superlocalmemory 4.1.4 → 4.1.6

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Files changed (48) hide show
  1. package/.claude-plugin/marketplace.json +2 -2
  2. package/CHANGELOG.md +68 -0
  3. package/README.md +3 -3
  4. package/package.json +1 -1
  5. package/plugin/.claude-plugin/plugin.json +1 -1
  6. package/plugin/CLAUDE.md +3 -3
  7. package/plugin/agents/slm-governance-advisor.md +1 -1
  8. package/plugin/agents/slm-loop-runner.md +1 -1
  9. package/plugin/agents/slm-memory-advisor.md +1 -1
  10. package/plugin/agents/slm-optimize-advisor.md +1 -1
  11. package/plugin/requirements.txt +1 -1
  12. package/plugin/skills/slm-cache/SKILL.md +1 -1
  13. package/plugin/skills/slm-compress/SKILL.md +1 -1
  14. package/plugin/skills/slm-governance/SKILL.md +1 -1
  15. package/plugin/skills/slm-graph/SKILL.md +1 -1
  16. package/plugin/skills/slm-loop/SKILL.md +1 -1
  17. package/plugin/skills/slm-mesh/SKILL.md +2 -2
  18. package/plugin/skills/slm-profile/SKILL.md +1 -1
  19. package/plugin/skills/slm-recall/SKILL.md +1 -1
  20. package/plugin/skills/slm-remember/SKILL.md +1 -1
  21. package/plugin/skills/slm-scope/SKILL.md +1 -1
  22. package/plugin/skills/slm-session/SKILL.md +2 -2
  23. package/plugin/skills/slm-status/SKILL.md +1 -1
  24. package/plugin-src/rules/AGENTS.md +1 -1
  25. package/plugin-src/skills/slm-cache/SKILL.md +1 -1
  26. package/plugin-src/skills/slm-compress/SKILL.md +1 -1
  27. package/plugin-src/skills/slm-governance/SKILL.md +1 -1
  28. package/plugin-src/skills/slm-graph/SKILL.md +1 -1
  29. package/plugin-src/skills/slm-loop/SKILL.md +1 -1
  30. package/plugin-src/skills/slm-mesh/SKILL.md +2 -2
  31. package/plugin-src/skills/slm-profile/SKILL.md +1 -1
  32. package/plugin-src/skills/slm-recall/SKILL.md +1 -1
  33. package/plugin-src/skills/slm-remember/SKILL.md +1 -1
  34. package/plugin-src/skills/slm-scope/SKILL.md +1 -1
  35. package/plugin-src/skills/slm-session/SKILL.md +2 -2
  36. package/plugin-src/skills/slm-status/SKILL.md +1 -1
  37. package/pyproject.toml +1 -1
  38. package/src/superlocalmemory/__init__.py +1 -1
  39. package/src/superlocalmemory/cli/diagnostics_cmd.py +74 -1
  40. package/src/superlocalmemory/cli/main.py +12 -0
  41. package/src/superlocalmemory/core/maintenance_scheduler.py +36 -0
  42. package/src/superlocalmemory/core/remember_runtime.py +12 -1
  43. package/src/superlocalmemory/encoding/fact_extractor.py +7 -3
  44. package/src/superlocalmemory/mcp/session_binding.py +7 -1
  45. package/src/superlocalmemory/reliability/__init__.py +45 -0
  46. package/src/superlocalmemory/reliability/join_liveness.py +301 -0
  47. package/src/superlocalmemory/reliability/prior_distance.py +243 -0
  48. package/src/superlocalmemory/server/routes/backup.py +1 -1
@@ -34,7 +34,13 @@ __all__ = ["resolve_session_id", "SESSION_ENV_VARS"]
34
34
 
35
35
  #: Checked in order. Hosts set one or the other; SLM's own takes precedence so a
36
36
  #: user can override a host that sets its variable to something unhelpful.
