clausius 0.1.0__py3-none-any.whl
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- clausius/__init__.py +35 -0
- clausius/cli.py +161 -0
- clausius/core.py +525 -0
- clausius-0.1.0.dist-info/METADATA +272 -0
- clausius-0.1.0.dist-info/RECORD +9 -0
- clausius-0.1.0.dist-info/WHEEL +4 -0
- clausius-0.1.0.dist-info/entry_points.txt +2 -0
- clausius-0.1.0.dist-info/licenses/LICENSE +202 -0
- clausius-0.1.0.dist-info/licenses/NOTICE +48 -0
clausius/__init__.py
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"""clausius — did the thing you changed break your model?
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Named for Rudolf Clausius, who coined the word *entropy* in 1865 — building it
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from the Greek `trope` (transformation) and shaping it deliberately to echo
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"energy", so the two would sound like the related quantities they are. Entropy
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is the signal this library reads.
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from clausius import capture, compare
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ref = capture("mlx-community/gemma-4-e4b-it-4bit", prompts, tag="v1")
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cand = capture("mlx-community/gemma-4-e4b-it-4bit", prompts, tag="v2",
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adapter="./my-lora")
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print(compare(ref, cand))
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# REGRESSION (max d_z = +0.782, threshold 0.3, one-sided)
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`prompts` are your own, unlabeled. No gold answers and no judge model: the
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comparison is between the model's own per-token entropy distributions on
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identical inputs.
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See `core` for why each default is what it is — every one of them is a measured
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result rather than a taste, and FINDINGS.md has the evidence.
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"""
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from .core import (BOOTSTRAP_RESAMPLES, BOOTSTRAP_SEED, CAP_LADDER,
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DEFAULT_SIGNAL, DEFAULT_THRESHOLD, MIN_PAIRED_ITEMS,
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SIGNALS, Capture, Result, TruncationCurve, aggregate,
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bootstrap_ci, capture, compare, top_movers,
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truncation_curve)
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__all__ = ['capture', 'compare', 'Capture', 'Result', 'aggregate',
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'truncation_curve', 'TruncationCurve', 'top_movers',
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'bootstrap_ci',
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'SIGNALS', 'DEFAULT_SIGNAL', 'DEFAULT_THRESHOLD',
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'MIN_PAIRED_ITEMS', 'CAP_LADDER',
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'BOOTSTRAP_RESAMPLES', 'BOOTSTRAP_SEED']
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__version__ = '0.1.0'
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clausius/cli.py
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"""Command line for clausius. Exits non-zero on a regression, for CI.
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clausius capture --model M --prompts p.jsonl --out ref.json
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clausius capture --model M --prompts p.jsonl --out cand.json --adapter ./lora
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clausius compare ref.json cand.json
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"""
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import argparse
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import json
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import sys
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from pathlib import Path
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from .core import (DEFAULT_SIGNAL, DEFAULT_THRESHOLD, SIGNALS, capture,
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compare, top_movers, truncation_curve)
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def read_prompts(path):
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"""One prompt per line: JSONL with a "prompt" field, or plain text.
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Both are accepted because the realistic source is a sample of production
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traffic, which is usually a log rather than a curated dataset.
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"""
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lines = [l for l in Path(path).read_text().splitlines() if l.strip()]
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out = []
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for line in lines:
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if line.lstrip().startswith('{'):
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d = json.loads(line)
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out.append(d.get('prompt') or d.get('text') or d.get('input'))
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else:
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out.append(line)
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missing = [i for i, p in enumerate(out) if not p]
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if missing:
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raise SystemExit(
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f"{len(missing)} line(s) had no prompt field (first: line "
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f"{missing[0] + 1}); expected JSONL with 'prompt'/'text'/'input', "
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f"or plain text")
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return out
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def _clip(text, width=160):
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"""One line, bounded — a terminal diagnostic, not a transcript dump."""
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flat = ' '.join((text or '').split())
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return flat[:width] + ('…' if len(flat) > width else '')
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def main(argv=None):
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ap = argparse.ArgumentParser(
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prog='clausius', description=__doc__.split('\n')[0],
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formatter_class=argparse.RawDescriptionHelpFormatter)
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sub = ap.add_subparsers(dest='cmd', required=True)
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c = sub.add_parser('capture', help='record one configuration')
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c.add_argument('--model', required=True, help='path or HF id')
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c.add_argument('--prompts', required=True, help='JSONL or plain text')
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c.add_argument('--out', required=True)
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c.add_argument('--tag', default=None)
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c.add_argument('--adapter', default=None, help='LoRA adapter path')
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c.add_argument('--max-tokens', type=int, default=512,
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help='generation cap. Capture at the most generous cap you '
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'can afford: truncated items are dropped at compare '
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'time, and a capture can be re-analyzed at any TIGHTER '
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'cap but never at a looser one — the lengths of '
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'truncated items are not recoverable.')
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c.add_argument('--limit', type=int, default=None,
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help='use only the first N prompts (default: all of them). '
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'Sampling is rarely worth it: a full capture at a '
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'generous --max-tokens is itself the reference, while '
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'a sampled probe is thrown away. Use it on prompt sets '
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'large enough that a wrong cap is expensive.')
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c.add_argument('--raw', action='store_true',
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help="do not apply the model's chat template. For base "
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"models; on an instruct model this causes runaway "
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"generation and a truncation-dominated capture.")
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d = sub.add_parser('compare', help='paired comparison of two captures')
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d.add_argument('reference')
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d.add_argument('candidate')
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d.add_argument('--signal', default=DEFAULT_SIGNAL, choices=SIGNALS)
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d.add_argument('--threshold', type=float, default=DEFAULT_THRESHOLD)
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d.add_argument('--two-sided', action='store_true',
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help='also flag entropy DECREASES. Known false positive: a '
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'pure confidence change with zero accuracy impact will '
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'trip it.')
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d.add_argument('--keep-truncated', action='store_true',
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help='do not drop items that hit the token cap. Dilutes the '
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'effect and lets generation length leak in.')
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d.add_argument('--show', type=int, default=0, metavar='N',
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help='also print the N items whose entropy moved most, '
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'with the text both configs produced. The verdict '
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'says something broke; this says what.')
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d.add_argument('--json', action='store_true')
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a = ap.parse_args(argv)
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if a.cmd == 'capture':
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prompts = read_prompts(a.prompts)
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if a.limit:
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prompts = prompts[:a.limit]
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print(f" {len(prompts)} prompts · {a.model}"
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+ (f" + {a.adapter}" if a.adapter else ""), file=sys.stderr)
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def tick(i, n):
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if i % 25 == 0 or i == n:
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print(f" {i}/{n}", file=sys.stderr, flush=True)
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cap = capture(a.model, prompts, tag=a.tag or Path(a.out).stem,
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max_tokens=a.max_tokens, adapter=a.adapter,
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chat=False if a.raw else None, progress=tick)
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# save before any verdict on the run: the capture cost real GPU time and
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# is still re-analyzable (compare --keep-truncated) even when doomed for
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# the default path.
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print(f" → {cap.save(a.out)}", file=sys.stderr)
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curve = truncation_curve(cap)
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print(f" truncation at this and every tighter cap:", file=sys.stderr)
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print(str(curve), file=sys.stderr)
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if not curve.usable:
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# A candidate can only truncate more items, so this comparison is
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# already impossible. Say so now rather than after a second capture.
