policyengine-uk 2.35.0__py3-none-any.whl → 2.36.0__py3-none-any.whl

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/economic_assumptions/yoy_growth.yaml

@@ -0,0 +1,265 @@
+obr:
+  rpi:
+    description: Retail price index year-on-year growth.
+    values:
+      2009-01-01: 0.018
+      2010-01-01: 0.008
+      2011-01-01: 0.016
+      2012-01-01: 0.007
+      2013-01-01: 0.047
+      2014-01-01: 0.006
+      2015-01-01: 0.020
+      2016-01-01: 0.024
+      2017-01-01: 0.032
+      2018-01-01: 0.026
+      2019-01-01: 0.022
+      2020-01-01: 0.003
+      2021-01-01: 0.059
+      2022-01-01: 0.064
+      2023-01-01: 0.069
+      2024-01-01: 0.047
+      2025-01-01: 0.037
+      2026-01-01: 0.022
+      2027-01-01: 0.021
+      2028-01-01: 0.023
+      2029-01-01: 0.025
+    metadata:
+      unit: /1
+      label: retail price index growth
+      reference:
+        - title: OBR EFO March 2025
+          href: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2025/
+  average_earnings:
+    description: Average earnings year-on-year growth.
+    values:
+      2009-01-01: 0.018
+      2010-01-01: 0.008
+      2011-01-01: 0.016
+      2012-01-01: 0.007
+      2013-01-01: 0.047
+      2014-01-01: 0.006
+      2015-01-01: 0.020
+      2016-01-01: 0.024
+      2017-01-01: 0.032
+      2018-01-01: 0.026
+      2019-01-01: 0.022
+      2020-01-01: 0.003
+      2021-01-01: 0.059
+      2022-01-01: 0.064
+      2023-01-01: 0.069
+      2024-01-01: 0.047
+      2025-01-01: 0.037
+      2026-01-01: 0.022
+      2027-01-01: 0.021
+      2028-01-01: 0.023
+      2029-01-01: 0.025
+    metadata:
+      unit: /1
+      label: average earnings growth
+      reference:
+        - title: OBR EFO March 2025 (detailed forecast tables, economy, Table 1.6, Row Q)
+          href: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2025/
+  
+  consumer_price_index:
+    description: Consumer price index year-on-year growth.
+    values:
+      2009-01-01: 0.022
+      2010-01-01: 0.035
+      2011-01-01: 0.043
+      2012-01-01: 0.027
+      2013-01-01: 0.023
+      2014-01-01: 0.011
+      2015-01-01: 0.001
+      2016-01-01: 0.011
+      2017-01-01: 0.028
+      2018-01-01: 0.023
+      2019-01-01: 0.017
+      2020-01-01: 0.006
+      2021-01-01: 0.040
+      2022-01-01: 0.100
+      2023-01-01: 0.057
+      2024-01-01: 0.023
+      2025-01-01: 0.032
+      2026-01-01: 0.019
+      2027-01-01: 0.020
+      2028-01-01: 0.020
+      2029-01-01: 0.020
+    metadata:
+      unit: /1
+      label: consumer price index growth
+      reference:
+        - title: OBR EFO March 2025
+          href: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2025/
+  
+  non_labour_income:
+    description: Non-labour income year-on-year growth.
+    values:
+      2021-01-01: 0.072
+      2022-01-01: 0.138
+      2023-01-01: 0.066
+      2024-01-01: 0.08
+      2025-01-01: 0.068
+      2026-01-01: 0.056
+      2027-01-01: 0.045
+      2028-01-01: 0.034
+      2029-01-01: 0.035
+    metadata:
+      unit: /1
+      label: non-labour income growth
+      reference:
+        - title: OBR EFO March 2025
+          href: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2025/
+  
+  council_tax:
+    description: Council tax year-on-year growth.
+    values:
+      2021-01-01: 0.078
+      2022-01-01: 0.053
+      2023-01-01: 0.056
+      2024-01-01: 0.064
+      2025-01-01: 0.046
+      2026-01-01: 0.045
+      2027-01-01: 0.046
+      2028-01-01: 0.045
+      2029-01-01: 0.045
+    metadata:
+      unit: /1
+      label: council tax growth
+      reference:
+        - title: OBR EFO March 2025
+          href: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2025/
