sapor 0.1b1
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- checksums.yaml +7 -0
- data/Area Class Diagram.dia +0 -0
- data/Area Class Diagram.png +0 -0
- data/Class Diagram.dia +0 -0
- data/Class Diagram.png +0 -0
- data/Examples.md +361 -0
- data/LICENSE +674 -0
- data/README.md +70 -0
- data/Rakefile +18 -0
- data/Technical Documentation.md +14 -0
- data/bin/create_installation_package.sh +49 -0
- data/bin/install.sh +45 -0
- data/bin/sapor.rb +22 -0
- data/bin/sapor.sh +105 -0
- data/lib/sapor.rb +44 -0
- data/lib/sapor/binomials_cache.rb +45 -0
- data/lib/sapor/combinations_distribution.rb +180 -0
- data/lib/sapor/dichotomies.rb +98 -0
- data/lib/sapor/dichotomy.rb +138 -0
- data/lib/sapor/first_past_the_post.rb +78 -0
- data/lib/sapor/leveled_proportional.rb +64 -0
- data/lib/sapor/log4r_logger.rb +49 -0
- data/lib/sapor/log_facade.rb +40 -0
- data/lib/sapor/number_formatter.rb +45 -0
- data/lib/sapor/poll.rb +137 -0
- data/lib/sapor/polychotomy.rb +359 -0
- data/lib/sapor/proportional.rb +128 -0
- data/lib/sapor/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator.rb +87 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/area.rb +80 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012-2015.psv +100 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012.psv +87 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia.rb +90 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norway.rb +408 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom.rb +1075 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/utopia.rb +66 -0
- data/sapor.gemspec +35 -0
- data/spec/integration/area_spec.rb +28 -0
- data/spec/integration/poll_spec.rb +107 -0
- data/spec/integration/sample.poll +7 -0
- data/spec/spec_helper.rb +31 -0
- data/spec/unit/area_spec.rb +115 -0
- data/spec/unit/binomials_cache_spec.rb +34 -0
- data/spec/unit/catalonia_spec.rb +82 -0
- data/spec/unit/combinations_distribution_spec.rb +241 -0
- data/spec/unit/denominators_spec.rb +34 -0
- data/spec/unit/dichotomies_spec.rb +154 -0
- data/spec/unit/dichotomy_spec.rb +320 -0
- data/spec/unit/first_past_the_post_spec.rb +53 -0
- data/spec/unit/leveled_proportional_spec.rb +51 -0
- data/spec/unit/norway_spec.rb +47 -0
- data/spec/unit/number_formatter_spec.rb +173 -0
- data/spec/unit/poll_spec.rb +105 -0
- data/spec/unit/polychotomy_spec.rb +332 -0
- data/spec/unit/proportional_spec.rb +86 -0
- data/spec/unit/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator_spec.rb +82 -0
- metadata +119 -0
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# encoding: utf-8
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#
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# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
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# Copyright (C) 2014 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
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#
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# This file is part of SAPoR.
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#
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# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
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# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
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# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
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# version.
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#
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# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
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# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
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# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
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#
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# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
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#
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module Sapor
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#
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# Class representing a proportional electoral system.
