@v587d/capital-generation 2.7.10 → 2.7.12

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (93) hide show
  1. package/CHANGELOG.md +68 -0
  2. package/README.md +3 -2
  3. package/chart-ui/package.json +1 -1
  4. package/{capital-config → config}/client.js +2 -2
  5. package/{capital-config → config}/client.src.cjs +2 -2
  6. package/{capital-config → config}/package.json +2 -2
  7. package/cordis.patch.yml +7 -3
  8. package/lib/index.d.ts +1 -1
  9. package/lib/index.js +2 -2
  10. package/lib/sources/fuyao-core.d.ts +1 -1
  11. package/lib/sources/fuyao-core.js +1 -1
  12. package/lib/sources/tencent-public-core.js +1 -1
  13. package/lib/web-retriever/local-fetch.d.ts +1 -1
  14. package/lib/web-retriever/local-fetch.js +1 -1
  15. package/lib/web-retriever/wind-client.d.ts +1 -1
  16. package/lib/web-retriever/wind-client.js +1 -1
  17. package/package.json +5 -5
  18. package/preset/capital-generation/agent.patch.yml +6 -3
  19. package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-data-profile/SKILL.md +177 -0
  20. package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-data-protocol/SKILL.md +11 -269
  21. package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-data-query/SKILL.md +109 -0
  22. package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-equity-research/SKILL.md +2 -2
  23. package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-orchestration/SKILL.md +3 -2
  24. package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-web-evidence/SKILL.md +134 -0
  25. package/preset/capital-generation/skills/capital-web-protocol/SKILL.md +10 -130
  26. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/UPSTREAM.md +1 -0
  27. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/bear-case/SKILL.md +11 -152
  28. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/bear-case/references/10-analysis-framework.md +75 -0
  29. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/bear-case/references/11-output-and-signal.md +51 -0
  30. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/bear-case/references/12-thesis-invalidation.md +44 -0
  31. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/stock-screener/SKILL.md +11 -177
  32. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/stock-screener/references/10-scoring-framework.md +85 -0
  33. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/stock-screener/references/11-output-format.md +58 -0
  34. package/selected-skills/InvestSkill/plugins/us-stock-analysis/skills/stock-screener/references/12-invalidation-and-signal.md +51 -0
  35. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/UPSTREAM.md +1 -0
  36. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-catalyst-calendar/SKILL.md +16 -184
  37. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-catalyst-calendar/references/10-catalyst-types.md +64 -0
  38. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-catalyst-calendar/references/11-workflow-and-calendar.md +131 -0
  39. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-idea-generation/SKILL.md +14 -195
  40. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-idea-generation/references/10-workflow.md +201 -0
  41. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-sector-overview/SKILL.md +15 -156
  42. package/selected-skills/claude-for-financial-services-cn/vertical-plugins/china-finance/skills/china-sector-overview/references/10-workflow.md +161 -0
  43. package/selected-skills/financeskills/UPSTREAM.md +1 -1
  44. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/UPSTREAM.md +1 -0
  45. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/SKILL.md +31 -122
  46. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{01-decision-posture.md → 01-decision-posture-D01-D04.md} +0 -119
  47. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/01-decision-posture-D05-D09.md +123 -0
  48. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/02-business-economics-B01-B03.md +94 -0
  49. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{02-business-economics.md → 02-business-economics-B04-B07.md} +3 -93
  50. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{03-management-governance.md → 03-management-governance-M01-M04.md} +0 -93
  51. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/03-management-governance-M05-M08.md +97 -0
  52. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/04-financial-reality-F01-F03.md +95 -0
  53. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{04-financial-reality.md → 04-financial-reality-F04-F07.md} +3 -94
  54. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{05-valuation.md → 05-valuation-V01-V03.md} +0 -72
  55. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/05-valuation-V04-V06.md +76 -0
  56. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{06-capital-allocation.md → 06-capital-allocation-C01-C04.md} +0 -115
  57. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/06-capital-allocation-C05-C09.md +119 -0
  58. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/{07-risk-monitoring.md → 07-risk-monitoring-R01-R03.md} +0 -94
  59. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/07-risk-monitoring-R04-R07.md +98 -0
  60. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/08-specialized-overlays-S01-S03.md +99 -0
  61. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/08-specialized-overlays-S04-S06.md +72 -0
  62. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/08-specialized-overlays-S07-S09.md +74 -0
  63. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/08-specialized-overlays-S10-S12.md +76 -0
  64. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/09-workflows.md +96 -0
  65. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/10-method.md +12 -0
  66. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/11-deterministic-router.md +11 -0
  67. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/UPSTREAM.md +1 -0
  68. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/SKILL.md +10 -86
  69. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/10-workflow.md +94 -0
  70. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/methodology-1.md +220 -0
  71. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/methodology-2.md +146 -0
  72. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/methodology-3.md +114 -0
  73. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/methodology-4.md +113 -0
  74. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/methodology.md +8 -521
  75. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/web-research-1.md +119 -0
  76. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/web-research-2.md +82 -0
  77. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/web-research-3.md +158 -0
  78. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/web-research-4.md +123 -0
  79. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/deep/web-research.md +8 -454
  80. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/methodology-1.md +155 -0
  81. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/methodology-2.md +43 -0
  82. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/methodology.md +6 -180
  83. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/web-research-1.md +114 -0
  84. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/web-research-2.md +180 -0
  85. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/web-research-3.md +92 -0
  86. package/selected-skills/peter-lynch-skill/skills/peter-lynch-skill/references/quick/web-research.md +7 -359
  87. package/{capital-watchlist → watchlist}/client.js +2 -2
  88. package/{capital-watchlist → watchlist}/client.src.cjs +2 -2
  89. package/{capital-watchlist → watchlist}/index.js +1 -1
  90. package/{capital-watchlist → watchlist}/package.json +2 -2
  91. package/selected-skills/investment-skills/skills/buffett-investment-framework/references/08-specialized-overlays.md +0 -309
  92. /package/{capital-config → config}/index.js +0 -0
  93. /package/{capital-watchlist → watchlist}/holding-rules.js +0 -0
@@ -33,161 +33,6 @@ Hand the retrieval roles one brief per family of material:
33
33
 
34
34
  In a role-split host, delegate with those briefs rather than reaching for a feed from here. What does not come back is written up as a gap in that section; a sector size or growth rate is never rounded off from memory.
