hivemind-pipeline 0.1.0

package/dist/src/core/self-improvement.js

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+import { readFileSync, writeFileSync, existsSync } from 'node:fs';
+import { join } from 'node:path';
+const STATE_FILE = 'self-improvement.json';
+const HISTORY_FILE = 'history.json';
+function emptyState() {
+    return {
+        records: [],
+        strategies: [],
+        tuning: {
+            modelOverrides: {},
+            strategyOverrides: {},
+            promptVariants: [],
+        },
+    };
+}
+export class SelfImprovementEngine {
+    swarmDir;
+    data;
+    constructor(swarmDir) {
+        this.swarmDir = swarmDir;
+        this.data = this.loadState();
+    }
+    // ── Persistence ──────────────────────────────────────────────
+    loadState() {
+        const filePath = join(this.swarmDir, STATE_FILE);
+        if (!existsSync(filePath))
+            return emptyState();
+        try {
+            return JSON.parse(readFileSync(filePath, 'utf-8'));
+        }
+        catch {
+            return emptyState();
+        }
+    }
+    saveState() {
+        const filePath = join(this.swarmDir, STATE_FILE);
+        writeFileSync(filePath, JSON.stringify(this.data, null, 2), 'utf-8');
+    }
+    loadHistory() {
+        const filePath = join(this.swarmDir, HISTORY_FILE);
+        if (!existsSync(filePath))
+            return [];
+        try {
+            return JSON.parse(readFileSync(filePath, 'utf-8'));
+        }
+        catch {
+            return [];
+        }
+    }
+    // ── Record a run ─────────────────────────────────────────────
+    recordRun(record) {
+        this.data.records.push(record);
+        // Keep at most 500 records
+        if (this.data.records.length > 500) {
+            this.data.records = this.data.records.slice(-500);
+        }
+        this.saveState();
+    }
+    // ── Analyze runs ─────────────────────────────────────────────
+    analyze(count = 50) {
+        const history = this.loadHistory();
+        const records = this.data.records;
+        // Use the most recent N records
+        const recent = records.slice(-count);
+        if (recent.length === 0 && history.length === 0) {
+            return [];
+        }
+        // Group by strategy + taskType
+        const groups = new Map();
+        for (const rec of recent) {
+            const key = `${rec.strategy}::${rec.taskType}`;
+            const list = groups.get(key) ?? [];
+            list.push(rec);
+            groups.set(key, list);
+        }
+        // Also derive records from history if self-improvement records are sparse
+        if (recent.length < 5) {
+            const recentHistory = history.slice(-count);
+            for (const entry of recentHistory) {
+                const key = `default::${entry.stack}`;
+                const existing = groups.get(key) ?? [];
+                existing.push({
+                    runId: entry.runId,
+                    timestamp: entry.timestamp,
+                    taskType: entry.stack,
+                    predictedCost: 0,
+                    actualCost: entry.totalCost.totalUsd,
+                    predictedDuration: 0,
+                    actualDuration: entry.durationMs,
+                    testPassFirstAttempt: (entry.fixIterations ?? 0) === 0,
+                    fixIterations: entry.fixIterations ?? 0,
+                    humanEditRate: 0,
+                    reverted: false,
+                    postMergeIncident: false,
+                    model: entry.model ?? 'unknown',
+                    strategy: 'default',
+                });
+                groups.set(key, existing);
+            }
+        }
+        const strategies = [];
+        for (const [key, recs] of groups) {
+            const [strategy, taskType] = key.split('::');
+            const successCount = recs.filter(r => !r.reverted && !r.postMergeIncident).length;
+            const successRate = recs.length > 0 ? Math.round((successCount / recs.length) * 100) : 0;
+            const avgCost = recs.length > 0 ? recs.reduce((s, r) => s + r.actualCost, 0) / recs.length : 0;
+            const avgDuration = recs.length > 0 ? recs.reduce((s, r) => s + r.actualDuration, 0) / recs.length : 0;
+            let recommendation = 'Keep current approach.';
+            if (successRate < 50 && recs.length >= 3) {
+                recommendation = 'Strategy has low success rate — consider switching models or prompts.';
+            }
+            else if (avgCost > 10) {
