trueskill 0.1.0
Sign up to get free protection for your applications and to get access to all the features.
- data/.document +5 -0
- data/.gitignore +21 -0
- data/CHANGELOG +0 -0
- data/LICENSE +20 -0
- data/README.rdoc +17 -0
- data/Rakefile +46 -0
- data/VERSION +1 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/gauss.rb +3 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/gauss/distribution.rb +125 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/gauss/truncated_correction.rb +62 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill.rb +7 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/factor_graph.rb +75 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/factors/base.rb +50 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/factors/greater_than.rb +45 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/factors/likelihood.rb +45 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/factors/prior.rb +35 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/factors/weighted_sum.rb +80 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/factors/within.rb +45 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/layers/base.rb +32 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/layers/iterated_team_performances.rb +72 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/layers/performances_to_team_performances.rb +31 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/layers/prior_to_skills.rb +32 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/layers/skills_to_performances.rb +31 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/layers/team_difference_comparision.rb +27 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/layers/team_performance_differences.rb +22 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/rating.rb +18 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/schedules/base.rb +15 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/schedules/loop.rb +26 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/schedules/sequence.rb +23 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/schedules/step.rb +20 -0
- data/spec/saulabs/gauss/distribution_spec.rb +162 -0
- data/spec/saulabs/gauss/truncated_correction_spec.rb +41 -0
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/factor_graph_spec.rb +29 -0
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/factors/greater_than_spec.rb +26 -0
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/factors/likelihood_spec.rb +32 -0
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/factors/prior_spec.rb +26 -0
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/factors/weighted_sum_spec.rb +67 -0
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/factors/within_spec.rb +26 -0
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/layers/prior_to_skills_spec.rb +39 -0
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/schedules_spec.rb +14 -0
- data/spec/spec.opts +1 -0
- data/spec/spec_helper.rb +29 -0
- data/trueskill.gemspec +99 -0
- metadata +143 -0
@@ -0,0 +1,27 @@
|
|
1
|
+
module Saulabs
|
2
|
+
module TrueSkill
|
3
|
+
module Layers
|
4
|
+
|
5
|
+
class TeamDifferenceComparision < Base
|
6
|
+
|
7
|
+
def initialize(graph, ranks)
|
8
|
+
super(graph)
|
9
|
+
@ranks = ranks
|
10
|
+
@epsilon = graph.draw_margin
|
11
|
+
