shipwright-cli 2.3.1 → 3.0.0

package/scripts/sw-pipeline.sh

@@ -11,7 +11,7 @@ unset CLAUDECODE 2>/dev/null || true
 # Ignore SIGHUP so tmux attach/detach doesn't kill long-running plan/design/review stages
 trap '' HUP
 
-VERSION="2.3.1"
+VERSION="3.0.0"
 SCRIPT_DIR="$(cd "$(dirname "${BASH_SOURCE[0]}")" && pwd)"
 REPO_DIR="$(cd "$SCRIPT_DIR/.." && pwd)"
 
@@ -21,6 +21,7 @@ REPO_DIR="$(cd "$SCRIPT_DIR/.." && pwd)"
 # Canonical helpers (colors, output, events)
 # shellcheck source=lib/helpers.sh
 [[ -f "$SCRIPT_DIR/lib/helpers.sh" ]] && source "$SCRIPT_DIR/lib/helpers.sh"
+[[ -f "$SCRIPT_DIR/lib/config.sh" ]] && source "$SCRIPT_DIR/lib/config.sh"
 # Fallbacks when helpers not loaded (e.g. test env with overridden SCRIPT_DIR)
 [[ "$(type -t info 2>/dev/null)" == "function" ]]    || info()    { echo -e "\033[38;2;0;212;255m\033[1m▸\033[0m $*"; }
 [[ "$(type -t success 2>/dev/null)" == "function" ]] || success() { echo -e "\033[38;2;74;222;128m\033[1m✓\033[0m $*"; }
@@ -30,23 +31,6 @@ if [[ "$(type -t now_iso 2>/dev/null)" != "function" ]]; then
   now_iso()   { date -u +"%Y-%m-%dT%H:%M:%SZ"; }
   now_epoch() { date +%s; }
 fi
-if [[ "$(type -t emit_event 2>/dev/null)" != "function" ]]; then
-  emit_event() {
-    local event_type="$1"; shift; mkdir -p "${HOME}/.shipwright"
-    local payload="{\"ts\":\"$(date -u +%Y-%m-%dT%H:%M:%SZ)\",\"type\":\"$event_type\""
-    while [[ $# -gt 0 ]]; do local key="${1%%=*}" val="${1#*=}"; payload="${payload},\"${key}\":\"${val}\""; shift; done
-    echo "${payload}}" >> "${HOME}/.shipwright/events.jsonl"
-  }
-fi
-CYAN="${CYAN:-\033[38;2;0;212;255m}"
-PURPLE="${PURPLE:-\033[38;2;124;58;237m}"
-BLUE="${BLUE:-\033[38;2;0;102;255m}"
-GREEN="${GREEN:-\033[38;2;74;222;128m}"
-YELLOW="${YELLOW:-\033[38;2;250;204;21m}"
-RED="${RED:-\033[38;2;248;113;113m}"
-DIM="${DIM:-\033[2m}"
-BOLD="${BOLD:-\033[1m}"
-RESET="${RESET:-\033[0m}"
 # Policy + pipeline quality thresholds (config/policy.json via lib/pipeline-quality.sh)
 [[ -f "$SCRIPT_DIR/lib/pipeline-quality.sh" ]] && source "$SCRIPT_DIR/lib/pipeline-quality.sh"
 # shellcheck source=lib/pipeline-state.sh
@@ -107,6 +91,8 @@ fi
 if [[ -f "$SCRIPT_DIR/sw-durable.sh" ]]; then
     source "$SCRIPT_DIR/sw-durable.sh"
 fi
+# shellcheck source=sw-db.sh — for db_save_checkpoint/db_load_checkpoint (durable workflows)
+[[ -f "$SCRIPT_DIR/sw-db.sh" ]] && source "$SCRIPT_DIR/sw-db.sh"
 
 # ─── GitHub API Modules (optional) ─────────────────────────────────────────
 # shellcheck source=sw-github-graphql.sh
@@ -151,6 +137,21 @@ format_duration() {
     fi
 }
 
+# Rotate event log if needed (standalone mode — daemon has its own rotation in poll loop)
+rotate_event_log_if_needed() {
+    local events_file="${EVENTS_FILE:-$HOME/.shipwright/events.jsonl}"
+    local max_lines=10000
+    [[ ! -f "$events_file" ]] && return
+    local lines
+    lines=$(wc -l < "$events_file" 2>/dev/null || echo "0")
+    if [[ "$lines" -gt "$max_lines" ]]; then
+        local tmp="${events_file}.rotating"
+        if tail -5000 "$events_file" > "$tmp" 2>/dev/null && mv "$tmp" "$events_file" 2>/dev/null; then
+            info "Rotated events.jsonl: ${lines} -> 5000 lines"
+        fi
+    fi
+}
+
 _pipeline_compact_goal() {
     local goal="$1"
     local plan_file="${2:-}"
@@ -199,33 +200,6 @@ load_composed_pipeline() {
     return 0
 }
 
-# ─── Structured Event Log ──────────────────────────────────────────────────
-# Appends JSON events to ~/.shipwright/events.jsonl for metrics/traceability
-
-EVENTS_DIR="${HOME}/.shipwright"
-EVENTS_FILE="${EVENTS_DIR}/events.jsonl"
-
-emit_event() {
-    local event_type="$1"
-    shift
-    # Remaining args are key=value pairs
-    local json_fields=""
-    for kv in "$@"; do
-        local key="${kv%%=*}"
-        local val="${kv#*=}"
-        # Numbers: don't quote; strings: quote
-        if [[ "$val" =~ ^-?[0-9]+\.?[0-9]*$ ]]; then
-            json_fields="${json_fields},\"${key}\":${val}"
-        else
-            # Escape quotes in value
-            val="${val//\"/\\\"}"
-            json_fields="${json_fields},\"${key}\":\"${val}\""
-        fi
-    done
-    mkdir -p "$EVENTS_DIR"
-    echo "{\"ts\":\"$(now_iso)\",\"ts_epoch\":$(now_epoch),\"type\":\"${event_type}\"${json_fields}}" >> "$EVENTS_FILE"
-}
-
 # ─── Token / Cost Parsing ─────────────────────────────────────────────────
 parse_claude_tokens() {
     local log_file="$1"
@@ -237,6 +211,36 @@ parse_claude_tokens() {
     TOTAL_OUTPUT_TOKENS=$(( TOTAL_OUTPUT_TOKENS + ${output_tok:-0} ))
 }
 
+# Estimate pipeline cost using historical averages from completed pipelines.
+# Falls back to per-stage estimates when no history exists.
+estimate_pipeline_cost() {
+    local stages="$1"
+    local stage_count
+    stage_count=$(echo "$stages" | jq 'length' 2>/dev/null || echo "6")
+    [[ ! "$stage_count" =~ ^[0-9]+$ ]] && stage_count=6
+
+    local events_file="${EVENTS_FILE:-$HOME/.shipwright/events.jsonl}"
+    local avg_input=0 avg_output=0
+    if [[ -f "$events_file" ]]; then
+        local hist
+        hist=$(grep '"type":"pipeline.completed"' "$events_file" 2>/dev/null | tail -10)
+        if [[ -n "$hist" ]]; then
+            avg_input=$(echo "$hist" | jq -s -r '[.[] | .input_tokens // 0 | tonumber] | if length > 0 then (add / length | floor | tostring) else "0" end' 2>/dev/null | head -1)
+            avg_output=$(echo "$hist" | jq -s -r '[.[] | .output_tokens // 0 | tonumber] | if length > 0 then (add / length | floor | tostring) else "0" end' 2>/dev/null | head -1)
+        fi
+    fi
+    [[ ! "$avg_input" =~ ^[0-9]+$ ]] && avg_input=0
+    [[ ! "$avg_output" =~ ^[0-9]+$ ]] && avg_output=0
+
+    # Fall back to reasonable per-stage estimates only if no history
+    if [[ "$avg_input" -eq 0 ]]; then
+        avg_input=$(( stage_count * 8000 ))   # More realistic: ~8K input per stage
+        avg_output=$(( stage_count * 4000 ))  # ~4K output per stage
+    fi
+
+    echo "{\"input_tokens\":${avg_input},\"output_tokens\":${avg_output}}"
+}
+
 # ─── Defaults ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
 GOAL=""
 ISSUE_NUMBER=""
@@ -260,6 +264,7 @@ CI_MODE=false
 DRY_RUN=false
 IGNORE_BUDGET=false
 COMPLETED_STAGES=""
+RESUME_FROM_CHECKPOINT=false
 MAX_ITERATIONS_OVERRIDE=""
 MAX_RESTARTS_OVERRIDE=""
 FAST_TEST_CMD_OVERRIDE=""
@@ -285,6 +290,10 @@ GH_AVAILABLE=false
 # Timing
 PIPELINE_START_EPOCH=""
 STAGE_TIMINGS=""
+PIPELINE_STAGES_PASSED=""
+PIPELINE_SLOWEST_STAGE=""
+LAST_STAGE_ERROR_CLASS=""
+LAST_STAGE_ERROR=""
 