37
- SESSION_ENV_VARS = ("SLM_SESSION_ID", "CLAUDE_SESSION_ID")
37
+ #: ``CLAUDE_CODE_SESSION_ID`` is the actual variable Claude Code's MCP
38
+ #: subprocess environment carries — verified on a live daemon 2026-08-24,
39
+ #: this pipeline settled 6013/6039 outcomes at the neutral 0.5 fallback
40
+ #: because the old two-name list never matched it, and every recall fell
41
+ #: through to the synthetic ``mcp:<agent_id>`` id that step 4 deliberately
42
+ #: excludes from matching.
43
+ SESSION_ENV_VARS = ("SLM_SESSION_ID", "CLAUDE_SESSION_ID", "CLAUDE_CODE_SESSION_ID")
38
44
 
39
45
 
40
46
  def resolve_session_id(
@@ -0,0 +1,45 @@
1
+ # Copyright (c) 2026 Varun Pratap Bhardwaj / Qualixar
2
+ # Licensed under AGPL-3.0-or-later - see LICENSE file
3
+ # Part of SuperLocalMemory | https://qualixar.com | https://varunpratap.com
4
+
5
+ """Checks that ask whether a mechanism is *effective*, not merely present.
6
+
7
+ Three questions get confused in a system this size:
8
+
9
+ * **Implemented** — the code exists. A grep answers this.
10
+ * **Reachable** — something calls it. A call-graph trace answers this.
11
+ * **Effective** — it has actually changed an outcome against real data.
12
+ **Neither of the above answers this.** Only querying the store does.
13
+
14
+ A mechanism can pass the first two questions for months and fail the third
15
+ silently: a learner whose reward channel emits a constant still records plays,
16
+ and a conditional path guarded by a missing column still appears in coverage.
17
+ Nothing raises, nothing logs, and every file is present.
18
+
19
+ The two checks here answer the third question directly.
20
+
21
+ * :mod:`.prior_distance` — has a Bayesian learner's posterior actually moved
22
+ away from its prior?
23
+ * :mod:`.join_liveness` — has a schema-guarded code path ever executed against
24
+ this store, and if not, which requirement is missing?
25
+
26
+ Both are read-only, both are fail-soft, and neither is on a hot path.
27
+ """
28
+
29
+ from superlocalmemory.reliability.join_liveness import (
30
+ GuardVerdict,
31
+ check_schema_guards,
32
+ )
33
+ from superlocalmemory.reliability.prior_distance import (
34
+ DEFAULT_MIN_OBSERVATIONS,
35
+ LearnerVerdict,
36
+ check_beta_learners,
37
+ )
38
+
39
+ __all__ = [
40
+ "DEFAULT_MIN_OBSERVATIONS",
41
+ "GuardVerdict",
42
+ "LearnerVerdict",
43
+ "check_beta_learners",
44
+ "check_schema_guards",
45
+ ]
@@ -0,0 +1,301 @@
1
+ # Copyright (c) 2026 Varun Pratap Bhardwaj / Qualixar
2
+ # Licensed under AGPL-3.0-or-later - see LICENSE file
3
+ # Part of SuperLocalMemory | https://qualixar.com | https://varunpratap.com
4
+
5
+ """Can a schema-guarded code path run against this store, and has it had the data?
6
+
7
+ A note on what this proves, because the honest scope is narrower than the
8
+ convenient phrasing. The check reads the schema: it establishes whether the
9
+ guard's requirements are present *now*, and therefore whether the path is
10
+ reachable at all. It does not read an execution history, so a satisfied guard
11
+ means "this would execute", not "this has executed". The inference to "never
12
+ executed" is sound only in the other direction -- if a required column is absent
13
+ from a store that has been in service, the guarded path cannot have run against
14
+ it -- and that is the direction the findings rely on.