+  
+  per_capita:
+    gdp:
+      description: Per capita GDP year-on-year growth.
+      values:
+        2021-01-01: 0.125
+        2022-01-01: 0.092
+        2023-01-01: 0.05
+        2024-01-01: 0.038
+        2025-01-01: 0.028
+        2026-01-01: 0.028
+        2027-01-01: 0.031
+        2028-01-01: 0.033
+        2029-01-01: 0.033
+      metadata:
+        unit: /1
+        label: per capita GDP growth
+        reference:
+          - title: OBR EFO March 2025
+            href: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2025/
+    
+    mixed_income:
+      description: Per capita mixed income year-on-year growth.
+      values:
+        2021-01-01: 0.06
+        2022-01-01: 0.063
+        2023-01-01: 0.024
+        2024-01-01: 0.048
+        2025-01-01: 0.047
+        2026-01-01: 0.031
+        2027-01-01: 0.031
+        2028-01-01: 0.036
+        2029-01-01: 0.038
+      metadata:
+        unit: /1
+        label: per capita mixed income growth
+        reference:
+          - title: OBR EFO March 2025
+            href: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2025/
+    
+    non_labour_income:
+      description: Per capita non-labour income year-on-year growth.
+      values:
+        2021-01-01: 0.068
+        2022-01-01: 0.134
+        2023-01-01: 0.052
+        2024-01-01: 0.069
+        2025-01-01: 0.057
+        2026-01-01: 0.049
+        2027-01-01: 0.038
+        2028-01-01: 0.029
+        2029-01-01: 0.03
+      metadata:
+        unit: /1
+        label: per capita non-labour income growth
+        reference:
+          - title: OBR EFO March 2025
+            href: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2025/
+  
+  house_prices:
+    description: House prices year-on-year growth.
+    values:
+      2021-01-01: 0.082
+      2022-01-01: 0.083
+      2023-01-01: -0.01
+      2024-01-01: 0.027
+      2025-01-01: 0.024
+      2026-01-01: 0.025
+      2027-01-01: 0.026
+      2028-01-01: 0.023
+      2029-01-01: 0.024
+    metadata:
+      unit: /1
+      label: house prices growth
+      reference:
+        - title: OBR EFO March 2025
+          href: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2025/
+  
+  mortgage_interest:
+    description: Mortgage interest year-on-year growth.
+    values:
+      2021-01-01: 0.003
+      2022-01-01: 0.262
+      2023-01-01: 0.485
+      2024-01-01: 0.221
+      2025-01-01: 0.136
+      2026-01-01: 0.126
+      2027-01-01: 0.082
+      2028-01-01: 0.042
+      2029-01-01: 0.047
+    metadata:
+      unit: /1
+      label: mortgage interest growth
+      reference:
+        - title: OBR EFO March 2025
+          href: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2025/
+  
+  rent:
+    description: Rent year-on-year growth.
+    values:
+      2021-01-01: 0.018
+      2022-01-01: 0.04
+      2023-01-01: 0.063
+      2024-01-01: 0.074
+      2025-01-01: 0.057
+      2026-01-01: 0.036
+      2027-01-01: 0.027
+      2028-01-01: 0.023
+      2029-01-01: 0.024
+    metadata:
+      unit: /1
+      label: rent growth
+      reference:
+        - title: OBR EFO March 2025
+          href: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2025/
+
+ons:
+  population:
+    description: Population year-on-year growth.
+    values:
+      2021-01-01: 0.004
+      2022-01-01: 0.003
+      2023-01-01: 0.014
+      2024-01-01: 0.01
+      2025-01-01: 0.011
+      2026-01-01: 0.007
+      2027-01-01: 0.008
+      2028-01-01: 0.004
+      2029-01-01: 0.005
+    metadata:
+      unit: /1
+      label: population growth
+      reference:
+        - title: ONS Population Projections
+          href: https://www.ons.gov.uk/

