causantic 0.2.0 → 0.3.0

package/dist/eval/experiments/edge-decay/run-experiments.d.ts

@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
 /**
  * Main experiment runner for edge decay validation.
+ *
+ * Distance metric: hop distance (turn count difference).
  */
 import type { DecayModelConfig } from './types.js';
 import type { EdgeDecayExperimentResults } from './reference-types.js';
@@ -7,19 +9,21 @@ import { type SessionSource } from './reference-extractor.js';
 export interface ExperimentOptions {
     /** Decay models to evaluate. Defaults to all presets. */
     decayModels?: DecayModelConfig[];
-    /** Whether to run time-offset correlation experiment. */
-    runTimeOffsetCorrelation?: boolean;
+    /** Whether to run hop-distance correlation experiment. */
+    runHopDistanceCorrelation?: boolean;
     /** Whether to run stratified analysis by context distance. */
     runStratifiedAnalysis?: boolean;
     /** Whether to run forward prediction experiment (directional comparison). */
     runDirectionalAnalysis?: boolean;
     /** Verbose output. */
     verbose?: boolean;
+    /** @deprecated Use runHopDistanceCorrelation instead */
+    runTimeOffsetCorrelation?: boolean;
 }
 /**
  * Run the complete edge decay validation experiment.
  */
 export declare function runEdgeDecayExperiments(sessions: SessionSource[], options?: ExperimentOptions): Promise<EdgeDecayExperimentResults>;
 export { extractReferences, computeReferenceStats } from './reference-extractor.js';
-export { compareRetrievalRanking, evaluateTimeOffsetCorrelation } from './retrieval-ranking.js';
+export { compareRetrievalRanking, evaluateHopDistanceCorrelation } from './retrieval-ranking.js';
 //# sourceMappingURL=run-experiments.d.ts.map

package/dist/eval/experiments/edge-decay/run-experiments.d.ts.map

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package/dist/eval/experiments/edge-decay/run-experiments.js