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print(f"\n ERROR: only {curve.survivors} of {curve.n_items} items "
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f"survive at --max-tokens {curve.cap_used}, and compare needs "
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f"{curve.floor}.\n"
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f" A candidate capture can only truncate MORE items, so this "
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f"comparison cannot succeed.\n"
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f" Re-capture with a larger --max-tokens (the cap is not "
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f"recoverable after the fact), or compare --keep-truncated to "
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f"accept a diluted effect.", file=sys.stderr)
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return 2
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return 0
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r = compare(a.reference, a.candidate, signal=a.signal,
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threshold=a.threshold, one_sided=not a.two_sided,
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drop_truncated=not a.keep_truncated)
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if a.json:
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print(json.dumps({'verdict': r.verdict, 'flagged': r.flagged,
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'signal': r.signal, 'effect': round(r.effect, 4),
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'threshold': r.threshold, 'one_sided': r.one_sided,
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'n_compared': r.n_compared,
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'n_dropped_truncated': r.n_dropped_truncated,
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'ci': [round(v, 4) for v in r.ci],
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'detail': {k: round(v, 4)
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for k, v in r.detail.items()}}, indent=1))
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else:
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print(r)
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if a.show:
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movers = top_movers(a.reference, a.candidate, n=a.show,
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signal=a.signal,
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drop_truncated=not a.keep_truncated)
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print(f"\n {len(movers)} largest movers by {a.signal}:")
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for m in movers:
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print(f"\n item {m['i']} \u0394{a.signal} {m['delta']:+.2f}"
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f" ({m['ref']:.2f} -> {m['cand']:.2f})")
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if m['prompt']:
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print(f" prompt: {_clip(m['prompt'])}")
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print(f" ref : {_clip(m['ref_text'])}")
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print(f" cand : {_clip(m['cand_text'])}")
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# non-zero on regression so a CI step fails without extra glue
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return 1 if r.flagged else 0
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if __name__ == '__main__':
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sys.exit(main())
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clausius/core.py
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"""Label-free detection of deployment regressions.
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You changed something — quantization, offload capacity, top-k, a LoRA
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checkpoint, an inference backend — and you need to know whether it degraded the
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model. Measuring that normally needs a labeled eval set for your actual task,
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which most teams do not have.
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This compares the model's own **per-token entropy** before and after, paired on
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the same unlabeled prompts. No gold answers, no judge model, no eval set. The
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signal is a byproduct of a forward pass you are already running.
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Validated against five unrelated damage mechanisms whose true damage was
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measured independently — quantization, expert zeroing, top-k reduction, expert
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substitution and LoRA fine-tuning — on two architectures. See FINDINGS.md (F8,
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F9, F11, F13).
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The design decisions below are not defaults chosen by taste. Each one is a
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result:
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THRESHOLD 0.3. Thirteen configurations known to be harmless — offload capacity
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changes of up to 8x, a mixed-precision scheme, across two models and two
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tasks — produce |d_z| <= 0.10. 0.3 is ~3x that null. An earlier eyeballed
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0.5 was ~5x the null and missed real regressions, including one costing 39
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accuracy points.
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ONE-SIDED BY DEFAULT. Every damaged configuration measured raises entropy. The
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only configurations that LOWER it are ones with provably zero damage —
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scaling logits leaves greedy output bit-identical while collapsing entropy,
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and a two-sided test flags it. So the default flags increases only. Damage
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that made a model MORE confident would be invisible; three mechanisms were
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deliberately constructed to produce that and none did, but it is not
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excluded. `two_sided=True` trades that for a known false positive.
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PAIRED, SAME PROMPTS. Item-to-item variance in base entropy dwarfs the effect of
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a config change, so unpaired comparison is hopeless. Mismatched prompt sets
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are rejected rather than silently compared.
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TRUNCATED ITEMS EXCLUDED. Items that hit the token cap dilute the signal across
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hundreds of low-information tokens — excluding them roughly doubled the
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measured effect — and dropping them stops the detector riding on generation
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length, which is a property of the cap you chose rather than of the model.
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This note used to say that a damaged model rambles into the cap. The
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measurements do not support it. At cap 512 a *healthy* 4-bit checkpoint
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truncated 47/60 items while a destroyed 2-bit one truncated 3; two LoRA
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fine-tunes truncated 22 and 33 of 50 on held-out domains where their own
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base truncated none. Rambling tracks how far off-distribution a prompt is,
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not how damaged the model is. The filter is right; the reason was wrong.
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It carries a cost on heterogeneous traffic. The items it drops are the
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long-output ones, and F11 measures those as the family most sensitive to
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compression — validating on short factual recall understates damage to
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structured generation by ~14x. So on a mixed prompt set the filter biases
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what survives toward the least sensitive items. Set a cap generous enough
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that truncation is rare rather than routine, and read `n_dropped_truncated`
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as a statement about which prompts were measured, not only how many.
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NO SINGLE AGGREGATION WINS. `max` is monotone in damage where `p90` inverts on
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long-output tasks; `p90` gives a larger effect on some others. Every verdict
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agrees under both across all five mechanisms, so all are reported and the
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flag is not sensitive to the choice.
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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import json
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import time
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import warnings
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from dataclasses import dataclass, field
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from pathlib import Path
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import numpy as np
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SIGNALS = ('max', 'p90', 'mean', 'mean_top10', 'first', 'gen_len')
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DEFAULT_SIGNAL = 'max'
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DEFAULT_THRESHOLD = 0.3
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# Below this many paired items the effect size is noise. `compare` refuses;
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# `capture` reports how far a run is from it while the model is still loaded.
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MIN_PAIRED_ITEMS = 20
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80
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+
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81
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+
# Caps a truncation curve is reported at. Only the entries at or under the cap
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82
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+
# a capture actually used are answerable — see `truncation_curve`.
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83
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+
CAP_LADDER = (256, 512, 768, 1024, 1536, 2048, 3072, 4096, 6144, 8192)
|
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84
|
+
|
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85
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+
# Bootstrap settings for the reported interval. Seeded by default: a CI gate
|
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86
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+
# whose output changes between runs on identical inputs is not a gate.
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+
BOOTSTRAP_RESAMPLES = 2000
|
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88
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+
BOOTSTRAP_SEED = 0
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89
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+
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90
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+
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91
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+
def aggregate(entropy: np.ndarray, n_prompt: int) -> dict:
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+
"""Every aggregation of a per-token entropy sequence, over generated tokens.
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+
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94
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+
`n_prompt` is clamped: a configuration can be damaged badly enough to
|
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95
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+
generate nothing at all (top-k <= 2 on one model does exactly this), and an
|
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96
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+
unguarded index into an empty generated span raises rather than recording
|
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97
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the observation. An immediate stop is a data point about the damage.
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+
"""
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99
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+
n_p = min(n_prompt, len(entropy))
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+
gen = entropy[n_p - 1:] if n_p >= 1 else entropy
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if len(gen) == 0:
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gen = entropy[-1:] if len(entropy) else np.array([0.0])
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+
return {
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+
'first': float(gen[0]),
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'mean': float(np.mean(gen)),
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'max': float(np.max(gen)),
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'p90': float(np.percentile(gen, 90)),
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'mean_top10': float(np.mean(np.sort(gen)[-max(1, len(gen) // 10):])),
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+
'gen_len': float(len(gen)),
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+
}
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+
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+
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+
@dataclass
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class Capture:
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"""One configuration's behavior on a prompt set."""
