1
+ Example: Greece
2
+ ===============
3
+
4
+ The following file is a valid poll file for a Greek poll. It is based on
5
+ the results of a poll done from 31 August–1 September 2015 by Pulse RC for
6
+ Action24.
7
+
8
+ Area=GR
9
+ ==
10
+ Junts pel Sí=262
11
+ Catalunya Sí que es Pot=164
12
+ Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía=131
13
+ Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya=74
14
+ Partit Popular de Catalunya=74
15
+ Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres=66
16
+ Unió Democràtica de Catalunya=33
17
+ Other=16
18
+
19
+ The following call will use the poll file to run an analysis.
20
+
21
+ sapor analyze PulceRC-Action24-20150901.poll
22
+
23
+ For this file, the log will look like below.
24
+
25
+ 2015-08-01 09:32:05 INFO: Analyzing as a set of dichotomies...
@@ -0,0 +1,678 @@
1
+ Example: Oslo
2
+ =============
3
+
4
+ The following file is a valid poll file for a poll for the city council of Oslo.
5
+ It is based on the results of a poll done from 22--24 June 2015 by Norfakta
6
+ for Høyre.
7
+
8
+ Area=NO-0301
9
+ ==
10
+ Arbeiderpartiet=283
11
+ Høyre=248
12
+ Venstre=63
13
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne=59
14
+ Fremskrittspartiet=53
15
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti=39
16
+ Rødt=30
17
+ Kristelig Folkeparti=16
18
+ Senterpartiet=6
19
+ Other=3
20
+
21
+ The following call will use the poll file to run an analysis.
22
+
23
+ sapor analyze Høyre-Norfakta-20150624.poll
24
+
25
+ For this file, the log will look like below.
26
+
27
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:46 INFO: Analyzing as a set of dichotomies...
28
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
29
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
30
+ Arbeiderpartiet 50.0% 33.3%– 66.7% 100.0%
31
+ Fremskrittspartiet 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
32
+ Høyre 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
33
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
34
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
35
+ Rødt 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
36
+ Senterpartiet 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
37
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
38
+ Venstre 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
39
+ Other 16.7% 0.0%– 33.3% 100.0%
40
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 33.3%.
41
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Number of data points: 3.
42
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
43
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
44
+ Arbeiderpartiet 38.9% 33.3%– 44.4% 100.0%
45
+ Høyre 27.8% 22.2%– 33.3% 100.0%
46
+ Fremskrittspartiet 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
47
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
48
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
49
+ Rødt 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
50
+ Senterpartiet 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
51
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
52
+ Venstre 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
53
+ Other 5.6% 0.0%– 11.1% 100.0%
54
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 11.1%.
55
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Number of data points: 9.
56
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
57
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
58
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.2% 29.6%– 40.7% 100.0%
59
+ Høyre 31.5% 25.9%– 37.0% 100.0%
60
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 9.3% 3.7%– 11.1% 100.0%
61
+ Venstre 9.3% 3.7%– 11.1% 100.0%
62
+ Fremskrittspartiet 5.6% 3.7%– 11.1% 100.0%
63
+ Rødt 5.6% 0.0%– 7.4% 100.0%
64
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 5.6% 3.7%– 7.4% 100.0%
65
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 1.9% 0.0%– 3.7% 100.0%
66
+ Senterpartiet 1.9% 0.0%– 3.7% 100.0%
67
+ Other 1.9% 0.0%– 3.7% 100.0%
68
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.70%.
69
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:47 INFO: Number of data points: 27.
70
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:48 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
71
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
72
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.2% 32.1%– 39.5% 100.0%
73
+ Høyre 31.5% 27.2%– 34.6% 100.0%
74
+ Venstre 8.0% 6.2%– 9.9% 100.0%
75
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.8% 4.9%– 8.6% 100.0%
76
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 6.8% 4.9%– 9.9% 100.0%
77
+ Rødt 4.3% 2.5%– 6.2% 100.0%
78
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.3% 3.7%– 7.4% 100.0%
79
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 1.9% 1.2%– 3.7% 100.0%
80
+ Senterpartiet 0.6% 0.0%– 2.5% 3.4%
81
+ Other 0.6% 0.0%– 1.2% 0.1%
82
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:48 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.23%.
83
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:48 INFO: Number of data points: 81.
84
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:50 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
85
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
86
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.2% 32.1%– 39.1% 100.0%
87
+ Høyre 31.1% 27.6%– 34.6% 100.0%
88
+ Venstre 8.0% 6.2%– 10.3% 100.0%
89
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.2% 5.8%– 9.5% 100.0%
90
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.8% 4.9%– 8.6% 100.0%
91
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.7% 3.3%– 6.6% 100.0%
92
+ Rødt 3.9% 2.5%– 5.3% 100.0%
93
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 1.9% 1.2%– 3.3% 83.2%
94
+ Senterpartiet 0.6% 0.4%– 1.6% 1.9%
95
+ Other 0.6% 0.0%– 1.2% 0.1%
96
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:50 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.412%.
97
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:50 INFO: Number of data points: 243.
98
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:56 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
99
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
100
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.3% 32.1%– 38.8% 100.0%
101
+ Høyre 30.9% 27.8%– 34.3% 100.0%
102
+ Venstre 7.9% 6.2%– 10.0% 100.0%
103
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.3% 5.8%– 9.5% 100.0%
104
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.7% 5.1%– 8.6% 100.0%
105
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 3.6%– 6.7% 100.0%
106
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.6%– 5.3% 100.0%
107
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.2%– 3.3% 82.5%
108
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 2.2%
109
+ Other 0.3% 0.1%– 1.1% 0.1%
110
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:56 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.137%.