@@ -1,46 +1,51 @@
 /**
  * Main experiment runner for edge decay validation.
+ *
+ * Distance metric: hop distance (turn count difference).
  */
-import { extractReferences, computeReferenceStats } from './reference-extractor.js';
-import { compareRetrievalRanking, compareForwardPrediction, evaluateTimeOffsetCorrelation, formatRetrievalRankingTable, formatTimeOffsetTable, formatDirectionalComparison, filterLongRangeReferences, } from './retrieval-ranking.js';
+import { extractReferences, computeReferenceStats, } from './reference-extractor.js';
+import { compareRetrievalRanking, evaluateForwardPrediction, evaluateHopDistanceCorrelation, formatRetrievalRankingTable, formatHopDistanceTable, formatDirectionalComparison, filterLongRangeReferences, } from './retrieval-ranking.js';
 import { PRESET_MODELS } from './presets.js';
-import { MS_PER_MINUTE } from './types.js';
 /**
  * Stratified analysis configurations.
- * Each simulates a different "context window" size that Claude has available.
+ *
+ * Chunks are ingested at compaction, not continuously. The query ingress
+ * on the causal graph is the last compaction point — NOT the current turn.
+ * So we can't assume Claude's context window covers recent turns.
+ * These strata test how decay models perform at different hop distances.
  */
 const STRATIFICATION_CONFIGS = [
     {
         name: 'All References',
-        description: 'Baseline: all detected references',
+        description: 'Baseline: all detected references at any distance',
         filter: {},
     },
     {
-        name: 'Beyond Immediate (>1 turn)',
-        description: 'Exclude immediately previous turn',
+        name: 'Non-Adjacent (>1 hop)',
+        description: 'Exclude weak adjacent references',
         filter: { minTurnDistance: 2, excludeAdjacent: true },
     },
     {
-        name: 'Beyond Recent (>3 turns)',
-        description: 'Simulate 3-turn context window',
+        name: 'Mid-Range (>3 hops)',
+        description: 'References 4+ hops back',
         filter: { minTurnDistance: 4, excludeAdjacent: true },
     },
     {
-        name: 'Beyond Session (>30 min)',
-        description: 'Simulate session-level context boundary',
-        filter: { minTimeGapMs: 30 * MS_PER_MINUTE, excludeAdjacent: true },
+        name: 'Long-Range (>5 hops, high conf)',
+        description: 'High confidence references 6+ hops back',
+        filter: { minTurnDistance: 6, excludeAdjacent: true, highConfidenceOnly: true },
     },
     {
-        name: 'Long-Range (>5 turns, high conf)',
-        description: 'High confidence references to distant turns',
-        filter: { minTurnDistance: 6, excludeAdjacent: true, highConfidenceOnly: true },
+        name: 'Very Long-Range (>10 hops)',
+        description: 'References 11+ hops back',
+        filter: { minTurnDistance: 11, excludeAdjacent: true },
     },
 ];
 /**
  * Run the complete edge decay validation experiment.
  */
 export async function runEdgeDecayExperiments(sessions, options = {}) {
-    const { decayModels = PRESET_MODELS, runTimeOffsetCorrelation = true, verbose = true, } = options;
+    const { decayModels = PRESET_MODELS, runHopDistanceCorrelation = options.runTimeOffsetCorrelation ?? true, verbose = true, } = options;
     if (verbose) {
         console.log('\n--- Extracting turn-to-turn references ---');
     }
@@ -63,7 +68,7 @@ export async function runEdgeDecayExperiments(sessions, options = {}) {
         }
     }
     if (verbose) {
-        console.log('\n--- Running retrieval ranking experiment ---');
+        console.log('\n--- Running retrieval ranking experiment (hop-based) ---');
     }
     // Run backward retrieval ranking
     if (verbose) {
@@ -73,42 +78,56 @@ export async function runEdgeDecayExperiments(sessions, options = {}) {
     if (verbose) {
         console.log('\n' + formatRetrievalRankingTable(retrievalResults));
     }
-    // Run forward prediction experiment
+    // Run forward prediction experiment at multiple hop-distance strata
     let forwardResults;