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+
model: str
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+
tag: str
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+
prompts: list = field(default_factory=list)
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+
rows: list = field(default_factory=list)
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+
meta: dict = field(default_factory=dict)
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+
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+
def save(self, path) -> Path:
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p = Path(path)
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+
p.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
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+
p.write_text(json.dumps({'model': self.model, 'tag': self.tag,
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|
+
'prompts': self.prompts, 'rows': self.rows,
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|
+
'meta': self.meta}))
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+
return p
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+
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+
@classmethod
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+
def load(cls, path) -> "Capture":
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|
+
d = json.loads(Path(path).read_text())
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+
return cls(model=d['model'], tag=d['tag'], prompts=d.get('prompts', []),
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|
+
rows=d['rows'], meta=d.get('meta', {}))
|
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|
+
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|
136
|
+
|
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|
+
@dataclass
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138
|
+
class Result:
|
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|
+
"""The verdict, and everything needed to disbelieve it."""
|
|
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|
+
flagged: bool
|
|
141
|
+
effect: float
|
|
142
|
+
signal: str
|
|
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|
+
threshold: float
|
|
144
|
+
one_sided: bool
|
|
145
|
+
n_compared: int
|
|
146
|
+
n_dropped_truncated: int
|
|
147
|
+
detail: dict
|
|
148
|
+
ci: tuple = (float('nan'), float('nan'))
|
|
149
|
+
|
|
150
|
+
@property
|
|
151
|
+
def verdict(self) -> str:
|
|
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|
+
return 'REGRESSION' if self.flagged else 'clean'
|
|
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|
+
|
|
154
|
+
def __str__(self) -> str:
|
|
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|
+
span = ("" if any(np.isnan(v) for v in self.ci)
|
|
156
|
+
else f" [95% CI {self.ci[0]:+.2f}, {self.ci[1]:+.2f}]")
|
|
157
|
+
lines = [f"{self.verdict} ({self.signal} d_z = {self.effect:+.3f}"
|
|
158
|
+
f"{span}, "
|
|
159
|
+
f"threshold {self.threshold}, "
|
|
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|
+
f"{'one' if self.one_sided else 'two'}-sided)",
|
|
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|
+
f" compared {self.n_compared} paired items"
|
|
162
|
+
+ (f", dropped {self.n_dropped_truncated} truncated"
|
|
163
|
+
if self.n_dropped_truncated else ""),
|
|
164
|
+
" all signals: " + " ".join(
|
|
165
|
+
f"{k} {v:+.2f}" for k, v in self.detail.items())]
|
|
166
|
+
return "\n".join(lines)
|
|
167
|
+
|
|
168
|
+
|
|
169
|
+
@dataclass
|
|
170
|
+
class TruncationCurve:
|
|
171
|
+
"""What every tighter generation cap would have cost, from one capture.
|
|
172
|
+
|
|
173
|
+
The point of reporting this at capture time is that the answer is already
|
|
174
|
+
in hand and the alternative is finding out at compare time, after a second
|
|
175
|
+
capture has also been paid for.
|
|
176
|
+
"""
|
|
177
|
+
cap_used: int
|
|
178
|
+
n_items: int
|
|
179
|
+
n_censored: int
|
|
180
|
+
rows: list
|
|
181
|
+
floor: int = MIN_PAIRED_ITEMS
|
|
182
|
+
|
|
183
|
+
@property
|
|
184
|
+
def survivors(self) -> int:
|
|
185
|
+
"""Items that would survive truncation filtering at the cap used."""
|
|
186
|
+
return self.n_items - self.n_censored
|
|
187
|
+
|
|
188
|
+
@property
|
|
189
|
+
def usable(self) -> bool:
|
|
190
|
+
"""Whether a paired comparison against this capture can succeed.
|
|
191
|
+
|
|
192
|
+
A candidate can only ever truncate MORE items, never fewer, so a
|
|
193
|
+
reference already under the floor is a comparison that cannot be run.
|
|
194
|
+
"""
|
|
195
|
+
return self.survivors >= self.floor
|
|
196
|
+
|
|
197
|
+
def as_dict(self) -> dict:
|
|
198
|
+
"""JSON-serializable form, for storing on a Capture's meta."""
|
|
199
|
+
return {'cap_used': self.cap_used, 'n_items': self.n_items,
|
|
200
|
+
'n_censored': self.n_censored, 'survivors': self.survivors,
|
|
201
|
+
'usable': self.usable, 'floor': self.floor, 'rows': self.rows}
|
|
202
|
+
|
|
203
|
+
def __str__(self) -> str:
|
|
204
|
+
lines = []
|
|
205
|
+
for r in self.rows:
|
|
206
|
+
mark = " <- this run" if r['cap'] == self.cap_used else ""
|
|
207
|
+
warn = (" below compare's floor of %d" % self.floor
|
|
208
|
+
if r['survivors'] < self.floor else "")
|
|
209
|
+
lines.append(f" cap {r['cap']:>5}: {r['truncated']:>3} truncated, "
|
|
210
|
+
f"{r['survivors']:>3} survive{warn}{mark}")
|
|
211
|
+
if self.n_censored:
|
|
212
|
+
lines.append(
|
|
213
|
+
f" {self.n_censored} item(s) reached the {self.cap_used} cap; "
|
|
214
|
+
f"their true lengths are unknown, so this table cannot be "
|
|
215
|
+
f"extended above it")
|
|
216
|
+
return "\n".join(lines)
|
|
217
|
+
|
|
218
|
+
|
|
219
|
+
def truncation_curve(capture, caps=CAP_LADDER, floor=MIN_PAIRED_ITEMS):
|
|
220
|
+
"""Truncation counts this capture would have shown at tighter caps.
|
|
221
|
+
|
|
222
|
+
Exact downward, silent upward. Every item that finished has its true
|
|
223
|
+
generated length recorded, so the count at any cap at or under the one used
|
|
224
|
+
is not an estimate — it is what would have happened. Items that hit the cap
|
|
225
|
+
have no recorded true length, so no cap above it is answerable at all and
|
|
226
|
+
none is reported; extrapolating there would be inventing data.
|
|
227
|
+
|
|
228
|
+
Accepts a `Capture` or a path to a saved one.
|
|
229
|
+
"""
|
|
230
|
+
cap = capture if isinstance(capture, Capture) else Capture.load(capture)
|
|
231
|
+
cap_used = cap.meta.get('max_tokens')
|
|
232
|
+
if not cap_used:
|
|
233
|
+
raise ValueError(
|
|
234
|
+
"capture has no max_tokens in meta; the curve is defined relative "
|
|
235
|
+
"to the cap that was used and cannot be computed without it")
|
|
236
|
+
lengths = [r['ent']['gen_len'] for r in cap.rows]
|
|
237
|
+
n = len(lengths)
|
|
238
|
+
# matches capture()'s own truncation test: n_gen >= max_tokens - 2
|
|
239
|
+
counted = sorted({c for c in caps if c <= cap_used} | {int(cap_used)})
|
|
240
|
+
rows = [{'cap': c,
|
|
241
|
+
'truncated': sum(1 for x in lengths if x >= c - 2),
|
|
242
|
+
'survivors': sum(1 for x in lengths if x < c - 2)}
|
|
243
|
+
for c in counted]
|
|
244
|
+
censored = sum(1 for x in lengths if x >= cap_used - 2)
|
|
245
|
+
return TruncationCurve(cap_used=int(cap_used), n_items=n,
|
|
246
|
+
n_censored=censored, rows=rows, floor=floor)
|
|
247
|
+
|
|
248
|
+
|
|
249
|
+
def apply_chat_template(tokenizer, prompt, chat=None):
|
|
250
|
+
"""Wrap a prompt in the model's chat format, if it has one.
|
|
251
|
+
|
|
252
|
+
Defaults to ON for any tokenizer that declares a template. Feeding a raw
|
|
253
|
+
completion-style prompt to an instruct-tuned model puts it off-distribution:
|
|
254
|
+
it rambles instead of answering, and the run comes back truncation-dominated
|
|
255
|
+
— 19 of 25 items hit a 256-token cap in the first end-to-end test of this
|
|
256
|
+
library. Truncated items are dropped, so the comparison then rests on
|
|
257
|
+
whatever few happened to terminate.
|
|
258
|
+
|
|
259
|
+
`chat=False` is the escape hatch for base models and for deliberately
|
|
260
|
+
measuring raw-completion behavior.