 PROJECT_ROOT=""
 STATE_DIR=""
@@ -333,6 +342,7 @@ show_help() {
     echo -e "  ${DIM}--max-iterations <n>${RESET}       Override max build loop iterations"
     echo -e "  ${DIM}--max-restarts <n>${RESET}         Max session restarts in build loop"
     echo -e "  ${DIM}--fast-test-cmd <cmd>${RESET}      Fast/subset test for build loop"
+    echo -e "  ${DIM}--tdd${RESET}                     Test-first: generate tests before implementation"
     echo -e "  ${DIM}--completed-stages \"a,b\"${RESET}   Skip these stages (CI resume)"
     echo ""
     echo -e "${BOLD}STAGES${RESET}  ${DIM}(configurable per pipeline template)${RESET}"
@@ -413,6 +423,7 @@ parse_args() {
             --ignore-budget) IGNORE_BUDGET=true; shift ;;
             --max-iterations) MAX_ITERATIONS_OVERRIDE="$2"; shift 2 ;;
             --completed-stages) COMPLETED_STAGES="$2"; shift 2 ;;
+            --resume) RESUME_FROM_CHECKPOINT=true; shift ;;
             --worktree=*) AUTO_WORKTREE=true; WORKTREE_NAME="${1#--worktree=}"; WORKTREE_NAME="${WORKTREE_NAME//[^a-zA-Z0-9_-]/}"; if [[ -z "$WORKTREE_NAME" ]]; then error "Invalid worktree name (alphanumeric, hyphens, underscores only)"; exit 1; fi; shift ;;
             --worktree)   AUTO_WORKTREE=true; shift ;;
             --dry-run)     DRY_RUN=true; shift ;;
@@ -427,6 +438,7 @@ parse_args() {
                 shift 2 ;;
 
             --fast-test-cmd) FAST_TEST_CMD_OVERRIDE="$2"; shift 2 ;;
+            --tdd)         TDD_ENABLED=true; shift ;;
             --help|-h)     show_help; exit 0 ;;
             *)
                 if [[ -z "$PIPELINE_NAME_ARG" ]]; then
@@ -487,11 +499,11 @@ find_pipeline_config() {
 load_pipeline_config() {
     # Check for intelligence-composed pipeline first
     local composed_pipeline="${ARTIFACTS_DIR}/composed-pipeline.json"
-    if [[ -f "$composed_pipeline" ]] && type composer_validate_pipeline &>/dev/null; then
+    if [[ -f "$composed_pipeline" ]] && type composer_validate_pipeline >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         # Use composed pipeline if fresh (< 1 hour old)
         local composed_age=99999
         local composed_mtime
-        composed_mtime=$(stat -f %m "$composed_pipeline" 2>/dev/null || stat -c %Y "$composed_pipeline" 2>/dev/null || echo "0")
+        composed_mtime=$(file_mtime "$composed_pipeline")
         if [[ "$composed_mtime" -gt 0 ]]; then
             composed_age=$(( $(now_epoch) - composed_mtime ))
         fi
@@ -513,6 +525,9 @@ load_pipeline_config() {
         exit 1
     }
     info "Pipeline: ${BOLD}$PIPELINE_NAME${RESET} ${DIM}($PIPELINE_CONFIG)${RESET}"
+    # TDD from template (overridable by --tdd)
+    [[ "$(jq -r '.tdd // false' "$PIPELINE_CONFIG" 2>/dev/null)" == "true" ]] && PIPELINE_TDD=true
+    return 0
 }
 
 CURRENT_STAGE_ID=""
@@ -522,7 +537,7 @@ SLACK_WEBHOOK=""
 NOTIFICATION_ENABLED=false
 
 # Self-healing
-BUILD_TEST_RETRIES=2
+BUILD_TEST_RETRIES=$(_config_get_int "pipeline.build_test_retries" 3 2>/dev/null || echo 3)
 STASHED_CHANGES=false
 SELF_HEAL_COUNT=0
 
@@ -544,7 +559,7 @@ start_heartbeat() {
                 --stage "${CURRENT_STAGE_ID:-unknown}" \
                 --iteration "0" \
                 --activity "$(get_stage_description "${CURRENT_STAGE_ID:-}" 2>/dev/null || echo "Running pipeline")" 2>/dev/null || true
-            sleep 30
+            sleep "$(_config_get_int "pipeline.heartbeat_interval" 30 2>/dev/null || echo 30)"
         done
     ) >/dev/null 2>&1 &
     HEARTBEAT_PID=$!
@@ -574,7 +589,10 @@ ci_push_partial_work() {
     fi
 
     # Push branch (create if needed, force to overwrite previous WIP)
-    git push origin "HEAD:refs/heads/$branch" --force 2>/dev/null || true
+    if ! git push origin "HEAD:refs/heads/$branch" --force 2>/dev/null; then
+        warn "git push failed for $branch — remote may be out of sync"
+        emit_event "pipeline.push_failed" "branch=$branch"
+    fi
 }
 
 ci_post_stage_event() {
@@ -584,7 +602,7 @@ ci_post_stage_event() {
 
     local stage="$1" status="$2" elapsed="${3:-0s}"
     local comment="<!-- SHIPWRIGHT-STAGE: ${stage}:${status}:${elapsed} -->"
-    gh issue comment "$ISSUE_NUMBER" --body "$comment" 2>/dev/null || true
+    _timeout "$(_config_get_int "network.gh_timeout" 30 2>/dev/null || echo 30)" gh issue comment "$ISSUE_NUMBER" --body "$comment" 2>/dev/null || true
 }
 
 # ─── Signal Handling ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────
@@ -620,7 +638,10 @@ cleanup_on_exit() {
 
     # Update GitHub
     if [[ -n "${ISSUE_NUMBER:-}" && "${GH_AVAILABLE:-false}" == "true" ]]; then
-        gh_comment_issue "$ISSUE_NUMBER" "⏸️ **Pipeline interrupted** at stage: ${CURRENT_STAGE_ID:-unknown}" 2>/dev/null || true
+        if ! _timeout "$(_config_get_int "network.gh_timeout" 30 2>/dev/null || echo 30)" gh issue comment "$ISSUE_NUMBER" --body "⏸️ **Pipeline interrupted** at stage: ${CURRENT_STAGE_ID:-unknown}" 2>/dev/null; then
+            warn "gh issue comment failed — status update may not have been posted"
+            emit_event "pipeline.comment_failed" "issue=$ISSUE_NUMBER"
+        fi
     fi
 
     exit "$exit_code"
@@ -641,7 +662,7 @@ preflight_checks() {
     local optional_tools=("gh" "claude" "bc" "curl")
 
     for tool in "${required_tools[@]}"; do
-        if command -v "$tool" &>/dev/null; then
+        if command -v "$tool" >/dev/null 2>&1; then
             echo -e "  ${GREEN}✓${RESET} $tool"
         else
             echo -e "  ${RED}✗${RESET} $tool ${RED}(required)${RESET}"
@@ -650,7 +671,7 @@ preflight_checks() {
     done
 
     for tool in "${optional_tools[@]}"; do
-        if command -v "$tool" &>/dev/null; then
+        if command -v "$tool" >/dev/null 2>&1; then
             echo -e "  ${GREEN}✓${RESET} $tool"
         else
             echo -e "  ${DIM}○${RESET} $tool ${DIM}(optional — some features disabled)${RESET}"
@@ -659,7 +680,7 @@ preflight_checks() {
 
