autogluon.timeseries 1.1.0b20240410__py3-none-any.whl → 1.1.0b20240411__py3-none-any.whl

autogluon/timeseries/dataset/ts_dataframe.py

@@ -759,12 +759,6 @@ class TimeSeriesDataFrame(pd.DataFrame, TimeSeriesDataFrameDeprecatedMixin):
                 2019-02-07     4.0
 
         """
-        if self.freq is None:
-            raise ValueError(
-                "Please make sure that all time series have a regular index before calling `fill_missing_values`"
-                "(for example, using the `convert_frequency` method)."
-            )
-
         # Convert to pd.DataFrame for faster processing
         df = pd.DataFrame(self)
 
@@ -772,6 +766,12 @@ class TimeSeriesDataFrame(pd.DataFrame, TimeSeriesDataFrameDeprecatedMixin):
         if not df.isna().any(axis=None):
             return self
 
+        if not self.index.is_monotonic_increasing:
+            logger.warning(
+                "Trying to fill missing values in an unsorted dataframe. "
+                "It is highly recommended to call `ts_df.sort_index()` before calling `ts_df.fill_missing_values()`"
+            )
+
         grouped_df = df.groupby(level=ITEMID, sort=False, group_keys=False)
         if method == "auto":
             filled_df = grouped_df.ffill()

autogluon/timeseries/learner.py

@@ -43,6 +43,7 @@ class TimeSeriesLearner(AbstractLearner):
         self.prediction_length = prediction_length
         self.quantile_levels = kwargs.get("quantile_levels", [0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9])
         self.cache_predictions = cache_predictions
+        self.freq: Optional[str] = None
 
         self.feature_generator = TimeSeriesFeatureGenerator(
             target=self.target, known_covariates_names=self.known_covariates_names
@@ -87,6 +88,8 @@ class TimeSeriesLearner(AbstractLearner):
         if val_data is not None:
             val_data = self.feature_generator.transform(val_data, data_frame_name="tuning_data")
 
+        self.freq = train_data.freq
+
         trainer_init_kwargs = kwargs.copy()
         trainer_init_kwargs.update(
             dict(
@@ -155,7 +158,9 @@ class TimeSeriesLearner(AbstractLearner):
                 f"known_covariates are missing information for the following item_ids: {reprlib.repr(missing_item_ids.to_list())}."
             )
 
-        forecast_index = get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(data, prediction_length=self.prediction_length)
+        forecast_index = get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(
+            data, prediction_length=self.prediction_length, freq=self.freq
+        )
         try:
             known_covariates = known_covariates.loc[forecast_index]
         except KeyError:

autogluon/timeseries/models/autogluon_tabular/mlforecast.py

@@ -174,21 +174,6 @@ class AbstractMLForecastModel(AbstractTimeSeriesModel):
         """
         return df
 
-    def _add_scale_as_static_feature(self, data: TimeSeriesDataFrame) -> TimeSeriesDataFrame:
-        """Add mean/std of the target column for each series as a static feature."""
-        data = data.copy(deep=False)
-        scale_features = (
-            data[self.target]
-            .groupby(ITEMID, sort=False)
-            .agg(["mean", "std"])
-            .rename(columns={"mean": "__target_mean", "std": "__target_scale"})
-        )
-        if data.static_features is None:
-            data.static_features = scale_features
-        else:
-            data.static_features = pd.concat([data.static_features, scale_features], axis=1)
-        return data
-
     @staticmethod
     def _shorten_all_series(mlforecast_df: pd.DataFrame, max_length: int):
         logger.debug(f"Shortening all series to at most {max_length}")
@@ -285,8 +270,6 @@ class AbstractMLForecastModel(AbstractTimeSeriesModel):
     ) -> None:
         from mlforecast import MLForecast
 
