autogluon.timeseries 1.1.2b20241109__py3-none-any.whl → 1.1.2b20241112__py3-none-any.whl

autogluon/timeseries/regressor.py

@@ -0,0 +1,146 @@
+from typing import Any, Dict, Optional
+
+import numpy as np
+import pandas as pd
+
+from autogluon.core.models import AbstractModel
+from autogluon.tabular.trainer.model_presets.presets import MODEL_TYPES as TABULAR_MODEL_TYPES
+from autogluon.timeseries.dataset.ts_dataframe import ITEMID, TimeSeriesDataFrame
+from autogluon.timeseries.utils.features import CovariateMetadata
+
+
+class CovariateRegressor:
+    """Predicts target values from the covariates for the same observation.
+
+    The model construct the feature matrix using known_covariates and static_features.
+
+    Parameters
+    ----------
+    model_name : str
+        Name of the tabular regression model. See `autogluon.tabular.trainer.model_presets.presets.MODEL_TYPES` for the
+        list of available models.
+    model_hyperparameters : dict or None
+        Hyperparameters passed to the tabular regression model.
+    eval_metric : str
+        Metric provided as `eval_metric` to the tabular regression model. Must be compatible with `problem_type="regression"`.
+    refit_during_predict : bool
+        If True, the model will be re-trained every time `fit_transform` is called. If False, the model will only be
+        trained the first time that `fit_transform` is called, and future calls to `fit_transform` will only perform a
+        `transform`.
+    max_num_samples : int or None
+        If not None, training dataset passed to regression model will contain at most this many rows.
+    metadata : CovariateMetadata
+        Metadata object describing the covariates available in the dataset.
+    target : str
+        Name of the target column.
+    validation_frac : float, optional
+        Fraction of observations that are reserved as the validation set during training (starting from the end of each
+        time series).
+    """
+
+    def __init__(
+        self,
+        model_name: str = "GBM",
+        model_hyperparameters: Optional[Dict[str, Any]] = None,
+        eval_metric: str = "mean_absolute_error",
+        refit_during_predict: bool = False,
+        max_num_samples: Optional[int] = 500_000,
+        metadata: Optional[CovariateMetadata] = None,
+        target: str = "target",
+        validation_fraction: Optional[float] = 0.1,
+    ):
+        if model_name not in TABULAR_MODEL_TYPES:
+            raise ValueError(
+                f"Tabular model {model_name} not supported. Available models: {list(TABULAR_MODEL_TYPES)}"
+            )
+        self.target = target
+        self.model_type = TABULAR_MODEL_TYPES[model_name]
+        self.model_name = model_name
+        self.model_hyperparameters = model_hyperparameters or {}
+        self.refit_during_predict = refit_during_predict
+        self.tabular_eval_metric = eval_metric
+        self.max_num_samples = max_num_samples
+        self.validation_fraction = validation_fraction
+        self.model: Optional[AbstractModel] = None
+        self.metadata = metadata or CovariateMetadata()
+
+    def is_fit(self) -> bool:
+        return self.model is not None
+
+    def fit(self, data: TimeSeriesDataFrame, time_limit: Optional[float] = None, **kwargs) -> "CovariateRegressor":
+        """Fit the tabular regressor on the target column using covariates as features."""
+        tabular_df = self._get_tabular_df(data, static_features=data.static_features, include_target=True)
+        tabular_df = tabular_df.query(f"{self.target}.notnull()")
+
+        median_ts_length = data.num_timesteps_per_item().median()
+        if self.validation_fraction is not None:
+            grouped_df = tabular_df.groupby(ITEMID)
+            val_size = max(int(self.validation_fraction * median_ts_length), 1)
+            train_df = self._subsample_df(grouped_df.head(-val_size))
+            val_df = self._subsample_df(grouped_df.tail(val_size))
+            X = train_df.drop(columns=[self.target])
+            y = train_df[self.target]
+            X_val = val_df.drop(columns=[self.target])
+            y_val = val_df[self.target]
+        else:
+            tabular_df = self._subsample_df(tabular_df)
+            X = tabular_df.drop(columns=[self.target])
+            y = tabular_df[self.target]
+            X_val = None
+            y_val = None
+
+        self.model = self.model_type(
+            problem_type="regression",
+            hyperparameters=self.model_hyperparameters,
+            eval_metric=self.tabular_eval_metric,
+        )
+        self.model.fit(X=X, y=y, X_val=X_val, y_val=y_val, time_limit=time_limit, **kwargs)
+        return self
+
+    def transform(self, data: TimeSeriesDataFrame) -> TimeSeriesDataFrame:
+        """Subtract the tabular regressor predictions from the target column."""
+        y_pred = self._predict(data, static_features=data.static_features)
+        return data.assign(**{self.target: data[self.target] - y_pred})
+
+    def fit_transform(
+        self, data: TimeSeriesDataFrame, time_limit: Optional[float] = None, **kwargs
+    ) -> TimeSeriesDataFrame:
+        if not self.is_fit() or self.refit_during_predict:
+            self.fit(data=data, time_limit=time_limit, **kwargs)
+        return self.transform(data=data)
+
+    def inverse_transform(
+        self,
+        predictions: TimeSeriesDataFrame,
+        known_covariates: TimeSeriesDataFrame,
+        static_features: Optional[pd.DataFrame],
+    ) -> TimeSeriesDataFrame:
+        """Add the tabular regressor predictions to the target column."""
+        y_pred = self._predict(known_covariates, static_features=static_features)
+        return predictions.assign(**{col: predictions[col] + y_pred for col in predictions.columns})
+
+    def _predict(self, data: TimeSeriesDataFrame, static_features: Optional[pd.DataFrame]) -> np.ndarray:
+        """Construct the tabular features matrix and make predictions"""
+        tabular_df = self._get_tabular_df(data, static_features=static_features)
+        return self.model.predict(X=tabular_df)
+
+    def _get_tabular_df(
+        self,
+        data: TimeSeriesDataFrame,
+        static_features: Optional[pd.DataFrame] = None,
+        include_target: bool = False,
+    ) -> pd.DataFrame:
+        """Construct a tabular dataframe from known covariates and static features."""
+        available_columns = [ITEMID] + self.metadata.known_covariates
+        if include_target:
+            available_columns += [self.target]
+        tabular_df = pd.DataFrame(data).reset_index()[available_columns].astype({ITEMID: "category"})
+        if static_features is not None:
+            tabular_df = pd.merge(tabular_df, static_features, on=ITEMID)
+        return tabular_df
+
+    def _subsample_df(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
+        """Randomly subsample the dataframe if it contains more than self.max_num_samples rows."""
+        if self.max_num_samples is not None and len(df) > self.max_num_samples:
+            df = df.sample(n=self.max_num_samples)
+        return df

