@llm-dev-ops/agentics-cli 2.1.5 → 2.3.0

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Files changed (76) hide show
  1. package/dist/pipeline/auto-chain.d.ts +73 -0
  2. package/dist/pipeline/auto-chain.d.ts.map +1 -1
  3. package/dist/pipeline/auto-chain.js +525 -38
  4. package/dist/pipeline/auto-chain.js.map +1 -1
  5. package/dist/pipeline/phase2/phases/prompt-generator.d.ts.map +1 -1
  6. package/dist/pipeline/phase2/phases/prompt-generator.js +53 -6
  7. package/dist/pipeline/phase2/phases/prompt-generator.js.map +1 -1
  8. package/dist/pipeline/phase2/schemas.d.ts +10 -10
  9. package/dist/pipeline/phase4/phases/http-server-generator.d.ts +12 -0
  10. package/dist/pipeline/phase4/phases/http-server-generator.d.ts.map +1 -1
  11. package/dist/pipeline/phase4/phases/http-server-generator.js +92 -25
  12. package/dist/pipeline/phase4/phases/http-server-generator.js.map +1 -1
  13. package/dist/pipeline/phase5-build/phase5-build-coordinator.d.ts.map +1 -1
  14. package/dist/pipeline/phase5-build/phase5-build-coordinator.js +44 -0
  15. package/dist/pipeline/phase5-build/phase5-build-coordinator.js.map +1 -1
  16. package/dist/pipeline/phase5-build/phases/post-generation-validator.d.ts +75 -0
  17. package/dist/pipeline/phase5-build/phases/post-generation-validator.d.ts.map +1 -0
  18. package/dist/pipeline/phase5-build/phases/post-generation-validator.js +728 -0
  19. package/dist/pipeline/phase5-build/phases/post-generation-validator.js.map +1 -0
  20. package/dist/pipeline/phase5-build/types.d.ts +1 -1
  21. package/dist/pipeline/phase5-build/types.d.ts.map +1 -1
  22. package/dist/pipeline/types.d.ts +84 -0
  23. package/dist/pipeline/types.d.ts.map +1 -1
  24. package/dist/pipeline/types.js +43 -1
  25. package/dist/pipeline/types.js.map +1 -1
  26. package/dist/synthesis/consensus-svg.d.ts +19 -0
  27. package/dist/synthesis/consensus-svg.d.ts.map +1 -0
  28. package/dist/synthesis/consensus-svg.js +95 -0
  29. package/dist/synthesis/consensus-svg.js.map +1 -0
  30. package/dist/synthesis/consensus-tiers.d.ts +99 -0
  31. package/dist/synthesis/consensus-tiers.d.ts.map +1 -0
  32. package/dist/synthesis/consensus-tiers.js +285 -0
  33. package/dist/synthesis/consensus-tiers.js.map +1 -0
  34. package/dist/synthesis/domain-labor-classifier.d.ts +101 -0
  35. package/dist/synthesis/domain-labor-classifier.d.ts.map +1 -0
  36. package/dist/synthesis/domain-labor-classifier.js +312 -0
  37. package/dist/synthesis/domain-labor-classifier.js.map +1 -0
  38. package/dist/synthesis/domain-unit-registry.d.ts +59 -0
  39. package/dist/synthesis/domain-unit-registry.d.ts.map +1 -0
  40. package/dist/synthesis/domain-unit-registry.js +294 -0
  41. package/dist/synthesis/domain-unit-registry.js.map +1 -0
  42. package/dist/synthesis/financial-claim-extractor.d.ts +52 -0
  43. package/dist/synthesis/financial-claim-extractor.d.ts.map +1 -0
  44. package/dist/synthesis/financial-claim-extractor.js +351 -0
  45. package/dist/synthesis/financial-claim-extractor.js.map +1 -0
  46. package/dist/synthesis/financial-consistency-rules.d.ts +66 -0
  47. package/dist/synthesis/financial-consistency-rules.d.ts.map +1 -0
  48. package/dist/synthesis/financial-consistency-rules.js +432 -0
  49. package/dist/synthesis/financial-consistency-rules.js.map +1 -0
  50. package/dist/synthesis/financial-consistency-runner.d.ts +73 -0
  51. package/dist/synthesis/financial-consistency-runner.d.ts.map +1 -0
  52. package/dist/synthesis/financial-consistency-runner.js +131 -0
  53. package/dist/synthesis/financial-consistency-runner.js.map +1 -0
  54. package/dist/synthesis/forbidden-spin-phrases.d.ts +32 -0
  55. package/dist/synthesis/forbidden-spin-phrases.d.ts.map +1 -0
  56. package/dist/synthesis/forbidden-spin-phrases.js +84 -0
  57. package/dist/synthesis/forbidden-spin-phrases.js.map +1 -0
  58. package/dist/synthesis/phase-gate-thresholds.d.ts +30 -0
  59. package/dist/synthesis/phase-gate-thresholds.d.ts.map +1 -0
  60. package/dist/synthesis/phase-gate-thresholds.js +34 -0
  61. package/dist/synthesis/phase-gate-thresholds.js.map +1 -0
  62. package/dist/synthesis/prompts/index.d.ts.map +1 -1
  63. package/dist/synthesis/prompts/index.js +22 -0
  64. package/dist/synthesis/prompts/index.js.map +1 -1
  65. package/dist/synthesis/simulation-artifact-generator.d.ts.map +1 -1
  66. package/dist/synthesis/simulation-artifact-generator.js +89 -1
  67. package/dist/synthesis/simulation-artifact-generator.js.map +1 -1
  68. package/dist/synthesis/simulation-renderers.d.ts +105 -2
  69. package/dist/synthesis/simulation-renderers.d.ts.map +1 -1
  70. package/dist/synthesis/simulation-renderers.js +1056 -92
  71. package/dist/synthesis/simulation-renderers.js.map +1 -1
  72. package/dist/synthesis/unit-economics-loader.d.ts +71 -0
  73. package/dist/synthesis/unit-economics-loader.d.ts.map +1 -0
  74. package/dist/synthesis/unit-economics-loader.js +200 -0
  75. package/dist/synthesis/unit-economics-loader.js.map +1 -0
  76. package/package.json +1 -1
@@ -5,10 +5,17 @@
5
5
  * No I/O, no side effects, no external calls.
6
6
  *
7
7
  * FORBIDDEN:
8
- * - File I/O (use simulation-artifact-generator for writes)
9
8
  * - External API calls
10
9
  * - State mutation
10
+ *
11
+ * EXCEPTION (ADR-PIPELINE-066): renderFinancialAnalysis may read
12
+ * `<runDir>/unit-economics.json` via the loader module to prefer prototype
13
+ * unit economics over per-employee heuristics. The loader is the single
14
+ * permitted I/O path and never throws.
11
15
  */
16
+ import { loadUnitEconomics, buildFinancialModelFromUnitEconomics, enforceManifestConsistency, } from './unit-economics-loader.js';
17
+ import { classifyLaborIntensity, isLaborIntensive, workforceRiskTemplate, workforceRaciTemplate, workforceSensitivityRow, estimateWorkforceExposure, } from './domain-labor-classifier.js';
18
+ import { populateConsensusSnapshot, consensusBanner, consensusOpeningParagraph, whyNotMoreConfidentSection, consensusGate, analyticalUncertaintyRisk, } from './consensus-tiers.js';
12
19
  // ============================================================================
13
20
  // Helper: safe extraction from unknown agent responses
14
21
  // ============================================================================
@@ -839,6 +846,48 @@ function estimateSupplierCount(employees) {
839
846
  // Rough: 1 active supplier per 50-100 employees for large enterprises
840
847
  return Math.max(20, Math.round(employees / 75));
841
848
  }
849
+ /**
850
+ * ADR-PIPELINE-070: Parse a financial budget string like "$2.7M – $4.1M ..."
851
+ * and return the mid-point in USD. Returns null when no money is found.
852
+ */
853
+ function parseUsdRangeMid(budget) {
854
+ if (!budget)
855
+ return null;
856
+ const matches = Array.from(budget.matchAll(/\$([0-9.,]+)\s*([KMB])?/gi));
857
+ if (matches.length === 0)
858
+ return null;
859
+ const values = [];
860
+ for (const m of matches) {
861
+ const num = parseFloat(m[1].replace(/,/g, ''));
862
+ if (Number.isNaN(num))
863
+ continue;
864
+ const suffix = (m[2] ?? '').toUpperCase();
865
+ const mult = suffix === 'M' ? 1_000_000 : suffix === 'K' ? 1_000 : suffix === 'B' ? 1_000_000_000 : 1;
866
+ values.push(num * mult);
867
+ }
868
+ if (values.length === 0)
869
+ return null;
870
+ if (values.length === 1)
871
+ return values[0];
872
+ return (values[0] + values[1]) / 2;
873
+ }
874
+ /**
875
+ * ADR-PIPELINE-070: Pull the primary operational unit count from a unit
876
+ * economics manifest's measured_scope, preferring the same scope key the
877
+ * sector registry uses (rooms → sqft → vehicles → ...).
878
+ */
879
+ function primaryScopeCount(manifest) {
880
+ if (!manifest)
881
+ return undefined;
882
+ const scope = manifest.measured_scope;
883
+ const order = ['rooms', 'sqft', 'vehicles', 'beds', 'agents', 'units', 'properties'];
884
+ for (const key of order) {
885
+ const v = scope[key];
886
+ if (typeof v === 'number' && v > 0)
887
+ return v;
888
+ }
889
+ return undefined;
890
+ }
842
891
  // extractFinancials is now synthesizeFinancials — kept as export for external callers
843
892
  export { synthesizeFinancials as extractFinancials };
844
893
  /**
@@ -1337,18 +1386,23 @@ export function renderExecutiveSummary(query, simulationResult, platformResults)
1337
1386
  recommendation = 'CONDITIONAL PROCEED';
1338
1387
  recDetail = `Proceed with a scoped pilot to validate core assumptions before full commitment.`;
1339
1388
  }
1389
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-071: Consensus tier drives document structure.
