dual-brain 0.2.30 → 0.3.0

package/src/predictive.mjs

@@ -1,250 +0,0 @@
-/** Predictive Dispatch — Layer 3: anticipates failure modes BEFORE dispatching. */
-import { readFileSync, writeFileSync, mkdirSync, existsSync } from 'fs';
-import { join } from 'path';
-
-const DIAG_DIR = join(process.cwd(), '.dualbrain', 'diagnostic');
-const STATE_PATH = join(DIAG_DIR, 'current.json');
-const WEIGHTS_PATH = join(DIAG_DIR, 'pattern-weights.json');
-
-export function loadSessionPatterns() {
-  const empty = { frequencies: [], avgSeverity: 0, precedingTools: {}, timeTrends: [] };
-  if (!existsSync(STATE_PATH)) return empty;
-
-  let state;
-  try { state = JSON.parse(readFileSync(STATE_PATH, 'utf8')); }
-  catch { return empty; }
-
-  const noticings = state.noticings || [];
-  if (!noticings.length) return empty;
-
-  const counts = {};
-  const severityMap = { low: 1, medium: 2, high: 3 };
-  let totalSeverity = 0;
-  for (const n of noticings) {
-    counts[n.type] = (counts[n.type] || 0) + 1;
-    totalSeverity += severityMap[n.severity] || 1;
-  }
-  const frequencies = Object.entries(counts)
-    .map(([type, count]) => ({ type, count }))
-    .sort((a, b) => b.count - a.count);
-
-  const toolCalls = state.toolCalls || [];
-  const precedingTools = {};
-  for (const n of noticings) {
-    const before = toolCalls.filter(tc => tc.ts < n.ts).slice(-3).map(tc => tc.tool);
-    if (!precedingTools[n.type]) precedingTools[n.type] = [];
-    precedingTools[n.type].push(...before);
-  }
-
-  const sessionStart = state.startedAt || noticings[0]?.ts || 0;
-  const sessionEnd = state.lastActivity || noticings[noticings.length - 1]?.ts || Date.now();
-  const duration = sessionEnd - sessionStart || 1;
-  const timeTrends = noticings.map(n => ({
-    type: n.type, position: (n.ts - sessionStart) / duration,
-  }));
-
-  return { frequencies, avgSeverity: totalSeverity / noticings.length, precedingTools, timeTrends };
-}
-
-function loadWeights() {
-  if (!existsSync(WEIGHTS_PATH)) return {};
-  try { return JSON.parse(readFileSync(WEIGHTS_PATH, 'utf8')); }
-  catch { return {}; }
-}
-
-export function predictFailureModes(agentSpec, context = {}) {
-  const predictions = [];
-  const patterns = context.patterns || loadSessionPatterns();
-  const weights = loadWeights();
-  const objective = agentSpec.objective || '';
-  const scope = agentSpec.scope || {};
-  const files = scope.files || [];
-  const tier = agentSpec.tier || '';
-  const priorFailures = context.priorFailures || [];
-  const activeWaves = context.activeWaves || [];
-  const lastReadAge = context.lastReadAge || 0; // ms
-
-  const applyWeight = (mode, base) => {
-    const w = weights[mode];
-    if (!w) return base;
-    // Shift likelihood based on historical accuracy
-    return Math.min(1, Math.max(0, base + (w.accuracy - 0.5) * 0.3));
-  };
-
-  // scope-explosion
-  const multiTarget = files.length > 3 || /\band\b|multiple|several|all/i.test(objective);
-  const priorScopeCreep = patterns.frequencies.some(f => f.type === 'scope-creep' && f.count >= 2);
-  if (multiTarget || priorScopeCreep) {
-    const base = multiTarget && priorScopeCreep ? 0.8 : 0.7;
-    predictions.push({
-      mode: 'scope-explosion',
-      likelihood: applyWeight('scope-explosion', base),
-      basis: multiTarget
-        ? `Objective references ${files.length || 'multiple'} targets`
-        : 'Prior waves encountered scope creep',
-      prevention: `If scope grows beyond ${Math.max(files.length, 3)} files, STOP and report back rather than continuing.`,
-    });
-  }
-
-  // missing-context
-  const noFiles = files.length === 0;
-  const executeWithoutSearch = tier === 'execute' && !(context.priorSearchWave);
-  if (noFiles || executeWithoutSearch) {
-    const base = 0.6;
-    predictions.push({
-      mode: 'missing-context',
-      likelihood: applyWeight('missing-context', base),
-      basis: noFiles
-        ? 'No files specified in scope — agent may waste tokens searching'
-        : 'Execute tier dispatched without prior search wave',
-      prevention: `Read the current state of target files before making changes. If unsure what to modify, list candidates first.`,
-    });
-  }
-
-  // wrong-approach
-  const hasStuckLoop = patterns.frequencies.some(f => f.type === 'stuck-loop' && f.count >= 2);
-  const objectiveFailed = priorFailures.some(f =>
-    f.objective && objective.toLowerCase().includes(f.objective.toLowerCase().slice(0, 20))
-  );
-  if (hasStuckLoop || objectiveFailed) {
-    const base = objectiveFailed ? 0.8 : 0.6;
-    predictions.push({
-      mode: 'wrong-approach',
-      likelihood: applyWeight('wrong-approach', base),
-      basis: objectiveFailed
-        ? 'Prior attempt at this objective failed'
-        : 'Diagnostic shows stuck-loop pattern in session',