+                recommendation = 'High average cost — try a cheaper model for early stages.';
+            }
+            else if (recs.some(r => r.fixIterations > 3)) {
+                recommendation = 'Frequent fix iterations — improve test clarity or code quality prompts.';
+            }
+            strategies.push({
+                strategy,
+                taskType,
+                successRate,
+                avgCost: Math.round(avgCost * 100) / 100,
+                avgDuration: Math.round(avgDuration),
+                sampleSize: recs.length,
+                recommendation,
+            });
+        }
+        this.data.strategies = strategies;
+        this.saveState();
+        return strategies;
+    }
+    // ── Model effectiveness ──────────────────────────────────────
+    getModelEffectiveness() {
+        const records = this.data.records;
+        const modelMap = new Map();
+        for (const rec of records) {
+            const list = modelMap.get(rec.model) ?? [];
+            list.push(rec);
+            modelMap.set(rec.model, list);
+        }
+        return Array.from(modelMap.entries()).map(([model, recs]) => {
+            const successes = recs.filter(r => !r.reverted && !r.postMergeIncident).length;
+            return {
+                model,
+                runs: recs.length,
+                successRate: recs.length > 0 ? Math.round((successes / recs.length) * 100) : 0,
+                avgCost: recs.length > 0 ? Math.round((recs.reduce((s, r) => s + r.actualCost, 0) / recs.length) * 100) / 100 : 0,
+                avgFixIterations: recs.length > 0 ? Math.round((recs.reduce((s, r) => s + r.fixIterations, 0) / recs.length) * 10) / 10 : 0,
+            };
+        }).sort((a, b) => b.successRate - a.successRate);
+    }
+    // ── Recommendations ──────────────────────────────────────────
+    getRecommendations() {
+        const recommendations = [];
+        const records = this.data.records;
+        const strategies = this.data.strategies;
+        if (records.length < 3) {
+            recommendations.push('Not enough data yet — run more pipelines to generate recommendations.');
+            return recommendations;
+        }
+        // Cost estimation accuracy
+        const withPredictions = records.filter(r => r.predictedCost > 0);
+        if (withPredictions.length > 0) {
+            const avgError = withPredictions.reduce((s, r) => s + Math.abs(r.actualCost - r.predictedCost), 0) / withPredictions.length;
+            if (avgError > 2) {
+                recommendations.push(`Cost predictions are off by $${avgError.toFixed(2)} on average — calibrate budget estimates.`);
+            }
+        }
+        // Duration estimation accuracy
+        const withDuration = records.filter(r => r.predictedDuration > 0);
+        if (withDuration.length > 0) {
+            const avgDurError = withDuration.reduce((s, r) => {
+                return s + Math.abs(r.actualDuration - r.predictedDuration) / Math.max(r.predictedDuration, 1);
+            }, 0) / withDuration.length;
+            if (avgDurError > 0.5) {
+                recommendations.push(`Duration estimates are off by ${(avgDurError * 100).toFixed(0)}% on average — adjust time expectations.`);
+            }
+        }
+        // First-attempt pass rate
+        const firstAttemptPass = records.filter(r => r.testPassFirstAttempt).length / records.length;
+        if (firstAttemptPass < 0.3) {
+            recommendations.push(`Only ${(firstAttemptPass * 100).toFixed(0)}% of runs pass tests on the first attempt — consider improving prompts or adding pre-build validation.`);
+        }
+        // Human edit rate
+        const avgHumanEdits = records.reduce((s, r) => s + r.humanEditRate, 0) / records.length;
+        if (avgHumanEdits > 0.3) {
+            recommendations.push(`Human edit rate is ${(avgHumanEdits * 100).toFixed(0)}% — agents may need better context or conventions.`);
+        }
+        // Revert rate
+        const revertRate = records.filter(r => r.reverted).length / records.length;
+        if (revertRate > 0.1) {
+            recommendations.push(`${(revertRate * 100).toFixed(0)}% of runs were reverted — add stricter guardrails or approval gates.`);
+        }
+        // Model-specific recommendations
+        const modelEffectiveness = this.getModelEffectiveness();
+        if (modelEffectiveness.length >= 2) {
+            const best = modelEffectiveness[0];
+            const worst = modelEffectiveness[modelEffectiveness.length - 1];
