@timmeck/brain-core 2.26.0 → 2.28.0

package/dist/metacognition/meta-cognition-layer.js

@@ -37,6 +37,21 @@ export function runMetaCognitionMigration(db) {
       reason TEXT NOT NULL,
       created_at TEXT DEFAULT (datetime('now'))
     );
+
+    CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS meta_trends (
+      id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY AUTOINCREMENT,
+      cycle INTEGER NOT NULL,
+      learning_rate REAL NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      discovery_rate REAL NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      knowledge_quality REAL NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      gap_closure_rate REAL NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      total_principles INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      total_hypotheses INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      prediction_accuracy REAL NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      emergence_count INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      timestamp TEXT DEFAULT (datetime('now'))
+    );
+    CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_meta_trends_cycle ON meta_trends(cycle);
   `);
 }
 // ── MetaCognition Layer ─────────────────────────────────
@@ -182,6 +197,179 @@ export class MetaCognitionLayer {
       FROM engine_report_cards WHERE engine = ? ORDER BY id DESC LIMIT ?
     `).all(engine, limit);
     }
+    // ── Meta-Trends ────────────────────────────────────────
+    /** Record a trend data point for the current cycle. */
+    recordTrend(cycle, stats) {
+        const learningRate = cycle > 0 ? stats.newPrinciples / cycle : 0;
+        const discoveryRate = cycle > 0 ? stats.newHypotheses / cycle : 0;
+        const knowledgeQuality = stats.totalPrinciples > 0
+            ? Math.min(1, stats.predictionAccuracy * 0.5 + (stats.totalPrinciples / Math.max(stats.totalHypotheses, 1)) * 0.5)
+            : 0;
+        const gapClosureRate = cycle > 0 ? stats.closedGaps / cycle : 0;
+        this.db.prepare(`
+      INSERT INTO meta_trends (cycle, learning_rate, discovery_rate, knowledge_quality, gap_closure_rate,
+        total_principles, total_hypotheses, prediction_accuracy, emergence_count)
+      VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?)
+    `).run(cycle, learningRate, discoveryRate, knowledgeQuality, gapClosureRate, stats.totalPrinciples, stats.totalHypotheses, stats.predictionAccuracy, stats.emergenceCount);
+        this.log.debug(`[metacognition] Recorded trend for cycle ${cycle}: lr=${learningRate.toFixed(4)}, dr=${discoveryRate.toFixed(4)}`);
+    }
+    /** Get trend data from the last N cycles. */
+    getMetaTrend(windowCycles = 20) {
+        const rows = this.db.prepare(`
+      SELECT cycle, learning_rate, discovery_rate, knowledge_quality, gap_closure_rate,
+        total_principles, total_hypotheses, prediction_accuracy, emergence_count, timestamp
+      FROM meta_trends ORDER BY cycle DESC LIMIT ?
+    `).all(windowCycles);
+        return rows.map(r => this.toMetaTrend(r)).reverse(); // Chronological order
+    }
+    /** Long-term analysis: aggregate over a time period and determine trend direction. */
+    getLongTermAnalysis(days = 7) {
+        const rows = this.db.prepare(`
+      SELECT learning_rate, discovery_rate, knowledge_quality, gap_closure_rate
+      FROM meta_trends
+      WHERE timestamp >= datetime('now', '-' || ? || ' days')
+      ORDER BY cycle ASC
+    `).all(days);
+        if (rows.length === 0) {
+            return {
+                days,
+                avgLearningRate: 0,
+                avgDiscoveryRate: 0,
+                avgKnowledgeQuality: 0,
+                avgGapClosureRate: 0,
+                trendDirection: 'stagnating',
+                peakLearningRate: 0,
+                peakDiscoveryRate: 0,
+            };
+        }
+        let sumLR = 0, sumDR = 0, sumKQ = 0, sumGCR = 0;
+        let peakLR = 0, peakDR = 0;
+        for (const r of rows) {
+            const lr = r.learning_rate;
+            const dr = r.discovery_rate;
