autogluon.timeseries 1.2.1b20241211__py3-none-any.whl → 1.2.1b20241212__py3-none-any.whl

autogluon/timeseries/predictor.py

@@ -501,8 +501,7 @@ class TimeSeriesPredictor(TimeSeriesPredictorDeprecatedMixin):
 
             - ``"fast_training"``: fit simple statistical models (``ETS``, ``Theta``, ``Naive``, ``SeasonalNaive``) + fast tree-based models ``RecursiveTabular``
               and ``DirectTabular``. These models are fast to train but may not be very accurate.
-            - ``"medium_quality"``: all models mentioned above + deep learning model ``TemporalFusionTransformer`` + Chronos-Bolt (small). Default setting that produces good forecasts
-              with reasonable training time.
+            - ``"medium_quality"``: all models mentioned above + deep learning model ``TemporalFusionTransformer`` + Chronos-Bolt (small). Produces good forecasts with reasonable training time.
             - ``"high_quality"``: All ML models available in AutoGluon + additional statistical models (``NPTS``, ``AutoETS``,
               ``DynamicOptimizedTheta``). Much more accurate than ``medium_quality``, but takes longer to train.
             - ``"best_quality"``: Same models as in ``"high_quality"``, but performs validation with multiple backtests. Usually better than ``high_quality``, but takes even longer to train.
@@ -512,7 +511,8 @@ class TimeSeriesPredictor(TimeSeriesPredictorDeprecatedMixin):
             - ``"bolt_{model_size}"``: where model size is one of ``tiny,mini,small,base``. Uses the Chronos-Bolt pretrained model for zero-shot forecasting.
               See the documentation for ``ChronosModel`` or see `Hugging Face <https://huggingface.co/collections/amazon/chronos-models-65f1791d630a8d57cb718444>`_ for more information.
 
-            Available presets with the original `Chronos <https://github.com/amazon-science/chronos-forecasting>`_ model:
+            Available presets with the original `Chronos <https://github.com/amazon-science/chronos-forecasting>`_ model.
+            Note that as of v1.2 we recommend using the new, faster Chronos-Bolt models instead of the original Chronos models.
 
             - ``"chronos_{model_size}"``: where model size is one of ``tiny,mini,small,base,large``. Uses the Chronos pretrained model for zero-shot forecasting.
               See the documentation for ``ChronosModel`` or see `Hugging Face <https://huggingface.co/collections/amazon/chronos-models-65f1791d630a8d57cb718444>`_ for more information.
@@ -875,6 +875,12 @@ class TimeSeriesPredictor(TimeSeriesPredictorDeprecatedMixin):
         This method measures the forecast accuracy using the last ``self.prediction_length`` time steps of each time
         series in ``data`` as a hold-out set.
 
+        .. note::
+            Metrics are always reported in 'higher is better' format.
+            This means that metrics such as MASE or MAPE will be multiplied by -1, so their values will be negative.
+            This is necessary to avoid the user needing to know the metric to understand if higher is better when
+            looking at the evaluation results.
+
         Parameters
         ----------
         data : Union[TimeSeriesDataFrame, pd.DataFrame, Path, str]
@@ -1224,10 +1230,10 @@ class TimeSeriesPredictor(TimeSeriesPredictorDeprecatedMixin):
         * ``score_val``: The validation score of the model using the internal validation data. Computed according to ``eval_metric``.
 
         .. note::
-            Metrics scores are always shown in 'higher is better' format.
+            Metrics are always reported in 'higher is better' format.
             This means that metrics such as MASE or MAPE will be multiplied by -1, so their values will be negative.
             This is necessary to avoid the user needing to know the metric to understand if higher is better when
-            looking at leaderboard.
+            looking at the leaderboard.
 
         * ``pred_time_val``: Time taken by the model to predict on the validation data set
         * ``fit_time_marginal``: The fit time required to train the model (ignoring base models for ensembles).
@@ -1429,16 +1435,18 @@ class TimeSeriesPredictor(TimeSeriesPredictorDeprecatedMixin):
         trainer = self._trainer
         train_data = trainer.load_train_data()
         val_data = trainer.load_val_data()
-        base_models = trainer.get_model_names(level=0)
+        base_model_names = trainer.get_model_names(level=0)
         pred_proba_dict_val: Dict[str, List[TimeSeriesDataFrame]] = {
-            model: trainer._get_model_oof_predictions(model) for model in base_models
+            model_name: trainer._get_model_oof_predictions(model_name)
+            for model_name in base_model_names
+            if "_FULL" not in model_name
         }
 
         past_data, known_covariates = test_data.get_model_inputs_for_scoring(
             prediction_length=self.prediction_length, known_covariates_names=trainer.metadata.known_covariates
         )
         pred_proba_dict_test: Dict[str, TimeSeriesDataFrame] = trainer.get_model_pred_dict(
-            base_models, data=past_data, known_covariates=known_covariates
+            base_model_names, data=past_data, known_covariates=known_covariates
         )
 
         y_val: List[TimeSeriesDataFrame] = [

autogluon/timeseries/version.py

@@ -1,3 +1,3 @@
 """This is the autogluon version file."""
-__version__ = '1.2.1b20241211'
+__version__ = '1.2.1b20241212'
 __lite__ = False