35
35
 
36
- ## Workflow
37
-
38
- ### Step 1: Define Scope & Angle
39
-
40
- **Clarify:**
41
- - Sector / industry focus (e.g., 白酒, 半导体, 新能源汽车)
42
- - Angle (e.g., investment theme, competitive analysis, turnaround story)
43
- - Geographic scope (A-share only, or include HK-listed / US-listed Chinese)
44
- - Time horizon (cyclical analysis, secular trends, near-term trade)
45
-
46
- ### Step 2: Market Size & Structure
47
-
48
- **Industry overview:**
49
-
50
- | Metric | Data | Source |
51
- |--------|------|--------|
52
- | Total market size | 市场规模 (亿元/亿元) | 国家统计局, 行业协会 |
53
- | Growth rate | 同比增速 / CAGR | Historical data |
54
- | Market share | CR5, CR10 concentration | Company filings |
55
- | Penetration rate | For new industries | Industry reports |
56
- | Export/import | 进出口数据 | 海关总署 |
57
-
58
- **A-share representation:**
59
- - Number of listed companies in sector
60
- - Total market cap (总市值 / 流通市值)
61
- - Average PE / PB multiples
62
- - Liquidity (average daily turnover)
63
-
64
- ### Step 3: Competitive Landscape
65
-
66
- **Peer mapping:**
67
-
68
- Ask the host's retrieval path for the 板块成分股 list of the industry being covered, by its Chinese industry name, and take the constituents from what comes back.
69
-
70
- **For each major player, retrieve:** 最新价 / 市值 / 倍数, 收入与利润率的历史序列, and the business description — one brief per field family, same as-of date across the whole peer set.
71
-
72
- **Competitive analysis table:**
73
-
74
- | Company | Ticker | Market Cap (亿) | Revenue (亿) | YoY Growth | Gross Margin | Net Margin | PE (TTM) | Market Share |
75
- |---------|--------|----------------|-------------|------------|-------------|------------|----------|-------------|
76
- | | | | | | | | | |
77
-
78
- **Competitive positioning:**
79
- - Market share trends (gaining or losing)
80
- - Product positioning (premium, mid-tier, mass market)
81
- - Geographic footprint (national vs regional)
82
- - Distribution strength (渠道能力)
83
- - Brand equity (品牌力)
84
-
85
- ### Step 4: Trading Multiples & Valuation
86
-
87
- **Sector multiples:**
88
-
89
- | Metric | Current | 1Y High | 1Y Low | 5Y Average | Historical High | Historical Low |
90
- |--------|---------|---------|--------|------------|----------------|----------------|
91
- | Average PE | | | | | | |
92
- | Average PB | | | | | | |
93
- | Average PS | | | | | | |
94
- | EV/EBITDA | | | | | | |
95
-
96
- **Multiple dispersion:**
97
- - Premium names (high multiple vs sector)
98
- - Value names (low multiple vs sector)
99
- - Historical range and where we are in cycle
100
-
101
- ### Step 5: Policy Environment
102
-
103
- **China-specific policy analysis:**
104
-
105
- | Policy Area | Current Status | Impact |
106
- |-------------|---------------|--------|
107
- | 产业政策 | 支持/限制/中性 | Direct sector impact |
108
- | 环保政策 | 双碳目标 | Cost structure impact |
109
- | 监管政策 | 集采/反垄断 | Margin / market share impact |
110
- | 补贴政策 | 新能源/半导体补贴 | Competitiveness impact |
111
- | 货币政策 | 宽松/中性/紧缩 | Financing cost impact |
112
-
113
- **Key regulatory bodies:**
114
- - 发改委 (NDRC) — industrial policy, pricing
115
- - 工信部 (MIIT) — manufacturing, tech, telecom
116
- - 生态环境部 (MEE) — environmental compliance
117
- - 卫健委 (NHC) — healthcare, pharmaceuticals