     # 2. Git state
     echo ""
-    if git rev-parse --is-inside-work-tree &>/dev/null; then
+    if git rev-parse --is-inside-work-tree >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         echo -e "  ${GREEN}✓${RESET} Inside git repo"
     else
         echo -e "  ${RED}✗${RESET} Not inside a git repository"
@@ -685,7 +706,7 @@ preflight_checks() {
     fi
 
     # Check if base branch exists
-    if git rev-parse --verify "$BASE_BRANCH" &>/dev/null; then
+    if git rev-parse --verify "$BASE_BRANCH" >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         echo -e "  ${GREEN}✓${RESET} Base branch: $BASE_BRANCH"
     else
         echo -e "  ${RED}✗${RESET} Base branch not found: $BASE_BRANCH"
@@ -693,8 +714,8 @@ preflight_checks() {
     fi
 
     # 3. GitHub auth (if gh available and not disabled)
-    if [[ "$NO_GITHUB" != "true" ]] && command -v gh &>/dev/null; then
-        if gh auth status &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+    if [[ "$NO_GITHUB" != "true" ]] && command -v gh >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+        if gh auth status >/dev/null 2>&1; then
             echo -e "  ${GREEN}✓${RESET} GitHub authenticated"
         else
             echo -e "  ${YELLOW}⚠${RESET} GitHub not authenticated (features disabled)"
@@ -702,7 +723,7 @@ preflight_checks() {
     fi
 
     # 4. Claude CLI
-    if command -v claude &>/dev/null; then
+    if command -v claude >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         echo -e "  ${GREEN}✓${RESET} Claude CLI available"
     else
         echo -e "  ${RED}✗${RESET} Claude CLI not found — plan/build stages will fail"
@@ -754,12 +775,12 @@ notify() {
         payload=$(jq -n \
             --arg text "${emoji} *${title}*\n${message}" \
             '{text: $text}')
-        curl -sf -X POST -H 'Content-Type: application/json' \
+        curl -sf --connect-timeout "$(_config_get_int "network.connect_timeout" 10 2>/dev/null || echo 10)" --max-time "$(_config_get_int "network.max_time" 60 2>/dev/null || echo 60)" -X POST -H 'Content-Type: application/json' \
             -d "$payload" "$SLACK_WEBHOOK" >/dev/null 2>&1 || true
     fi
 
-    # Custom webhook (env var SHIPWRIGHT_WEBHOOK_URL, with CCT_WEBHOOK_URL fallback)
-    local _webhook_url="${SHIPWRIGHT_WEBHOOK_URL:-${CCT_WEBHOOK_URL:-}}"
+    # Custom webhook (env var SHIPWRIGHT_WEBHOOK_URL)
+    local _webhook_url="${SHIPWRIGHT_WEBHOOK_URL:-}"
     if [[ -n "$_webhook_url" ]]; then
         local payload
         payload=$(jq -n \
@@ -767,7 +788,7 @@ notify() {
             --arg level "$level" --arg pipeline "${PIPELINE_NAME:-}" \
             --arg goal "${GOAL:-}" --arg stage "${CURRENT_STAGE_ID:-}" \
             '{title:$title, message:$message, level:$level, pipeline:$pipeline, goal:$goal, stage:$stage}')
-        curl -sf -X POST -H 'Content-Type: application/json' \
+        curl -sf --connect-timeout 10 --max-time 30 -X POST -H 'Content-Type: application/json' \
             -d "$payload" "$_webhook_url" >/dev/null 2>&1 || true
     fi
 }
@@ -815,7 +836,7 @@ classify_error() {
     elif echo "$log_tail" | grep -qiE 'error\[E[0-9]+\]|error: aborting|FAILED.*compile|build failed|tsc.*error|eslint.*error'; then
         classification="logic"
     # Intelligence fallback: Claude classification for unknown errors
-    elif [[ "$classification" == "unknown" ]] && type intelligence_search_memory &>/dev/null 2>&1 && command -v claude &>/dev/null; then
+    elif [[ "$classification" == "unknown" ]] && type intelligence_search_memory >/dev/null 2>&1 && command -v claude >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         local ai_class
         ai_class=$(claude --print --output-format text -p "Classify this error as exactly one of: infrastructure, configuration, logic, unknown.
 
@@ -882,14 +903,23 @@ run_stage_with_retry() {
             return 0
         fi
 
+        # Capture error_class and error snippet for stage.failed / pipeline.completed events
+        local error_class
+        error_class=$(classify_error "$stage_id")
+        LAST_STAGE_ERROR_CLASS="$error_class"
+        LAST_STAGE_ERROR=""
+        local _log_file="${ARTIFACTS_DIR}/${stage_id}-results.log"
+        [[ ! -f "$_log_file" ]] && _log_file="${ARTIFACTS_DIR}/test-results.log"
+        if [[ -f "$_log_file" ]]; then
+            LAST_STAGE_ERROR=$(tail -20 "$_log_file" 2>/dev/null | grep -iE 'error|fail|exception|fatal' 2>/dev/null | head -1 | cut -c1-200 || true)
+        fi
+
         attempt=$((attempt + 1))
         if [[ "$attempt" -gt "$max_retries" ]]; then
             return 1
         fi
 
-        # Classify the error to decide whether retry makes sense
-        local error_class
-        error_class=$(classify_error "$stage_id")
+        # Classify done above; decide whether retry makes sense
 
         emit_event "retry.classified" \
             "issue=${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}" \
@@ -926,6 +956,15 @@ run_stage_with_retry() {
         esac
         prev_error_class="$error_class"
 
+        if type db_save_reasoning_trace >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+            local job_id="${SHIPWRIGHT_PIPELINE_ID:-$$}"
+            local error_msg="${LAST_STAGE_ERROR:-$error_class}"
+            db_save_reasoning_trace "$job_id" "retry_reasoning" \
+                "stage=$stage_id error=$error_msg" \
+                "Stage failed, analyzing error pattern before retry" \
+                "retry_strategy=self_heal" 0.6 2>/dev/null || true
+        fi
+
         warn "Stage $stage_id failed (attempt $attempt/$((max_retries + 1)), class: $error_class) — retrying..."
         # Exponential backoff with jitter to avoid thundering herd
         local backoff=$((2 ** attempt))
@@ -951,9 +990,9 @@ self_healing_build_test() {
     local prev_fail_count=0 zero_convergence_streak=0
 