+            if (best.successRate - worst.successRate > 20 && worst.runs >= 3) {
+                recommendations.push(`Model "${best.model}" outperforms "${worst.model}" by ${best.successRate - worst.successRate}pp — consider switching.`);
+            }
+        }
+        // Low-performing strategies
+        for (const strat of strategies) {
+            if (strat.successRate < 40 && strat.sampleSize >= 5) {
+                recommendations.push(`Strategy "${strat.strategy}" for "${strat.taskType}" has only ${strat.successRate}% success — try an alternative approach.`);
+            }
+        }
+        return recommendations;
+    }
+    // ── Report generation ────────────────────────────────────────
+    generateReport() {
+        const records = this.data.records;
+        const midpoint = Math.floor(records.length / 2);
+        const previous = records.slice(0, midpoint);
+        const current = records.slice(midpoint);
+        const calcMetric = (recs, fn) => {
+            return recs.length > 0 ? recs.reduce((s, r) => s + fn(r), 0) / recs.length : 0;
+        };
+        const round2 = (n) => Math.round(n * 100) / 100;
+        const accuracyTrend = [
+            {
+                metric: 'Cost estimation accuracy',
+                current: round2(calcMetric(current, r => r.predictedCost > 0 ? 1 - Math.abs(r.actualCost - r.predictedCost) / Math.max(r.predictedCost, 0.01) : 0)),
+                previous: round2(calcMetric(previous, r => r.predictedCost > 0 ? 1 - Math.abs(r.actualCost - r.predictedCost) / Math.max(r.predictedCost, 0.01) : 0)),
+                change: 0,
+            },
+            {
+                metric: 'Duration estimation accuracy',
+                current: round2(calcMetric(current, r => r.predictedDuration > 0 ? 1 - Math.abs(r.actualDuration - r.predictedDuration) / Math.max(r.predictedDuration, 1) : 0)),
+                previous: round2(calcMetric(previous, r => r.predictedDuration > 0 ? 1 - Math.abs(r.actualDuration - r.predictedDuration) / Math.max(r.predictedDuration, 1) : 0)),
+                change: 0,
+            },
+        ];
+        for (const t of accuracyTrend) {
+            t.change = round2(t.current - t.previous);
+        }
+        const qualityTrend = [
+            {
+                metric: 'First-attempt pass rate',
+                current: round2(current.length > 0 ? current.filter(r => r.testPassFirstAttempt).length / current.length : 0),
+                previous: round2(previous.length > 0 ? previous.filter(r => r.testPassFirstAttempt).length / previous.length : 0),
+                change: 0,
+            },
+            {
+                metric: 'Revert rate',
+                current: round2(current.length > 0 ? current.filter(r => r.reverted).length / current.length : 0),
+                previous: round2(previous.length > 0 ? previous.filter(r => r.reverted).length / previous.length : 0),
+                change: 0,
+            },
+        ];
+        for (const t of qualityTrend) {
+            t.change = round2(t.current - t.previous);
+        }
+        const efficiencyTrend = [
+            {
+                metric: 'Average cost per run',
+                current: round2(calcMetric(current, r => r.actualCost)),
+                previous: round2(calcMetric(previous, r => r.actualCost)),
+                change: 0,
+            },
+            {
+                metric: 'Average fix iterations',
+                current: round2(calcMetric(current, r => r.fixIterations)),
+                previous: round2(calcMetric(previous, r => r.fixIterations)),
+                change: 0,
+            },
+            {
+                metric: 'Human edit rate',
+                current: round2(calcMetric(current, r => r.humanEditRate)),
+                previous: round2(calcMetric(previous, r => r.humanEditRate)),
+                change: 0,
+            },
+        ];
+        for (const t of efficiencyTrend) {
+            t.change = round2(t.current - t.previous);
+        }
+        const report = {
+            period: `Last ${records.length} runs (${current.length} recent vs ${previous.length} prior)`,
+            accuracyTrend,
+            qualityTrend,
+            efficiencyTrend,
+            recommendations: this.getRecommendations(),
+            generatedAt: Date.now(),
+        };
+        this.data.report = report;
+        this.saveState();
+        return report;
+    }
+    // ── Auto-tuning ──────────────────────────────────────────────
