prediction-market-agent-tooling 0.61.1.dev483__py3-none-any.whl → 0.61.1.dev484__py3-none-any.whl
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/data_models.py +92 -3
- prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/price_manager.py +0 -119
- prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/seer_subgraph_handler.py +1 -1
- prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/subgraph_data_models.py +2 -1
- {prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev483.dist-info → prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev484.dist-info}/METADATA +1 -1
- {prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev483.dist-info → prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev484.dist-info}/RECORD +9 -9
- {prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev483.dist-info → prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev484.dist-info}/LICENSE +0 -0
- {prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev483.dist-info → prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev484.dist-info}/WHEEL +0 -0
- {prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev483.dist-info → prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev484.dist-info}/entry_points.txt +0 -0
@@ -12,13 +12,20 @@ from prediction_market_agent_tooling.gtypes import (
|
|
12
12
|
HexAddress,
|
13
13
|
HexBytes,
|
14
14
|
Probability,
|
15
|
+
xdai_type,
|
15
16
|
)
|
17
|
+
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.loggers import logger
|
16
18
|
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.markets.data_models import Resolution
|
17
|
-
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.markets.seer.price_manager import PriceManager
|
18
19
|
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.markets.seer.subgraph_data_models import (
|
19
20
|
SeerParentMarket,
|
21
|
+
SeerPool,
|
20
22
|
)
|
23
|
+
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.tools.caches.inmemory_cache import (
|
24
|
+
persistent_inmemory_cache,
|
25
|
+
)
|
26
|
+
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.tools.cow.cow_manager import CowManager
|
21
27
|
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.tools.datetime_utc import DatetimeUTC
|
28
|
+
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.tools.web3_utils import xdai_to_wei
|
22
29
|
|
23
30
|
|
24
31
|
class SeerOutcomeEnum(str, Enum):
|
@@ -158,10 +165,92 @@ class SeerMarket(BaseModel):
|
|
158
165
|
def created_time(self) -> DatetimeUTC:
|
159
166
|
return DatetimeUTC.to_datetime_utc(self.block_timestamp)
|
160
167
|
|
168
|
+
@persistent_inmemory_cache
|
169
|
+
def get_price_for_token(
|
170
|
+
self,
|
171
|
+
token: ChecksumAddress,
|
172
|
+
) -> float:
|
173
|
+
collateral_exchange_amount = xdai_to_wei(xdai_type(1))
|
174
|
+
try:
|
175
|
+
quote = CowManager().get_quote(
|
176
|
+
collateral_token=self.collateral_token_contract_address_checksummed,
|
177
|
+
buy_token=token,
|
178
|
+
sell_amount=collateral_exchange_amount,
|
179
|
+
)
|
180
|
+
except Exception as e:
|
181
|
+
logger.warning(
|
182
|
+
f"Could not get quote for {token=} from Cow, exception {e=}. Falling back to pools. "
|
183
|
+
)
|
184
|
+
price = self.get_token_price_from_pools(token=token)
|
185
|
+
return price
|
186
|
+
|
187
|
+
return collateral_exchange_amount / float(quote.quote.buyAmount.root)
|
188
|
+
|
189
|
+
@staticmethod
|
190
|
+
def _pool_token0_matches_token(token: ChecksumAddress, pool: SeerPool) -> bool:
|
191
|
+
return pool.token0.id.hex().lower() == token.lower()
|
192
|
+
|
193
|
+
def get_token_price_from_pools(
|
194
|
+
self,
|
195
|
+
token: ChecksumAddress,
|
196
|
+
collateral_token_contract_address_checksummed: ChecksumAddress,
|
197
|
+
) -> float:
|
198
|
+
pool = self.subgraph_handler.get_pool_by_token(token_address=token)
|
199
|
+
|
200
|
+
if not pool:
|
201
|
+
logger.warning(f"Could not find a pool for {token=}, returning 0.")
|
202
|
+
return 0
|
203
|
+
# Check if other token is market's collateral (sanity check).
|
204
|
+
|
205
|
+
collateral_address = (
|
206
|
+
pool.token0.id
|
207
|
+
if self._pool_token0_matches_token(token=token, pool=pool)
|
208
|
+
else pool.token1.id
|
209
|
+
)
|
210
|
+
if (
|
211
|
+
collateral_address.hex().lower()
|
212
|
+
!= collateral_token_contract_address_checksummed.lower()
|
213
|
+
):
|
214
|
+
logger.warning(
|
215
|
+
f"Pool {pool.id.hex()} has collateral mismatch with market. Collateral from pool {collateral_address.hex()}, collateral from market {collateral_token_contract_address_checksummed}, returning 0."