111
+ 2015-08-07 18:18:56 INFO: Number of data points: 729.
112
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:14 INFO: Most probable fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
113
+ Choice MPF CI(95%) P(≥1%)
114
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 32.1%– 38.8% 100.0%
115
+ Høyre 31.0% 27.9%– 34.3% 100.0%
116
+ Venstre 7.9% 6.2%– 10.0% 100.0%
117
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.8%– 9.4% 100.0%
118
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 5.1%– 8.6% 100.0%
119
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 3.6%– 6.6% 100.0%
120
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.6%– 5.3% 100.0%
121
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.2%– 3.2% 79.5%
122
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 1.8%
123
+ Other 0.4% 0.1%– 1.1% 0.1%
124
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:14 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.046%.
125
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:14 INFO: Number of data points: 2,187.
126
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:14 INFO: Analyzing as a polychotomy...
127
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
128
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
129
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 13.9% 27.5% 27.5%– 27.5% 100.0% 17–17
130
+ Høyre 31.0% 11.9% 23.5% 23.5%– 23.5% 100.0% 14–14
131
+ Venstre 7.9% 2.1% 4.1% 4.1%– 4.1% 100.0% 2– 2
132
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 1.9% 3.7% 3.7%– 3.7% 100.0% 2– 2
133
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 1.6% 3.2% 3.2%– 3.2% 100.0% 2– 2
134
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.1%– 2.1% 100.0% 1– 1
135
+ Rødt 3.8% 0.6% 1.4% 1.4%– 1.4% 100.0% 1– 1
136
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5%– 0.5% 100.0% 0– 0
137
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%– 0.1% 0– 0
138
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
139
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 50.1% 34.8% 34.8%– 34.8% 0.0% 21–21 0.0%
140
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 50.1% 33.4% 33.4%– 33.4% 0.0% 20–20 0.0%
141
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 50.1% 31.0% 31.0%– 31.0% 0.0% 19–19 0.0%
142
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 50.1% 29.7% 29.7%– 29.7% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
143
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 50.1% 26.7% 26.7%– 26.7% 0.0% 16–16 0.0%
144
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 50.1% 35.0% 35.0%– 35.0% 0.0% 20–20 0.0%
145
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 50.1% 31.3% 31.3%– 31.3% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
146
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 50.1% 31.3% 31.3%– 31.3% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
147
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 50.1% 28.1% 28.1%– 28.1% 0.0% 16–16 0.0%
148
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 50.1% 4.6% 4.6%– 4.6% 0.0% 2– 2 0.0%
149
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 100%.
150
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: 1 simulations out of 1 data points, 1 / 198,285,846,287,760,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
151
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
152
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
153
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 29.9% 29.9% 29.9%– 29.9% 100.0% 18–18
154
+ Høyre 31.0% 25.6% 25.6% 25.6%– 25.7% 100.0% 15–15
155
+ Venstre 7.9% 6.1% 6.1% 6.0%– 6.1% 100.0% 4– 4
156
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4%– 5.4% 100.0% 3– 3
157
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6%– 4.7% 100.0% 3– 3
158
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1%– 3.2% 100.0% 2– 2
159
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1%– 2.2% 100.0% 1– 1
160
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%– 1.1% 100.0% 0– 0
161
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%– 0.1% 0– 0
162
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
163
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 68.9% 40.8% 37.8%– 40.8% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
164
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 68.1% 38.6% 36.0%– 38.6% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
165
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 66.6% 35.3% 33.2%– 35.3% 0.0% 21–21 0.0%
166
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 65.9% 33.2% 31.4%– 33.2% 0.0% 20–20 0.0%
167
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 64.4% 30.3% 28.5%– 30.3% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
168
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 69.6% 42.8% 38.9%– 42.8% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
169
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 67.4% 37.5% 34.4%– 37.5% 0.0% 22–22 0.0%
170
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 67.1% 37.4% 34.3%– 37.4% 0.0% 22–22 0.0%
171
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 65.4% 32.8% 30.4%– 32.8% 0.0% 19–19 0.0%
172
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 53.1% 7.2% 5.9%– 7.2% 0.0% 4– 4 0.0%
173
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.42%.
174
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:15 INFO: 2 simulations out of 2 data points, 1 / 99,142,923,143,880,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
175
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
176
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
177
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 30.5% 30.5% 30.5%– 30.5% 100.0% 18–18
178
+ Høyre 31.0% 24.8% 24.8% 24.7%– 24.8% 100.0% 15–15
179
+ Venstre 7.9% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%– 10.5% 100.0% 6– 6
180
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1%– 8.1% 100.0% 5– 5
181
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9%– 5.9% 100.0% 3– 3
182
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%– 3.0% 0.0% 2– 2
183
+ Rødt 3.8% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6%– 7.6% 100.0% 5– 5
184
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2%– 5.3% 100.0% 3– 3
185
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%– 0.5% 0– 0
186
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
187
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 74.1% 49.6% 48.2%– 49.6% 0.0% 30–30 100.0%
188
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 41.6% 42.0% 40.3%– 42.9% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
189
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 70.4% 41.5% 40.6%– 41.5% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
190
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 34.4% 33.9% 33.5%– 35.3% 0.0% 20–20 0.0%
191
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 31.4% 30.6% 30.5%– 32.2% 0.0% 18–18 0.0%
192
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 76.4% 54.4% 52.5%– 54.4% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
193
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 72.6% 46.8% 45.2%– 46.8% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
194
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 72.6% 46.3% 44.9%– 46.3% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
195
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 69.6% 40.4% 39.0%– 40.4% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
196
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 56.6% 16.1% 13.0%– 16.1% 0.0% 9– 9 0.0%
197
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.44%.
