sapor 0.3.4

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/area.rb

@@ -0,0 +1,82 @@
+# encoding: utf-8
+#
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+module Sapor
+  #
+  # Superclass for any area (country, region, city, etc...) for which
+  # polls can be registered.
+  #
+  class Area
+    def threshold
+      nil
+    end
+
+    def lines_to_election_results(lines)
+      results = {}
+      lines.each_line { |line| add_line_to_election_results(results, line) }
+      results
+    end
+
+    def load_election_results(filename)
+      dirname = File.dirname(File.expand_path(__FILE__))
+      full_filename = File.expand_path(filename, dirname)
+      lines = File.read(full_filename)
+      lines_to_election_results(lines)
+    end
+
+    def summarize_election_results(election_results)
+      summary = {}
+      election_results.each_value do |local_results|
+        add_local_results_to_summary(summary, local_results)
+      end
+      summary
+    end
+
+    private
+
+    def add_line_to_election_results(results, line)
+      return if line.strip.empty? || line.strip.start_with?('#')
+      values = line.split('|')
+      fail(ArgumentError, "Broken line: #{line}.") unless values.size.equal?(3)
+      add_line_values_to_election_results(results, values)
+    end
+
+    def add_line_values_to_election_results(results, values)
+      constituency = values[0].strip
+      results[constituency] = {} unless results.key?(constituency)
+      choice = values[1].strip
+      votes = values[2].gsub(',', '').to_i
+      if results[constituency].key?(choice)
+        fail(ArgumentError, "Choice #{choice} appeared twice in " \
+                            "constituency #{constituency}.")
+      end
+      results[constituency][choice] = votes
+    end
+
+    def add_local_results_to_summary(summary, local_results)
+      local_results.each_pair do |choice, votes|
+        if summary.key?(choice)
+          summary[choice] += votes
+        else
+          summary[choice] = votes
+        end
+      end
+    end
+  end
+end

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/austria.rb

@@ -0,0 +1,84 @@
+#
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+module Sapor
+  #
+  # The regional data for Austria.
+  #
+  class Austria < Area
+    include Singleton
+
+    def area_code
+      'AT'
+    end
+
+    def coalitions
+      COALITIONS
+    end
+
+    def no_of_seats
+      NO_OF_SEATS
+    end
+
+    def population_size
+      POPULATION_SIZE
+    end
+
+    def seats(simulation)
+      electoral_system.project(simulation)
+    end
+
+    private
+
+    FPO_PARTY = 'Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs'.freeze
+    GRUENE_PARTY = 'Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative'.freeze
+    NEOS_PARTY = 'NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum'.freeze
+    OVP_PARTY = 'Österreichische Volkspartei'.freeze
+    SPO_PARTY = 'Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs'.freeze
+
+    COALITIONS = [[FPO_PARTY, OVP_PARTY],
+                  [FPO_PARTY, SPO_PARTY],
+                  [GRUENE_PARTY, NEOS_PARTY, OVP_PARTY],
+                  [GRUENE_PARTY, NEOS_PARTY, SPO_PARTY],
+                  [GRUENE_PARTY, OVP_PARTY],
+                  [GRUENE_PARTY, SPO_PARTY],
+                  [NEOS_PARTY, OVP_PARTY],
+                  [OVP_PARTY],
+                  [OVP_PARTY, SPO_PARTY],
+                  [SPO_PARTY]].freeze
+
+    NO_OF_SEATS = 183
+
+    # Voter turnout on 15 October 2017
+    # Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 15 October
+    # 2017, downloaded on 29 May 2019,
+    # https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Austrian_legislative_election
+    POPULATION_SIZE = 5_069_929
+
+    THRESHOLD = 0.04
+
+    def electoral_system
+      if @electoral_system.nil?
+        @electoral_system = SingleDistrictProportional.new(
+          NO_OF_SEATS, DhondtDenominators, THRESHOLD
+        )
+      end
+      @electoral_system
+    end
+  end
+end