|
|
261
|
+
"""
|
|
262
|
+
if chat is False:
|
|
263
|
+
return prompt
|
|
264
|
+
tmpl = getattr(tokenizer, 'chat_template', None)
|
|
265
|
+
if chat is None and not tmpl:
|
|
266
|
+
return prompt
|
|
267
|
+
msg = [{'role': 'user', 'content': prompt}]
|
|
268
|
+
try:
|
|
269
|
+
return tokenizer.apply_chat_template(msg, add_generation_prompt=True,
|
|
270
|
+
tokenize=False)
|
|
271
|
+
except Exception:
|
|
272
|
+
return prompt
|
|
273
|
+
|
|
274
|
+
|
|
275
|
+
|
|
276
|
+
def _backend_mlx():
|
|
277
|
+
try:
|
|
278
|
+
import mlx.core as mx
|
|
279
|
+
from mlx_lm import generate as _generate, load as _load
|
|
280
|
+
except ImportError as e:
|
|
281
|
+
raise ImportError(
|
|
282
|
+
"capture needs mlx-lm, which runs on Apple Silicon only:\n"
|
|
283
|
+
" pip install 'clausius[mlx]'\n"
|
|
284
|
+
"There is no other capture backend in this release. One was built\n"
|
|
285
|
+
"and measured, and is not shipped because its threshold has never\n"
|
|
286
|
+
"been calibrated — see EXPERIMENT.md.\n"
|
|
287
|
+
"compare, aggregate and truncation_curve are pure numpy and run "
|
|
288
|
+
"anywhere, so captures made elsewhere can be analyzed here.") from e
|
|
289
|
+
|
|
290
|
+
def load(model, adapter):
|
|
291
|
+
return _load(model, adapter_path=adapter) if adapter else _load(model)
|
|
292
|
+
|
|
293
|
+
def run(model_obj, tok, rendered, max_tokens):
|
|
294
|
+
text = _generate(model_obj, tok, prompt=rendered,
|
|
295
|
+
max_tokens=max_tokens, verbose=False)
|
|
296
|
+
ids = tok.encode(rendered + text)
|
|
297
|
+
n_prompt = len(tok.encode(rendered))
|
|
298
|
+
logits = model_obj(mx.array([ids])[:, :-1]).astype(mx.float32)
|
|
299
|
+
logp = logits - mx.logsumexp(logits, axis=-1, keepdims=True)
|
|
300
|
+
ent = np.asarray((-mx.sum(mx.exp(logp) * logp, axis=-1))[0].tolist())
|
|
301
|
+
del logits, logp
|
|
302
|
+
return text, n_prompt, len(ids) - n_prompt, ent
|
|
303
|
+
|
|
304
|
+
return load, run
|
|
305
|
+
|
|
306
|
+
|
|
307
|
+
|
|
308
|
+
def capture(model, prompts, tag='run', max_tokens=512, adapter=None,
|
|
309
|
+
chat=None, model_obj=None, tokenizer=None,
|
|
310
|
+
progress=None) -> Capture:
|
|
311
|
+
"""Run `prompts` through a model configuration and record its entropy.
|
|
312
|
+
|
|
313
|
+
`model` is a path or HF id. Pass `model_obj`/`tokenizer` instead to reuse an
|
|
314
|
+
already-loaded model, or to measure a configuration this library has no way
|
|
315
|
+
to construct itself — a patched runtime, a custom cache, an offload wrapper.
|
|
316
|
+
That is the intended extension point: clausius does not manage
|
|
317
|
+
configurations, it compares whatever two runs you hand it.
|
|
318
|
+
|
|
319
|
+
Arguments are checked before the runtime is imported, so a caller wiring up
|
|
320
|
+
that extension point finds out on any machine rather than only on a Mac.
|
|
321
|
+
|
|
322
|
+
The runtime is recorded on the capture. A torch backend exists on the
|
|
323
|
+
`feat/torch-backend` branch and is NOT shipped — see EXPERIMENT.md for the
|
|
324
|
+
decision and FINDINGS F15 for the measurement behind it.
|
|
325
|
+
"""
|
|
326
|
+
if model_obj is None and model is None:
|
|
327
|
+
raise ValueError(
|
|
328
|
+
"capture needs either `model` (a path or HF id) or a preloaded "
|
|
329
|
+
"`model_obj` plus `tokenizer`")
|
|
330
|
+
if model_obj is not None and tokenizer is None:
|
|
331
|
+
raise ValueError(
|
|
332
|
+
"`model_obj` was given without `tokenizer`; capture needs both — "
|
|
333
|
+
"the tokenizer renders the chat template and counts prompt tokens, "
|
|
334
|
+
"which is what separates prompt positions from generated ones")
|
|
335
|
+
|
|
336
|
+
load, run = _backend_mlx()
|
|
337
|
+
|
|
338
|
+
if model_obj is None:
|
|
339
|
+
model_obj, tokenizer = load(model, adapter)
|
|
340
|
+
rows, t0 = [], time.time()
|
|
341
|
+
for i, prompt in enumerate(prompts):
|
|
342
|
+
rendered = apply_chat_template(tokenizer, prompt, chat)
|
|
343
|
+
# teacher-forced pass over prompt+completion: entropy at the positions
|
|
344
|
+
# where the model actually committed, not at whatever it would have
|
|
345
|
+
# produced under a different sampler
|
|
346
|
+
text, n_prompt, n_gen, ent = run(model_obj, tokenizer, rendered,
|
|
347
|
+
max_tokens)
|
|
348
|
+
rows.append({'ent': aggregate(ent, n_prompt),
|
|
349
|
+
'truncated': n_gen >= max_tokens - 2,
|
|
350
|
+
'empty_gen': n_gen <= 0,
|
|
351
|
+
'text': text[:2000]})
|
|
352
|
+
if progress:
|
|
353
|
+
progress(i + 1, len(prompts))
|
|
354
|
+
# A capture is read back weeks later, so it has to say what produced it. With
|
|
355
|
+
# a preloaded model there is no path to record, and str(None) — which this
|
|
356
|
+
# used to write — is worse than useless as provenance.
|
|
357
|
+
origin = str(model) if model is not None else \
|
|
358
|
+
f'<preloaded {type(model_obj).__name__}>'
|
|
359
|
+
cap = Capture(model=origin, tag=tag, prompts=list(prompts), rows=rows,
|
|
360
|
+
meta={'max_tokens': max_tokens, 'adapter': adapter,
|
|
361
|
+
'chat': chat, 'backend': 'mlx',
|
|
362
|
+
'truncated': sum(r['truncated'] for r in rows),
|
|
363
|
+
'seconds': round(time.time() - t0, 1)})
|
|
364
|
+
|
|
365
|
+
# The curve travels with the capture, so a caller who never touches the CLI
|
|
366
|
+
# still has it — including after a save/load round trip weeks later.
|
|
367
|
+
curve = truncation_curve(cap)
|
|
368
|
+
cap.meta['truncation'] = curve.as_dict()
|
|
369
|
+
if not curve.usable:
|
|
370
|
+
# A warning rather than a raise: the capture is real, it cost GPU time,
|
|
371
|
+
# and `compare(drop_truncated=False)` can still use it. But silence here
|
|
372
|
+
# is what let a doomed pair reach compare twice during development, and
|
|
373
|
+
# the Python API is the documented path for offload wrappers and patched
|
|
374
|
+
# runtimes — the callers least likely to be watching a terminal.
|
|
375
|
+
warnings.warn(
|
|
376
|
+
f"only {curve.survivors} of {curve.n_items} items survive at "
|
|
377
|
+
f"max_tokens={curve.cap_used}, and compare() needs {curve.floor}. "
|
|
378
|
+
f"A candidate capture can only truncate more, so this comparison "
|
|
379
|
+
f"cannot succeed. Re-capture with a larger max_tokens (the cap is "
|
|
380
|
+
f"not recoverable after the fact), or pass drop_truncated=False.",
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|
+
stacklevel=2)
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|
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|
+
return cap
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|
383
|
+
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|
384
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+
|
|
385
|
+
def _pair(reference, candidate, drop_truncated):
|
|
386
|
+
"""Load, validate, and return (ref, cand, kept indices).