198
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: 4 simulations out of 9 data points, 1 / 22,031,760,698,640,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
199
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
200
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
201
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.3% 35.3% 35.3%– 35.3% 100.0% 21–21
202
+ Høyre 31.0% 29.1% 29.1% 29.0%– 29.1% 100.0% 18–18
203
+ Venstre 7.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%– 5.0% 0.0% 3– 3
204
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5%– 11.5% 100.0% 7– 7
205
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7%– 8.7% 100.0% 5– 5
206
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.0%– 5.1% 100.0% 3– 3
207
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%– 2.5% 100.0% 1– 1
208
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%– 1.3% 100.0% 1– 1
209
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%– 0.5% 0– 0
210
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
211
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 76.9% 54.8% 53.8%– 54.8% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
212
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 75.1% 52.4% 50.3%– 52.4% 100.0% 31–31 100.0%
213
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 43.1% 43.3% 42.4%– 43.7% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
214
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 70.1% 40.9% 40.2%– 40.9% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
215
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 68.4% 37.8% 36.5%– 37.8% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
216
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.6% 55.6% 55.0%– 56.4% 100.0% 34–34 100.0%
217
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 44.9% 44.6% 44.1%– 45.6% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
218
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.1% 44.1% 43.8%– 44.6% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
219
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 35.6% 35.4% 34.7%– 36.4% 0.0% 22–22 0.0%
220
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 6.4% 6.8% 5.7%– 7.0% 0.0% 4– 4 0.0%
221
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.44%.
222
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:16 INFO: 8 simulations out of 31 data points, 1 / 6,396,317,622,185,806,451 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
223
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
224
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
225
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.3% 35.3% 35.3%– 35.3% 100.0% 21–21
226
+ Høyre 31.0% 29.1% 29.1% 29.0%– 29.1% 100.0% 18–18
227
+ Venstre 7.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%– 5.0% 0.0% 3– 3
228
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5%– 11.5% 100.0% 7– 7
229
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7%– 8.7% 100.0% 5– 5
230
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.0%– 5.1% 100.0% 3– 3
231
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%– 2.5% 100.0% 1– 1
232
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%– 1.3% 100.0% 1– 1
233
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%– 0.5% 0– 0
234
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
235
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 77.1% 54.8% 54.3%– 54.8% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
236
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 75.9% 52.4% 51.7%– 52.4% 100.0% 31–31 100.0%
237
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 43.6% 43.3% 43.1%– 43.7% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
238
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.6% 40.9% 40.9%– 42.3% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
239
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 37.4% 37.8% 36.5%– 38.3% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
240
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 56.1% 55.6% 55.6%– 56.4% 100.0% 34–34 100.0%
241
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 44.6% 44.6% 44.1%– 44.9% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
242
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.1% 44.1% 43.8%– 44.6% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
243
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 35.9% 35.4% 35.2%– 36.4% 0.0% 22–22 0.0%
244
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 6.4% 6.8% 5.7%– 7.0% 0.0% 4– 4 0.0%
245
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 9.42%.
246
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: 16 simulations out of 83 data points, 1 / 2,388,986,099,852,530,120 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
247
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
248
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
249
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 33.1% 33.1% 33.1%– 33.1% 0.7% 20–20
250
+ Høyre 31.0% 34.5% 34.5% 34.5%– 34.5% 100.0% 21–21
251
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6%– 8.6% 99.3% 5– 5
252
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9%– 5.9% 0.7% 3– 3
253
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.5% 6.5% 6.4%– 6.5% 100.0% 4– 4
254
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.1% 100.0% 2– 2
255
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%– 2.4% 100.0% 1– 1
256
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.6% 0.7% 1– 1
257
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6%– 2.7% 2– 2
258
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
259
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 48.0% 48.0% 47.9%– 48.0% 0.7% 28–28 0.7%
260
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 45.6% 45.6% 45.5%– 45.7% 0.7% 27–27 0.7%
261
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 42.2% 42.2% 42.1%– 42.3% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
262
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 39.7% 39.8% 39.7%– 39.8% 0.0% 24–24 0.0%
263
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 41.1% 41.0% 40.6%– 41.6% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
264
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 56.9% 56.9% 56.7%– 57.0% 100.0% 34–34 100.0%
265
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 53.6% 53.7% 53.2%– 53.9% 99.3% 33–33 99.3%
266
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 50.9% 51.1% 50.8%– 51.1% 99.3% 31–31 99.3%
267
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 44.6% 44.6% 43.7%– 45.2% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
268
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 12.6% 12.7% 12.5%– 12.9% 0.0% 8– 8 0.0%
269
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.62%.
270
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:17 INFO: 32 simulations out of 164 data points, 1 / 1,209,060,038,340,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
271
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:18 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
272
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
273
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 38.8% 38.8% 38.8%– 38.8% 98.7% 23–23
274
+ Høyre 31.0% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%– 31.5% 100.0% 19–19
275
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.7%– 8.8% 100.0% 5– 5
276
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 5.5% 0.0% 3– 3
277
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%– 6.6% 100.0% 4– 4
278
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.0% 100.0% 2– 2
279
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%– 2.2% 100.0% 1– 1
280
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.5% 98.7% 1– 1
281
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1%– 1.2% 1– 1
282
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
283
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 51.6% 51.6% 51.5%– 51.7% 98.7% 30–30 98.7%
284
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.4% 49.4% 49.0%– 49.5% 0.0% 29–29 0.0%
285
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.1% 46.2% 45.8%– 46.2% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
286
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 43.9% 44.0% 43.8%– 44.0% 0.0% 26–26 0.0%
287
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%– 38.1% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
288
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.8% 53.7% 53.7%– 53.8% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
289
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.4% 49.5% 49.3%– 49.6% 1.3% 30–30 100.0%
290
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 48.3% 48.1%– 48.4% 1.3% 29–29 1.3%
291
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.6% 41.7% 41.5%– 41.8% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
292
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%– 11.4% 0.0% 7– 7 0.0%
293
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:18 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 5.72%.