|
216
|
+
)
|
217
|
+
return 0
|
218
|
+
|
219
|
+
price_in_collateral_units = (
|
220
|
+
pool.token0Price
|
221
|
+
if self._pool_token0_matches_token(pool)
|
222
|
+
else pool.token1Price
|
223
|
+
)
|
224
|
+
return price_in_collateral_units
|
225
|
+
|
161
226
|
@property
|
162
227
|
def current_p_yes(self) -> Probability:
|
163
|
-
|
164
|
-
|
228
|
+
price_data = {}
|
229
|
+
for idx, wrapped_token in enumerate(self.wrapped_tokens):
|
230
|
+
price = self.get_price_for_token(
|
231
|
+
token=Web3.to_checksum_address(wrapped_token),
|
232
|
+
)
|
233
|
+
|
234
|
+
price_data[idx] = price
|
235
|
+
|
236
|
+
if sum(price_data.values()) == 0:
|
237
|
+
logger.warning(
|
238
|
+
f"Could not get p_yes for market {self.id.hex()}, all price quotes are 0."
|
239
|
+
)
|
240
|
+
return Probability(0)
|
241
|
+
|
242
|
+
price_yes = price_data[self.outcome_as_enums[SeerOutcomeEnum.YES]]
|
243
|
+
price_no = price_data[self.outcome_as_enums[SeerOutcomeEnum.NO]]
|
244
|
+
if price_yes and not price_no:
|
245
|
+
# We simply return p_yes since it's probably a bug that p_no wasn't found.
|
246
|
+
return Probability(price_yes)
|
247
|
+
elif price_no and not price_yes:
|
248
|
+
# We return the complement of p_no (and ignore invalid).
|
249
|
+
return Probability(1.0 - price_no)
|
250
|
+
else:
|
251
|
+
# If all prices are available, we normalize price_yes by the other prices for the final probability.
|
252
|
+
price_yes = price_yes / sum(price_data.values())
|
253
|
+
return Probability(price_yes)
|
165
254
|
|
166
255
|
@property
|
167
256
|
def url(self) -> str:
|
@@ -1,124 +1,5 @@
|
|
1
|
-
from web3 import Web3
|
2
|
-
|
3
1
|
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.gtypes import ChecksumAddress
|
4
|
-
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.gtypes import Probability, xdai_type
|
5
|
-
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.loggers import logger
|
6
|
-
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.markets.seer.data_models import (
|
7
|
-
SeerMarket,
|
8
|
-
SeerOutcomeEnum,
|
9
|
-
)
|
10
|
-
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.markets.seer.seer_subgraph_handler import (
|
11
|
-
SeerSubgraphHandler,
|
12
|
-
)
|
13
2
|
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.markets.seer.subgraph_data_models import SeerPool
|
14
|
-
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.tools.caches.inmemory_cache import (
|
15
|
-
persistent_inmemory_cache,
|
16
|
-
)
|
17
|
-
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.tools.cow.cow_manager import CowManager
|
18
|
-
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.tools.web3_utils import xdai_to_wei
|
19
3
|
|
20
4
|
|
21
5
|
class PriceManager:
|
22
|
-
def __init__(self, market: SeerMarket):
|
23
|
-
self.seer_market = market
|
24
|
-
self.subgraph_handler = SeerSubgraphHandler()
|
25
|
-
|
26
|
-
def fetch_outcome_price_for_seer_market(self) -> float:
|
27
|
-
price_data = {}
|
28
|
-
for idx in range(len(self.seer_market.outcomes)):
|
29
|
-
wrapped_token = self.seer_market.wrapped_tokens[idx]
|
30
|
-
price = self.get_price_for_token(
|
31
|
-
token=Web3.to_checksum_address(wrapped_token)
|
32
|
-
)
|
33
|
-
price_data[idx] = price
|
34
|
-
|
35
|
-
if sum(price_data.values()) == 0:
|
36
|
-
logger.warning(
|
37
|
-
f"Could not get p_yes for market {self.seer_market.id.hex()}, all price quotes are 0."
|
38
|
-
)
|
39
|
-
return Probability(0)
|
40
|
-
|
41
|
-
yes_idx = self.seer_market.outcome_as_enums[SeerOutcomeEnum.YES]
|
42
|
-
price_yes = price_data[yes_idx] / sum(price_data.values())
|
43
|
-
return Probability(price_yes)
|
44
|
-
|
45
|
-
def current_market_p_yes(self) -> Probability:
|
46
|
-
price_data = {}
|
47
|
-
for idx in range(len(self.seer_market.outcomes)):
|
48
|
-
wrapped_token = self.seer_market.wrapped_tokens[idx]
|
49
|
-
price = self.get_price_for_token(
|
50
|
-
token=Web3.to_checksum_address(wrapped_token)
|
51
|
-
)
|
52
|
-
price_data[idx] = price
|
53
|
-
|
54
|
-
if sum(price_data.values()) == 0:
|
55
|
-
logger.warning(
|
56
|
-
f"Could not get p_yes for market {self.seer_market.id.hex()}, all price quotes are 0."
