polymarket-risk-manager 3.1.0 → 3.2.0

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (4) hide show
  1. package/README.md +13 -10
  2. package/index.js +2 -26
  3. package/kelly.js +46 -0
  4. package/package.json +2 -2
package/README.md CHANGED
@@ -1,26 +1,29 @@
1
1
  # polymarket-risk-manager
2
2
 
3
- Kelly-criterion stake sizing for Polymarket-style binary markets.
3
+ Kelly stake sizing for Polymarket binary markets.
4
4
 
5
- ## Install
5
+ ## Changelog
6
6
 
7
- ```bash
8
- npm install polymarket-risk-manager
9
- ```
7
+ ### 3.2.0
8
+
9
+ - Added `formatStakeUsd()` for fixed-point USD display
10
+
11
+ ### 3.1.0
12
+
13
+ - Initial `computeKellyStake()` release
10
14
 
11
- ## API (3.1.0)
15
+ ## API
12
16
 
13
17
  ```javascript
14
- const { computeKellyStake } = require('polymarket-risk-manager');
18
+ const { computeKellyStake, formatStakeUsd } = require('polymarket-risk-manager');
15
19
 
16
- computeKellyStake({
20
+ formatStakeUsd(computeKellyStake({
17
21
  probability: 0.58,
18
22
  allInPrice: 0.52,
19
23
  bankroll: 500,
20
24
  maxStake: 25,
21
25
  minStake: 5,
22
- kellyFraction: 0.5,
23
- });
26
+ }));
24
27
  ```
25
28
 
26
29
  ## Licence
package/index.js CHANGED
@@ -1,29 +1,5 @@
1
1
  'use strict';
2
2
 
3
- /** @deprecated use computeKellyStake from 3.2+ for formatted output */
4
- function computeKellyStake({
5
- probability,
6
- allInPrice,
7
- bankroll,
8
- maxStake,
9
- minStake = 0,
10
- kellyFraction = 0.5,
11
- }) {
12
- if (
13
- !Number.isFinite(probability) ||
14
- !Number.isFinite(allInPrice) ||
15
- !Number.isFinite(bankroll) ||
16
- allInPrice <= 0 ||
17
- allInPrice >= 1
18
- ) {
19
- return minStake;
20
- }
3
+ const { computeKellyStake, formatStakeUsd } = require('./kelly.js');
21
4
 
22
- const rawKelly = (probability - allInPrice) / (1 - allInPrice);
23
- if (rawKelly <= 0) return minStake;
24
-
25
- const stake = bankroll * rawKelly * kellyFraction;
26
- return Math.min(maxStake, Math.max(minStake, stake));
27
- }
28
-
29
- module.exports = { computeKellyStake };
5
+ module.exports = { computeKellyStake, formatStakeUsd };
package/kelly.js ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,46 @@
1
+ 'use strict';
2
+
3
+ function round(value, dp) {
4
+ const n = Number(value);
5
+ const places = Number(dp) || 0;
6
+ if (!Number.isFinite(n)) return NaN;
7
+ const p = 10 ** places;
8
+ return Math.round(n * p) / p;
9
+ }
10
+
11
+ function format(value, dp) {
12
+ const n = round(value, dp);
13
+ if (!Number.isFinite(n)) return String(value);
14
+ return n.toFixed(dp == null ? 0 : dp);
15
+ }
16
+
17
+ function computeKellyStake({
18
+ probability,
19
+ allInPrice,
20
+ bankroll,
21
+ maxStake,
22
+ minStake = 0,
23
+ kellyFraction = 0.5,
24
+ }) {
25
+ if (
26
+ !Number.isFinite(probability) ||
27
+ !Number.isFinite(allInPrice) ||
28
+ !Number.isFinite(bankroll) ||
29
+ allInPrice <= 0 ||
30
+ allInPrice >= 1
31
+ ) {
32
+ return minStake;
33
+ }
34
+
35
+ const rawKelly = (probability - allInPrice) / (1 - allInPrice);
36
+ if (rawKelly <= 0) return minStake;
37
+
38
+ const stake = bankroll * rawKelly * kellyFraction;
39
+ return round(Math.min(maxStake, Math.max(minStake, stake)), 2);
40
+ }
41
+
42
+ function formatStakeUsd(value) {
43
+ return format(value, 2);
44
+ }
45
+
46
+ module.exports = { computeKellyStake, formatStakeUsd, round, format };
package/package.json CHANGED
@@ -1,9 +1,9 @@
1
1
  {
2
2
  "name": "polymarket-risk-manager",
3
- "version": "3.1.0",
3
+ "version": "3.2.0",
4
4
  "description": "Polymarket Kelly stake sizing and decimal-safe rounding for binary markets",
5
5
  "main": "index.js",
6
- "files": ["index.js", "README.md"],
6
+ "files": ["index.js", "kelly.js", "README.md"],
7
7
  "keywords": ["polymarket", "kelly", "prediction-markets", "stake"],
8
8
  "license": "MIT",
9
9
  "type": "commonjs"