instar 1.3.450 → 1.3.451

package/dist/permissions/AmbientContributionGate.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/permissions/AmbientContributionGate.js

@@ -47,6 +47,8 @@
 const DEFAULT_MAX_PROACTIVE = 1;
 const DEFAULT_WINDOW_MS = 30 * 60 * 1000; // 30 minutes
 const DEFAULT_MIN_CONFIDENCE = 0.85;
+const DEFAULT_NEAR_MISS_DELTA = 0.1;
+const DEFAULT_NEAR_MISS_RING_CAPACITY = 50;
 export class AmbientContributionGate {
     enabledChannels;
     maxProactive;
@@ -56,6 +58,20 @@ export class AmbientContributionGate {
     timeoutMs;
     onDecision;
     now;
+    nearMissDelta;
+    nearMissRingCapacity;
+    /**
+     * Observability — bounded, in-memory aggregate of every decision, per channel.
+     * Populated in recordDecisionStats() (called from decide() AFTER the verdict is
+     * formed), so it can never change the verdict. No message content is stored. A
+     * restart resets it; this is acceptable for an FP-rate measurement surface (the
+     * durable per-decision ledger is the file-backed /permissions/decisions). The map
+     * is keyed by channelId — bounded by the set of opted-in channels, which is small
+     * and config-controlled.
+     */
+    channelStats = new Map();
+    /** Bounded ring (newest-last) of recent near-miss silences for spot-inspection. */
+    nearMissRing = [];
     /**
      * Rate-limit state lives HERE — a per-channel in-memory ring of the timestamps at
      * which the gate last returned speak=true. It is recorded by recordSpoke() (called
@@ -78,6 +94,8 @@ export class AmbientContributionGate {
         this.timeoutMs = deps.timeoutMs ?? 8000;
         this.onDecision = deps.onDecision;
         this.now = deps.now ?? (() => Date.now());
+        this.nearMissDelta = cfg.nearMissDelta ?? DEFAULT_NEAR_MISS_DELTA;
+        this.nearMissRingCapacity = cfg.nearMissRingCapacity ?? DEFAULT_NEAR_MISS_RING_CAPACITY;
     }
     /** Is ANY channel opted into ambient contribution? Used to skip the gate entirely. */
     isAnyChannelEnabled() {
@@ -137,10 +155,10 @@ export class AmbientContributionGate {
         }
         // Conservative confidence bar. Below it (or no named contribution) → silence.
         if (parsed.confidence < this.minConfidence || !parsed.contribution) {
-            return this.decide(input.channelId, { speak: false, reason: 'low-confidence', detail: parsed.contribution });
+            return this.decide(input.channelId, { speak: false, reason: 'low-confidence', detail: parsed.contribution }, parsed.confidence);
         }
         // ALL fail-to-silence conditions held → speak.
-        return this.decide(input.channelId, { speak: true, reason: 'speak', detail: parsed.contribution });
+        return this.decide(input.channelId, { speak: true, reason: 'speak', detail: parsed.contribution }, parsed.confidence);
     }
     /**
      * Record that the agent actually spoke proactively in a channel (call AFTER the
@@ -178,7 +196,16 @@ export class AmbientContributionGate {
         }
         return fresh.length;
     }
-    decide(channelId, decision) {
+    decide(channelId, decision, confidence) {
+        // Observability — record into the bounded in-memory aggregate. This runs AFTER
+        // the verdict is fully formed and returns `decision` UNCHANGED, so it can never
+        // alter the speak/silence outcome. Wrapped so a stats bug can never break a send.
+        try {
+            this.recordDecisionStats(channelId, decision, confidence);
+        }
+        catch {
+            /* aggregate is best-effort and must never affect the verdict */
+        }
         try {
             this.onDecision?.(decision, channelId);
         }
@@ -187,6 +214,61 @@ export class AmbientContributionGate {
         }
         return decision;
     }
+    /**
+     * Update the per-channel counters and (for a near-miss silence) the bounded ring.
+     * A SILENCE is a "near-miss" when the LLM produced a confidence that fell within
+     * `nearMissDelta` BELOW the speak threshold — i.e. it nearly spoke. Paths with no
+     * confidence (not-opted-in, rate-limited, no-intelligence, llm-error, unparseable)
+     * are never near-misses. Pure in-memory; no content stored; no side-effect.
+     */
+    recordDecisionStats(channelId, decision, confidence) {
+        let s = this.channelStats.get(channelId);
+        if (!s) {
+            s = { channelId, evaluated: 0, spoke: 0, silent: 0, nearMissSilent: 0, silentByReason: {} };
+            this.channelStats.set(channelId, s);
+        }
+        s.evaluated += 1;
+        if (decision.speak) {
+            s.spoke += 1;
+            return;
+        }
+        s.silent += 1;
+        s.silentByReason[decision.reason] = (s.silentByReason[decision.reason] ?? 0) + 1;
+        // A near-miss requires a real confidence within the delta below the threshold.
+        const nearMiss = typeof confidence === 'number' &&
+            confidence < this.minConfidence &&
+            confidence >= this.minConfidence - this.nearMissDelta;
+        if (nearMiss) {
+            s.nearMissSilent += 1;
+            this.nearMissRing.push({ channelId, reason: decision.reason, confidence, nearMiss: true, at: this.now() });
+            // Bounded: drop the oldest once over capacity (FIFO).
+            while (this.nearMissRing.length > this.nearMissRingCapacity)
+                this.nearMissRing.shift();
+        }
+    }
+    /**
+     * Read-only snapshot of the bounded observability aggregate. Safe to call any time
+     * (returns copies — the caller can't mutate internal state). With no opted-in
+     * channel the gate is never consulted, so `channels` stays empty and nothing is
+     * recorded. This is the surface the observe-only live test polls.
+     */
+    getStats() {
+        return {
+            channels: Array.from(this.channelStats.values()).map(s => ({
+                channelId: s.channelId,
+                evaluated: s.evaluated,
+                spoke: s.spoke,
+                silent: s.silent,
+                nearMissSilent: s.nearMissSilent,
+                silentByReason: { ...s.silentByReason },
+            })),
+            // Newest-first for readability.
+            recentNearMisses: this.nearMissRing.slice().reverse(),
+            nearMissDelta: this.nearMissDelta,
+            minConfidence: this.minConfidence,
+            ringCapacity: this.nearMissRingCapacity,
+        };
+    }
 }
 /**
  * Validate + clamp the LLM's raw JSON into a safe verdict. Returns null when the

