@ak--47/dungeon-master 1.4.2 → 1.4.3

package/dungeons/vertical/community.js

@@ -229,7 +229,7 @@ const communityIds = v.range(1, 30).map(() => `COMM_${v.uid(4)}`);
  * 8. PRO SUBSCRIBER CONTENT CREATION LIFT (everything hook)
  * -------------------------------------------------------------------
  *
- * PATTERN: Free-tier users drop 35% of final funnel step events
+ * PATTERN: Free-tier users drop 50% of final funnel step events
  * ("comment posted"), creating a visible conversion gap between
  * paid and free users. Pro/supporter users keep all their events.
  *
@@ -239,11 +239,77 @@ const communityIds = v.range(1, 30).map(() => `COMM_${v.uid(4)}`);
  *   - Report type: Funnels
  *   - Steps: "article viewed" -> "article published" -> "comment posted"
  *   - Breakdown: "subscription_tier" (superProp)
- *   - Expected: pro ~ 52% vs free ~ 35% conversion
+ *   - Expected: pro ~ 52% vs free ~ 26% conversion (~2x gap)
  *
  * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Premium wiki tools (analytics dashboards,
  * badge systems) incentivize more content creation from subscribers.
  *
+ * -------------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 9. CONTENT CREATION TIME-TO-CONVERT (funnel-post hook)
+ * -------------------------------------------------------------------
+ *
+ * PATTERN: Pro/supporter subscribers complete the Content Creation
+ * funnel 1.3x faster (time gaps scaled by 0.77). Free-tier users
+ * complete it 1.25x slower (gaps scaled by 1.25). The hook iterates
+ * over the funnel-post event array, compresses or stretches the
+ * inter-step time gaps based on the user's subscription_tier from
+ * meta.profile, then rewrites each event's timestamp.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Content Creation TTC by Subscription Tier
+ *   - Report type: Funnels
+ *   - Steps: "article viewed" -> "article published" -> "comment posted"
+ *   - Breakdown: "subscription_tier" (superProp)
+ *   - Metric: Median time to convert
+ *   - Expected: pro/supporter median TTC ~ 0.77x of free-tier TTC
+ *     (e.g., pro ~ 27h vs free ~ 45h)
+ *
+ *   NOTE: This effect is visible ONLY in Mixpanel funnel median TTC.
+ *   Cross-event MIN->MIN SQL queries on raw events do NOT show this
+ *   because funnel-post mutates timestamps after event generation but
+ *   before storage.
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Premium wiki contributors with analytics
+ * dashboards and streamlined tools move from reading to publishing
+ * faster; free users hesitate longer without feedback loops.
+ *
+ * -------------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 10. ARTICLE-PUBLISHED MAGIC NUMBER (everything hook)
+ * -------------------------------------------------------------------
+ *
+ * PATTERN: Users who published 2-5 articles sit in a "sweet spot" --
+ * all their upvote_count values on "upvote given" events are boosted
+ * by +35% (factor 1.35). Users who published 6+ articles trigger
+ * over-publishing fatigue: 25% of their "upvote given" events are
+ * dropped entirely. No flag is stamped -- discoverable only by
+ * binning users on article-published COUNT and comparing upvote
+ * totals or upvote event volume.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Upvote Count by Article Volume Cohort
+ *   - Report type: Insights (with cohorts)
+ *   - Cohort A: users who did "article published" 2-5 times
+ *   - Cohort B: users who did "article published" 0-1 times
+ *   - Event: "upvote given"
+ *   - Measure: Average of "upvote_count"
+ *   - Compare cohort A vs cohort B
+ *   - Expected: cohort A ~ 1.35x higher avg upvote_count
+ *
+ *   Report 2: Upvote Events per User by Article Volume
+ *   - Report type: Insights (with cohorts)
+ *   - Cohort C: users who did "article published" 6+ times
+ *   - Cohort A: users who did "article published" 2-5 times
+ *   - Event: "upvote given"
+ *   - Measure: Total events per user
+ *   - Compare cohort C vs cohort A
+ *   - Expected: cohort C ~ 25% fewer upvote events per user
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Creators who publish a handful of quality
+ * articles earn outsized community engagement; over-publishers
+ * dilute their signal and get less traction per piece.
+ *
  * ===================================================================
  * EXPECTED METRICS SUMMARY
  * ===================================================================
@@ -257,7 +323,10 @@ const communityIds = v.range(1, 30).map(() => `COMM_${v.uid(4)}`);
  * Edit War Detection            | edit_quality        | 3.0      | 1.5     | 0.5x
  * Lurker Churn                  | events after day 10 | 100%     | 40%     | 0.4x
  * Creator Profiles              | reputation_score    | 25       | 90      | 3.6x
- * Pro Content Creation Lift     | funnel conversion   | 35%      | 52%     | ~1.5x
+ * Pro Content Creation Lift     | funnel conversion   | ~26%     | 52%     | ~2.0x
+ * Content Creation TTC          | funnel median TTC   | 1x       | 0.77x   | 1.3x faster (pro)
+ * Article-Published Magic Num   | sweet upvote_count  | 1x       | 1.35x   | +35%
+ * Article-Published Magic Num   | over upvote events  | 1x       | 0.75x   | -25%
  */
 