118
- - 证监会 (CSRC) — capital markets
119
- - 央行 (PBoC) — monetary policy
120
-
121
- ### Step 6: Key Drivers & Trends
122
-
123
- **Secular trends (3-5 year):**
124
- - Technology adoption (技术替代)
125
- - Consumption upgrade/downgrade (消费升级/降级)
126
- - Demographic shifts (人口结构)
127
- - Supply chain localization (供应链国产化)
128
- - Environmental transition (双碳/ESG)
129
-
130
- **Cyclical factors:**
131
- - Inventory cycles (库存周期)
132
- - Capacity utilization (产能利用率)
133
- - Pricing trends (价格趋势)
134
- - Demand momentum (需求 momentum)
135
-
136
- ### Step 7: Investment Themes
137
-
138
- **Thematic angles:**
139
-
140
- 1. **Policy-driven**: 国产替代, 新基建, 乡村振兴
141
- 2. **Demand-driven**: 消费升级, 老龄化, 出海
142
- 3. **Supply-driven**: 产能出清, 行业整合, 龙头集中
143
- 4. **Technology-driven**: AI应用, 新能源, 生物医药创新
144
-
145
- **For each theme:**
146
- - Investment thesis
147
- - Key names to express the theme
148
- - Timeline and catalysts
149
- - Risks and headwinds
150
-
151
- ### Step 8: Trading Ideas
152
-
153
- **Ideas shortlist (from sector overview):**
154
-
155
- | Idea | Ticker | Direction | Thesis | Catalyst | Risk |
156
- |------|--------|-----------|--------|----------|------|
157
- | | | Long / Short | | | |
158
-
159
- ### Step 9: Report Structure
160
-
161
- **Standard A-share sector overview format:**
162
-
163
- ```
164
- 【XX证券】[行业] 深度报告:[标题]
165
-
166
- 一、行业概述
167
- 市场规模、增速、发展阶段
168
-
169
- 二、竞争格局
170
- 主要玩家、市场份额、竞争要素
171
-
172
- 三、政策环境
173
- 监管框架、产业政策、影响分析
174
-
175
- 四、财务分析
176
- 行业盈利能力、ROE、杠杆水平
177
-
178
- 五、估值分析
179
- 当前 multiples vs 历史 vs 国际对标
180
-
181
- 六、核心驱动因素
182
- 长期趋势、短期催化、周期位置
183
-
184
- 七、投资建议
185
- 重点标的、目标价、评级
186
-
187
- 八、风险提示
188
- 政策风险、需求风险、竞争风险
189
- ```
190
-
191
36
  ## China-Specific Considerations
192
37
 
193
38
  ### A-share Market Structure
@@ -254,4 +99,18 @@ Before delivering:
254
99
  - [ ] Ideas shortlist included (3-5 names)
255
100
  - [ ] Risk factors specific to China market included
256
101
  > 取数档位(接哪家数据服务、用哪个密钥)由宿主的凭据域决定:这份行业报告不配置它,也不向使用者索取凭据。
257
- > Step 8 的 Long / Short 一览与第七节的重点标的、目标价、评级是把上面这些材料写成结论的**推演练习**:本插件没有券商接口,不据它下单,也不会替你执行任何一笔。
102
+ > 分册 `references/10-workflow.md` 里 Step 8 的 Long / Short 一览与第七节的重点标的、目标价、评级,是把上面这些材料写成结论的**推演练习**:本插件没有券商接口,不据它下单,也不会替你执行任何一笔。
103
+
104
+ ## Read the Parts
105
+
106
+ Everything below the surface of this file lives in `references/`. Open a part with `read`,
107
+ resolved against this skill's base directory; each part is sized to arrive complete in one
108
+ `read`. If a receipt shows `[... tool result middle pruned ...]`, re-read it with `offset`
109
+ before concluding anything is missing.
110
+
111
+ - `references/10-workflow.md` — Workflow
112
+
113
+ Loading this file is not reading the skill: the steps, templates, and thresholds exist only
114
+ in the parts above. Say which parts you opened, name the ones you did not, and never report a
115
+ step or a template you have not read in this session.
116
+
@@ -0,0 +1,161 @@
1
+ > 本文件相对上游 `d7585ca` 快照做过合规改写(取数与凭据口径),逐条记在快照根目录的 UPSTREAM.md;方法论、阈值与输出模板未改。
2
+
3
+ # Workflow
4
+
5
+ Part 1 of 1 for `china-sector-overview` — the nine steps of a sector overview, with the report structure
6
+ See `SKILL.md` for what to read and when; this part is procedure, not routing.