     # Vitals-driven adaptive limit (preferred over static BUILD_TEST_RETRIES)
-    if type pipeline_adaptive_limit &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+    if type pipeline_adaptive_limit >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         local _vitals_json=""
-        if type pipeline_compute_vitals &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+        if type pipeline_compute_vitals >/dev/null 2>&1; then
             _vitals_json=$(pipeline_compute_vitals "$STATE_FILE" "$ARTIFACTS_DIR" "${ISSUE_NUMBER:-}" 2>/dev/null) || true
         fi
         local vitals_limit
@@ -968,7 +1007,7 @@ self_healing_build_test() {
                 "vitals_limit=$vitals_limit"
         fi
     # Fallback: intelligence-based adaptive limits
-    elif type composer_estimate_iterations &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+    elif type composer_estimate_iterations >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         local estimated
         estimated=$(composer_estimate_iterations \
             "${INTELLIGENCE_ANALYSIS:-{}}" \
@@ -1022,7 +1061,7 @@ self_healing_build_test() {
         if [[ "$cycle" -gt 1 && -n "$last_test_error" ]]; then
             # Query memory for known fixes
             local _memory_fix=""
-            if type memory_closed_loop_inject &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+            if type memory_closed_loop_inject >/dev/null 2>&1; then
                 local _error_sig_short
                 _error_sig_short=$(echo "$last_test_error" | head -3 || echo "")
                 _memory_fix=$(memory_closed_loop_inject "$_error_sig_short" 2>/dev/null) || true
@@ -1053,7 +1092,7 @@ Focus on fixing the failing tests while keeping all passing tests working."
                 local timing
                 timing=$(get_stage_timing "build")
                 success "Stage ${BOLD}build${RESET} complete ${DIM}(${timing})${RESET}"
-                if type pipeline_emit_progress_snapshot &>/dev/null 2>&1 && [[ -n "${ISSUE_NUMBER:-}" ]]; then
+                if type pipeline_emit_progress_snapshot >/dev/null 2>&1 && [[ -n "${ISSUE_NUMBER:-}" ]]; then
                     local _diff_count
                     _diff_count=$(git diff --stat HEAD~1 2>/dev/null | tail -1 | grep -oE '[0-9]+' | head -1) || true
                     local _snap_files _snap_error
@@ -1078,7 +1117,7 @@ Focus on fixing the failing tests while keeping all passing tests working."
                 local timing
                 timing=$(get_stage_timing "build")
                 success "Stage ${BOLD}build${RESET} complete ${DIM}(${timing})${RESET}"
-                if type pipeline_emit_progress_snapshot &>/dev/null 2>&1 && [[ -n "${ISSUE_NUMBER:-}" ]]; then
+                if type pipeline_emit_progress_snapshot >/dev/null 2>&1 && [[ -n "${ISSUE_NUMBER:-}" ]]; then
                     local _diff_count
                     _diff_count=$(git diff --stat HEAD~1 2>/dev/null | tail -1 | grep -oE '[0-9]+' | head -1) || true
                     local _snap_files _snap_error
@@ -1109,7 +1148,7 @@ Focus on fixing the failing tests while keeping all passing tests working."
             emit_event "convergence.tests_passed" \
                 "issue=${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}" \
                 "cycle=$cycle"
-            if type pipeline_emit_progress_snapshot &>/dev/null 2>&1 && [[ -n "${ISSUE_NUMBER:-}" ]]; then
+            if type pipeline_emit_progress_snapshot >/dev/null 2>&1 && [[ -n "${ISSUE_NUMBER:-}" ]]; then
                 local _diff_count
                 _diff_count=$(git diff --stat HEAD~1 2>/dev/null | tail -1 | grep -oE '[0-9]+' | head -1) || true
                 local _snap_files _snap_error
@@ -1235,6 +1274,9 @@ auto_rebase() {
 }
 
 run_pipeline() {
+    # Rotate event log if needed (standalone mode)
+    rotate_event_log_if_needed
+
     local stages
     stages=$(jq -c '.stages[]' "$PIPELINE_CONFIG")
 
@@ -1329,6 +1371,10 @@ run_pipeline() {
 
         # Self-healing build→test loop: when we hit build, run both together
         if [[ "$id" == "build" && "$use_self_healing" == "true" ]]; then
+            # TDD: generate tests before build when enabled
+            if [[ "${TDD_ENABLED:-false}" == "true" || "${PIPELINE_TDD:-}" == "true" ]]; then
+                stage_test_first || true
+            fi
             # Gate check for build
             local build_gate
             build_gate=$(echo "$stage" | jq -r '.gate')
@@ -1362,6 +1408,11 @@ run_pipeline() {
             continue
         fi
 
+        # TDD: generate tests before build when enabled (non-self-healing path)
+        if [[ "$id" == "build" && "$use_self_healing" != "true" ]] && [[ "${TDD_ENABLED:-false}" == "true" || "${PIPELINE_TDD:-}" == "true" ]]; then
+            stage_test_first || true
+        fi
+
         # Skip test if already handled by self-healing loop
         if [[ "$id" == "test" && "$use_self_healing" == "true" ]]; then
             stage_status=$(get_stage_status "test")
@@ -1401,52 +1452,59 @@ run_pipeline() {
             fi
         fi
 
-        # Intelligence: per-stage model routing with A/B testing
-        if type intelligence_recommend_model &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+        # Intelligence: per-stage model routing (UCB1 when DB has data, else A/B testing)
+        local recommended_model="" from_ucb1=false
+        if type ucb1_select_model >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+            recommended_model=$(ucb1_select_model "$id" 2>/dev/null || echo "")
+            [[ -n "$recommended_model" ]] && from_ucb1=true
+        fi
+        if [[ -z "$recommended_model" ]] && type intelligence_recommend_model >/dev/null 2>&1; then
             local stage_complexity="${INTELLIGENCE_COMPLEXITY:-5}"
             local budget_remaining=""
             if [[ -x "$SCRIPT_DIR/sw-cost.sh" ]]; then
                 budget_remaining=$(bash "$SCRIPT_DIR/sw-cost.sh" remaining-budget 2>/dev/null || echo "")
             fi
-            local recommended_model
-            recommended_model=$(intelligence_recommend_model "$id" "$stage_complexity" "$budget_remaining" 2>/dev/null || echo "")
-            if [[ -n "$recommended_model" && "$recommended_model" != "null" ]]; then
-                # A/B testing: decide whether to use the recommended model
-                local ab_ratio=20  # default 20% use recommended model
+            local recommended_json
+            recommended_json=$(intelligence_recommend_model "$id" "$stage_complexity" "$budget_remaining" 2>/dev/null || echo "")
+            recommended_model=$(echo "$recommended_json" | jq -r '.model // empty' 2>/dev/null || echo "")
+        fi
+        if [[ -n "$recommended_model" && "$recommended_model" != "null" ]]; then
+            if [[ "$from_ucb1" == "true" ]]; then
+                # UCB1 already balances exploration/exploitation — use directly
+                export CLAUDE_MODEL="$recommended_model"
+                emit_event "intelligence.model_ucb1" \
+                    "issue=${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}" \
+                    "stage=$id" \
+                    "model=$recommended_model"
+            else
+                # A/B testing for intelligence recommendation
+                local ab_ratio=20
                 local daemon_cfg="${PROJECT_ROOT}/.claude/daemon-config.json"
                 if [[ -f "$daemon_cfg" ]]; then
                     local cfg_ratio
                     cfg_ratio=$(jq -r '.intelligence.ab_test_ratio // 0.2' "$daemon_cfg" 2>/dev/null || echo "0.2")
-                    # Convert ratio (0.0-1.0) to percentage (0-100)
                     ab_ratio=$(awk -v r="$cfg_ratio" 'BEGIN{printf "%d", r * 100}' 2>/dev/null || echo "20")
                 fi
 
-                # Check if we have enough data points to graduate from A/B testing
                 local routing_file="${HOME}/.shipwright/optimization/model-routing.json"
                 local use_recommended=false
                 local ab_group="control"
 
                 if [[ -f "$routing_file" ]]; then
-                    local stage_samples
-                    stage_samples=$(jq -r --arg s "$id" '.[$s].sonnet_samples // 0' "$routing_file" 2>/dev/null || echo "0")
-                    local total_samples
-                    total_samples=$(jq -r --arg s "$id" '((.[$s].sonnet_samples // 0) + (.[$s].opus_samples // 0))' "$routing_file" 2>/dev/null || echo "0")
-
-                    if [[ "$total_samples" -ge 50 ]]; then
-                        # Enough data — use optimizer's recommendation as default
+                    local stage_samples total_samples
+                    stage_samples=$(jq -r --arg s "$id" '.routes[$s].sonnet_samples // .[$s].sonnet_samples // 0' "$routing_file" 2>/dev/null || echo "0")
+                    total_samples=$(jq -r --arg s "$id" '((.routes[$s].sonnet_samples // .[$s].sonnet_samples // 0) + (.routes[$s].opus_samples // .[$s].opus_samples // 0))' "$routing_file" 2>/dev/null || echo "0")
+                    if [[ "${total_samples:-0}" -ge 50 ]]; then
                         use_recommended=true
                         ab_group="graduated"
                     fi
                 fi
 
                 if [[ "$use_recommended" != "true" ]]; then
-                    # A/B test: RANDOM % 100 < ab_ratio → use recommended
                     local roll=$((RANDOM % 100))
                     if [[ "$roll" -lt "$ab_ratio" ]]; then
                         use_recommended=true
                         ab_group="experiment"
-                    else
-                        ab_group="control"
                     fi
                 fi
 