-        train_data = self._add_scale_as_static_feature(train_data)
-
         self._check_fit_params()
         fit_start_time = time.time()
         self._train_target_median = train_data[self.target].median()
@@ -485,7 +468,6 @@ class DirectTabularModel(AbstractMLForecastModel):
         known_covariates: Optional[TimeSeriesDataFrame] = None,
         **kwargs,
     ) -> TimeSeriesDataFrame:
-        data = self._add_scale_as_static_feature(data)
         original_item_id_order = data.item_ids
         data, known_covariates, forecast_for_short_series = self._remove_short_ts_and_generate_fallback_forecast(
             data=data, known_covariates=known_covariates
@@ -497,12 +479,12 @@ class DirectTabularModel(AbstractMLForecastModel):
         if known_covariates is not None:
             data_future = known_covariates.copy()
         else:
-            future_index = get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(data, self.prediction_length)
+            future_index = get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(data, self.prediction_length, freq=self.freq)
             data_future = pd.DataFrame(columns=[self.target], index=future_index, dtype="float32")
         # MLForecast raises exception of target contains NaN. We use inf as placeholder, replace them by NaN afterwards
         data_future[self.target] = float("inf")
         data_extended = pd.concat([data, data_future])
-        mlforecast_df = self._to_mlforecast_df(data_extended, data_extended.static_features)
+        mlforecast_df = self._to_mlforecast_df(data_extended, data.static_features)
         if self._max_ts_length is not None:
             # We appended `prediction_length` time steps to each series, so increase length
             mlforecast_df = self._shorten_all_series(mlforecast_df, self._max_ts_length + self.prediction_length)
@@ -617,7 +599,6 @@ class RecursiveTabularModel(AbstractMLForecastModel):
         known_covariates: Optional[TimeSeriesDataFrame] = None,
         **kwargs,
     ) -> TimeSeriesDataFrame:
-        data = self._add_scale_as_static_feature(data)
         original_item_id_order = data.item_ids
         data, known_covariates, forecast_for_short_series = self._remove_short_ts_and_generate_fallback_forecast(
             data=data, known_covariates=known_covariates
@@ -630,7 +611,7 @@ class RecursiveTabularModel(AbstractMLForecastModel):
         if self._max_ts_length is not None:
             new_df = self._shorten_all_series(new_df, self._max_ts_length)
         if known_covariates is None:
-            future_index = get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(data, self.prediction_length)
+            future_index = get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(data, self.prediction_length, freq=self.freq)
             known_covariates = pd.DataFrame(columns=[self.target], index=future_index, dtype="float32")
         X_df = self._to_mlforecast_df(known_covariates, data.static_features, include_target=False)
         # If both covariates & static features are missing, set X_df = None to avoid exception from MLForecast

autogluon/timeseries/models/chronos/model.py

@@ -330,7 +330,7 @@ class ChronosModel(AbstractTimeSeriesModel):
         df = pd.DataFrame(
             np.concatenate([mean, quantiles], axis=1),
             columns=["mean"] + [str(q) for q in self.quantile_levels],
-            index=get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(data, self.prediction_length),
+            index=get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(data, self.prediction_length, freq=self.freq),
         )
 
         return TimeSeriesDataFrame(df)

autogluon/timeseries/models/gluonts/abstract_gluonts.py

@@ -46,6 +46,7 @@ class SimpleGluonTSDataset(GluonTSDataset):
     def __init__(
         self,
         target_df: TimeSeriesDataFrame,
+        freq: str,
         target_column: str = "target",
         feat_static_cat: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
         feat_static_real: Optional[np.ndarray] = None,
@@ -57,7 +58,6 @@ class SimpleGluonTSDataset(GluonTSDataset):
         prediction_length: int = None,
     ):
         assert target_df is not None
-        assert target_df.freq, "Initializing GluonTS data sets without freq is not allowed"
         # Convert TimeSeriesDataFrame to pd.Series for faster processing
         self.target_array = target_df[target_column].to_numpy(np.float32)
         self.feat_static_cat = self._astype(feat_static_cat, dtype=np.int64)
@@ -66,7 +66,7 @@ class SimpleGluonTSDataset(GluonTSDataset):
         self.feat_dynamic_real = self._astype(feat_dynamic_real, dtype=np.float32)
         self.past_feat_dynamic_cat = self._astype(past_feat_dynamic_cat, dtype=np.int64)
         self.past_feat_dynamic_real = self._astype(past_feat_dynamic_real, dtype=np.float32)
-        self.freq = self._to_gluonts_freq(target_df.freq)
+        self.freq = self._to_gluonts_freq(freq)
 