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/hmrc/fuel_duty/petrol_and_diesel.yaml

@@ -30,7 +30,7 @@ metadata:
   unit: currency-GBP
   name: fuel_duty_rate
   label: Fuel duty rate (petrol and diesel)
-  uprating: gov.ons.rpi
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.rpi
   reference:
     - title: Hydrocarbon Oil Duties Act 1979 s. 6
       href: https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/1979/5/section/6

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/hmrc/income_tax/allowances/personal_allowance/amount.yaml

@@ -11,7 +11,7 @@ metadata:
   name: personal_allowance
   label: Personal allowance
   unit: currency-GBP
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
   reference:
     - title: Income Tax Act 2007 s. 35
       href: https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2007/3/section/35

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/hmrc/income_tax/rates/scotland/rates.yaml

@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@ brackets:
         2018-04-06: 0
         2021-04-06: 0
       metadata:
-        uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+        uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
     rate:
       2017-04-01: null
       2018-04-06: 0.19 # Starter rate
@@ -19,7 +19,7 @@ brackets:
         2023-04-06: 2_162
         2024-04-06: 2_306
       metadata:
-        uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+        uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
     rate:
       2017-04-06: 0.20 # Basic rate
   - threshold:
@@ -31,7 +31,7 @@ brackets:
         2023-04-06: 13_118
         2024-04-06: 13_991
       metadata:
-        uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+        uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
     rate:
       2017-04-06: null
       2018-04-06: 0.21 # Intermediate rate
@@ -43,7 +43,7 @@ brackets:
         2023-04-06: 31_092
         2024-04-06: 31_092
       metadata:
-        uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+        uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
     rate:
       2017-04-06: 0.40
       2021-04-06: 0.41 # Higher rate
@@ -54,7 +54,7 @@ brackets:
         2023-04-06: 125_140
         2024-04-06: 62_430
       metadata:
-        uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+        uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
     rate:
       2017-04-06: 0.45
       2018-04-06: 0.46 # Additional rate
@@ -65,7 +65,7 @@ brackets:
         2017-04-06: null
         2024-04-06: 125_140
       metadata:
-        uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+        uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
     rate:
       2017-04-06: null
       2024-04-06: 0.48

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/hmrc/national_insurance/class_1/thresholds/lower_earnings_limit.yaml

@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@ metadata:
   - https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/882271/Table-a4.pdf
   - https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rates-and-allowances-national-insurance-contributions/rates-and-allowances-national-insurance-contributions
   unit: currency-GBP
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
   label: NI Lower Earnings Limit
 values:
   2015-04-06: 112

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/hmrc/national_insurance/class_1/thresholds/primary_threshold.yaml

@@ -29,7 +29,7 @@ metadata:
   label: NI Primary Threshold
   name: NI_PT
   unit: currency-GBP
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
   period: week
   reference:
     - title: "GOV.UK | Rates and allowances: National Insurance contributions"

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/hmrc/national_insurance/class_1/thresholds/secondary_threshold.yaml

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ description: Secondary threshold for National Insurance
 metadata:
   label: NI Secondary Threshold
   period: week
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
   reference:
   - https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/882271/Table-a4.pdf
   - https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rates-and-allowances-national-insurance-contributions/rates-and-allowances-national-insurance-contributions

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/hmrc/national_insurance/class_1/thresholds/upper_earnings_limit.yaml

@@ -11,7 +11,7 @@ values:
 metadata:
   label: NI Upper Earnings Limit
   unit: currency-GBP
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
   period: week
   reference:
     - https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/882271/Table-a4.pdf

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/hmrc/national_insurance/class_2/small_profits_threshold.yaml

@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ values:
 metadata:
   unit: currency-GBP
   label: NI Class 2 Small Profits Threshold
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
   reference:
     - https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/882271/Table-a4.pdf
     - https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rates-and-allowances-national-insurance-contributions/rates-and-allowances-national-insurance-contributions

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/hmrc/national_insurance/class_4/thresholds/lower_profits_limit.yaml

@@ -22,7 +22,7 @@ metadata:
   label: NI Lower Profits Limit
   unit: currency-GBP
   period: year
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
   reference:
     - https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/882271/Table-a4.pdf
     - https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rates-and-allowances-national-insurance-contributions/rates-and-allowances-national-insurance-contributions

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/hmrc/national_insurance/class_4/thresholds/upper_profits_limit.yaml

@@ -13,7 +13,7 @@ metadata:
   name: NI_UPL
   unit: currency-GBP
   period: year
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
   reference:
     - https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/882271/Table-a4.pdf
     - https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rates-and-allowances-national-insurance-contributions/rates-and-allowances-national-insurance-contributions

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/indices/private_rent_index.yaml

@@ -111,7 +111,7 @@ values:
   2024-01-01: 124.6
 metadata:
   label: Private rental prices index
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
   reference:
     - title: ONS Index of Private Housing Rental Prices, UK monthly estimates
       href: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/datasets/indexofprivatehousingrentalpricesreferencetables

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/simulation/private_school_vat/private_school_fees.yaml

@@ -7,4 +7,4 @@ metadata:
   reference:
     - title: Tax, private school fees and state school spending
       href: https://ifs.org.uk/publications/tax-private-school-fees-and-state-school-spending
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/social_security_scotland/pawhp/amount/base.yaml

