hyperagents 1.2.3rc5.post3__py3-none-any.whl

integrations/data/weather_feeds.py

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+"""Weather & Agricultural Data Feeds — Global data integration for prediction markets."""
+from __future__ import annotations
+import asyncio
+import httpx
+import logging
+from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Any
+from datetime import datetime, timedelta
+import json
+
+logger = logging.getLogger("weather_feeds")
+
+
+class WeatherIntelligence:
+    """Global weather and agricultural data aggregation for prediction advantage."""
+    
+    def __init__(self):
+        self.session = None
+        
+        # Multiple weather API endpoints for redundancy
+        self.apis = {
+            "openweather": {
+                "url": "https://api.openweathermap.org/data/2.5",
+                "key": None  # Will need API key
+            },
+            "weatherapi": {
+                "url": "https://api.weatherapi.com/v1", 
+                "key": None  # Alternative source
+            },
+            "noaa": {
+                "url": "https://api.weather.gov",  # US government, free
+                "key": None
+            }
+        }
+        
+        # Critical agricultural regions for crop predictions
+        self.crop_regions = {
+            "corn_belt": {
+                "name": "US Corn Belt",
+                "coords": [(41.8781, -87.6298), (40.7589, -89.6465), (42.0308, -93.6319)],
+                "primary_crops": ["corn", "soybeans"],
+                "markets": ["corn prices", "soybean futures", "food inflation"]
+            },
+            "wheat_belt": {
+                "name": "Great Plains Wheat",
+                "coords": [(39.7392, -104.9903), (37.6872, -97.3301), (46.8083, -100.7837)],
+                "primary_crops": ["wheat", "barley"],
+                "markets": ["wheat prices", "grain exports", "food security"]
+            },
+            "ukraine_farming": {
+                "name": "Ukrainian Agricultural Region",
+                "coords": [(50.4501, 30.5234), (48.3794, 31.1656), (49.9935, 36.2304)],
+                "primary_crops": ["wheat", "corn", "sunflower"],
+                "markets": ["global grain supply", "food crisis", "ukraine conflict impact"]
+            },
+            "brazil_soy": {
+                "name": "Brazilian Soy Belt",
+                "coords": [(-15.7975, -47.8919), (-16.6869, -49.2648), (-14.2350, -51.9253)],
+                "primary_crops": ["soybeans", "corn", "cotton"],
+                "markets": ["soy exports", "deforestation", "brazil politics"]
+            }
+        }
+        
+    async def __aenter__(self):
+        self.session = httpx.AsyncClient(timeout=30.0)
+        return self
+        
+    async def __aexit__(self, exc_type, exc_val, exc_tb):
+        if self.session:
+            await self.session.aclose()
+    
+    async def get_regional_weather_analysis(self, region: str) -> Dict:
+        """Analyze weather conditions for agricultural regions."""
+        if region not in self.crop_regions:
+            return {"error": f"Unknown region: {region}"}
+        
+        region_data = self.crop_regions[region]
+        weather_summary = []
+        
+        try:
+            # Sample multiple coordinates within region
+            for coord in region_data["coords"][:3]:  # Limit to avoid rate limits
+                lat, lon = coord
+                weather = await self._get_location_weather(lat, lon)
+                if weather:
+                    weather_summary.append(weather)
+            
+            if not weather_summary:
+                return {"error": "No weather data available"}
+            
+            # Aggregate regional conditions
+            analysis = self._analyze_agricultural_impact(weather_summary, region_data)
+            
+            return {
+                "region": region_data["name"],
+                "primary_crops": region_data["primary_crops"],
+                "affected_markets": region_data["markets"],
+                "weather_analysis": analysis,
+                "prediction_signals": self._generate_prediction_signals(analysis, region_data),
+                "timestamp": datetime.utcnow().isoformat()
+            }
+            
+        except Exception as e:
+            logger.error(f"Error analyzing region {region}: {e}")
+            return {"error": str(e)}
+    
+    async def _get_location_weather(self, lat: float, lon: float) -> Optional[Dict]:
+        """Fetch weather data for specific coordinates."""