15
+
16
+ Some features are wired behind a guard that asks the schema a question before
17
+ doing any work — "is this table here, does that column exist" — and fall back
18
+ silently when the answer is no. The fallback is correct behaviour: it is what
19
+ keeps an old store openable. But it means a feature can be implemented, called
20
+ on the hot path, and covered by tests, while never once executing against real
21
+ data. Static analysis passes. A call-graph trace passes. Coverage passes. The
22
+ guard returns ``False`` and the feature is arithmetically absent.
23
+
24
+ Two things make that failure hard to see from inside the code:
25
+
26
+ 1. **The guard is doing its job.** There is no error to raise. Falling back is
27
+ the designed response to a missing column.
28
+ 2. **The fallback is often a neutral value**, which composes into an identity.
29
+ A decay-rate multiplier that falls back to a trust of 1.0 collapses
30
+ ``lambda * (1 + kappa * (1 - trust))`` to ``lambda`` — the feature is on, and
31
+ it computes exactly what having no feature would compute.
32
+
33
+ So this check does two things a plain schema assertion does not. It records
34
+ whether each named guard **passes right now**, and when a guard fails it looks
35
+ for the required data **elsewhere in the store** — because the common case is
36
+ not that the data is missing, it is that the guard is asking the wrong table.
37
+
38
+ A guard reported as ``SATISFIED_ELSEWHERE`` is the most actionable outcome
39
+ available: the feature is one re-keyed join away from working, and no backfill
40
+ or migration is required.
41
+ """
42
+
43
+ from __future__ import annotations
44
+
45
+ import logging
46
+ import sqlite3
47
+ from dataclasses import dataclass, field
48
+ from typing import Any
49
+
50
+ logger = logging.getLogger("superlocalmemory.reliability.join_liveness")
51
+
52
+
53
+ @dataclass(frozen=True)
54
+ class Requirement:
55
+ """One schema object a guard needs: a table, optionally a column on it."""
56
+
57
+ table: str
58
+ column: str | None = None
59
+
60
+ def __str__(self) -> str:
61
+ return f"{self.table}.{self.column}" if self.column else self.table
62
+
63
+
64
+ @dataclass(frozen=True)
65
+ class Guard:
66
+ """A named conditional path and the schema it requires to execute."""
67
+
68
+ name: str
69
+ describes: str
70
+ requires: tuple[Requirement, ...]
71
+ #: What the feature computes when the guard fails, in words. Recording this
72
+ #: is the difference between "a feature is off" and "a feature is off and
73
+ #: indistinguishable from not having it".
74
+ fallback_behaviour: str
75
+
76
+
77
+ @dataclass(frozen=True)
78
+ class GuardVerdict:
79
+ name: str
80
+ describes: str
81
+ #: LIVE = requirements present, so the path is reachable now. DEAD / #: SATISFIED_ELSEWHERE = a requirement is absent, so the path cannot have run
82
+ #: against this store. LIVE is NOT evidence of past execution.
83
+ verdict: str
84
+ missing: tuple[str, ...] = field(default=())
85
+ found_elsewhere: tuple[tuple[str, str, int, float], ...] = field(default=())
86
+ detail: str = ""
87
+
88
+ @property
89
+ def is_live(self) -> bool:
90
+ return self.verdict == "LIVE"
91
+
92
+
93
+ #: Guards worth reporting on. Each entry names a real conditional in the code,
94
+ #: so that a reader can go from this list to the line that asks the question.
