qiongli 0.13.0 → 0.14.0

package/package.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "qiongli",
-  "version": "0.13.0",
+  "version": "0.14.0",
   "description": "npm/npx installer and optional Python bridge runtime for Qiongli academic workflow skills.",
   "type": "module",
   "bin": {

package/payload/qiongli-workflow/VERSION

@@ -1 +1 @@
-v0.13.0
+v0.14.0

package/payload/qiongli-workflow/skills/domain-profiles/geoeconomics.yaml

@@ -0,0 +1,117 @@
+domain: geoeconomics
+display_name: "Geoeconomics"
+
+libraries:
+  python:
+    - pandas
+    - statsmodels
+    - linearmodels
+    - networkx
+    - geopandas
+    - yfinance
+  r:
+    - fixest
+    - did
+    - synthdid
+    - igraph
+    - tidytrade
+    - quanteda
+  stata:
+    - reghdfe
+    - eventstudyinteract
+    - csdid
+    - synth
+
+method_templates:
+  - name: "Economic Statecraft Instrument Audit"
+    tier: standard
+    library: structured policy analysis
+    checklist:
+      - "Identify the sender, target, instrument, intermediaries, and affected markets."
+      - "Separate policy rhetoric from evidence of statecraft mechanism."
+      - "State the strategic objective: coercion, deterrence, resilience, signaling, or industrial policy."
+      - "Map target response and possible evasion, substitution, or countermeasure channels."
+      - "Calibrate strategic competition claims to observed economic and policy evidence."
+
+  - name: "Sanctions or Export-Control Event Study"
+    tier: standard
+    library: fixest / linearmodels
+    checklist:
+      - "Define announcement, implementation, and enforcement dates separately."
+      - "Test anticipation, leakage, and confounding geopolitical events."
+      - "Construct exposure before the policy shock using pre-period data."
+      - "Report heterogeneous effects by target exposure, substitute suppliers, or strategic sector."
+      - "Assess evasion, rerouting, and market substitution after treatment."
+
+  - name: "Supply Chain Exposure Design"
+    tier: standard
+    library: networkx / trade data pipeline
+    checklist:
+      - "Define upstream and downstream exposure to critical sectors or jurisdictions."
+      - "Document data coverage, reporting lag, and firm or product matching rules."
+      - "Check concentration, chokepoints, and alternative supplier availability."
+      - "Separate resilience claims from observed relocation or substitution evidence."
+
+stats_diagnostics:
+  - "Instrument-sender-target-response alignment"
+  - "Announcement, implementation, and enforcement timing windows"
+  - "Pre-period exposure construction"
+  - "Geopolitical confounding and policy bundling checks"
+  - "Evasion, substitution, and countermeasure sensitivity"
+
+reporting_guidelines:
+  primary: "Geoeconomic statecraft reporting"
+  checklists:
+    - "Economic instrument taxonomy"
+    - "Sender-target-intermediary map"
+    - "Strategic objective and response channel"
+    - "Timing and exposure diagnostics"
+    - "Security claim and economic evidence separation"
+
+common_pitfalls:
+  - "Treating national-security rhetoric as proof of statecraft mechanism."
+  - "Ignoring anticipation and leakage around sanctions or export controls."
+  - "Using post-treatment exposure measures that absorb the effect being studied."
+  - "Collapsing coercion, resilience, signaling, and industrial policy into one vague strategic competition claim."
+  - "Missing supply chain rerouting, evasion, or substitute-market responses."
+
+visualization_templates:
+  - "Sender-target-instrument-response map"
+  - "Sanctions or export-control event-study plot"
+  - "Supply chain exposure network"
+  - "Strategic sector concentration table"
+  - "Policy timeline with announcement, implementation, and enforcement dates"
+
+reporting_standards:
+  primary: "International security and IPE transparency norms"
+  checklists: [policy-timing, exposure-construction, strategic-claim-calibration]
+  required_tables:
+    - "Economic instrument taxonomy"
+    - "Exposure construction table"
+    - "Countermeasure and substitution risk table"
+
+default_databases:
+  primary: [Web of Science, Scopus, JSTOR, ProQuest, EconLit]
+  secondary: [Google Scholar, SSRN, NBER, WTO, UN Comtrade, World Bank]
+  preprints: [SSRN, NBER]
+  query_syntax_notes: "Combine instrument terms such as sanctions, export controls, supply chain, investment screening, or industrial policy with target response and strategic competition terms."
+
+methodology_priors:
+  identification: "Strategic claims require clear timing, pre-treatment exposure, and plausible target-response mechanisms."
+  robustness: "Check geopolitical confounding, policy bundling, evasion, substitution, and alternative timing windows."
+  standard_hierarchy: [Event_Study, DID, Synthetic_Control, Network_Exposure, Process_Tracing, Comparative_Case]
+  estimation_norms: "Cluster or aggregate inference at the policy, country, sector, firm, or product level that matches treatment assignment."
+
+venue_norms:
+  international-security:
+    sections: [Introduction, Argument, Policy_Background, Evidence, Implications]
+    word_limit: 14000
+    code_release: "Replication materials expected when quantitative evidence is used."
+  international-organization:
+    sections: [Introduction, Theory, Research_Design, Results, Conclusion]
+    word_limit: 12000
+    code_release: "Data and code transparency expected."
+  review-of-international-political-economy:
+    sections: [Introduction, Literature, Research_Design, Evidence, Conclusion]
+    word_limit: 12000
+    code_release: "Data transparency expected for empirical claims."

