polymarket-trader-mcp 1.0.1

package/dist/index.js

@@ -0,0 +1,124 @@
+#!/usr/bin/env node
+import { McpServer } from "@modelcontextprotocol/sdk/server/mcp.js";
+import { StdioServerTransport } from "@modelcontextprotocol/sdk/server/stdio.js";
+import Database from "better-sqlite3";
+import path from "path";
+import { fileURLToPath } from "url";
+import { createRequire } from "module";
+const require = createRequire(import.meta.url);
+const pkg = require("../package.json");
+import { initializeDb } from "./db/schema.js";
+import { getConfig, hasLiveCredentials, validateLiveCredentials } from "./utils/config.js";
+import { log } from "./utils/logger.js";
+import { safe } from "./utils/tool-wrapper.js";
+import { BudgetManager } from "./services/budget-manager.js";
+import { TradeExecutor } from "./services/trade-executor.js";
+import { WalletMonitor } from "./services/wallet-monitor.js";
+import { discoverTradersSchema, handleDiscoverTraders } from "./tools/discover-traders.js";
+import { watchWalletSchema, handleWatchWallet } from "./tools/watch-wallet.js";
+import { handleListWatchlist } from "./tools/list-watchlist.js";
+import { startMonitorSchema, handleStartMonitor } from "./tools/start-monitor.js";
+import { handleStopMonitor } from "./tools/stop-monitor.js";
+import { handleGetDashboard } from "./tools/get-dashboard.js";
+import { tradeHistorySchema, handleGetTradeHistory } from "./tools/get-trade-history.js";
+import { setConfigSchema, handleSetConfig } from "./tools/set-config.js";
+import { goLiveSchema, handleGoLive } from "./tools/go-live.js";
+import { PositionTracker } from "./services/position-tracker.js";
+import { analyzeTraderSchema, handleAnalyzeTrader } from "./tools/analyze-trader.js";
+import { getTraderPositionsSchema, handleGetTraderPositions } from "./tools/get-trader-positions.js";
+import { getPositionsSchema, handleGetPositions } from "./tools/get-positions.js";
+import { closePositionSchema, handleClosePosition } from "./tools/close-position.js";
+import { discoverMarketsSchema, handleDiscoverMarkets } from "./tools/discover-markets.js";
+import { getPriceSchema, handleGetPrice } from "./tools/get-price.js";
+import { discoverWtaSchema, handleDiscoverWta } from "./tools/discover-wta.js";
+import { placeStinkBidSchema, handlePlaceStinkBid } from "./tools/place-stink-bid.js";
+import { cancelOrdersSchema, handleCancelOrders } from "./tools/cancel-orders.js";
+import { logCycleSchema, handleLogCycle } from "./tools/log-cycle.js";
+import { handleCheckExits } from "./tools/check-exits.js";
+import { setExitRulesSchema, handleSetExitRules } from "./tools/set-exit-rules.js";
+import { handleGetPortfolio } from "./tools/get-portfolio.js";
+import { backtestTraderSchema, handleBacktestTrader } from "./tools/backtest-trader.js";
+import { discoverFlowSchema, handleDiscoverFlow } from "./tools/discover-flow.js";
+import { getPriceHistorySchema, handleGetPriceHistory } from "./tools/get-price-history.js";
+import { watchMarketSchema, handleWatchMarket } from "./tools/watch-market.js";
+import { rebalanceSchema, handleRebalance } from "./tools/rebalance.js";
+import { scoreTraderSchema, handleScoreTrader } from "./tools/score-trader.js";
+import { checkMarketSchema, handleCheckMarket } from "./tools/check-market.js";
+import { buySchema, handleBuy } from "./tools/buy.js";
+import { sellSchema, handleSell } from "./tools/sell.js";
+import { handleGetBalance } from "./tools/get-balance.js";
+import { searchMarketsSchema, handleSearchMarkets } from "./tools/search-markets.js";
+const __dirname = path.dirname(fileURLToPath(import.meta.url));
+const DB_PATH = path.join(__dirname, "..", "copytrader.db");
+const config = getConfig();
+const db = new Database(DB_PATH);
+initializeDb(db);
+const budgetManager = new BudgetManager(db, config.DAILY_BUDGET);
+const tradeExecutor = new TradeExecutor(db, config.COPY_MODE);
+const positionTracker = new PositionTracker(db);
+const walletMonitor = new WalletMonitor(db, budgetManager, tradeExecutor, config.MIN_CONVICTION, 300, positionTracker);
+const server = new McpServer({
+    name: "polymarket-trader-mcp",
+    version: pkg.version,
+});
+server.tool("discover_traders", "Discover top traders from Polymarket leaderboard by PnL, volume, and ROI", discoverTradersSchema.shape, safe("discover_traders", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleDiscoverTraders(db, discoverTradersSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("watch_wallet", "Add or remove a wallet address from the watchlist", watchWalletSchema.shape, safe("watch_wallet", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleWatchWallet(db, watchWalletSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("list_watchlist", "Show all watched wallet addresses", {}, safe("list_watchlist", async () => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleListWatchlist(db) }] })));