+    applyTuning() {
+        const applied = [];
+        const strategies = this.data.strategies;
+        // Model tuning: pick the best model per task type based on success rate
+        const taskModels = new Map();
+        for (const rec of this.data.records) {
+            const key = rec.taskType;
+            const score = (!rec.reverted && !rec.postMergeIncident ? 1 : 0) - rec.fixIterations * 0.1;
+            const existing = taskModels.get(key);
+            if (!existing || score > existing.score) {
+                taskModels.set(key, { model: rec.model, score });
+            }
+        }
+        for (const [taskType, { model }] of taskModels) {
+            if (!this.data.tuning.modelOverrides[taskType] || this.data.tuning.modelOverrides[taskType] !== model) {
+                this.data.tuning.modelOverrides[taskType] = model;
+                applied.push(`Set model for "${taskType}" tasks to "${model}"`);
+            }
+        }
+        // Strategy tuning: pick the best strategy per task type
+        const taskStrategies = new Map();
+        for (const strat of strategies) {
+            const existing = taskStrategies.get(strat.taskType);
+            if (!existing || strat.successRate > existing.successRate) {
+                taskStrategies.set(strat.taskType, strat);
+            }
+        }
+        for (const [taskType, strat] of taskStrategies) {
+            if (!this.data.tuning.strategyOverrides[taskType] || this.data.tuning.strategyOverrides[taskType] !== strat.strategy) {
+                this.data.tuning.strategyOverrides[taskType] = strat.strategy;
+                applied.push(`Set strategy for "${taskType}" tasks to "${strat.strategy}"`);
+            }
+        }
+        // Prompt variant scoring: mark effective variants higher
+        for (const variant of this.data.tuning.promptVariants) {
+            const relatedRecords = this.data.records.filter(r => r.strategy === variant.variant);
+            if (relatedRecords.length >= 3) {
+                const success = relatedRecords.filter(r => !r.reverted).length / relatedRecords.length;
+                const newScore = Math.round(success * 100);
+                if (newScore !== variant.effectivenessScore) {
+                    variant.effectivenessScore = newScore;
+                    applied.push(`Updated effectiveness score for prompt variant "${variant.variant}" (${variant.persona}) to ${newScore}`);
+                }
+            }
+        }
+        if (applied.length === 0) {
+            applied.push('No tuning changes needed — current configuration is optimal.');
+        }
+        this.saveState();
+        return { applied };
+    }
+    resetTuning() {
+        this.data.tuning = {
+            modelOverrides: {},
+            strategyOverrides: {},
+            promptVariants: [],
+        };
+        this.data.report = undefined;
+        this.saveState();
+    }
+    // ── State access ─────────────────────────────────────────────
+    getState() {
+        return this.data;
+    }
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=self-improvement.js.map

package/dist/src/core/self-improvement.js.map

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package/dist/src/core/simulator.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,28 @@
+import type { SimulationScenario, SimulationResult, SimulationReport } from '../types.js';
+export declare class Simulator {
+    private cwd;
+    private metrics;
+    private results;
+    private report;
+    constructor(cwd: string);
+    /** Run a full simulation suite or a specific scenario */
+    simulate(cwd?: string, scenario?: SimulationScenario): SimulationReport;
+    /** Estimate resource usage at Nx traffic */
+    scaleTest(factor: number): SimulationResult;
+    /** Model dependency failures */
+    chaosTest(scenario: string): SimulationResult;
+    /** Return the latest report */
+    getReport(): SimulationReport | null;
+    private runScenario;
+    private runTrafficReplay;
+    private runScaleScenario;
+    private runChaosScenario;
+    private analyzeTrafficPattern;
+    private predictResources;
+    private modelDependencyFailure;
+    private buildReport;
+    private loadMetrics;
+    private loadReport;
+    private persist;
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=simulator.d.ts.map

package/dist/src/core/simulator.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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