         # Necessary to compute indptr for known_covariates at prediction time
         self.includes_future = includes_future
@@ -234,13 +234,6 @@ class AbstractGluonTSModel(AbstractTimeSeriesModel):
 
     def _deferred_init_params_aux(self, dataset: TimeSeriesDataFrame) -> None:
         """Update GluonTS specific parameters with information available only at training time."""
-        self.freq = dataset.freq or self.freq
-        if not self.freq:
-            raise ValueError(
-                "Dataset frequency not provided in the dataset, fit arguments or "
-                "during initialization. Please provide a `freq` string to `fit`."
-            )
-
         model_params = self._get_model_params()
         disable_static_features = model_params.get("disable_static_features", False)
         if not disable_static_features:
@@ -502,6 +495,7 @@ class AbstractGluonTSModel(AbstractTimeSeriesModel):
 
             return SimpleGluonTSDataset(
                 target_df=time_series_df[[self.target]],
+                freq=self.freq,
                 target_column=self.target,
                 feat_static_cat=feat_static_cat,
                 feat_static_real=feat_static_real,
@@ -592,7 +586,7 @@ class AbstractGluonTSModel(AbstractTimeSeriesModel):
             predicted_targets = self._predict_gluonts_forecasts(data, known_covariates=known_covariates, **kwargs)
             df = self._gluonts_forecasts_to_data_frame(
                 predicted_targets,
-                forecast_index=get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(data, self.prediction_length),
+                forecast_index=get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(data, self.prediction_length, freq=self.freq),
             )
         return df
 

autogluon/timeseries/models/local/abstract_local_model.py

@@ -166,7 +166,7 @@ class AbstractLocalModel(AbstractTimeSeriesModel):
                 f"({fraction_failed_models:.1%}). Fallback model SeasonalNaive was used for these time series."
             )
         predictions_df = pd.concat([pred for pred, _ in predictions_with_flags])
-        predictions_df.index = get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(data, self.prediction_length)
+        predictions_df.index = get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(data, self.prediction_length, freq=self.freq)
         return TimeSeriesDataFrame(predictions_df)
 
     def score_and_cache_oof(

autogluon/timeseries/utils/forecast.py

@@ -1,4 +1,5 @@
 import warnings
+from typing import Optional
 
 import numpy as np
 import pandas as pd
@@ -15,7 +16,9 @@ def get_forecast_horizon_index_single_time_series(
 
 
 def get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(
-    ts_dataframe: TimeSeriesDataFrame, prediction_length: int
+    ts_dataframe: TimeSeriesDataFrame,
+    prediction_length: int,
+    freq: Optional[str] = None,
 ) -> pd.MultiIndex:
     """For each item in the dataframe, get timestamps for the next prediction_length many time steps into the future.
 
@@ -26,7 +29,9 @@ def get_forecast_horizon_index_ts_dataframe(
     last = ts_dataframe.reset_index()[[ITEMID, TIMESTAMP]].groupby(by=ITEMID, sort=False, as_index=False).last()
     item_ids = np.repeat(last[ITEMID], prediction_length)
 
-    offset = pd.tseries.frequencies.to_offset(ts_dataframe.freq)
+    if freq is None:
+        freq = ts_dataframe.freq
+    offset = pd.tseries.frequencies.to_offset(freq)
     last_ts = pd.DatetimeIndex(last[TIMESTAMP])
     # Non-vectorized offsets like BusinessDay may produce a PerformanceWarning - we filter them
     with warnings.catch_warnings():

autogluon/timeseries/version.py

@@ -1,3 +1,3 @@
 """This is the autogluon version file."""
-__version__ = '1.1.0b20240410'
+__version__ = '1.1.0b20240411'
 __lite__ = False

{autogluon.timeseries-1.1.0b20240410.dist-info → autogluon.timeseries-1.1.0b20240411.dist-info}/METADATA

