agentdb 1.6.0 → 2.0.0-alpha.1

package/src/cli/lib/history-tracker.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,497 @@
+/**
+ * History Tracker
+ *
+ * Tracks performance trends, detects regressions, and prepares
+ * visualization data for simulation history.
+ */
+
+import { ReportStore, TrendData, Regression } from './report-store';
+import { SimulationResult } from './simulation-registry';
+
+// ============================================================================
+// Types
+// ============================================================================
+
+export interface PerformanceTrend {
+  metric: string;
+  scenario: string;
+  dataPoints: Array<{
+    timestamp: Date;
+    value: number;
+    runId: number;
+  }>;
+  statistics: {
+    mean: number;
+    median: number;
+    min: number;
+    max: number;
+    stdDev: number;
+  };
+  trend: 'improving' | 'degrading' | 'stable';
+  slope?: number;
+  rSquared?: number; // Goodness of fit
+}
+
+export interface VisualizationData {
+  type: 'line' | 'bar' | 'scatter';
+  labels: string[];
+  datasets: Array<{
+    label: string;
+    data: number[];
+    backgroundColor?: string;
+    borderColor?: string;
+  }>;
+}
+
+export interface RegressionAlert {
+  severity: 'minor' | 'major' | 'critical';
+  metric: string;
+  scenario: string;
+  message: string;
+  degradation: number;
+  baseline: number;
+  current: number;
+  timestamp: Date;
+}
+
+// ============================================================================
+// History Tracker
+// ============================================================================
+
+export class HistoryTracker {
+  private store: ReportStore;
+
+  constructor(store: ReportStore) {
+    this.store = store;
+  }
+
+  // --------------------------------------------------------------------------
+  // Trend Analysis
+  // --------------------------------------------------------------------------
+
+  /**
+   * Get performance trend for a specific metric and scenario.
+   */
+  async getPerformanceTrend(
+    scenarioId: string,
+    metric: string
+  ): Promise<PerformanceTrend> {
+    const trendData = await this.store.getTrends(scenarioId, metric);
+
+    const values = trendData.points.map(p => p.value);
+    const statistics = this.calculateStatistics(values);
+
+    // Calculate R-squared for trend line
+    const rSquared = this.calculateRSquared(trendData.points);
+
+    return {
+      metric,
+      scenario: scenarioId,
+      dataPoints: trendData.points,
+      statistics,
+      trend: trendData.trend,
+      slope: trendData.slope,
+      rSquared
+    };
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Get all performance trends for a scenario.
+   */
+  async getAllTrends(scenarioId: string): Promise<PerformanceTrend[]> {
+    // Get a sample run to discover metrics
+    const runs = await this.store.findByScenario(scenarioId);
+
+    if (runs.length === 0) {
+      return [];
+    }
+
+    const metricNames = Object.keys(runs[0].metrics);
+    const trends: PerformanceTrend[] = [];
+
+    for (const metric of metricNames) {
+      const trend = await this.getPerformanceTrend(scenarioId, metric);
+      trends.push(trend);
+    }
+
+    return trends;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Calculate statistical measures.
+   */
+  private calculateStatistics(values: number[]): PerformanceTrend['statistics'] {
+    const sorted = [...values].sort((a, b) => a - b);
+    const n = values.length;
+
+    const mean = values.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / n;
+    const median = n % 2 === 0
+      ? (sorted[n / 2 - 1] + sorted[n / 2]) / 2
+      : sorted[Math.floor(n / 2)];
+    const min = Math.min(...values);
+    const max = Math.max(...values);
+
+    // Standard deviation
+    const variance = values.reduce((sum, v) => sum + Math.pow(v - mean, 2), 0) / n;
+    const stdDev = Math.sqrt(variance);
+
+    return { mean, median, min, max, stdDev };
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Calculate R-squared (coefficient of determination) for trend line.
+   */
+  private calculateRSquared(
+    points: Array<{ timestamp: Date; value: number }>
+  ): number {
+    const n = points.length;
+    if (n < 2) return 0;
+
+    const x = points.map((_, i) => i); // Use index as x
+    const y = points.map(p => p.value);
+
+    // Calculate means
+    const meanX = x.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / n;
+    const meanY = y.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / n;
+
+    // Calculate regression line coefficients
+    const numerator = x.reduce((sum, xi, i) => sum + (xi - meanX) * (y[i] - meanY), 0);
+    const denominator = x.reduce((sum, xi) => sum + Math.pow(xi - meanX, 2), 0);
+    const slope = numerator / denominator;
+    const intercept = meanY - slope * meanX;
+
+    // Calculate R-squared
+    const ssTotal = y.reduce((sum, yi) => sum + Math.pow(yi - meanY, 2), 0);
+    const ssResidual = y.reduce((sum, yi, i) => {
+      const predicted = slope * x[i] + intercept;
+      return sum + Math.pow(yi - predicted, 2);
+    }, 0);
+
+    return 1 - (ssResidual / ssTotal);
+  }
+
+  // --------------------------------------------------------------------------
+  // Regression Detection
+  // --------------------------------------------------------------------------
+
+  /**
+   * Detect regressions using moving average baseline.