 /** @type {Config} */
@@ -768,11 +837,11 @@ const config = {
 			}
 
 			// -- HOOK 8: PRO SUBSCRIBER CONTENT CREATION LIFT ---------
-			// Free-tier users drop 35% of final funnel step events to
-			// create visible conversion gap vs paid subscribers.
+			// Free-tier users drop 50% of comment events to widen
+			// the gap to ~2.0x vs paid subscribers.
 			if (profile.subscription_tier !== "pro" && profile.subscription_tier !== "supporter") {
 				events = events.filter(e => {
-					if (e.event === "comment posted" && chance.bool({ likelihood: 35 })) return false;
+					if (e.event === "comment posted" && chance.bool({ likelihood: 50 })) return false;
 					return true;
 				});
 			}

package/dungeons/vertical/crypto.js

@@ -46,7 +46,7 @@ const chance = u.initChance(SEED);
 
 /**
  * ===================================================================
- * ANALYTICS HOOKS (10 hooks)
+ * ANALYTICS HOOKS (11 hooks)
  * ===================================================================
  *
  * NOTE: All cohort effects are HIDDEN — no flag stamping. Discoverable
@@ -241,8 +241,9 @@ const chance = u.initChance(SEED);
  *
  * PATTERN: Users with 8-20 swaps in dataset get +30% on stake
  * amount_usd plus 1-2 extra cloned stake events per existing.
- * Users with 21+ swaps drop 40% of portfolio-viewed events
- * (over-active traders ignore portfolio review). No flag.
+ * Users with 21+ swaps drop 75% of portfolio-viewed events
+ * and halve total_value_usd on survivors (over-active traders
+ * ignore portfolio review). No flag.
  *
  * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
  *
@@ -265,6 +266,34 @@ const chance = u.initChance(SEED);
  * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Engaged swappers grow stake; over-active
  * day-traders ignore long-term portfolio review.
  *
+ * ---------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 11. EARLY STAKER RETENTION (everything — retention magic number)
+ *
+ * PATTERN: Born-in-dataset users with 2+ "stake" events in their
+ * first 10 days retain normally. Those with fewer than 2 early
+ * stakes lose 60% of post-day-40 events. No flag — discover via
+ * behavioral cohort on early stake count.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Retention by Early Stakers
+ *   - Report type: Retention
+ *   - Cohort A: users with >= 2 "stake" in first 10 days
+ *   - Cohort B: users with 0-1 "stake" in first 10 days
+ *   - Expected: A retains strongly; B drops ~60% after day 40
+ *
+ *   Report 2: Post-Day-40 Event Volume by Cohort
+ *   - Report type: Insights (with cohort)
+ *   - Cohort A vs B (as above)
+ *   - Event: any event
+ *   - Measure: Total per user
+ *   - Filter: date > day 40
+ *   - Expected: A ~ 2.5x B in post-d40 volume
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Users who stake early have skin in the game
+ * and stick around; the "magic number" for retention is 2 stakes
+ * in the first 10 days.
+ *
  * ===================================================================
  * EXPECTED METRICS SUMMARY
  * ===================================================================
@@ -281,7 +310,8 @@ const chance = u.initChance(SEED);
  * Rug-Pull Aftermath    | victim post-D70       | 1x       | 0.2x    | -80%
  * Trading T2C           | median min by tier    | 1x       | 0.7x/1.3x | 1.86x range
  * Swap Magic Number     | sweet stake amount    | 1x       | 1.3x    | 1.3x
- * Swap Magic Number     | over portfolio/user   | 1x       | 0.6x    | -40%
+ * Swap Magic Number     | over portfolio/user   | 1x       | 0.25x   | -75%
+ * Early Staker Retain   | post-d40 events (non) | 1x       | 0.4x    | -60%
  */
 