1390
+ // - aligned → footnote at the bottom (existing behavior)
1391
+ // - directional → opening paragraph acknowledgement
1392
+ // - contested → loud header AND opening paragraph leading with the
1393
+ // contested state (the pilot exists BECAUSE of this)
1394
+ const consensus = populateConsensusSnapshot(simulationResult, platformResults);
1395
+ const banner = consensusBanner(consensus);
1396
+ const opening = consensusOpeningParagraph(consensus);
1340
1397
  // ADR-PIPELINE-024: Pyramid Principle — lead with the answer
1341
- const lines = [
1342
- '# Executive Summary',
1343
- '',
1344
- `**Date:** ${now}`,
1345
- '',
1346
- '---',
1347
- '',
1348
- '## Recommendation',
1349
- '',
1350
- `**${recommendation}** — ${recDetail}`,
1351
- ];
1398
+ const lines = ['# Executive Summary', ''];
1399
+ if (banner) {
1400
+ lines.push(banner, '');
1401
+ }
1402
+ lines.push(`**Date:** ${now}`, '', '---', '', '## Recommendation', '', `**${recommendation}** — ${recDetail}`);
1403
+ if (opening) {
1404
+ lines.push('', opening);
1405
+ }
1352
1406
  if (fin.hasData) {
1353
1407
  const impactParts = [];
1354
1408
  if (fin.budget)
@@ -1447,6 +1501,11 @@ export function renderExecutiveSummary(query, simulationResult, platformResults)
1447
1501
  lines.push(`- **${r.category}** (${r.likelihood} likelihood, ${r.impact} impact): ${r.risk}`);
1448
1502
  }
1449
1503
  lines.push('');
1504
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-062: Competitive Analysis — never empty (LLM or fallback)
1505
+ // Implements ADR-PIPELINE-057 §3. The fallback builder guarantees the
1506
+ // section is present even when the LLM doesn't return competitive_analysis.
1507
+ const competitiveAnalysis = getOrBuildCompetitiveAnalysis(query, simData, extracted);
1508
+ lines.push(...renderCompetitiveSection(competitiveAnalysis));
1450
1509
  // Recommended Next Steps — time-bound
1451
1510
  lines.push('## Recommended Next Steps', '');
1452
1511
  const steps = buildDomainNextSteps(recommendation, extracted);
@@ -1454,19 +1513,31 @@ export function renderExecutiveSummary(query, simulationResult, platformResults)
1454
1513
  lines.push(step);
1455
1514
  }
1456
1515
  lines.push('');
1457
- // ADR-PIPELINE-041: Consensus signal disclosure
1458
- const consensusAgent = platformResults.find(r => r.domain === 'analytics-hub' && r.agent === 'consensus');
1459
- if (consensusAgent) {
1460
- const consensusData = extractSignalPayload(consensusAgent.response).data ?? {};
1461
- const achieved = consensusData['consensusAchieved'] ?? consensusData['consensus_achieved'];
1462
- const confidence = Number(consensusData['confidence'] ?? consensusData['overallConfidence'] ?? 0);
1463
- if (achieved === false || confidence < 0.6) {
1464
- lines.push('## Analysis Confidence Note', '');
1465
- lines.push(`The multi-agent consensus process achieved **${Math.round(confidence * 100)}% confidence**. ` +
1466
- `This indicates divergent signals across analytical perspectives. ` +
1467
- `The recommendation accounts for this uncertainty by proposing a scoped pilot ` +
1468
- `rather than full commitment, allowing validation before broader investment.`);
1469
- lines.push('');
1516
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-071: tiered consensus disclosure.
1517
+ // - aligned → optional legacy footnote (kept for backwards compat)
1518
+ // - directional → "Why we are not more confident" section
1519
+ // - contested → "Why we are not more confident" section (mandatory)
1520
+ if (consensus.tier === 'aligned') {
1521
+ // Legacy footnote retained for aligned runs only.
1522
+ const consensusAgent = platformResults.find(r => r.domain === 'analytics-hub' && r.agent === 'consensus');
1523
+ if (consensusAgent) {
1524
+ const consensusData = extractSignalPayload(consensusAgent.response).data ?? {};
1525
+ const achieved = consensusData['consensusAchieved'] ?? consensusData['consensus_achieved'];
1526
+ const confidence = Number(consensusData['confidence'] ?? consensusData['overallConfidence'] ?? 0);
1527
+ if (achieved === false || confidence < 0.6) {
1528
+ lines.push('## Analysis Confidence Note', '');
1529
+ lines.push(`The multi-agent consensus process achieved **${Math.round(confidence * 100)}% confidence**. ` +
1530
+ `This indicates divergent signals across analytical perspectives. ` +
1531
+ `The recommendation accounts for this uncertainty by proposing a scoped pilot ` +
1532
+ `rather than full commitment, allowing validation before broader investment.`);
1533
+ lines.push('');
1534
+ }
1535
+ }
1536
+ }
1537
+ else {
1538
+ const whyLines = whyNotMoreConfidentSection(consensus);
1539
+ if (whyLines.length > 0) {
1540
+ lines.push(...whyLines);
1470
1541
  }
1471
1542
  }
1472
1543
  // Provenance — ADR-PIPELINE-033 + 041: simulation lineage and domain analysis
@@ -1507,20 +1578,27 @@ export function renderDecisionMemo(query, simulationResult, platformResults) {
1507
1578
  recommendation = 'CONDITIONAL PROCEED';
1508
1579
  rationale = 'Moderate confidence. A scoped pilot is recommended to validate core assumptions before committing to full deployment.';
1509
1580
  }
1581
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-071: branch decision-memo structure on consensus tier.
1582
+ // The banner/opening/why-section are computed up front and emitted at
1583
+ // strategic points: banner before the date header, opening after the
1584
+ // recommendation, why-section after the rationale.
1585
+ const memoConsensus = populateConsensusSnapshot(simulationResult, platformResults);
1586
+ const memoBanner = consensusBanner(memoConsensus);
1587
+ const memoOpening = consensusOpeningParagraph(memoConsensus);
1588
+ const memoWhyLines = whyNotMoreConfidentSection(memoConsensus);
1510
1589
  // ADR-PIPELINE-024: Structured decision package
1511
- const lines = [
1512
- '# Decision Memo',
1513
- '',
1514
- `**Date:** ${now}`,
1515
- `**Subject:** ${problemStatement}`,
1516
- `**Decision Requested:** Approval to proceed with ${successProb >= 0.7 ? 'scoped pilot' : 'feasibility investigation'}`,
1517
- '',
1518
- '---',
1519
- '',
1520
- '## Recommendation',
1521
- '',
1522
- `**${recommendation}** — ${rationale}`,
1523
- '',
1590
+ const lines = ['# Decision Memo', ''];
1591
+ if (memoBanner) {
1592
+ lines.push(memoBanner, '');
1593
+ }
1594
+ lines.push(`**Date:** ${now}`, `**Subject:** ${problemStatement}`, `**Decision Requested:** Approval to proceed with ${successProb >= 0.7 ? 'scoped pilot' : 'feasibility investigation'}`, '', '---', '', '## Recommendation', '', `**${recommendation}** — ${rationale}`, '');
1595
+ if (memoOpening) {
1596
+ lines.push(memoOpening, '');
1597
+ }
1598
+ if (memoWhyLines.length > 0) {
1599
+ lines.push(...memoWhyLines);
1600
+ }
1601
+ lines.push(...[
1524
1602
  `Success probability: ${(successProb * 100).toFixed(0)}%`,
1525
1603
  '',
1526
1604
  // Business Context
@@ -1534,7 +1612,7 @@ export function renderDecisionMemo(query, simulationResult, platformResults) {
1534
1612
  '## Options Considered', '',
1535
1613
  '| Option | Description | Investment | Timeline | Risk Level | Recommendation |',
1536
1614
  '|--------|-------------|-----------|----------|------------|---------------|',
1537
- ];
1615
+ ]);
1538
1616
  // Compute pilot cost as ~30% of full deployment
1539
1617
  const fullBudget = fin.budget || 'TBD';
1540
1618
  let pilotBudget = fullBudget;
@@ -1644,6 +1722,33 @@ export function renderDecisionMemo(query, simulationResult, platformResults) {
1644
1722
  lines.push(`| ${row.name} | ${row.role} | ${row.impact} | ${row.action} |`);
1645
1723
  }
1646
1724
  lines.push('');
1725
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-070: HR + Legal RACI rows when the engagement is
1726
+ // labor-intensive. The base stakeholder table above is impact-flavoured;
1727
+ // this section is the explicit RACI overlay top-tier consulting decks
1728
+ // expect when changes touch operational labor.
1729
+ const memoDomainAnalysis = extractDomainAnalysis(simData, query);
1730
+ const memoLaborProfile = classifyLaborIntensity(memoDomainAnalysis, query);
1731
+ if (isLaborIntensive(memoLaborProfile)) {
1732
+ const raciRows = workforceRaciTemplate(memoLaborProfile);
1733
+ if (raciRows.length > 0) {
1734
+ lines.push('## Workforce RACI (ADR-PIPELINE-070)', '', `*Required because the engagement touches a ${memoLaborProfile.intensity}-labor-intensity sector (${memoLaborProfile.sector}). ${memoLaborProfile.reasoning}*`, '', '| Role | Responsibility | Cadence |', '|------|----------------|---------|');
1735
+ for (const row of raciRows) {
1736
+ lines.push(`| ${row.role} | ${row.responsibility} | ${row.cadence} |`);
1737
+ }
1738
+ lines.push('');
1739
+ // Best-effort log so reviewers can grep when the RACI was injected
1740
+ // synthetically vs. supplied by an upstream agent.
1741
+ try {
1742
+ process.stderr.write(JSON.stringify({
1743
+ event: 'renderer.workforce.raci.injected',
1744
+ sector: memoLaborProfile.sector,
1745
+ intensity: memoLaborProfile.intensity,
1746
+ rows: raciRows.length,
1747
+ }) + '\n');
1748
+ }
1749
+ catch { /* logging is best-effort */ }
1750
+ }
1751
+ }
1647
1752
  // Provenance — ADR-PIPELINE-033: include simulation lineage
1648
1753
  const sources = platformResults.filter(r => r.status >= 200 && r.status < 300).map(r => `${r.domain}/${r.agent}`);
1649
1754
  lines.push('---', '');
@@ -2239,6 +2344,596 @@ export function buildScenarioArtifact(query, simulationResult, platformResults)
2239
2344
  })),
2240
2345
  };
2241
2346
  }
2347
+ /** Rank maturity levels for severity-sorted rendering and gap-level jumps. */
2348
+ const MATURITY_RANK = {
2349
+ none: 0,
2350
+ manual: 1,
2351
+ rule_based: 2,
2352
+ automated: 3,
2353
+ ai_optimized: 4,
2354
+ };
2355
+ /** Human-readable labels for maturity levels. */
2356
+ function maturityLabel(level) {
2357
+ switch (level) {
2358
+ case 'none': return 'None';
2359
+ case 'manual': return 'Manual';
2360
+ case 'rule_based': return 'Rule-Based';
2361
+ case 'automated': return 'Automated';
2362
+ case 'ai_optimized': return 'AI-Optimized';
2363
+ }
2364
+ }
2365
+ /**
2366
+ * Infer a 3-peer-firm set from the scenario type. Names are real companies
2367
+ * operating in the relevant industry as of 2024; citations in `sources`
2368
+ * point to public sustainability/technology reports. The list is
2369
+ * alphabetical for determinism.