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#
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class Proportional
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def initialize(last_election_result, last_detailed_election_result,
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seat_distribution, denominators_class, threshold = 0)
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@last_election_result = last_election_result
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@last_detailed_election_result = last_detailed_election_result
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@seat_distribution = seat_distribution
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@denominators_class = denominators_class
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@threshold = threshold
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end
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def project(simulation)
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multiplicators = calculate_multiplicators(simulation)
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result = create_empty_result(simulation)
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@last_detailed_election_result.each_pair do |name, local_last_result|
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no_of_seats = @seat_distribution[name]
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seats = local_seats(no_of_seats, local_last_result, multiplicators)
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add_seats_to_result(result, seats)
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end
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result
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end
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private
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def add_seats_to_result(result, seats)
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seats.each do |seat|
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if result.key?(seat)
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result[seat] += 1
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else
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result[seat] = 1
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end
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end
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end
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def calculate_multiplicators(simulation)
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simulation_sum = simulation.values.inject(:+)
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last_election_sum = @last_election_result.values.inject(:+)
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multiplicators = {}
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simulation.each_key do |choice|
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new_fraction = simulation[choice].to_f / simulation_sum
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last_fraction = @last_election_result[choice].to_f / last_election_sum
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multiplicators[choice] = new_fraction / last_fraction
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end
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multiplicators
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end
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def create_empty_result(simulation)
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result = {}
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simulation.each_key do |choice|
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result[choice] = 0
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end
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result[OTHER] = 0
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result
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end
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def local_votes(local_last_result, multiplicators)
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local_votes = {}
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local_last_result.each_pair do |choice, votes|
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if multiplicators.key?(choice)
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local_votes[choice] = votes * multiplicators[choice]
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else
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local_votes[choice] = votes
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end
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end
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local_votes
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end
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def local_quotients(local_votes, local_threshold, no_of_seats)
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local_quotients = []
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local_votes.each_pair do |choice, new_value|
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next if new_value < local_threshold
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@denominators_class.get(no_of_seats).each do |d|
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local_quotients << [choice, new_value.to_f / d]
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end
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end
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local_quotients
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end
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def local_seats(no_of_seats, local_last_result, multiplicators)
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local_votes = local_votes(local_last_result, multiplicators)
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local_threshold = local_votes.values.inject(:+).to_f * @threshold
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local_quotients = local_quotients(local_votes, local_threshold,
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no_of_seats)
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sorted_quotients = local_quotients.sort { |a, b| b.last <=> a.last }
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sorted_quotients.map(&:first).slice(0, no_of_seats)
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end
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end
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#
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# Class building the denominators for D'Hondt.
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#
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class DhondtDenominators
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def self.get(size)
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Range.new(1, size)
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end
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end
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#
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# Class building the denominators for modified Sainte-Lague.
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#
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class SainteLague14Denominators
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def self.get(size)
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Range.new(1, size).map { |a| a.equal?(1) ? 1.4 : a * 2 - 1 }
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end
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end
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end
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# encoding: utf-8
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#
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# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
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# Copyright (C) 2014 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
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#
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# This file is part of SAPoR.
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#
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# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
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# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
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# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
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# version.
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#
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# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
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# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
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# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
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#
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# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
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#
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require 'prime'
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module Sapor
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#
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# A pseudo-random multi-range enumerator. It uses prime numbers to iterate
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# in a pseudo-random way through the hyper-rectangle with dimensions
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# provided as the constructor parameter. If a suitable set of primes can't
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# be found, the constructor will raise an exception.
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#
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class PseudoRandomMultiRangeEnumerator
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def initialize(dimensions)
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@dimensions = dimensions
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@incrementers = calculate_incrementers
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end
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def each
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return enum_for { @dimensions.inject(:*) } unless block_given?
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counters = Array.new(@dimensions.size, 0)
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loop do
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yield(counters.dup)
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@incrementers.each_with_index do |incrementer, i|
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counters[i] = (counters[i] + incrementer).modulo(@dimensions[i])
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end
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break if all_zeros?(counters)
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end
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end
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private
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def calculate_incrementers
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incrementers = []
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incrementer = 0
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calculate_incrementer_indexes.each do |i|
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incrementer = next_incrementer(incrementer)
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if @dimensions[i] < incrementer
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fail(ArgumentError, 'Could not construct suitable incrementers.')
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end
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incrementers[i] = incrementer
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end
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incrementers
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end
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def calculate_incrementer_indexes
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@dimensions.each_with_index.sort.map(&:last)
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end
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def next_incrementer(incrementer)
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incrementer += 1
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while incrementer > 1 &&
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(!prime?(incrementer) || !relative_prime?(incrementer))
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incrementer += 1
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end
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incrementer
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end
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def prime?(number)
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Prime.prime?(number)
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end
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def relative_prime?(incrementer)
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@dimensions.map { |dimension| dimension.gcd(incrementer) }.max == 1
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end
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def all_zeros?(counters)
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counters.max == 0
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end
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end
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end
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# encoding: utf-8
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#
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# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
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# Copyright (C) 2014 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
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#
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# This file is part of SAPoR.
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#
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# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
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# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
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# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
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# version.
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#
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# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
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# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
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# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
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#
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# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
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#
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module Sapor
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#
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# Superclass for any area (country, region, city, etc...) for which
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# polls can be registered.