autogluon/timeseries/transforms/scaler.py

@@ -85,7 +85,7 @@ class LocalMinMaxScaler(LocalTargetScaler):
     def _compute_loc_scale(self, target_series: pd.Series) -> Tuple[pd.Series, pd.Series]:
         stats = target_series.abs().groupby(level=ITEMID, sort=False).agg(["min", "max"])
         scale = (stats["max"] - stats["min"]).clip(lower=self.min_scale)
-        loc = stats["min"] / scale
+        loc = stats["min"]
         return loc, scale
 
 

autogluon/timeseries/utils/warning_filters.py

@@ -6,6 +6,7 @@ import os
 import re
 import sys
 import warnings
+from collections import Counter
 
 __all__ = ["warning_filter", "disable_root_logger", "disable_tqdm"]
 
@@ -70,3 +71,22 @@ def disable_stdout():
     sys.stdout = io.StringIO()
     yield
     sys.stdout = save_stdout
+
+
+class DuplicateLogFilter:
+    def __init__(self, max_count: int = 1):
+        self.messages = Counter()
+        self.max_count = max_count
+
+    def filter(self, record):
+        count = self.messages[record.msg]
+        self.messages[record.msg] += 1
+        return count < self.max_count
+
+
+@contextlib.contextmanager
+def disable_duplicate_logs(logger, max_count: int = 1):
+    log_filter = DuplicateLogFilter(max_count=max_count)
+    logger.addFilter(log_filter)
+    yield
+    logger.removeFilter(log_filter)

autogluon/timeseries/version.py

@@ -1,3 +1,3 @@
 """This is the autogluon version file."""
-__version__ = '1.1.2b20241109'
+__version__ = '1.1.2b20241112'
 __lite__ = False

{autogluon.timeseries-1.1.2b20241109.dist-info → autogluon.timeseries-1.1.2b20241112.dist-info}/METADATA

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 Metadata-Version: 2.1
 Name: autogluon.timeseries
-Version: 1.1.2b20241109
+Version: 1.1.2b20241112
 Summary: Fast and Accurate ML in 3 Lines of Code
 Home-page: https://github.com/autogluon/autogluon
 Author: AutoGluon Community
@@ -43,7 +43,7 @@ Requires-Dist: lightning<2.6,>=2.2
 Requires-Dist: pytorch-lightning
 Requires-Dist: transformers[sentencepiece]<5,>=4.38.0
 Requires-Dist: accelerate<1.0,>=0.32.0
-Requires-Dist: gluonts==0.15.1
+Requires-Dist: gluonts==0.16.0
 Requires-Dist: networkx<4,>=3.0
 Requires-Dist: statsforecast<1.8,>=1.7.0
 Requires-Dist: mlforecast==0.13.4
@@ -53,9 +53,9 @@ Requires-Dist: fugue>=0.9.0
 Requires-Dist: tqdm<5,>=4.38
 Requires-Dist: orjson~=3.9
 Requires-Dist: tensorboard<3,>=2.9
-Requires-Dist: autogluon.core[raytune]==1.1.2b20241109
-Requires-Dist: autogluon.common==1.1.2b20241109
-Requires-Dist: autogluon.tabular[catboost,lightgbm,xgboost]==1.1.2b20241109
+Requires-Dist: autogluon.core[raytune]==1.1.2b20241112
+Requires-Dist: autogluon.common==1.1.2b20241112
+Requires-Dist: autogluon.tabular[catboost,lightgbm,xgboost]==1.1.2b20241112
 Provides-Extra: all
 Requires-Dist: optimum[onnxruntime]<1.20,>=1.17; extra == "all"
 Provides-Extra: chronos-onnx

{autogluon.timeseries-1.1.2b20241109.dist-info → autogluon.timeseries-1.1.2b20241112.dist-info}/RECORD

@@ -1,14 +1,15 @@
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@@ -17,49 +18,52 @@ autogluon/timeseries/metrics/utils.py,sha256=eJ63TCR-UwbeJ1c2Qm7B2q-8B3sFthPgioo
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