+server.tool("start_monitor", "Start the wallet monitoring loop to detect and copy new trades (Pro)", startMonitorSchema.shape, safe("start_monitor", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleStartMonitor(db, walletMonitor, startMonitorSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("stop_monitor", "Stop the wallet monitoring loop (Pro)", {}, safe("stop_monitor", async () => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleStopMonitor(walletMonitor) }] })));
+server.tool("get_dashboard", "Get a terminal-formatted dashboard with budget, P&L, trades, and watchlist status", {}, safe("get_dashboard", async () => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleGetDashboard(db, budgetManager, walletMonitor, tradeExecutor.getMode()) }] })));
+server.tool("get_trade_history", "Get trade history with optional filters (Pro)", tradeHistorySchema.shape, safe("get_trade_history", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleGetTradeHistory(db, tradeHistorySchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("set_config", "Update bot configuration like daily_budget or min_conviction (Pro)", setConfigSchema.shape, safe("set_config", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleSetConfig(db, budgetManager, setConfigSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("go_live", "Switch from preview to live mode — requires API credentials in .env (Pro)", goLiveSchema.shape, safe("go_live", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleGoLive(tradeExecutor, goLiveSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("analyze_trader", "Get detailed analysis of a trader's profile, win rate, and recent activity", analyzeTraderSchema.shape, safe("analyze_trader", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleAnalyzeTrader(analyzeTraderSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("get_trader_positions", "View a trader's current open positions on Polymarket (Pro)", getTraderPositionsSchema.shape, safe("get_trader_positions", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleGetTraderPositions(getTraderPositionsSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("get_positions", "View your copy trading positions — open, closed, or all", getPositionsSchema.shape, safe("get_positions", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleGetPositions(db, getPositionsSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("close_position", "Manually close a copy trading position (Pro)", closePositionSchema.shape, safe("close_position", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleClosePosition(db, closePositionSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("discover_markets", "Find active markets by end date (today/this_week/all) and category — great for finding fast-resolving markets", discoverMarketsSchema.shape, safe("discover_markets", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleDiscoverMarkets(discoverMarketsSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("get_price", "Get live market prices (bid/ask/spread) or current value of all open positions", getPriceSchema.shape, safe("get_price", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleGetPrice(db, getPriceSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("discover_wta", "Find today's WTA tennis matches on Polymarket with stink bid prices (favorite at discount)", discoverWtaSchema.shape, safe("discover_wta", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleDiscoverWta(discoverWtaSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("place_stink_bid", "Place stink bids (limit orders at discount) on all today's WTA favorites (Pro)", placeStinkBidSchema.shape, safe("place_stink_bid", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handlePlaceStinkBid(db, tradeExecutor, placeStinkBidSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("cancel_orders", "Cancel all open/pending limit orders on Polymarket (Pro, live mode only)", cancelOrdersSchema.shape, safe("cancel_orders", async () => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleCancelOrders(tradeExecutor) }] })));
+server.tool("check_exits", "Check all open positions for resolution (market resolved or trader exit) and update P&L", {}, safe("check_exits", async () => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleCheckExits(db) }] })));