95
+ GUARDS: tuple[Guard, ...] = (
96
+ Guard(
97
+ name="trust_weighted_forgetting",
98
+ describes=(
99
+ "learning/forgetting_scheduler.py::_has_trust_tables — gates the "
100
+ "per-fact trust lookup that modulates the decay rate"
101
+ ),
102
+ requires=(
103
+ Requirement("trust_scores"),
104
+ Requirement("atomic_facts", "created_by"),
105
+ ),
106
+ fallback_behaviour=(
107
+ "every fact takes trust = 1.0, so lambda_eff collapses to "
108
+ "lambda_base and the decay rate is identical to no trust weighting"
109
+ ),
110
+ ),
111
+ )
112
+
113
+
114
+ def _table_exists(conn: sqlite3.Connection, table: str) -> bool:
115
+ return (
116
+ conn.execute(
117
+ "SELECT 1 FROM sqlite_master WHERE type='table' AND name=? LIMIT 1",
118
+ (table,),
119
+ ).fetchone()
120
+ is not None
121
+ )
122
+
123
+
124
+ def _columns(conn: sqlite3.Connection, table: str) -> set[str]:
125
+ try:
126
+ return {r[1] for r in conn.execute(f'PRAGMA table_info("{table}")')}
127
+ except sqlite3.Error:
128
+ return set()
129
+
130
+
131
+ def _satisfied(conn: sqlite3.Connection, requirement: Requirement) -> bool:
132
+ if not _table_exists(conn, requirement.table):
133
+ return False
134
+ if requirement.column is None:
135
+ return True
136
+ return requirement.column in _columns(conn, requirement.table)
137
+
138
+
139
+ def _look_elsewhere(
140
+ conn: sqlite3.Connection,
141
+ column: str,
142
+ *,
143
+ join_target: str | None = None,
144
+ join_key: str = "fact_id",
145
+ ) -> list[tuple[str, str, int]]:
146
+ """Find other tables carrying ``column``, with a populated-row count.
147
+
148
+ This is the part that turns a failed guard into a fix. A column the guard
149
+ could not find on its own table is often present on a neighbouring one,
150
+ already populated.
151
+
152
+ **A populated count is not coverage, and reporting it alone overstates the
153
+ remedy.** A provenance-style table can carry a value on every one of its own
154
+ rows while describing only part of the set the join needs: rows can be
155
+ missing for older entities entirely. When ``join_target`` is given, the
156
+ coverage fraction over that table is measured and returned, because the
157
+ honest question is not "does this column exist somewhere" but "how much of
158
+ what the guard needs would the re-keyed join actually resolve".
159
+ """
160
+ out: list[tuple[str, str, int]] = []
161
+ tables = [
162
+ r[0]
163
+ for r in conn.execute(
164
+ "SELECT name FROM sqlite_master WHERE type='table' "
165
+ "AND name NOT LIKE 'sqlite_%'",
166
+ )
167
+ ]
168
+ for table in tables:
169
+ if column not in _columns(conn, table):
170
+ continue
171
+ try:
172
+ populated = conn.execute(
173
+ f'SELECT COUNT(*) FROM "{table}" '
174
+ f'WHERE "{column}" IS NOT NULL AND TRIM("{column}") <> \'\'',
175
+ ).fetchone()[0]
176
+ except sqlite3.Error:
177
+ populated = 0
178
+ covered = -1
179
+ if join_target and join_target != table:
180
+ try:
181
+ total = conn.execute(
182
+ f'SELECT COUNT(*) FROM "{join_target}"',
183
+ ).fetchone()[0]
184
+ if total:
185
+ hit = conn.execute(
186
+ f'SELECT COUNT(*) FROM "{join_target}" t WHERE EXISTS ('
187
+ f' SELECT 1 FROM "{table}" s WHERE s."{join_key}" = t."{join_key}"'
188
+ f' AND s."{column}" IS NOT NULL AND TRIM(s."{column}") <> \'\')',
189
+ ).fetchone()[0]
190
+ covered = round(100.0 * hit / total, 1)
191
+ except sqlite3.Error:
192
+ covered = -1
193
+ out.append((table, column, int(populated), covered))
194
+ return out
195
+
196
+
197
+ def _evaluate(conn: sqlite3.Connection, guard: Guard) -> GuardVerdict:
198
+ missing = [str(r) for r in guard.requires if not _satisfied(conn, r)]
199
+ if not missing:
200
+ return GuardVerdict(
201
+ name=guard.name,
202
+ describes=guard.describes,
203
+ verdict="LIVE",
204
+ detail=(
205
+ "Every requirement is present, so the guarded path is reachable "
206
+ "on this store. This is schema evidence, not execution history: "
207
+ "it does not establish that the path has ever actually run."