@@ -1475,7 +1533,7 @@ run_pipeline() {
         emit_event "stage.started" "issue=${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}" "stage=$id"
 
         # Mark GitHub Check Run as in-progress
-        if [[ "${NO_GITHUB:-false}" != "true" ]] && type gh_checks_stage_update &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+        if [[ "${NO_GITHUB:-false}" != "true" ]] && type gh_checks_stage_update >/dev/null 2>&1; then
             gh_checks_stage_update "$id" "in_progress" "" "Stage $id started" 2>/dev/null || true
         fi
 
@@ -1491,7 +1549,9 @@ run_pipeline() {
             timing=$(get_stage_timing "$id")
             stage_dur_s=$(( $(now_epoch) - stage_start_epoch ))
             success "Stage ${BOLD}$id${RESET} complete ${DIM}(${timing})${RESET}"
-            emit_event "stage.completed" "issue=${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}" "stage=$id" "duration_s=$stage_dur_s"
+            emit_event "stage.completed" "issue=${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}" "stage=$id" "duration_s=$stage_dur_s" "result=success"
+            # Record model outcome for UCB1 learning
+            type record_model_outcome >/dev/null 2>&1 && record_model_outcome "$stage_model_used" "$id" 1 "$stage_dur_s" 0 2>/dev/null || true
             # Broadcast discovery for cross-pipeline learning
             if [[ -x "$SCRIPT_DIR/sw-discovery.sh" ]]; then
                 local _disc_cat _disc_patterns _disc_text
@@ -1514,9 +1574,16 @@ run_pipeline() {
             stage_dur_s=$(( $(now_epoch) - stage_start_epoch ))
             error "Pipeline failed at stage: ${BOLD}$id${RESET}"
             update_status "failed" "$id"
-            emit_event "stage.failed" "issue=${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}" "stage=$id" "duration_s=$stage_dur_s"
+            emit_event "stage.failed" \
+                "issue=${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}" \
+                "stage=$id" \
+                "duration_s=$stage_dur_s" \
+                "error=${LAST_STAGE_ERROR:-unknown}" \
+                "error_class=${LAST_STAGE_ERROR_CLASS:-unknown}"
             # Log model used for prediction feedback
             echo "${id}|${stage_model_used}|false" >> "${ARTIFACTS_DIR}/model-routing.log"
+            # Record model outcome for UCB1 learning
+            type record_model_outcome >/dev/null 2>&1 && record_model_outcome "$stage_model_used" "$id" 0 "$stage_dur_s" 0 2>/dev/null || true
             # Cancel any remaining in_progress check runs
             pipeline_cancel_check_runs 2>/dev/null || true
             return 1
@@ -1525,6 +1592,11 @@ run_pipeline() {
 
     # Pipeline complete!
     update_status "complete" ""
+    PIPELINE_STAGES_PASSED="$completed"
+    PIPELINE_SLOWEST_STAGE=""
+    if type get_slowest_stage >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+        PIPELINE_SLOWEST_STAGE=$(get_slowest_stage 2>/dev/null || true)
+    fi
     local total_dur=""
     if [[ -n "$PIPELINE_START_EPOCH" ]]; then
         total_dur=$(format_duration $(( $(now_epoch) - PIPELINE_START_EPOCH )))
@@ -1568,7 +1640,7 @@ run_pipeline() {
 pipeline_post_completion_cleanup() {
     local cleaned=0
 
-    # 1. Clear checkpoints (they only matter for resume; pipeline is done)
+    # 1. Clear checkpoints and context files (they only matter for resume; pipeline is done)
     if [[ -d "${ARTIFACTS_DIR}/checkpoints" ]]; then
         local cp_count=0
         local cp_file
@@ -1577,6 +1649,11 @@ pipeline_post_completion_cleanup() {
             rm -f "$cp_file"
             cp_count=$((cp_count + 1))
         done
+        for cp_file in "${ARTIFACTS_DIR}/checkpoints"/*-claude-context.json; do
+            [[ -f "$cp_file" ]] || continue
+            rm -f "$cp_file"
+            cp_count=$((cp_count + 1))
+        done
         if [[ "$cp_count" -gt 0 ]]; then
             cleaned=$((cleaned + cp_count))
         fi
@@ -1621,7 +1698,7 @@ pipeline_cancel_check_runs() {
         return
     fi
 
-    if ! type gh_checks_stage_update &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+    if ! type gh_checks_stage_update >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         return
     fi
 
@@ -1673,7 +1750,7 @@ pipeline_setup_worktree() {
 
     # Store original dir for cleanup, then cd into worktree
     ORIGINAL_REPO_DIR="$(pwd)"
-    cd "$worktree_path"
+    cd "$worktree_path" || { error "Failed to cd into worktree: $worktree_path"; return 1; }
     CLEANUP_WORKTREE=true
 
     success "Worktree ready: ${CYAN}${worktree_path}${RESET} (branch: ${branch_name})"
@@ -1807,7 +1884,7 @@ run_dry_run() {
     local optional_tools=("gh" "claude" "bc")
 
     for tool in "${required_tools[@]}"; do
-        if command -v "$tool" &>/dev/null; then
+        if command -v "$tool" >/dev/null 2>&1; then
             echo -e "  ${GREEN}✓${RESET} $tool"
         else
             echo -e "  ${RED}✗${RESET} $tool ${RED}(required)${RESET}"
@@ -1816,7 +1893,7 @@ run_dry_run() {
     done
 
     for tool in "${optional_tools[@]}"; do
-        if command -v "$tool" &>/dev/null; then
+        if command -v "$tool" >/dev/null 2>&1; then
             echo -e "  ${GREEN}✓${RESET} $tool"
         else
             echo -e "  ${DIM}○${RESET} $tool"
@@ -1825,15 +1902,17 @@ run_dry_run() {
 
     echo ""
 
-    # Cost estimation (rough approximation)
+    # Cost estimation: use historical averages from past pipelines when available
     echo -e "${BLUE}${BOLD}━━━ Estimated Resource Usage ━━━${RESET}"
     echo ""
 
-    # Very rough cost estimation: ~2000 input tokens per stage, ~3000 output tokens
-    # Adjust based on pipeline complexity
+    local stages_json
+    stages_json=$(jq '[.stages[] | select(.enabled == true)]' "$PIPELINE_CONFIG" 2>/dev/null || echo "[]")
+    local est
+    est=$(estimate_pipeline_cost "$stages_json")
     local input_tokens_estimate output_tokens_estimate
-    input_tokens_estimate=$(( enabled_stages * 2000 ))
-    output_tokens_estimate=$(( enabled_stages * 3000 ))
+    input_tokens_estimate=$(echo "$est" | jq -r '.input_tokens // 0')
+    output_tokens_estimate=$(echo "$est" | jq -r '.output_tokens // 0')
 
     # Calculate cost based on selected model
     local input_rate output_rate input_cost output_cost total_cost
@@ -1848,11 +1927,11 @@ run_dry_run() {
     echo -e "  ${BOLD}Estimated Input Tokens:${RESET}  ~$input_tokens_estimate"
     echo -e "  ${BOLD}Estimated Output Tokens:${RESET} ~$output_tokens_estimate"
     echo -e "  ${BOLD}Model Cost Rate:${RESET}        $stage_model"
-    echo -e "  ${BOLD}Estimated Cost:${RESET}         \$$total_cost USD (rough estimate)"
+    echo -e "  ${BOLD}Estimated Cost:${RESET}         \$$total_cost USD"
     echo ""
 