package/payload/qiongli-workflow/skills/domain-profiles/political-economy.yaml

@@ -0,0 +1,118 @@
+domain: political-economy
+display_name: "Political Economy"
+
+libraries:
+  python:
+    - pandas
+    - statsmodels
+    - linearmodels
+    - networkx
+    - geopandas
+    - scikit-learn
+  r:
+    - fixest
+    - estimatr
+    - did
+    - MatchIt
+    - WeightIt
+    - quanteda
+    - stm
+  stata:
+    - reghdfe
+    - eventstudyinteract
+    - csdid
+    - estout
+
+method_templates:
+  - name: "Actor-Institution-Outcome Mechanism Audit"
+    tier: standard
+    library: qualitative process tracing / mixed methods
+    checklist:
+      - "Name the political actors and their incentives before stating the economic outcome."
+      - "Describe the institution, rule, or policy process that constrains actor behavior."
+      - "Map the political mechanism from incentive to action to policy or economic result."
+      - "List rival mechanisms such as ideology, capacity, electoral pressure, or external shocks."
+      - "Calibrate claim strength to the evidence supporting the political mechanism."
+
+  - name: "Panel Policy Design"
+    tier: standard
+    library: fixest / linearmodels
+    checklist:
+      - "Define treatment timing and institutional adoption process."
+      - "Cluster standard errors at the political or policy assignment level."
+      - "Test pre-trends, anticipation, and alternative policy timing windows."
+      - "Assess endogenous policy adoption and observable selection into treatment."
+      - "Report robustness to alternative institutional and geographic scopes."
+
+  - name: "Comparative Political Economy Case Design"
+    tier: standard
+    library: structured focused comparison
+    checklist:
+      - "Select cases using explicit variation in institution, actor coalition, or policy outcome."
+      - "Document within-case mechanism evidence and cross-case comparability."
+      - "Separate descriptive institutional context from causal mechanism evidence."
+      - "State boundary conditions for regime type, state capacity, and economic structure."
+
+stats_diagnostics:
+  - "Actor-institution-outcome alignment"
+  - "Policy adoption timing and anticipation"
+  - "Institutional clustering and multi-level dependence"
+  - "Endogenous policy adoption and omitted institutional confounders"
+  - "Alternative political mechanism and distributional conflict checks"
+
+reporting_guidelines:
+  primary: "Political economy mechanism reporting"
+  checklists:
+    - "Actor and incentive map"
+    - "Institutional scope statement"
+    - "Distributional conflict and coalition logic"
+    - "Policy timing and assignment diagnostics"
+    - "Claim strength calibration"
+
+common_pitfalls:
+  - "Treating policy outcomes as evidence of political mechanism without actor-level support."
+  - "Collapsing institutions, regimes, and governments into one vague political context."
+  - "Ignoring distributional conflict when economic winners and losers are central."
+  - "Using correlations between politics and outcomes as causal claims without mechanism evidence."
+  - "Generalizing from one institutional setting without stating boundary conditions."
+
+visualization_templates:
+  - "Actor-institution-outcome mechanism diagram"
+  - "Policy timing event-study plot"
+  - "Distributional conflict stakeholder matrix"
+  - "Coalition or elite network graph"
+  - "Comparative institutional case table"
+
+reporting_standards:
+  primary: "APSA and political economy transparency norms"
+  checklists: [DA-RT, pre-analysis-plan-when-applicable]
+  required_tables:
+    - "Institutional context table"
+    - "Mechanism evidence table"
+    - "Robustness and rival mechanism table"
+
+default_databases:
+  primary: [Web of Science, Scopus, JSTOR, ProQuest Political Science]
+  secondary: [Google Scholar, SSRN, SocArXiv, NBER]
+  preprints: [SSRN, SocArXiv, NBER]
+  query_syntax_notes: "Combine institution, actor, policy, mechanism, and outcome terms; avoid search strings that only name the country or policy."
+
+methodology_priors:
+  identification: "Causal claims require explicit assignment logic, timing, or process-tracing evidence for the political mechanism."
+  robustness: "Check alternative mechanisms, institutional scope, treatment timing, and level-of-analysis mismatch."
+  standard_hierarchy: [Natural_Experiment, DID, IV, RD, Panel_FE, Process_Tracing, Comparative_Case]
+  estimation_norms: "Report standard errors clustered at the policy or political assignment level when quantitative data are used."
+
+venue_norms:
+  apsr:
+    sections: [Introduction, Theory, Research_Design, Evidence, Conclusion]
+    word_limit: 12000
+    code_release: "Replication data and code expected when quantitative evidence is used."
+  ajps:
+    sections: [Introduction, Theory, Data, Results, Conclusion]
+    word_limit: 10000
+    code_release: "Replication materials expected."
+  world-politics:
+    sections: [Introduction, Theory, Historical_Context, Evidence, Conclusion]
+    word_limit: 12000
+    code_release: "Data transparency expected for empirical claims."