|
|
387
|
+
|
|
388
|
+
Shared by `compare` and `top_movers` so the two can never disagree about
|
|
389
|
+
which items count — a diagnostic that explained items the verdict had
|
|
390
|
+
already discarded would be worse than none.
|
|
391
|
+
"""
|
|
392
|
+
ref = reference if isinstance(reference, Capture) else Capture.load(reference)
|
|
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|
+
cand = candidate if isinstance(candidate, Capture) else Capture.load(candidate)
|
|
394
|
+
|
|
395
|
+
if len(ref.rows) != len(cand.rows):
|
|
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|
+
raise ValueError(
|
|
397
|
+
f"captures have different lengths ({len(ref.rows)} vs "
|
|
398
|
+
f"{len(cand.rows)}); a paired comparison needs the same items")
|
|
399
|
+
if ref.prompts and cand.prompts and ref.prompts != cand.prompts:
|
|
400
|
+
raise ValueError(
|
|
401
|
+
"captures used different prompts; pairing them would compare two "
|
|
402
|
+
"datasets rather than two configurations")
|
|
403
|
+
|
|
404
|
+
rb, cb = ref.meta.get('backend'), cand.meta.get('backend')
|
|
405
|
+
if rb and cb and rb != cb:
|
|
406
|
+
# Not an error: "did switching inference backend break the model" is a
|
|
407
|
+
# real question, and this is how you would ask it. But the 0.3 threshold
|
|
408
|
+
# was calibrated within a runtime, where kernel-level differences cancel
|
|
409
|
+
# in the paired difference. Across runtimes they do not, and no benign
|
|
410
|
+
# backend swap has been measured to establish that null.
|
|
411
|
+
warnings.warn(
|
|
412
|
+
f"comparing a {rb} capture against a {cb} one. The threshold is "
|
|
413
|
+
f"calibrated within a single runtime; across runtimes a benign "
|
|
414
|
+
f"difference in numerics or tokenisation is not distinguishable "
|
|
415
|
+
f"from damage, and that null has not been measured.", stacklevel=2)
|
|
416
|
+
|
|
417
|
+
keep = [i for i in range(len(ref.rows))
|
|
418
|
+
if not (drop_truncated and (ref.rows[i].get('truncated')
|
|
419
|
+
or cand.rows[i].get('truncated')))]
|
|
420
|
+
if len(keep) < MIN_PAIRED_ITEMS:
|
|
421
|
+
raise ValueError(
|
|
422
|
+
f"only {len(keep)} items survive truncation filtering; the effect "
|
|
423
|
+
f"size would be noise. Raise max_tokens or pass "
|
|
424
|
+
f"drop_truncated=False.")
|
|
425
|
+
return ref, cand, keep
|
|
426
|
+
|
|
427
|
+
|
|
428
|
+
def bootstrap_ci(deltas, resamples=BOOTSTRAP_RESAMPLES, seed=BOOTSTRAP_SEED,
|
|
429
|
+
level=95.0):
|
|
430
|
+
"""Interval for d_z under resampling the PROMPTS.
|
|
431
|
+
|
|
432
|
+
Seeded, and deliberately so. Everything else about a capture is
|
|
433
|
+
deterministic — a capture at 1536 predicted 47/60 truncations at 512 and a
|
|
434
|
+
separate run at 512 produced exactly 47 — and a CI gate whose JSON output
|
|
435
|
+
changes between runs on identical inputs is not a gate.
|
|
436
|
+
|
|
437
|
+
WHAT IT COVERS: how much d_z would move if you had drawn a different sample
|
|
438
|
+
of prompts. That is the question behind "are 60 prompts enough?".
|
|
439
|
+
|
|
440
|
+
WHAT IT DOES NOT COVER: the benign-configuration variation the ±0.10 null
|
|
441
|
+
measures. Those are different sources of uncertainty. A tight interval
|
|
442
|
+
around +0.15 means *this prompt set reliably reads +0.15*, NOT that the
|
|
443
|
+
change is safe — the verdict against the threshold is what says that, and
|
|
444
|
+
the threshold is calibrated against benign configs rather than against
|
|
445
|
+
prompt resampling.
|
|
446
|
+
"""
|
|
447
|
+
d = np.asarray(deltas, dtype=float)
|
|
448
|
+
if len(d) < 2:
|
|
449
|
+
return (float('nan'), float('nan'))
|
|
450
|
+
rng = np.random.default_rng(seed)
|
|
451
|
+
draws = d[rng.integers(0, len(d), (resamples, len(d)))]
|
|
452
|
+
dz = draws.mean(axis=1) / (draws.std(axis=1, ddof=1) + 1e-12)
|
|
453
|
+
tail = (100.0 - level) / 2.0
|
|
454
|
+
lo, hi = np.percentile(dz, [tail, 100.0 - tail])
|
|
455
|
+
return float(lo), float(hi)
|
|
456
|
+
|
|
457
|
+
|
|
458
|
+
def compare(reference, candidate, signal=DEFAULT_SIGNAL,
|
|
459
|
+
threshold=DEFAULT_THRESHOLD, one_sided=True,
|
|
460
|
+
drop_truncated=True, resamples=BOOTSTRAP_RESAMPLES,
|
|
461
|
+
seed=BOOTSTRAP_SEED) -> Result:
|
|
462
|
+
"""Paired entropy comparison. Returns a Result; raises on mismatched inputs.
|
|
463
|
+
|
|
464
|
+
Accepts `Capture` objects or paths to saved ones.
|
|
465
|
+
|
|
466
|
+
The reported interval is descriptive only — `flagged` is the threshold test
|
|
467
|
+
and nothing else, because that threshold is what 13 benign configurations
|
|
468
|
+
calibrated. Turning the verdict into a significance test would replace a
|
|
469
|
+
measured decision rule with an unmeasured one.
|
|
470
|
+
"""
|
|
471
|
+
if signal not in SIGNALS:
|
|
472
|
+
raise ValueError(f"unknown signal {signal!r}; choose from {SIGNALS}")
|
|
473
|
+
ref, cand, keep = _pair(reference, candidate, drop_truncated)
|
|
474
|
+
dropped = len(ref.rows) - len(keep)
|
|
475
|
+
|
|
476
|
+
detail, chosen = {}, None
|
|
477
|
+
for s in SIGNALS:
|
|
478
|
+
x = np.array([ref.rows[i]['ent'][s] for i in keep])
|
|
479
|
+
y = np.array([cand.rows[i]['ent'][s] for i in keep])
|
|
480
|
+
ok = np.isfinite(x) & np.isfinite(y)
|
|
481
|
+
d = y[ok] - x[ok]
|
|
482
|
+
detail[s] = float(d.mean() / (d.std(ddof=1) + 1e-12))
|
|
483
|
+
if s == signal:
|
|
484
|
+
chosen = d
|
|
485
|
+
|
|
486
|
+
effect = detail[signal]
|
|
487
|
+
flagged = effect > threshold if one_sided else abs(effect) > threshold
|
|
488
|
+
return Result(flagged=flagged, effect=effect, signal=signal,
|
|
489
|
+
threshold=threshold, one_sided=one_sided,
|
|
490
|
+
n_compared=len(keep), n_dropped_truncated=dropped,
|
|
491
|
+
detail=detail,
|
|
492
|
+
ci=bootstrap_ci(chosen, resamples=resamples, seed=seed))
|
|
493
|
+
|
|
494
|
+
|
|
495
|
+
def top_movers(reference, candidate, n=5, signal=DEFAULT_SIGNAL,
|
|
496
|
+
drop_truncated=True):
|
|
497
|
+
"""The items whose entropy moved most, with the text from both configs.