+        try:
+            # Using NOAA (free, US government data)
+            if -90 <= lat <= 90 and -180 <= lon <= 180:
+                # For US locations, use NOAA
+                if 25 <= lat <= 49 and -125 <= lon <= -66:
+                    return await self._fetch_noaa_weather(lat, lon)
+                
+            # Fallback: simulate weather data for demo
+            return self._generate_sample_weather(lat, lon)
+            
+        except Exception as e:
+            logger.error(f"Error fetching weather for {lat}, {lon}: {e}")
+            return None
+    
+    async def _fetch_noaa_weather(self, lat: float, lon: float) -> Optional[Dict]:
+        """Fetch from NOAA API (US locations)."""
+        try:
+            # Get grid point
+            response = await self.session.get(
+                f"{self.apis['noaa']['url']}/points/{lat},{lon}"
+            )
+            response.raise_for_status()
+            
+            data = response.json()
+            forecast_url = data["properties"]["forecast"]
+            
+            # Get forecast
+            forecast_response = await self.session.get(forecast_url)
+            forecast_response.raise_for_status()
+            
+            forecast_data = forecast_response.json()
+            periods = forecast_data["properties"]["periods"][:7]  # 7 days
+            
+            return {
+                "source": "NOAA",
+                "lat": lat,
+                "lon": lon,
+                "forecast": periods,
+                "alerts": data.get("properties", {}).get("alerts", [])
+            }
+            
+        except Exception as e:
+            logger.error(f"NOAA fetch error: {e}")
+            return self._generate_sample_weather(lat, lon)
+    
+    def _generate_sample_weather(self, lat: float, lon: float) -> Dict:
+        """Generate representative weather data for analysis."""
+        import random
+        
+        # Seasonal adjustment based on month
+        month = datetime.now().month
+        
+        if 3 <= month <= 5:  # Spring
+            temp_base = 15
+            precip_chance = 0.4
+        elif 6 <= month <= 8:  # Summer  
+            temp_base = 25
+            precip_chance = 0.3
+        elif 9 <= month <= 11:  # Fall
+            temp_base = 12
+            precip_chance = 0.5
+        else:  # Winter
+            temp_base = 5
+            precip_chance = 0.4
+        
+        return {
+            "source": "simulated",
+            "lat": lat,
+            "lon": lon,
+            "current": {
+                "temperature": temp_base + random.uniform(-5, 10),
+                "humidity": random.uniform(40, 80),
+                "precipitation_mm": random.uniform(0, 20) if random.random() < precip_chance else 0,
+                "wind_speed": random.uniform(5, 25),
+                "pressure": random.uniform(1000, 1020)
+            },
+            "forecast_7day": {
+                "avg_temp": temp_base + random.uniform(-3, 8),
+                "total_precipitation": random.uniform(0, 50),
+                "extreme_weather_risk": random.choice(["low", "medium", "high"]),
+                "growing_conditions": random.choice(["poor", "fair", "good", "excellent"])
+            }
+        }
+    
+    def _analyze_agricultural_impact(self, weather_data: List[Dict], region_info: Dict) -> Dict:
+        """Analyze weather impact on agricultural production."""
+        if not weather_data:
+            return {}
+        
+        # Aggregate weather metrics
+        temperatures = []
+        precipitation = []
+        extreme_risks = []
+        
+        for location in weather_data:
+            if "current" in location:
+                temperatures.append(location["current"]["temperature"])
+                precipitation.append(location["current"]["precipitation_mm"])
+            
+            if "forecast_7day" in location:
+                extreme_risks.append(location["forecast_7day"]["extreme_weather_risk"])
+        
+        avg_temp = sum(temperatures) / len(temperatures) if temperatures else 15
+        total_precip = sum(precipitation) if precipitation else 0
+        
+        # Assess agricultural conditions
+        analysis = {
+            "temperature_analysis": {
+                "average": avg_temp,
+                "status": self._assess_temperature_impact(avg_temp, region_info["primary_crops"])
+            },
+            "precipitation_analysis": {
+                "total_mm": total_precip,
+                "status": self._assess_precipitation_impact(total_precip, region_info["primary_crops"])
+            },
+            "overall_conditions": self._calculate_overall_conditions(avg_temp, total_precip),
+            "crop_stress_indicators": self._identify_stress_factors(avg_temp, total_precip, extreme_risks),
+            "market_impact_probability": self._estimate_market_impact(avg_temp, total_precip, extreme_risks)
+        }
+        
+        return analysis
+    
+    def _assess_temperature_impact(self, temp: float, crops: List[str]) -> str:
+        """Assess temperature impact on specific crops."""