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-2014.psv

@@ -0,0 +1,46 @@
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+# Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 25 May 2014,
+#         downloaded on 3 November 2016,
+# URL: http://verkiezingen2014.belgium.be/nl/cha/results/results_tab_CKR00000.html
+
+# Replaced FDF with DéFI
+# Replaced PTB-GO! with PTB
+
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | PS                | 123,985
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | MR                | 115,038
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | DéFI              |  55,306
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Ecolo             |  51,133
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | cdH               |  46,441
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | PTB               |  19,135
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Open Vld          |  13,283
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | N-VA              |  13,223
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Debout les Belges |  11,112
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | sp.a              |   9,613
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | ISLAM             |   9,387
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Parti Populaire   |   8,641
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | CD&V              |   8,173
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Vlaams Belang     |   5,157
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | La Droite         |   2,165
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | NATION            |   1,623
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | GAUCHES COMMUNES  |   1,445
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Égalitaires!      |     953
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | PARTI LIBERTARIEN |     750
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | MG                |     567
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Agora Erasmus     |     382
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | LaLutte-DeStrijd  |     213

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-20190526.psv

@@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+# Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 26 May 2019,
+#         downloaded on 6 August 2019,
+# URL: https://verkiezingen2019.belgium.be/nl/resultaten-cijfers?el=CK&id=CKC21004
+    
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Ecolo                                | 108,144
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Parti Socialiste                     | 100,195
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Mouvement Réformateur                |  87,594
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Parti du Travail de Belgique         |  61,589
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | DéFI                                 |  51,544
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Centre démocrate humaniste           |  29,161
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie              |  15,983
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Listes Destexhe                      |  12,879
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten |  11,511
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Parti Populaire                      |   8,455
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Vlaams Belang                        |   7,824
+Bruxelles-Capitale / Brussel-Hoofdstad | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams      |   6,580

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-2014.psv

@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+# Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 25 May 2014,
+#         downloaded on 3 November 2016,
+# URL: http://verkiezingen2014.belgium.be/nl/cha/results/results_tab_CKR00000.html
+
+# Replaced FDF with DéFI
+
+Antwerpen | N-VA          | 449,531
+Antwerpen | CD&V          | 183,636
+Antwerpen | sp.a          | 132,096
+Antwerpen | Open Vld      | 116,892
+Antwerpen | Groen         | 112,477
+Antwerpen | Vlaams Belang |  79,852
+Antwerpen | PVDA          |  51,638
+Antwerpen | Piratenpartij |  11,136
+Antwerpen | R.O.S.S.E.M.  |   2,984
+Antwerpen | B.U.B.        |   1,299
+
+Limburg | N-VA          | 174,030
+Limburg | CD&V          | 125,962
+Limburg | sp.a          |  98,194
+Limburg | Open Vld      |  68,713
+Limburg | Vlaams Belang |  34,020
+Limburg | Groen         |  33,244
+Limburg | PVDA          |  14,253
+Limburg | Piratenpartij |   3,909
+Limburg | R.O.S.S.E.M.  |   1,415
+Limburg | B.U.B.        |     714
+
+Oost-Vlaanderen | N-VA          | 306,650
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Open Vld      | 179,167
+Oost-Vlaanderen | CD&V          | 177,349
+Oost-Vlaanderen | sp.a          | 131,903
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Groen         |  90,473
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Vlaams Belang |  61,620
+Oost-Vlaanderen | PVDA          |  26,381
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Piratenpartij |   8,124
+Oost-Vlaanderen | R.O.S.S.E.M.  |   2,557
+Oost-Vlaanderen | SD&P          |   2,298
+Oost-Vlaanderen | B.U.B.        |   1,366
+Oost-Vlaanderen | PVGW          |     932
+
+Vlaams-Brabant | N-VA          | 192,698
+Vlaams-Brabant | Open Vld      | 170,128
+Vlaams-Brabant | CD&V          | 112,251
+Vlaams-Brabant | sp.a          |  81,254
+Vlaams-Brabant | Groen         |  59,096
+Vlaams-Brabant | Vlaams Belang |  28,857
+Vlaams-Brabant | DéFI          |  15,405
+Vlaams-Brabant | PVDA          |  12,664
+Vlaams-Brabant | B.U.B.        |   2,577
+Vlaams-Brabant | Piratenpartij |   2,281
+Vlaams-Brabant | R.O.S.S.E.M.  |   1,914
+
+West-Vlaanderen | N-VA           | 230,265
+West-Vlaanderen | CD&V           | 175,669
+West-Vlaanderen | sp.a           | 142,406
+West-Vlaanderen | Open Vld       | 111,388
+West-Vlaanderen | Groen          |  63,657
+West-Vlaanderen | Vlaams Belang  |  38,232
+West-Vlaanderen | PVDA           |  13,397
+West-Vlaanderen | R.O.S.S.E.M.   |   2,810
+West-Vlaanderen | B.U.B.         |   1,691
+West-Vlaanderen | Lijst Dedecker |  28,414