{autogluon.timeseries-1.2.1b20241211.dist-info → autogluon.timeseries-1.2.1b20241212.dist-info}/METADATA

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 Metadata-Version: 2.1
 Name: autogluon.timeseries
-Version: 1.2.1b20241211
+Version: 1.2.1b20241212
 Summary: Fast and Accurate ML in 3 Lines of Code
 Home-page: https://github.com/autogluon/autogluon
 Author: AutoGluon Community
@@ -53,9 +53,9 @@ Requires-Dist: fugue>=0.9.0
 Requires-Dist: tqdm<5,>=4.38
 Requires-Dist: orjson~=3.9
 Requires-Dist: tensorboard<3,>=2.9
-Requires-Dist: autogluon.core[raytune]==1.2.1b20241211
-Requires-Dist: autogluon.common==1.2.1b20241211
-Requires-Dist: autogluon.tabular[catboost,lightgbm,xgboost]==1.2.1b20241211
+Requires-Dist: autogluon.core[raytune]==1.2.1b20241212
+Requires-Dist: autogluon.common==1.2.1b20241212
+Requires-Dist: autogluon.tabular[catboost,lightgbm,xgboost]==1.2.1b20241212
 Provides-Extra: all
 Provides-Extra: chronos-onnx
 Requires-Dist: optimum[onnxruntime]<1.20,>=1.17; extra == "chronos-onnx"

{autogluon.timeseries-1.2.1b20241211.dist-info → autogluon.timeseries-1.2.1b20241212.dist-info}/RECORD

@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
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+autogluon.timeseries-1.2.1b20241212-py3.8-nspkg.pth,sha256=cQGwpuGPqg1GXscIwt-7PmME1OnSpD-7ixkikJ31WAY,554
 autogluon/timeseries/__init__.py,sha256=_CrLLc1fkjen7UzWoO0Os8WZoHOgvZbHKy46I8v_4k4,304
 autogluon/timeseries/evaluator.py,sha256=l642tYfTHsl8WVIq_vV6qhgAFVFr9UuZD7gLra3A_Kc,250
 autogluon/timeseries/learner.py,sha256=mFnBC750C5PqgkkYNYni9oYQ5a6K8pXSsDLRDXuA7DI,14182
-autogluon/timeseries/predictor.py,sha256=W9RhTUS_WFMAR7BXiHIYblKHCvGlY8WRTfJJ2E0pBn0,85471
+autogluon/timeseries/predictor.py,sha256=oPsZrvNnTIe1bBwryxRRNmxWu-RfD1XQz1gZd2Cja-o,86014
 autogluon/timeseries/regressor.py,sha256=tqQ2zWImxpuEyaAM0DeCjOZ-xcWUYZbCXsqd471xXxQ,8351
 autogluon/timeseries/splitter.py,sha256=eghGwAAN2_cxGk5aJBILgjGWtLzjxJcytMy49gg_q18,3061
-autogluon/timeseries/version.py,sha256=v9MLe4aRRPmk2fbbFjXk3-PKtE8tBqNdTooR9FSoFqQ,90
+autogluon/timeseries/version.py,sha256=qVMu1147rrn8S0bv4U8SgWjjj4QwLl5zwpakOXZjtrU,90
 autogluon/timeseries/configs/__init__.py,sha256=BTtHIPCYeGjqgOcvqb8qPD4VNX-ICKOg6wnkew1cPOE,98
 autogluon/timeseries/configs/presets_configs.py,sha256=cLat8ecLlWrI-SC5KLBDCX2SbVXaucemy2pjxJAtSY0,2543
 autogluon/timeseries/dataset/__init__.py,sha256=UvnhAN5tjgxXTHoZMQDy64YMDj4Xxa68yY7NP4vAw0o,81
@@ -60,11 +60,11 @@ autogluon/timeseries/utils/datetime/base.py,sha256=3NdsH3NDq4cVAOSoy3XpaNixyNlbj
 autogluon/timeseries/utils/datetime/lags.py,sha256=gQDk5_zmsY5DUWDUpSaCKYkQ9nHKKY-LsywJQRAoYSk,5988
 autogluon/timeseries/utils/datetime/seasonality.py,sha256=YK_2k8hvYIMW-sJPnjGWRtCnvIOthwA2hATB3nwVoD4,834
 autogluon/timeseries/utils/datetime/time_features.py,sha256=MjLi3zQ00uWWJtXH9oGX2GJkTbvjdSiuabSa4kcVuxE,2672
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