7
+
8
+ ## Workflow
9
+
10
+ ### Step 1: Define Scope & Angle
11
+
12
+ **Clarify:**
13
+ - Sector / industry focus (e.g., 白酒, 半导体, 新能源汽车)
14
+ - Angle (e.g., investment theme, competitive analysis, turnaround story)
15
+ - Geographic scope (A-share only, or include HK-listed / US-listed Chinese)
16
+ - Time horizon (cyclical analysis, secular trends, near-term trade)
17
+
18
+ ### Step 2: Market Size & Structure
19
+
20
+ **Industry overview:**
21
+
22
+ | Metric | Data | Source |
23
+ |--------|------|--------|
24
+ | Total market size | 市场规模 (亿元/亿元) | 国家统计局, 行业协会 |
25
+ | Growth rate | 同比增速 / CAGR | Historical data |
26
+ | Market share | CR5, CR10 concentration | Company filings |
27
+ | Penetration rate | For new industries | Industry reports |
28
+ | Export/import | 进出口数据 | 海关总署 |
29
+
30
+ **A-share representation:**
31
+ - Number of listed companies in sector
32
+ - Total market cap (总市值 / 流通市值)
33
+ - Average PE / PB multiples
34
+ - Liquidity (average daily turnover)
35
+
36
+ ### Step 3: Competitive Landscape
37
+
38
+ **Peer mapping:**
39
+
40
+ Ask the host's retrieval path for the 板块成分股 list of the industry being covered, by its Chinese industry name, and take the constituents from what comes back.
41
+
42
+ **For each major player, retrieve:** 最新价 / 市值 / 倍数, 收入与利润率的历史序列, and the business description — one brief per field family, same as-of date across the whole peer set.
43
+
44
+ **Competitive analysis table:**
45
+
46
+ | Company | Ticker | Market Cap (亿) | Revenue (亿) | YoY Growth | Gross Margin | Net Margin | PE (TTM) | Market Share |
47
+ |---------|--------|----------------|-------------|------------|-------------|------------|----------|-------------|
48
+ | | | | | | | | | |
49
+
50
+ **Competitive positioning:**
51
+ - Market share trends (gaining or losing)
52
+ - Product positioning (premium, mid-tier, mass market)
53
+ - Geographic footprint (national vs regional)
54
+ - Distribution strength (渠道能力)
55
+ - Brand equity (品牌力)
56
+
57
+ ### Step 4: Trading Multiples & Valuation
58
+
59
+ **Sector multiples:**
60
+
61
+ | Metric | Current | 1Y High | 1Y Low | 5Y Average | Historical High | Historical Low |
62
+ |--------|---------|---------|--------|------------|----------------|----------------|
63
+ | Average PE | | | | | | |
64
+ | Average PB | | | | | | |
65
+ | Average PS | | | | | | |
66
+ | EV/EBITDA | | | | | | |
67
+
68
+ **Multiple dispersion:**
69
+ - Premium names (high multiple vs sector)
70
+ - Value names (low multiple vs sector)
71
+ - Historical range and where we are in cycle
72
+
73
+ ### Step 5: Policy Environment
74
+
75
+ **China-specific policy analysis:**
76
+
77
+ | Policy Area | Current Status | Impact |
78
+ |-------------|---------------|--------|
79
+ | 产业政策 | 支持/限制/中性 | Direct sector impact |
80
+ | 环保政策 | 双碳目标 | Cost structure impact |
81
+ | 监管政策 | 集采/反垄断 | Margin / market share impact |
82
+ | 补贴政策 | 新能源/半导体补贴 | Competitiveness impact |
83
+ | 货币政策 | 宽松/中性/紧缩 | Financing cost impact |
84
+
85
+ **Key regulatory bodies:**
86
+ - 发改委 (NDRC) — industrial policy, pricing
87
+ - 工信部 (MIIT) — manufacturing, tech, telecom
88
+ - 生态环境部 (MEE) — environmental compliance
89
+ - 卫健委 (NHC) — healthcare, pharmaceuticals
90
+ - 证监会 (CSRC) — capital markets
91
+ - 央行 (PBoC) — monetary policy
92
+
93
+ ### Step 6: Key Drivers & Trends
94
+
95
+ **Secular trends (3-5 year):**
96
+ - Technology adoption (技术替代)
97
+ - Consumption upgrade/downgrade (消费升级/降级)
98
+ - Demographic shifts (人口结构)
99
+ - Supply chain localization (供应链国产化)
100
+ - Environmental transition (双碳/ESG)
101
+
102
+ **Cyclical factors:**
103
+ - Inventory cycles (库存周期)
104
+ - Capacity utilization (产能利用率)
105
+ - Pricing trends (价格趋势)
106
+ - Demand momentum (需求 momentum)
107
+
108
+ ### Step 7: Investment Themes
109
+
110
+ **Thematic angles:**
111
+
112
+ 1. **Policy-driven**: 国产替代, 新基建, 乡村振兴
113
+ 2. **Demand-driven**: 消费升级, 老龄化, 出海
114
+ 3. **Supply-driven**: 产能出清, 行业整合, 龙头集中
115
+ 4. **Technology-driven**: AI应用, 新能源, 生物医药创新
116
+
117
+ **For each theme:**
118
+ - Investment thesis
119