+            const kq = r.knowledge_quality;
+            const gcr = r.gap_closure_rate;
+            sumLR += lr;
+            sumDR += dr;
+            sumKQ += kq;
+            sumGCR += gcr;
+            peakLR = Math.max(peakLR, lr);
+            peakDR = Math.max(peakDR, dr);
+        }
+        const n = rows.length;
+        const avgLR = sumLR / n;
+        const avgDR = sumDR / n;
+        const avgKQ = sumKQ / n;
+        const avgGCR = sumGCR / n;
+        // Determine direction by comparing first half vs second half
+        const mid = Math.floor(n / 2);
+        let trendDirection = 'stagnating';
+        if (mid > 0 && n - mid > 0) {
+            let firstHalfAvg = 0, secondHalfAvg = 0;
+            for (let i = 0; i < mid; i++) {
+                firstHalfAvg += rows[i].knowledge_quality;
+            }
+            firstHalfAvg /= mid;
+            for (let i = mid; i < n; i++) {
+                secondHalfAvg += rows[i].knowledge_quality;
+            }
+            secondHalfAvg /= (n - mid);
+            const diff = secondHalfAvg - firstHalfAvg;
+            if (diff > 0.05)
+                trendDirection = 'rising';
+            else if (diff < -0.05)
+                trendDirection = 'falling';
+            else
+                trendDirection = 'stagnating';
+        }
+        return {
+            days,
+            avgLearningRate: avgLR,
+            avgDiscoveryRate: avgDR,
+            avgKnowledgeQuality: avgKQ,
+            avgGapClosureRate: avgGCR,
+            trendDirection,
+            peakLearningRate: peakLR,
+            peakDiscoveryRate: peakDR,
+        };
+    }
+    /** Detect seasonal patterns: which hours/days produce the best metrics. */
+    detectSeasonalPatterns() {
+        const patterns = [];
+        const metrics = ['learning_rate', 'discovery_rate', 'knowledge_quality', 'gap_closure_rate'];
+        for (const metric of metrics) {
+            // Peak hour of day
+            const hourPeak = this.db.prepare(`
+        SELECT CAST(strftime('%H', timestamp) AS INTEGER) as hour, AVG(${metric}) as avg_val
+        FROM meta_trends
+        GROUP BY hour
+        ORDER BY avg_val DESC
+        LIMIT 1
+      `).get();
+            // Peak day of week (0=Sunday, 6=Saturday)
+            const dayPeak = this.db.prepare(`
+        SELECT CAST(strftime('%w', timestamp) AS INTEGER) as dow, AVG(${metric}) as avg_val
+        FROM meta_trends
+        GROUP BY dow
+        ORDER BY avg_val DESC
+        LIMIT 1
+      `).get();
+            if (hourPeak && dayPeak) {
+                patterns.push({
+                    metric: metric.replace(/_/g, ' '),
+                    peakHour: hourPeak.hour,
+                    peakDayOfWeek: dayPeak.dow,
+                    avgAtPeak: hourPeak.avg_val,
+                });
+            }
+        }
+        return patterns;
+    }
+    // ── Meta-Trend Helpers ─────────────────────────────────
+    toMetaTrend(row) {
+        return {
+            cycle: row.cycle,
+            learningRate: row.learning_rate,
+            discoveryRate: row.discovery_rate,
+            knowledgeQuality: row.knowledge_quality,
+            gapClosureRate: row.gap_closure_rate,
+            totalPrinciples: row.total_principles,
+            totalHypotheses: row.total_hypotheses,
+            predictionAccuracy: row.prediction_accuracy,
+            emergenceCount: row.emergence_count,
+            timestamp: row.timestamp,
+        };
+    }
+    getLatestTrend() {
+        const row = this.db.prepare(`
+      SELECT cycle, learning_rate, discovery_rate, knowledge_quality, gap_closure_rate,
+        total_principles, total_hypotheses, prediction_accuracy, emergence_count, timestamp
+      FROM meta_trends ORDER BY cycle DESC LIMIT 1
+    `).get();
+        return row ? this.toMetaTrend(row) : null;
+    }
+    getCurrentTrendDirection() {
+        const rows = this.db.prepare(`
+      SELECT knowledge_quality FROM meta_trends ORDER BY cycle DESC LIMIT 10
+    `).all();
+        if (rows.length < 4)
+            return 'stagnating';
+        const mid = Math.floor(rows.length / 2);