 // Token pairs used in swap events
@@ -778,8 +808,8 @@ const config = {
 
 			// HOOK 10: SWAP-COUNT MAGIC NUMBER (no flags)
 			// Sweet 8-20 swaps → +30% on stake amount_usd; clone 1-2 extra
-			// stake events per existing. Over 21+ → drop 40% of portfolio
-			// viewed events (over-active traders ignore their portfolio).
+			// stake events per existing. Over 21+ → drop 75% of portfolio viewed events and halve
+			// total_value_usd on survivors (overcomes H6 injection overlap).
 			const swapCount = userEvents.filter(e => e.event === "swap").length;
 			if (swapCount >= 8 && swapCount <= 20) {
 				const stakeTemplate = userEvents.find(e => e.event === "stake");
@@ -798,9 +828,34 @@ const config = {
 					});
 				}
 			} else if (swapCount >= 21) {
+				// Over-active traders ignore portfolio review.
+				// Drop aggressively (75%) to overcome H6 stake-to-retain injection,
+				// and halve total_value_usd on survivors to sharpen the signal.
 				for (let i = userEvents.length - 1; i >= 0; i--) {
-					if (userEvents[i].event === "portfolio viewed" && chance.bool({ likelihood: 40 })) {
-						userEvents.splice(i, 1);
+					if (userEvents[i].event === "portfolio viewed") {
+						if (chance.bool({ likelihood: 75 })) {
+							userEvents.splice(i, 1);
+						} else {
+							userEvents[i].total_value_usd = Math.round((userEvents[i].total_value_usd || 5000) * 0.5);
+						}
+					}
+				}
+			}
+
+			// HOOK 11: EARLY STAKER RETENTION — users with 2+ "stake" events in first
+			// 10 days retain; others lose 60% of post-day-40 events.
+			if (meta.userIsBornInDataset) {
+				const firstT = userEvents[0]?.time;
+				if (firstT) {
+					const window10 = dayjs(firstT).add(10, 'days').toISOString();
+					const earlyStakes = userEvents.filter(e => e.event === 'stake' && e.time <= window10).length;
+					if (earlyStakes < 2) {
+						const cutoff = dayjs(firstT).add(40, 'days');
+						for (let i = userEvents.length - 1; i >= 0; i--) {
+							if (dayjs(userEvents[i].time).isAfter(cutoff) && chance.bool({ likelihood: 60 })) {
+								userEvents.splice(i, 1);
+							}
+						}
 					}
 				}
 			}

package/dungeons/vertical/dating.js

@@ -48,7 +48,7 @@ const chance = u.initChance(SEED);
 
 /*
  * =====================================================================================
- * ANALYTICS HOOKS (9 hooks)
+ * ANALYTICS HOOKS (10 hooks)
  * =====================================================================================
  *
  * NOTE: All cohort effects are HIDDEN — no flag stamping. Discoverable via
@@ -81,7 +81,7 @@ const chance = u.initChance(SEED);
  * -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  * 2. WEEKEND SWIPE SURGE (everything)
  * -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- * PATTERN: Sunday swipes get heavy cloning (evening 4x, daytime 2x)
+ * PATTERN: Sunday swipes get heavy cloning (evening 5x, daytime 2x)
  * to overcome soup DOW weight deficit. No flag.
  *
  * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
@@ -196,6 +196,22 @@ const chance = u.initChance(SEED);
  *
  * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Premium notifications + boost surface matches faster.
  *
+ * -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 10. AGE RANGE AFFECTS DATE CONVERSION (funnel-pre)
+ * -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+ * PATTERN: On the Date Funnel (message sent → phone number exchanged →
+ * date scheduled), users aged 25-34 convert at 1.3x baseline; 40+ at 0.6x.
+ * Scoped to the funnel containing "date scheduled".
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *   Report 1: Date Funnel Conversion by Age Range
+ *   - Funnels > "message sent" → "phone number exchanged" → "date scheduled"
+ *   - Breakdown: age_range
+ *   - Expected: 25-29 / 30-34 ~ 1.3x baseline; 40+ ~ 0.6x
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Peak dating age ranges convert faster to in-person
+ * dates; older users are more selective.
+ *
  * =====================================================================================
  * EXPECTED METRICS SUMMARY
  * =====================================================================================
@@ -212,6 +228,8 @@ const chance = u.initChance(SEED);
  * Valentine's Day Spike       | signups days 58-63   | 1x       | 3x       | 3x
  * Off-App Retention           | D30 retention        | ~ 20%    | ~ 60%    | 3x
  * Match Flow T2C              | median min by tier   | 1x       | 0.71x/1.4x| ~ 2x range
+ * Age Range Date Conv         | date funnel 25-34    | 1x       | 1.3x       | 1.3x
+ * Age Range Date Conv         | date funnel 40+      | 1x       | 0.6x       | 0.6x
  */
 