+server.tool("log_cycle", "Log an agent cycle result to the database for dashboard tracking", logCycleSchema.shape, safe("log_cycle", (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: handleLogCycle(db, logCycleSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("set_exit_rules", "Set stop-loss and/or take-profit price levels on an open position (Pro)", setExitRulesSchema.shape, safe("set_exit_rules", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleSetExitRules(db, setExitRulesSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("get_portfolio", "View multi-wallet portfolio overview with per-wallet P&L, positions, and exit rules", {}, safe("get_portfolio", async () => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleGetPortfolio(db) }] })));
+server.tool("backtest_trader", "Simulate copying a trader's past trades to see hypothetical P&L (Pro)", backtestTraderSchema.shape, safe("backtest_trader", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleBacktestTrader(backtestTraderSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("score_trader", "Calculate conviction score (0-100) for a trader based on win rate, volume, consistency, experience, and diversity", scoreTraderSchema.shape, safe("score_trader", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleScoreTrader(scoreTraderSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("check_market", "Check market quality — spread, liquidity depth, and price range for safe trading", checkMarketSchema.shape, safe("check_market", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleCheckMarket(checkMarketSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("discover_flow", "Scan top traders for smart money signals — find markets where multiple top traders are buying simultaneously (Pro)", discoverFlowSchema.shape, safe("discover_flow", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleDiscoverFlow(discoverFlowSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("get_price_history", "Get historical price data for a market token (1h/6h/1d/1w/1m intervals with sparkline)", getPriceHistorySchema.shape, safe("get_price_history", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleGetPriceHistory(getPriceHistorySchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("watch_market", "Add/remove/list markets on your market watchlist with optional price alerts", watchMarketSchema.shape, safe("watch_market", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleWatchMarket(db, watchMarketSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("rebalance", "Analyze watchlist traders and remove underperformers based on conviction score and win rate (Pro)", rebalanceSchema.shape, safe("rebalance", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleRebalance(db, rebalanceSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("buy", "Buy shares on a Polymarket market — provide condition_id and amount", buySchema.shape, safe("buy", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleBuy(db, tradeExecutor, buySchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("sell", "Sell an open position — by trade_id or condition_id", sellSchema.shape, safe("sell", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleSell(db, tradeExecutor, sellSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+server.tool("get_balance", "View account balance, daily budget usage, invested amount, and P&L summary", {}, safe("get_balance", async () => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleGetBalance(db, budgetManager) }] })));
+server.tool("search_markets", "Search Polymarket markets by keyword (e.g. 'bitcoin', 'election', 'UFC')", searchMarketsSchema.shape, safe("search_markets", async (input) => ({ content: [{ type: "text", text: await handleSearchMarkets(searchMarketsSchema.parse(input)) }] })));
+// Start MCP server
+async function main() {
+    log("info", "Starting Polymarket Copy Trader MCP Server");
+    log("info", `Mode: ${config.COPY_MODE} | Budget: $${config.DAILY_BUDGET}/day`);
+    if (config.COPY_MODE === "live" && !hasLiveCredentials()) {
+        const missing = validateLiveCredentials();
+        log("warn", `Live mode enabled but missing credentials: ${missing.join(", ")}. Orders will fail until configured.`);
+    }
+    if (!config.MCP_LICENSE_KEY) {
+        log("info", "No MCP_LICENSE_KEY set — running in Free tier. Pro features are locked.");
+    }
+    const transport = new StdioServerTransport();
+    await server.connect(transport);
+}
+main().catch((err) => {
+    console.error("Fatal error:", err);
+    process.exit(1);
+});
+// Graceful shutdown
+function shutdown() {
+    log("info", "Shutting down...");
+    walletMonitor.stop();
+    db.close();
+    process.exit(0);
+}
+process.on("SIGINT", shutdown);
+process.on("SIGTERM", shutdown);
+//# sourceMappingURL=index.js.map