+   */
+  async detectRegressions(
+    scenarioId: string,
+    windowSize: number = 5,
+    threshold: number = 0.1
+  ): Promise<RegressionAlert[]> {
+    const runs = await this.store.findByScenario(scenarioId);
+
+    if (runs.length < windowSize + 2) {
+      return []; // Not enough data
+    }
+
+    const alerts: RegressionAlert[] = [];
+    const metricNames = Object.keys(runs[0].metrics);
+
+    for (const metric of metricNames) {
+      const values = runs.map(r => r.metrics[metric] || 0);
+
+      // Calculate baseline (moving average of first windowSize points)
+      const baseline = values.slice(0, windowSize)
+        .reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / windowSize;
+
+      // Check recent runs (last 2)
+      const recentRuns = runs.slice(-2);
+
+      for (const run of recentRuns) {
+        const current = run.metrics[metric] || 0;
+        const degradation = (baseline - current) / baseline;
+
+        if (degradation > threshold) {
+          alerts.push({
+            severity: this.getSeverity(degradation),
+            metric,
+            scenario: scenarioId,
+            message: `Performance degraded by ${(degradation * 100).toFixed(1)}% for ${metric}`,
+            degradation,
+            baseline,
+            current,
+            timestamp: run.timestamp
+          });
+        }
+      }
+    }
+
+    return alerts;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Compare current run against baseline.
+   */
+  async compareToBaseline(
+    scenarioId: string,
+    currentRunId: number,
+    baselineRunId?: number
+  ): Promise<{
+    metric: string;
+    baseline: number;
+    current: number;
+    change: number;
+    changePercent: number;
+    improved: boolean;
+  }[]> {
+    const currentRun = await this.store.get(currentRunId);
+
+    if (!currentRun) {
+      throw new Error(`Run ${currentRunId} not found`);
+    }
+
+    let baseline: SimulationResult;
+
+    if (baselineRunId) {
+      const baselineRun = await this.store.get(baselineRunId);
+      if (!baselineRun) {
+        throw new Error(`Baseline run ${baselineRunId} not found`);
+      }
+      baseline = baselineRun;
+    } else {
+      // Use average of last 5 runs as baseline
+      const runs = await this.store.findByScenario(scenarioId);
+      const recentRuns = runs.slice(-6, -1); // Exclude current run
+
+      if (recentRuns.length === 0) {
+        throw new Error('No baseline runs available');
+      }
+
+      // Calculate average metrics
+      const avgMetrics: Record<string, number> = {};
+      const metricNames = Object.keys(currentRun.metrics);
+
+      for (const metric of metricNames) {
+        const values = recentRuns.map(r => r.metrics[metric] || 0);
+        avgMetrics[metric] = values.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / values.length;
+      }
+
+      baseline = {
+        ...currentRun,
+        metrics: avgMetrics
+      };
+    }
+
+    // Compare metrics
+    const comparisons: any[] = [];
+
+    for (const metric of Object.keys(currentRun.metrics)) {
+      const baselineValue = baseline.metrics[metric] || 0;
+      const currentValue = currentRun.metrics[metric] || 0;
+      const change = currentValue - baselineValue;
+      const changePercent = baselineValue !== 0
+        ? (change / baselineValue) * 100
+        : 0;
+
+      comparisons.push({
+        metric,
+        baseline: baselineValue,
+        current: currentValue,
+        change,
+        changePercent,
+        improved: change > 0 // Assume higher is better
+      });
+    }
+
+    return comparisons;
+  }
+
+  private getSeverity(degradation: number): 'minor' | 'major' | 'critical' {
+    if (degradation > 0.3) return 'critical';
+    if (degradation > 0.15) return 'major';
+    return 'minor';
+  }
+
+  // --------------------------------------------------------------------------
+  // Visualization Data
+  // --------------------------------------------------------------------------
+
+  /**
+   * Prepare data for Chart.js line chart.
+   */
+  async prepareLineChart(
+    scenarioId: string,
+    metrics: string[]
+  ): Promise<VisualizationData> {
+    const runs = await this.store.findByScenario(scenarioId);
+
+    const labels = runs.map(r => r.timestamp.toLocaleDateString());
+    const datasets: any[] = [];
+
+    const colors = [
+      '#FF6384', '#36A2EB', '#FFCE56', '#4BC0C0',
+      '#9966FF', '#FF9F40', '#FF6384', '#C9CBCF'
+    ];
+
+    for (let i = 0; i < metrics.length; i++) {
+      const metric = metrics[i];
+      const data = runs.map(r => r.metrics[metric] || 0);
+
+      datasets.push({
+        label: metric,
+        data,
+        borderColor: colors[i % colors.length],
+        backgroundColor: colors[i % colors.length] + '33' // 20% opacity
+      });
+    }
+
+    return {
+      type: 'line',
+      labels,
+      datasets
+    };
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Prepare data for comparison bar chart.