end
|
12
|
+
|
13
|
+
def build
|
14
|
+
(0..@input.size-1).each do |i|
|
15
|
+
if @ranks[i] == @ranks[i+1]
|
16
|
+
@factors << Factors::Within.new(@epsilon, @input[i][0])
|
17
|
+
else
|
18
|
+
@factors << Factors::GreaterThan.new(@epsilon, @input[i][0])
|
19
|
+
end
|
20
|
+
end
|
21
|
+
end
|
22
|
+
|
23
|
+
end
|
24
|
+
|
25
|
+
end
|
26
|
+
end
|
27
|
+
end
|
@@ -0,0 +1,22 @@
|
|
1
|
+
module Saulabs
|
2
|
+
module TrueSkill
|
3
|
+
module Layers
|
4
|
+
|
5
|
+
class TeamPerformanceDifferences < Base
|
6
|
+
|
7
|
+
def initialize(graph)
|
8
|
+
super(graph)
|
9
|
+
end
|
10
|
+
|
11
|
+
def build
|
12
|
+
(0..@input.size-2).each do |i|
|
13
|
+
variable = Gauss::Distribution.new
|
14
|
+
@factors << Factors::WeightedSum.new(variable, [@input[i][0], @input[i+1][0]], [1.0, -1.0])
|
15
|
+
@output << [variable]
|
16
|
+
end
|
17
|
+
end
|
18
|
+
end
|
19
|
+
|
20
|
+
end
|
21
|
+
end
|
22
|
+
end
|
@@ -0,0 +1,18 @@
|
|
1
|
+
module Saulabs
|
2
|
+
module TrueSkill
|
3
|
+
|
4
|
+
class Rating < Gauss::Distribution
|
5
|
+
|
6
|
+
attr_reader :activity, :tau, :tau_squared
|
7
|
+
|
8
|
+
def initialize(mean, deviation, activity = 1.0, tau = 25/300.0)
|
9
|
+
super(mean, deviation)
|
10
|
+
@activity = activity
|
11
|
+
@tau = tau
|
12
|
+
@tau_squared = @tau**2
|
13
|
+
end
|
14
|
+
|
15
|
+
end
|
16
|
+
|
17
|
+
end
|
18
|
+
end
|
@@ -0,0 +1,26 @@
|
|
1
|
+
module Saulabs
|
2
|
+
module TrueSkill
|
3
|
+
module Schedules
|
4
|
+
|
5
|
+
class Loop < Base
|
6
|
+
|
7
|
+
def initialize(schedule, max_delta)
|
8
|
+
@schedule = schedule
|
9
|
+
@max_delta = max_delta
|
10
|
+
end
|
11
|
+
|
12
|
+
def visit(depth = -1, max_depth = 0)
|
13
|
+
iterations = 1
|
14
|
+
delta = @schedule.visit(depth + 1, max_depth)
|
15
|
+
while delta > @max_delta
|
16
|
+
delta = @schedule.visit(depth + 1, max_depth)
|
17
|
+
iterations += 1
|
18
|
+
end
|
19
|
+
delta
|
20
|
+
end
|
21
|
+
|
22
|
+
end
|
23
|
+
|
24
|
+
end
|
25
|
+
end
|
26
|
+
end
|
@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
|
|
1
|
+
module Saulabs
|
2
|
+
module TrueSkill
|
3
|
+
module Schedules
|
4
|
+
|
5
|
+
class Sequence < Base
|
6
|
+
|
7
|
+
def initialize(schedules)
|
8
|
+
@schedules = schedules
|
9
|
+
end
|
10
|
+
|
11
|
+
def visit(depth = -1, max_depth = 0)
|
12
|
+
max_delta = 0
|
13
|
+
@schedules.each do |schedule|
|
14
|
+
max_delta = [schedule.visit(depth + 1, max_depth), max_delta].max
|
15
|
+
end
|
16
|
+
max_delta
|
17
|
+
end
|
18
|
+
|
19
|
+
end
|
20
|
+
|
21
|
+
end
|
22
|
+
end
|
23
|
+
end
|
@@ -0,0 +1,20 @@
|
|
1
|
+
module Saulabs
|
2
|
+
module TrueSkill
|
3
|
+
module Schedules
|
4
|
+
|
5
|
+
class Step < Base
|
6
|
+
|
7
|
+
def initialize(factor, index)
|
8
|
+
@factor = factor
|
9
|
+
@index = index
|
10
|
+
end
|
11
|
+
|
12
|
+
def visit(depth = -1, max_depth = 0)
|
13
|
+
@factor.update_message_at(@index)
|
14
|
+
end
|
15
|
+
|
16
|
+
end
|
17
|
+
|
18
|
+
end
|
19
|
+
end
|
20
|
+
end
|
@@ -0,0 +1,162 @@
|
|
1
|
+
require File.dirname(__FILE__) + '/../../spec_helper'
|
2
|
+
|
3
|
+
describe Gauss::Distribution, "#initialize" do
|
4
|
+
|
5
|
+
it "should set the mean to 10.1" do
|
6
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.new(10.1, 0.4).mean.should == 10.1
|
7
|
+
end
|
8
|
+
|
9
|
+
it "should set the deviation to 0.4" do
|
10