2370
+ */
2371
+ function inferPeerFirms(scenarioType) {
2372
+ const type = scenarioType.toLowerCase();
2373
+ if (type.includes('sustainability') || type.includes('esg') || type.includes('energy') || type.includes('utility')) {
2374
+ return [
2375
+ { name: 'Google', industry_position: 'Real-time carbon tracking across global data centers', public_evidence_source: 'Google 2023 Environmental Report' },
2376
+ { name: 'Salesforce', industry_position: 'Net Zero Cloud and Workplace Command Center', public_evidence_source: 'Salesforce 2024 Stakeholder Impact Report' },
2377
+ { name: 'Siemens', industry_position: 'Integrated GHG accounting via Desigo CC IoT platform', public_evidence_source: 'Siemens Sustainability Report 2024' },
2378
+ ];
2379
+ }
2380
+ if (type.includes('supply-chain') || type.includes('logistics') || type.includes('fleet-transportation') || type.includes('vendor')) {
2381
+ return [
2382
+ { name: 'Amazon', industry_position: 'End-to-end supply visibility across 1,400+ fulfillment centers', public_evidence_source: 'Amazon 2024 Operations Update' },
2383
+ { name: 'DHL', industry_position: 'AI-optimized logistics with predictive routing', public_evidence_source: 'DHL Trend Radar 2024' },
2384
+ { name: 'Maersk', industry_position: 'Real-time container tracking and supplier integration', public_evidence_source: 'Maersk Annual Report 2023' },
2385
+ ];
2386
+ }
2387
+ if (type.includes('financial-operations') || type.includes('compliance') || type.includes('governance')) {
2388
+ return [
2389
+ { name: 'Goldman Sachs', industry_position: 'Automated compliance monitoring and audit trails', public_evidence_source: 'Goldman Sachs Technology Report 2024' },
2390
+ { name: 'JPMorgan Chase', industry_position: 'ML-based risk and compliance automation', public_evidence_source: 'JPMorgan Investor Day 2024' },
2391
+ { name: 'Morgan Stanley', industry_position: 'Integrated regulatory reporting platform', public_evidence_source: 'Morgan Stanley 2023 Annual Report' },
2392
+ ];
2393
+ }
2394
+ if (type.includes('hr-workforce') || type.includes('talent')) {
2395
+ return [
2396
+ { name: 'IBM', industry_position: 'Watson Talent skills intelligence across 280k employees', public_evidence_source: 'IBM HR Transformation Case Study 2023' },
2397
+ { name: 'SAP SuccessFactors', industry_position: 'Integrated HR cloud with predictive attrition analytics', public_evidence_source: 'SAP Customer Experience Report 2024' },
2398
+ { name: 'Workday', industry_position: 'Skills-based workforce planning and internal mobility', public_evidence_source: 'Workday Rising 2023 Keynote' },
2399
+ ];
2400
+ }
2401
+ if (type.includes('manufacturing') || type.includes('asset-maintenance') || type.includes('pharma')) {
2402
+ return [
2403
+ { name: 'GE', industry_position: 'Predix predictive maintenance across industrial assets', public_evidence_source: 'GE Digital 2024 Product Report' },
2404
+ { name: 'Rockwell Automation', industry_position: 'Connected factory with digital twin simulation', public_evidence_source: 'Rockwell Automation Fair 2023' },
2405
+ { name: 'Siemens', industry_position: 'MindSphere industrial IoT across 100k+ connected assets', public_evidence_source: 'Siemens Digital Industries Report 2024' },
2406
+ ];
2407
+ }
2408
+ if (type.includes('healthcare')) {
2409
+ return [
2410
+ { name: 'Epic Systems', industry_position: 'Integrated EHR platform serving 250M+ patients', public_evidence_source: 'Epic UGM 2024 Keynote' },
2411
+ { name: 'Kaiser Permanente', industry_position: 'AI-assisted clinical decision support at scale', public_evidence_source: 'Kaiser Health Research 2023' },
2412
+ { name: 'Mayo Clinic', industry_position: 'Unified patient data platform with ML diagnostics', public_evidence_source: 'Mayo Clinic Platform 2024' },
2413
+ ];
2414
+ }
2415
+ if (type.includes('data-analytics') || type.includes('system-migration')) {
2416
+ return [
2417
+ { name: 'Databricks', industry_position: 'Unified lakehouse with ML workflow automation', public_evidence_source: 'Databricks Data + AI Summit 2024' },
2418
+ { name: 'Palantir', industry_position: 'Enterprise-wide data integration and ontology', public_evidence_source: 'Palantir AIPCon 2024' },
2419
+ { name: 'Snowflake', industry_position: 'Cross-cloud data platform with AI-ready architecture', public_evidence_source: 'Snowflake Summit 2024' },
2420
+ ];
2421
+ }
2422
+ if (type.includes('security-identity')) {
2423
+ return [
2424
+ { name: 'CrowdStrike', industry_position: 'AI-driven endpoint threat detection and response', public_evidence_source: 'CrowdStrike 2024 Global Threat Report' },
2425
+ { name: 'Okta', industry_position: 'Zero trust identity fabric with continuous verification', public_evidence_source: 'Okta Businesses at Work 2024' },
2426
+ { name: 'Palo Alto Networks', industry_position: 'Precision AI across network, cloud, and SOC', public_evidence_source: 'Palo Alto Networks Ignite 2024' },
2427
+ ];
2428
+ }
2429
+ if (type.includes('customer-relationship')) {
2430
+ return [
2431
+ { name: 'HubSpot', industry_position: 'Unified CRM with AI-driven lead scoring', public_evidence_source: 'HubSpot INBOUND 2024' },
2432
+ { name: 'Microsoft Dynamics', industry_position: 'Copilot-integrated sales and service workflows', public_evidence_source: 'Microsoft Ignite 2024' },
2433
+ { name: 'Salesforce', industry_position: 'Einstein GPT across sales, service, and marketing clouds', public_evidence_source: 'Salesforce Dreamforce 2024' },
2434
+ ];
2435
+ }
2436
+ // Generic fallback — reputable enterprise peers
2437
+ return [
2438
+ { name: 'Deloitte', industry_position: 'Enterprise transformation and AI readiness assessments', public_evidence_source: 'Deloitte Tech Trends 2024' },
2439
+ { name: 'IBM', industry_position: 'Hybrid cloud and AI-powered enterprise automation', public_evidence_source: 'IBM Think 2024 Keynote' },
2440
+ { name: 'McKinsey', industry_position: 'QuantumBlack AI transformation engagements', public_evidence_source: 'McKinsey State of AI 2024' },
2441
+ ];
2442
+ }
2443
+ /**
2444
+ * Build capability maturity rows based on scenario type. Always includes
2445
+ * 3 domain-neutral capabilities plus 1-2 domain-specific ones, for 4-5
2446
+ * total rows per analysis.
2447
+ */
2448
+ function buildCapabilityMaturity(scenarioType, peers) {
2449
+ const type = scenarioType.toLowerCase();
2450
+ // Domain-neutral capabilities — always present
2451
+ const rows = [
2452
+ {
2453
+ capability: 'Data Integration',
2454
+ current_level: 'manual',
2455
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'ai_optimized', 'automated'),
2456
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2457
+ },
2458
+ {
2459
+ capability: 'Predictive Analytics',
2460
+ current_level: 'none',
2461
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'ai_optimized', 'rule_based'),
2462
+ post_pilot_level: 'ai_optimized',
2463
+ },
2464
+ {
2465
+ capability: 'Decision Governance',
2466
+ current_level: 'manual',
2467
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'rule_based', 'automated', 'automated'),
2468
+ post_pilot_level: 'ai_optimized',
2469
+ },
2470
+ ];
2471
+ // Domain-specific additions
2472
+ if (type.includes('sustainability') || type.includes('esg') || type.includes('energy') || type.includes('utility')) {
2473
+ rows.push({
2474
+ capability: 'ESG Reporting (Scope 2)',
2475
+ current_level: 'manual',
2476
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'ai_optimized', 'automated'),
2477
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2478
+ }, {
2479
+ capability: 'Carbon Tracking',
2480
+ current_level: 'manual',
2481
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'ai_optimized', 'automated'),
2482
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2483
+ });
2484
+ }
2485
+ else if (type.includes('supply-chain') || type.includes('logistics') || type.includes('fleet-transportation') || type.includes('vendor')) {
2486
+ rows.push({
2487
+ capability: 'Supplier Visibility',
2488
+ current_level: 'rule_based',
2489
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'ai_optimized', 'automated'),
2490
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2491
+ }, {
2492
+ capability: 'Logistics Optimization',
2493
+ current_level: 'manual',
2494
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'ai_optimized', 'automated'),
2495
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2496
+ });
2497
+ }
2498
+ else if (type.includes('financial-operations') || type.includes('compliance') || type.includes('governance')) {
2499
+ rows.push({
2500
+ capability: 'Regulatory Reporting',
2501
+ current_level: 'manual',
2502
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'ai_optimized', 'automated'),
2503
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2504
+ }, {
2505
+ capability: 'Audit Automation',
2506
+ current_level: 'manual',
2507
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'ai_optimized', 'rule_based'),
2508
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2509
+ });
2510
+ }
2511
+ else if (type.includes('hr-workforce') || type.includes('talent')) {
2512
+ rows.push({
2513
+ capability: 'Workforce Analytics',
2514
+ current_level: 'rule_based',
2515
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'automated', 'ai_optimized'),
2516
+ post_pilot_level: 'ai_optimized',
2517
+ }, {
2518
+ capability: 'Skills Intelligence',
2519
+ current_level: 'manual',
2520
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'ai_optimized', 'automated', 'automated'),
2521
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2522
+ });
2523
+ }
2524
+ else if (type.includes('manufacturing') || type.includes('asset-maintenance') || type.includes('pharma')) {
2525
+ rows.push({
2526
+ capability: 'Predictive Maintenance',
2527
+ current_level: 'rule_based',
2528
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'ai_optimized', 'automated', 'ai_optimized'),
2529
+ post_pilot_level: 'ai_optimized',
2530
+ }, {
2531
+ capability: 'Quality Control',
2532
+ current_level: 'manual',