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#
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class Area
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include Singleton
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def lines_to_election_results(lines)
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results = {}
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lines.each_line { |line| add_line_to_election_results(results, line) }
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results
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end
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def load_election_results(filename)
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dirname = File.dirname(File.expand_path(__FILE__))
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full_filename = File.expand_path(filename, dirname)
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lines = File.read(full_filename)
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lines_to_election_results(lines)
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end
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def summarize_election_results(election_results)
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summary = {}
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election_results.each_value do |local_results|
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add_local_results_to_summary(summary, local_results)
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end
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summary
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end
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private
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def add_line_to_election_results(results, line)
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return if line.strip.empty? || line.strip.start_with?('#')
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values = line.split('|')
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fail(ArgumentError, "Broken line: #{line}.") unless values.size.equal?(3)
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add_line_values_to_election_results(results, values)
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end
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def add_line_values_to_election_results(results, values)
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constituency = values[0].strip
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results[constituency] = {} unless results.key?(constituency)
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choice = values[1].strip
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votes = values[2].gsub(',', '').to_i
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if results[constituency].key?(choice)
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fail(ArgumentError, "Choice #{choice} appeared twice in " \
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"constituency #{constituency}.")
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end
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results[constituency][choice] = votes
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end
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def add_local_results_to_summary(summary, local_results)
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local_results.each_pair do |choice, votes|
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if summary.key?(choice)
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summary[choice] += votes
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else
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summary[choice] = votes
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end
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end
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end
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end
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end
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# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
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# Copyright (C) 2014 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
|
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#
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# This file is part of SAPoR.
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#
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# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
|
7
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# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
|
8
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# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
|
9
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# version.
|
10
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+
#
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# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
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12
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# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
|
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# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
|
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#
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# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
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#
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# Source: Argos, Archivo historico electoral, retrieved on 23 May 2015.
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# URL: http://www.argos.gva.es/ahe/index.html
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# Adapted from catalonia-2012.psv for the 2015 elections using the following
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# transformation rules:
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# c = Junts pel Sí / (Convergència i Unió + Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya – Catalunya Sí)
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# = 39.2% / (30.7% + 13.7%)
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# = 0.882882883
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# Junts pel Sí = c × (Convergència i Unió
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# + Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya – Catalunya Sí)