294
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:18 INFO: 64 simulations out of 290 data points, 1 / 683,744,297,544,000,000 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
295
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:19 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
296
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
297
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 38.8% 38.8% 38.8%– 38.8% 98.7% 23–23
298
+ Høyre 31.0% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%– 31.5% 100.0% 19–19
299
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.7%– 8.8% 99.5% 5– 5
300
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 5.5% 0.5% 3– 3
301
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%– 6.6% 100.0% 4– 4
302
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.0% 100.0% 2– 2
303
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%– 2.2% 100.0% 1– 1
304
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.5% 98.7% 1– 1
305
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1%– 1.2% 1– 1
306
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
307
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 51.6% 51.6% 51.5%– 51.7% 98.7% 30–30 98.7%
308
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.3% 49.4% 49.3%– 49.4% 0.0% 29–29 0.0%
309
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.2% 46.2% 46.1%– 46.2% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
310
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 43.9% 44.0% 43.8%– 44.0% 0.0% 26–26 0.0%
311
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%– 38.1% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
312
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.8% 53.7% 53.7%– 53.8% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
313
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.5% 49.5% 49.4%– 49.6% 1.3% 30–30 99.5%
314
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 48.3% 48.3%– 48.4% 1.3% 29–29 1.3%
315
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.7% 41.7% 41.6%– 41.7% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
316
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%– 11.4% 0.0% 7– 7 0.0%
317
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:19 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 7.36%.
318
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:19 INFO: 128 simulations out of 572 data points, 1 / 346,653,577,426,153,846 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
319
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:20 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
320
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
321
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 38.8% 38.8% 38.8%– 38.8% 98.7% 23–23
322
+ Høyre 31.0% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%– 31.5% 100.0% 19–19
323
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.7%– 8.8% 99.5% 5– 5
324
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 5.5% 0.5% 3– 3
325
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%– 6.6% 100.0% 4– 4
326
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.0% 100.0% 2– 2
327
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%– 2.2% 99.8% 1– 1
328
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.5% 98.7% 1– 1
329
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1%– 1.2% 1– 1
330
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
331
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 51.6% 51.6% 51.6%– 51.6% 98.5% 30–30 98.5%
332
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.4% 49.4% 49.3%– 49.4% 0.0% 29–29 0.0%
333
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.2% 46.2% 46.1%– 46.2% 0.0% 27–27 0.0%
334
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 44.0% 44.0% 43.9%– 44.0% 0.0% 26–26 0.0%
335
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%– 38.0% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
336
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 56.9% 53.7% 53.7%– 53.7% 100.0% 32–32 100.0%
337
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.5% 49.5% 49.5%– 49.5% 1.5% 30–30 99.5%
338
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 48.3% 48.3%– 48.4% 1.5% 29–29 1.5%
339
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.7% 41.7% 41.6%– 41.7% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
340
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%– 11.4% 0.0% 7– 7 0.0%
341
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:20 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.89%.
342
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:20 INFO: 256 simulations out of 1,174 data points, 1 / 168,897,654,418,875,638 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
343
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:21 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
344
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
345
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 38.8% 38.8% 32.1%– 38.8% 97.7% 20–23
346
+ Høyre 31.0% 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%– 31.8% 100.0% 19–19
347
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.6%– 8.8% 98.1% 5– 5
348
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%– 6.8% 1.9% 3– 4
349
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.4%– 6.6% 98.9% 4– 4
350
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%– 4.5% 99.2% 2– 3
351
+ Rødt 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%– 3.1% 99.8% 1– 2
352
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%– 1.6% 98.0% 1– 1
353
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1%– 1.2% 1– 1
354
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
355
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 51.6% 51.6% 50.1%– 51.6% 97.8% 30–30 98.0%
356
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.4% 49.4% 46.9%– 49.4% 1.1% 28–29 1.1%
357
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.2% 46.2% 42.5%– 46.2% 0.0% 26–27 0.1%
358
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 44.0% 44.0% 39.7%– 44.0% 0.0% 24–26 0.0%
359
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0%– 38.4% 0.0% 23–23 0.0%
360
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 54.1% 53.7% 53.7%– 56.6% 99.9% 32–33 99.9%
361
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.5% 49.5% 49.5%– 49.5% 2.5% 30–30 97.9%
362
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 48.3% 48.3%– 48.4% 2.0% 29–29 2.0%
363
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.7% 41.7% 40.1%– 41.7% 0.0% 24–25 0.0%
364
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%– 11.4% 0.0% 7– 7 0.0%
365
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:21 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 6.77%.