+        # Corn optimal: 20-30°C, Soybeans: 20-25°C, Wheat: 15-25°C
+        optimal_ranges = {
+            "corn": (20, 30),
+            "soybeans": (20, 25), 
+            "wheat": (15, 25),
+            "cotton": (21, 27),
+            "barley": (15, 20)
+        }
+        
+        impacts = []
+        for crop in crops:
+            if crop in optimal_ranges:
+                min_temp, max_temp = optimal_ranges[crop]
+                if min_temp <= temp <= max_temp:
+                    impacts.append("optimal")
+                elif temp < min_temp - 5 or temp > max_temp + 5:
+                    impacts.append("stress")
+                else:
+                    impacts.append("suboptimal")
+            else:
+                impacts.append("unknown")
+        
+        if "stress" in impacts:
+            return "stress_conditions"
+        elif "optimal" in impacts:
+            return "favorable_conditions" 
+        else:
+            return "neutral_conditions"
+    
+    def _assess_precipitation_impact(self, precip: float, crops: List[str]) -> str:
+        """Assess precipitation impact on crops."""
+        if precip < 5:
+            return "drought_risk"
+        elif precip > 40:
+            return "flood_risk"
+        elif 15 <= precip <= 25:
+            return "optimal_moisture"
+        else:
+            return "adequate_moisture"
+    
+    def _calculate_overall_conditions(self, temp: float, precip: float) -> str:
+        """Calculate overall agricultural conditions score."""
+        temp_score = 5  # Neutral baseline
+        precip_score = 5
+        
+        # Temperature scoring (5 = optimal)
+        if 18 <= temp <= 27:
+            temp_score = 5
+        elif 15 <= temp < 18 or 27 < temp <= 32:
+            temp_score = 4
+        elif temp < 10 or temp > 35:
+            temp_score = 1
+        else:
+            temp_score = 3
+        
+        # Precipitation scoring
+        if 15 <= precip <= 25:
+            precip_score = 5
+        elif 10 <= precip < 15 or 25 < precip <= 35:
+            precip_score = 4
+        elif precip < 5 or precip > 50:
+            precip_score = 1
+        else:
+            precip_score = 3
+        
+        overall = (temp_score + precip_score) / 2
+        
+        if overall >= 4.5:
+            return "excellent"
+        elif overall >= 3.5:
+            return "good"
+        elif overall >= 2.5:
+            return "fair"
+        else:
+            return "poor"
+    
+    def _identify_stress_factors(self, temp: float, precip: float, extreme_risks: List[str]) -> List[str]:
+        """Identify stress factors affecting crop production."""
+        stress_factors = []
+        
+        if temp > 32:
+            stress_factors.append("heat_stress")
+        if temp < 10:
+            stress_factors.append("cold_stress")
+        if precip < 5:
+            stress_factors.append("drought_stress")
+        if precip > 40:
+            stress_factors.append("waterlog_stress")
+        if "high" in extreme_risks:
+            stress_factors.append("extreme_weather_risk")
+        
+        return stress_factors
+    
+    def _estimate_market_impact(self, temp: float, precip: float, extreme_risks: List[str]) -> float:
+        """Estimate probability of significant market impact (0-1)."""
+        impact_score = 0.0
+        
+        # Temperature extremes
+        if temp > 35 or temp < 5:
+            impact_score += 0.3
+        elif temp > 30 or temp < 10:
+            impact_score += 0.1
+        
+        # Precipitation extremes
+        if precip > 50 or precip < 2:
+            impact_score += 0.3
+        elif precip > 35 or precip < 8:
+            impact_score += 0.1
+        
+        # Extreme weather
+        high_risk_count = extreme_risks.count("high")
+        impact_score += high_risk_count * 0.2
+        
+        return min(impact_score, 1.0)  # Cap at 100%
+    
+    def _generate_prediction_signals(self, analysis: Dict, region_info: Dict) -> List[Dict]:
+        """Generate specific prediction market signals from weather analysis."""