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+
# Unió Democràtica de Catalunya = (1 - c) × (Convergència i Unió
|
29
|
+
# + Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya
|
30
|
+
# – Catalunya Sí)
|
31
|
+
# Catalunya Sí que es Pot = Iniciativa per Catalunya Verds – Esquerra Unida i
|
32
|
+
# Alternativa
|
33
|
+
|
34
|
+
Barcelona | Junts pel Sí | 979,373
|
35
|
+
Barcelona | Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya | 418,847
|
36
|
+
Barcelona | Partit Popular de Catalunya | 361,656
|
37
|
+
Barcelona | Catalunya Sí que es Pot | 303,625
|
38
|
+
Barcelona | Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía | 229,746
|
39
|
+
Barcelona | Unió Democràtica de Catalunya | 129,917
|
40
|
+
Barcelona | Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres | 92,794
|
41
|
+
Barcelona | Plataforma per Catalunya | 51,403
|
42
|
+
Barcelona | Solidaritat Catalana per la Independència | 32,296
|
43
|
+
Barcelona | Escons en Blanc | 22,817
|
44
|
+
Barcelona | Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 16,479
|
45
|
+
Barcelona | Pirates de Catalunya | 15,241
|
46
|
+
Barcelona | Unió, Progrés i Democràcia | 12,147
|
47
|
+
Barcelona | Farts.cat | 9,185
|
48
|
+
Barcelona | Via Democràtica | 5,984
|
49
|
+
Barcelona | Unificació Comunista d'Espanya | 1,998
|
50
|
+
|
51
|
+
Girona | Junts pel Sí | 185,048
|
52
|
+
Girona | Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya | 34,688
|
53
|
+
Girona | Partit Popular de Catalunya | 33,096
|
54
|
+
Girona | Unió Democràtica de Catalunya | 24,547
|
55
|
+
Girona | Catalunya Sí que es Pot | 20,397
|
56
|
+
Girona | Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres | 14,499
|
57
|
+
Girona | Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía | 12,341
|
58
|
+
Girona | Solidaritat Catalana per la Independència | 6,011
|
59
|
+
Girona | Plataforma per Catalunya | 3,377
|
60
|
+
Girona | Escons en Blanc | 1,946
|
61
|
+
Girona | Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1,565
|
62
|
+
Girona | Pirates de Catalunya | 1,137
|
63
|
+
Girona | Farts.cat | 718
|
64
|
+
Girona | Unió, Progrés i Democràcia | 701
|
65
|
+
Girona | Partit Republicà d'Esquerra – Izquierda Republicana | 525
|
66
|
+
Girona | Unificació Comunista d'Espanya | 201
|
67
|
+
|
68
|
+
Lleida | Junts pel Sí | 110,401
|
69
|
+
Lleida | Partit Popular de Catalunya | 23,338
|
70
|
+
Lleida | Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya | 21,598
|
71
|
+
Lleida | Unió Democràtica de Catalunya | 14,645
|
72
|
+
Lleida | Catalunya Sí que es Pot | 11,145
|
73
|
+
Lleida | Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía | 6,881
|
74
|
+
Lleida | Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres | 6,302
|
75
|
+
Lleida | Solidaritat Catalana per la Independència | 3,038
|
76
|
+
Lleida | Escons en Blanc | 1,417
|
77
|
+
Lleida | Plataforma per Catalunya | 1,224
|
78
|
+
Lleida | Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 752
|
79
|
+
Lleida | Pirates de Catalunya | 642
|
80
|
+
Lleida | Farts.cat | 476
|
81
|
+
Lleida | Unió, Progrés i Democràcia | 392
|
82
|
+
Lleida | Partit Republicà d'Esquerra – Izquierda Republicana | 301
|
83
|
+
Lleida | Unificació Comunista d'Espanya | 90
|
84
|
+
|
85
|
+
Tarragona | Junts pel Sí | 148,104
|
86
|
+
Tarragona | Partit Popular de Catalunya | 53,591
|
87
|
+
Tarragona | Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya | 48,642
|
88
|
+
Tarragona | Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía | 26,039
|
89
|
+
Tarragona | Catalunya Sí que es Pot | 24,538
|
90
|
+
Tarragona | Unió Democràtica de Catalunya | 19,646
|
91
|
+
Tarragona | Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres | 12,840
|
92
|
+
Tarragona | Solidaritat Catalana per la Independència | 5,493
|
93
|
+
Tarragona | Plataforma per Catalunya | 4,103
|
94
|
+
Tarragona | Escons en Blanc | 2,108
|
95
|
+
Tarragona | Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 2,065
|
96
|
+
Tarragona | Unió, Progrés i Democràcia | 1,373
|
97
|
+
Tarragona | Farts.cat | 1,323
|
98
|
+
Tarragona | Pirates de Catalunya | 1,199
|
99
|
+
Tarragona | Socialistes i Republicans | 333
|
100
|
+
Tarragona | Unificació Comunista d'Espanya | 287
|
@@ -0,0 +1,87 @@
|
|
1
|
+
# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
|
2
|
+
# Copyright (C) 2014 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
|
3
|
+
#
|
4
|
+
# This file is part of SAPoR.
|
5
|
+
#
|
6
|
+
# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
|
7
|
+
# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
|
8
|
+
# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
|
9
|
+
# version.
|