366
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:21 INFO: 512 simulations out of 2,345 data points, 1 / 84,556,864,088,597,014 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
367
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:23 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
368
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
369
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.7% 36.7% 35.4%– 36.8% 100.0% 21–22
370
+ Høyre 31.0% 27.2% 27.2% 27.2%– 30.1% 100.0% 16–18
371
+ Venstre 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%– 9.0% 15.8% 4– 5
372
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 4.8%– 9.6% 84.3% 3– 6
373
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3%– 7.4% 100.0% 4– 4
374
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 4.9%– 5.2% 100.0% 3– 3
375
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%– 4.2% 100.0% 2– 3
376
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.9%– 2.7% 100.0% 1– 2
377
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%– 1.4% 0– 1
378
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
379
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 55.9% 55.9% 50.9%– 55.9% 100.0% 31–33 100.0%
380
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 52.3% 52.3% 46.7%– 52.3% 84.2% 28–31 84.2%
381
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.3% 46.3% 46.1%– 46.3% 0.0% 27–28 0.0%
382
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 42.7% 42.7% 41.9%– 42.8% 0.0% 25–25 0.0%
383
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 34.6% 34.6% 34.6%– 37.4% 0.0% 20–22 0.0%
384
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.5% 53.5% 53.1%– 53.5% 100.0% 31–32 100.0%
385
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0%– 49.7% 0.0% 26–29 0.4%
386
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.0% 43.9% 43.9%– 48.3% 0.0% 26–28 0.0%
387
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.5% 36.6% 36.5%– 41.0% 0.0% 22–24 0.0%
388
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%– 12.3% 0.0% 6– 7 0.0%
389
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:23 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 4.25%.
390
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:23 INFO: 1,024 simulations out of 4,690 data points, 1 / 42,278,432,044,298,507 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
391
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:26 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
392
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
393
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.7% 36.7% 31.8%– 36.8% 99.9% 19–22
394
+ Høyre 31.0% 27.2% 27.2% 27.2%– 30.9% 100.0% 16–18
395
+ Venstre 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%– 9.0% 19.4% 4– 5
396
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 4.8%– 9.6% 85.0% 3– 6
397
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3%– 7.8% 99.9% 4– 5
398
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 4.8%– 5.2% 99.1% 3– 3
399
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%– 4.2% 99.7% 2– 3
400
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.3%– 2.7% 96.6% 1– 2
401
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%– 2.1% 0– 1
402
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
403
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 50.9% 55.9% 50.3%– 55.9% 99.2% 30–33 99.0%
404
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 52.3% 52.3% 46.6%– 52.3% 80.4% 28–31 80.4%
405
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.3% 46.3% 42.5%– 46.3% 0.0% 25–28 0.0%
406
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 42.7% 42.7% 38.7%– 42.8% 0.0% 23–25 0.0%
407
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 34.6% 34.6% 34.6%– 38.7% 0.0% 20–23 0.0%
408
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.5% 53.5% 53.1%– 56.7% 100.0% 31–34 100.0%
409
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 45.0% 45.0%– 51.0% 3.4% 26–30 4.0%
410
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.0% 43.9% 43.9%– 48.9% 0.1% 26–29 0.3%
411
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.5% 36.6% 36.5%– 41.1% 0.0% 22–24 0.0%
412
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%– 12.3% 0.0% 6– 7 0.0%
413
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:26 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 4.94%.
414
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:26 INFO: 2,048 simulations out of 9,461 data points, 1 / 20,958,233,409,550,787 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
415
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:31 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
416
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
417
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.7% 36.7% 31.8%– 36.8% 99.5% 19–22
418
+ Høyre 31.0% 27.2% 27.2% 27.2%– 30.9% 100.0% 16–18
419
+ Venstre 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%– 9.4% 23.0% 4– 6
420
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 4.8%– 9.6% 81.2% 3– 6
421
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 6.9%– 7.8% 99.4% 4– 5
422
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 4.6%– 5.2% 98.5% 3– 3
423
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%– 4.5% 99.1% 2– 3
424
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 1.3%– 2.7% 96.7% 1– 2
425
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9%– 2.1% 0– 1
426
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
427
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 50.3% 55.9% 50.1%– 55.9% 99.0% 29–33 97.2%
428
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 52.3% 52.3% 46.2%– 52.3% 76.8% 27–31 76.8%
429
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.3% 46.3% 42.5%– 46.5% 0.0% 25–28 0.0%
430
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 42.7% 42.7% 38.7%– 42.8% 0.0% 23–25 0.0%
431
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 34.6% 34.6% 34.6%– 38.7% 0.0% 20–23 0.0%
432
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.7% 53.5% 52.8%– 56.7% 100.0% 31–34 100.0%
433
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 45.0% 45.0%– 51.0% 5.1% 26–30 5.7%
434
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.0% 43.9% 43.9%– 48.9% 0.2% 26–29 2.0%
435
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.5% 36.6% 36.5%– 42.0% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
436
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 12.3% 10.4% 10.4%– 12.3% 0.0% 6– 7 0.0%
437
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:31 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.79%.
438
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:31 INFO: 4,096 simulations out of 18,996 data points, 1 / 10,438,294,708,768,161 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
439
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:39 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
440
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
441
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 34.7% 34.7% 31.8%– 38.2% 96.1% 19–23
442
+ Høyre 31.0% 30.6% 30.6% 25.9%– 32.9% 100.0% 15–20
443
+ Venstre 7.9% 9.2% 9.2% 6.7%– 9.2% 80.7% 4– 6
444
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.7% 8.7% 4.8%– 9.6% 88.8% 3– 6
445
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 5.8% 5.8% 5.2%– 9.1% 53.3% 3– 5
446
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 6.0% 6.0% 3.2%– 6.4% 73.7% 2– 4
447
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%– 5.8% 99.4% 2– 3
448
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%– 2.8% 98.9% 1– 2
449
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%– 1.6% 0– 1
450
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
451
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 52.8% 52.8% 49.8%– 55.9% 95.9% 30–33 97.9%
452
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.8% 49.8% 46.1%– 52.3% 19.2% 28–31 64.9%
453
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 44.1% 44.1% 43.4%– 47.8% 0.0% 25–29 0.0%
454
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.1% 41.1% 39.0%– 43.2% 0.0% 23–26 0.0%
455
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 34.6% 36.4% 34.6%– 38.6% 0.0% 20–23 0.0%
456
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.2% 55.7% 51.8%– 55.7% 100.0% 30–34 100.0%
457
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 47.4% 45.0%– 50.3% 5.0% 26–30 3.0%
458
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 48.3% 47.0% 43.9%– 49.2% 1.4% 26–29 1.9%
459
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.5% 41.2% 36.0%– 44.0% 0.0% 21–26 0.0%
460
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 10.4%– 12.3% 0.0% 6– 7 0.0%
461
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:39 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.38%.