208
+ ),
209
+ )
210
+
211
+ elsewhere: list[tuple[str, str, int, float]] = []
212
+ for requirement in guard.requires:
213
+ if requirement.column and not _satisfied(conn, requirement):
214
+ for found in _look_elsewhere(
215
+ conn, requirement.column, join_target=requirement.table,
216
+ ):
217
+ if found[0] != requirement.table:
218
+ elsewhere.append(found)
219
+
220
+ populated = [e for e in elsewhere if e[2] > 0]
221
+ if populated:
222
+ # Rank by coverage of the guarded table, falling back to row count only
223
+ # when coverage could not be measured. Picking the largest table instead
224
+ # would recommend a 4,000-row partial source over a smaller complete one.
225
+ best = max(populated, key=lambda e: (e[3], e[2]))
226
+ cov = best[3]
227
+ if cov < 0:
228
+ remedy = (
229
+ f"Re-keying the join onto that table would make the path "
230
+ f"executable; coverage over the guarded table could not be "
231
+ f"measured here, so confirm it before relying on the remedy."
232
+ )
233
+ elif cov >= 99.5:
234
+ remedy = (
235
+ f"That table covers {cov}% of the rows the guard needs, so "
236
+ f"re-keying the join makes the path live without a backfill."
237
+ )
238
+ else:
239
+ remedy = (
240
+ f"That table covers only {cov}% of the rows the guard needs. "
241
+ f"Re-keying the join makes the path executable for those rows "
242
+ f"and leaves the remainder on the same fallback, so this is a "
243
+ f"partial remedy and a backfill decision, not a free fix."
244
+ )
245
+ return GuardVerdict(
246
+ name=guard.name,
247
+ describes=guard.describes,
248
+ verdict="SATISFIED_ELSEWHERE",
249
+ missing=tuple(missing),
250
+ found_elsewhere=tuple(elsewhere),
251
+ detail=(
252
+ f"The guard requires {', '.join(missing)}, which is absent, so "
253
+ f"the path has never executed against this store — "
254
+ f"{guard.fallback_behaviour}. The data it needs is present on "
255
+ f"{best[0]}.{best[1]} with {best[2]} populated rows. {remedy}"
256
+ ),
257
+ )
258
+
259
+ return GuardVerdict(
260
+ name=guard.name,
261
+ describes=guard.describes,
262
+ verdict="DEAD",
263
+ missing=tuple(missing),
264
+ detail=(
265
+ f"The guard requires {', '.join(missing)}, which is absent from "
266
+ f"this store and not carried by any other table, so the path has "
267
+ f"never executed — {guard.fallback_behaviour}."
268
+ ),
269
+ )
270
+
271
+
272
+ def check_schema_guards(
273
+ memory_db: Any, *, guards: tuple[Guard, ...] = GUARDS,
274
+ ) -> list[GuardVerdict]:
275
+ """Report, per registered guard, whether its path can run on this store.
276
+
277
+ ``memory_db`` may be a path or an open connection. Read-only, and fail-soft:
278
+ an error yields an empty list, because a diagnostic must never be the reason
279
+ something breaks.
280
+ """
281
+ owns_connection = not isinstance(memory_db, sqlite3.Connection)
282
+ conn: sqlite3.Connection | None = None
283
+ try:
284
+ conn = (
285
+ sqlite3.connect(f"file:{memory_db}?mode=ro", uri=True)
286
+ if owns_connection
287
+ else memory_db
288
+ )
289
+ return [_evaluate(conn, guard) for guard in guards]
290
+ except Exception:
291
+ logger.debug("join-liveness check skipped", exc_info=True)
292
+ return []
293
+ finally:
294
+ if owns_connection and conn is not None:
295
+ try:
296
+ conn.close()
297
+ except Exception:
298
+ pass
299
+
300
+
301
+ __all__ = ["GUARDS", "Guard", "GuardVerdict", "Requirement", "check_schema_guards"]
@@ -0,0 +1,243 @@
1
+ # Copyright (c) 2026 Varun Pratap Bhardwaj / Qualixar
2
+ # Licensed under AGPL-3.0-or-later - see LICENSE file
3
+ # Part of SuperLocalMemory | https://qualixar.com | https://varunpratap.com
4
+
5
+ """Has a Bayesian learner's posterior actually moved off its prior?