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 Metadata-Version: 2.1
 Name: autogluon.timeseries
-Version: 1.1.0b20240410
+Version: 1.1.0b20240411
 Summary: Fast and Accurate ML in 3 Lines of Code
 Home-page: https://github.com/autogluon/autogluon
 Author: AutoGluon Community
@@ -52,9 +52,9 @@ Requires-Dist: utilsforecast <0.0.11,>=0.0.10
 Requires-Dist: tqdm <5,>=4.38
 Requires-Dist: orjson ~=3.9
 Requires-Dist: tensorboard <3,>=2.9
-Requires-Dist: autogluon.core[raytune] ==1.1.0b20240410
-Requires-Dist: autogluon.common ==1.1.0b20240410
-Requires-Dist: autogluon.tabular[catboost,lightgbm,xgboost] ==1.1.0b20240410
+Requires-Dist: autogluon.core[raytune] ==1.1.0b20240411
+Requires-Dist: autogluon.common ==1.1.0b20240411
+Requires-Dist: autogluon.tabular[catboost,lightgbm,xgboost] ==1.1.0b20240411
 Provides-Extra: all
 Requires-Dist: optimum[onnxruntime] <1.19,>=1.17 ; extra == 'all'
 Provides-Extra: chronos-onnx

{autogluon.timeseries-1.1.0b20240410.dist-info → autogluon.timeseries-1.1.0b20240411.dist-info}/RECORD