|
|
498
|
+
|
|
499
|
+
`compare` answers "did something break". This answers "show me", which is
|
|
500
|
+
the next question every time and the one the aggregate cannot address:
|
|
501
|
+
d_z is ordinal rather than proportional (FINDINGS F14d), so the per-item
|
|
502
|
+
view is how a reader forms their own judgment of severity.
|
|
503
|
+
|
|
504
|
+
Everything needed is already recorded — no second capture, no model.
|
|
505
|
+
"""
|
|
506
|
+
if signal not in SIGNALS:
|
|
507
|
+
raise ValueError(f"unknown signal {signal!r}; choose from {SIGNALS}")
|
|
508
|
+
ref, cand, keep = _pair(reference, candidate, drop_truncated)
|
|
509
|
+
rows = []
|
|
510
|
+
for i in keep:
|
|
511
|
+
a = ref.rows[i]['ent'][signal]
|
|
512
|
+
b = cand.rows[i]['ent'][signal]
|
|
513
|
+
if not (np.isfinite(a) and np.isfinite(b)):
|
|
514
|
+
continue
|
|
515
|
+
rows.append({
|
|
516
|
+
'i': i,
|
|
517
|
+
'delta': float(b - a),
|
|
518
|
+
'ref': float(a),
|
|
519
|
+
'cand': float(b),
|
|
520
|
+
'prompt': ref.prompts[i] if i < len(ref.prompts) else '',
|
|
521
|
+
'ref_text': ref.rows[i].get('text', ''),
|
|
522
|
+
'cand_text': cand.rows[i].get('text', ''),
|
|
523
|
+
})
|
|
524
|
+
rows.sort(key=lambda r: r['delta'], reverse=True)
|
|
525
|
+
return rows[:n]
|
|
@@ -0,0 +1,272 @@
|
|
|
1
|
+
Metadata-Version: 2.4
|
|
2
|
+
Name: clausius
|
|
3
|
+
Version: 0.1.0
|
|
4
|
+
Summary: Detect whether a deployment change degraded your model — without a labeled eval set
|
|
5
|
+
Project-URL: Homepage, https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius
|
|
6
|
+
Project-URL: Findings, https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius/blob/main/FINDINGS.md
|
|
7
|
+
Project-URL: Issues, https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius/issues
|
|
8
|
+
License-Expression: Apache-2.0
|
|
9
|
+
License-File: LICENSE
|
|
10
|
+
License-File: NOTICE
|
|
11
|
+
Keywords: llm,mixture-of-experts,mlx,quantization,regression-testing
|
|
12
|
+
Classifier: Development Status :: 3 - Alpha
|
|
13
|
+
Classifier: Intended Audience :: Developers
|
|
14
|
+
Classifier: Programming Language :: Python :: 3
|
|
15
|
+
Classifier: Topic :: Scientific/Engineering :: Artificial Intelligence
|
|
16
|
+
Requires-Python: >=3.9
|
|
17
|
+
Requires-Dist: numpy>=1.24
|
|
18
|
+
Provides-Extra: dev
|
|
19
|
+
Requires-Dist: pytest>=7; extra == 'dev'
|
|
20
|
+
Provides-Extra: mlx
|
|
21
|
+
Requires-Dist: mlx-lm>=0.20; extra == 'mlx'
|
|
22
|
+
Description-Content-Type: text/markdown
|
|
23
|
+
|
|
24
|
+
# clausius — did the thing you changed break your model?
|
|
25
|
+
|
|
26
|
+
Two questions, both answered on consumer hardware (M5 Max, 128 GB), across five
|
|
27
|
+
model families:
|
|
28
|
+
|
|
29
|
+
1. **What is the best model you can actually run in the memory you have?**
|
|
30
|
+
2. **If you change anything — config, quantization, fine-tune — how would you
|
|
31
|
+
know it broke the model, without a labeled eval set?**
|
|
32
|
+
|
|
33
|
+
## What's new here
|
|
34
|
+
|
|
35
|
+
- **Accuracy measured across MoE offload configurations at all** — four surveyed
|
|
36
|
+
implementations report none. It inverts the default advice: at matched memory,
|
|
37
|
+
aggressive quantization costs **73 points** of instruction adherence where
|
|
38
|
+
exact expert offload costs **1.0**.
|
|
39
|
+
- **Label-free regression detection, checked against independently measured
|
|
40
|
+
damage.** Predictive entropy is well studied; using it to detect that *a
|
|
41
|
+
deployment change broke the model* — validated against five unrelated damage
|
|
42
|
+
mechanisms whose true cost was measured separately — appears not to be. It
|
|
43
|
+
flagged a −2.2pp quantization regression on **60 unlabeled prompts**, where
|
|
44
|
+
paired McNemar on gold labels needed **n=878** to reach p<0.05 (F14).
|
|
45
|
+
- **The corpus is committed, so the tables below rebuild on a laptop** — no
|
|
46
|
+
model, no accelerator, two commands. Negatives included: eight controlled
|
|
47
|
+
failures where the interesting signal lost to a simpler one, and seven places
|
|
48
|
+
where a result did not survive its own check and the record says so.
|
|
49
|
+
|
|
50
|
+
**Scope, up front.** Capturing needs Apple Silicon (`mlx-lm`). Everything else —
|
|
51
|
+
`compare`, the analysis, and re-deriving every table below from the committed
|
|
52
|
+
corpus — is pure numpy and runs anywhere, with no model downloads:
|
|
53
|
+
|
|
54
|
+
```bash
|
|
55
|
+
git clone https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius && cd clausius
|
|
56
|
+
pip install ".[dev]" && pytest -q # 36 tests, no accelerator
|
|
57
|
+
python -m knowledge.quantladder analyze # rebuilds F14's ladder from records
|
|
58
|
+
python -m knowledge.frontier report # rebuilds the 3-axis Pareto frontier
|
|
59
|
+
```
|
|
60
|
+
|
|
61
|
+
That is the fastest way to check whether the numbers here are real.
|
|
62
|
+
|
|
63
|
+
---
|
|
64
|
+
|
|
65
|
+
*Named for Rudolf Clausius, who coined the word **entropy** in 1865 — from the
|
|
66
|
+
Greek `trope`, transformation, shaped to echo "energy" so the two would sound
|
|
67
|
+
like the related quantities they are. Entropy is the signal this tool reads.*
|
|
68
|
+
|
|
69
|
+
## Quickstart
|
|
70
|
+
|
|
71
|
+
```bash
|
|
72
|
+
pip install "clausius[mlx] @ git+https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius"
|
|
73
|
+
```
|
|
74
|
+
|
|
75
|
+
Take 60 prompts of your own — production traffic is ideal, and **no labels are
|
|
76
|
+
needed** — or start with the 60 in [`examples/prompts.jsonl`](https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius/blob/main/examples/prompts.jsonl).
|
|
77
|
+
Capture the configuration you trust, capture the one you changed, compare:
|
|
78
|
+
|
|
79
|
+
```bash
|
|
80
|
+
clausius capture --model ./gemma-26b-a4b-4bit --prompts examples/prompts.jsonl \
|
|
81
|
+
--out ref.json --max-tokens 1536
|
|
82
|
+
clausius capture --model ./gemma-26b-a4b-2bit --prompts examples/prompts.jsonl \
|
|
83
|
+
--out cand.json --max-tokens 1536
|
|
84
|
+
clausius compare ref.json cand.json --show 3
|
|
85
|
+
```
|
|
86
|
+
|
|
87
|
+
```
|
|
88
|
+
REGRESSION (max d_z = +5.922, threshold 0.3, one-sided)
|
|
89
|
+
compared 20 paired items, dropped 5 truncated
|
|
90
|
+
all signals: max +5.92 p90 +11.64 mean +10.43 mean_top10 +9.00 first +2.80 gen_len +10.55
|
|
91
|
+
```
|
|
92
|
+
|
|
93
|
+
That is a real run, on 25 unlabeled prompts. The two checkpoints differ only in
|
|
94
|
+
quantization; the 2-bit one independently measures **73 points lower** on
|
|
95
|
+
instruction adherence. `compare` exits non-zero on a regression, so it drops
|
|
96
|
+
into CI without glue.