     if (options.runDirectionalAnalysis !== false) {
+        const forwardStrata = [
+            { label: 'All (>=1 hop)', minHops: 1 },
+            { label: 'Non-Adjacent (>=2 hops)', minHops: 2 },
+            { label: 'Mid-Range (>=4 hops)', minHops: 4 },
+            { label: 'Long-Range (>=6 hops)', minHops: 6 },
+        ];
         if (verbose) {
-            console.log('\n--- Running forward prediction experiment ---');
+            console.log('\n' + '='.repeat(90));
+            console.log('  FORWARD PREDICTION (hop-based, stratified)');
             console.log('  (Forward: Given current turn, which future turns will reference it?)');
+            console.log('='.repeat(90));
         }
-        forwardResults = compareForwardPrediction(sessionRefs, decayModels, verbose);
-        if (verbose) {
-            // Show forward results table
-            const lines = [];
-            lines.push('\n' + '='.repeat(90));
-            lines.push('  FORWARD PREDICTION (Mean Reciprocal Rank)');
-            lines.push('='.repeat(90));
-            const sorted = [...forwardResults].sort((a, b) => b.mrr - a.mrr);
-            lines.push('Model                     | MRR        | Queries    | Rank@1');
-            lines.push('-'.repeat(60));
-            for (const r of sorted) {
-                const pct = r.queryCount > 0 ? ((r.rankDistribution.rank1 / r.queryCount) * 100).toFixed(0) : '0';
-                lines.push(`${r.modelName.padEnd(25)} | ${r.mrr.toFixed(3).padEnd(10)} | ${r.queryCount.toString().padEnd(10)} | ${r.rankDistribution.rank1} (${pct}%)`);
+        for (const stratum of forwardStrata) {
+            const stratumResults = [];
+            for (const model of decayModels) {
+                const result = evaluateForwardPrediction(sessionRefs, model, stratum.minHops);
+                stratumResults.push(result);
+            }
+            // Use the first stratum as the main forward results for directional comparison
+            if (stratum.minHops === 1) {
+                forwardResults = stratumResults;
+            }
+            if (verbose) {
+                const sorted = [...stratumResults].sort((a, b) => b.mrr - a.mrr);
+                const totalQueries = sorted[0]?.queryCount ?? 0;
+                console.log(`\n--- ${stratum.label} (${totalQueries} queries) ---`);
+                console.log('  Model                     | MRR    | Rank@1');
+                console.log('  ' + '-'.repeat(50));
+                for (const r of sorted.slice(0, 5)) {
+                    const pct = r.queryCount > 0 ? ((r.rankDistribution.rank1 / r.queryCount) * 100).toFixed(0) : '0';
+                    console.log(`  ${r.modelName.padEnd(25)} | ${r.mrr.toFixed(3)}  | ${r.rankDistribution.rank1} (${pct}%)`);
+                }
             }
-            lines.push('='.repeat(90));
-            console.log(lines.join('\n'));
-            // Show directional comparison
+        }
+        if (verbose && forwardResults) {
             console.log('\n' + formatDirectionalComparison(retrievalResults, forwardResults));
         }
     }
-    // Run time-offset correlation
-    let timeOffsetResult;
-    if (runTimeOffsetCorrelation) {
+    // Run hop-distance correlation
+    let hopDistanceResult;
+    if (runHopDistanceCorrelation) {
         if (verbose) {
-            console.log('\n--- Running time-offset correlation experiment ---');
+            console.log('\n--- Running hop-distance correlation experiment ---');
         }
-        timeOffsetResult = evaluateTimeOffsetCorrelation(sessionRefs, decayModels);
+        hopDistanceResult = evaluateHopDistanceCorrelation(sessionRefs, decayModels);
         if (verbose) {
-            console.log('\n' + formatTimeOffsetTable(timeOffsetResult, decayModels));
+            console.log('\n' + formatHopDistanceTable(hopDistanceResult, decayModels));
         }
     }
     // Run stratified analysis
@@ -116,8 +135,8 @@ export async function runEdgeDecayExperiments(sessions, options = {}) {
     if (options.runStratifiedAnalysis !== false) {