6
+
7
+ A Thompson-sampling selector over Beta posteriors records a play, applies a
8
+ reward, and reports both. None of that tells you whether it learned anything.
9
+ Its own counters cannot: a reward channel that emits one constant value
10
+ increments the posterior on every play, so the play count rises, the timestamps
11
+ advance, and the dashboard looks alive while the distribution never moves.
12
+
13
+ This is not a hypothetical. A Beta posterior updated as
14
+ ``alpha += r; beta += (1 - r)`` is stationary in mean for exactly one reward
15
+ value: ``r = 0.5``. And that value is the usual neutral fallback when a reward
16
+ cannot be attributed to a play. So the failure that produces *no learning at
17
+ all* is also the failure that produces *the most normal-looking counters*.
18
+
19
+ The signature is exact, not statistical. With a ``Beta(a0, b0)`` prior and *n*
20
+ observations all equal to 0.5::
21
+
22
+ alpha - a0 == beta - b0 == n * 0.5
23
+
24
+ 0.5 is exactly representable in binary floating point, so ``n * 0.5`` is exact
25
+ for any plausible *n*. A learner matching that identity on every unit has
26
+ provably received the neutral value every single time — there is no sampling
27
+ noise to argue about, and one run is enough to establish it.
28
+
29
+ What this check does NOT claim: that a moving posterior is a *good* one. Motion
30
+ off the prior is necessary for learning, not sufficient. This distinguishes
31
+ "receiving signal" from "receiving nothing", which is the distinction the
32
+ learner's own metrics cannot make.
33
+ """
34
+
35
+ from __future__ import annotations
36
+
37
+ import logging
38
+ import sqlite3
39
+ from dataclasses import dataclass, field
40
+ from typing import Any
41
+
42
+ logger = logging.getLogger("superlocalmemory.reliability.prior_distance")
43
+
44
+ #: Below this many observations in total, a posterior sitting at its prior is
45
+ #: expected rather than suspicious, so no verdict is issued.
46
+ DEFAULT_MIN_OBSERVATIONS = 20
47
+
48
+ #: And below this many observations *per unit*. An aggregate floor alone lets a
49
+ #: store with many units and few observations report STALLED on units that were
50
+ #: never played at all.
51
+ _MIN_OBSERVATIONS_PER_UNIT = 2.0
52
+
53
+ #: Distance from the prior mean below which a unit counts as unmoved. Kept well
54
+ #: above float noise so that a genuinely tiny update is not reported as none.
55
+ _MEAN_EPSILON = 1e-9
56
+
57
+ #: Beta learners in this store, as (table, unit column, observation column).
58
+ #: Each is a Beta(1, 1) posterior over a named unit.
59
+ _BETA_LEARNERS: tuple[tuple[str, str, str | None], ...] = (
60
+ ("bandit_arms", "arm_id", "plays"),
61
+ ("source_quality", "source_id", None),
62
+ )
63
+
64
+ _PRIOR_ALPHA = 1.0
65
+ _PRIOR_BETA = 1.0
66
+
67
+
68
+ @dataclass(frozen=True)
69
+ class LearnerVerdict:
70
+ """One Beta learner, and whether its posterior has moved."""
