pymc-extras 0.2.5__py3-none-any.whl → 0.2.7__py3-none-any.whl

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Files changed (65) hide show
  1. pymc_extras/__init__.py +5 -1
  2. pymc_extras/deserialize.py +224 -0
  3. pymc_extras/distributions/continuous.py +3 -2
  4. pymc_extras/distributions/discrete.py +3 -1
  5. pymc_extras/inference/find_map.py +62 -17
  6. pymc_extras/inference/laplace.py +10 -7
  7. pymc_extras/prior.py +1356 -0
  8. pymc_extras/statespace/core/statespace.py +191 -52
  9. pymc_extras/statespace/filters/distributions.py +15 -16
  10. pymc_extras/statespace/filters/kalman_filter.py +1 -18
  11. pymc_extras/statespace/filters/kalman_smoother.py +2 -6
  12. pymc_extras/statespace/models/ETS.py +10 -0
  13. pymc_extras/statespace/models/SARIMAX.py +26 -5
  14. pymc_extras/statespace/models/VARMAX.py +12 -2
  15. pymc_extras/statespace/models/structural.py +18 -5
  16. pymc_extras-0.2.7.dist-info/METADATA +321 -0
  17. pymc_extras-0.2.7.dist-info/RECORD +66 -0
  18. {pymc_extras-0.2.5.dist-info → pymc_extras-0.2.7.dist-info}/WHEEL +1 -2
  19. pymc_extras/utils/pivoted_cholesky.py +0 -69
  20. pymc_extras/version.py +0 -11
  21. pymc_extras/version.txt +0 -1
  22. pymc_extras-0.2.5.dist-info/METADATA +0 -112
  23. pymc_extras-0.2.5.dist-info/RECORD +0 -108
  24. pymc_extras-0.2.5.dist-info/top_level.txt +0 -2
  25. tests/__init__.py +0 -13
  26. tests/distributions/__init__.py +0 -19
  27. tests/distributions/test_continuous.py +0 -185
  28. tests/distributions/test_discrete.py +0 -210
  29. tests/distributions/test_discrete_markov_chain.py +0 -258
  30. tests/distributions/test_multivariate.py +0 -304
  31. tests/distributions/test_transform.py +0 -77
  32. tests/model/__init__.py +0 -0
  33. tests/model/marginal/__init__.py +0 -0
  34. tests/model/marginal/test_distributions.py +0 -132
  35. tests/model/marginal/test_graph_analysis.py +0 -182
  36. tests/model/marginal/test_marginal_model.py +0 -967
  37. tests/model/test_model_api.py +0 -38
  38. tests/statespace/__init__.py +0 -0
  39. tests/statespace/test_ETS.py +0 -411
  40. tests/statespace/test_SARIMAX.py +0 -405
  41. tests/statespace/test_VARMAX.py +0 -184
  42. tests/statespace/test_coord_assignment.py +0 -181
  43. tests/statespace/test_distributions.py +0 -270
  44. tests/statespace/test_kalman_filter.py +0 -326
  45. tests/statespace/test_representation.py +0 -175
  46. tests/statespace/test_statespace.py +0 -872
  47. tests/statespace/test_statespace_JAX.py +0 -156
  48. tests/statespace/test_structural.py +0 -836
  49. tests/statespace/utilities/__init__.py +0 -0
  50. tests/statespace/utilities/shared_fixtures.py +0 -9
  51. tests/statespace/utilities/statsmodel_local_level.py +0 -42
  52. tests/statespace/utilities/test_helpers.py +0 -310
  53. tests/test_blackjax_smc.py +0 -222
  54. tests/test_find_map.py +0 -103
  55. tests/test_histogram_approximation.py +0 -109
  56. tests/test_laplace.py +0 -281
  57. tests/test_linearmodel.py +0 -208
  58. tests/test_model_builder.py +0 -306
  59. tests/test_pathfinder.py +0 -297
  60. tests/test_pivoted_cholesky.py +0 -24
  61. tests/test_printing.py +0 -98
  62. tests/test_prior_from_trace.py +0 -172
  63. tests/test_splines.py +0 -77
  64. tests/utils.py +0 -0
  65. {pymc_extras-0.2.5.dist-info → pymc_extras-0.2.7.dist-info}/licenses/LICENSE +0 -0
@@ -1,156 +0,0 @@
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- import warnings
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-
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- import numpy as np
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- import pymc as pm
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- import pytensor
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- import pytensor.tensor as pt
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- import pytest
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-
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- from pymc.model.transform.optimization import freeze_dims_and_data
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-
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- from pymc_extras.statespace.utils.constants import (
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- FILTER_OUTPUT_NAMES,
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- MATRIX_NAMES,
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- SMOOTHER_OUTPUT_NAMES,
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- )
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- from tests.statespace.test_statespace import ( # pylint: disable=unused-import
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- exog_ss_mod,
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- ss_mod,
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- )
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- from tests.statespace.utilities.shared_fixtures import ( # pylint: disable=unused-import
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- rng,
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- )
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- from tests.statespace.utilities.test_helpers import load_nile_test_data
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-
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- pytest.importorskip("jax")
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- pytest.importorskip("numpyro")
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-
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-
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- floatX = pytensor.config.floatX
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- nile = load_nile_test_data()
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- ALL_SAMPLE_OUTPUTS = MATRIX_NAMES + FILTER_OUTPUT_NAMES + SMOOTHER_OUTPUT_NAMES
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-
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-
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- @pytest.fixture(scope="session")
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- def pymc_mod(ss_mod):
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- with pm.Model(coords=ss_mod.coords) as pymc_mod:
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- rho = pm.Beta("rho", 1, 1)
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- zeta = pm.Deterministic("zeta", 1 - rho)
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-
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- ss_mod.build_statespace_graph(
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- data=nile, mode="JAX", save_kalman_filter_outputs_in_idata=True
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- )
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- names = ["x0", "P0", "c", "d", "T", "Z", "R", "H", "Q"]
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- for name, matrix in zip(names, ss_mod.unpack_statespace()):
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- pm.Deterministic(name, matrix)
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-
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- return pymc_mod
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-
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-
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- @pytest.fixture(scope="session")
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- def exog_pymc_mod(exog_ss_mod, rng):
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- y = rng.normal(size=(100, 1)).astype(floatX)
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- X = rng.normal(size=(100, 3)).astype(floatX)
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-
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- with pm.Model(coords=exog_ss_mod.coords) as m:
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- exog_data = pm.Data("data_exog", X)
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- initial_trend = pm.Normal("initial_trend", dims=["trend_state"])