package/dist/index.js.map

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package/dist/services/backtester.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
+export interface BacktestTrade {
+    title: string;
+    conditionId: string;
+    side: string;
+    entryPrice: number;
+    exitPrice: number | null;
+    amount: number;
+    pnl: number;
+    status: "won" | "lost" | "open";
+    timestamp: string;
+}
+export interface BacktestResult {
+    address: string;
+    period: string;
+    trades: BacktestTrade[];
+    summary: {
+        totalTrades: number;
+        wins: number;
+        losses: number;
+        open: number;
+        winRate: number;
+        totalPnl: number;
+        avgPnl: number;
+        bestTrade: number;
+        worstTrade: number;
+        simulatedCopyPnl: number;
+    };
+}
+export declare function backtestTrader(address: string, copyBudget?: number): Promise<BacktestResult>;
+//# sourceMappingURL=backtester.d.ts.map

package/dist/services/backtester.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"backtester.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../src/services/backtester.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAMA,MAAM,WAAW,aAAa;IAC5B,KAAK,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACd,WAAW,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACpB,IAAI,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACb,UAAU,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACnB,SAAS,EAAE,MAAM,GAAG,IAAI,CAAC;IACzB,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACf,GAAG,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACZ,MAAM,EAAE,KAAK,GAAG,MAAM,GAAG,MAAM,CAAC;IAChC,SAAS,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;CACnB;AAED,MAAM,WAAW,cAAc;IAC7B,OAAO,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IAChB,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACf,MAAM,EAAE,aAAa,EAAE,CAAC;IACxB,OAAO,EAAE;QACP,WAAW,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QACpB,IAAI,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QACb,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QACf,IAAI,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QACb,OAAO,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QAChB,QAAQ,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QACjB,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QACf,SAAS,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QAClB,UAAU,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QACnB,gBAAgB,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;KAC1B,CAAC;CACH;AAED,wBAAsB,cAAc,CAClC,OAAO,EAAE,MAAM,EACf,UAAU,GAAE,MAAU,GACrB,OAAO,CAAC,cAAc,CAAC,CAqFzB"}

package/dist/services/backtester.js

@@ -0,0 +1,96 @@
+import { log } from "../utils/logger.js";
+import { fetchWithRetry } from "../utils/fetch.js";
+import { getMarketPriceByCondition } from "./price-service.js";
+const DATA_API_BASE = "https://data-api.polymarket.com";
+export async function backtestTrader(address, copyBudget = 5) {
+    log("info", `Running backtest for ${address.slice(0, 8)}... (copy budget: $${copyBudget})`);
+    // Fetch all activity (BUY + SELL)
+    const [buysRes, sellsRes] = await Promise.all([
+        fetchActivity(address, "BUY"),
+        fetchActivity(address, "SELL"),
+    ]);
+    // Build entry map: conditionId → { price, amount, title, timestamp }
+    const entries = new Map();
+    for (const b of buysRes) {
+        const price = parseFloat(b.price ?? "0");
+        const amount = parseFloat(b.usdcSize ?? b.size ?? "0");
+        if (price > 0 && amount > 0) {
+            entries.set(b.conditionId, { price, amount, title: b.title ?? "", timestamp: b.timestamp ?? "" });
+        }
+    }
+    // Build exit map: conditionId → exit price
+    const exits = new Map();
+    for (const s of sellsRes) {
+        const price = parseFloat(s.price ?? "0");
+        if (price > 0)
+            exits.set(s.conditionId, price);
+    }
+    const trades = [];
+    for (const [condId, entry] of entries) {
+        const exitPrice = exits.get(condId) ?? null;
+        let pnl = 0;
+        let status = "open";
+        if (exitPrice !== null) {
+            pnl = entry.price > 0
+                ? ((exitPrice - entry.price) * copyBudget) / entry.price
+                : 0;
+            status = pnl >= 0 ? "won" : "lost";
+        }
+        else {
+            // Check current price for open positions
+            const currentInfo = await getMarketPriceByCondition(condId);
+            if (currentInfo) {
+                pnl = entry.price > 0
+                    ? ((currentInfo.price - entry.price) * copyBudget) / entry.price
+                    : 0;
+            }
+        }
+        trades.push({
+            title: entry.title,
+            conditionId: condId,
+            side: "BUY",
+            entryPrice: entry.price,
+            exitPrice,
+            amount: entry.amount,
+            pnl,
+            status,
+            timestamp: entry.timestamp,
+        });
+    }
+    const closed = trades.filter((t) => t.status !== "open");
+    const wins = closed.filter((t) => t.status === "won").length;
+    const losses = closed.filter((t) => t.status === "lost").length;
+    const totalPnl = trades.reduce((sum, t) => sum + t.pnl, 0);
+    const pnls = closed.map((t) => t.pnl);
+    return {
+        address,
+        period: `Last ${buysRes.length + sellsRes.length} trades`,
+        trades,
+        summary: {
+            totalTrades: trades.length,
+            wins,
+            losses,
+            open: trades.length - closed.length,
+            winRate: closed.length > 0 ? (wins / closed.length) * 100 : 0,
+            totalPnl,
+            avgPnl: closed.length > 0 ? totalPnl / closed.length : 0,
+            bestTrade: pnls.length > 0 ? Math.max(...pnls) : 0,
+            worstTrade: pnls.length > 0 ? Math.min(...pnls) : 0,
+            simulatedCopyPnl: totalPnl,
+        },
+    };
+}
+async function fetchActivity(address, side) {
+    try {
+        const url = `${DATA_API_BASE}/activity?user=${address}&type=TRADE&side=${side}&limit=50`;
+        const res = await fetchWithRetry(url);
+        if (!res.ok)
+            return [];
+        return await res.json();
+    }
+    catch (err) {
+        log("error", `Backtest: failed to fetch ${side} activity for ${address}: ${err}`);
+        return [];
+    }
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=backtester.js.map