@@ -5,4 +5,4 @@ values:
 metadata:
   unit: currency-GBP
   label: PAWHP base payment
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/social_security_scotland/pawhp/amount/higher.yaml

@@ -3,4 +3,4 @@ values:
 metadata:
   unit: currency-GBP
   label: PAWHP lower amount
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/social_security_scotland/pawhp/amount/lower.yaml

@@ -3,4 +3,4 @@ values:
 metadata:
   unit: currency-GBP
   label: PAWHP lower amount
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index

policyengine_uk/parameters/household/consumption/total_by_category.yaml

@@ -25,6 +25,6 @@ miscellaneous_consumption:
   2021-01-01: 54_415_069_696
 metadata:
   unit: currency-GBP
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
   propagate_metadata_to_children: true
   period: year

policyengine_uk/parameters/household/poverty/absolute_poverty_threshold_ahc.yaml

@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
 description: Absolute poverty threshold for equivalised household net income, after housing costs.
 values:
   2010-01-01: 215.4
+  2020-01-01: 261.92
 metadata:
   period: week
   unit: currency-GBP
@@ -9,4 +10,4 @@ metadata:
   reference:
     - title: Households Below Average income, 2010/11
       href: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/200720/full_hbai12.pdf#page=35
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index

policyengine_uk/parameters/household/poverty/absolute_poverty_threshold_bhc.yaml

@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
 description: Absolute poverty threshold for equivalised household net income, before housing costs
 values:
   2010-01-01: 251.4
+  2020-01-01: 305.70
 metadata:
   period: week
   unit: currency-GBP
@@ -9,4 +10,4 @@ metadata:
   reference:
     - title: Households Below Average income, 2010/11
       href: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/200720/full_hbai12.pdf#page=35
-  uprating: gov.obr.consumer_price_index
+  uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index

policyengine_uk/parameters/household/wealth/national_balance_sheet.yaml

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 description: ONS National Balance Sheet statistics on wealth
 household:
   metadata:
-    uprating: gov.obr.non_labor_income
+    uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.per_capita.gdp
   financial_net_worth:
     values:
       2019-01-01: 4_556_770_000_000

policyengine_uk/system.py

@@ -6,20 +6,20 @@ from policyengine_core.simulations import (
     Simulation as CoreSimulation,
     Microsimulation as CoreMicrosimulation,
 )
+from policyengine_uk.data.dataset_schema import UKDataset
+from policyengine_core.tools.hugging_face import download_huggingface_dataset
 
 import pandas as pd
 from policyengine_uk.utils.parameters import (
     backdate_parameters,
     convert_to_fiscal_year_parameters,
 )
+from policyengine_uk.parameters.gov.economic_assumptions.create_economic_assumption_indices import (
+    create_economic_assumption_indices,
+)
 from policyengine_core.reforms import Reform
 from policyengine_uk.reforms import create_structural_reforms_from_parameters
-from policyengine_uk.parameters.gov.obr.add_per_capita_parameters import (
-    add_per_capita_parameters,
-)
-from policyengine_uk.parameters.gov.obr.extend_forecast import (
-    extend_obr_forecast,
-)
+
 from policyengine_uk.parameters.gov.contrib.create_private_pension_uprating import (
     add_private_pension_uprating_factor,
 )
@@ -58,12 +58,12 @@ class CountryTaxBenefitSystem(TaxBenefitSystem):
     modelled_policies = COUNTRY_DIR / "modelled_policies.yaml"
 
     def process_parameters(self, reform=None):
-        self.parameters = extend_obr_forecast(self.parameters)
-        self.parameters = add_per_capita_parameters(self.parameters)
-        self.parameters = add_triple_lock(self.parameters)
-        self.parameters.add_child("baseline", self.parameters.clone())
         if reform:
             self.apply_reform_set(reform)
+        self.parameters = add_private_pension_uprating_factor(self.parameters)
+        self.parameters = add_triple_lock(self.parameters)
+        self.parameters = create_economic_assumption_indices(self.parameters)
+        self.parameters.add_child("baseline", self.parameters.clone())
         self.parameters = homogenize_parameter_structures(
             self.parameters, self.variables
         )
@@ -77,7 +77,6 @@ class CountryTaxBenefitSystem(TaxBenefitSystem):
         self.parameters.gov = convert_to_fiscal_year_parameters(
             self.parameters.gov
         )
-        self.parameters = add_private_pension_uprating_factor(self.parameters)
 