+ - Key names to express the theme
120
+ - Timeline and catalysts
121
+ - Risks and headwinds
122
+
123
+ ### Step 8: Trading Ideas
124
+
125
+ **Ideas shortlist (from sector overview):**
126
+
127
+ | Idea | Ticker | Direction | Thesis | Catalyst | Risk |
128
+ |------|--------|-----------|--------|----------|------|
129
+ | | | Long / Short | | | |
130
+
131
+ ### Step 9: Report Structure
132
+
133
+ **Standard A-share sector overview format:**
134
+
135
+ ```
136
+ 【XX证券】[行业] 深度报告:[标题]
137
+
138
+ 一、行业概述
139
+ 市场规模、增速、发展阶段
140
+
141
+ 二、竞争格局
142
+ 主要玩家、市场份额、竞争要素
143
+
144
+ 三、政策环境
145
+ 监管框架、产业政策、影响分析
146
+
147
+ 四、财务分析
148
+ 行业盈利能力、ROE、杠杆水平
149
+
150
+ 五、估值分析
151
+ 当前 multiples vs 历史 vs 国际对标
152
+
153
+ 六、核心驱动因素
154
+ 长期趋势、短期催化、周期位置
155
+
156
+ 七、投资建议
157
+ 重点标的、目标价、评级
158
+
159
+ 八、风险提示
160
+ 政策风险、需求风险、竞争风险
161
+ ```
@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@
17
17
  `LICENSE` 的版权行是 **`Copyright (c) 2026 KOMVIA`**;`marketplace.json` 的 `publisher` 也是 `KOMVIA`,
18
18
  上游 `AGENTS.md:11` 自述 `**Creator**: KOMVIA`;而仓库 owner 与 `README.md:5` 的 "Built by" 都是
19
19
  **Ayotunde Oso(账号 `GAJETOso`)**。catalog 的 `owner` 用仓库账号 `GAJETOso`——设置卡片那条
20
- 上游链接是按 `https://github.com/${owner}/${repository}` 拼的(`capital-config/client.src.cjs:576`),
20
+ 上游链接是按 `https://github.com/${owner}/${repository}` 拼的(`config/client.src.cjs:576`),
21
21
  换成品牌名就是死链。MIT 与 Apache-2.0 的差别在本仓有实际后果,见下面"许可义务"一节。
22
22
  - Imported content: 只带 `skills/` 这一棵树(48 颗,337 个文件 / 2.4 MB)与 `LICENSE` 原件,
23
23
  与所钉 commit 逐字节相同(除下面列出的 10 份)。**上游仓库根其余材料整个不复制进本仓**,
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@
8
8
  - Removed from the snapshot: the upstream ignore rules — `.gitignore` at the snapshot root (`__pycache__/`, `*.pyc`), plus the nested ones under `.tbd/` and `viz/vendor/`. Vendored snapshots do not carry ignore rules into this repo (`docs/dev/selected-skills.md` §8.6: an inherited ignore pattern can silently hide files when the snapshot is re-imported). Nothing committed was hidden by them. Note that `viz/vendor/.gitignore` used to hide two artifacts upstream fetches on demand (`elk.bundled.js`, `elkjs-license.txt` via `fetch-elk.sh`); neither exists in this repo, and `viz/` is excluded from the published package anyway.
9
9
  - Local modifications: one sentence, on the router block. Upstream wrote "Use the bundled deterministic router when a shell is available" and four `python3 scripts/framework.py …` examples; under Capital the root role has no shell (§1.6), so that conditional left a dead end with nothing to fall back to. The sentence now states the two preconditions (a shell **and** a reachable skill directory) and names the fallback: skip the router and open the `references/` file for the chosen module directly, since the router only picks which file to read. No card, workflow, or analytical text was touched; `scripts/framework.py` itself is unmodified. Recorded here per `docs/dev/selected-skills.md` §8.6, and enforced by `test/selected-skills-content.test.mjs` (a file may mention `python3 scripts/` only if it also carries the no-shell fallback). This record and the Capital selected-skill catalog are maintained by Capital Generation.
10
10
  - Packaging: a Capital-owned `.npmignore` beside these files keeps only the runtime skill body and this record in the published npm package. Excluded: `images/` and `viz/` (2.3 MB of README artwork — the same four PNGs exist twice — plus the upstream visualization site), `.github/` (its CI), `.tbd/` and `docs/` (upstream roadmap/development notes), and `README*.md`. No skill body references any of them. Kept on purpose: `skills/buffett-investment-framework/scripts/framework.py` and `Makefile` — this skill's own prose names the deterministic router as a methodology entry point and carries the no-shell fallback, so shipping them as review material while never executing them (intake and activation only read documents) is the honest shape; see `docs/dev/selected-skills.md` §8.6 item 4. The complete snapshot stays committed here, so `github:` installs and provenance review are unaffected.