package/dist/services/backtester.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/services/budget-manager.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,16 @@
+import Database from "better-sqlite3";
+export interface CopyAmountInput {
+    originalAmount: number;
+    activeTraderCount: number;
+}
+export declare class BudgetManager {
+    private db;
+    private dailyLimit;
+    constructor(db: Database.Database, dailyLimit: number);
+    calculateCopyAmount(input: CopyAmountInput): number;
+    recordSpending(date: string, amount: number): void;
+    getRemainingBudget(): number;
+    getDailyLimit(): number;
+    setDailyLimit(limit: number): void;
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=budget-manager.d.ts.map

package/dist/services/budget-manager.d.ts.map

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package/dist/services/budget-manager.js

@@ -0,0 +1,42 @@
+import { addDailySpent, getDailyBudgetRemaining } from "../db/queries.js";
+function getConvictionMultiplier(amount) {
+    if (amount < 10)
+        return 0.5;
+    if (amount <= 50)
+        return 1.0;
+    return 1.5;
+}
+export class BudgetManager {
+    db;
+    dailyLimit;
+    constructor(db, dailyLimit) {
+        this.db = db;
+        this.dailyLimit = dailyLimit;
+    }
+    calculateCopyAmount(input) {
+        const today = new Date().toISOString().split("T")[0];
+        const remaining = getDailyBudgetRemaining(this.db, today, this.dailyLimit);
+        if (remaining <= 0)
+            return 0;
+        const base = this.dailyLimit / input.activeTraderCount;
+        const multiplier = getConvictionMultiplier(input.originalAmount);
+        const raw = base * multiplier;
+        const cap = this.dailyLimit * 0.25;
+        const capped = Math.min(raw, cap);
+        return Math.min(capped, remaining);
+    }
+    recordSpending(date, amount) {
+        addDailySpent(this.db, date, amount, this.dailyLimit);
+    }
+    getRemainingBudget() {
+        const today = new Date().toISOString().split("T")[0];
+        return getDailyBudgetRemaining(this.db, today, this.dailyLimit);
+    }
+    getDailyLimit() {
+        return this.dailyLimit;
+    }
+    setDailyLimit(limit) {
+        this.dailyLimit = limit;
+    }
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=budget-manager.js.map