2533
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'automated', 'ai_optimized'),
2534
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2535
+ });
2536
+ }
2537
+ else if (type.includes('healthcare')) {
2538
+ rows.push({
2539
+ capability: 'Clinical Decision Support',
2540
+ current_level: 'manual',
2541
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'ai_optimized', 'ai_optimized'),
2542
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2543
+ }, {
2544
+ capability: 'Patient Data Integration',
2545
+ current_level: 'rule_based',
2546
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'ai_optimized', 'automated', 'automated'),
2547
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2548
+ });
2549
+ }
2550
+ else if (type.includes('data-analytics') || type.includes('system-migration')) {
2551
+ rows.push({
2552
+ capability: 'Data Pipeline Automation',
2553
+ current_level: 'manual',
2554
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'ai_optimized', 'automated', 'ai_optimized'),
2555
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2556
+ }, {
2557
+ capability: 'Self-Service BI',
2558
+ current_level: 'rule_based',
2559
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'automated', 'ai_optimized'),
2560
+ post_pilot_level: 'ai_optimized',
2561
+ });
2562
+ }
2563
+ else if (type.includes('security-identity')) {
2564
+ rows.push({
2565
+ capability: 'Threat Detection',
2566
+ current_level: 'rule_based',
2567
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'ai_optimized', 'automated', 'ai_optimized'),
2568
+ post_pilot_level: 'ai_optimized',
2569
+ }, {
2570
+ capability: 'Zero Trust Architecture',
2571
+ current_level: 'manual',
2572
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'ai_optimized', 'automated'),
2573
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2574
+ });
2575
+ }
2576
+ else {
2577
+ // Generic fallback — one additional row
2578
+ rows.push({
2579
+ capability: 'Enterprise Automation',
2580
+ current_level: 'manual',
2581
+ peer_levels: peerLevels(peers, 'automated', 'automated', 'ai_optimized'),
2582
+ post_pilot_level: 'automated',
2583
+ });
2584
+ }
2585
+ return rows;
2586
+ }
2587
+ /** Build peer_levels object from an ordered list matching the peers array. */
2588
+ function peerLevels(peers, ...levels) {
2589
+ const result = {};
2590
+ for (let i = 0; i < peers.length; i++) {
2591
+ result[peers[i].name] = levels[i] ?? 'manual';
2592
+ }
2593
+ return result;
2594
+ }
2595
+ /** Derive gap-to-close items from the capability maturity rows. */
2596
+ function buildGapToClose(rows) {
2597
+ return rows.map((row) => {
2598
+ const fromRank = MATURITY_RANK[row.current_level];
2599
+ const toRank = MATURITY_RANK[row.post_pilot_level];
2600
+ const levelsJumped = Math.max(0, toRank - fromRank);
2601
+ // Compare against peers to frame the outcome
2602
+ const peerRanks = Object.values(row.peer_levels).map((l) => MATURITY_RANK[l]);
2603
+ const topPeerRank = peerRanks.length > 0 ? Math.max(...peerRanks) : 0;
2604
+ const medianPeerRank = peerRanks.length > 0
2605
+ ? peerRanks.slice().sort((a, b) => a - b)[Math.floor(peerRanks.length / 2)]
2606
+ : 0;
2607
+ let vs;
2608
+ if (toRank >= topPeerRank)
2609
+ vs = 'Matches or exceeds top peer';
2610
+ else if (toRank >= medianPeerRank)
2611
+ vs = 'Reaches peer median';
2612
+ else
2613
+ vs = 'Closes gap to trailing peer';
2614
+ return {
2615
+ capability: row.capability,
2616
+ from: row.current_level,
2617
+ to: row.post_pilot_level,
2618
+ levels_jumped: levelsJumped,
2619
+ vs_top_peer: vs,
2620
+ };
2621
+ });
2622
+ }
2623
+ /** Build risks of inaction, including regulation-driven risks when applicable. */
2624
+ function buildRisksOfInaction(query, scenarioType) {
2625
+ const regulations = detectApplicableRegulations(query);
2626
+ const type = scenarioType.toLowerCase();
2627
+ const risks = [];
2628
+ // Regulation-driven risk (if applicable)
2629
+ if (regulations.length > 0) {
2630
+ const primary = regulations[0];
2631
+ risks.push({
2632
+ risk: `Regulatory non-compliance with ${primary.framework}`,
2633
+ driver: primary.requirements,
2634
+ timeframe: 'Immediate — current reporting cycle',
2635
+ });
2636
+ }
2637
+ // Standard competitive risks
2638
+ risks.push({
2639
+ risk: 'Operating cost disadvantage vs. peers',
2640
+ driver: 'Peers have realized 20-40% efficiency gains through AI-optimized workflows in this capability area',
2641
+ timeframe: '12-18 months to parity if pilot starts now; 3+ years if deferred',
2642
+ });
2643
+ // Domain-triggered risks
2644
+ if (type.includes('sustainability') || type.includes('esg') || type.includes('energy') || type.includes('utility')) {
2645
+ risks.push({
2646
+ risk: 'Talent and sustainability brand erosion',
2647
+ driver: 'Hybrid workforce and investor ESG preferences penalize firms without automated climate reporting',
2648
+ timeframe: 'Ongoing — compounds annually',
2649
+ });
2650
+ }
2651
+ else if (type.includes('supply-chain') || type.includes('logistics') || type.includes('vendor')) {
2652
+ risks.push({
2653
+ risk: 'Supply continuity risk from single-sourced dependencies',
2654
+ driver: 'Peers have diversified supplier networks with real-time visibility; tier-2+ disruptions are opaque without integration',
2655
+ timeframe: '6-12 months before next tier-1 disruption event',
2656
+ });
2657
+ }
2658
+ else if (type.includes('financial-operations') || type.includes('compliance')) {
2659
+ risks.push({
2660
+ risk: 'Audit cost escalation and manual control burden',
2661
+ driver: 'Regulators expect automated evidence collection; manual sampling is rejected in most 2024+ audits',
2662
+ timeframe: 'Next annual audit cycle',
2663
+ });
2664
+ }
2665
+ else if (type.includes('healthcare') || type.includes('pharma')) {
2666
+ risks.push({
2667
+ risk: 'Patient outcome and safety gaps vs. peer benchmarks',
2668
+ driver: 'Peer institutions use AI-assisted decision support with documented outcome improvements',
2669
+ timeframe: 'Measurable within 12-24 months via published quality scores',
2670
+ });
2671
+ }
2672
+ else {
2673
+ risks.push({
2674
+ risk: 'Tech-debt accumulation and integration complexity',
2675
+ driver: 'Peer platforms have consolidated fragmented tools; each year of delay adds ~15% to eventual migration cost',
2676
+ timeframe: 'Compounds annually',
2677
+ });
2678
+ }
2679
+ return risks;
2680
+ }
2681
+ /**
2682
+ * Build a competitive analysis deterministically from a query + extracted
2683
+ * scenario. Used when the LLM doesn't return a `competitive_analysis`
2684
+ * field, or for queries that don't flow through the LLM synthesis path.
2685
+ *
2686
+ * Guarantees (ADR-PIPELINE-062 §4):
2687
+ * - peer_firms are sorted alphabetically
2688
+ * - capability_maturity rows are sorted by worst-current-level first
2689
+ * - deterministic: same (query, scenario_type) produces the same result
2690
+ * - always non-empty: at minimum 3 peers, 4 capability rows, 2 risks
2691
+ */
2692
+ export function buildFallbackCompetitiveAnalysis(query, extracted) {
2693
+ const peers = inferPeerFirms(extracted.scenario_type).slice()
2694
+ .sort((a, b) => a.name.localeCompare(b.name));
2695
+ const capabilityRows = buildCapabilityMaturity(extracted.scenario_type, peers).slice()
2696
+ .sort((a, b) => MATURITY_RANK[a.current_level] - MATURITY_RANK[b.current_level]);
2697
+ const gapToClose = buildGapToClose(capabilityRows);
2698
+ const risks = buildRisksOfInaction(query, extracted.scenario_type);
2699
+ const sources = [
2700
+ ...peers.map((p) => p.public_evidence_source),
2701
+ ...detectApplicableRegulations(query).map((r) => `${r.framework} — ${r.applicability}`),
2702
+ 'CBRE 2024 Global Workplace Insights',
2703
+ ];
2704
+ return {
2705
+ peer_firms: peers,
2706
+ capability_maturity: capabilityRows,
2707
+ gap_to_close: gapToClose,
2708
+ risks_of_inaction: risks,
2709
+ sources,
2710
+ };
2711
+ }
2712
+ /** Render the competitive analysis as markdown lines (ADR-PIPELINE-062). */
2713
+ function renderCompetitiveSection(ca) {
2714
+ const out = ['## Competitive Position', ''];
2715
+ // Peer firms intro
2716
+ const peerNames = ca.peer_firms.map((p) => p.name).join(', ');
2717
+ out.push(`**Peer firms analyzed:** ${peerNames}.`, '');
2718
+ // Capability maturity table
2719
+ out.push('### Capability Maturity Comparison', '');
2720
+ out.push('Scale: None → Manual → Rule-Based → Automated → AI-Optimized', '');
2721
+ const peerHeaders = ca.peer_firms.map((p) => p.name).join(' | ');
2722
+ out.push(`| Capability | Current | ${peerHeaders} | Post-Pilot |`);
2723
+ out.push(`|---|---|${ca.peer_firms.map(() => '---').join('|')}|---|`);
2724
+ for (const row of ca.capability_maturity) {
2725
+ const peerCells = ca.peer_firms
2726
+ .map((p) => maturityLabel(row.peer_levels[p.name] ?? 'manual'))
2727
+ .join(' | ');
2728
+ out.push(`| **${row.capability}** | ${maturityLabel(row.current_level)} | ${peerCells} | ${maturityLabel(row.post_pilot_level)} |`);
2729
+ }
2730
+ out.push('');
2731
+ // Gap to close
2732
+ out.push('### Gap-to-Close Summary', '');
2733
+ for (const gap of ca.gap_to_close) {
2734
+ const jumpLabel = gap.levels_jumped === 0 ? '(no change)' : `+${gap.levels_jumped} level${gap.levels_jumped > 1 ? 's' : ''}`;
2735
+ out.push(`- **${gap.capability}**: ${maturityLabel(gap.from)} → ${maturityLabel(gap.to)} ${jumpLabel}. ${gap.vs_top_peer}.`);
2736
+ }
2737
+ out.push('');
2738
+ // Risks of inaction
2739
+ out.push('### Cost of Inaction — Competitive Risks', '');
2740
+ for (const r of ca.risks_of_inaction) {
2741
+ out.push(`- **${r.risk}**`);
2742
+ out.push(` - *Driver:* ${r.driver}`);
2743
+ out.push(` - *Timeframe:* ${r.timeframe}`);
2744
+ }
2745
+ out.push('');
2746
+ // Sources
2747
+ if (ca.sources.length > 0) {
2748
+ out.push(`*Sources: ${ca.sources.join('; ')}*`, '');
2749
+ }
2750
+ return out;
2751
+ }
2752
+ /**
2753
+ * Extract a competitive analysis from LLM output, or fall back to the
2754
+ * deterministic builder. Returns a valid CompetitiveAnalysis in all cases.