11
+ - Visibility layering (2026-10-14, third allowed reason — `docs/dev/selected-skills.md` §8.6): the surface was re-laid out as an entry file plus per-part reference files, because the host prunes any tool result over 8,192 code points (head 4,096 + `[... tool result middle pruned ...]` + tail 1,024) and both `SKILL.md` (11,296) and all nine original `references/` files exceeded that. `references/01…08` are split at card boundaries into 18 files named by their card run (e.g. `01-decision-posture-D01-D04.md`); the three workflow sections and the output contract moved verbatim to `references/09-workflows.md`; `references/` went from 9 files to 22: the provenance paragraph moved to `references/10-method.md`, and `references/11-deterministic-router.md` took the upstream router paragraph with its four `python3 scripts/framework.py` examples; the entry keeps a one-line non-affiliation statement. Nothing was deleted or reworded: all 65 cards appear exactly once, the entry is 6,605 code points on the `skill` channel (7,825 if opened with `read`), the largest part renders to 7,629 through `read`, and the directory's `.md` total went 113,052 → 117,909 — the added lines are part headers and entry pointers. Sizes are judged on the **rendered** receipt, not the file: `read` prefixes every line with `N: ` and wraps it in `<path>`/`<content>` (7,302 characters over 95 lines renders to 7,894). Enforced by `test/selected-skills-content.test.mjs` ("分层条目" two tests: every part arrives complete through whichever channel loads it, named files exist, no orphan part, totals may only grow, filename card ranges match content); the entry no longer appears in the oversized ratchet baseline in `test/persona.test.mjs`.
11
12
  - Maintenance snapshot (checked 2026-10-08): latest commit 2026-07-22; no later commits observed through the review date (78 days). See [GitHub commit history](https://github.com/finterm-ai/investment-skills/commits/main/).
12
13
  - Runtime status: `experimental` / explicit experiment. The skill remains disabled until explicitly selected in Capital settings and is registered only in a Capital root Agent's own scope. Its capability tags and warning are maintained in `selected-skills/catalog.js`.
13
14
  - Review status: imported for user-directed evaluation; not endorsed by Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, or Capital Generation. Its US-centric framework must not be treated as A-share rules. Validate all financial claims against primary evidence.
@@ -17,17 +17,12 @@ into investment actions.
17
17
  4. Read only the reference modules containing those cards, or print single routed cards
18
18
  with `show --id`.
19
19
  5. Apply each card’s question, actions, output, and limits.
20
- 6. Return supported, challenged, or unresolved findings using the output contract.
20
+ 6. Return supported, challenged, or unresolved findings using the output contract
21
+ ([workflows](references/09-workflows.md)).
21
22
 
22
- Use the bundled deterministic router when the host gives this role a shell **and** this skill's directory is reachable. Where either is missing — a role-split host that grants no shell, or an install without `scripts/` — skip the router and open the `references/` file for the chosen module directly, using the mapping in *Choose the Workflow* below. The router only decides which file to read; it holds no analysis of its own, so nothing is lost by reading the file.
23
- From the skill directory, run:
24
-
25
- ```bash
26
- python3 scripts/framework.py route --intent financial-analysis --topic insurance
27
- python3 scripts/framework.py route --intent memo-review --topic acquisition
28
- python3 scripts/framework.py show --id C08
29
- python3 scripts/framework.py validate
30
- ```
23
+ The upstream deterministic router needs a shell, which this host's root role does not have: skip it
24
+ and open the `references/` files named below (see [11-deterministic-router](references/11-deterministic-router.md)
25
+ for what it would have done). It only decides which file to read; it holds no analysis of its own.
31
26
 
32
27
  ## Choose the Workflow
33
28
 
@@ -50,89 +45,37 @@ Before writing, count the final card set and make the reported count match the l
50
45
  IDs exactly. When replacing a routed card, state the substitution and its evidence
51
46
  trigger.