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.new(10.1, 0.4).deviation.should == 0.4
|
11
|
+
end
|
12
|
+
|
13
|
+
it "should set the mean to 0.0 if the given mean is not finite" do
|
14
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.new(1 / 0.0, 0.4).mean.should == 0.0
|
15
|
+
end
|
16
|
+
|
17
|
+
it "should set the deviation to 0.0 if the given deviation is not finite" do
|
18
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.new(10.1, 1 / 0.0).deviation.should == 0.0
|
19
|
+
end
|
20
|
+
|
21
|
+
end
|
22
|
+
|
23
|
+
describe Gauss::Distribution, "#with_deviation" do
|
24
|
+
|
25
|
+
before :each do
|
26
|
+
@dist = Gauss::Distribution.with_deviation(25.0, 8.333333)
|
27
|
+
end
|
28
|
+
|
29
|
+
it "should have a default mean value of 25.0" do
|
30
|
+
@dist.mean.should == 25.0
|
31
|
+
end
|
32
|
+
|
33
|
+
it "should have a default deviation of 8.333333" do
|
34
|
+
@dist.deviation.should be_close(8.333333, 0.000001)
|
35
|
+
end
|
36
|
+
|
37
|
+
it "should set the variance to 69.444438" do
|
38
|
+
@dist.variance.should be_close(69.4444, 0.0001)
|
39
|
+
end
|
40
|
+
|
41
|
+
it "should set the precision to 0.0144" do
|
42
|
+
@dist.precision.should be_close(0.0144, 0.0001)
|
43
|
+
end
|
44
|
+
|
45
|
+
it "should set the precision_mean to 0.36" do
|
46
|
+
@dist.precision_mean.should be_close(0.36, 0.0001)
|
47
|
+
end
|
48
|
+
|
49
|
+
end
|
50
|
+
|
51
|
+
describe Gauss::Distribution, "#with_precision" do
|
52
|
+
|
53
|
+
before :each do
|
54
|
+
@dist = Gauss::Distribution.with_precision(0.36, 0.0144)
|
55
|
+
end
|
56
|
+
|
57
|
+
it "should have a default mean value of 25.0" do
|
58
|
+
@dist.mean.should == 25.0
|
59
|
+
end
|
60
|
+
|
61
|
+
it "should have a default deviation of 8.333333" do
|
62
|
+
@dist.deviation.should be_close(8.333333, 0.000001)
|
63
|
+
end
|
64
|
+
|
65
|
+
it "should set the variance to 69.444438" do
|
66
|
+
@dist.variance.should be_close(69.4444, 0.0001)
|
67
|
+
end
|
68
|
+
|
69
|
+
it "should set the precision to 0.0144" do
|
70
|
+
@dist.precision.should be_close(0.0144, 0.0001)
|
71
|
+
end
|
72
|
+
|
73
|
+
it "should set the precision_mean to 0.36" do
|
74
|
+
@dist.precision_mean.should be_close(0.36, 0.0001)
|
75
|
+
end
|
76
|
+
|
77
|
+
end
|
78
|
+
|
79
|
+
describe Gauss::Distribution, "absolute difference (-)" do
|
80
|
+
|
81
|
+
before :each do
|
82
|
+
@dist = Gauss::Distribution.with_deviation(25.0, 8.333333)
|
83
|
+
end
|
84
|
+
|
85
|
+
it "should be 0.0 for the same distribution" do
|
86
|
+
(@dist - @dist).should == 0.0
|
87
|
+
end
|
88
|
+
|
89
|
+
it "should equal the precision mean if the 0-distribution is subtracted" do
|
90
|
+
(@dist - Gauss::Distribution.new).should == @dist.precision_mean
|
91
|
+
end
|
92
|
+
|
93
|
+
it "should be 130.399408 for (22, 0.4) - (12, 1.3)" do
|
94
|
+
(Gauss::Distribution.new(22, 0.4) - Gauss::Distribution.new(12, 1.3)).should be_close(130.399408, tolerance)
|
95
|
+
end
|
96
|
+
|
97
|
+
end
|
98
|
+
|
99
|
+
describe Gauss::Distribution, "#value_at" do
|
100
|
+
|
101
|
+
it "should have a value of 0.073654 for x = 2" do
|
102
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.new(4,5).value_at(2).should be_close(0.073654, tolerance)
|
103
|
+
end
|
104
|
+
|
105
|
+
end
|
106
|
+
|
107
|
+
describe Gauss::Distribution, "multiplication (*)" do