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-20190526.psv

@@ -0,0 +1,74 @@
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+# Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 26 May 2019,
+#         downloaded on 7 August 2019,
+# URL: https://verkiezingen2019.belgium.be/nl/verkiezingen?el=CK
+
+Antwerpen | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie              | 361,022
+Antwerpen | Vlaams Belang                        | 217,333
+Antwerpen | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams      | 128,036
+Antwerpen | Groen                                | 127,131
+Antwerpen | Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 111,505
+Antwerpen | Socialistische Partij Anders         |  93,114
+Antwerpen | Partij van de Arbeid van België      |  88,430
+Antwerpen | DierAnimal                           |  13,544
+Antwerpen | Piratenpartij                        |   7,521
+Antwerpen | Democratisch-Solidair Appèl          |   3,605
+Antwerpen | Partij Vrede en Solidariteit         |   3,217
+Antwerpen | Volt                                 |   1,669
+
+Limburg | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie              | 125,273
+Limburg | Vlaams Belang                        | 109,499
+Limburg | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams      | 103,625
+Limburg | Socialistische Partij Anders         |  76,614
+Limburg | Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten |  66,602
+Limburg | Groen                                |  38,154
+Limburg | Partij van de Arbeid van België      |  31,037
+Limburg | Democratisch-Solidair Appèl          |   2,344
+Limburg | PRO                                  |   1,690
+
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie              | 218,023
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Vlaams Belang                        | 200,173
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 178,349
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams      | 127,024
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Groen                                | 103,061
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Socialistische Partij Anders         | 101,447
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Partij van de Arbeid van België      |  55,209
+Oost-Vlaanderen | DierAnimal                           |  11,801
+Oost-Vlaanderen | Belgische Unie – Union Belge         |   2,092
+Oost-Vlaanderen | de coöperatie                        |   1,732
+
+Vlaams-Brabant | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie              | 193,735
+Vlaams-Brabant | Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 106,175
+Vlaams-Brabant | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams      |  94,743
+Vlaams-Brabant | Vlaams Belang                        |  92,844
+Vlaams-Brabant | Groen                                |  81,620
+Vlaams-Brabant | Socialistische Partij Anders         |  65,347
+Vlaams-Brabant | Partij van de Arbeid van België      |  33,016
+Vlaams-Brabant | DéFI                                 |  14,043
+Vlaams-Brabant | Belgische Unie – Union Belge         |   4,513
+Vlaams-Brabant | PRO                                  |   3,992
+
+West-Vlaanderen | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie              | 172,751
+West-Vlaanderen | Vlaams Belang                        | 164,427
+West-Vlaanderen | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams      | 142,512
+West-Vlaanderen | Socialistische Partij Anders         | 118,512
+West-Vlaanderen | Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 105,192
+West-Vlaanderen | Groen                                |  63,870
+West-Vlaanderen | Partij van de Arbeid van België      |  29,205
+West-Vlaanderen | DierAnimal                           |   9,926