 /** @type {Config} */
@@ -453,6 +471,20 @@ const config = {
 
 	hook: function (record, type, meta) {
 
+		// HOOK 10: AGE RANGE AFFECTS DATE CONVERSION (funnel-pre)
+		// 25-29 / 30-34 convert 1.3x on the date funnel; 40+ at 0.6x.
+		if (type === "funnel-pre") {
+			const isDateFunnel = meta.funnel?.sequence?.includes("date scheduled");
+			if (isDateFunnel) {
+				const age = meta.profile?.age_range;
+				if (age === "25-29" || age === "30-34") {
+					record.conversionRate = Math.min(95, Math.round(record.conversionRate * 1.3));
+				} else if (age === "40+") {
+					record.conversionRate = Math.round(record.conversionRate * 0.6);
+				}
+			}
+		}
+
 		// HOOK 9 (T2C): MATCH FLOW TIME-TO-CONVERT (funnel-post)
 		// Elite users complete swipe→match→message funnel 1.4x faster
 		// (factor 0.71); Free users 1.4x slower (factor 1.4).
@@ -550,7 +582,7 @@ const config = {
 
 			// HOOK 2: WEEKEND SWIPE SURGE — Sunday swipes get heavy cloning
 			// to overcome the soup DOW weight deficit. Evening swipes (18-23)
-			// get 4 clones; daytime Sunday swipes get 2 clones.
+			// get 5 clones; daytime Sunday swipes get 2 clones.
 			// No flag — discover via day-of-week chart.
 			for (let idx = events.length - 1; idx >= 0; idx--) {
 				const event = events[idx];
@@ -558,7 +590,7 @@ const config = {
 					const dow = new Date(event.time).getUTCDay();
 					if (dow === 0) {
 						const hr = new Date(event.time).getUTCHours();
-						const clones = (hr >= 18 && hr <= 23) ? 4 : 2;
+						const clones = (hr >= 18 && hr <= 23) ? 5 : 2;
 						const etime = dayjs(event.time);
 						for (let c = 0; c < clones; c++) {
 							events.push({

package/dungeons/vertical/devtools.js

@@ -261,6 +261,30 @@ const repoIds = v.range(1, 150).map(() => `REPO_${v.uid(6)}`);
  * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Healthy CI cadence drives reliable deploys;
  * runaway builds signal a flaky pipeline that scares teams off ships.
  *
+ * ---------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 10. BUILD-DEPLOY TIME-TO-CONVERT (funnel-post)
+ * ---------------------------------------------------------------
+ *
+ * PATTERN: Enterprise and business tier users complete the Build-Deploy
+ * Pipeline funnel (build completed -> deployment completed -> monitoring
+ * dashboard viewed) 1.5x faster (factor 0.67). Free-tier users complete
+ * it 1.33x slower (factor 1.33). The hook intercepts funnel-post arrays,
+ * computes the time gap between consecutive steps, and scales each gap
+ * by the tier-specific factor before rewriting the step timestamps.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Build-Deploy Pipeline Median TTC by Tier
+ *   - Report type: Funnels
+ *   - Steps: "build completed" -> "deployment completed" -> "monitoring dashboard viewed"
+ *   - Measure: Median time to convert
+ *   - Breakdown: "subscription_tier" (superProp)
+ *   - Expected: enterprise/business ~ 0.67x baseline; free ~ 1.33x baseline
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Enterprise CI/CD customers get priority build
+ * runners and dedicated deploy infrastructure, yielding faster
+ * end-to-end pipeline throughput.
+ *
  * ===============================================================
  * EXPECTED METRICS SUMMARY
  * ===============================================================
@@ -277,6 +301,7 @@ const repoIds = v.range(1, 150).map(() => `REPO_${v.uid(6)}`);
  * Enterprise Funnel Lift      | funnel conversion   | 40%      | 60%     | ~ 1.5x
  * Build-Count Magic Number    | sweet deploys/user  | 1x       | 1.3x    | 1.3x
  * Build-Count Magic Number    | over deploys/user   | 1x       | 0.75x   | -25%
+ * Build-Deploy TTC            | median TTC by tier  | 1x       | 0.67/1.33x| ~ 2x range
  */
 
 /** @type {Config} */