package/dist/permissions/AmbientContributionGate.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/scaffold/templates.js

@@ -693,6 +693,11 @@ This routes feedback to the Instar maintainers automatically. Valid types: \`bug
 - **Rate-limit events** (Phase A): every circuit-breaker trip (the account got throttled) and session-sentinel detection is written down so it survives restarts: \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" "http://localhost:${port}/resources/rate-limits?sinceHours=24"\` → \`{ summary: { circuitOpenCount, tripsPerHour, ... }, byKind, events }\`.
 - **When to use** (PROACTIVE): when the user asks "how much CPU / memory am I using right now?", "what's eating resources?", "is this agent heavy?" → \`GET /resources/summary\` (or point them at the Resource Usage dashboard tab). When asked "how many times were we throttled today?" / "is the rate-limit pressure getting worse?" → \`GET /resources/rate-limits\`. Read the durable numbers instead of guessing. (Spec: \`docs/specs/per-agent-resource-ledger.md\`.)
 
+**Growth & Milestone Analyst** — The proactive answer to "are my initiatives being left behind, are features earning their way through the maturity path, and are patterns being extracted from how I approve specs / correct the agent?" Composes the existing tracking surfaces (InitiativeTracker rollout stages + staleness, ApprovalLedger approve-vs-change, CorrectionLedger recurrence) into ONE opinionated digest with explicit notify-rules. The key lever: a TIGHT incubation window whose EXPIRY is itself the trigger — a feature can never be silently left behind, because it either proved itself (→ promote?) or it never did (→ extend/fix/kill?). Promotion requires REAL proof-of-life, never elapsed time alone. **Ships DARK** (\`monitoring.growthAnalyst.enabled\` false) and rides the Graduated Feature Rollout track; this slice COMPUTES + exposes findings via read routes and does NOT send to Telegram yet.
+- Digest: \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" "http://localhost:${port}/growth/digest"\` → \`{ generatedAt, calm, summary, findings, counts, nextWindowClosesInDays }\`. Findings only: \`GET /growth/findings\`. Status: \`GET /growth/status\`. Recompute now: \`POST /growth/tick\`.
+- Findings carry a \`rule\` (R1 promotion-ready / R2 incubation-expired-unproven / R3 initiative-stalling / R4 spec-pattern / R5 correction-pattern) + a \`suggestedAction\`. When off, every route 503s.
+- **When to use** (PROACTIVE): "are any features ready to promote / being left behind?" / "what patterns are showing up in how I approve specs or correct you?" → \`GET /growth/digest\`. Tune windows/rules under \`monitoring.growthAnalyst\` (\`incubationWindows\`, \`proofOfLifeMinActivations\`, per-rule flags). (Spec: \`docs/specs/PROACTIVE-GROWTH-MILESTONE-ANALYST-SPEC.md\`.)
+
 **Parallel-Work Awareness** — See what ALL your hands are doing across topics/sessions at once (like a king with a council). A cross-topic read index over your existing per-topic intent: every topic, its current focus, high-specificity tags, and whether a session is live on it. This is the antidote to self-blindness — duplicating work another of your topics already did.
 - Check: \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" "http://localhost:${port}/parallel-work/activities"\` → \`{ count, runningCount, activities: [{ topicId, focus, tags, running, updatedAt }] }\`.
 - **When to use** (PROACTIVE): before starting substantial new work in a topic, glance here to see if another topic is already on it; when the user asks "what am I working on across topics?" / "is another session already doing this?". (The proactive overlap councilor — ParallelWorkSentinel — is Phase B, ships dark.) Read-only; never gates. Spec: \`docs/specs/parallel-activity-coherence.md\`.