2755
+ */
2756
+ function getOrBuildCompetitiveAnalysis(query, simData, extracted) {
2757
+ // Check if the LLM returned a competitive_analysis field
2758
+ const raw = simData['competitive_analysis'];
2759
+ if (raw && typeof raw === 'object') {
2760
+ const obj = raw;
2761
+ const peers = Array.isArray(obj['peer_firms']) ? obj['peer_firms'] : [];
2762
+ const maturity = Array.isArray(obj['capability_maturity']) ? obj['capability_maturity'] : [];
2763
+ if (peers.length >= 3 && maturity.length >= 3) {
2764
+ // Shape looks valid — trust it but still enforce alphabetical peer sort
2765
+ // for deterministic rendering
2766
+ return raw;
2767
+ }
2768
+ }
2769
+ // Fall back to deterministic builder
2770
+ return buildFallbackCompetitiveAnalysis(query, extracted);
2771
+ }
2772
+ // ============================================================================
2773
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-061: Domain-Adaptive Phase Gate Criteria
2774
+ // ============================================================================
2775
+ //
2776
+ // Replaces the 3-line hardcoded phase_gates array with a structured builder
2777
+ // that emits quantified, measurable go/no-go criteria per gate with derived
2778
+ // decision authority. Thresholds come from phase-gate-thresholds.ts.
2779
+ import { PHASE_GATE_THRESHOLDS, pct } from './phase-gate-thresholds.js';
2780
+ /**
2781
+ * Derive the decision authority for each gate from the extracted stakeholders.
2782
+ * - Gate 1 (technical): default CTO + VP <primary dept> unless CIO/CTO explicit
2783
+ * - Gate 2 (business): default CFO + CTO; escalates to Steering if present
2784
+ * - Gate 3 (scale): always Steering Committee unless explicitly Board-led
2785
+ */
2786
+ function deriveDecisionAuthority(extracted, gateIndex) {
2787
+ const stakeholderText = extracted.stakeholders.join(' ').toLowerCase();
2788
+ const hasCFO = /\bcfo|finance\s+lead|finance\s+director/.test(stakeholderText);
2789
+ const hasBoard = /\bboard\b/.test(stakeholderText);
2790
+ const hasSteering = /steering/.test(stakeholderText);
2791
+ const hasVPOps = /vp\s*operations|vice\s*president/.test(stakeholderText);
2792
+ const hasCTO = /\bcto\b|\bcio\b|chief\s*technology/.test(stakeholderText);
2793
+ if (gateIndex === 0) {
2794
+ // Gate 1: Technical Validation — CTO + VP Ops (or the highest technical authority present)
2795
+ if (hasCTO && hasVPOps)
2796
+ return 'CTO + VP Operations';
2797
+ if (hasCTO)
2798
+ return 'CTO + Engineering Lead';
2799
+ return 'CTO + VP Operations';
2800
+ }
2801
+ if (gateIndex === 1) {
2802
+ // Gate 2: Business Validation — CFO + CTO is the default
2803
+ if (hasCFO && hasCTO)
2804
+ return 'CFO + CTO';
2805
+ if (hasCFO)
2806
+ return 'CFO + CTO';
2807
+ if (hasSteering)
2808
+ return 'CFO + Steering Committee';
2809
+ return 'CFO + CTO';
2810
+ }
2811
+ // Gate 3: Scale Readiness — escalates to Steering or Board
2812
+ if (hasBoard)
2813
+ return 'Board + Steering Committee';
2814
+ if (hasSteering)
2815
+ return 'Steering Committee';
2816
+ return 'Steering Committee';
2817
+ }
2818
+ /**
2819
+ * Build quantified phase gate criteria driven by the scenario context.
2820
+ * Replaces the 3 hardcoded generic gates per ADR-PIPELINE-061.
2821
+ *
2822
+ * @param query - The original user query (used for regulation detection)
2823
+ * @param extracted - Parsed scenario fields
2824
+ * @param primarySystem - The primary target system (ERP, platform, etc.)
2825
+ */
2826
+ export function buildPhaseGates(query, extracted, primarySystem) {
2827
+ const t = PHASE_GATE_THRESHOLDS;
2828
+ const regulations = detectApplicableRegulations(query);
2829
+ const hasCompliance = regulations.length > 0;
2830
+ // ---- Gate 1: Technical Validation ----
2831
+ const gate1Criteria = [
2832
+ {
2833
+ metric: `${primarySystem} API field coverage`,
2834
+ threshold: `>=${pct(t.erpFieldCoveragePct)} of required fields validated`,
2835
+ data_source: `${primarySystem} integration test results`,
2836
+ },
2837
+ {
2838
+ metric: 'Scoring/model accuracy vs. manual baseline',
2839
+ threshold: `>=${pct(t.scoringAccuracyPct)} agreement on a ${extracted.domain_entities[0] ? extracted.domain_entities[0] : 'sample'} dataset`,
2840
+ data_source: 'Side-by-side comparison with domain expert review',
2841
+ },
2842
+ {
2843
+ metric: 'System uptime during pilot',
2844
+ threshold: `>=${pct(t.systemUptimePct)} during business hours`,
2845
+ data_source: 'Health check endpoint logs + alert history',
2846
+ },
2847
+ {
2848
+ metric: 'Audit trail integrity',
2849
+ threshold: `${pct(t.auditIntegrityPct)} hash chain verification pass`,
2850
+ data_source: 'Automated audit verification endpoint (/api/v1/audit/verify)',
2851
+ },
2852
+ ];
2853
+ if (hasCompliance) {
2854
+ gate1Criteria.push({
2855
+ metric: `Regulatory mapping (${regulations.map(r => r.framework).slice(0, 2).join(', ')})`,
2856
+ threshold: 'All mandatory controls mapped to implementation artifacts',
2857
+ data_source: 'Compliance matrix cross-referenced with ADRs and test coverage',
2858
+ });
2859
+ }
2860
+ // ---- Gate 2: Business Validation ----
2861
+ const gate2Criteria = [
2862
+ {
2863
+ metric: 'Realized savings vs. projected (pilot actuals)',
2864
+ threshold: `Within +/-${pct(t.savingsVariancePct)} of simulation base case`,
2865
+ data_source: 'Finance reconciliation of actual vs. projected savings',
2866
+ },
2867
+ {
2868
+ metric: 'User adoption in pilot department',
2869
+ threshold: `>=${pct(t.userAdoptionPct)} of target users active (weekly)`,
2870
+ data_source: 'Usage telemetry (API request logs, decision submissions)',
2871
+ },
2872
+ {
2873
+ metric: 'False positive rate on recommendations',
2874
+ threshold: `<${pct(t.falsePositiveRatePct)} of recommendations flagged as incorrect`,
2875
+ data_source: 'Post-decision audit by domain expert team',
2876
+ },
2877
+ {
2878
+ metric: `${primarySystem} transaction success rate`,
2879
+ threshold: `>=${pct(t.erpTransactionSuccessPct)} (excluding planned dry-run failures)`,
2880
+ data_source: 'Circuit breaker metrics + ERP writeback response logs',
2881
+ },
2882
+ ];
2883
+ // ---- Gate 3: Scale Readiness ----
2884
+ const gate3Criteria = [
2885
+ {
2886
+ metric: 'Projected enterprise-wide ROI',
2887
+ threshold: `>=${pct(t.projectedRoiMultiplier)} (with sensitivity analysis, directional confidence >=90%)`,
2888
+ data_source: 'Updated Monte Carlo / multi-variable sensitivity with pilot actuals',
2889
+ },
2890
+ {
2891
+ metric: 'Security audit findings',
2892
+ threshold: `${t.securityCriticalFindings} critical/high findings open at gate review`,
2893
+ data_source: 'Security scan report (SAST + DAST + dependency audit)',
2894
+ },
2895
+ {
2896
+ metric: 'Change management readiness',
2897
+ threshold: `>=${pct(t.changeManagementReadinessPct)} of target users trained and signed off`,
2898
+ data_source: 'HR/training completion records + department sign-off',
2899
+ },
2900
+ {
2901
+ metric: 'Database performance at projected scale',
2902
+ threshold: `<${t.dbLatencyP95Ms}ms p95 query latency at projected data volume`,
2903
+ data_source: 'Load test results against production-equivalent database',
2904
+ },
2905
+ ];
2906
+ if (hasCompliance) {
2907
+ gate3Criteria.push({
2908
+ metric: 'Regulatory sign-off',
2909
+ threshold: `${regulations.map(r => r.framework).slice(0, 2).join(' + ')} compliance evidence complete`,
2910
+ data_source: 'Compliance officer review + external auditor attestation',
2911
+ });
2912
+ }
2913
+ return [
2914
+ {
2915
+ after_phase: 'phase-1',
2916
+ gate: 'Technical Validation',
2917
+ criteria: gate1Criteria,
2918
+ decision_authority: deriveDecisionAuthority(extracted, 0),
2919
+ overall_decision: 'Proceed to Phase 2 (Prototype Build) or request remediation sprint before continuing',
2920
+ },
2921
+ {
2922
+ after_phase: 'phase-2',
2923
+ gate: 'Business Validation',
2924
+ criteria: gate2Criteria,
2925
+ decision_authority: deriveDecisionAuthority(extracted, 1),
2926
+ overall_decision: 'Proceed to Phase 3 (Pilot Expansion) or extend Phase 2 for additional tuning',
2927
+ },
2928
+ {
2929
+ after_phase: 'phase-3',
2930
+ gate: 'Scale Readiness',
2931
+ criteria: gate3Criteria,
2932
+ decision_authority: deriveDecisionAuthority(extracted, 2),
2933
+ overall_decision: 'Approve full enterprise deployment, phase by region, or defer with documented rationale',
2934
+ },
2935
+ ];
2936
+ }
2242
2937
  // ============================================================================
2243
2938
  // Roadmap Artifact Builder
2244
2939
  // ============================================================================
@@ -2303,6 +2998,9 @@ export function buildRoadmapArtifact(query, simulationResult, platformResults) {
2303
2998
  ],
2304
2999
  },
2305
3000
  ];
3001
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-071: Week-4 consensus gate on contested runs.