+   */
+  async prepareComparisonChart(runIds: number[]): Promise<VisualizationData> {
+    const runs: SimulationResult[] = [];
+
+    for (const id of runIds) {
+      const run = await this.store.get(id);
+      if (run) runs.push(run);
+    }
+
+    if (runs.length === 0) {
+      throw new Error('No valid runs for comparison');
+    }
+
+    // Collect all metrics
+    const allMetrics = new Set<string>();
+    for (const run of runs) {
+      Object.keys(run.metrics).forEach(m => allMetrics.add(m));
+    }
+
+    const labels = Array.from(allMetrics);
+    const datasets: any[] = [];
+
+    const colors = [
+      '#FF6384', '#36A2EB', '#FFCE56', '#4BC0C0',
+      '#9966FF', '#FF9F40'
+    ];
+
+    for (let i = 0; i < runs.length; i++) {
+      const run = runs[i];
+      const data = labels.map(metric => run.metrics[metric] || 0);
+
+      datasets.push({
+        label: `Run ${run.id}`,
+        data,
+        backgroundColor: colors[i % colors.length]
+      });
+    }
+
+    return {
+      type: 'bar',
+      labels,
+      datasets
+    };
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Prepare scatter plot for correlation analysis.
+   */
+  async prepareScatterPlot(
+    scenarioId: string,
+    xMetric: string,
+    yMetric: string
+  ): Promise<VisualizationData> {
+    const runs = await this.store.findByScenario(scenarioId);
+
+    const data = runs.map(r => ({
+      x: r.metrics[xMetric] || 0,
+      y: r.metrics[yMetric] || 0
+    }));
+
+    return {
+      type: 'scatter',
+      labels: [],
+      datasets: [{
+        label: `${xMetric} vs ${yMetric}`,
+        data: data as any,
+        backgroundColor: '#36A2EB'
+      }]
+    };
+  }
+
+  // --------------------------------------------------------------------------
+  // Reports
+  // --------------------------------------------------------------------------
+
+  /**
+   * Generate comprehensive trend report.
+   */
+  async generateTrendReport(scenarioId: string): Promise<string> {
+    const trends = await this.getAllTrends(scenarioId);
+    const regressions = await this.detectRegressions(scenarioId);
+
+    let report = `# Performance Trend Report: ${scenarioId}\n\n`;
+    report += `**Generated**: ${new Date().toLocaleString()}\n\n`;
+
+    report += `## Summary\n\n`;
+    report += `- **Total Metrics**: ${trends.length}\n`;
+    report += `- **Improving**: ${trends.filter(t => t.trend === 'improving').length}\n`;
+    report += `- **Degrading**: ${trends.filter(t => t.trend === 'degrading').length}\n`;
+    report += `- **Stable**: ${trends.filter(t => t.trend === 'stable').length}\n`;
+    report += `- **Regressions Detected**: ${regressions.length}\n\n`;
+
+    if (regressions.length > 0) {
+      report += `## ⚠️ Regressions\n\n`;
+
+      for (const regression of regressions) {
+        const icon = regression.severity === 'critical' ? '🔴' :
+                     regression.severity === 'major' ? '🟠' : '🟡';
+
+        report += `${icon} **${regression.metric}** (${regression.severity})\n`;
+        report += `- Degradation: ${(regression.degradation * 100).toFixed(1)}%\n`;
+        report += `- Baseline: ${regression.baseline.toFixed(2)}\n`;
+        report += `- Current: ${regression.current.toFixed(2)}\n`;
+        report += `- Detected: ${regression.timestamp.toLocaleString()}\n\n`;
+      }
+    }
+
+    report += `## Detailed Trends\n\n`;
+
+    for (const trend of trends) {
+      const trendIcon = trend.trend === 'improving' ? '📈' :
+                        trend.trend === 'degrading' ? '📉' : '➡️';
+
+      report += `### ${trendIcon} ${trend.metric}\n\n`;
+      report += `- **Trend**: ${trend.trend}\n`;
+      report += `- **Data Points**: ${trend.dataPoints.length}\n`;
+      report += `- **Mean**: ${trend.statistics.mean.toFixed(2)}\n`;
+      report += `- **Median**: ${trend.statistics.median.toFixed(2)}\n`;
+      report += `- **Min**: ${trend.statistics.min.toFixed(2)}\n`;
+      report += `- **Max**: ${trend.statistics.max.toFixed(2)}\n`;
+      report += `- **Std Dev**: ${trend.statistics.stdDev.toFixed(2)}\n`;
+
+      if (trend.slope !== undefined) {
+        report += `- **Slope**: ${trend.slope.toFixed(4)}\n`;
+      }
+
+      if (trend.rSquared !== undefined) {
+        report += `- **R²**: ${trend.rSquared.toFixed(4)}\n`;
+      }
+
+      report += '\n';
+    }
+
+    return report;
+  }
+}
+
+// ============================================================================
+// Factory
+// ============================================================================
+
+/**
+ * Create history tracker instance.
+ */
+export function createHistoryTracker(store: ReportStore): HistoryTracker {
+  return new HistoryTracker(store);
+}