|
108
|
+
|
109
|
+
it "should have a mean of 0.2" do
|
110
|
+
(Gauss::Distribution.new(0,1) * Gauss::Distribution.new(2,3)).mean.should be_close(0.2, 0.00001)
|
111
|
+
end
|
112
|
+
|
113
|
+
it "should have a deviation of 3.0 / Math.sqrt(10)" do
|
114
|
+
(Gauss::Distribution.new(0,1) * Gauss::Distribution.new(2,3)).deviation.should be_close(3.0 / Math.sqrt(10), 0.00001)
|
115
|
+
end
|
116
|
+
|
117
|
+
end
|
118
|
+
|
119
|
+
describe Gauss::Distribution, "#log_product_normalization" do
|
120
|
+
|
121
|
+
it "should have calculate -3.0979981" do
|
122
|
+
lp = Gauss::Distribution.log_product_normalization(Gauss::Distribution.new(4,5), Gauss::Distribution.new(6,7))
|
123
|
+
lp.should be_close(-3.0979981, 0.000001)
|
124
|
+
end
|
125
|
+
|
126
|
+
end
|
127
|
+
|
128
|
+
describe Gauss::Distribution, "functions" do
|
129
|
+
|
130
|
+
describe 'value = 0.27' do
|
131
|
+
|
132
|
+
it "#cumulative_distribution_function should return 0.6064198" do
|
133
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.cumulative_distribution_function(0.27).should be_close(0.6064198, 0.00001)
|
134
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.cdf(2.0).should be_close(0.9772498, 0.00001)
|
135
|
+
end
|
136
|
+
|
137
|
+
it "#probability_density_function should return 0.384662" do
|
138
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.probability_density_function(0.27).should be_close(0.384662, 0.0001)
|
139
|
+
end
|
140
|
+
|
141
|
+
it "#quantile_function should return -0.62941" do
|
142
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.quantile_function(0.27).should be_close(-0.62941, 0.00001)
|
143
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.quantile_function(0.9).should be_close(1.281551, tolerance)
|
144
|
+
end
|
145
|
+
|
146
|
+
end
|
147
|
+
|
148
|
+
end
|
149
|
+
|
150
|
+
describe Gauss::Distribution, "#replace" do
|
151
|
+
|
152
|
+
before :each do
|
153
|
+
@dist1 = Gauss::Distribution.with_deviation(25.0, 8.333333)
|
154
|
+
@dist2 = Gauss::Distribution.with_deviation(9.0, 4)
|
155
|
+
end
|
156
|
+
|
157
|
+
it "should be equal to the replaced distribution" do
|
158
|
+
@dist1.replace(@dist2)
|
159
|
+
@dist1.should == @dist2
|
160
|
+
end
|
161
|
+
|
162
|
+
end
|
@@ -0,0 +1,41 @@
|
|
1
|
+
require File.dirname(__FILE__) + '/../../spec_helper'
|
2
|
+
|
3
|
+
describe Gauss::TruncatedCorrection do
|
4
|
+
|
5
|
+
describe "#w_within_margin" do
|
6
|
+
|
7
|
+
it "should return 0.970397 for (0.2, 0.3)" do
|
8
|
+
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.w_within_margin(0.2, 0.3).should be_close(0.970397, tolerance)
|
9
|
+
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.w_within_margin(0.1, 0.03).should be_close(0.9997, tolerance)
|
10
|
+
end
|
11
|
+
|
12
|
+
end
|
13
|
+
|
14
|
+
describe "#v_within_margin" do
|
15
|
+
|
16
|
+
it "should return -0.194073 for (0.2, 0.3)" do
|
17
|
+
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.v_within_margin(0.2, 0.3).should be_close(-0.194073, tolerance)
|
18
|
+
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.v_within_margin(0.1, 0.03).should be_close(-0.09997, tolerance)
|
19
|
+
end
|
20
|
+
|
21
|
+
end
|
22
|
+
|
23
|
+
describe "#w_exceeds_margin" do
|
24
|
+
|
25
|
+
it "should return 0.657847 for (0.2, 0.3)" do
|
26
|
+