|
57
|
-
)
|
58
|
-
return Probability(0)
|
59
|
-
|
60
|
-
yes_idx = self.seer_market.outcome_as_enums[SeerOutcomeEnum.YES]
|
61
|
-
no_idx = self.seer_market.outcome_as_enums[SeerOutcomeEnum.NO]
|
62
|
-
price_yes = price_data[yes_idx]
|
63
|
-
price_no = price_data[no_idx]
|
64
|
-
if price_yes and not price_no:
|
65
|
-
# We simply return p_yes since it's probably a bug that p_no wasn't found.
|
66
|
-
return Probability(price_yes)
|
67
|
-
elif price_no and not price_yes:
|
68
|
-
# We return the complement of p_no (and ignore invalid).
|
69
|
-
return Probability(1.0 - price_no)
|
70
|
-
else:
|
71
|
-
# If all prices are available, we normalize price_yes by the other prices for the final probability.
|
72
|
-
price_yes = price_yes / sum(price_data.values())
|
73
|
-
return Probability(price_yes)
|
74
|
-
|
75
|
-
@persistent_inmemory_cache
|
76
|
-
def get_price_for_token(self, token: ChecksumAddress) -> float:
|
77
|
-
collateral_exchange_amount = xdai_to_wei(xdai_type(1))
|
78
|
-
try:
|
79
|
-
quote = CowManager().get_quote(
|
80
|
-
collateral_token=self.seer_market.collateral_token_contract_address_checksummed,
|
81
|
-
buy_token=token,
|
82
|
-
sell_amount=collateral_exchange_amount,
|
83
|
-
)
|
84
|
-
except Exception as e:
|
85
|
-
logger.warning(
|
86
|
-
f"Could not get quote for {token=} from Cow, exception {e=}. Falling back to pools. "
|
87
|
-
)
|
88
|
-
price = self.get_token_price_from_pools(token=token)
|
89
|
-
return price
|
90
|
-
|
91
|
-
return collateral_exchange_amount / float(quote.quote.buyAmount.root)
|
92
|
-
|
93
|
-
@staticmethod
|
94
|
-
def _pool_token0_matches_token(token: ChecksumAddress, pool: SeerPool) -> bool:
|
95
|
-
return pool.token0.id.hex().lower() == token.lower()
|
96
|
-
|
97
|
-
def get_token_price_from_pools(self, token: ChecksumAddress) -> float:
|
98
|
-
pool = self.subgraph_handler.get_pool_by_token(token_address=token)
|
99
|
-
|
100
|
-
if not pool:
|
101
|
-
logger.warning(f"Could not find a pool for {token=}, returning 0.")
|
102
|
-
return 0
|
103
|
-
# Check if other token is market's collateral (sanity check).
|
104
|
-
|
105
|
-
collateral_address = (
|
106
|
-
pool.token0.id
|
107
|
-
if self._pool_token0_matches_token(token=token, pool=pool)
|
108
|
-
else pool.token1.id
|
109
|
-
)
|
110
|
-
if (
|
111
|
-
collateral_address.hex().lower()
|
112
|
-
!= self.seer_market.collateral_token.lower()
|
113
|
-
):
|
114
|
-
logger.warning(
|
115
|
-
f"Pool {pool.id.hex()} has collateral mismatch with market. Collateral from pool {collateral_address.hex()}, collateral from market {self.seer_market.collateral_token}, returning 0."