+        // rows are DESC, so first half = recent, second half = older
+        let recentAvg = 0, olderAvg = 0;
+        for (let i = 0; i < mid; i++)
+            recentAvg += rows[i].knowledge_quality;
+        recentAvg /= mid;
+        for (let i = mid; i < rows.length; i++)
+            olderAvg += rows[i].knowledge_quality;
+        olderAvg /= (rows.length - mid);
+        const diff = recentAvg - olderAvg;
+        if (diff > 0.05)
+            return 'rising';
+        if (diff < -0.05)
+            return 'falling';
+        return 'stagnating';
+    }
     /** Get status summary. */
     getStatus() {
         const cards = this.getLatestReportCards();
@@ -195,6 +383,8 @@ export class MetaCognitionLayer {
             reportCards: cards,
             recentAdjustments: recentAdj,
             cycleMetrics: totalMetrics,
+            latestTrend: this.getLatestTrend(),
+            trendDirection: this.getCurrentTrendDirection(),
         };
     }
     scoreToGrade(score) {

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package/dist/metacognition/self-test-engine.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,52 @@
+import type Database from 'better-sqlite3';
+import type { ThoughtStream } from '../consciousness/thought-stream.js';
+import type { KnowledgeDistiller } from '../research/knowledge-distiller.js';
+import type { PredictionEngine } from '../prediction/prediction-engine.js';
+import type { HypothesisEngine } from '../hypothesis/engine.js';
+export interface SelfTest {
+    id?: number;
+    principleStatement: string;
+    derivedPrediction: string;
+    predictionResult: 'untested' | 'confirmed' | 'contradicted' | 'inconclusive';
+    understandingDepth: number;
+    testedAt: string;
+}
+export interface UnderstandingReport {
+    totalTested: number;
+    deepUnderstanding: number;
+    shallowUnderstanding: number;
+    untested: number;
+    avgDepth: number;
+    weakestPrinciples: SelfTest[];
+}
+export interface SelfTestStatus {
+    totalTests: number;
+    confirmed: number;
+    contradicted: number;
+    inconclusive: number;
+    avgDepth: number;
+}
+export declare function runSelfTestMigration(db: Database.Database): void;
+export declare class SelfTestEngine {
+    private db;
+    private log;
+    private thoughtStream;
+    private distiller;
+    private predictionEngine;
+    private hypothesisEngine;
+    constructor(db: Database.Database);
+    setThoughtStream(stream: ThoughtStream): void;
+    setKnowledgeDistiller(distiller: KnowledgeDistiller): void;
+    setPredictionEngine(engine: PredictionEngine): void;
+    setHypothesisEngine(engine: HypothesisEngine): void;
+    /** Test if brain truly understands a principle by checking predictions + hypotheses. */
+    testPrinciple(statement: string): SelfTest;
+    /** Test all confirmed principles from KnowledgeDistiller. */
+    testAll(): SelfTest[];
+    /** Generate an understanding report. */
+    getUnderstandingReport(): UnderstandingReport;
+    /** Get status summary. */
+    getStatus(): SelfTestStatus;
+    private toSelfTest;
+    private extractKeywords;
+}

package/dist/metacognition/self-test-engine.js

@@ -0,0 +1,210 @@
+import { getLogger } from '../utils/logger.js';
+// ── Migration ───────────────────────────────────────────
+export function runSelfTestMigration(db) {
+    db.exec(`
+    CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS self_tests (
+      id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY AUTOINCREMENT,
+      principle_statement TEXT NOT NULL,
+      derived_prediction TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '',
+      prediction_result TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT 'untested',
+      understanding_depth REAL NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      tested_at TEXT DEFAULT (datetime('now'))
+    );
+    CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_self_tests_result ON self_tests(prediction_result);
+  `);
+}
+// ── Engine ──────────────────────────────────────────────
+export class SelfTestEngine {
+    db;
+    log = getLogger();