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- P0_sigma = pm.Exponential("P0_sigma", 1)
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- P0 = pm.Deterministic(
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- "P0", pt.eye(exog_ss_mod.k_states) * P0_sigma, dims=["state", "state_aux"]
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- )
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- beta_exog = pm.Normal("beta_exog", dims=["exog_state"])
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-
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- sigma_trend = pm.Exponential("sigma_trend", 1, dims=["trend_shock"])
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- exog_ss_mod.build_statespace_graph(y, mode="JAX")
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-
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- return m
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-
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-
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- @pytest.fixture(scope="session")
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- def idata(pymc_mod, rng):
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- with warnings.catch_warnings():
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- warnings.simplefilter("ignore")
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- with pymc_mod:
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- idata = pm.sample(
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- draws=10,
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- tune=1,
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- chains=1,
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- random_seed=rng,
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- nuts_sampler="numpyro",
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- progressbar=False,
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- )
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- with freeze_dims_and_data(pymc_mod):
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- idata_prior = pm.sample_prior_predictive(
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- samples=10, random_seed=rng, compile_kwargs={"mode": "JAX"}
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- )
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-
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- idata.extend(idata_prior)
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- return idata
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-
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-
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- @pytest.fixture(scope="session")
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- def idata_exog(exog_pymc_mod, rng):
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- with warnings.catch_warnings():
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- warnings.simplefilter("ignore")
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-
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- with exog_pymc_mod:
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- idata = pm.sample(
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- draws=10,
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- tune=1,
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- chains=1,
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- random_seed=rng,
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- nuts_sampler="numpyro",
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- progressbar=False,
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- )
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- with freeze_dims_and_data(pymc_mod):
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- idata_prior = pm.sample_prior_predictive(
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- samples=10, random_seed=rng, compile_kwargs={"mode": "JAX"}
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- )
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-
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- idata.extend(idata_prior)
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- return idata
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-
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-
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- @pytest.mark.parametrize("group", ["posterior", "prior"])
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- @pytest.mark.parametrize("matrix", ALL_SAMPLE_OUTPUTS)
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- def test_no_nans_in_sampling_output(ss_mod, group, matrix, idata):
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- assert not np.any(np.isnan(idata[group][matrix].values))
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-
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-
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- @pytest.mark.parametrize("group", ["prior", "posterior"])
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- @pytest.mark.parametrize("kind", ["conditional", "unconditional"])
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- def test_sampling_methods(group, kind, ss_mod, idata, rng):
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- assert ss_mod._fit_mode == "JAX"
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-
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- f = getattr(ss_mod, f"sample_{kind}_{group}")
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- with pytest.warns(UserWarning, match="The RandomType SharedVariables"):
128
- test_idata = f(idata, random_seed=rng)
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-
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- if kind == "conditional":
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- for output in ["filtered", "predicted", "smoothed"]:
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- assert f"{output}_{group}" in test_idata
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- assert not np.any(np.isnan(test_idata[f"{output}_{group}"].values))
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- assert not np.any(np.isnan(test_idata[f"{output}_{group}_observed"].values))
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-
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- if kind == "unconditional":
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- for output in ["latent", "observed"]:
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- assert f"{group}_{output}" in test_idata
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- assert not np.any(np.isnan(test_idata[f"{group}_{output}"].values))
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-
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-
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- @pytest.mark.parametrize("filter_output", ["predicted", "filtered", "smoothed"])
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- def test_forecast(filter_output, ss_mod, idata, rng):
144
- time_idx = idata.posterior.coords["time"].values
145
-
146
- with pytest.warns(UserWarning, match="The RandomType SharedVariables"):
147
- forecast_idata = ss_mod.forecast(
148
- idata, start=time_idx[-1], periods=10, filter_output=filter_output, random_seed=rng
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- )
150
-
151
- assert forecast_idata.coords["time"].values.shape == (10,)
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- assert forecast_idata.forecast_latent.dims == ("chain", "draw", "time", "state")
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- assert forecast_idata.forecast_observed.dims == ("chain", "draw", "time", "observed_state")
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-
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- assert not np.any(np.isnan(forecast_idata.forecast_latent.values))
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- assert not np.any(np.isnan(forecast_idata.forecast_observed.values))