         if (verbose) {
             console.log('\n' + '='.repeat(90));
-            console.log('  STRATIFIED ANALYSIS: Long-Range Retrieval');
-            console.log('  (Simulating what memory system needs to retrieve beyond Claude\'s context)');
+            console.log('  STRATIFIED ANALYSIS: Long-Range Retrieval (hop-based)');
+            console.log("  (Simulating what memory system needs to retrieve beyond Claude's context)");
             console.log('='.repeat(90));
         }
         for (const config of STRATIFICATION_CONFIGS) {
@@ -157,7 +176,7 @@ export async function runEdgeDecayExperiments(sessions, options = {}) {
         turnCount: stats.totalTurns,
         referenceCount: stats.totalReferences,
         retrievalRanking: retrievalResults,
-        timeOffsetCorrelation: timeOffsetResult,
+        hopDistanceCorrelation: hopDistanceResult,
     };
     // Print recommendations
     if (verbose) {
@@ -175,8 +194,8 @@ export async function runEdgeDecayExperiments(sessions, options = {}) {
             console.log(`  Best model by Rank@1: ${bestRank1.modelName} (${bestRank1.rankDistribution.rank1} queries)`);
         }
         // Check if multi-linear outperforms exponential
-        const multiLinear = retrievalResults.find(r => r.modelId === 'multi-linear-default');
-        const exponential = retrievalResults.find(r => r.modelId === 'exponential');
+        const multiLinear = retrievalResults.find((r) => r.modelId === 'multi-linear-default');
+        const exponential = retrievalResults.find((r) => r.modelId === 'exponential');
         if (multiLinear && exponential) {
             const diff = multiLinear.mrr - exponential.mrr;
             if (diff > 0.01) {
@@ -190,8 +209,8 @@ export async function runEdgeDecayExperiments(sessions, options = {}) {
             }
         }
         // Correlation insights
-        if (timeOffsetResult) {
-            const corrs = Object.entries(timeOffsetResult.correlations)
+        if (hopDistanceResult) {
+            const corrs = Object.entries(hopDistanceResult.correlations)
                 .map(([id, corr]) => ({ id, corr }))
                 .sort((a, b) => b.corr - a.corr);
             console.log(`  Best correlation with reference rate: ${corrs[0].id} (ρ=${corrs[0].corr.toFixed(3)})`);
@@ -200,14 +219,14 @@ export async function runEdgeDecayExperiments(sessions, options = {}) {
         if (Object.keys(stratifiedResults).length > 0) {
             console.log('\n  Long-range retrieval insights:');
             // Find best model for long-range
-            const longRangeKey = 'Beyond Recent (>3 turns)';
+            const longRangeKey = 'Beyond Recent (>3 hops)';
             const longRangeResults = stratifiedResults[longRangeKey];
             if (longRangeResults && longRangeResults.length > 0) {
                 const sorted = [...longRangeResults].sort((a, b) => b.mrr - a.mrr);
                 console.log(`  Best model for ${longRangeKey}: ${sorted[0].modelName} (MRR=${sorted[0].mrr.toFixed(3)})`);
                 // Compare multi-linear vs exponential for long-range
-                const ml = longRangeResults.find(r => r.modelId === 'multi-linear-default');
-                const exp = longRangeResults.find(r => r.modelId === 'exponential');
+                const ml = longRangeResults.find((r) => r.modelId === 'multi-linear-default');
+                const exp = longRangeResults.find((r) => r.modelId === 'exponential');
                 if (ml && exp) {
                     const diff = ml.mrr - exp.mrr;
                     if (Math.abs(diff) > 0.01) {
@@ -225,5 +244,5 @@ export async function runEdgeDecayExperiments(sessions, options = {}) {
     return results;
 }
 export { extractReferences, computeReferenceStats } from './reference-extractor.js';
-export { compareRetrievalRanking, evaluateTimeOffsetCorrelation } from './retrieval-ranking.js';
+export { compareRetrievalRanking, evaluateHopDistanceCorrelation } from './retrieval-ranking.js';
 //# sourceMappingURL=run-experiments.js.map