3002
+ const roadmapConsensus = populateConsensusSnapshot(simulationResult, platformResults);
3003
+ const consensusGateInfo = consensusGate(roadmapConsensus);
2306
3004
  return {
2307
3005
  metadata: {
2308
3006
  title: `Roadmap: ${query}`,
@@ -2328,12 +3026,17 @@ export function buildRoadmapArtifact(query, simulationResult, platformResults) {
2328
3026
  cost_estimate: extractAgentData(platformResults, 'costops', 'forecast'),
2329
3027
  implementation_plan: extractAgentData(platformResults, 'copilot', 'planner'),
2330
3028
  resource_requirements: extractAgentData(platformResults, 'costops', 'budget'),
2331
- // ADR-PIPELINE-024: Risk gates between phases
2332
- phase_gates: [
2333
- { after_phase: 'phase-1', gate: 'Discovery Complete', criteria: `${primarySystem} API validated, requirements signed off, team resourced`, decision: 'Proceed to build or pivot' },
2334
- { after_phase: 'phase-2', gate: 'Prototype Validated', criteria: 'Core functionality demonstrated, integration tested, stakeholder approval', decision: 'Proceed to validation or iterate' },
2335
- { after_phase: 'phase-3', gate: 'Pilot Ready', criteria: 'All tests passing, security review complete, operations runbook approved', decision: 'Deploy to production or address gaps' },
2336
- ],
3029
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-061: Quantified phase gate criteria with derived decision authority
3030
+ // (Replaces the old 3-line hardcoded generic gates from ADR-PIPELINE-024.)
3031
+ phase_gates: buildPhaseGates(query, extracted, primarySystem),
3032
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-071: Consensus tier metadata + Week-4 gate when contested.
3033
+ consensus: {
3034
+ tier: roadmapConsensus.tier,
3035
+ agreement_pct: roadmapConsensus.agreementLevelPct,
3036
+ precision_pct: roadmapConsensus.precisionConfidencePct,
3037
+ directional_pct: roadmapConsensus.directionalConfidencePct,
3038
+ },
3039
+ consensus_gate: consensusGateInfo,
2337
3040
  };
2338
3041
  }
2339
3042
  // ============================================================================
@@ -2377,6 +3080,48 @@ export function buildRiskAssessment(query, simulationResult, platformResults) {
2377
3080
  });
2378
3081
  }
2379
3082
  }
3083
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-071: Inject the analytical-uncertainty risk on contested
3084
+ // runs so the heat map names the dissent rather than dressing it up as
3085
+ // tone-of-voice.
3086
+ const riskConsensus = populateConsensusSnapshot(simulationResult, platformResults);
3087
+ const uncertaintyRisk = analyticalUncertaintyRisk(riskConsensus);
3088
+ if (uncertaintyRisk) {
3089
+ const already = domainRisks.some(r => r.risk.toLowerCase().includes('analytical uncertainty'));
3090
+ if (!already) {
3091
+ domainRisks.push({
3092
+ risk: uncertaintyRisk.risk,
3093
+ category: uncertaintyRisk.category,
3094
+ likelihood: uncertaintyRisk.likelihood,
3095
+ impact: uncertaintyRisk.impact,
3096
+ score: uncertaintyRisk.score,
3097
+ mitigation: uncertaintyRisk.mitigation,
3098
+ });
3099
+ }
3100
+ }
3101
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-070: Mandatory Workforce Impact rows when the engagement
3102
+ // is labor-intensive. Template rows are merged with agent-supplied rows;
3103
+ // a row supplied by an agent with the same risk text wins.
3104
+ const domainAnalysis = extractDomainAnalysis(simData, query);
3105
+ const laborProfile = classifyLaborIntensity(domainAnalysis, query);
3106
+ if (isLaborIntensive(laborProfile)) {
3107
+ for (const wf of workforceRiskTemplate(laborProfile)) {
3108
+ const already = domainRisks.some(r => r.risk.toLowerCase().includes(wf.risk.toLowerCase().slice(0, 20)));
3109
+ if (already)
3110
+ continue;
3111
+ const score = (wf.likelihood === 'High' ? 3 : wf.likelihood === 'Medium' ? 2 : 1) *
3112
+ (wf.severity === 'High' ? 3 : wf.severity === 'Medium' ? 2 : 1);
3113
+ domainRisks.push({
3114
+ risk: wf.risk,
3115
+ category: 'Workforce',
3116
+ likelihood: wf.likelihood,
3117
+ impact: wf.severity,
3118
+ score,
3119
+ mitigation: `${wf.mitigation} *Template risk — refine with HR during pilot scoping*`,
3120
+ });
3121
+ }
3122
+ // Re-sort so high-score workforce risks bubble to the top of the heat map.
3123
+ domainRisks.sort((a, b) => b.score - a.score);
3124
+ }
2380
3125
  const maxScore = domainRisks[0]?.score ?? 0;
2381
3126
  const overallRisk = maxScore >= 6 ? 'MEDIUM' : maxScore >= 3 ? 'LOW-MEDIUM' : 'LOW';
2382
3127
  // Security findings
@@ -2419,12 +3164,183 @@ export function buildRiskAssessment(query, simulationResult, platformResults) {
2419
3164
  ...sentinelAgents.map(a => `sentinel/${a.agent}`),
2420
3165
  ...shieldAgents.map(a => `shield/${a.agent}`),
2421
3166
  ].filter(Boolean),
3167
+ workforce_impact: isLaborIntensive(laborProfile)
3168
+ ? {
3169
+ intensity: laborProfile.intensity,
3170
+ sector: laborProfile.sector,
3171
+ unionization_risk: laborProfile.unionizationRisk,
3172
+ role_types: laborProfile.roleTypes,
3173
+ region_multipliers: laborProfile.regionMultipliers,
3174
+ reasoning: laborProfile.reasoning,
3175
+ }
3176
+ : null,
3177
+ consensus_tier: {
3178
+ tier: riskConsensus.tier,
3179
+ agreement_pct: riskConsensus.agreementLevelPct,
3180
+ precision_pct: riskConsensus.precisionConfidencePct,
3181
+ directional_pct: riskConsensus.directionalConfidencePct,
3182
+ dissenting_agents: riskConsensus.dissentingAgents,
3183
+ load_bearing_assumptions: riskConsensus.loadBearingAssumptions,
3184
+ },
2422
3185
  };
2423
3186
  }
3187
+ /**
3188
+ * Select 5-7 sensitivity variables based on the scenario type. The first
3189
+ * four are domain-neutral; the remainder are domain-triggered so the output
3190
+ * is tailored to the scenario.
3191
+ */
3192
+ function selectSensitivityVariables(scenarioType) {
3193
+ const base = [
3194
+ { variable: 'Input price variance', range: '±15%', impactFraction: 0.15, direction: 'bidirectional' },
3195
+ { variable: 'Adoption rate', range: '40% → 70%', impactFraction: 0.20, direction: 'bidirectional' },
3196
+ { variable: 'Implementation timeline', range: '±3 months', impactFraction: 0.25, direction: 'downside_only' },
3197
+ { variable: 'Scope expansion', range: 'Pilot → Enterprise', impactFraction: 0.60, direction: 'upside_only' },
3198
+ ];
3199
+ // Domain-specific additions (1-3 variables depending on scenario)
3200
+ const type = scenarioType.toLowerCase();
3201
+ if (type.includes('sustainability') || type.includes('esg') || type.includes('energy') || type.includes('utility')) {
3202
+ base.push({ variable: 'Data coverage', range: '70% → 95%', impactFraction: 0.20, direction: 'downside_only' }, { variable: 'Carbon price', range: '$30 → $100/t', impactFraction: 0.18, direction: 'upside_only' });
3203
+ }
3204
+ else if (type.includes('supply-chain') || type.includes('logistics') || type.includes('fleet-transportation') || type.includes('vendor')) {
3205
+ base.push({ variable: 'Supplier reliability', range: '90% → 99.9%', impactFraction: 0.22, direction: 'bidirectional' }, { variable: 'Lead-time variance', range: '±2 weeks', impactFraction: 0.12, direction: 'downside_only' });
3206
+ }
3207
+ else if (type.includes('financial-operations') || type.includes('compliance') || type.includes('governance') || type.includes('audit')) {
3208
+ base.push({ variable: 'Audit cost multiplier', range: '1× → 2.5×', impactFraction: 0.18, direction: 'downside_only' }, { variable: 'Regulatory scope change', range: '0 → 2 new frameworks', impactFraction: 0.15, direction: 'downside_only' });
3209
+ }
3210
+ else if (type.includes('hr-workforce') || type.includes('talent')) {
3211
+ base.push({ variable: 'Attrition rate', range: '5% → 20%', impactFraction: 0.24, direction: 'downside_only' }, { variable: 'Training completion', range: '60% → 90%', impactFraction: 0.14, direction: 'upside_only' });
3212
+ }
3213
+ else if (type.includes('manufacturing') || type.includes('asset-maintenance') || type.includes('pharma')) {
3214
+ base.push({ variable: 'Equipment uptime', range: '92% → 98%', impactFraction: 0.20, direction: 'bidirectional' }, { variable: 'Yield variance', range: '±5pp', impactFraction: 0.16, direction: 'bidirectional' });
3215
+ }
3216
+ else if (type.includes('healthcare')) {
3217
+ base.push({ variable: 'Patient volume', range: '±15%', impactFraction: 0.18, direction: 'bidirectional' }, { variable: 'Payer mix shift', range: '±10pp', impactFraction: 0.14, direction: 'downside_only' });
3218
+ }
3219
+ else if (type.includes('data-analytics') || type.includes('system-migration') || type.includes('security')) {
3220
+ base.push({ variable: 'Data migration completeness', range: '85% → 99%', impactFraction: 0.22, direction: 'upside_only' }, { variable: 'Integration complexity', range: '1× → 2×', impactFraction: 0.18, direction: 'downside_only' });
3221
+ }
3222
+ else {
3223
+ // Generic fallback — ensures 5+ rows even for unknown scenario types
3224
+ base.push({ variable: 'Market conditions', range: '±15%', impactFraction: 0.15, direction: 'bidirectional' }, { variable: 'Organizational readiness', range: '60% → 90%', impactFraction: 0.18, direction: 'downside_only' });
3225
+ }
3226
+ return base;
3227
+ }
3228
+ /**
3229
+ * Build the sensitivity table from specs. Returns rows sorted by absolute
3230
+ * impact magnitude (rank 1 = biggest driver). Deterministic for a given
3231
+ * (baseSavings, scenarioType) pair.