package/dist/services/budget-manager.js.map

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package/dist/services/conviction-scorer.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,14 @@
+export interface ConvictionScore {
+    score: number;
+    level: "low" | "medium" | "high";
+    breakdown: {
+        winRate: number;
+        tradeVolume: number;
+        consistency: number;
+        experience: number;
+        diversity: number;
+    };
+    recommendation: string;
+}
+export declare function scoreTrader(address: string): Promise<ConvictionScore>;
+//# sourceMappingURL=conviction-scorer.d.ts.map

package/dist/services/conviction-scorer.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/services/conviction-scorer.js

@@ -0,0 +1,88 @@
+import { analyzeTrader } from "./trader-analyzer.js";
+import { log } from "../utils/logger.js";
+export async function scoreTrader(address) {
+    const profile = await analyzeTrader(address, true);
+    const breakdown = {
+        winRate: scoreWinRate(profile.winRate),
+        tradeVolume: scoreVolume(profile.avgPositionSize),
+        consistency: scoreConsistency(profile.recentTrades),
+        experience: scoreExperience(profile.recentTrades.length, profile.activePositions),
+        diversity: scoreDiversity(profile.recentTrades),
+    };
+    const score = breakdown.winRate + breakdown.tradeVolume + breakdown.consistency + breakdown.experience + breakdown.diversity;
+    const level = score >= 65 ? "high" : score >= 40 ? "medium" : "low";
+    const recommendation = level === "high"
+        ? "Strong copy candidate. Use full budget allocation."
+        : level === "medium"
+            ? "Moderate confidence. Use reduced allocation (50-75%)."
+            : "Low confidence. Monitor only, or use minimal allocation.";
+    log("info", `Conviction score for ${address.slice(0, 8)}: ${score}/100 (${level})`);
+    return { score, level, breakdown, recommendation };
+}
+function scoreWinRate(winRate) {
+    // 0-30 points: >70% = 30, >50% = 20, >30% = 10, else 0
+    if (winRate >= 70)
+        return 30;
+    if (winRate >= 50)
+        return 20;
+    if (winRate >= 30)
+        return 10;
+    return 0;
+}
+function scoreVolume(avgSize) {
+    // 0-20 points: larger avg position = more conviction from trader
+    if (avgSize >= 100)
+        return 20;
+    if (avgSize >= 50)
+        return 15;
+    if (avgSize >= 20)
+        return 10;
+    if (avgSize >= 5)
+        return 5;
+    return 0;
+}
+function scoreConsistency(trades) {
+    // 0-20 points: how consistent are buy prices (low variance = disciplined)
+    const buys = trades.filter((t) => t.side === "BUY");
+    if (buys.length < 3)
+        return 5;
+    const prices = buys.map((t) => t.price);
+    const mean = prices.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / prices.length;
+    const variance = prices.reduce((sum, p) => sum + (p - mean) ** 2, 0) / prices.length;
+    const cv = mean > 0 ? Math.sqrt(variance) / mean : 1; // coefficient of variation
+    // Low CV = consistent = good
+    if (cv < 0.15)
+        return 20;
+    if (cv < 0.3)
+        return 15;
+    if (cv < 0.5)
+        return 10;
+    return 5;
+}
+function scoreExperience(tradeCount, activePositions) {
+    // 0-15 points: more trades + active positions = experienced
+    let points = 0;
+    if (tradeCount >= 30)
+        points += 10;
+    else if (tradeCount >= 15)
+        points += 7;
+    else if (tradeCount >= 5)
+        points += 4;
+    if (activePositions >= 3)
+        points += 5;
+    else if (activePositions >= 1)
+        points += 3;
+    return Math.min(15, points);
+}
+function scoreDiversity(trades) {
+    // 0-15 points: trading across different markets = diversified
+    const uniqueMarkets = new Set(trades.map((t) => t.title)).size;
+    if (uniqueMarkets >= 8)
+        return 15;
+    if (uniqueMarkets >= 5)
+        return 10;
+    if (uniqueMarkets >= 3)
+        return 7;
+    return 3;
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=conviction-scorer.js.map