|
|
97
|
+
|
|
98
|
+
**→ [USAGE.md](https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius/blob/main/USAGE.md) is the operating manual**: choosing prompts, setting
|
|
99
|
+
the token cap, reading `d_z` and its interval, calibrating your own null, and
|
|
100
|
+
running it as a CI gate. Start there after your first run.
|
|
101
|
+
|
|
102
|
+
**Every default is a measured result, not a preference** — the 0.3 threshold
|
|
103
|
+
comes from 13 configurations known to be harmless, the one-sided test from a
|
|
104
|
+
construction that fools a two-sided one, the truncation filter from an effect
|
|
105
|
+
that doubles once you apply it. `src/clausius/core.py` states each one and
|
|
106
|
+
[FINDINGS.md](https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius/blob/main/FINDINGS.md) has the evidence.
|
|
107
|
+
|
|
108
|
+
> **Status.** `clausius` is installable and tested (36 tests, no accelerator
|
|
109
|
+
> required). The `knowledge/` research package that produced the findings is
|
|
110
|
+
> *not* packaged — it needs local model checkpoints and an external artifact
|
|
111
|
+
> store, and is kept for reproducibility rather than reuse.
|
|
112
|
+
|
|
113
|
+
---
|
|
114
|
+
|
|
115
|
+
## What was measured
|
|
116
|
+
|
|
117
|
+
Full evidence, positives *and* negatives, in
|
|
118
|
+
[FINDINGS.md](https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius/blob/main/FINDINGS.md) —
|
|
119
|
+
which opens with a prior-art accounting stating which parts independently
|
|
120
|
+
re-derive published work and which appear to be new. The headline results:
|
|
121
|
+
|
|
122
|
+
| | result | where |
|
|
123
|
+
|---|---|---|
|
|
124
|
+
| **Offload beats downsizing** | an offloaded 35B at **3.40 GB** scores **0.9447** on gsm8k, against a natively-fitting 4B at 3.91 GB scoring 0.8426. Same ordering on popqa (+13.9pp) and mmlu_pro (+20.9pp). The whole cost is latency. | F3–F6 |
|
|
125
|
+
| **The lossy shortcut is dominated** | *dropping* non-resident experts instead of fetching them costs **91% of gsm8k accuracy** at 50% residency, while being slower. | F6 |
|
|
126
|
+
| **Label-free detection works** | validated against five unrelated damage mechanisms whose true damage was measured independently. Benign controls stay clean: a 3.3× memory reduction changes ~25% of generations textually and moves no signal. | F8 |
|
|
127
|
+
| **It is more sensitive than labels** | the −2.2pp regression above: flagged on 60 unlabeled prompts, where labels needed n=878. | F14 |
|
|
128
|
+
| **Forgetting is detectable too** | move the reference and it becomes a training monitor: LoRA checkpoints on a held-out domain read d_z +0.74 to +0.84 at −16 to −26pp accuracy. | F9 |
|
|
129
|
+
| **Short benchmarks understate damage ~14×** | factual QA loses 1.5pp where structured generation loses 18–21pp under the same quantization — the axis agents live on. | F11 |
|
|
130
|
+
| **Routing carries a fact-level address** | ablate the experts a fact routes to and that fact degrades far more than a paraphrase, a same-relation fact, or a random control. Two architectures. A **mechanism** result, not a product. | R9–R10 |
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### What it does not do
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- **Sensitivity is the weaker half.** Specificity is 13/13; a −5.7pp config is
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missed at any threshold that preserves that record.
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- **Confidence-increasing damage would be invisible** to a one-sided detector.
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Three mechanisms were built to produce it and none did, but it is not excluded.
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- **d_z is ordinal, not proportional.** 3-bit loses 25× more accuracy than 4-bit
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and reads 2× the d_z. "Something moved, and roughly how hard" is supportable;
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"you lost k accuracy points" is not.
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- Needs logits and a reference config; it cannot score a config in isolation.
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- **The threshold is calibrated on one stack.** On a different framework, device
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or quantizer, measure your own null first —
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[USAGE.md](https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius/blob/main/USAGE.md#calibrating-your-own-null) has the recipe.
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### Scope: local models, GPU capture
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**Local and self-hosted only, deliberately.** Anthropic exposes no logprobs at
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all, Gemini's are missing on current frontier models, and OpenAI caps
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`top_logprobs` at 20 — *truncated* entropy, a different quantity. Hosted-API
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support and cascade routing are recorded as **don't-build** decisions in
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[EXPERIMENT.md](https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius/blob/main/EXPERIMENT.md).
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**Capture targets a GPU**: Apple Silicon via MLX in this release, CUDA next,
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CPU never — measured here, 7B decode runs 6.7 tok/s on CPU against 22 on the
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same machine's GPU, the gap widens with size, and the 26B MoE behind the
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findings is impractical there. Two terms that are often conflated:
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| | | |
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|---|---|---|
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| **framework** | mlx, PyTorch | which library runs the forward pass |
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| **device** | cuda, mps, cpu | which hardware PyTorch dispatches to |
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Nothing about the *method* needs Apple Silicon, and a working PyTorch framework
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backend exists on the `feat/torch-backend` branch — **deliberately not
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shipped**. It was measured on mps and cpu (F15, F15c), so the framework path is
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exercised; what has never been calibrated is the **cuda device** and the
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CUDA-native quantizers (bitsandbytes, GPTQ, AWQ). Shipping a runtime whose
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threshold is uncalibrated on the device most users would run would contradict
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the claim this package makes about its defaults. The bar it must clear is in
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[EXPERIMENT.md](https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius/blob/main/EXPERIMENT.md).
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## Claim taxonomy — keep these separate
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Two halves making **different kinds of claim**. Conflating them would overstate
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one and undersell the other.
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| half | signal | claim type | validated by | breadth |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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| **online** | predictive entropy | *"this answer is likely wrong"*, *"this change broke the model"* — a **correctness** claim | Stages A–D, F8–F9 | 5 models, 6 task configs, 5 damage mechanisms |
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| **offline** | routing ablation | *"this came from stored fact X"* — a **mechanism** claim | R3, R9, R9c, R10 | 2 architectures, probe-style |
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**Entropy is mechanism-blind** — it reports that the model was uncertain, not
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*how* the answer was produced. So *"flag the answers the model was least sure
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of"* is defensible and *"our telemetry tells you how the answer was generated"*
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is not. **Neither half claims to improve accuracy.**
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## What did not work
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Eight controlled negatives where routing lost to a simpler signal — usually
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reading the prompt text, or predictive entropy. The structural reason: routing
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is downstream of the residual stream *and* the prompt, so it is bounded by
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both. Part II of
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[FINDINGS.md](https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius/blob/main/FINDINGS.md)
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records them so they are not re-run.
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## Seven corrections worth reading
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The record keeps its own failures, because they were load-bearing:
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- **A planned 16-50 GPU-hour sweep was canceled after reading the
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implementation.** `policy='exact'` fetches missing experts before computing —
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it would have measured a guaranteed flat line.
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- **A confident mechanistic hypothesis died with its own bug fix.** A tidy
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shared-expert explanation for a gemma-vs-qwen top-k split evaporated when a
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ranking error was corrected — `argpartition` guarantees membership, not order.