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.w_exceeds_margin(0.2, 0.3).should be_close(0.657847, tolerance)
|
27
|
+
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.w_exceeds_margin(0.1, 0.03).should be_close(0.621078, tolerance)
|
28
|
+
end
|
29
|
+
|
30
|
+
end
|
31
|
+
|
32
|
+
describe "#v_exceeds_margin" do
|
33
|
+
|
34
|
+
it "should return 0.8626174 for (0.2, 0.3)" do
|
35
|
+
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.v_exceeds_margin(0.2, 0.3).should be_close(0.8626174, tolerance)
|
36
|
+
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.v_exceeds_margin(0.1, 0.03).should be_close(0.753861, tolerance)
|
37
|
+
end
|
38
|
+
|
39
|
+
end
|
40
|
+
|
41
|
+
end
|
@@ -0,0 +1,29 @@
|
|
1
|
+
require File.dirname(__FILE__) + '/../../spec_helper'
|
2
|
+
|
3
|
+
describe Saulabs::TrueSkill::FactorGraph do
|
4
|
+
|
5
|
+
before :each do
|
6
|
+
@teams = create_teams
|
7
|
+
@graph = TrueSkill::FactorGraph.new(@teams, [1,2,3])
|
8
|
+
end
|
9
|
+
|
10
|
+
describe "#evaluate" do
|
11
|
+
|
12
|
+
it "should do something" do
|
13
|
+
result = @graph.evaluate
|
14
|
+
puts "[#{result.last.flatten.map(&:to_s).join(', ')}]<br>"
|
15
|
+
result.last[0][0].mean.should be_close(29.61452, tolerance)
|
16
|
+
result.last[0][0].deviation.should be_close(3.5036, tolerance)
|
17
|
+
end
|
18
|
+
|
19
|
+
end
|
20
|
+
|
21
|
+
describe "#draw_margin" do
|
22
|
+
|
23
|
+
it "should be " do
|
24
|
+
@graph.draw_margin.should be_close(-0.998291, tolerance)
|
25
|
+
end
|
26
|
+
|
27
|
+
end
|
28
|
+
|
29
|
+
end
|
@@ -0,0 +1,26 @@
|
|
1
|
+
require File.dirname(__FILE__) + '/../../../spec_helper'
|
2
|
+
|
3
|
+
describe TrueSkill::Factors::GreaterThan do
|
4
|
+
|
5
|
+
before :each do
|
6
|
+
@variable = Gauss::Distribution.new(0.1, 1.1)
|
7
|
+
@factor = TrueSkill::Factors::GreaterThan.new(0.1, @variable)
|
8
|
+
end
|
9
|
+
|
10
|
+
describe "#update_message_at" do
|
11
|
+
|
12
|
+
it "should return a difference of 2.1409" do
|
13
|
+
@factor.update_message_at(0).should be_close(2.1409, tolerance)
|
14
|
+
end
|
15
|
+
|
16
|
+
end
|
17
|
+
|
18
|
+
describe "#log_normalization" do
|
19
|
+
|
20
|
+
it "should be -0.69314" do
|
21
|
+
@factor.log_normalization.should be_close(-0.69314, tolerance)
|
22
|
+
end
|
23
|
+
|
24
|
+
end
|
25
|
+
|
26
|
+
end
|
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
|
|
1
|
+
require File.dirname(__FILE__) + '/../../../spec_helper'
|
2
|
+
|
3
|
+
describe TrueSkill::Factors::Likelihood do
|
4
|
+
|
5
|
+
before :each do
|
6
|
+
@variable1 = Gauss::Distribution.new(26, 1.1)
|
7
|
+
@variable2 = Gauss::Distribution.new
|
8
|
+
@factor = TrueSkill::Factors::Likelihood.new(30, @variable1, @variable2)
|
9
|
+
end
|
10
|
+
|
11
|
+
describe "#update_message_at" do
|
12
|
+
|
13
|
+
it "should return a difference of 0.0" do
|
14
|
+
@factor.update_message_at(0).should be_close(0.0, tolerance)
|
15
|
+
end
|
16
|
+
|
17
|
+
it "should return a difference of 0.833066 for the second message" do
|
18
|
+
@factor.update_message_at(0)
|
19
|
+
@factor.update_message_at(1).should be_close(0.833066, tolerance)
|
20
|
+
end
|
21
|
+
|
22
|
+
end
|
23
|
+
|
24
|
+
describe "#log_normalization" do
|
25
|
+
|
26
|
+
it "should be 0.0" do
|
27
|
+
@factor.log_normalization.should == 0.0
|
28
|
+
end
|
29
|
+
|
30
|
+
end
|
31
|
+
|
32
|
+
end
|