     # Validate composed pipeline if intelligence is enabled
-    if [[ -f "$ARTIFACTS_DIR/composed-pipeline.json" ]] && type composer_validate_pipeline &>/dev/null; then
+    if [[ -f "$ARTIFACTS_DIR/composed-pipeline.json" ]] && type composer_validate_pipeline >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         echo -e "${BLUE}${BOLD}━━━ Intelligence-Composed Pipeline ━━━${RESET}"
         echo ""
 
@@ -1877,6 +1956,100 @@ run_dry_run() {
     return 0
 }
 
+# ─── Reasoning Trace Generation ──────────────────────────────────────────────
+# Multi-step autonomous reasoning traces for pipeline start (before stages run)
+
+generate_reasoning_trace() {
+    local job_id="${SHIPWRIGHT_PIPELINE_ID:-$$}"
+    local issue="${ISSUE_NUMBER:-}"
+    local goal="${GOAL:-}"
+
+    # Step 1: Analyze issue complexity and risk
+    local complexity="medium"
+    local risk_score=50
+    if [[ -n "$issue" ]] && type intelligence_analyze_issue >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+        local issue_json analysis
+        issue_json=$(gh issue view "$issue" --json number,title,body,labels 2>/dev/null || echo "{}")
+        if [[ -n "$issue_json" && "$issue_json" != "{}" ]]; then
+            analysis=$(intelligence_analyze_issue "$issue_json" 2>/dev/null || echo "")
+            if [[ -n "$analysis" ]]; then
+                local comp_num
+                comp_num=$(echo "$analysis" | jq -r '.complexity // 5' 2>/dev/null || echo "5")
+                if [[ "$comp_num" -le 3 ]]; then
+                    complexity="low"
+                elif [[ "$comp_num" -le 6 ]]; then
+                    complexity="medium"
+                else
+                    complexity="high"
+                fi
+                risk_score=$((100 - $(echo "$analysis" | jq -r '.success_probability // 50' 2>/dev/null || echo "50")))
+            fi
+        fi
+    elif [[ -n "$goal" ]]; then
+        issue_json=$(jq -n --arg title "${goal}" --arg body "" '{title: $title, body: $body, labels: []}')
+        if type intelligence_analyze_issue >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+            analysis=$(intelligence_analyze_issue "$issue_json" 2>/dev/null || echo "")
+            if [[ -n "$analysis" ]]; then
+                local comp_num
+                comp_num=$(echo "$analysis" | jq -r '.complexity // 5' 2>/dev/null || echo "5")
+                if [[ "$comp_num" -le 3 ]]; then complexity="low"; elif [[ "$comp_num" -le 6 ]]; then complexity="medium"; else complexity="high"; fi
+                risk_score=$((100 - $(echo "$analysis" | jq -r '.success_probability // 50' 2>/dev/null || echo "50")))
+            fi
+        fi
+    fi
+
+    # Step 2: Query similar past issues
+    local similar_context=""
+    if type memory_semantic_search >/dev/null 2>&1 && [[ -n "$goal" ]]; then
+        similar_context=$(memory_semantic_search "$goal" "" 3 2>/dev/null || echo "")
+    fi
+
+    # Step 3: Select template using Thompson sampling
+    local selected_template="${PIPELINE_TEMPLATE:-}"
+    if [[ -z "$selected_template" ]] && type thompson_select_template >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+        selected_template=$(thompson_select_template "$complexity" 2>/dev/null || echo "standard")
+    fi
+    [[ -z "$selected_template" ]] && selected_template="standard"
+
+    # Step 4: Predict failure modes from memory
+    local failure_predictions=""
+    if type memory_semantic_search >/dev/null 2>&1 && [[ -n "$goal" ]]; then
+        failure_predictions=$(memory_semantic_search "failure error $goal" "" 3 2>/dev/null || echo "")
+    fi
+
+    # Save reasoning traces to DB
+    if type db_save_reasoning_trace >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+        db_save_reasoning_trace "$job_id" "complexity_analysis" \
+            "issue=$issue goal=$goal" \
+            "Analyzed complexity=$complexity risk=$risk_score" \
+            "complexity=$complexity risk_score=$risk_score" 0.7 2>/dev/null || true
+
+        db_save_reasoning_trace "$job_id" "template_selection" \
+            "complexity=$complexity historical_outcomes" \
+            "Thompson sampling over historical success rates" \
+            "template=$selected_template" 0.8 2>/dev/null || true
+
+        if [[ -n "$similar_context" && "$similar_context" != "[]" ]]; then
+            db_save_reasoning_trace "$job_id" "similar_issues" \
+                "$goal" \
+                "Found similar past issues for context injection" \
+                "$similar_context" 0.6 2>/dev/null || true
+        fi
+
+        if [[ -n "$failure_predictions" && "$failure_predictions" != "[]" ]]; then
+            db_save_reasoning_trace "$job_id" "failure_prediction" \
+                "$goal" \
+                "Predicted potential failure modes from history" \
+                "$failure_predictions" 0.5 2>/dev/null || true
+        fi
+    fi
+
+    # Export for use by pipeline stages
+    [[ -n "$selected_template" && -z "${PIPELINE_TEMPLATE:-}" ]] && export PIPELINE_TEMPLATE="$selected_template"
+
+    emit_event "reasoning.trace" "job_id=$job_id" "complexity=$complexity" "risk=$risk_score" "template=${selected_template:-standard}" 2>/dev/null || true
+}
+
 # ─── Subcommands ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
 
 pipeline_start() {
@@ -1898,6 +2071,13 @@ pipeline_start() {
         info "Using repository: $ORIGINAL_REPO_DIR"
     fi
 
+    # Bootstrap optimization & memory if cold start (before first intelligence use)
+    if [[ -f "$SCRIPT_DIR/lib/bootstrap.sh" ]]; then
+        source "$SCRIPT_DIR/lib/bootstrap.sh"
+        [[ ! -f "$HOME/.shipwright/optimization/iteration-model.json" ]] && bootstrap_optimization 2>/dev/null || true
+        [[ ! -f "$HOME/.shipwright/memory/patterns.json" ]] && bootstrap_memory 2>/dev/null || true
+    fi
+
     if [[ -z "$GOAL" && -z "$ISSUE_NUMBER" ]]; then
         error "Must provide --goal or --issue"
         echo -e "  Example: ${DIM}shipwright pipeline start --goal \"Add JWT auth\"${RESET}"
@@ -1905,7 +2085,7 @@ pipeline_start() {
         exit 1
     fi
 
-    if ! command -v jq &>/dev/null; then
+    if ! command -v jq >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         error "jq is required. Install it: brew install jq"
         exit 1
     fi
@@ -1923,6 +2103,13 @@ pipeline_start() {
 
     setup_dirs
 
+    # Generate reasoning trace (complexity analysis, template selection, failure predictions)
+    local user_specified_pipeline="$PIPELINE_NAME"
+    generate_reasoning_trace 2>/dev/null || true
+    if [[ -n "${PIPELINE_TEMPLATE:-}" && "$user_specified_pipeline" == "standard" ]]; then
+        PIPELINE_NAME="$PIPELINE_TEMPLATE"
+    fi
+
     # Check for existing pipeline
     if [[ -f "$STATE_FILE" ]]; then
         local existing_status
@@ -1942,7 +2129,87 @@ pipeline_start() {
     gh_init
 