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package/dist/server/AgentServer.d.ts

@@ -102,6 +102,7 @@ export declare class AgentServer {
     private ciFailurePoller;
     private revertDetector;
     private correctionLedger;
+    private growthMilestoneAnalyst;
     private apprenticeshipProgram;
     private apprenticeshipCycleStore;
     private apprenticeshipCycleSlaMonitor;

package/dist/server/AgentServer.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/server/AgentServer.js

@@ -38,6 +38,7 @@ import { FailureAttributionEngine } from '../monitoring/FailureAttributionEngine
 import { CiFailurePoller } from '../monitoring/CiFailurePoller.js';
 import { RevertDetector } from '../monitoring/RevertDetector.js';
 import { CorrectionLedger } from '../monitoring/CorrectionLedger.js';
+import { GrowthMilestoneAnalyst, resolveGrowthSettings } from '../monitoring/GrowthMilestoneAnalyst.js';
 import { ApprenticeshipProgram } from '../core/ApprenticeshipProgram.js';
 import { ApprenticeshipCycleStore } from '../monitoring/ApprenticeshipCycleStore.js';
 import { ApprenticeshipCycleSlaMonitor } from '../monitoring/ApprenticeshipCycleSlaMonitor.js';
@@ -175,6 +176,7 @@ export class AgentServer {
     ciFailurePoller = null;
     revertDetector = null;
     correctionLedger = null;
+    growthMilestoneAnalyst = null;
     apprenticeshipProgram = null;
     apprenticeshipCycleStore = null;
     apprenticeshipCycleSlaMonitor = null;
@@ -909,6 +911,44 @@ export class AgentServer {
             console.warn('[instar] correction-learning ledger init failed (non-fatal):', err);
             this.correctionLedger = null;
         }
+        // GrowthMilestoneAnalyst (docs/specs/PROACTIVE-GROWTH-MILESTONE-ANALYST-SPEC.md)
+        // — the proactive growth & milestone analyst. Resolved through the standard
+        // developmentAgent dark-feature gate (standard_development_agent_dark_feature_gate):
+        // `enabled ?? !!developmentAgent` → LIVE on the dev agent (the dogfooding
+        // ground), DARK fleet-wide. An explicit `enabled` in config always wins (set
+        // false to force-dark a dev agent, true for the live-fleet flip). When the
+        // gate resolves false the analyst stays null and /growth/* routes 503-stub
+        // (the "off → 503" contract). Composes the InitiativeTracker (rollout stages
+        // + staleness), ApprovalLedger (approve-vs-change), and CorrectionLedger
+        // (recurrence) — all read-only. Own try/catch so a failure here can never
+        // cascade into other init.
+        const growthAnalystEnabled = options.config.monitoring?.growthAnalyst?.enabled ?? !!options.config.developmentAgent;
+        try {
+            if (growthAnalystEnabled && options.config.stateDir && options.initiativeTracker) {
+                this.growthMilestoneAnalyst = new GrowthMilestoneAnalyst({
+                    stateDir: options.config.stateDir,
+                    // Feed the gate-resolved enabled into settings so GET /growth/status
+                    // honestly reports `enabled: true` on a dev agent (config omits the
+                    // flag → resolveGrowthSettings would otherwise read false while the
+                    // routes are live). Optional-chained: the gate can be true with no
+                    // monitoring.growthAnalyst block present (dev agent, defaults only).
+                    settings: resolveGrowthSettings({
+                        ...(options.config.monitoring?.growthAnalyst ?? {}),
+                        enabled: growthAnalystEnabled,
+                    }),
+                    tracker: options.initiativeTracker,
+                    approvalLedger: this.approvalLedger,
+                    correctionLedger: this.correctionLedger,
+                    // evidenceCounter intentionally unwired in this slice → proof:'unknown'
+                    // (honest: a feature with no evidence source cannot be promotion-ready).
+                    onError: (where, err) => console.warn(`[GrowthMilestoneAnalyst] ${where}:`, err),
+                });
+            }
+        }
+        catch (err) {
+            console.warn('[instar] growth-milestone-analyst init failed (non-fatal):', err);
+            this.growthMilestoneAnalyst = null;
+        }
         // Apprenticeship Program (Step 1) — the instance-as-project registry + the
         // retro-gate (pending→active) and doc-as-required-artifact gate
         // (active→complete). Ships ON (additive, passive registry; no config flag —
@@ -1120,6 +1160,7 @@ export class AgentServer {
             failureLedger: this.failureLedger,
             failureAttributionEngine: this.failureAttributionEngine,
             correctionLedger: this.correctionLedger,
+            growthMilestoneAnalyst: this.growthMilestoneAnalyst,
             apprenticeshipProgram: this.apprenticeshipProgram,
             apprenticeshipCycleStore: this.apprenticeshipCycleStore,
             apprenticeshipCycleSlaMonitor: this.apprenticeshipCycleSlaMonitor,