462
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:39 INFO: 8,192 simulations out of 37,868 data points, 1 / 5,236,237,622,471,743 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
463
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:59 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
464
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
465
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 34.7%– 38.6% 99.8% 21–23
466
+ Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 28.1%– 32.3% 100.0% 17–19
467
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 7.5%– 9.0% 79.7% 4– 5
468
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0%– 8.7% 98.4% 4– 5
469
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 5.3%– 7.5% 97.8% 3– 4
470
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 4.4%– 5.8% 98.5% 3– 4
471
+ Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 4.3% 99.9% 2– 2
472
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8%– 2.1% 99.8% 1– 1
473
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%– 1.3% 0– 1
474
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
475
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 52.8% 53.4% 51.1%– 54.7% 99.8% 31–33 99.8%
476
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.8% 49.4% 48.4%– 51.7% 17.9% 29–31 91.3%
477
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 44.1% 45.4% 44.1%– 46.7% 0.0% 27–28 0.0%
478
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.1% 41.4% 41.0%– 43.6% 0.0% 25–26 0.0%
479
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 35.4%– 38.0% 0.0% 21–22 0.0%
480
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 54.0% 54.0% 53.0%– 55.2% 100.0% 31–32 100.0%
481
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 46.6% 46.6% 45.6%– 49.3% 0.3% 26–28 0.2%
482
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 46.0% 46.0% 45.0%– 48.2% 0.1% 26–28 0.1%
483
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 39.0% 39.0% 37.6%– 42.5% 0.0% 22–25 0.0%
484
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 10.0%– 11.4% 0.0% 5– 7 0.0%
485
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:59 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.87%.
486
+ 2015-08-07 18:19:59 INFO: 16,384 simulations out of 75,853 data points, 1 / 2,614,080,475,231,829 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
487
+ 2015-08-07 18:20:33 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
488
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
489
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 34.7%– 38.6% 99.4% 21–23
490
+ Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 28.1%– 32.3% 100.0% 17–19
491
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 7.0%– 9.0% 72.1% 4– 5
492
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0%– 8.7% 97.9% 4– 5
493
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.9%– 7.5% 97.3% 3– 4
494
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 4.4%– 5.8% 97.5% 3– 4
495
+ Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 4.8% 99.6% 2– 3
496
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.4%– 2.5% 99.8% 1– 1
497
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%– 1.3% 0– 1
498
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
499
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 52.8% 53.4% 51.1%– 54.7% 99.2% 31–33 99.3%
500
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.8% 49.4% 48.3%– 51.7% 25.4% 29–31 90.3%
501
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 44.1% 45.4% 44.1%– 46.7% 0.0% 27–28 0.0%
502
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.1% 41.4% 41.0%– 43.6% 0.0% 25–26 0.0%
503
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 35.4%– 38.0% 0.0% 21–22 0.0%
504
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.2% 54.0% 53.0%– 55.7% 100.0% 31–32 100.0%
505
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 46.3% 46.6% 45.5%– 49.3% 0.9% 26–28 0.7%
506
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 46.0% 46.0% 44.9%– 48.2% 0.6% 26–28 0.6%
507
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 40.6% 39.0% 37.6%– 42.5% 0.0% 22–25 0.0%
508
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 10.0%– 11.4% 0.0% 5– 7 0.0%
509
+ 2015-08-07 18:20:33 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.51%.
510
+ 2015-08-07 18:20:33 INFO: 32,768 simulations out of 151,494 data points, 1 / 1,308,869,303,654,006 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
511
+ 2015-08-07 18:21:52 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
512
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
513
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 33.9%– 38.6% 98.9% 20–23
514
+ Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 27.9%– 32.3% 100.0% 17–19
515
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 6.8%– 9.7% 72.1% 4– 6
516
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0%– 8.8% 95.6% 4– 5
517
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.8%– 7.7% 92.8% 3– 5
518
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.9%– 6.8% 96.2% 2– 4
519
+ Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 5.0% 99.5% 2– 3
520
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2%– 2.7% 99.1% 1– 2
521
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%– 1.6% 0– 1
522
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
523
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 53.4% 53.4% 51.1%– 54.8% 98.8% 30–33 98.8%
524
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 49.9% 49.4% 47.6%– 51.7% 25.6% 28–31 80.7%
525
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 44.1% 45.4% 44.1%– 47.5% 0.0% 26–28 0.0%
526
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 42.5% 41.4% 40.6%– 43.6% 0.0% 24–26 0.0%
527
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 34.6%– 38.0% 0.0% 20–23 0.0%
528
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 51.8% 54.0% 51.8%– 55.7% 100.0% 31–33 100.0%
529
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 46.3% 46.6% 45.2%– 49.3% 1.3% 26–29 1.3%
530
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.5% 46.0% 44.4%– 48.2% 1.0% 26–29 1.2%
531
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 38.0% 39.0% 37.6%– 42.6% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
532
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 9.3%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
533
+ 2015-08-07 18:21:52 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.33%.