-      prevention: `Try a fundamentally different approach than previous attempts. If stuck after 2 tries, report back with what was tried.`,
-    });
-  }
-
-  // blocked-dependency
-  const refsOtherWave = activeWaves.some(w =>
-    objective.toLowerCase().includes(w.output?.toLowerCase()?.slice(0, 20) || '___none')
-  );
-  if (refsOtherWave) {
-    predictions.push({
-      mode: 'blocked-dependency',
-      likelihood: applyWeight('blocked-dependency', 0.5),
-      basis: 'Objective references output from an in-progress wave',
-      prevention: `If blocked by a dependency from another wave, pivot to independent work or report the blocker.`,
-    });
-  }
-
-  // stale-assumption
-  if (lastReadAge > 5 * 60 * 1000 && files.length > 0) {
-    predictions.push({
-      mode: 'stale-assumption',
-      likelihood: applyWeight('stale-assumption', 0.4),
-      basis: `Files in scope were last read ${Math.round(lastReadAge / 60000)}m ago — may have changed`,
-      prevention: `Re-read ${files.slice(0, 3).join(', ')} before assuming current state.`,
-    });
-  }
-
-  return predictions;
-}
-
-export function generatePreventions(predictions) {
-  const actionable = predictions
-    .filter(p => p.likelihood >= 0.4)
-    .sort((a, b) => b.likelihood - a.likelihood)
-    .slice(0, 5);
-
-  if (!actionable.length) return '';
-
-  const lines = actionable.map(p => `- [${p.prevention}]`);
-  return `⚠ Pre-flight awareness:\n${lines.join('\n')}`;
-}
-
-export function scoreDispatchReadiness(agentSpec, wavePlan = {}, predictions = []) {
-  const blockers = [];
-  const warnings = [];
-  let score = 1.0;
-
-  const files = agentSpec.scope?.files || [];
-  const priorSearch = wavePlan.completedSearchWave || false;
-  const hasContext = files.length > 0 || priorSearch;
-
-  // Scope researched?
-  if (!hasContext) {
-    blockers.push('No files in scope and no prior search wave — context unknown');
-    score -= 0.3;
-  }
-
-  // High-likelihood predictions
-  const highRisk = predictions.filter(p => p.likelihood >= 0.7);
-  const medRisk = predictions.filter(p => p.likelihood >= 0.4 && p.likelihood < 0.7);
-
-  for (const p of highRisk) {
-    blockers.push(`High-risk: ${p.mode} (${Math.round(p.likelihood * 100)}%) — ${p.basis}`);
-    score -= 0.25;
-  }
-  for (const p of medRisk) {
-    warnings.push(`${p.mode} (${Math.round(p.likelihood * 100)}%) — ${p.basis}`);
-    score -= 0.1;
-  }
-
-  // Unresolved blockers from prior waves
-  const unresolvedBlockers = wavePlan.unresolvedBlockers || [];
-  for (const b of unresolvedBlockers) {
-    blockers.push(`Unresolved from prior wave: ${b}`);
-    score -= 0.2;
-  }
-
-  score = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, score));
-  const ready = score >= 0.5 && blockers.length === 0;
-
-  let suggestion = '';
-  if (!ready) {
-    if (blockers.some(b => b.includes('context unknown'))) {
-      suggestion = 'Run a search/read wave first to establish context before executing.';
-    } else if (highRisk.length) {
-      suggestion = `Address high-risk predictions: ${highRisk.map(p => p.mode).join(', ')}. Add preventions to prompt or restructure scope.`;
-    } else {
-      suggestion = 'Resolve listed blockers before dispatching.';
-    }
-  }
-
-  return { ready, score, blockers, warnings, suggestion };
-}
-
-export function evolvePatterns(newDebrief, predictions) {
-  const weights = loadWeights();
-
-  for (const pred of predictions) {
-    if (!weights[pred.mode]) {
-      weights[pred.mode] = { correct: 0, incorrect: 0, accuracy: 0.5 };
-    }
-
-    const w = weights[pred.mode];
-    const occurred = debriefContainsPattern(newDebrief, pred.mode);
-
-    if (occurred && pred.likelihood >= 0.4) {
-      w.correct++;
-    } else if (!occurred && pred.likelihood >= 0.4) {
-      w.incorrect++;
-    } else if (occurred && pred.likelihood < 0.4) {
-      // Missed prediction — we should have predicted higher
-      w.incorrect++;
-    }
-
-    const total = w.correct + w.incorrect;
-    w.accuracy = total > 0 ? w.correct / total : 0.5;
-  }
-
-  mkdirSync(DIAG_DIR, { recursive: true });
-  writeFileSync(WEIGHTS_PATH, JSON.stringify(weights, null, 2));
-}
-
-function debriefContainsPattern(debrief, mode) {
-  if (!debrief) return false;
-  const modeMap = {
-    'scope-explosion': ['scope-creep', 'scope_explosion', 'expanded'],
-    'missing-context': ['missing-context', 'no_context', 'searched'],
-    'wrong-approach': ['stuck-loop', 'wrong_approach', 'retry'],
-    'blocked-dependency': ['blocked', 'dependency', 'waiting'],
-    'stale-assumption': ['stale', 'outdated', 'changed'],
-  };
-  const text = JSON.stringify([...(debrief.issues || []), ...(debrief.patterns || [])]).toLowerCase();
-  return (modeMap[mode] || [mode]).some(k => text.includes(k));
-}