+    thoughtStream = null;
+    distiller = null;
+    predictionEngine = null;
+    hypothesisEngine = null;
+    constructor(db) {
+        this.db = db;
+        runSelfTestMigration(db);
+    }
+    setThoughtStream(stream) {
+        this.thoughtStream = stream;
+    }
+    setKnowledgeDistiller(distiller) {
+        this.distiller = distiller;
+    }
+    setPredictionEngine(engine) {
+        this.predictionEngine = engine;
+    }
+    setHypothesisEngine(engine) {
+        this.hypothesisEngine = engine;
+    }
+    /** Test if brain truly understands a principle by checking predictions + hypotheses. */
+    testPrinciple(statement) {
+        const keywords = this.extractKeywords(statement);
+        let matchingConfirmed = 0;
+        let matchingPredictions = 0;
+        let hypothesisConfidence = 0;
+        let derivedPrediction = '';
+        // 1. Check predictions that match the principle keywords
+        if (this.predictionEngine) {
+            try {
+                const predictions = this.predictionEngine.list(undefined, undefined, 100);
+                for (const pred of predictions) {
+                    const predText = `${pred.metric} ${pred.reasoning ?? ''}`.toLowerCase();
+                    const matchCount = keywords.filter(kw => predText.includes(kw)).length;
+                    if (matchCount >= 1) {
+                        matchingPredictions++;
+                        if (pred.status === 'correct') {
+                            matchingConfirmed++;
+                            if (!derivedPrediction) {
+                                derivedPrediction = `Prediction "${pred.metric}" (${pred.predicted_direction}) matches this principle`;
+                            }
+                        }
+                    }
+                }
+            }
+            catch { /* predictions table might not exist */ }
+        }
+        // 2. Check hypotheses that relate to this principle
+        if (this.hypothesisEngine) {
+            try {
+                const hypotheses = this.hypothesisEngine.list(undefined, 100);
+                let totalConf = 0;
+                let matchCount = 0;
+                for (const hyp of hypotheses) {
+                    const hypText = `${hyp.statement} ${hyp.type}`.toLowerCase();
+                    const kwMatches = keywords.filter(kw => hypText.includes(kw)).length;
+                    if (kwMatches >= 1) {
+                        matchCount++;
+                        totalConf += hyp.confidence;
+                        if (hyp.status === 'confirmed' && !derivedPrediction) {
+                            derivedPrediction = `Hypothesis "${hyp.statement}" confirms understanding`;
+                        }
+                    }
+                }
+                hypothesisConfidence = matchCount > 0 ? totalConf / matchCount : 0;
+            }
+            catch { /* hypotheses table might not exist */ }
+        }
+        // 3. Calculate understanding depth
+        //    depth = (matchingConfirmed * 0.5 + matchingPredictions * 0.3 + hypothesisConfidence * 0.2) normalized 0-1
+        const rawDepth = matchingConfirmed * 0.5 + matchingPredictions * 0.3 + hypothesisConfidence * 0.2;
+        const understandingDepth = Math.min(1, Math.max(0, rawDepth));
+        // 4. Determine result
+        let predictionResult;
+        if (understandingDepth >= 0.6) {
+            predictionResult = 'confirmed';
+        }
+        else if (understandingDepth <= 0.2) {
+            predictionResult = 'contradicted';
+        }
+        else {
+            predictionResult = 'inconclusive';
+        }
+        if (!derivedPrediction) {
+            derivedPrediction = `Depth ${understandingDepth.toFixed(2)}: ${matchingPredictions} predictions, ${matchingConfirmed} confirmed, hypothesis confidence ${hypothesisConfidence.toFixed(2)}`;
+        }
+        // 5. Persist
+        const result = this.db.prepare(`
+      INSERT INTO self_tests (principle_statement, derived_prediction, prediction_result, understanding_depth)
+      VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?)