534
+ 2015-08-07 18:21:52 INFO: 65,536 simulations out of 303,147 data points, 1 / 654,091,402,150,639 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
535
+ 2015-08-07 18:24:42 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
536
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
537
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 32.0%– 39.2% 93.6% 19–24
538
+ Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 26.8%– 34.6% 100.0% 16–21
539
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 6.3%– 9.7% 62.0% 4– 6
540
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 5.8%– 8.8% 91.8% 3– 5
541
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.8%– 8.0% 89.7% 3– 5
542
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.9%– 6.4% 94.3% 2– 4
543
+ Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 5.0% 99.2% 2– 3
544
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2%– 3.0% 99.1% 1– 2
545
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%– 1.8% 0– 1
546
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
547
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 49.7% 53.4% 48.4%– 56.2% 92.4% 28–33 93.0%
548
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 45.2% 49.4% 44.9%– 52.2% 40.2% 26–31 72.8%
549
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.7% 45.4% 41.2%– 48.6% 0.0% 24–29 0.0%
550
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 37.9% 41.4% 37.5%– 44.8% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
551
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 34.1%– 41.2% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
552
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 50.8% 54.0% 50.8%– 58.6% 100.0% 30–35 100.0%
553
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 45.4% 46.6% 44.2%– 52.2% 7.9% 26–31 7.1%
554
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 43.8% 46.0% 43.4%– 51.3% 6.1% 26–31 6.9%
555
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 36.7% 39.0% 36.6%– 44.6% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
556
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 8.3%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
557
+ 2015-08-07 18:24:42 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.10%.
558
+ 2015-08-07 18:24:42 INFO: 131,072 simulations out of 606,334 data points, 1 / 327,024,125,791,659 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
559
+ 2015-08-07 18:31:12 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
560
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
561
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 35.0% 35.0% 31.9%– 38.9% 92.8% 19–23
562
+ Høyre 31.0% 28.7% 28.7% 27.1%– 34.6% 100.0% 16–21
563
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 6.1%– 10.1% 68.4% 4– 6
564
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 5.3%– 8.7% 79.6% 3– 5
565
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 4.9%– 8.2% 91.8% 3– 5
566
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.7%– 6.4% 89.4% 2– 4
567
+ Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 2.7%– 5.4% 97.7% 2– 3
568
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2%– 3.4% 99.1% 1– 2
569
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3%– 1.7% 0– 1
570
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
571
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 49.7% 53.4% 48.1%– 56.2% 83.3% 28–33 77.7%
572
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 50.0% 49.4% 44.6%– 52.2% 27.1% 26–31 46.8%
573
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 46.7% 45.4% 41.2%– 48.7% 0.1% 24–29 0.5%
574
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 38.1% 41.4% 37.5%– 44.8% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
575
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 35.7% 35.7% 33.7%– 41.2% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
576
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 55.8% 54.0% 50.8%– 58.6% 99.6% 30–35 99.5%
577
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.9% 46.6% 44.2%– 52.2% 22.7% 26–31 22.9%
578
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 49.3% 46.0% 43.4%– 51.3% 14.6% 26–31 22.2%
579
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 42.0% 39.0% 36.6%– 44.8% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
580
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 8.3%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
581
+ 2015-08-07 18:31:12 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 3.66%.
582
+ 2015-08-07 18:31:12 INFO: 262,144 simulations out of 1,212,753 data points, 1 / 163,500,602,585,819 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
583
+ 2015-08-07 18:44:09 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
584
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
585
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.5% 36.5% 32.2%– 38.6% 96.0% 19–23
586
+ Høyre 31.0% 30.5% 30.5% 27.1%– 33.9% 100.0% 16–21
587
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 6.2%– 10.0% 77.2% 4– 6
588
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 6.2% 6.2% 5.6%– 8.7% 66.0% 3– 5
589
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.7% 4.8%– 8.1% 86.4% 3– 5
590
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.1% 4.1% 3.7%– 6.4% 85.7% 2– 4
591
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.7%– 5.4% 97.9% 2– 3
592
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% 1.3%– 3.3% 97.4% 1– 2
593
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 0– 1
594
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
595
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 49.7% 51.4% 48.4%– 55.6% 91.0% 28–33 88.1%
596
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 47.2% 47.6% 44.9%– 52.1% 20.6% 26–31 31.8%
597
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 45.3% 45.1% 41.7%– 48.2% 0.1% 25–29 0.2%
598
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 43.8% 41.4% 37.9%– 44.4% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
599
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 37.1% 37.1% 34.1%– 40.6% 0.0% 20–24 0.0%
600
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 54.4% 54.5% 51.2%– 57.7% 99.8% 30–34 99.8%
601
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 45.4% 49.0% 44.6%– 51.8% 13.2% 26–31 12.7%
602
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.9% 48.3% 43.8%– 51.2% 7.6% 26–31 11.8%
603
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 40.6% 41.6% 36.7%– 44.6% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
604
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.9% 9.1%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
605
+ 2015-08-07 18:44:09 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 1.78%.