     load_pipeline_config
-    initialize_state
+
+    # Checkpoint resume: when --resume is passed, try DB first, then file-based
+    checkpoint_stage=""
+    checkpoint_iteration=0
+    if $RESUME_FROM_CHECKPOINT && type db_load_checkpoint >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+        local saved_checkpoint
+        saved_checkpoint=$(db_load_checkpoint "pipeline-${SHIPWRIGHT_PIPELINE_ID:-$$}" 2>/dev/null || echo "")
+        if [[ -n "$saved_checkpoint" ]]; then
+            checkpoint_stage=$(echo "$saved_checkpoint" | jq -r '.stage // ""' 2>/dev/null || echo "")
+            if [[ -n "$checkpoint_stage" ]]; then
+                info "Resuming from DB checkpoint: stage=$checkpoint_stage"
+                checkpoint_iteration=$(echo "$saved_checkpoint" | jq -r '.iteration // 0' 2>/dev/null || echo "0")
+                # Build COMPLETED_STAGES: all enabled stages before checkpoint_stage
+                local enabled_list before_list=""
+                enabled_list=$(jq -r '.stages[] | select(.enabled == true) | .id' "$PIPELINE_CONFIG" 2>/dev/null) || true
+                local s
+                while IFS= read -r s; do
+                    [[ -z "$s" ]] && continue
+                    if [[ "$s" == "$checkpoint_stage" ]]; then
+                        break
+                    fi
+                    [[ -n "$before_list" ]] && before_list="${before_list},${s}" || before_list="$s"
+                done <<< "$enabled_list"
+                if [[ -n "$before_list" ]]; then
+                    COMPLETED_STAGES="${before_list}"
+                    SELF_HEAL_COUNT="${checkpoint_iteration}"
+                fi
+            fi
+        fi
+    fi
+    if $RESUME_FROM_CHECKPOINT && [[ -z "$checkpoint_stage" ]] && [[ -d "${ARTIFACTS_DIR}/checkpoints" ]]; then
+        local cp_dir="${ARTIFACTS_DIR}/checkpoints"
+        local latest_cp="" latest_mtime=0
+        local f
+        for f in "$cp_dir"/*-checkpoint.json; do
+            [[ -f "$f" ]] || continue
+            local mtime
+            mtime=$(file_mtime "$f" 2>/dev/null || echo "0")
+            if [[ "${mtime:-0}" -gt "$latest_mtime" ]]; then
+                latest_mtime="${mtime}"
+                latest_cp="$f"
+            fi
+        done
+        if [[ -n "$latest_cp" && -x "$SCRIPT_DIR/sw-checkpoint.sh" ]]; then
+            checkpoint_stage="$(basename "$latest_cp" -checkpoint.json)"
+            local cp_json
+            cp_json="$("$SCRIPT_DIR/sw-checkpoint.sh" restore --stage "$checkpoint_stage" 2>/dev/null)" || true
+            if [[ -n "$cp_json" ]] && command -v jq >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+                checkpoint_iteration="$(echo "$cp_json" | jq -r '.iteration // 0' 2>/dev/null)" || checkpoint_iteration=0
+                info "Checkpoint resume: stage=${checkpoint_stage} iteration=${checkpoint_iteration}"
+                # Build COMPLETED_STAGES: all enabled stages before checkpoint_stage
+                local enabled_list before_list=""
+                enabled_list="$(jq -r '.stages[] | select(.enabled == true) | .id' "$PIPELINE_CONFIG" 2>/dev/null)" || true
+                local s
+                while IFS= read -r s; do
+                    [[ -z "$s" ]] && continue
+                    if [[ "$s" == "$checkpoint_stage" ]]; then
+                        break
+                    fi
+                    [[ -n "$before_list" ]] && before_list="${before_list},${s}" || before_list="$s"
+                done <<< "$enabled_list"
+                if [[ -n "$before_list" ]]; then
+                    COMPLETED_STAGES="${before_list}"
+                    SELF_HEAL_COUNT="${checkpoint_iteration}"
+                fi
+            fi
+        fi
+    fi
+
+    # Restore from state file if resuming (failed/interrupted pipeline); else initialize fresh
+    if $RESUME_FROM_CHECKPOINT && [[ -f "$STATE_FILE" ]]; then
+        local existing_status
+        existing_status="$(sed -n 's/^status: *//p' "$STATE_FILE" | head -1)"
+        if [[ "$existing_status" == "failed" || "$existing_status" == "interrupted" ]]; then
+            resume_state
+        else
+            initialize_state
+        fi
+    else
+        initialize_state
+    fi
 
     # CI resume: restore branch + goal context when intake is skipped
     if [[ -n "${COMPLETED_STAGES:-}" ]] && echo "$COMPLETED_STAGES" | tr ',' '\n' | grep -qx "intake"; then
@@ -1951,7 +2218,7 @@ pipeline_start() {
 
         # Restore GOAL from issue if not already set
         if [[ -z "$GOAL" && -n "$ISSUE_NUMBER" ]]; then
-            GOAL=$(gh issue view "$ISSUE_NUMBER" --json title -q .title 2>/dev/null || echo "Issue #${ISSUE_NUMBER}")
+            GOAL=$(_timeout "$(_config_get_int "network.gh_timeout" 30 2>/dev/null || echo 30)" gh issue view "$ISSUE_NUMBER" --json title -q .title 2>/dev/null || echo "Issue #${ISSUE_NUMBER}")
             info "CI resume: goal from issue — ${GOAL}"
         fi
 
@@ -2018,11 +2285,38 @@ pipeline_start() {
         return $?
     fi
 
+    # Capture predictions for feedback loop (intelligence → actuals → learning)
+    if type intelligence_analyze_issue >/dev/null 2>&1 && (type intelligence_estimate_iterations >/dev/null 2>&1 || type intelligence_predict_cost >/dev/null 2>&1); then
+        local issue_json="${INTELLIGENCE_ANALYSIS:-}"
+        if [[ -z "$issue_json" || "$issue_json" == "{}" ]]; then
+            if [[ -n "$ISSUE_NUMBER" ]]; then
+                issue_json=$(gh issue view "$ISSUE_NUMBER" --json number,title,body,labels 2>/dev/null || echo "{}")
+            else
+                issue_json=$(jq -n --arg title "${GOAL:-untitled}" --arg body "" '{title: $title, body: $body, labels: []}')
+            fi
+            if [[ -n "$issue_json" && "$issue_json" != "{}" ]]; then
+                issue_json=$(intelligence_analyze_issue "$issue_json" 2>/dev/null || echo "{}")
+            fi
+        fi
+        if [[ -n "$issue_json" && "$issue_json" != "{}" ]]; then
+            if type intelligence_estimate_iterations >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+                PREDICTED_ITERATIONS=$(intelligence_estimate_iterations "$issue_json" "" 2>/dev/null || echo "")
+                export PREDICTED_ITERATIONS
+            fi
+            if type intelligence_predict_cost >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+                local cost_json
+                cost_json=$(intelligence_predict_cost "$issue_json" "{}" 2>/dev/null || echo "{}")
+                PREDICTED_COST=$(echo "$cost_json" | jq -r '.estimated_cost_usd // empty' 2>/dev/null || echo "")
+                export PREDICTED_COST
+            fi
+        fi
+    fi
+
     # Start background heartbeat writer
     start_heartbeat
 
     # Initialize GitHub Check Runs for all pipeline stages
-    if [[ "${NO_GITHUB:-false}" != "true" ]] && type gh_checks_pipeline_start &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+    if [[ "${NO_GITHUB:-false}" != "true" ]] && type gh_checks_pipeline_start >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         local head_sha
         head_sha=$(git rev-parse HEAD 2>/dev/null || echo "")
         if [[ -n "$head_sha" && -n "$REPO_OWNER" && -n "$REPO_NAME" ]]; then
@@ -2038,12 +2332,15 @@ pipeline_start() {
 
     emit_event "pipeline.started" \
         "issue=${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}" \
+        "template=${PIPELINE_NAME}" \
+        "complexity=${INTELLIGENCE_COMPLEXITY:-0}" \
+        "machine=$(hostname 2>/dev/null || echo "unknown")" \
         "pipeline=${PIPELINE_NAME}" \
         "model=${MODEL:-opus}" \
         "goal=${GOAL}"
 
     # Durable WAL: publish pipeline start event
-    if type publish_event &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+    if type publish_event >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         publish_event "pipeline.started" "{\"issue\":\"${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}\",\"pipeline\":\"${PIPELINE_NAME}\",\"goal\":\"${GOAL:0:200}\"}" 2>/dev/null || true
     fi
 
@@ -2051,6 +2348,18 @@ pipeline_start() {
     local exit_code=$?
     PIPELINE_EXIT_CODE="$exit_code"
 