52
47
 
53
- | Module | Load when material evidence concerns | Cards | Reference |
48
+ | Module | Load when material evidence concerns | Cards | Reference files (under `references/`) |
54
49
  | --- | --- | --- | --- |
55
- | Decision posture | competence, ownership, inversion, price, alternatives, concentration, active skill, or speculation | `D01`–`D09` | [Decision posture](references/01-decision-posture.md) |
56
- | Business economics | business model, moat, capital intensity, reinvestment, or structural change | `B01`–`B07` | [Business economics](references/02-business-economics.md) |
57
- | Management | conduct, operating execution, incentives, governance, controls, or succession | `M01`–`M08` | [Management and governance](references/03-management-governance.md) |
58
- | Financial reality | filings, owner cash, normalization, segments, capital returns, or obligations | `F01`–`F07` | [Financial reality](references/04-financial-reality.md) |
59
- | Valuation | value, method, normalized base, growth, sensitivity, or price discipline | `V01`–`V06` | [Valuation](references/05-valuation.md) |
60
- | Capital allocation | reserves, retention, payout, repurchase, issuance, or acquisitions | `C01`–`C09` | [Capital allocation](references/06-capital-allocation.md) |
61
- | Risk | permanent harm, forced action, leverage, contingent claims, inflation, exit, or monitoring | `R01`–`R07` | [Risk and monitoring](references/07-risk-monitoring.md) |
62
- | Specialized overlay | insurance, banking, consumer, infrastructure, technology, commodities, or special instruments | `S01`–`S12` | [Specialized overlays](references/08-specialized-overlays.md) |
50
+ | Decision posture | competence, ownership, inversion, price, alternatives, concentration, active skill, or speculation | `D01`–`D09` | `01-decision-posture-D01-D04.md`、`01-decision-posture-D05-D09.md` |
51
+ | Business economics | business model, moat, capital intensity, reinvestment, or structural change | `B01`–`B07` | `02-business-economics-B01-B03.md`、`02-business-economics-B04-B07.md` |
52
+ | Management | conduct, operating execution, incentives, governance, controls, or succession | `M01`–`M08` | `03-management-governance-M01-M04.md`、`03-management-governance-M05-M08.md` |
53
+ | Financial reality | filings, owner cash, normalization, segments, capital returns, or obligations | `F01`–`F07` | `04-financial-reality-F01-F03.md`、`04-financial-reality-F04-F07.md` |
54
+ | Valuation | value, method, normalized base, growth, sensitivity, or price discipline | `V01`–`V06` | `05-valuation-V01-V03.md`、`05-valuation-V04-V06.md` |
55
+ | Capital allocation | reserves, retention, payout, repurchase, issuance, or acquisitions | `C01`–`C09` | `06-capital-allocation-C01-C04.md`、`06-capital-allocation-C05-C09.md` |
56
+ | Risk | permanent harm, forced action, leverage, contingent claims, inflation, exit, or monitoring | `R01`–`R07` | `07-risk-monitoring-R01-R03.md`、`07-risk-monitoring-R04-R07.md` |
57
+ | Specialized overlay | insurance, banking, consumer, infrastructure, technology, commodities, or special instruments | `S01`–`S12` | `08-specialized-overlays-S01-S03.md`、`08-specialized-overlays-S04-S06.md`、`08-specialized-overlays-S07-S09.md`、`08-specialized-overlays-S10-S12.md` |
63
58
 
64
59
  Add a specialized overlay only when the supplied evidence triggers it.
65
60
  An industry label does not load every overlay.
66
61
 
67
- ## Run Financial Analysis
68
-
69
- Require exact filings and periods, policies and notes, segment schedules, cash-flow and
70
- capital-expenditure data, and material financing and obligation disclosures.
71
- Treat market price as a separate input only when valuation is in scope.
72
-
73
- 1. Apply `F01` and `F05` to inventory the package and reconcile reported results into
74
- comparable segments without discarding genuine costs.
75
- 2. Apply `F02` to bridge reported earnings to a range of owner earnings.
76
- Add `F03` when maintenance, growth, restricted, or distributable capital must be
77
- separated. Show every maintenance-capital, working-capital, compensation, and
78
- recurring-cost judgment.
79
- 3. Apply `F06`, and `B06` when prospective reinvestment matters, to separate historical
80
- returns from the future reinvestment runway.
81
- 4. Add `F07`, `C02`, `R02`, and `R03` as needed to inventory obligations and stress
82
- financing, liquidity, collateral, and nonlinear claims.
83
- 5. Add `F04` for material partial ownership and only the triggered `S01`–`S11` overlay
84
- for industry-specific accounting or risk.
85
-
86
- Return a package inventory, reported-to-analytical bridge, normalized segment base,
87
- owner-earnings range, capital-return calculations, obligation ledger, assumptions,
88
- sensitivities, and blocked calculations.
89
-
90
- ## Review an Investment Memo
91
-
92
- Require the complete memo and appendices, cited primary sources and models, decision
93
- question, horizon, business and management claims, valuation bridge, alternatives,
94
- risks, and invalidation conditions.
95
-
96
- 1. Apply `D01` and `D03` to test estimability, separate facts, calculations, and
97
- inference, and seek disconfirming evidence.
98
- Add `D02` when ownership framing is material.
99
- 2. Apply `B02` to test a claimed moat as a causal mechanism.
100
- Add `B01` and only the relevant `B03`–`B07` cards when the memo’s claims require
101
- them.
102
- 3. Add only material `M01`–`M08` and `C01`–`C09` cards; use `C09` when a transaction is
103
- central.
104
- 4. Apply `V01`, `V05`, and `V06` to reconstruct value and expose sensitivities.