|
116
|
-
)
|
117
|
-
return 0
|
118
|
-
|
119
|
-
price_in_collateral_units = (
|
120
|
-
pool.token0Price
|
121
|
-
if self._pool_token0_matches_token(pool)
|
122
|
-
else pool.token1Price
|
123
|
-
)
|
124
|
-
return price_in_collateral_units
|
@@ -12,8 +12,8 @@ from prediction_market_agent_tooling.markets.base_subgraph_handler import (
|
|
12
12
|
)
|
13
13
|
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.markets.seer.data_models import (
|
14
14
|
SeerMarket,
|
15
|
-
SeerPool,
|
16
15
|
)
|
16
|
+
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.markets.seer.subgraph_data_models import SeerPool
|
17
17
|
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.tools.hexbytes_custom import HexBytes
|
18
18
|
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.tools.utils import to_int_timestamp, utcnow
|
19
19
|
|
@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
|
|
1
1
|
from pydantic import BaseModel, ConfigDict, Field
|
2
|
+
from web3.constants import ADDRESS_ZERO
|
2
3
|
|
3
|
-
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.gtypes import HexBytes, HexAddress
|
4
|
+
from prediction_market_agent_tooling.gtypes import HexBytes, HexAddress, Wei
|
4
5
|
|
5
6
|
|
6
7
|
class SeerToken(BaseModel):
|
@@ -61,12 +61,12 @@ prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/polymarket/data_models.py,sha256=Fd5PI5y
|
|
61
61
|
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/polymarket/data_models_web.py,sha256=VZhVccTApygSKMmy6Au2G02JCJOKJnR_oVeKlaesuSg,12548
|
62
62
|
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/polymarket/polymarket.py,sha256=NRoZK71PtH8kkangMqme7twcAXhRJSSabbmOir-UnAI,3418
|
63
63
|
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/polymarket/utils.py,sha256=8kTeVjXPcXC6DkDvWYsZQLY7x8DS6CEp_yznSEazsNU,2037
|
64
|
-
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/data_models.py,sha256=
|
65
|
-
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/price_manager.py,sha256=
|
64
|
+
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/data_models.py,sha256=jLfCiwkw4OZyqw5RV3kEimmWWeBBF6SMmn4Oxzlm5pQ,9101
|
65
|
+
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/price_manager.py,sha256=k0I8xLFs0cXEDrTiOtQUxVPaAVYchfz-D8cijeONlXc,176
|
66
66
|
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/seer.py,sha256=Anxp66UUzIIKt5wgLoqtUjUM-5HQ0wC5f5rDiYwrRRg,12959
|
67
67
|
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/seer_contracts.py,sha256=E7CYAKZiK6cg3dyj1kJuIPKSYYUft98F64shF5S0g4s,2730
|
68
|
-
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/seer_subgraph_handler.py,sha256=
|
69
|
-
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/subgraph_data_models.py,sha256=
|
68
|
+
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/seer_subgraph_handler.py,sha256=lcaKbFHxigMYwi4TCePyTb5HXJhGoCu5dJPFWTj5E28,9047
|
69
|
+
prediction_market_agent_tooling/markets/seer/subgraph_data_models.py,sha256=RIt2oO-PbykzbYN11Qltt8tjjYTty-PfjH3Q4D2VEoA,1644
|
70
70
|
prediction_market_agent_tooling/monitor/financial_metrics/financial_metrics.py,sha256=fjIgjDIx5MhH5mwf7S0cspLOOSU3elYLhGYoIiM26mU,2746
|
71
71
|
prediction_market_agent_tooling/monitor/markets/manifold.py,sha256=TS4ERwTfQnot8dhekNyVNhJYf5ysYsjF-9v5_kM3aVI,3334
|
72
72
|
prediction_market_agent_tooling/monitor/markets/metaculus.py,sha256=LOnyWWBFdg10-cTWdb76nOsNjDloO8OfMT85GBzRCFI,1455
|
@@ -119,8 +119,8 @@ prediction_market_agent_tooling/tools/tokens/main_token.py,sha256=7JPgVF4RbiFzLD
|
|
119
119
|
prediction_market_agent_tooling/tools/transaction_cache.py,sha256=K5YKNL2_tR10Iw2TD9fuP-CTGpBbZtNdgbd0B_R7pjg,1814
|
120
120
|
prediction_market_agent_tooling/tools/utils.py,sha256=jLG4nbEoIzzJiZ4RgMx4Q969Zdl0p0s63p8uET_0Fuw,6440
|
121
121
|
prediction_market_agent_tooling/tools/web3_utils.py,sha256=3wfqNxvMn44ivweFRoeKNVb9QRtFd7kFtp7VUY5juEE,12862
|
122
|
-
prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.
|
123
|
-
prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.
|
124
|
-
prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.
|
125
|
-
prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.
|
126
|
-
prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.
|
122
|
+
prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev484.dist-info/LICENSE,sha256=6or154nLLU6bELzjh0mCreFjt0m2v72zLi3yHE0QbeE,7650
|
123
|
+
prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev484.dist-info/METADATA,sha256=IpD8pQ3IicG0EyoDNg33hCkmVHBpXGKbNg-_FpdXve0,8636
|
124
|
+
prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev484.dist-info/WHEEL,sha256=XbeZDeTWKc1w7CSIyre5aMDU_-PohRwTQceYnisIYYY,88
|
125
|
+
prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev484.dist-info/entry_points.txt,sha256=m8PukHbeH5g0IAAmOf_1Ahm-sGAMdhSSRQmwtpmi2s8,81
|
126
|
+
prediction_market_agent_tooling-0.61.1.dev484.dist-info/RECORD,,
|
File without changes
|
File without changes
|