606
+ 2015-08-07 18:44:09 INFO: 524,288 simulations out of 2,425,652 data points, 1 / 81,745,380,742,068 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
607
+ 2015-08-07 19:11:27 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
608
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
609
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 36.5% 35.0% 31.8%– 38.6% 94.5% 19–23
610
+ Høyre 31.0% 30.5% 30.5% 27.2%– 34.0% 100.0% 16–20
611
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 6.2%– 10.0% 62.9% 4– 6
612
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 7.8% 7.8% 5.6%– 9.2% 68.0% 3– 5
613
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.9% 6.7% 5.0%– 8.4% 90.5% 3– 5
614
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.3% 5.3% 3.6%– 6.4% 85.5% 2– 4
615
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 2.7%– 5.3% 98.1% 2– 3
616
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% 1.1%– 3.2% 97.7% 1– 2
617
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 0– 1
618
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
619
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 55.1% 51.4% 48.4%– 55.6% 87.8% 28–33 83.8%
620
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 50.6% 47.6% 44.8%– 52.0% 22.0% 26–31 25.0%
621
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 41.3% 45.1% 41.1%– 48.1% 0.1% 24–28 0.2%
622
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 40.2% 41.4% 37.6%– 44.4% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
623
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 37.1% 37.1% 34.0%– 41.0% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
624
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 57.2% 54.5% 51.3%– 58.6% 99.8% 31–35 99.8%
625
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 45.4% 49.5% 44.6%– 51.8% 16.3% 26–31 17.4%
626
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.9% 48.3% 43.8%– 51.1% 8.1% 26–31 16.0%
627
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.4% 41.6% 37.0%– 44.0% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
628
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.9% 8.9%– 13.1% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
629
+ 2015-08-07 19:11:27 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 2.56%.
630
+ 2015-08-07 19:11:27 INFO: 1,048,576 simulations out of 4,851,507 data points, 1 / 40,870,980,148,593 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
631
+ 2015-08-07 20:06:39 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
632
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
633
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 34.5% 34.0% 31.6%– 38.6% 94.2% 19–23
634
+ Høyre 31.0% 30.6% 30.6% 27.4%– 34.0% 100.0% 16–20
635
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 6.1%– 10.0% 60.2% 4– 6
636
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 8.0% 7.4% 5.6%– 9.2% 70.7% 3– 6
637
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.9% 6.9% 5.1%– 8.4% 91.9% 3– 5
638
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 4.8% 4.8% 3.5%– 6.4% 82.7% 2– 4
639
+ Rødt 3.8% 4.0% 3.7% 2.7%– 5.3% 98.0% 2– 3
640
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.2%– 3.3% 97.6% 1– 2
641
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3%– 1.6% 0– 1
642
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
643
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 49.7% 51.3% 48.7%– 55.5% 88.2% 28–33 86.5%
644
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 48.0% 47.6% 44.9%– 51.8% 16.2% 26–31 19.6%
645
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 43.8% 43.9% 41.2%– 48.1% 0.1% 24–28 0.2%
646
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 40.2% 41.4% 37.6%– 44.3% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
647
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 37.1% 37.5% 34.1%– 40.8% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
648
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 56.7% 55.3% 51.4%– 58.3% 99.8% 31–35 99.8%
649
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 49.5% 44.8%– 51.6% 15.9% 26–31 16.0%
650
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.9% 48.0% 44.0%– 50.8% 6.6% 26–31 13.3%
651
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.4% 41.6% 37.3%– 44.1% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
652
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 8.8%– 13.2% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
653
+ 2015-08-07 20:06:39 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.686%.
654
+ 2015-08-07 20:06:39 INFO: 2,097,152 simulations out of 9,703,300 data points, 1 / 20,434,887,748,267 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).
655
+ 2015-08-07 22:09:03 INFO: Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence intervals:
656
+ Choice Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats
657
+ Arbeiderpartiet 35.4% 34.0% 34.0% 31.7%– 38.5% 94.0% 19–23
658
+ Høyre 31.0% 31.6% 31.6% 27.5%– 33.9% 100.0% 16–20
659
+ Venstre 7.9% 8.4% 8.4% 6.1%– 9.8% 59.1% 4– 6
660
+ Miljøpartiet de Grønne 7.4% 7.9% 7.9% 5.6%– 9.2% 71.3% 3– 6
661
+ Fremskrittspartiet 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 5.1%– 8.4% 92.8% 3– 5
662
+ Sosialistisk Venstreparti 4.9% 5.3% 5.2% 3.5%– 6.6% 83.5% 2– 4
663
+ Rødt 3.8% 3.3% 3.5% 2.7%– 5.3% 98.0% 2– 3
664
+ Kristelig Folkeparti 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.2%– 3.2% 98.0% 1– 2
665
+ Senterpartiet 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.3%– 1.6% 0– 1
666
+ Coalition Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)
667
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 52.1% 48.4% 51.5% 48.7%– 55.5% 89.3% 29–33 86.9%
668
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 48.4% 48.0% 48.0% 44.9%– 51.8% 18.6% 26–31 19.5%
669
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Rødt + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 44.8% 41.6% 43.6% 41.2%– 48.0% 0.1% 24–28 0.2%
670
+ Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti 41.0% 41.0% 40.1% 37.6%– 44.4% 0.0% 22–26 0.0%
671
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre 37.6% 36.8% 36.8% 34.1%– 40.7% 0.0% 20–25 0.0%
672
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Miljøpartiet de Grønne + Venstre 54.9% 53.4% 56.1% 51.5%– 58.3% 99.7% 31–35 99.8%
673
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 48.2% 49.7% 49.1% 44.8%– 51.6% 14.3% 26–31 15.6%
674
+ Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 47.5% 44.9% 48.2% 43.9%– 50.8% 6.0% 26–30 12.8%
675
+ Høyre + Kristelig Folkeparti + Venstre 40.9% 41.4% 41.7% 37.3%– 44.1% 0.0% 22–27 0.0%
676
+ Kristelig Folkeparti + Senterpartiet + Venstre 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 8.8%– 13.1% 0.0% 5– 8 0.0%
677
+ 2015-08-07 22:09:03 INFO: Error estimate: ε ≤ 0.960%.
678
+ 2015-08-07 22:09:03 INFO: 4,194,304 simulations out of 19,405,009 data points, 1 / 10,218,281,593,569 of search space size (198,285,846,287,760,000,000).