71
+
72
+ table: str
73
+ units: int
74
+ units_at_prior_mean: int
75
+ units_matching_neutral_identity: int
76
+ observations: int
77
+ verdict: str
78
+ detail: str
79
+ sample: tuple[tuple[str, float, float], ...] = field(default=())
80
+
81
+ @property
82
+ def is_stalled(self) -> bool:
83
+ return self.verdict == "STALLED"
84
+
85
+
86
+ def _table_exists(conn: sqlite3.Connection, table: str) -> bool:
87
+ row = conn.execute(
88
+ "SELECT 1 FROM sqlite_master WHERE type='table' AND name=? LIMIT 1",
89
+ (table,),
90
+ ).fetchone()
91
+ return row is not None
92
+
93
+
94
+ def _columns(conn: sqlite3.Connection, table: str) -> set[str]:
95
+ return {r[1] for r in conn.execute(f'PRAGMA table_info("{table}")')}
96
+
97
+
98
+ def _inspect_learner(
99
+ conn: sqlite3.Connection,
100
+ table: str,
101
+ unit_column: str,
102
+ observation_column: str | None,
103
+ *,
104
+ min_observations: int,
105
+ ) -> LearnerVerdict | None:
106
+ """Inspect one Beta learner. Returns None when the table is absent."""
107
+ if not _table_exists(conn, table):
108
+ return None
109
+
110
+ available = _columns(conn, table)
111
+ if not {"alpha", "beta"}.issubset(available):
112
+ return None
113
+ unit = unit_column if unit_column in available else "rowid"
114
+ obs_col = observation_column if (observation_column or "") in available else None
115
+
116
+ select = f'SELECT "{unit}", alpha, beta'
117
+ select += f', "{obs_col}"' if obs_col else ", NULL"
118
+ rows = conn.execute(f'{select} FROM "{table}"').fetchall()
119
+ if not rows:
120
+ return None
121
+
122
+ units = len(rows)
123
+ at_prior_mean = 0
124
+ neutral_identity = 0
125
+ observations = 0
126
+ for _unit, alpha, beta, obs in rows:
127
+ alpha = float(alpha or 0.0)
128
+ beta = float(beta or 0.0)
129
+ total = alpha + beta
130
+ if total > 0 and abs(alpha / total - 0.5) < _MEAN_EPSILON:
131
+ at_prior_mean += 1
132
+ n = int(obs) if obs is not None else None
133
+ if n is None:
134
+ # No per-unit observation count. Infer it from the identity itself:
135
+ # n = (alpha - a0) / 0.5 only holds if every reward was neutral, so
136
+ # this is checked, never assumed.
137
+ candidate = (alpha - _PRIOR_ALPHA) * 2.0
138
+ n = int(round(candidate)) if candidate >= 0 else 0
139
+ observations += n
140
+ if n > 0 and (
141
+ abs((alpha - _PRIOR_ALPHA) - n * 0.5) < _MEAN_EPSILON
142
+ and abs((beta - _PRIOR_BETA) - n * 0.5) < _MEAN_EPSILON
143
+ ):
144
+ neutral_identity += 1
145
+
146
+ sample = tuple(
147
+ (str(r[0]), float(r[1] or 0.0), float(r[2] or 0.0)) for r in rows[:3]
148
+ )
149
+
150
+ # The floor has to bind per unit, not in aggregate. 165 arms sharing 20
151
+ # observations leaves most of them untouched at exactly the prior, which
152
+ # satisfies the unmoved test for a reason that carries no information. A
153
+ # verdict of STALLED must mean "measured inert", never "too sparse to tell".
154
+ per_unit = observations / units if units else 0.0
155
+ if observations < min_observations or per_unit < _MIN_OBSERVATIONS_PER_UNIT:
156
+ verdict = "INSUFFICIENT_DATA"
157
+ detail = (
158
+ f"{observations} observations across {units} units "
159
+ f"({per_unit:.2f} per unit) is too sparse for an unmoved posterior to "
160
+ f"mean anything; the floors are {min_observations} in total and "
161
+ f"{_MIN_OBSERVATIONS_PER_UNIT:g} per unit."