+    `).run(statement, derivedPrediction, predictionResult, understandingDepth);
+        const selfTest = {
+            id: result.lastInsertRowid,
+            principleStatement: statement,
+            derivedPrediction: derivedPrediction,
+            predictionResult,
+            understandingDepth,
+            testedAt: new Date().toISOString(),
+        };
+        // 6. Emit thought
+        this.thoughtStream?.emit('self-test', 'reflecting', `Self-tested principle: "${statement.slice(0, 80)}..." → ${predictionResult} (depth: ${understandingDepth.toFixed(2)})`, predictionResult === 'confirmed' ? 'notable' : 'routine');
+        this.log.debug(`[self-test] Tested: "${statement.slice(0, 60)}..." → ${predictionResult} (depth=${understandingDepth.toFixed(3)})`);
+        return selfTest;
+    }
+    /** Test all confirmed principles from KnowledgeDistiller. */
+    testAll() {
+        if (!this.distiller)
+            return [];
+        const principles = this.distiller.getPrinciples(undefined, 100);
+        const results = [];
+        for (const p of principles) {
+            const test = this.testPrinciple(p.statement);
+            results.push(test);
+        }
+        this.log.info(`[self-test] Tested ${results.length} principles: ${results.filter(t => t.predictionResult === 'confirmed').length} confirmed, ${results.filter(t => t.predictionResult === 'contradicted').length} contradicted`);
+        return results;
+    }
+    /** Generate an understanding report. */
+    getUnderstandingReport() {
+        const allTests = this.db.prepare(`
+      SELECT * FROM self_tests ORDER BY tested_at DESC
+    `).all();
+        const tests = allTests.map(r => this.toSelfTest(r));
+        const confirmed = tests.filter(t => t.predictionResult === 'confirmed');
+        const contradicted = tests.filter(t => t.predictionResult === 'contradicted');
+        const inconclusive = tests.filter(t => t.predictionResult === 'inconclusive');
+        const untested = tests.filter(t => t.predictionResult === 'untested');
+        const avgDepth = tests.length > 0
+            ? tests.reduce((s, t) => s + t.understandingDepth, 0) / tests.length
+            : 0;
+        // Weakest = lowest depth, exclude untested
+        const testedTests = tests.filter(t => t.predictionResult !== 'untested');
+        testedTests.sort((a, b) => a.understandingDepth - b.understandingDepth);
+        return {
+            totalTested: testedTests.length,
+            deepUnderstanding: confirmed.length,
+            shallowUnderstanding: inconclusive.length,
+            untested: untested.length,
+            avgDepth,
+            weakestPrinciples: testedTests.slice(0, 5),
+        };
+    }
+    /** Get status summary. */
+    getStatus() {
+        const total = this.db.prepare('SELECT COUNT(*) as c FROM self_tests').get().c;
+        const confirmed = this.db.prepare("SELECT COUNT(*) as c FROM self_tests WHERE prediction_result = 'confirmed'").get().c;
+        const contradicted = this.db.prepare("SELECT COUNT(*) as c FROM self_tests WHERE prediction_result = 'contradicted'").get().c;
+        const inconclusive = this.db.prepare("SELECT COUNT(*) as c FROM self_tests WHERE prediction_result = 'inconclusive'").get().c;
+        const avgRow = this.db.prepare('SELECT AVG(understanding_depth) as avg FROM self_tests').get();
+        return {
+            totalTests: total,
+            confirmed,
+            contradicted,
+            inconclusive,
+            avgDepth: avgRow.avg ?? 0,
+        };
+    }
+    // ── Private ─────────────────────────────────────────────
+    toSelfTest(row) {
+        return {
+            id: row.id,
+            principleStatement: row.principle_statement,
+            derivedPrediction: row.derived_prediction,
+            predictionResult: row.prediction_result,
+            understandingDepth: row.understanding_depth,
+            testedAt: row.tested_at,
+        };
+    }
+    extractKeywords(statement) {
+        const stopwords = new Set([
+            'the', 'a', 'an', 'is', 'are', 'was', 'were', 'be', 'been', 'being',
+            'have', 'has', 'had', 'do', 'does', 'did', 'will', 'would', 'could',