@@ -1,14 +1,14 @@
-autogluon.timeseries-1.1.0b20240410-py3.8-nspkg.pth,sha256=cQGwpuGPqg1GXscIwt-7PmME1OnSpD-7ixkikJ31WAY,554
+autogluon.timeseries-1.1.0b20240411-py3.8-nspkg.pth,sha256=cQGwpuGPqg1GXscIwt-7PmME1OnSpD-7ixkikJ31WAY,554
 autogluon/timeseries/__init__.py,sha256=_CrLLc1fkjen7UzWoO0Os8WZoHOgvZbHKy46I8v_4k4,304
 autogluon/timeseries/evaluator.py,sha256=l642tYfTHsl8WVIq_vV6qhgAFVFr9UuZD7gLra3A_Kc,250
-autogluon/timeseries/learner.py,sha256=fPIV2p0BMWcZr5fwOkNsJrk8RxK-IYUH_VON3_YXKOQ,13750
+autogluon/timeseries/learner.py,sha256=m80SjcXTqJvbjIozUlu8s8HBz1De3W9AXsTvKeKIto0,13865
 autogluon/timeseries/predictor.py,sha256=A-YkJGKrYGXGlmtIHd9CDMmudBSKcBdnOCJK4oGsQr8,81222
 autogluon/timeseries/splitter.py,sha256=eghGwAAN2_cxGk5aJBILgjGWtLzjxJcytMy49gg_q18,3061
-autogluon/timeseries/version.py,sha256=Vl4mL3oO6llldJibuRCV0k8vPCryw3LzBE-RXX5eIE8,90
+autogluon/timeseries/version.py,sha256=y7BI44S8iDi76ohS8KVBBeNT-lipii0Hz837pbKHVLQ,90
 autogluon/timeseries/configs/__init__.py,sha256=BTtHIPCYeGjqgOcvqb8qPD4VNX-ICKOg6wnkew1cPOE,98
 autogluon/timeseries/configs/presets_configs.py,sha256=ZVV8BsnGnnHPgjBtJBqF-H35MYUdzRBQ8FP7zA3_11g,1949
 autogluon/timeseries/dataset/__init__.py,sha256=UvnhAN5tjgxXTHoZMQDy64YMDj4Xxa68yY7NP4vAw0o,81
-autogluon/timeseries/dataset/ts_dataframe.py,sha256=Laa7g_4ssScjNlCCBJgW6R6NLLt3cu8rVElL6FtvlrE,45567
+autogluon/timeseries/dataset/ts_dataframe.py,sha256=ep0_3hZfQu59fLoxvMWU6JpoE31d4SuvwSoXO_X48f8,45593
 autogluon/timeseries/metrics/__init__.py,sha256=KzgXNj5or7RB_uadjgC8p5gxyV26zjj2hT58OmvnfmA,1875
 autogluon/timeseries/metrics/abstract.py,sha256=9xCFQ3NaR1C0hn01M7oBd72a_CiNV-w6QFcRjwUbKYI,8183
 autogluon/timeseries/metrics/point.py,sha256=xy8sKrBbuxZ7yTW21TDPayKnEj2FBj1AEseJxUdneqE,13399
@@ -20,21 +20,21 @@ autogluon/timeseries/models/abstract/__init__.py,sha256=wvDsQAZIV0N3AwBeMaGItoQ8
 autogluon/timeseries/models/abstract/abstract_timeseries_model.py,sha256=q5yVFyFJPaMVtW48tr2Pw-hgedM5upvc-93qjN4Li68,23435
 autogluon/timeseries/models/abstract/model_trial.py,sha256=ENPg_7nsdxIvaNM0o0UShZ3x8jFlRmwRc5m0fGPC0TM,3720
 autogluon/timeseries/models/autogluon_tabular/__init__.py,sha256=r9i6jWcyeLHYClkcMSKRVsfrkBUMxpDrTATNTBc_qgQ,136
-autogluon/timeseries/models/autogluon_tabular/mlforecast.py,sha256=aWH9r9wJGey8pzFDV_BWOuIx-L6Z40SED0y_clP5PBo,32111
+autogluon/timeseries/models/autogluon_tabular/mlforecast.py,sha256=lnHzCoMF6x9jZOzRM4zSlcXmx0XmtRlsPoiE-LWmqQ0,31299
 autogluon/timeseries/models/autogluon_tabular/utils.py,sha256=4-gTrBtizxeMVQlsuscugPqw9unaXWXhS1TVVssfzYY,2125
 autogluon/timeseries/models/chronos/__init__.py,sha256=wT77HzTtmQxW3sw2k0mA5Ot6PSHivX-Uvn5fjM05EU4,60
-autogluon/timeseries/models/chronos/model.py,sha256=wG4tlTwpFiADu-KQ3TYg-hz7hGz1vPBU__DzyQrikdI,14643
+autogluon/timeseries/models/chronos/model.py,sha256=0ZxOpGyx7MmXYDr9zeDt6-rIu50Bm7ssR9zTIvd6vmQ,14659
 autogluon/timeseries/models/chronos/pipeline.py,sha256=caR4tx-MZnrPeiU_Rra566-OP_SpodtOgcU7P0Hw0Vc,20784
 autogluon/timeseries/models/chronos/utils.py,sha256=dl7pytUFmosFVfBcBAGA0JqMJp4cTQ3DmM9Mdjap9no,2124