162
+ )
163
+ elif neutral_identity == units:
164
+ verdict = "STALLED"
165
+ detail = (
166
+ f"All {units} units satisfy (alpha-{_PRIOR_ALPHA:g}) == "
167
+ f"(beta-{_PRIOR_BETA:g}) == n/2 exactly across {observations} "
168
+ f"observations, so the rewards sum to exactly n/2 on every unit and "
169
+ f"each posterior mean is still {0.5}. No unit has acquired any "
170
+ f"preference. Note the identity constrains the SUM: it is also "
171
+ f"satisfied by a symmetric non-neutral stream, so confirm against a "
172
+ f"per-observation record before concluding the reward was constant."
173
+ )
174
+ elif at_prior_mean == units:
175
+ verdict = "STALLED"
176
+ detail = (
177
+ f"All {units} units sit at posterior mean 0.5 after {observations} "
178
+ f"observations, without matching the exact neutral identity. The "
179
+ f"updates are symmetric but not uniformly 0.5 — inspect the reward "
180
+ f"source."
181
+ )
182
+ else:
183
+ moved = units - at_prior_mean
184
+ verdict = "MOVING"
185
+ detail = (
186
+ f"{moved} of {units} units have moved off the prior mean across "
187
+ f"{observations} observations."
188
+ )
189
+
190
+ return LearnerVerdict(
191
+ table=table,
192
+ units=units,
193
+ units_at_prior_mean=at_prior_mean,
194
+ units_matching_neutral_identity=neutral_identity,
195
+ observations=observations,
196
+ verdict=verdict,
197
+ detail=detail,
198
+ sample=sample,
199
+ )
200
+
201
+
202
+ def check_beta_learners(
203
+ learning_db: Any,
204
+ *,
205
+ min_observations: int = DEFAULT_MIN_OBSERVATIONS,
206
+ ) -> list[LearnerVerdict]:
207
+ """Report, per Beta learner in ``learning_db``, whether it has learned.
208
+
209
+ ``learning_db`` may be a path or an open :class:`sqlite3.Connection`. The
210
+ database is only read. Fail-soft: any error yields an empty list and a log
211
+ line, because a diagnostic must never be the reason something breaks.
212
+ """
213
+ owns_connection = not isinstance(learning_db, sqlite3.Connection)
214
+ conn: sqlite3.Connection | None = None
215
+ try:
216
+ if owns_connection:
217
+ conn = sqlite3.connect(f"file:{learning_db}?mode=ro", uri=True)
218
+ else:
219
+ conn = learning_db
220
+ out: list[LearnerVerdict] = []
221
+ for table, unit_column, observation_column in _BETA_LEARNERS:
222
+ verdict = _inspect_learner(
223
+ conn,
224
+ table,
225
+ unit_column,
226
+ observation_column,
227
+ min_observations=min_observations,
228
+ )
229
+ if verdict is not None:
230
+ out.append(verdict)
231
+ return out
232
+ except Exception:
233
+ logger.debug("prior-distance check skipped", exc_info=True)
234
+ return []
235
+ finally:
236
+ if owns_connection and conn is not None:
237
+ try:
238
+ conn.close()
239
+ except Exception:
240
+ pass
241
+
242
+
243
+ __all__ = ["DEFAULT_MIN_OBSERVATIONS", "LearnerVerdict", "check_beta_learners"]
@@ -737,7 +737,7 @@ a { color: #00D4AA; }
737
737
  <p class="sub">Back up your memories to a private GitHub repository.</p>
738
738
 
739
739
  <label>Personal Access Token</label>
740
- <input type="password" id="pat" placeholder="ghp_xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx">
740
+ <input type="password" id="pat" placeholder="GitHub personal access token">
741
741
 
742
742
  <label>Repository Name</label>
743
743
  <input type="text" id="repo" value="slm-backup" placeholder="slm-backup">