105
- Add `V03` when the normalized base is material and `V04` when projected growth
106
- contributes materially to value; use `D04` when price action is being treated as
107
- business evidence.
108
- 5. Apply `R01` and `R07` to trace owner harm and invalidation.
109
- Add `R02` or `R03` only for financing or contingent paths actually present.
110
-
111
- Return one row per material claim: claimed consequence, evidence and source quality,
112
- applicable cards, supported/challenged/unresolved disposition, counterevidence or
113
- alternate mechanism, and evidence still needed.
114
-
115
- ## Evaluate a Thesis
116
-
117
- Require explicit thesis components and horizon, primary evidence for the claimed
118
- business and management mechanisms, valuation inputs, financing and risk evidence,
119
- market price when price versus value is asked, and failure conditions.
120
-
121
- 1. Apply `D02`, `D03`, and `R07` to rewrite the thesis as testable components while
122
- preserving the author’s meaning and invalidation conditions.
123
- 2. Apply `B01`, `B02`, `B06`, and `B07` as relevant to test business mechanisms,
124
- incremental-return economics, and structural change.
125
- 3. Add only the `M01`–`M08` and `C01`–`C09` cards needed by stated management or
126
- allocation dependencies.
127
- 4. Apply `V01`, `V03`, `V04`, `V05`, and `V06` as relevant to reconstruct value from
128
- supplied evidence and keep quality, value, and price as separate judgments.
129
- 5. Add `R01`, `R02`, `R03`, and a triggered `S01`–`S12` overlay to trace owner-harm,
130
- financing, contingent, and specialized risks.
131
-
132
- Return a component map, evidence and counterevidence table, mechanism tests, valuation
133
- assumptions and sensitivities, owner-harm paths, invalidation indicators, missing
134
- evidence, and a separate disposition for each component.
135
- Do not aggregate component dispositions into an investment recommendation.
62
+ ## Load These Files
63
+
64
+ Card definitions, workflows, and the output contract live in `references/`: the modules are
65
+ listed in the table above, [`09-workflows.md`](references/09-workflows.md) holds the three card
66
+ sequences with their required inputs and the output contract, and [`10-method.md`](references/10-method.md)
67
+ the decomposition method. Open each with `read`, resolved against this skill's base directory.
68
+ Parts are sized to arrive complete in one `read`; if a receipt shows
69
+ `[... tool result middle pruned ...]`, re-read it with `offset` before concluding a card is
70
+ absent, and never reconstruct a card from its ID or from a file you did not open.
71
+
72
+ Loading this file is not reading the framework: the cards, the workflow steps, and the output
73
+ contract exist only in the parts above. Say which parts you opened, name the ones you did not,
74
+ and never report a card or a step you have not read in this session.
75
+
76
+ ## Source and Method
77
+
78
+ The framework is not affiliated with or endorsed by Warren Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway.
136
79
 
137
80
  ## Preserve Evidence Boundaries
138
81
 
@@ -153,40 +96,6 @@ Do not aggregate component dispositions into an investment recommendation.
153
96
  - When a prerequisite is absent, name it, mark the affected branch unresolved, and stop
154
97
  that branch.
155
98
 
156
- ## Use This Output Contract
157
-
158
- Every response must contain:
159
-
160
- 1. **Question and scope:** task intent, horizon, entity, and exclusions.
161
- 2. **Evidence receipt:** supplied primary evidence, periods, missing inputs, and source
162
- limitations.
163
- 3. **Card load:** five to 12 IDs and why each was selected.
164
- 4. **Analytical work:** sourced bridges, calculations, mechanism tests, and
165
- sensitivities.
166
- 5. **Findings:** supported, challenged, or unresolved, one decision question at a time.
167
- 6. **Counterevidence and alternatives:** strongest contrary account and competing
168
- mechanism.
169
- 7. **Limits and blocked branches:** missing evidence and uncertainty that affect the
170
- result.
171
- 8. **Monitoring and invalidation:** observations that would strengthen, weaken, revise,
172
- or retire each material finding.
173
-
174
- End with an analytical summary, not a buy, sell, hold, entry-price, position-size, or
175
- trade instruction.
176
-
177
- ## Source and Method
178
-
179
- The 65 cards are an editorial synthesis of published Buffett and Berkshire writings.
180
- Source material was decomposed into claims, definitions, tactics, examples, and
181
- references; recurring decision questions were inventoried; overlaps were reconciled by
182
- analytical consequence; and the result was organized into eight modules and three task
183
- workflows. The cards provide representative, not exhaustive, coverage of the source
184
- material. Each card includes one to three readable source notes, abbreviated
185
- corroboration citations reconciled against the wider published record and resolved in
186
- the [source key](references/00-source-key.md), and its own preserved limits.
187
- The framework is not affiliated with or endorsed by Warren Buffett or Berkshire
188
- Hathaway.
189
-
190
99
  <!-- This document follows common-doc-guidelines.md.
191
100
  See github.com/jlevy/practical-prose and review guidelines before editing.
192
101
  -->