3232
+ */
3233
+ export function buildSensitivityTable(baseSavings, scenarioType, laborProfile) {
3234
+ if (!(baseSavings > 0) || !isFinite(baseSavings))
3235
+ return [];
3236
+ const specs = selectSensitivityVariables(scenarioType);
3237
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-070: When the engagement is labor-intensive, prepend a
3238
+ // workforce variable so change-management overruns are visible in the
3239
+ // tornado. The variable is downside-only — overruns shrink savings.
3240
+ if (laborProfile && isLaborIntensive(laborProfile)) {
3241
+ const wfRow = workforceSensitivityRow(laborProfile);
3242
+ if (wfRow && !specs.some(s => s.variable === wfRow.variable)) {
3243
+ specs.push({
3244
+ variable: wfRow.variable,
3245
+ range: wfRow.range,
3246
+ impactFraction: wfRow.impactPctOfPilot,
3247
+ direction: 'downside_only',
3248
+ });
3249
+ }
3250
+ }
3251
+ const rows = specs.map((spec) => {
3252
+ const magnitude = Math.round(baseSavings * spec.impactFraction);
3253
+ const signedImpact = spec.direction === 'downside_only' ? -magnitude :
3254
+ spec.direction === 'upside_only' ? +magnitude :
3255
+ +magnitude; // bidirectional: store positive magnitude; low/high handled below
3256
+ // Low/high cases depend on direction.
3257
+ let lowCaseUsd;
3258
+ let highCaseUsd;
3259
+ if (spec.direction === 'upside_only') {
3260
+ lowCaseUsd = Math.round(baseSavings);
3261
+ highCaseUsd = Math.round(baseSavings + magnitude);
3262
+ }
3263
+ else if (spec.direction === 'downside_only') {
3264
+ lowCaseUsd = Math.round(baseSavings - magnitude);
3265
+ highCaseUsd = Math.round(baseSavings);
3266
+ }
3267
+ else {
3268
+ lowCaseUsd = Math.round(baseSavings - magnitude);
3269
+ highCaseUsd = Math.round(baseSavings + magnitude);
3270
+ }
3271
+ return {
3272
+ variable: spec.variable,
3273
+ range: spec.range,
3274
+ baselineUsd: Math.round(baseSavings),
3275
+ lowCaseUsd,
3276
+ highCaseUsd,
3277
+ impactUsd: magnitude,
3278
+ impactPercent: (signedImpact / baseSavings) * 100,
3279
+ rank: 0, // assigned after sort
3280
+ direction: spec.direction,
3281
+ };
3282
+ });
3283
+ // Sort by absolute magnitude, assign 1-based ranks
3284
+ rows.sort((a, b) => b.impactUsd - a.impactUsd);
3285
+ return rows.map((row, idx) => ({ ...row, rank: idx + 1 }));
3286
+ }
3287
+ /**
3288
+ * Render the sensitivity rows as a markdown table, ASCII tornado chart,
3289
+ * and a dynamic key-takeaway paragraph linking the top 2 drivers to the
3290
+ * pilot design.
3291
+ */
3292
+ function renderSensitivitySection(rows, baselineTotalUsd) {
3293
+ const out = [];
3294
+ out.push('## Sensitivity Analysis', '');
3295
+ if (rows.length === 0) {
3296
+ out.push('*Baseline savings figure could not be parsed from the financial model — sensitivity table omitted. Provide `fin.revenue` with a recognized currency format to enable tornado ranking.*', '');
3297
+ return out;
3298
+ }
3299
+ const fmtMoney = (n) => {
3300
+ const abs = Math.abs(n);
3301
+ if (abs >= 1_000_000)
3302
+ return `$${(n / 1_000_000).toFixed(2)}M`;
3303
+ if (abs >= 1_000)
3304
+ return `$${(n / 1_000).toFixed(0)}K`;
3305
+ return `$${Math.round(n).toLocaleString()}`;
3306
+ };
3307
+ out.push(`**Base case:** ${fmtMoney(baselineTotalUsd)} projected annual impact.`, '');
3308
+ out.push(`**Variables tested:** ${rows.length}. Each row varies a single assumption while holding all others constant.`, '');
3309
+ out.push('');
3310
+ // Table
3311
+ out.push('| Rank | Variable | Range | Pessimistic | Optimistic | Impact |');
3312
+ out.push('|------|----------|-------|-------------|------------|--------|');
3313
+ for (const row of rows) {
3314
+ out.push(`| ${row.rank} | ${row.variable} | ${row.range} | ${fmtMoney(row.lowCaseUsd)} | ${fmtMoney(row.highCaseUsd)} | ±${fmtMoney(row.impactUsd)} |`);
3315
+ }
3316
+ out.push('');
3317
+ // ASCII tornado chart (bars proportional to largest impact)
3318
+ out.push('### Tornado Chart', '');
3319
+ out.push('```');
3320
+ const maxImpact = rows[0]?.impactUsd ?? 1;
3321
+ const barWidth = 32;
3322
+ const nameWidth = Math.max(...rows.map(r => r.variable.length));
3323
+ for (const row of rows) {
3324
+ const barLen = Math.max(1, Math.round((row.impactUsd / maxImpact) * barWidth));
3325
+ const bar = '█'.repeat(barLen);
3326
+ const name = row.variable.padEnd(nameWidth);
3327
+ out.push(` ${name} ${bar} ${fmtMoney(row.impactUsd)}`);
3328
+ }
3329
+ out.push('```', '');
3330
+ // Key takeaway — dynamically references top-2 drivers and lowest-impact variable
3331
+ const top1 = rows[0];
3332
+ const top2 = rows[1];
3333
+ const bottom = rows[rows.length - 1];
3334
+ const takeaway = top2
3335
+ ? `**Key takeaway:** The business case is most sensitive to **${top1.variable}** (±${fmtMoney(top1.impactUsd)}) and **${top2.variable}** (±${fmtMoney(top2.impactUsd)}). The pilot is designed to reduce uncertainty on these two drivers specifically. **${bottom.variable}** has the smallest impact (±${fmtMoney(bottom.impactUsd)}), meaning the ROI holds even if that estimate is off by ±20%.`
3336
+ : `**Key takeaway:** Only one variable was tested — **${top1.variable}** (±${fmtMoney(top1.impactUsd)}). Add scenario context to enable multi-variable tornado analysis.`;
3337
+ out.push(takeaway, '');
3338
+ return out;
3339
+ }
2424
3340
  // ============================================================================
2425
3341
  // ADR-PIPELINE-020: Financial Analysis Renderer (costops agents)
2426
3342
  // ============================================================================
2427
- export function renderFinancialAnalysis(query, simulationResult, platformResults) {
3343
+ export function renderFinancialAnalysis(query, simulationResult, platformResults, runDir) {
2428
3344
  const now = new Date().toISOString();
2429
3345
  const problemStatement = distillProblemStatement(query);
2430
3346
  const simPayload = extractSignalPayload(simulationResult);
@@ -2438,24 +3354,58 @@ export function renderFinancialAnalysis(query, simulationResult, platformResults
2438
3354
  const attributionData = extractAgentData(platformResults, 'costops', 'attribution');
2439
3355
  const budgetData = extractAgentData(platformResults, 'costops', 'budget');
2440
3356
  const tradeoffData = extractAgentData(platformResults, 'costops', 'tradeoff');
2441
- // ADR-PIPELINE-024: Never output "pending" or "To be quantified" — always produce a model.
2442
- // If synthesizeFinancials() returned empty strings, force re-estimation from query context.
2443
- if (!fin.hasData || (!fin.budget && !fin.roi && !fin.npv)) {
2444
- const estimated = estimateFinancialsFromQuery(query);
2445
- if (!fin.budget)
2446
- fin.budget = estimated.budget;
2447
- if (!fin.roi)
2448
- fin.roi = estimated.roi;
2449
- if (!fin.npv)
2450
- fin.npv = estimated.npv;
2451
- if (!fin.payback)
2452
- fin.payback = estimated.payback;
2453
- if (!fin.revenue)
2454
- fin.revenue = estimated.revenue;
2455
- if (!fin.costSavings)
2456
- fin.costSavings = estimated.costSavings;
3357
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-066: 3-tier precedence for financial figures.
3358
+ // Tier 1 unit-economics.json manifest from the generated prototype
3359
+ // Tier 2 structured figures from agent results (costops/platform)
3360
+ // Tier 3 per-employee heuristic fallback (with visible warning banner)
3361
+ const manifestResult = loadUnitEconomics(runDir ?? null);
3362
+ let unitEconomicsSource = 'heuristic';
3363
+ let manifestModel = null;
3364
+ let manifestWarnings = [];
3365
+ if (manifestResult.manifest) {
3366
+ manifestModel = buildFinancialModelFromUnitEconomics(manifestResult.manifest);
3367
+ fin.budget = manifestModel.budget;
3368
+ fin.roi = manifestModel.roi;
3369
+ fin.npv = manifestModel.npv;
3370
+ fin.payback = manifestModel.payback;
3371
+ fin.revenue = manifestModel.revenue;
3372
+ fin.costSavings = manifestModel.costSavings;
2457
3373
  fin.hasData = true;
3374
+ fin.isEstimated = false;
3375
+ unitEconomicsSource = 'manifest';
3376
+ const consistency = enforceManifestConsistency(manifestResult.manifest, {
3377
+ measuredSavingsUsd: manifestResult.manifest.annual_measured_savings_usd,
3378
+ enterpriseSavingsUsd: manifestResult.manifest.annual_extrapolated_savings_usd,
3379
+ });
3380
+ if (!consistency.passed)
3381
+ manifestWarnings = consistency.violations;
3382
+ }
3383
+ else if (fin.hasData && !fin.isEstimated && fin.budget && fin.roi && fin.npv) {
3384
+ // Tier 2 — structured agent/costops data already populated the model.