 autogluon/timeseries/models/ensemble/__init__.py,sha256=kFr11Gmt7lQJu9Rr8HuIPphQN5l1TsoorfbJm_O3a_s,128
 autogluon/timeseries/models/ensemble/abstract_timeseries_ensemble.py,sha256=tifETwmiEGt-YtQ9eNK7ojJ3fBvtFMUJvisbfkIJ7gw,3393
 autogluon/timeseries/models/ensemble/greedy_ensemble.py,sha256=5HvZuW5osgsZg3V69k82nKEOy_YgeH1JTfQa7F3cU7s,7220
 autogluon/timeseries/models/gluonts/__init__.py,sha256=M8PV9ZE4WpteScMobXM6RH1Udb1AZiHHtj2g5GQL3TU,329
-autogluon/timeseries/models/gluonts/abstract_gluonts.py,sha256=X1l_MexAoyBNMGiJrWreHQHLDSmZV_OSrhjhJ7MA0JM,34348
+autogluon/timeseries/models/gluonts/abstract_gluonts.py,sha256=1MUbeFqRZbfPwAp6ClXmduxXgRV-5H0m1h23OeyPMp0,34031
 autogluon/timeseries/models/gluonts/torch/__init__.py,sha256=47DEQpj8HBSa-_TImW-5JCeuQeRkm5NMpJWZG3hSuFU,0
 autogluon/timeseries/models/gluonts/torch/models.py,sha256=PVDns7CnZtJTbPiCw-FJxahKrDjC-wj0VkwIGsodYY0,19930
 autogluon/timeseries/models/local/__init__.py,sha256=JyckWWgMG1BTIWJqFTW6e1O-eb0LPPOwtXwmb1ErohQ,756
-autogluon/timeseries/models/local/abstract_local_model.py,sha256=6uxR97dbSmevS-mZK0zVBYFnO2Ce-S9ZxVlc0qrFLqo,11820
+autogluon/timeseries/models/local/abstract_local_model.py,sha256=5wvwt7d99kw-PTDnuT45uoCeXk6POjUArCAwUj8mSok,11836
 autogluon/timeseries/models/local/naive.py,sha256=iwRcFMFmJKPWPbD9TWaIUS51oav69F_VAp6-jb_5SUE,7249
 autogluon/timeseries/models/local/npts.py,sha256=Bp74doKnfpGE8ywP4FWOCI_RwRMsmgocYDfGtq764DA,4143
 autogluon/timeseries/models/local/statsforecast.py,sha256=oDYKKM2LZXEQLhPLEgZZWhvSEC1iE1wBexpl8P-Cxwc,32991
@@ -45,18 +45,18 @@ autogluon/timeseries/trainer/abstract_trainer.py,sha256=2nPLskmbOGRzkj6ttX0tHVkj
 autogluon/timeseries/trainer/auto_trainer.py,sha256=psJFZBwWWPlLjNwAgvO4OUJXsRW1sTN2YS9a4pdoeoE,3344
 autogluon/timeseries/utils/__init__.py,sha256=47DEQpj8HBSa-_TImW-5JCeuQeRkm5NMpJWZG3hSuFU,0
 autogluon/timeseries/utils/features.py,sha256=OvBxLIWKR7fPOIlifonVKXUdaWazH_WbdLssJtFCpGs,19261
-autogluon/timeseries/utils/forecast.py,sha256=Thjt6yTPSe3V4s5cQ9UbW3ysTJb1lkqxtZiCqgBSt3w,1776
+autogluon/timeseries/utils/forecast.py,sha256=p0WKM9Q0nLAwwmCgYZI1zi9mCOWXWJfllEt2lPRQl4M,1882
 autogluon/timeseries/utils/warning_filters.py,sha256=ngjmfv21zIwTG-7VNZT-NkaSR7ssnoNtUwcXCXANZ4A,2076
 autogluon/timeseries/utils/datetime/__init__.py,sha256=bTMR8jLh1LW55vHjbOr1zvWRMF_PqbvxpS-cUcNIDWI,173
 autogluon/timeseries/utils/datetime/base.py,sha256=MsqIHY14m3QMjSwwtE7Uo1oNwepWUby_nxlWm4DlqKU,848
 autogluon/timeseries/utils/datetime/lags.py,sha256=kcU4liKbHj7KP2ajNU-KLZ8OYSU35EgT4kJjZNSw0Zg,5875
 autogluon/timeseries/utils/datetime/seasonality.py,sha256=kgK_ukw2wCviEB7CZXRVC5HZpBJZu9IsRrvCJ9E_rOE,755
 autogluon/timeseries/utils/datetime/time_features.py,sha256=pROkYyxETQ8rHKfPGhf2paB73C7rWJ2Ui0cCswLqbBg,2562
-autogluon.timeseries-1.1.0b20240410.dist-info/LICENSE,sha256=CeipvOyAZxBGUsFoaFqwkx54aPnIKEtm9a5u2uXxEws,10142
-autogluon.timeseries-1.1.0b20240410.dist-info/METADATA,sha256=_jsgskC0x-qRzDFtP6speD7lqYiqOSukkA3O34fLz1o,12528
-autogluon.timeseries-1.1.0b20240410.dist-info/NOTICE,sha256=7nPQuj8Kp-uXsU0S5so3-2dNU5EctS5hDXvvzzehd7E,114
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