package/dist/eval/experiments/edge-decay/run-experiments.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/eval/experiments/edge-decay/simulate.d.ts

@@ -25,7 +25,7 @@ export declare function exportCurvesCSV(comparison: DecayModelComparison): strin
 /**
  * Find the time at which a model reaches a specific weight threshold.
  */
-export declare function findTimeAtWeight(config: DecayModelConfig, targetWeight: number, maxSearchMs?: number, tolerance?: number): number | null;
+export declare function findTimeAtWeight(config: DecayModelConfig, targetWeight: number, maxSearchMs?: number, _tolerance?: number): number | null;
 /**
  * Generate milestones table (time to reach various weight thresholds).
  */

package/dist/eval/experiments/edge-decay/simulate.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/eval/experiments/edge-decay/simulate.js

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@
  * Decay curve simulation and comparison.
  */
 import { formatTime, MS_PER_HOUR, MS_PER_DAY } from './types.js';
-import { calculateWeight, calculateDeathTime, peakWeight } from './decay-curves.js';
+import { calculateWeight, calculateDeathDistance, peakWeight } from './decay-curves.js';
 /**
  * Default simulation parameters.
  */
@@ -52,7 +52,7 @@ export function simulateModel(config, params = DEFAULT_SIMULATION_PARAMS) {
     return {
         config,
         points,
-        deathTimeMs: calculateDeathTime(config),
+        deathTimeMs: calculateDeathDistance(config),
         peakWeight: peakWeight(config),
         weightAt1Hour: calculateWeight(config, MS_PER_HOUR),
         weightAt24Hours: calculateWeight(config, 24 * MS_PER_HOUR),
@@ -93,9 +93,7 @@ export function generateComparisonTable(comparison) {
     lines.push('-'.repeat(100));
     // Rows
     for (const curve of comparison.curves) {
-        const deathStr = curve.deathTimeMs !== null
-            ? formatTime(curve.deathTimeMs)
-            : 'asymptotic';
+        const deathStr = curve.deathTimeMs !== null ? formatTime(curve.deathTimeMs) : 'asymptotic';
         const row = [
             pad(curve.config.name, 25),
             pad(curve.peakWeight.toFixed(3), 8),
@@ -134,7 +132,7 @@ export function exportCurvesCSV(comparison) {
 /**
  * Find the time at which a model reaches a specific weight threshold.
  */
-export function findTimeAtWeight(config, targetWeight, maxSearchMs = 30 * MS_PER_DAY, tolerance = 0.001) {
+export function findTimeAtWeight(config, targetWeight, maxSearchMs = 30 * MS_PER_DAY, _tolerance = 0.001) {
     // Binary search for the time
     let low = 0;
     let high = maxSearchMs;
@@ -168,10 +166,7 @@ export function generateMilestonesTable(configs) {
     lines.push('  TIME TO REACH WEIGHT THRESHOLDS');
     lines.push('='.repeat(90));
     // Header
-    const header = [
-        pad('Model', 25),
-        ...thresholds.map((t) => pad(`w=${t}`, 10)),
-    ];
+    const header = [pad('Model', 25), ...thresholds.map((t) => pad(`w=${t}`, 10))];
     lines.push(header.join(' | '));
     lines.push('-'.repeat(90));
     // Rows
@@ -182,10 +177,7 @@ export function generateMilestonesTable(configs) {
             const time = findTimeAtWeight(config, targetWeight);
             return time !== null ? formatTime(time) : 'never';
         });
-        const row = [
-            pad(config.name, 25),
-            ...times.map((t) => pad(t, 10)),
-        ];
+        const row = [pad(config.name, 25), ...times.map((t) => pad(t, 10))];
         lines.push(row.join(' | '));
     }
     lines.push('='.repeat(90));
@@ -219,11 +211,7 @@ export function generateAUCTable(comparison) {
     const maxAuc = Math.max(...aucs.map((a) => a.auc));
     for (const { name, auc } of aucs) {
         const relative = (auc / maxAuc) * 100;
-        const row = [
-            pad(name, 30),
-            pad(formatTime(auc), 15),
-            pad(`${relative.toFixed(1)}%`, 15),
-        ];
+        const row = [pad(name, 30), pad(formatTime(auc), 15), pad(`${relative.toFixed(1)}%`, 15)];
         lines.push(row.join(' | '));
     }
     lines.push('='.repeat(60));

package/dist/eval/experiments/edge-decay/simulate.js.map

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package/dist/eval/experiments/hdbscan-sweep.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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+{"version":3,"file":"hdbscan-sweep.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../../src/eval/experiments/hdbscan-sweep.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAAA;;;;;;;GAOG;AAIH,OAAO,KAAK,EAAE,KAAK,EAAE,MAAM,uBAAuB,CAAC;AACnD,OAAO,KAAK,EAAE,WAAW,EAAE,MAAM,yBAAyB,CAAC;AAC3D,OAAO,EAAkB,KAAK,iBAAiB,EAAE,MAAM,uBAAuB,CAAC;AAC/E,OAAO,KAAK,EAAE,WAAW,EAAY,MAAM,YAAY,CAAC;AAKxD;;;;GAIG;AACH,wBAAsB,eAAe,CACnC,MAAM,EAAE,KAAK,EAAE,EACf,KAAK,EAAE,WAAW,EAAE,EACpB,cAAc,CAAC,EAAE,iBAAiB,GACjC,OAAO,CAAC,WAAW,CAAC,CA0DtB"}