package/dist/services/conviction-scorer.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/services/leaderboard.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,28 @@
+export interface RawLeaderboardEntry {
+    proxyWallet: string;
+    userName: string;
+    pnl: number;
+    vol: number;
+    rank: number;
+}
+export interface TraderProfile {
+    address: string;
+    name: string;
+    pnl: number;
+    volume: number;
+    rank: number;
+    period: string;
+}
+export interface DiscoverOptions {
+    pages?: number;
+    period?: "ALL" | "WEEK";
+    minVolume?: number;
+    minPnl?: number;
+}
+export declare function filterTraders(traders: RawLeaderboardEntry[], opts: {
+    minVolume: number;
+    minPnl: number;
+}): RawLeaderboardEntry[];
+export declare function fetchLeaderboardPage(period: "ALL" | "WEEK", offset: number, limit: number): Promise<RawLeaderboardEntry[]>;
+export declare function discoverTraders(opts?: DiscoverOptions): Promise<TraderProfile[]>;
+//# sourceMappingURL=leaderboard.d.ts.map

package/dist/services/leaderboard.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/services/leaderboard.js

@@ -0,0 +1,45 @@
+import { log } from "../utils/logger.js";
+import { fetchWithRetry } from "../utils/fetch.js";
+const DATA_API_BASE = "https://data-api.polymarket.com";
+export function filterTraders(traders, opts) {
+    return traders.filter((t) => t.vol >= opts.minVolume && t.pnl >= opts.minPnl);
+}
+export async function fetchLeaderboardPage(period, offset, limit) {
+    const timePeriod = period === "WEEK" ? "WEEK" : "ALL";
+    const url = `${DATA_API_BASE}/v1/leaderboard?timePeriod=${timePeriod}&orderBy=PNL&limit=${limit}&offset=${offset}`;
+    log("info", `Fetching leaderboard: period=${timePeriod}, offset=${offset}, limit=${limit}`);
+    const response = await fetchWithRetry(url);
+    if (!response.ok) {
+        throw new Error(`Leaderboard API error: ${response.status} ${response.statusText}`);
+    }
+    const data = await response.json();
+    return data;
+}
+export async function discoverTraders(opts = {}) {
+    const pages = opts.pages ?? 3;
+    const period = opts.period ?? "ALL";
+    const minVolume = opts.minVolume ?? 1000;
+    const minPnl = opts.minPnl ?? 0;
+    const limit = 25;
+    const allTraders = [];
+    for (let page = 0; page < pages; page++) {
+        try {
+            const entries = await fetchLeaderboardPage(period, page * limit, limit);
+            allTraders.push(...entries);
+        }
+        catch (err) {
+            log("error", `Failed to fetch leaderboard page ${page + 1}`, { error: String(err) });
+        }
+    }
+    const filtered = filterTraders(allTraders, { minVolume, minPnl });
+    log("info", `Discovered ${filtered.length} traders from ${allTraders.length} total (period=${period})`);
+    return filtered.map((t) => ({
+        address: t.proxyWallet,
+        name: t.userName || `Trader-${t.rank}`,
+        pnl: t.pnl,
+        volume: t.vol,
+        rank: t.rank,
+        period,
+    }));
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=leaderboard.js.map

package/dist/services/leaderboard.js.map

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package/dist/services/market-filter.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,19 @@
+export interface MarketQuality {
+    conditionId: string;
+    pass: boolean;
+    reasons: string[];
+    metrics: {
+        spread: number;
+        bidDepth: number;
+        askDepth: number;
+        midPrice: number;
+    };
+}
+export interface MarketFilterConfig {
+    maxSpread: number;
+    minDepth: number;
+    minPrice: number;
+    maxPrice: number;
+}
+export declare function checkMarketQuality(tokenId: string, config?: Partial<MarketFilterConfig>): Promise<MarketQuality>;
+//# sourceMappingURL=market-filter.d.ts.map

package/dist/services/market-filter.d.ts.map

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