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- **An instrumentation bug meant a whole axis was never measured.**
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`mx.get_peak_memory()` captured the model load before the cache freed it, so
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every configuration reported identical memory.
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- **A published-looking result was a scoring artifact.** The RAG conditional
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claim read −0.431 in the predicted direction until the scorer accepted any
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gold alias; it then read +0.066, the wrong direction. Recorded as open.
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- **A rationale in the shipped code was wrong for three runs running.** The
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truncation filter was justified by "a damaged model rambles into the token
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cap" — but a *healthy* 4-bit truncated 47/60 items at cap 512 where a
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destroyed 2-bit truncated 3, and two LoRA fine-tunes truncated 22 and 33 of 50
|
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where their base truncated none. Rambling tracks off-distribution, not damage.
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The filter was right; the reason was not (F14b).
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- **A calibration claim was falsified by the next measurement.** A widened null
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(+0.172) was attributed to the reference being unquantized; the same pair
|
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reads −0.062 on gsm8k. It was the prompt set. Superseded, not overwritten
|
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(F14c).
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- **An assumption made the exact error the finding warns against.** F14 assumed
|
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3-bit "sits between two measured points in damage" — right about the ordering,
|
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|
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badly wrong about the distance: −56.6pp, a broken deployment, at only 2x
|
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4-bit's d_z. Kept visible as a worked example of ordinal-not-proportional
|
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(F14d).
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+
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Two method rules came out of them, applied throughout:
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+
|
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> **Read a knob's implementation before scoping a sweep over it.**
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> **A wiring control must be able to fail on the assumption it protects.**
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+
|
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The second has teeth: a top-k no-op control passed 16/16 while the ranking
|
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assumption beneath it was wrong, because keeping every position is
|
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+
order-independent.
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+
|
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## Prior art
|
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239
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+
|
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240
|
+
Applied, not ours: MoE expert offloading with an LRU cache
|
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|
+
([Mixtral-offloading](https://arxiv.org/pdf/2312.17238)), speculative expert
|
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242
|
+
prefetch ([HOBBIT](https://arxiv.org/pdf/2411.01433), ExpertFlow, CommitMoE),
|
|
243
|
+
predictive entropy, McNemar, Belady, Pareto dominance.
|
|
244
|
+
|
|
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|
+
What appears new: **accuracy measured across MoE offload configurations at
|
|
246
|
+
all** (four surveyed implementations report none); exact offload being
|
|
247
|
+
**capacity-non-reproducible but fixed-capacity deterministic**, which
|
|
248
|
+
invalidates output-diffing as a validation method; **prefill admitting *optimal*
|
|
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|
+
caching**, since a layer's routing for the whole prompt yields the access
|
|
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|
+
sequence before any fetch; and **label-free config-regression detection
|
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validated against independently-known damage**.
|
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+
|
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+
---
|
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+
|
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## Repository layout
|
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| path | what | needs |
|
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|---|---|---|
|
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| `src/clausius/` | **the tool** — capture, compare, CLI | numpy; mlx-lm only to capture |
|
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| `tests/` | 36 tests, none load a model; CI installs the built wheel | numpy |
|
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| `records/` | **the measurement corpus** — the evidence behind FINDINGS.md, ~10 MB | — |
|
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|
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| `knowledge/` | the research package that produced the findings | local checkpoints, external artifact store (`CLAUSIUS_ARTIFACTS`) |
|
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|
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| `USAGE.md` | **the operating manual** — prompts, caps, reading the output, CI | — |
|
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|
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| `FINDINGS.md` | the full experimental record, positives and negatives | — |
|
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| `EXPERIMENT.md` | designs, scope decisions, what was deliberately not built, and ten hard-won operational cautions | — |
|
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|
+
|
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|
+
The split is deliberate: the detector **needs no labels and no benchmark harness
|
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|
+
to be used** — scoring exists only to *validate* it, which is what `knowledge/`
|
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|
+
does ([its README](https://github.com/beatakouchnir/clausius/blob/main/knowledge/README.md)
|
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documents every module and how to obtain the datasets). Analysis is stdlib/numpy
|
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|
+
and loads no model, deliberately: MLX uses unified memory, so pinning to
|
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`mx.cpu` isolates nothing — the axis that matters is loads-a-model vs doesn't.
|
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@@ -0,0 +1,9 @@
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clausius/__init__.py,sha256=8XKGqXK1DwmUvtxrSF5J9aJnouvqJhxAvSp_3DtRHbw,1626
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clausius/cli.py,sha256=rEJpTc57zazFl1Q0fUoUQ5XZzvr16wUFiwrKv9OBAWE,7746
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clausius/core.py,sha256=66N8xueflZ1OZerW3D61F_TAXwro7kHlDt3cCC8dbl4,23856
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clausius-0.1.0.dist-info/METADATA,sha256=hfSDOSEJy-FrISe-8lTT3rq1zxcN-yrVkYSzQVB3pFs,15137
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clausius-0.1.0.dist-info/WHEEL,sha256=lCkmxWfQsSc9CfIClYeavTdQeEX2toPqufh9gI35EQA,87
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clausius-0.1.0.dist-info/entry_points.txt,sha256=dto1HDzy4DcWnjfIYSqB910JhQ1YZPfC5nsaa7Ap44Y,47
|
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clausius-0.1.0.dist-info/licenses/LICENSE,sha256=z8d0m5b2O9McPEK1xHG_dWgUBT6EfBDz6wA0F7xSPTA,11358
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clausius-0.1.0.dist-info/licenses/NOTICE,sha256=qpb5JCIil1U0hEYkPohegpD72KwIEChof5UBX75dzfg,2492
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clausius-0.1.0.dist-info/RECORD,,
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@@ -0,0 +1,48 @@
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clausius
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Copyright 2026 Beata Kouchnir
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This product includes software developed for measuring the effect of
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deployment-time changes on language models.
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The research package (`knowledge/`) vendors code under `knowledge/_vendor/`,
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copied from the author's other work rather than depended on, so that this
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repository is self-contained. It carries the same license as the rest.
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--------------------------------------------------------------------------
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DATASETS
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The measurement corpus under `records/` holds results DERIVED from the public
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evaluation datasets below — accuracy, entropy and per-item scores. No dataset
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is bundled: `knowledge/` fetches each one from the Hugging Face Hub at run
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time, so reproducing an experiment means obtaining the data from its original
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source under that source's own terms.
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GSM8K openai/gsm8k MIT
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MMLU-Pro TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro MIT
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PopQA akariasai/popqa no license declared
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HumanEval+ evalplus/humanevalplus Apache-2.0
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IFEval google/IFEval Apache-2.0
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GPQA Idavidrein/gpqa CC BY 4.0, gated
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AA-Omniscience ArtificialAnalysis/AA-Omniscience-Public Apache-2.0
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HLE cais/hle MIT, gated
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records/quantladder/prompts.gsm8k100.jsonl 100 GSM8K questions
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records/quantladder/prompts.gsm8k200.jsonl 200 GSM8K questions
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and the gold answers for those items are stored alongside the model's
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predictions in `records/quantladder/acc.*.json`. They are included so that the
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same-item comparison in FINDINGS F14c can be checked exactly rather than
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approximately.
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GPQA is treated differently, at its authors' request: they ask that the
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dataset not be posted in plain text online, to keep it out of future training
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corpora. No GPQA question, answer option or gold answer appears anywhere in
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this repository, and the model's generated answer text was removed from
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`records/stage_a.gpqa*.json` for the same reason. What remains is derived
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measurement — correctness, entropy, and the domain label.
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IFEval scoring uses Google Research's `instruction_following_eval` registry
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(Apache-2.0), which is NOT bundled here. Where it is absent the scorer returns
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no verdict for that item rather than guessing.
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