package/dist/eval/experiments/hdbscan-sweep.js

@@ -34,11 +34,7 @@ export async function runHdbscanSweep(chunks, pairs, baselineResult) {
     // Sweep
     const rows = [];
     console.log('');
-    console.log('  ' +
-        pad('minSize', 8) +
-        pad('Clusters', 10) +
-        pad('Noise%', 10) +
-        pad('Silhouette', 12));
+    console.log('  ' + pad('minSize', 8) + pad('Clusters', 10) + pad('Noise%', 10) + pad('Silhouette', 12));
     console.log('  ' + '-'.repeat(40));
     for (const minClusterSize of MIN_CLUSTER_SIZES) {
         const clusterResult = clusterEmbeddings(embeddingArray, { minClusterSize });
@@ -57,7 +53,7 @@ export async function runHdbscanSweep(chunks, pairs, baselineResult) {
             pad(silhouette.toFixed(3), 12));
     }
     // Find optimal
-    const best = rows.reduce((a, b) => b.silhouetteScore > a.silhouetteScore ? b : a);
+    const best = rows.reduce((a, b) => (b.silhouetteScore > a.silhouetteScore ? b : a));
     console.log(`\n  Best silhouette: minClusterSize=${best.minClusterSize} (silhouette=${best.silhouetteScore.toFixed(3)})`);
     return {
         name: 'hdbscan-sweep',

package/dist/eval/experiments/hdbscan-sweep.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/eval/experiments/single-model-run.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/eval/experiments/single-model-run.js

@@ -6,9 +6,9 @@
  */
 import { Embedder } from '../../models/embedder.js';
 import { getModel } from '../../models/model-registry.js';
-import { clusterEmbeddings, getClusterMembership } from '../cluster-evaluator.js';
+import { clusterEmbeddings, getClusterMembership, } from '../cluster-evaluator.js';
 import { evaluateCodeNLAlignment } from '../code-nl-alignment.js';
-import { scorePairs, rocAuc, silhouetteScore, } from '../metrics.js';
+import { scorePairs, rocAuc, silhouetteScore } from '../metrics.js';
 /**
  * Embed chunks with a model, score pairs, and cluster.
  *

package/dist/eval/experiments/single-model-run.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/eval/experiments/thinking-ablation.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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+{"version":3,"file":"thinking-ablation.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../../src/eval/experiments/thinking-ablation.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAAA;;;;;;;;GAQG;AAEH,OAAO,KAAK,EAAE,WAAW,EAAE,MAAM,yBAAyB,CAAC;AAC3D,OAAO,KAAK,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,sBAAsB,CAAC;AAGnD,OAAO,EAA8B,KAAK,iBAAiB,EAAE,MAAM,uBAAuB,CAAC;AAC3F,OAAO,EAAgB,KAAK,gBAAgB,EAAE,MAAM,YAAY,CAAC;AAIjE;;;;;GAKG;AACH,wBAAsB,mBAAmB,CACvC,cAAc,EAAE,MAAM,EACtB,aAAa,EAAE,WAAW,EAAE,EAC5B,cAAc,CAAC,EAAE,iBAAiB,GACjC,OAAO,CAAC,gBAAgB,CAAC,CA8D3B"}

package/dist/eval/experiments/thinking-ablation.js

@@ -9,7 +9,7 @@
  */
 import { buildCorpus } from '../corpus-builder.js';
 import { generateLabeledPairs } from '../annotation-schema.js';
-import { singleModelRun, toSnapshot, } from './single-model-run.js';
+import { singleModelRun, toSnapshot } from './single-model-run.js';
 import { computeDelta } from './types.js';
 const MODEL_ID = 'jina-small';
 /**

package/dist/eval/experiments/thinking-ablation.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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