polymath-society 0.2.5 → 0.2.6

package/dist/engine/ingest-export.js

@@ -661,7 +661,7 @@ var GIFTS = [
 
 // ../../lib/calibration/index.ts
 var DEFAULT_CALIBRATION = {
-  version: "2026-07-12.2",
+  version: "2026-07-14.2",
   // = RUBRIC_FINGERPRINT of the shipped npm rubric (packages/coding-analyzer/
   // src/grade/criteria.ts). A unit test fails loud when the rubric changes
   // without this being updated (and re-pushed to the server).
@@ -750,7 +750,7 @@ var DEFAULT_CALIBRATION = {
     }
   ],
   codingTiers: {
-    push: { median: 300, sigma: 1.121, tag: "estimated \u2014 log-normal fit", source: "Anthropic 2026 Claude Code study (400k sessions): median engaged user ~8 prompts/day at ~35 words \u2014 ~300 directed words/day; tail shape from its actions-per-prompt distribution. AVERAGE over substantial days, cumulative not spiky." },
+    push: { median: 300, sigma: 0.91, tag: "estimated \u2014 log-normal fit", source: "Anthropic 2026 Claude Code study (400k sessions): median engaged user ~8 prompts/day at ~35 words \u2014 ~300 directed words/day; tail: a 1-in-1,000 user AVERAGES ~5k directed words/day (near-daily heavy dictation, clearly below the ~10k single-day record). AVERAGE over substantial days, cumulative not spiky." },
     focus: { median: 0.08, sigma: 0.559, tag: "estimated \u2014 proxy-anchored", source: "median: Anthropic 20h/week engaged-user figure implies ~1h/day of true rapid exchange against an 8h working day; ceiling anchored to the ~4h/day deep-work limit (45% share = 1-in-1,000). AVERAGE share, cumulative not spiky." },
     orchestration: { tag: "estimated \u2014 behavior bands", source: "no published concurrency distribution exists; ceiling anchored to the Claude Code lead's documented 10-15 parallel sessions" }
   },
@@ -783,12 +783,18 @@ var DEFAULT_CALIBRATION = {
       line: "the Claude Code lead runs 10\u201315 sessions at once; his #1 tip is 3\u20135 git worktrees in parallel"
     },
     throughput: {
-      // Top-0.1% words/day reference lines, anchored to the throughput ladder
-      // (THROUGHPUT_LADDER in throughput.ts): score 10 "world-class sustained" =
-      // 9k/day, score 11 "superhuman ceiling" = 12k/day. Calibrated to the person's
-      // own anchors, not a wild guess — but still a target, not a measured population.
-      topAvgWordsPerDay: 9e3,
-      topPeakWordsPerDay: 12e3,
+      // Two DIFFERENT kinds of line (2026-07-14.2): topAvg is a PERCENTILE
+      // claim — what a 1-in-1,000 user AVERAGES over substantial days (5k/day:
+      // near-daily heavy dictation; a measured top dictating power user
+      // averages ~3.9k). topPeak is NOT a percentile — it is the CEILING
+      // reference, the wildest single days on record (~10k: a 14-16h
+      // launch-day marathon), rendered as "wildest single days", never
+      // "top X% peak". An avg-percentile and a peak-percentile can't both be
+      // shown at a same-ish value (avg≈peak reads broken — user call), and a
+      // peak PERCENTILE line is unknowable anyway; the record framing is
+      // honest and keeps the visual gap.
+      topAvgWordsPerDay: 5e3,
+      topPeakWordsPerDay: 1e4,
       benchLabel: "top 0.1%",
       // No published "words typed/day" for heavy users — the real story is OUTPUT.
       loopsHeadline: ">1,000,000 lines of Rust at 99.8% tests passing",

package/dist/engine/public-report.js

@@ -15635,7 +15635,7 @@ var ENGINE_DATA = process.env.POLYMATH_DATA_DIR ? path10.resolve(process.env.POL
 
 // ../../lib/calibration/index.ts
 var DEFAULT_CALIBRATION = {
-  version: "2026-07-12.2",
+  version: "2026-07-14.2",
   // = RUBRIC_FINGERPRINT of the shipped npm rubric (packages/coding-analyzer/
   // src/grade/criteria.ts). A unit test fails loud when the rubric changes
   // without this being updated (and re-pushed to the server).
@@ -15724,7 +15724,7 @@ var DEFAULT_CALIBRATION = {
     }
   ],
   codingTiers: {
-    push: { median: 300, sigma: 1.121, tag: "estimated \u2014 log-normal fit", source: "Anthropic 2026 Claude Code study (400k sessions): median engaged user ~8 prompts/day at ~35 words \u2014 ~300 directed words/day; tail shape from its actions-per-prompt distribution. AVERAGE over substantial days, cumulative not spiky." },
+    push: { median: 300, sigma: 0.91, tag: "estimated \u2014 log-normal fit", source: "Anthropic 2026 Claude Code study (400k sessions): median engaged user ~8 prompts/day at ~35 words \u2014 ~300 directed words/day; tail: a 1-in-1,000 user AVERAGES ~5k directed words/day (near-daily heavy dictation, clearly below the ~10k single-day record). AVERAGE over substantial days, cumulative not spiky." },
     focus: { median: 0.08, sigma: 0.559, tag: "estimated \u2014 proxy-anchored", source: "median: Anthropic 20h/week engaged-user figure implies ~1h/day of true rapid exchange against an 8h working day; ceiling anchored to the ~4h/day deep-work limit (45% share = 1-in-1,000). AVERAGE share, cumulative not spiky." },
     orchestration: { tag: "estimated \u2014 behavior bands", source: "no published concurrency distribution exists; ceiling anchored to the Claude Code lead's documented 10-15 parallel sessions" }
   },
@@ -15757,12 +15757,18 @@ var DEFAULT_CALIBRATION = {
       line: "the Claude Code lead runs 10\u201315 sessions at once; his #1 tip is 3\u20135 git worktrees in parallel"
     },
     throughput: {
-      // Top-0.1% words/day reference lines, anchored to the throughput ladder
-      // (THROUGHPUT_LADDER in throughput.ts): score 10 "world-class sustained" =
-      // 9k/day, score 11 "superhuman ceiling" = 12k/day. Calibrated to the person's
-      // own anchors, not a wild guess — but still a target, not a measured population.
-      topAvgWordsPerDay: 9e3,
-      topPeakWordsPerDay: 12e3,
+      // Two DIFFERENT kinds of line (2026-07-14.2): topAvg is a PERCENTILE
+      // claim — what a 1-in-1,000 user AVERAGES over substantial days (5k/day:
+      // near-daily heavy dictation; a measured top dictating power user
+      // averages ~3.9k). topPeak is NOT a percentile — it is the CEILING
+      // reference, the wildest single days on record (~10k: a 14-16h
+      // launch-day marathon), rendered as "wildest single days", never
+      // "top X% peak". An avg-percentile and a peak-percentile can't both be
+      // shown at a same-ish value (avg≈peak reads broken — user call), and a
+      // peak PERCENTILE line is unknowable anyway; the record framing is
+      // honest and keeps the visual gap.
+      topAvgWordsPerDay: 5e3,
+      topPeakWordsPerDay: 1e4,
       benchLabel: "top 0.1%",
       // No published "words typed/day" for heavy users — the real story is OUTPUT.
       loopsHeadline: ">1,000,000 lines of Rust at 99.8% tests passing",