+        signals = []
+        
+        overall_conditions = analysis.get("overall_conditions", "fair")
+        market_impact_prob = analysis.get("market_impact_probability", 0.0)
+        stress_factors = analysis.get("crop_stress_indicators", [])
+        
+        # Generate signals for each affected market
+        for market in region_info.get("affected_markets", []):
+            signal_strength = self._calculate_signal_strength(
+                overall_conditions, market_impact_prob, stress_factors, market
+            )
+            
+            direction = self._determine_market_direction(
+                overall_conditions, stress_factors, market
+            )
+            
+            if signal_strength > 0.3:  # Only significant signals
+                signals.append({
+                    "market_category": market,
+                    "signal_strength": signal_strength,
+                    "direction": direction,
+                    "confidence": min(signal_strength * 0.8, 0.95),
+                    "reasoning": self._explain_signal_reasoning(
+                        overall_conditions, stress_factors, market, direction
+                    )
+                })
+        
+        return signals
+    
+    def _calculate_signal_strength(self, conditions: str, impact_prob: float, 
+                                 stress_factors: List[str], market: str) -> float:
+        """Calculate signal strength for specific market."""
+        base_strength = {
+            "excellent": 0.2,
+            "good": 0.1, 
+            "fair": 0.05,
+            "poor": 0.4
+        }.get(conditions, 0.05)
+        
+        # Boost for high impact probability
+        impact_boost = impact_prob * 0.3
+        
+        # Boost for stress factors
+        stress_boost = len(stress_factors) * 0.1
+        
+        return min(base_strength + impact_boost + stress_boost, 1.0)
+    
+    def _determine_market_direction(self, conditions: str, stress_factors: List[str], 
+                                  market: str) -> str:
+        """Determine expected market direction."""
+        if any(stress in stress_factors for stress in ["drought_stress", "heat_stress", "extreme_weather_risk"]):
+            if "price" in market.lower() or "inflation" in market.lower():
+                return "bullish"  # Stress → higher prices
+            elif "supply" in market.lower():
+                return "bearish"  # Stress → lower supply
+        
+        if conditions in ["excellent", "good"]:
+            if "price" in market.lower():
+                return "bearish"  # Good conditions → lower prices
+            elif "supply" in market.lower():
+                return "bullish"  # Good conditions → higher supply
+        
+        return "neutral"
+    
+    def _explain_signal_reasoning(self, conditions: str, stress_factors: List[str], 
+                                market: str, direction: str) -> str:
+        """Generate human-readable reasoning for signal."""
+        if direction == "bullish" and "price" in market.lower():
+            return f"Weather stress factors {stress_factors} likely to reduce crop yields, driving prices higher"
+        elif direction == "bearish" and "price" in market.lower():
+            return f"Favorable conditions ({conditions}) suggest good yields, likely suppressing prices"
+        elif direction == "bullish" and "supply" in market.lower():
+            return f"Good weather conditions ({conditions}) support strong crop production"
+        elif direction == "bearish" and "supply" in market.lower():
+            return f"Weather stress {stress_factors} threatens crop production levels"
+        else:
+            return f"Weather analysis ({conditions}) provides moderate signal for {market}"
+
+
+async def test_weather_intelligence():
+    """Test weather data integration."""
+    async with WeatherIntelligence() as weather:
+        # Test corn belt analysis
+        analysis = await weather.get_regional_weather_analysis("corn_belt")
+        
+        print("=== CORN BELT WEATHER ANALYSIS ===")
+        print(f"Region: {analysis.get('region')}")
+        print(f"Crops: {analysis.get('primary_crops')}")
+        print(f"Overall Conditions: {analysis.get('weather_analysis', {}).get('overall_conditions')}")
+        
+        signals = analysis.get('prediction_signals', [])
+        print(f"\n=== PREDICTION SIGNALS ({len(signals)} found) ===")
+        
+        for signal in signals:
+            print(f"\nMarket: {signal['market_category']}")
+            print(f"Direction: {signal['direction']}")
+            print(f"Strength: {signal['signal_strength']:.2f}")
+            print(f"Reasoning: {signal['reasoning']}")
+
+
+if __name__ == "__main__":
+    asyncio.run(test_weather_intelligence())

integrations/developer/__init__.py

@@ -0,0 +1,9 @@
+"""HyperClaw Developer Connectors."""
+
+from integrations.developer.github import GitHubConnector
+from integrations.developer.gitlab import GitLabConnector
+
+__all__ = [
+    "GitHubConnector",
+    "GitLabConnector",
+]