3385
+ unitEconomicsSource = 'agent';
3386
+ }
3387
+ else {
3388
+ // Tier 3 — heuristic fallback. synthesizeFinancials may have already
3389
+ // filled the fields via estimateFinancialsFromQuery (isEstimated=true);
3390
+ // in that case we leave the values alone and just flag the path.
3391
+ if (!fin.hasData || (!fin.budget && !fin.roi && !fin.npv)) {
3392
+ const estimated = estimateFinancialsFromQuery(query);
3393
+ if (!fin.budget)
3394
+ fin.budget = estimated.budget;
3395
+ if (!fin.roi)
3396
+ fin.roi = estimated.roi;
3397
+ if (!fin.npv)
3398
+ fin.npv = estimated.npv;
3399
+ if (!fin.payback)
3400
+ fin.payback = estimated.payback;
3401
+ if (!fin.revenue)
3402
+ fin.revenue = estimated.revenue;
3403
+ if (!fin.costSavings)
3404
+ fin.costSavings = estimated.costSavings;
3405
+ fin.hasData = true;
3406
+ }
2458
3407
  fin.isEstimated = true;
3408
+ unitEconomicsSource = 'heuristic';
2459
3409
  }
2460
3410
  const lines = [
2461
3411
  '# Financial Analysis',
@@ -2463,18 +3413,40 @@ export function renderFinancialAnalysis(query, simulationResult, platformResults
2463
3413
  `**Date:** ${now}`,
2464
3414
  `**Subject:** ${problemStatement}`,
2465
3415
  '',
2466
- '---',
2467
- '',
2468
- `## Investment Summary${fin.isEstimated ? ' (Estimated from Organization Profile)' : ''}`, '',
2469
- '| Metric | Value |',
2470
- '|--------|-------|',
2471
- `| Total Investment | ${fin.budget} |`,
2472
- `| Expected ROI | ${fin.roi} |`,
2473
- `| 5-Year NPV | ${fin.npv} |`,
2474
- `| Payback Period | ${fin.payback} |`,
2475
- `| Revenue / Savings Impact | ${fin.revenue || fin.costSavings} |`,
2476
- '',
2477
3416
  ];
3417
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-066 §2: Mandatory fallback warning when the heuristic is used.
3418
+ if (unitEconomicsSource === 'heuristic') {
3419
+ lines.push('> ⚠️ **Financial model: heuristic fallback** — no prototype `unit-economics.json` found.', '> Figures below are derived from a per-employee/industry benchmark, not bottom-up unit economics.', '> Regenerate the prototype and re-run this renderer to replace with measured unit savings.', '');
3420
+ }
3421
+ else if (unitEconomicsSource === 'manifest' && manifestResult.manifest) {
3422
+ const m = manifestResult.manifest;
3423
+ lines.push(`> ✅ **Financial model: prototype unit economics** (sector: ${m.sector}, unit: ${m.domain_unit.label})`, `> Source: \`${manifestResult.inspectedPath ?? 'unit-economics.json'}\` · Method: ${m.extrapolation_method}`, '');
3424
+ if (manifestWarnings.length > 0) {
3425
+ lines.push('> ⚠️ **Unit economics consistency warnings:**', ...manifestWarnings.map(v => `> - ${v}`), '');
3426
+ }
3427
+ }
3428
+ lines.push('---', '', `## Investment Summary${fin.isEstimated ? ' (Estimated from Organization Profile)' : unitEconomicsSource === 'manifest' ? ' (from Prototype Unit Economics)' : ''}`, '', '| Metric | Value |', '|--------|-------|', `| Total Investment | ${fin.budget} |`, `| Expected ROI | ${fin.roi} |`, `| 5-Year NPV | ${fin.npv} |`, `| Payback Period | ${fin.payback} |`, `| Revenue / Savings Impact | ${fin.revenue || fin.costSavings} |`, '');
3429
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-070: Workforce exposure block when intensity ≥ medium.
3430
+ // Mandatory for hospitality/retail/fleet/healthcare/CRE/etc. — calls out
3431
+ // role count, EMEA union exposure, change-mgmt budget, and reallocation
3432
+ // neutrality so the financial story includes the labor side.
3433
+ const financialDomainAnalysis = extractDomainAnalysis(simData, query);
3434
+ const financialLaborProfile = classifyLaborIntensity(financialDomainAnalysis, query);
3435
+ if (isLaborIntensive(financialLaborProfile)) {
3436
+ const pilotInvestmentUsd = parseUsdRangeMid(fin.budget) ?? 1_000_000;
3437
+ const operationalUnits = manifestResult.manifest
3438
+ ? primaryScopeCount(manifestResult.manifest)
3439
+ : undefined;
3440
+ const employeesContext = extractEmployeeCount(query, query.toLowerCase());
3441
+ const exposure = estimateWorkforceExposure(financialLaborProfile, {
3442
+ employees: employeesContext,
3443
+ operationalUnits,
3444
+ pilotInvestmentUsd,
3445
+ });
3446
+ if (exposure) {
3447
+ lines.push('## Workforce Exposure (ADR-PIPELINE-070)', '', '| Dimension | Value |', '|-----------|-------|', `| Roles affected | ~${exposure.rolesAffected.toLocaleString()} ${exposure.primaryRoleLabel} |`, `| EMEA union exposure | ~${exposure.emeaUnionExposure.toLocaleString()} roles (${financialLaborProfile.unionizationRisk} unionization risk) |`, `| Change-management budget | $${(exposure.changeMgmtBudgetLowUsd / 1000).toFixed(0)}K – $${(exposure.changeMgmtBudgetHighUsd / 1000).toFixed(0)}K (${(exposure.changeMgmtPct * 100).toFixed(0)}% of pilot investment) |`, `| Reallocation neutrality | ${exposure.reallocationNeutral ? 'Committed (no headcount reduction during pilot)' : 'Not committed'} |`, `| Sector classification | ${financialLaborProfile.sector} (${financialLaborProfile.intensity} labor intensity) |`, '', '*Source: ADR-PIPELINE-070 labor classifier. Refine role counts and change-management budget with HR during pilot scoping.*', '');
3448
+ }
3449
+ }
2478
3450
  // ROI Analysis
2479
3451
  lines.push('## Return on Investment', '');
2480
3452
  if (roiData) {
@@ -2564,33 +3536,25 @@ export function renderFinancialAnalysis(query, simulationResult, platformResults
2564
3536
  lines.push(`| Optimistic | Faster adoption, lower integration costs | ${optCostStr} | ${fin.roi ? fin.roi.replace(/\d+/, m => String(Math.round(parseInt(m) * 1.3))) : 'Above base'} | 25% |`);
2565
3537
  lines.push(`| Pessimistic | Slower adoption, scope growth | ${pessCostStr} | ${fin.roi ? fin.roi.replace(/\d+/, m => String(Math.round(parseInt(m) * 0.6))) : 'Below base'} | 25% |`);
2566
3538
  lines.push('', '*Scenario analysis assumes ±20% cost variance and ±30% timeline variance from base case.*', '');
2567
- // ADR-052: Sensitivity table — show how ROI changes with different reduction targets
2568
- lines.push('## Sensitivity Analysis', '');
2569
- lines.push('Impact of varying the primary improvement target on projected savings:', '');
2570
- lines.push('| Reduction Target | Projected Savings | ROI | Payback |');
2571
- lines.push('|-----------------|-------------------|-----|---------|');
3539
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-063: Multi-variable sensitivity tornado
3540
+ // Implements ADR-PIPELINE-057 §1 — replaces the old single-variable loop
3541
+ // with a ranked tornado chart across 5-7 domain-selected assumptions.
3542
+ let baseSavingsForSensitivity = 0;
2572
3543
  if (fin.revenue) {
2573
- // Parse the base savings figure for sensitivity calculations
2574
3544
  const savingsMatch = fin.revenue.match(/\$([0-9,.]+)([KMB]?)/i);
2575
3545
  if (savingsMatch) {
2576
3546
  const numStr = savingsMatch[1].replace(/,/g, '');
2577
3547
  const suffix = (savingsMatch[2] || '').toUpperCase();
2578
3548
  const mult = suffix === 'M' ? 1_000_000 : suffix === 'K' ? 1_000 : suffix === 'B' ? 1_000_000_000 : 1;
2579
- const baseSavings = parseFloat(numStr) * mult;
2580
- const fmtS = (n) => n >= 1_000_000 ? `$${(n / 1_000_000).toFixed(1)}M` : `$${(n / 1000).toFixed(0)}K`;
2581
- const budgetMatch2 = fin.budget?.match(/\$([0-9,.]+)([KMB]?)/i);
2582
- const baseInvest = budgetMatch2 ? parseFloat(budgetMatch2[1].replace(/,/g, '')) * (budgetMatch2[2]?.toUpperCase() === 'M' ? 1_000_000 : budgetMatch2[2]?.toUpperCase() === 'K' ? 1_000 : 1) : baseSavings * 0.6;
2583
- for (const pct of [0.5, 0.75, 1.0, 1.25]) {
2584
- const savings = baseSavings * pct;
2585
- const roi = Math.round((savings / baseInvest) * 100);
2586
- const payback = savings > 0 ? Math.round(baseInvest / (savings / 12)) : 0;
2587
- const label = pct === 1.0 ? '**Base case**' : pct < 1 ? `Conservative (${Math.round(pct * 100)}%)` : `Aggressive (${Math.round(pct * 100)}%)`;
2588
- lines.push(`| ${label} | ${fmtS(savings)} | ${roi}% | ${payback} months |`);
2589
- }
3549
+ const parsed = parseFloat(numStr) * mult;
3550
+ if (!isNaN(parsed) && parsed > 0)
3551
+ baseSavingsForSensitivity = parsed;
2590
3552
  }
2591
3553
  }
2592
- lines.push('');
2593
- lines.push('*Sensitivity shows how outcomes vary if the primary improvement target is higher or lower than the base case estimate.*', '');
3554
+ // ADR-PIPELINE-070: pass the labor profile so workforce overrun appears
3555
+ // in the tornado when applicable.
3556
+ const sensitivityRows = buildSensitivityTable(baseSavingsForSensitivity, extracted.scenario_type, financialLaborProfile);
3557
+ lines.push(...renderSensitivitySection(sensitivityRows, baseSavingsForSensitivity));
2594
3558
  if (lineage.simulationId) {
2595
3559
  lines.push(`*Simulation: ${lineage.simulationId}${lineage.traceId ? ` | Trace: ${lineage.traceId}` : ''}*`);
2596
3560
  }