     def __init__(self, reform=None):
         super().__init__(entities, reform=reform)
@@ -158,6 +157,29 @@ class Microsimulation(CoreMicrosimulation):
     max_spiral_loops = 10
 
     def __init__(self, *args, dataset=ENHANCED_FRS, **kwargs):
+        if dataset is not None:
+            if isinstance(dataset, str):
+                if "hf://" in dataset:
+                    owner, repo, filename = dataset.split("/")[-3:]
+                    if "@" in filename:
+                        version = filename.split("@")[-1]
+                        filename = filename.split("@")[0]
+                    else:
+                        version = None
+                    dataset_file_path = download_huggingface_dataset(
+                        repo=f"{owner}/{repo}",
+                        repo_filename=filename,
+                        version=version,
+                    )
+
+                if Path(dataset_file_path).exists():
+                    if dataset_file_path.endswith(".h5"):
+                        try:
+                            UKDataset.validate_file_path(dataset_file_path)
+                            dataset = UKDataset(file_path=dataset_file_path)
+                        except:
+                            dataset = Dataset.from_file(dataset_file_path)
+
         super().__init__(*args, dataset=dataset, **kwargs)
 
         reform = create_structural_reforms_from_parameters(

policyengine_uk/tests/microsimulation/reforms_config.yaml

@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
 reforms:
 - name: Raise basic rate by 1pp
-  expected_impact: 7.8
+  expected_impact: 7.7
   parameters:
     gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[0].rate: 0.21
 - name: Raise higher rate by 1pp
-  expected_impact: 5.0
+  expected_impact: 4.9
   parameters:
     gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[1].rate: 0.42
 - name: Raise personal allowance by ~800GBP/year
@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@ reforms:
   parameters:
     gov.hmrc.child_benefit.amount.additional: 25
 - name: Reduce Universal Credit taper rate to 20%
-  expected_impact: -38.2
+  expected_impact: -38.3
   parameters:
     gov.dwp.universal_credit.means_test.reduction_rate: 0.2
 - name: Raise Class 1 main employee NICs rate to 10%
@@ -28,6 +28,6 @@ reforms:
   parameters:
     gov.hmrc.vat.standard_rate: 0.22
 - name: Raise additional rate by 3pp
-  expected_impact: 4.5
+  expected_impact: 4.4
   parameters:
     gov.hmrc.income_tax.rates.uk[2].rate: 0.48

policyengine_uk/tests/policy/baseline/gov/dfe/extended_childcare_entitlement/extended_childcare_entitlement.yaml

@@ -89,7 +89,7 @@
         family_type: COUPLE_WITH_CHILDREN
         extended_childcare_entitlement_eligible: true
   output:
-    extended_childcare_entitlement: 18_704.633
+    extended_childcare_entitlement: 18706.
 
 - name: No expenses for zero hours
   period: 2025
@@ -155,7 +155,7 @@
         extended_childcare_entitlement_eligible: true
         maximum_extended_childcare_hours_usage: 40 
   output:
-    extended_childcare_entitlement: 13_834.37  
+    extended_childcare_entitlement: 13835.381
 
 
 - name: Benefit unit without maximum hours cap applied

policyengine_uk/utils/create_triple_lock.py

@@ -2,8 +2,12 @@ from policyengine_uk.system import system
 
 # Run this script to generate the triple lock parameter for updated CPI and average earnings forecasts from the OBR.
 
-cpi = system.parameters.gov.obr.consumer_price_index
-average_earnings = system.parameters.gov.obr.average_earnings
+cpi = (
+    system.parameters.gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index
+)
+average_earnings = (
+    system.parameters.gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.average_earnings
+)
 
 START_YEAR = 2021
 

policyengine_uk/variables/gov/dfe/free_school_fruit_veg.py

@@ -7,4 +7,4 @@ class free_school_fruit_veg(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     unit = GBP
-    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
+    uprating = "gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index"

policyengine_uk/variables/gov/dfe/free_school_meals.py

@@ -7,4 +7,4 @@ class free_school_meals(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     unit = GBP
-    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
+    uprating = "gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index"

policyengine_uk/variables/gov/dfe/free_school_milk.py

@@ -7,4 +7,4 @@ class free_school_milk(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     unit = GBP
-    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
+    uprating = "gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index"

policyengine_uk/variables/gov/dwp/afcs_reported.py

@@ -7,4 +7,4 @@ class afcs_reported(Variable):
     label = "Armed Forces Compensation Scheme (reported)"
     definition_period = YEAR
     unit = GBP
-    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
+    uprating = "gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.consumer_price_index"