+    # Compute total cost for pipeline.completed (prefer actual from Claude when available)
+    local model_key="${MODEL:-sonnet}"
+    local total_cost
+    if [[ -n "${TOTAL_COST_USD:-}" && "${TOTAL_COST_USD}" != "0" && "${TOTAL_COST_USD}" != "null" ]]; then
+        total_cost="${TOTAL_COST_USD}"
+    else
+        local input_cost output_cost
+        input_cost=$(awk -v tokens="$TOTAL_INPUT_TOKENS" -v rate="$(echo "$COST_MODEL_RATES" | jq -r ".${model_key}.input // 3")" 'BEGIN{printf "%.4f", (tokens / 1000000) * rate}')
+        output_cost=$(awk -v tokens="$TOTAL_OUTPUT_TOKENS" -v rate="$(echo "$COST_MODEL_RATES" | jq -r ".${model_key}.output // 15")" 'BEGIN{printf "%.4f", (tokens / 1000000) * rate}')
+        total_cost=$(awk -v i="$input_cost" -v o="$output_cost" 'BEGIN{printf "%.4f", i + o}')
+    fi
+
     # Send completion notification + event
     local total_dur_s=""
     [[ -n "$PIPELINE_START_EPOCH" ]] && total_dur_s=$(( $(now_epoch) - PIPELINE_START_EPOCH ))
@@ -2064,10 +2373,16 @@ pipeline_start() {
             "issue=${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}" \
             "result=success" \
             "duration_s=${total_dur_s:-0}" \
+            "iterations=$((SELF_HEAL_COUNT + 1))" \
+            "template=${PIPELINE_NAME}" \
+            "complexity=${INTELLIGENCE_COMPLEXITY:-0}" \
+            "stages_passed=${PIPELINE_STAGES_PASSED:-0}" \
+            "slowest_stage=${PIPELINE_SLOWEST_STAGE:-}" \
             "pr_url=${pr_url:-}" \
             "agent_id=${PIPELINE_AGENT_ID}" \
             "input_tokens=$TOTAL_INPUT_TOKENS" \
             "output_tokens=$TOTAL_OUTPUT_TOKENS" \
+            "total_cost=$total_cost" \
             "self_heal_count=$SELF_HEAL_COUNT"
 
         # Auto-ingest pipeline outcome into recruit profiles
@@ -2080,10 +2395,15 @@ pipeline_start() {
             "issue=${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}" \
             "result=failure" \
             "duration_s=${total_dur_s:-0}" \
+            "iterations=$((SELF_HEAL_COUNT + 1))" \
+            "template=${PIPELINE_NAME}" \
+            "complexity=${INTELLIGENCE_COMPLEXITY:-0}" \
             "failed_stage=${CURRENT_STAGE_ID:-unknown}" \
+            "error_class=${LAST_STAGE_ERROR_CLASS:-unknown}" \
             "agent_id=${PIPELINE_AGENT_ID}" \
             "input_tokens=$TOTAL_INPUT_TOKENS" \
             "output_tokens=$TOTAL_OUTPUT_TOKENS" \
+            "total_cost=$total_cost" \
             "self_heal_count=$SELF_HEAL_COUNT"
 
         # Auto-ingest pipeline outcome into recruit profiles
@@ -2121,7 +2441,7 @@ pipeline_start() {
         "success=$pipeline_success"
 
     # Close intelligence prediction feedback loop — validate predicted vs actual
-    if type intelligence_validate_prediction &>/dev/null 2>&1 && [[ -n "${ISSUE_NUMBER:-}" ]]; then
+    if type intelligence_validate_prediction >/dev/null 2>&1 && [[ -n "${ISSUE_NUMBER:-}" ]]; then
         intelligence_validate_prediction \
             "$ISSUE_NUMBER" \
             "${INTELLIGENCE_COMPLEXITY:-0}" \
@@ -2129,6 +2449,12 @@ pipeline_start() {
             "$pipeline_success" 2>/dev/null || true
     fi
 
+    # Validate iterations prediction against actuals (cost validation moved below after total_cost is computed)
+    local ACTUAL_ITERATIONS=$((SELF_HEAL_COUNT + 1))
+    if [[ -n "${PREDICTED_ITERATIONS:-}" ]] && type intelligence_validate_prediction >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+        intelligence_validate_prediction "iterations" "$PREDICTED_ITERATIONS" "$ACTUAL_ITERATIONS" 2>/dev/null || true
+    fi
+
     # Close predictive anomaly feedback loop — confirm whether flagged anomalies were real
     if [[ -x "$SCRIPT_DIR/sw-predictive.sh" ]]; then
         local _actual_failure="false"
@@ -2144,7 +2470,8 @@ pipeline_start() {
         "issue=${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}" \
         "template=${PIPELINE_NAME}" \
         "success=$pipeline_success" \
-        "duration_s=${total_dur_s:-0}"
+        "duration_s=${total_dur_s:-0}" \
+        "complexity=${INTELLIGENCE_COMPLEXITY:-0}"
 
     # Risk prediction vs actual failure
     local predicted_risk="${INTELLIGENCE_RISK_SCORE:-0}"
@@ -2167,20 +2494,26 @@ pipeline_start() {
     fi
 
     # Record pipeline outcome for model routing feedback loop
-    if type optimize_analyze_outcome &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+    if type optimize_analyze_outcome >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         optimize_analyze_outcome "$STATE_FILE" 2>/dev/null || true
-        # Tune template weights based on accumulated outcomes
-        if type optimize_tune_templates &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
-            optimize_tune_templates 2>/dev/null || true
-        fi
     fi
 
-    if type memory_finalize_pipeline &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+    # Auto-learn after pipeline completion (non-blocking)
+    if type optimize_tune_templates &>/dev/null; then
+        (
+            optimize_tune_templates 2>/dev/null
+            optimize_learn_iterations 2>/dev/null
+            optimize_route_models 2>/dev/null
+            optimize_learn_risk_keywords 2>/dev/null
+        ) &
+    fi
+
+    if type memory_finalize_pipeline >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         memory_finalize_pipeline "$STATE_FILE" "$ARTIFACTS_DIR" 2>/dev/null || true
     fi
 
     # Broadcast discovery for cross-pipeline learning
-    if type broadcast_discovery &>/dev/null 2>&1; then
+    if type broadcast_discovery >/dev/null 2>&1; then
         local _disc_result="failure"
         [[ "$exit_code" -eq 0 ]] && _disc_result="success"
         local _disc_files=""
@@ -2209,6 +2542,29 @@ pipeline_start() {
         "model=$model_key" \
         "cost_usd=$total_cost"
 
+    # Record pipeline outcome for Thompson sampling / outcome-based learning
+    if type db_record_outcome >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+        local _outcome_success=0
+        [[ "$exit_code" -eq 0 ]] && _outcome_success=1
+        local _outcome_complexity="medium"
+        [[ "${INTELLIGENCE_COMPLEXITY:-5}" -le 3 ]] && _outcome_complexity="low"
+        [[ "${INTELLIGENCE_COMPLEXITY:-5}" -ge 7 ]] && _outcome_complexity="high"
+        db_record_outcome \
+            "${SHIPWRIGHT_PIPELINE_ID:-pipeline-$$-${ISSUE_NUMBER:-0}}" \
+            "${ISSUE_NUMBER:-}" \
+            "${PIPELINE_NAME:-standard}" \
+            "$_outcome_success" \
+            "${total_dur_s:-0}" \
+            "${SELF_HEAL_COUNT:-0}" \
+            "${total_cost:-0}" \
+            "$_outcome_complexity" 2>/dev/null || true
+    fi
+
+    # Validate cost prediction against actual (after total_cost is computed)
+    if [[ -n "${PREDICTED_COST:-}" ]] && type intelligence_validate_prediction >/dev/null 2>&1; then
+        intelligence_validate_prediction "cost" "$PREDICTED_COST" "$total_cost" 2>/dev/null || true
+    fi
+
     return $exit_code
 }