+            'should', 'may', 'might', 'can', 'shall', 'to', 'of', 'in', 'for',
+            'on', 'with', 'at', 'by', 'from', 'as', 'into', 'through', 'during',
+            'before', 'after', 'above', 'below', 'between', 'out', 'off', 'over',
+            'under', 'again', 'further', 'then', 'once', 'here', 'there', 'when',
+            'where', 'why', 'how', 'all', 'each', 'every', 'both', 'few', 'more',
+            'most', 'other', 'some', 'such', 'no', 'nor', 'not', 'only', 'own',
+            'same', 'so', 'than', 'too', 'very', 'just', 'because', 'but', 'and',
+            'or', 'if', 'while', 'that', 'this', 'these', 'those', 'it', 'its',
+            'der', 'die', 'das', 'ein', 'eine', 'und', 'oder', 'aber', 'wenn',
+            'ist', 'sind', 'war', 'hat', 'mit', 'auf', 'fur', 'von', 'bei',
+        ]);
+        return statement
+            .toLowerCase()
+            .replace(/[^a-z0-9\s_-]/g, ' ')
+            .split(/\s+/)
+            .filter(w => w.length > 2 && !stopwords.has(w));
+    }
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=self-test-engine.js.map

package/dist/metacognition/self-test-engine.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/metacognition/simulation-engine.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,71 @@
+import type Database from 'better-sqlite3';
+import type { ThoughtStream } from '../consciousness/thought-stream.js';
+import type { PredictionEngine } from '../prediction/prediction-engine.js';
+import type { CausalGraph } from '../causal/engine.js';
+import type { MetaCognitionLayer } from './meta-cognition-layer.js';
+export interface SimulationOutcome {
+    metric: string;
+    predicted: number;
+    direction: 'increase' | 'decrease' | 'stable';
+    confidence: number;
+}
+export interface Simulation {
+    id?: number;
+    scenario: string;
+    parameters: Record<string, unknown>;
+    predictedOutcomes: SimulationOutcome[];
+    actualOutcomes: SimulationOutcome[] | null;
+    accuracy: number | null;
+    simulatedAt: string;
+    validatedAt: string | null;
+}
+export interface SimulationStatus {
+    totalSimulations: number;
+    validatedCount: number;
+    avgAccuracy: number;
+    recentSimulations: Simulation[];
+}
+export declare function runSimulationMigration(db: Database.Database): void;
+export declare class SimulationEngine {
+    private db;
+    private thoughtStream;
+    private predictionEngine;
+    private causalGraph;
+    private metaCognition;
+    private log;
+    constructor(db: Database.Database);
+    setThoughtStream(stream: ThoughtStream): void;
+    setPredictionEngine(engine: PredictionEngine): void;
+    setCausalGraph(graph: CausalGraph): void;
+    setMetaCognitionLayer(layer: MetaCognitionLayer): void;
+    /**
+     * Simulate a scenario: parse key metrics, find downstream causal effects,
+     * predict directions and magnitudes, persist and return.
+     */
+    simulate(scenario: string): Simulation;
+    /** Shortcut: simulate what happens when a metric changes by a multiplier. */
+    whatIf(metric: string, multiplier: number): Simulation;
+    /** Validate a simulation against actual outcomes. */
+    validateSimulation(id: number, actualOutcomes: SimulationOutcome[]): Simulation | null;
+    /** List recent simulations. */
+    listSimulations(limit?: number): Simulation[];
+    /** Get overall accuracy metrics. */
+    getAccuracy(): {
+        avgAccuracy: number;
+        validatedCount: number;
+        totalSimulations: number;
+    };
+    /** Get status summary. */
+    getStatus(): SimulationStatus;
+    private toSimulation;
+    /**
+     * Parse a scenario string into metric+multiplier pairs.
+     * Supports patterns like:
+     *   "error_rate doubles"       → { metric: 'error_rate', multiplier: 2 }
+     *   "error_rate triples"       → { metric: 'error_rate', multiplier: 3 }
+     *   "error_rate halves"        → { metric: 'error_rate', multiplier: 0.5 }
+     *   "error_rate increases by 50%"  → { metric: 'error_rate', multiplier: 1.5 }
+     *   "error_rate decreases by 30%"  → { metric: 'error_rate', multiplier: 0.7 }
+     */
+    private parseScenario;
+}