10
|
+
#
|
11
|
+
# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
|
12
|
+
# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
|
13
|
+
# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
|
14
|
+
#
|
15
|
+
# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
|
16
|
+
#
|
17
|
+
|
18
|
+
# Source: Argos, Archivo historico electoral, retrieved on 23 May 2015.
|
19
|
+
# URL: http://www.argos.gva.es/ahe/index.html
|
20
|
+
|
21
|
+
Barcelona | Convergència i Unió | 762,628
|
22
|
+
Barcelona | Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya | 418,847
|
23
|
+
Barcelona | Partit Popular de Catalunya | 361,656
|
24
|
+
Barcelona | Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya – Catalunya Sí | 346,662
|
25
|
+
Barcelona | Iniciativa per Catalunya Verds – Esquerra Unida i Alternativa | 303,625
|
26
|
+
Barcelona | Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía | 229,746
|
27
|
+
Barcelona | Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres | 92,794
|
28
|
+
Barcelona | Plataforma per Catalunya | 51,403
|
29
|
+
Barcelona | Solidaritat Catalana per la Independència | 32,296
|
30
|
+
Barcelona | Escons en Blanc | 22,817
|
31
|
+
Barcelona | Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 16,479
|
32
|
+
Barcelona | Pirates de Catalunya | 15,241
|
33
|
+
Barcelona | Unió, Progrés i Democràcia | 12,147
|
34
|
+
Barcelona | Farts.cat | 9,185
|
35
|
+
Barcelona | Via Democràtica | 5,984
|
36
|
+
Barcelona | Unificació Comunista d'Espanya | 1,998
|
37
|
+
|
38
|
+
Girona | Convergència i Unió | 148,237
|
39
|
+
Girona | Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya – Catalunya Sí | 61,358
|
40
|
+
Girona | Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya | 34,688
|
41
|
+
Girona | Partit Popular de Catalunya | 33,096
|
42
|
+
Girona | Iniciativa per Catalunya Verds – Esquerra Unida i Alternativa | 20,397
|
43
|
+
Girona | Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres | 14,499
|
44
|
+
Girona | Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía | 12,341
|
45
|
+
Girona | Solidaritat Catalana per la Independència | 6,011
|
46
|
+
Girona | Plataforma per Catalunya | 3,377
|
47
|
+
Girona | Escons en Blanc | 1,946
|
48
|
+
Girona | Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1,565
|
49
|
+
Girona | Pirates de Catalunya | 1,137
|
50
|
+
Girona | Farts.cat | 718
|
51
|
+
Girona | Unió, Progrés i Democràcia | 701
|
52
|
+
Girona | Partit Republicà d'Esquerra – Izquierda Republicana | 525
|
53
|
+
Girona | Unificació Comunista d'Espanya | 201
|
54
|
+
|
55
|
+
Lleida | Convergència i Unió | 89,035
|
56
|
+
Lleida | Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya – Catalunya Sí | 36,011
|
57
|
+
Lleida | Partit Popular de Catalunya | 23,338
|
58
|
+
Lleida | Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya | 21,598
|
59
|
+
Lleida | Iniciativa per Catalunya Verds – Esquerra Unida i Alternativa | 11,145
|
60
|
+
Lleida | Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía | 6,881
|
61
|
+
Lleida | Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres | 6,302
|
62
|
+
Lleida | Solidaritat Catalana per la Independència | 3,038
|
63
|
+
Lleida | Escons en Blanc | 1,417
|
64
|
+
Lleida | Plataforma per Catalunya | 1,224
|
65
|
+
Lleida | Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 752
|
66
|
+
Lleida | Pirates de Catalunya | 642
|
67
|
+
Lleida | Farts.cat | 476
|
68
|
+
Lleida | Unió, Progrés i Democràcia | 392
|
69
|
+
Lleida | Partit Republicà d'Esquerra – Izquierda Republicana | 301
|
70
|
+
Lleida | Unificació Comunista d'Espanya | 90
|
71
|
+
|
72
|
+
Tarragona | Convergència i Unió | 113,657
|
73
|
+
Tarragona | Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya – Catalunya Sí | 54,093
|
74
|
+
Tarragona | Partit Popular de Catalunya | 53,591
|
75
|
+
Tarragona | Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya | 48,642
|
76
|
+
Tarragona | Ciutadans-Partido de la Ciudadanía | 26,039
|
77
|
+
Tarragona | Iniciativa per Catalunya Verds – Esquerra Unida i Alternativa | 24,538
|
78
|
+
Tarragona | Candidatura d'Unitat Popular – Alternativa d'Esquerres | 12,840
|
79
|
+
Tarragona | Solidaritat Catalana per la Independència | 5,493
|
80
|
+
Tarragona | Plataforma per Catalunya | 4,103
|
81
|
+
Tarragona | Escons en Blanc | 2,108
|
82
|
+
Tarragona | Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 2,065
|
83
|
+
Tarragona | Unió, Progrés i Democràcia | 1,373
|
84
|
+
Tarragona | Farts.cat | 1,323
|
85
|
+
Tarragona | Pirates de Catalunya | 1,199
|
86
|
+
Tarragona | Socialistes i Republicans | 333
|
87
|
+
Tarragona | Unificació Comunista d'Espanya | 287
|