data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-2014.psv

@@ -0,0 +1,114 @@
+# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
+# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
+#
+# This file is part of SAPoR.
+#
+# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
+# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
+# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
+# version.
+#
+# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
+# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
+# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the GNU General Public License for more details.
+#
+# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
+#
+
+# Source: Web page with the official results of the elections of 25 May 2014,
+#         downloaded on 3 November 2016,
+# URL: http://verkiezingen2014.belgium.be/nl/cha/results/results_tab_CKR00000.html
+
+# Replaced FDF with DéFI
+# Replaced PTB-GO! with PTB
+
+Brabant wallon | MR                | 97,741
+Brabant wallon | PS                | 51,359
+Brabant wallon | Ecolo             | 27,356
+Brabant wallon | cdH               | 26,335
+Brabant wallon | DéFI              | 11,198
+Brabant wallon | Parti Populaire   |  9,544
+Brabant wallon | PTB               |  6,449
+Brabant wallon | Debout les Belges |  3,342
+Brabant wallon | La Droite         |  2,337
+Brabant wallon | R.W.F.            |  1,102
+Brabant wallon | B.U.B.            |    961
+Brabant wallon | NATION            |    908
+Brabant wallon | NWA               |    442
+Brabant wallon | MOVE              |    400
+Brabant wallon | VLC               |    208
+Brabant wallon | MG                |    187
+
+Hainaut | PS                 | 303,085
+Hainaut | MR                 | 153,301
+Hainaut | cdH                |  76,812
+Hainaut | Ecolo              |  43,488
+Hainaut | PTB                |  38,194
+Hainaut | Parti Populaire    |  32,158
+Hainaut | Debout les Belges  |  24,634
+Hainaut | Faire place Nette  |  15,467
+Hainaut | DéFI               |  14,382
+Hainaut | La Droite          |   6,804
+Hainaut | PIRATE             |   5,907
+Hainaut | Wallonie d’Abord   |   4,926
+Hainaut | NATION             |   3,767
+Hainaut | Lutte Ouvrière     |   3,539
+Hainaut | P+                 |   2,254
+Hainaut | R.W.F.             |   2,058
+Hainaut | NWA                |   1,673
+Hainaut | MG                 |   1,662
+Hainaut | FW                 |   1,633
+Hainaut | RassemblementWalon |   1,598
+Hainaut | B.U.B.             |     688
+Hainaut | MGJOD              |     460
+
+Liège | PS                 | 187,897
+Liège | MR                 | 158,046
+Liège | cdH                |  81,759
+Liège | Ecolo              |  56,890
+Liège | PTB                |  50,603
+Liège | Parti Populaire    |  32,229
+Liège | DéFI               |  13,915
+Liège | Debout les Belges  |   9,381
+Liège | La Droite          |   8,714
+Liège | Wallonie d’Abord   |   6,295
+Liège | ISLAM              |   4,332
+Liège | PIRATE             |   3,938
+Liège | PP PARTIPENSIONNES |   3,178
+Liège | NATION             |   2,342
+Liège | VLC                |   1,820
+Liège | R.W.F.             |   1,622
+Liège | B.U.B.             |   1,198
+Liège | MG                 |   1,024
+Liège | FW                 |     752
+Liège | CIM                |     430
+
+Luxembourg | cdH               | 56,702
+Luxembourg | MR                | 41,346
+Luxembourg | PS                | 37,371
+Luxembourg | Ecolo             | 13,471
+Luxembourg | Parti Populaire   |  6,980
+Luxembourg | PTB               |  4,003
+Luxembourg | Debout les Belges |  2,958
+Luxembourg | DéFI              |  2,811
+Luxembourg | La Droite         |  2,012
+Luxembourg | B.U.B.            |    752
+Luxembourg | MG                |    666
+Luxembourg | R.W.F.            |    645
+
+Namur | MR                 | 84,788
+Namur | PS                 | 83,361
+Namur | cdH                | 48,135
+Namur | Ecolo              | 29,186
+Namur | PTB                | 14,559
+Namur | Parti Populaire    | 13,029
+Namur | DéFI               |  8,367
+Namur | Debout les Belges  |  6,616
+Namur | La Droite          |  4,003
+Namur | R.W.F.             |  1,967
+Namur | NATION             |  1,576
+Namur | Vox Populi Belgica |  1,280
+Namur | B.U.B.             |    857
+Namur | FW                 |    695
+Namur | NWA                |    670
+Namur | MG                 |    423